Attack On Europe: Documenting Russian Equipment Losses During The 2022 Russian Invasion Of Ukraine (2 year anniversary)

ORYX ^ | Since February 24, 2022 and daily | ORYX

[SpeedyInTexas]

This list only includes destroyed vehicles and equipment of which photo or videographic evidence is available. Therefore, the amount of equipment destroyed is significantly higher than recorded here. Loitering munitions, drones used as unmanned bait, civilian vehicles and derelict equipment are not included in this list. All possible effort has gone into avoiding duplicate entries and discerning the status of equipment between captured or abandoned. Many of the entries listed as 'abandoned' will likely end up captured or destroyed. Similarly, some of the captured equipment might be destroyed if it can't be recovered. When a vehicle is captured and then lost in service with its new owners, it is only added as a loss of the original operator to avoid double listings. When the origin of a piece of equipment can't be established, it's not included in the list. The Soviet flag is used when the equipment in question was produced prior to 1991. This list is constantly updated as additional footage becomes available.

[BeauBo]

“Kremlin Drains the Last of the National Welfare Fund to Bail Out the Banks”

I think that it is probably an overstatement to say that they have drained the last of the NWF (but not impossible), but it is a significant development.

I believe that under their accounting, the funds will still be counted as part of the NWF - just moved from the “liquid” portion, to the “illiquid”.

The liquid portion is supposed to pay pensions, and cover Federal budget deficits, when oil revenue drops below a certain threshold, but it is also their major store of wealth available for use during economic crisis, like supporting the currency, businesses or stock markets; or bailing out banks.

It does not appear that there is enough left to get through this year, at their burn rate. Oil revenue is below the threshold where it is supposed to be covering the budget deficit, but they are only doing that fractionally, while the budget deficit has tripled recently, despite the contributions from the NWF. The infusions to big Russian banks reported here, demonstrate that some of the crisis funding contingencies using the NWF are now being resorted to.

At the start of this year, they only had about $35 billion remaining in the liquid portion, which has been roughly how much they have been drawing it down per year of this war. But their finances are not on a straight line, to deplete the remainder by year’s end. Oil revenues have declined significantly below threshold, the budget deficit has ballooned far above plan, and a growing tidal wave of bankruptcies will compete for bailouts, along with the banks.

So if they have not depleted the last of the liquid portion just yet, they are likely already transitioning to alternative financing methods that will be used when the NWF can no longer perform its functions. Basically, the Central Bank will just have to issue new rubles to the Government, to pay any bills that the NWF no longer can.

One sudden crisis will likely effectively take out the remainder of the NWF soon (weeks or months), if it is not already out of ammo. Naturally, Russia will try to conceal the depletion of the liquid NWF, and the resulting money printing spree, to mitigate additional panic-induced crises - but we are getting into the ballpark of when this should be expected to occur. There is generally a several month delay for excess money printing to accelerate inflation, but if there is a panic, inflationary expectations can increase quickly.

[PIF]

Kremlin snuffbox, 05/30/25
https://t.me/s/kremlin_secrets

A strange forecast has emerged regarding the end of the SVO

Our sources in the Central Bank continue to insist that the SVO will end this summer.

“I used to think that everything would end in June at the latest [ https://t.me/kremlin_secrets/5420 ]. Now I have to adjust my forecast - the SVO will end before the end of summer. If not, it will be difficult,” says a source close to Elvira Nabiullina.

We told him that this forecast is very strange. Our military acquaintances and many sources in the Kremlin are sure that the fighting will continue for a long time [ https://t.me/kremlin_secrets/5729 ].

He replied that he does not believe in such a scenario. And he claims that now “a number of advisers” in Vladimir Putin’s entourage are doing everything to ensure that the President does not listen to Nabiullina’s advice.

“I think Elvira Sakhipzadovna will find a way to tell Vladimir Vladimirovich why the SVO needs to be completed by the end of the summer. Plus, unfortunately, the West may find instruments of pressure on us. I hope they will not find them and will not use them, because it could be painful,” the source added. And he very much asked us to publish this forecast.

We listened out of respect for our interlocutor and his inside information.

But we must note that sources in the Kremlin called the Central Bank representative’s forecast not only strange, but also treacherous. And they promised to “seriously look into the situation.”

[BeauBo]

“Our sources in the Central Bank continue to insist that the SVO will end this summer.”

When the money runs out...

[PIF]

When the money runs out...

—
Someone will be out of a job ...

[blitz128]

Reminds me of the two and a half men episode when Charlie’s accountant explained why Charlie was out of money. Que cup and pencil 😂

[blitz128]

Someone(s) will be out a window😎

[marcusmaximus]

Ton of dead Russian and Nork troops in Rylsk today including Russian officers in charge of the Sumy incursion. Double tap superdrone strike by Ukraine.

[AdmSmith]

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 20, 2025

Russian officials continue to signal the Kremlin's uncompromising position ahead of proposed talks in Istanbul on June 2, suggesting that the upcoming Istanbul meeting is very unlikely to yield substantive results in support of an enduring peace in Ukraine. Russian Permanent Representative to the United Nations (UN) Vasily Nebenzya claimed during a UN Security Council meeting on May 30 that Russia is prepared to fight Ukraine for as long as necessary and that Ukraine can either accept peace, presumably on Russia's terms, or face inevitable battlefield defeat.[1] Nebenzya stated that the United States recently “opened its eyes” to the “root causes” of the war in Ukraine and reiterated Russian President Vladimir Putin's demands that the West stop arming Ukraine and that Ukraine cease force generation efforts as preconditions to a ceasefire.[2] CEO of the Russian Direct Investment Fund (RDIF) and Presidential Special Representative for Investment and Economic Cooperation with Foreign Countries Kirill Dmitriev also called for officials to eliminate the conflict‘s “root causes” in an English-language post to X on May 30.[3] Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov previously defined the root causes of the war in Ukraine as NATO's eastward expansion following the Soviet Union's collapse in 1991 and the Ukrainian government's alleged discrimination against Russian speakers and Russian culture.[4] Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MFA) Spokesperson Maria Zakharova claimed on May 29 that Russia's delegation to the proposed bilateral discussion in Istanbul on June 2 will be the ”same” as Russia's delegation at previous talks held in Istanbul on May 15 and 16.[5] Russia sent a low-level delegation led by Presidential Aide Vladimir Medinsky and consisting of Deputy Foreign Minister Mikhail Galuzin, Chief of the Russian General Staff's Main Directorate (GRU) Igor Kostykov, and Deputy Defense Minister Alexander Fomin to the May 15-16 Istanbul talks.[6]

Russian officials’ decision to reiterate long-standing demands and send the same low-level delegation to the next Istanbul meeting indicates that Russia remains disinterested in engaging in good-faith negotiations. ISW continues to assess that Russia remains dedicated to protracting peace negotiations to support continued offensive operations in Ukraine and extract additional concessions from Ukraine and the West.[7]

Russian officials are pocketing major US concessions and continuing to make further demands of Ukraine and the West. Kremlin Spokesperson Dmitry Peskov claimed on May 30 that Kremlin officials are encouraged by the Trump administration's understanding of Russian President Vladimir Putin's concerns about further eastward expansion of NATO and that Russia has previously shared these concerns with the United States during closed-door negotiations.[8] Peskov stated that the US position on further NATO expansion is “very appealing” to Russia, given that the United States continues to play a mediating role in negotiations to end the war.

US officials previously indicated a willingness to consider Russia's objections to Ukraine's possible future NATO membership – a long-standing Russian demand that officials frequently claim to be a “root cause” of the war in Ukraine – in exchange for Russia making concessions on other demands.[9] Peskov’s statement indicates that Russian officials assess that the United States supports Russia's demand for NATO to alter its foundational open-door policy.[10] Such a commitment would effectively grant Russia a veto over elements of the NATO charter, disproportionally benefit Russia's desired postwar security posture, and undermine US President Donald Trump‘s stated objectives of achieving a just and lasting peace in Ukraine. Russian officials are pocketing US concessions regarding negotiations and potential postwar security arrangements and are failing to make any comparable concessions, such as relinquishing Russia's claim to currently unoccupied Ukrainian territory like Kherson and Zaporizhia oblasts.

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-may-30-2025

[AdmSmith]

[JonPreston]

🍈

Reminds me of the two and a half men episode when Charlie’s accountant explained why Charlie was out of money.

Pardon me if I didn't watch this but shows like that are better left to morons.

[PIF]

Reporting From Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU/videos

The complete transcript.
—

[ All Alarms Go Off! Critical Ukrainian Defenses Breached! ]

Today [ May 30 ], there are a lot of important updates from the Pokrovsk direction. Here, between Pokrovsk and Kostyantynivka, Russian forces have punched through a vulnerable section of the front, threatening two of Ukraine’s most strategic cities in Donbas. As the breakthrough deepens, both sides are now rushing to tip the balance, before the summer offensive reaches full scale.

Recently, Russian forces made relatively rapid gains in a breakthrough between Pokrovsk and Kostyantinivka. This breakthrough places key Ukrainian positions in Donbas at risk, including the logistics behind Kostyantynivka and the Myrnograd-Pokrovsk agglomeration, which would open up an axis of advance for the Russians on both Kostyantynivka and Pokrovsk. This vector of advance is the best chance of frontline progress for the Russians, which is why they are throwing the most forces for attacks here.

This creates a potential vulnerability for the Ukrainians in the defense of both Pokrovsk and Kostyantynivka. Ukrainians understand that this Russian breakthrough will play a pivotal role in the upcoming Russian summer offensive in their effort to take both cities.

The Russian offensive effort on the other frontlines surrounding Pokrovsk and Kostyantynivka is relatively slow, characterized by brutal and grinding battles that lead to meager territorial gains.

Meanwhile, in the area of the breakthrough, the Russians managed to advance over 10 kilometers from their initial positions at Vozdvizhenka in less than 2 months of fighting, placing them just 12 kilometers away from Kostyantinivka. Such a continued rate of advance could allow the Russian forces to reach the city during the summer, unless the Ukrainians successfully contain them and stabilize the situation.

Russians achieved these territorial gains through multi-phase assault tactics designed to systematically locate, bombard, and overrun Ukrainian positions. Russians start by probing Ukrainian defenses with small reconnaissance units made up of expendable “suicide squads”, hoping to reveal Ukrainian firing positions.

After several squads have been sent forward, the Russians are then able to accurately identify Ukrainian positions, before hitting them with intense artillery and glide bomb strikes. Following the bombardment, additional Russian infantry squads are sent forward to assess the damage and engage in close-quarters combat if any Ukrainian defenders remain.

Meanwhile, Russian drones work to isolate the Ukrainians by monitoring and cutting off potential Ukrainian retreat or reinforcement routes, limiting their tactical flexibility.

This leaves Ukrainian defenders with a difficult choice: either remain in position and risk being overrun after bombardment, or attempt a retreat under the threat of Russian drones. Regardless of the loss of positions, this Russian tactic usually results in a casualty ratio of at least 3:1 in favor of the Ukrainians.

Ukrainians counter this Russian tactic by taking out the initial Russian suicide squads with mines, drone-dropped grenades, and kamikaze strikes. This ensures the Ukrainian defenders do not have to reveal their position by firing on the Russian assault groups. The implementation of these drone interceptions has reportedly increased the casualty ratio in some areas to as high as 7:1, with a number of cases going even higher.

As a result, these Russian tactics typically succeed only when Ukrainian forces lack sufficient drone support to detect and eliminate the Russian recon squads, before they reach the Ukrainian positions, and can commence their bombing strikes.

This is why, in response to the Russian breakthrough, Ukrainians redeployed elite drone brigades to stabilize the front. The units deployed include the Phoenix drone regiment, whose elite drone operators have already started to successfully counter and destroy Russian heavy equipment and infantry on the move.

They are further complemented by ground components of the Anne of Kiev Brigade, assigned to reinforce and defend key ground positions from the Russian onslaught, while the drone units relieve the pressure. Their experience with past successful counterattacks on the western flank of Pokrovsk, will enable them to conduct an active defense, and possibly even push the Russians back around their recent breakthrough.

Overall, the Russians managed to exploit a critical breakthrough along the Pokrovsk-Kostyantynivka highway, where the Ukrainians responded promptly to counter the threat. By redeploying elite drone units, such as the Phoenix Regiment, to counter Russian assaults, as well as the Anne of Kiev assault brigade, Ukrainians are effectively closing a weakness in their defensive lines.

If the newly redeployed units succeed in their respective missions they will prevent Russians from consolidating their positions and hold the advance, before Russians can translate this into larger operationally significant gains

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7V4jjr_srkw

[ANKE69]

Don’t forget the June 7th

>>>💣 KyivPride 2025 Manifesto 💣<<<

hosted in the war torn city of Kiev.
(Priorities, Priorities.... 😅😅😅🤣😅)

https://kyivpride.org/en/

[AdmSmith]

Day 1,192 of the Muscovian invasion. 1,250 [average is 827/day], i.e. more than 52 Russians and Norks/h. Vehicles and fuel tanks more than 155% and artillery more than 125% above average. Motorcycles are not counted yet

[AdmSmith]

Iran continues to coordinate with China and Russia on nuclear and economic issues, which illustrates cooperation between major US adversaries. Russia has opposed stated US objectives in the nuclear negotiations by supporting Iran's “right” to enrich uranium. Russian Permanent Representative to the UN in Vienna, Mikhail Ulyanov, stated on May 30 that the US-Iran nuclear negotiations may “require” another round of trilateral deputy-level consultations between Iran, China, and Russia.[17] Iran, China, and Russia previously met in March and April 2025 in Beijing to discuss the Iranian nuclear issue.[18] Ulyanov stated in early March 2025 that Iranian production of 60 percent enriched uranium has “no weapons risk.”[19] China has separately defended “Iran's right to” peaceful nuclear energy and criticized sanctions on Iran.[20] International Atomic Energy Agency Director (IAEA) Rafael Grossi stated in March 2025 that Iran has enough 60 percent enriched uranium, if enriched further, to produce six nuclear weapons.[21]

The Iranian, Chinese, and Russian permanent representatives to the United Nations reportedly also met on May 29 to coordinate positions on the US-Iran nuclear negotiations.[22] Ulyanov emphasized the importance of trilateral coordination before the next IAEA Board of Governors meeting on June 9 and 10. Ulyanov’s timeline is notable given that Iran and the United States are reportedly trying to reach a “political framework text” before the June Board of Governors meeting.[23] CTP-ISW previously assessed that Iran may calculate that reaching an interim deal with the United States before the meeting would delay or prevent snapback sanctions.[24] Iran, China, and Russia previously issued a joint statement in March 2025, effectively condemning the US “maximum pressure” strategy vis-a-vis Iran.[25]

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-update-may-30-2025

[JonPreston]

French production is included in the EU total numbers.

But the 800lb gorilla in the room, is the German company Rhinemetall. They alone make the bulk of European artillery shells.

“Curious where the Czech shells are... Where are they coming from?”

The Czech Government, led by President Petr Pavel (who held the position of Chairman of the NATO Military Committee from 2015 to 2018, and served as the Chief of the General Staff of the Czech Armed Forces between 2012 and 2015.) scoured the Earth for countries with the right Artillery shells in inventory, who would be willing to sell some. Publicly, they say that they have identified 1.5 million that are available now, for cash on the barrel.

Many supplying countries don’t want their names mentioned, to avoid disrupting relations with Russia, but I have seen some reports that include BRICS countries, like India, Brazil and South Africa - or even countries that Russia considers(ed) allies. Some others don’t want to be mentioned, to avoid shaming for not donating the shells, but instead holding out to be paid for them (it is hard for many countries to fund their Defense).

The big thing about the Czech initiative, is that the shells exist, and just need to ship. They have already started flowing.

When the EU started debating how much each country would pay for the Military supplies for Ukraine, France was a strong proponent that Europe needed to expand its Defense Industrial Base, and should therefor buy all their equipment and supplies internally, to help fund their industrial build out.

That approach would of course lead to a long lead time between procurement decision/funding and the actual delivery. That in turn, would require the USA to provide the bulk of Ukraine’s supplies, for a couple of years, until European factories were built out. Based on past experience, the Europeans, almost without fail, in the end fail to provide their agreed upon proportion of the bill. Typically, they will come through with only a third or a half of their commitments (like the Bonn Agreement to rebuild the Afghan Government and Military, or the NATO obligation of 2% of GDP). The Europeans committed to providing a million shells last year, but only delivered about 300,000.

This time however, the USA did not just cough up the extra supplies when the Europeans dragged their feet, and Petr Pavel’s Government came to the rescue with the leadership to fill the breach. May God bless him.

[JonPreston]

JUST IN: General Flynn calls Senator Lindsey Graham a “Warmonger” after his trip to Ukraine today.

pic.twitter.com/sYVjP9rlDV— Ian Jaeger (@IanJaeger29) May 30, 2025

[FtrPilot]

Thanks for the ping.

Excellent news!

[FtrPilot]

💥 Explosions were reported overnight in both Rylsk and Lgov, Kursk region, likely targeting Russian military positions.

Local channels claim there are lots of casualties among Russian servicemen.

The Ukrainian General Staff has not yet commented.

https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1928686314087493935

[FtrPilot]

Earlier this evening, Ukrainian forces successfully bombed Russian troops at a rail station outside of Lgov, Kursk Oblast.

Russian casualties have been reported, and the area is ablaze.

https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/1928638275465466004

Location 51.633692, 35.196086

Most likely AASM Hammer.

Rocket motor would give the Hammer longer range than JDAM-ERs and SDBs.

[FtrPilot]

Ukrainian heavy drone armed with heavy bomb before the mission.

https://x.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1928766721269055534