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Attack On Europe: Documenting Russian Equipment Losses During The 2022 Russian Invasion Of Ukraine (2 year anniversary)
ORYX ^ | Since February 24, 2022 and daily | ORYX

Posted on 02/24/2024 5:59:01 AM PST by SpeedyInTexas

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To: PIF
OLDIE BUT A GOODY: UKR has re-vamped Cold War era S-200 missiles to target Russian strategic aircraft in flight. @bayraktar_1love reports UKR downed a Tu-22M3 Backfire-C (strategic bomber) April 19, 2024, and two A-50U (AWACS) on January 14, 2024, and on February 23, 2024.

https://x.com/ChuckPfarrer/status/1922258526728073417


15,741 posted on 05/13/2025 6:54:15 AM PDT by FtrPilot
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To: blitz128

“He is having quite the tantrum lol. Going for the baffle with BS route😂”

It’s not him, it’s the whole Russian propaganda workforce. Putin is under high pressure to end the war, and they must have been told to go into overdrive, to blow smoke to provide some distraction.


15,742 posted on 05/13/2025 7:37:16 AM PDT by BeauBo
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To: AdmSmith

“decision to deploy the Presidential Regiment to fight in Ukraine is likely part of a larger Russian effort to intimidate Ukraine and the West through intensified battlefield activity and portray Russian forces as elite and fully capable of achieving significant successes in Ukraine in the near future”

Right on cue with Russia’s disinformation priorities, Jon Preston once again posts one of their products (post 15,735), to disseminate that Kremlin lie.

Again.

This time, he took more pains to mask the source after having been called out on posting verbatim from a Russian Military Intelligence disinformation source recently, but it is still the straight daily output of the Russian Intelligence Services that he posts.


15,743 posted on 05/13/2025 8:14:41 AM PDT by BeauBo
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To: JonPreston

Wow, that really depicts how dependent Russian GDP is on the price of oil.

What a vulnerability. Single point of failure for the system.

Tell your comrades that the jig is up, and they must halt their invasion of Ukraine, before President Trump effectively drops the price to zero for Russia (lower than what brought down the Soviet Union), with secondary sanctions on buyers.

Don’t let Putin bring that existential doom upon Russia.

He needs to go, if those secondary sanctions drop. He is the only one who can credibly take the blame, and allow the needed change to occur.


15,744 posted on 05/13/2025 8:26:23 AM PDT by BeauBo
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To: BeauBo

Former adviser to the head of the Pentagon: Zelensky's behavior is disgusting
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky's demands related to the financing of the Kiev regime are shameful, said the former adviser to the head of the Pentagon, Colonel Douglas McGregor.
"His behavior is… pic.twitter.com/gcLcWTTOh1— Sprinter (@Sprinter99800) October 5, 2023


15,745 posted on 05/13/2025 10:07:47 AM PDT by JonPreston ( ✌ ☮️ )
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To: JonPreston

Swedish Army in Stockholm. pic.twitter.com/RQarWDhVTO— RadioGenoa (@RadioGenoa) October 4, 2023


15,746 posted on 05/13/2025 10:08:15 AM PDT by JonPreston ( ✌ ☮️ )
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To: JonPreston

As the Ukrainian army squares off against ultra-right and neo-Nazi militias in the west and violence against ethnic Russians continues in the east, the obvious folly of the Obama administration’s Ukraine policy has come into focus even for many who tried to ignore the facts, or what you might call “the mess that Victoria Nuland made.”

Assistant Secretary of State for European Affairs “Toria” Nuland was the “mastermind” behind the Feb. 22, 2014 “regime change” in Ukraine, plotting the overthrow of the democratically elected government of President Viktor Yanukovych while convincing the ever-gullible US mainstream media that the coup wasn’t really a coup but a victory for “democracy.”

Assistant Secretary of State for European Affairs Victoria Nuland, who pushed for the Ukraine coup and helped pick the post-coup leaders.

To sell this latest neocon-driven “regime change” to the American people, the ugliness of the coup-makers had to be systematically airbrushed, particularly the key role of neo-Nazis and other ultra-nationalists from the Right Sektor. For the US-organized propaganda campaign to work, the coup-makers had to wear white hats, not brown shirts.

So, for nearly a year and a half, the West’s mainstream media, especially The New York Times and The Washington Post, twisted their reporting into all kinds of contortions to avoid telling their readers that the new regime in Kiev was permeated by and dependent on neo-Nazi fighters and Ukrainian ultra-nationalists who wanted a pure-blood Ukraine, without ethnic Russians.

Any mention of that sordid reality was deemed “Russian propaganda” and anyone who spoke this inconvenient truth was a “stooge of Moscow.” It wasn’t until July 7 that the Times admitted the importance of the neo-Nazis and other ultra-nationalists in waging war against ethnic Russian rebels in the east. The Times also reported that these far-right forces had been joined by Islamic militants. Some of those jihadists have been called “brothers” of the hyper-brutal Islamic State.

Though the Times sought to spin this remarkable military alliance – neo-Nazi militias and Islamic jihadists – as a positive, the reality had to be jarring for readers who had bought into the Western propaganda about noble “pro-democracy” forces resisting evil “Russian aggression.”

Perhaps the Times sensed that it could no longer keep the lid on the troubling truth in Ukraine. For weeks, the Right Sektor militias and the neo-Nazi Azov battalion have been warning the civilian government in Kiev that they might turn on it and create a new order more to their liking.

Clashes in the West

Then, on Saturday, violent clashes broke out in the western Ukrainian town of Mukachevo, allegedly over the control of cigarette-smuggling routes. Right Sektor paramilitaries sprayed police officers with bullets from a belt-fed machinegun, and police – backed by Ukrainian government troops – returned fire. Several deaths and multiple injuries were reported.

Tensions escalated on Monday with President Petro Poroshenko ordering national security forces to disarm “armed cells” of political movements. Meanwhile, the Right Sektor dispatched reinforcements to the area while other militiamen converged on the capital of Kiev.

While President Poroshenko and Right Sektor leader Dmitry Yarosh may succeed in tamping down this latest flare-up of hostilities, they may be only postponing the inevitable: a conflict between the US-backed authorities in Kiev and the neo-Nazis and other right-wing fighters who spearheaded last year’s coup and have been at the front lines of the fighting against ethnic Russian rebels in the east.

The Ukrainian right-wing extremists feel they have carried the heaviest burden in the war against the ethnic Russians and resent the politicians living in the relative safety and comfort of Kiev. In March, Poroshenko also fired thuggish oligarch Igor Kolomoisky as governor of the southeastern province of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Kolomoisky had been the primary benefactor of the Right Sektor militias.

So, as has become apparent across Europe and even in Washington, the Ukraine crisis is spinning out of control, making the State Department’s preferred narrative of the conflict – that it’s all Russian President Vladimir Putin’s fault – harder and harder to sell.

How Ukraine is supposed to pull itself out of what looks like a death spiral – a possible two-front war in the east and the west along with a crashing economy – is hard to comprehend. The European Union, confronting budgetary crises over Greece and other EU members, has little money or patience for Ukraine, its neo-Nazis and its socio-political chaos.

America’s neocons at The Washington Post and elsewhere still rant about the need for the Obama administration to sink more billions upon billions of dollars into post-coup Ukraine because it “shares our values.” But that argument, too, is collapsing as Americans see the heart of a racist nationalism beating inside Ukraine’s new order.

Another Neocon “Regime Change”

Much of what has happened, of course, was predictable and indeed was predicted, but neocon Nuland couldn’t resist the temptation to pull off a “regime change” that she could call her own.

Her husband (and arch-neocon) Robert Kagan had co-founded the Project for the New American Century in 1998 around a demand for “regime change” in Iraq, a project that was accomplished in 2003 with President George W. Bush’s invasion.

As with Nuland in Ukraine, Kagan and his fellow neocons thought they could engineer an easy invasion of Iraq, oust Saddam Hussein and install some hand-picked client – in Iraq, Ahmed Chalabi was to be “the guy.” But they failed to take into account the harsh realities of Iraq, such as the fissures between Sunnis and Shiites, exposed by the US-led invasion and occupation.

In Ukraine, Nuland and her neocon and liberal-interventionist friends saw the chance to poke Putin in the eye by encouraging violent protests to overthrow Russia-friendly President Yanukovych and put in place a new regime hostile to Moscow.

Carl Gershman, the neocon president of the US-taxpayer-funded National Endowment for Democracy, explained the plan in a Post op-ed on Sept. 26, 2013. Gershman called Ukraine “the biggest prize” and an important interim step toward toppling Putin, who “may find himself on the losing end not just in the near abroad but within Russia itself.”

For her part, Nuland passed out cookies to anti-Yanukovych demonstrators at the Maidan square, reminded Ukrainian business leaders that the US had invested $5 billion in their “European aspirations,” declared “fuck the EU” for its less aggressive approach, and discussed with US Ambassador Geoffrey Pyatt who the new leaders of Ukraine should be. “Yats is the guy,” she said, referring to Arseniy Yatsenyuk.

Nuland saw her big chance on Feb. 20, 2014, when a mysterious sniper – apparently firing from a building controlled by the Right Sektor – shot and killed both police and protesters, escalating the crisis. On Feb. 21, in a desperate bid to avert more violence, Yanukovych agreed to a European-guaranteed plan in which he accepted reduced powers and called for early elections so he could be voted out of office.

But that wasn’t enough for the anti-Yanukovych forces who – led by Right Sektor and neo-Nazi militias – overran government buildings on Feb. 22, forcing Yanukovych and many of his officials to flee for their lives. With armed thugs patrolling the corridors of power, the final path to “regime change” was clear.

Instead of trying to salvage the Feb. 21 agreement, Nuland and European officials arranged for an unconstitutional procedure to strip Yanukovych of the presidency and declared the new regime “legitimate.” Nuland’s “guy” – Yatsenyuk – became prime minister.

While Nuland and her neocon cohorts celebrated, their “regime change” prompted an obvious reaction from Putin, who recognized the strategic threat that this hostile new regime posed to the historic Russian naval base at Sevastopol in Crimea. On Feb. 23, he began to take steps to protect those Russian interests.

Ethnic Hatreds

What the coup also did was revive long pent-up antagonisms between the ethnic Ukrainians in the west, including elements that had supported Adolf Hitler’s invasion of the Soviet Union during World War Two, and ethnic Russians in the south and east who feared the anti-Russian sentiments emanating from Kiev.

First, in Crimea and then in the so-called Donbas region, these ethnic Russians, who had been Yanukovych’s political base, resisted what they viewed as the illegitimate overthrow of their elected president. Both areas held referenda seeking separation from Ukraine, a move that Russia accepted in Crimea but resisted with the Donbas.

However, when the Kiev regime announced an “anti-terrorism operation” against the Donbas and dispatched neo-Nazi and other extremist militias to be the tip of the spear, Moscow began quietly assisting the embattled ethnic Russian rebels, a move that Nuland, the Obama administration and the mainstream news media called “Russian aggression.”

Amid the Western hysteria over Russia’s supposedly “imperial designs” and the thorough demonizing of Putin, President Barack Obama essentially authorized a new Cold War against Russia, reflected now in new US strategic planning that could cost the US taxpayers trillions of dollars and risk a possible nuclear confrontation.

Yet, despite the extraordinary costs and dangers, Nuland failed to appreciate the practical on-the-ground realities, much as her husband and other neocons did in Iraq. While Nuland got her hand-picked client Yatsenyuk installed and he did oversee a US-demanded “neo-liberal” economic plan – slashing pensions, heating assistance and other social programs – the chaos that her “regime change” unleashed transformed Ukraine into a financial black hole.

With few prospects for a clear-cut victory over the ethnic Russian resistance in the east – and with the neo-Nazi/Islamist militias increasingly restless over the stalemate – the chances to restore any meaningful sense of order in the country appear remote. Unemployment is soaring and the government is essentially bankrupt.

The last best hope for some stability may have been the Minsk-2 agreement in February 2015, calling for a federalized system to give the Donbas more autonomy, but Nuland’s Prime Minister Yatsenyuk sabotaged the deal in March by inserting a poison pill that essentially demanded that the ethnic Russian rebels first surrender.

Now, the Ukraine chaos threatens to spiral even further out of control with the neo-Nazis and other right-wing militias – supplied with a bounty weapons to kill ethnic Russians in the east – turning on the political leadership in Kiev.

In other words, the neocons have struck again, dreaming up a “regime change” scheme that ignored practical realities, such as ethnic and religious fissures. Then, as the blood flowed and the suffering worsened, the neocons just sought out someone else to blame.

Thus, it seems unlikely that Nuland, regarded by some in Washington as the new “star” in US foreign policy, will be fired for her dangerous incompetence, just as most neocons who authored the Iraq disaster remain “respected” experts employed by major think tanks, given prized space on op-ed pages, and consulted at the highest levels of the US government.

15,747 posted on 05/13/2025 10:09:16 AM PDT by JonPreston ( ✌ ☮️ )
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To: JonPreston
White Liberal Women: BEWARE!


15,748 posted on 05/13/2025 10:10:42 AM PDT by JonPreston ( ✌ ☮️ )
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To: JonPreston

15,749 posted on 05/13/2025 10:11:10 AM PDT by JonPreston ( ✌ ☮️ )
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To: JonPreston

15,750 posted on 05/13/2025 10:11:48 AM PDT by JonPreston ( ✌ ☮️ )
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To: JonPreston
🍈


15,001 posted on 04/19/2025 6:00:31 AM PDT by JonPreston ( ✌ ☮️ )

15,751 posted on 05/13/2025 10:12:01 AM PDT by JonPreston ( ✌ ☮️ )
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Pictured are the EU Peace negotiators preparing for Istanbul.

But first a quick cocaine break


15,752 posted on 05/13/2025 10:23:58 AM PDT by JonPreston ( ✌ ☮️ )
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To: blitz128

15,753 posted on 05/13/2025 10:25:19 AM PDT by FtrPilot
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To: blitz128

🍈 is watching you ...
15,754 posted on 05/13/2025 12:13:58 PM PDT by PIF (They came for me and mine ... now its your turn)
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To: PIF; dummy
🍈

Douglas McGregor announced on his Twitter yesterday that a peace deal has been reached. I wonder how that happened?

Overall it's difficult to interpret all of the theatrics going on right now.

Posted by: Afro | Apr 24 2025 14:27 utc | 1

Bravely, the UK sanctions manager Stephen Doughty has banned the export of video game controllers to Russia, because the devices can be used to train drone pilots for accuracy hits on the frontline, in effect repurposing the controllers for dealing out LOC death & destruction.

This is in response to Russia’s overnight airstrikes, a combo of 215 drone & missile attacks on military objects.

The EU valiantly had mandated an embargo of joysticks to Russia back in January.

Listen, we just have to acknowledge that *no* video controllers or joysticks even *exist* anywhere in Russia at this moment, because let’s face it: no one in Russia *plays* video games. They talk about Stalin. They talk about the Soviet Union. They knock back a shot of vodka, don a furry ushanka and then talk about how much they hate western democracy.

To be clear: living rooms in Russia may actually *have* a Play Station 5 or an Xbox, but they are useless dustable items bereft of concomitant controllers.

Think how long Russians have studied the tangled arrangement of cords & wires just beneath the flat-screen TV, have unplugged the gaming consoles, waited 15 seconds, then plugged them back in, wondering at their use.

Even worse than denying Russia gaming controllers & joysticks, the UK has staunchly forbidden the export to Russia of chemicals, electronics machinery & metals “to limit Russia’s military and industrial capacity,” according to Politico.

Because notice this salient point: Russia, on its lonesome, has zilch for ‘military and industrial capacity.’

Obviously, the UK has finally put all the puzzle pieces together.

Posted by: steel_porcupine | Apr 24 2025 14:28 utc | 2

Only what gets measured, gets done!

Thus, the Special Military Operation (SMO) continues as expected.

Posted by: pepe | Apr 24 2025 14:32 utc | 3

Posted by: Afro | Apr 24 2025 14:27 utc | 1

####

Until something is done, nothing is done.

Announcements are words and words are just wind.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Apr 24 2025 14:33 utc | 4

Posted by: Afro | Apr 24 2025 14:27 utc | 1
RE: Macgregor posts about a peace plan on X-?
<<

Judge Nap has Macgregor scheduled for noon EST. Supposedly they'll talk about Bibi's intent to attack Iran, but I can believe they'll address Macgregor's X post if there is any tea to spill

Posted by: steel_porcupine | Apr 24 2025 14:34 utc | 5

Summary of the last day

During the day, manpower and military equipment of the Armed Forces of Ukraine were defeated in the 148th district. There are no reports of militant counterattacks in any of the areas.

Destroyed during the day: 1 multiple launch rocket system (in the Sumy direction), 7 tanks and other armored vehicles of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (1 of them in Sumy), 55 vehicles (10 in Sumy), 230 drones. It was also reported that 50 artillery installations and probably mortars were destroyed (1 at Sumy).

The daily losses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine have become maximum since April 14 and amounted to 1,490 military personnel, 410 of them in the Pokrovsky direction (Center), 405 in Donetsk (South), 255 in Kupyansk (West), 155 in South Donetsk (East), 70 in Kherson (Dnieper), 45 in Kharkov (North, including Belgorod). 150 Ukrainian Armed Forces militants were killed in the Sumy area.

Posted by: Newbie | Apr 24 2025 14:37 utc | 6

Poor Colonel McGregor, he has started to grasp what America is but struggles to believe it.

Larry Johnson had a similar issue 6 months ago, but now, after his trip to meet Lavrov, he's seeing clearly.

Both men worked for their country so there is an understandable need to think well of it because the ego doesn't want to believe effort was evil or in vain.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Apr 24 2025 14:41 utc | 7

More and more evidence is being unveiled that Ukronazi intell was handling the two potential assassins of DJT, and we already know that the Ukronazis and Fiona Hill and Toni Blinkenskyy were behind the first impeachment of DJT !

DJT detests the little, anti Christian dictator..........no peace deal for you !!

Posted by: tobias cole | Apr 24 2025 14:42 utc | 8

Huge missile attack by Russia against Kiev last night. Does anybody have any good sources?

Posted by: WJ | Apr 24 2025 14:56 utc | 9

steel_porcupine | Apr 24 2025 14:28 utc | 2

You're falling into the same trap as B by searching for the most egregious display of common, retail propaganda and then giving yourself credit for critique or satire. Boring.

Let's note that 1/2 of the general population has an IQ under 100. Even 1 std dev gets you to 115, which still might not be sufficient to fully understand or grasp the significance of global affairs.

So, the absolultely overwhelming majority can be easily manipulated and directed to perform under directed order; it's not hard to do. Rather, the game is to front-run events by easily predicting outcomes that can then generate material gains for yourself.

This is the point of life.

Posted by: markw | Apr 24 2025 15:08 utc | 10


15,755 posted on 05/13/2025 12:57:25 PM PDT by JonPreston ( ✌ ☮️ )
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To: BeauBo

I get so much enjoyment knowing how much of his time is spent here and no one cares. 😂🤡


15,756 posted on 05/13/2025 4:30:27 PM PDT by blitz128
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To: blitz128
And my enjoyment comes from seeing you Zelenskys posting but one post an hour to this formally very active thread. Come back and see us more often!


15,757 posted on 05/13/2025 6:17:43 PM PDT by JonPreston ( ✌ ☮️ )
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To: PIF

Poor guy, I have a life that involves being productive not just spamming a thread he has admitted he wants gone.

Poor, poor guy😂


15,758 posted on 05/13/2025 6:51:39 PM PDT by blitz128
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To: gleeaikin; FtrPilot

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 12, 202

The Russian military is reportedly generating enough forces to replace losses and is reinforcing the size of the Russian force grouping in Ukraine despite experiencing an increased casualty rate per square kilometer gained. Russian President Vladimir Putin appears to be embracing significant losses in exchange for diminishing returns to make battlefield gains and manage perceptions about Russia’s military capabilities to pressure Ukraine in negotiations. Putin stated on May 13 that 50,000 to 60,000 people voluntarily join the Russian military per month.[1] Putin gave this figure as part of a statement claiming that Russia has a higher monthly recruitment than Ukraine and therefore may be exaggerating these recruitment figures to posture a large Russian military amid ongoing negotiations with Ukraine and the West, however. Putin did not explicitly state when Russian recruitment levels hit 50,000 to 60,000 personnel each month, but previous Ukrainian and Russian statements imply that Russia may have aimed to reach this monthly recruitment figure in 2025. Russian Defense Minister Andrei Belousov gave recruitment figures at the end of 2024, indicating that Russia is recruiting just enough military personnel to replace its recent casualty rates.[2] Russian Security Council Secretary Dmitry Medvedev stated in late January 2025 that roughly 450,000 people signed Russian military service contracts, that an additional 40,000 people joined Russian volunteer formations in 2024, and that the Russian military aimed to “maintain this momentum.”[3] Ukrainian Main Military Intelligence Directorate (GUR) Deputy Head Major General Vadym Skibitskyi stated in early March 2025 that Russia’s recruitment plans for 2025 will “mostly” allow the Russian military command to replace its battlefield losses should the current tempo of offensive operations and losses continue.[4] Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief General Oleksandr Syrskyi stated in April 2024 that Russian forces are “increasing the number” of personnel in Ukraine by 8,000 to 9,000 new personnel per month through contract recruitment and that the Russian force grouping fighting against Ukraine increased from about 603,000 on January 1, 2025, to 623,000 just over three months later.[5] Syrskyi stated on May 13 that Russian forces have suffered 177,000 casualties in Ukraine since the start of 2025.[6] Syrskyi’s and Putin’s figures indicate that Russia may be generating enough forces to replace losses while also increasing the overall size of its force grouping in Ukraine.

Russia continues to tolerate personnel losses comparable to the casualty rate Russian forces sustained during a period of intensified advances in Fall 2024, despite a slowed rate of advance in the first four months of 2025.[7] Russian forces are likely able to generate enough forces to sustain their replacement rate and increase the size of the Russian force grouping in Ukraine by rapidly deploying low quality troops to frontline units. ISW has repeatedly observed reports that new Russian recruits only receive a month of training before deploying to Ukraine, and this limited training is likely constraining recruits’ combat capabilities and the Russian military’s overall capacity to successfully conduct complex operations.[8] The Russian military is currently prioritizing sending poorly-trained recruits into highly-attritional infantry assaults to make grinding advances — despite enduring a higher casualty rate per square kilometer gained — in an effort to pressure Ukraine and the West into acquiescing to Russian demands amid ongoing negotiations. Russia is also attempting to prolong negotiations to extract additional concessions from the United States and while making additional battlefield advances.

The Russian military may also be prioritizing recruitment as part of longer-term efforts to build out a post-war strategic reserve for a potential future conflict with NATO. US European Command (EUCOM) Commander and NATO Supreme Allied Commander Europe (SACEUR) General Christopher Cavoli informed the US Senate Armed Services Committee in April 2025 that the Russian military is reconstituting and expanding its force structure and materiel production at a faster rate than most Western analysts anticipated, despite suffering approximately 790,000 casualties since the start of Russia’s full-scale invasion in February 2022.[9] Cavoli stated that the Russian military command has deployed over 600,000 soldiers to the frontlines in Ukraine, which is nearly double the size of Russia’s initial invasion force and is consistent with Syrskyi’s report that there are 623,000 Russian military personnel in Ukraine. Putin signed a decree in September 2024 ordering the Russian military to establish a 1.5 million combat-ready force, indicating his long-term interests in increasing the size of the Russian military.[10] Cavoli’s report coheres with recent indicators signaling that Russia is expanding and upgrading military bases, barracks, training grounds, warehouses, and railways near Petrozavodsk, Republic of Karelia, to support a future influx of personnel.[11] Russia is also integrating railways and roadways in the Moscow Military District (MMD) with Belarusian infrastructure. ISW has long assessed that Russia’s restoration of the MMD and Leningrad Military District (LMD) is part of the Kremlin’s long-term restructuring effort to prepare for a potential large-scale conventional war against NATO.

The Russian military command appears to be establishing a tactical doctrine and force structure for motorcycle and civilian vehicles units in frontal assaults, underscoring the Russian military’s efforts to offset Ukraine’s drone advantages and achieve maneuver in modern ground warfare. Ukrainian military observer Kostyantyn Mashovets stated on May 13 that the Russian military command has developed a series of standards in equipping frontline units with motorcycles, all-terrain vehicles (ATVs), and Chinese- and Russian-made buggies.[12] Mashovets stated that Russia is working to equip every battalion with up to 30 motorcycles, up to 20 ATVs, and up to six buggies; every platoon with up to nine motorcycles, up to 20 ATVs, and up to six buggies; and every “Storm V” penal recruit assault company with up to 15 motorcycles, up to 20 ATVs, and up to three buggies. Mashovets noted that the Russian military command is struggling to source enough motorcycles to equip every unit to the standard level and that equipment rates between frontline units vary considerably as a result. Mashovets stated that the Russian 3rd Combined Arms Army (CAA) (formerly the 2nd Luhansk People’s Republic Army Corps [LNR AC]) had up to 1,125 motorcycles, up to 975 ATVs, and 210-215 buggies as of end of April and beginning of May 2025 and noted that other Russian CAAs have varying equipment allocations depending on the number of assault companies and platoons within the CAA. Ukrainian and Russian sources previously suggested that the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) is working to formalize Russian motorcycle usage, and the appearance of a defined doctrinal organization and allocation for motorcycle units within the Russian military is consistent with this effort.[13]

Russian forces currently appear to be utilizing motorcycles in tandem with armored vehicles, although Russian units may begin conducting assaults exclusively with motorcycles in the future. Mashovets stated that Russian units currently prefer to use motorcycles in tandem with infantry and armored vehicles.[14] The Russian military appears to be undergoing a transition period and moving towards regularly conducting assaults exclusively on motorcycles, although Russian forces may also continue to conduct these combined assaults if Russian commanders assess that motorcycle assaults are less successful. The Russian military may also continue to rely on combined assaults if the Russian MoD cannot improve its abilities to supply Russian units with motorcycles; however, as Mashovets noted that Russian servicemembers are continuing to rely on volunteer organizations to supply some units with motorcycles.[15] ISW previously noted that Russian motorcycle usage is a response to Ukrainian drone innovations and an attempt to offset the significant armored vehicle losses that Russian forces sustained in 2024 and possibly conserve some tanks and armored vehicles for future use.[16] ISW continues to assess that Russian forces will likely increasingly depend on motorcycles and other quicker, unarmored vehicles, as slower-moving vehicles have become a hazard on the more transparent battlefield of Ukraine.[17] The Russian military will likely retain its lessons learned in Ukraine beyond the war in Ukraine.

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-may-13-2025


15,759 posted on 05/13/2025 10:04:25 PM PDT by AdmSmith (GCTGATATGTCTATGATTACTCAT)
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To: gleeaikin; PIF; GBA; blitz128; FtrPilot; BeauBo; USA-FRANCE; marcusmaximus; ETCM; SpeedyInTexas; ...
Gazprom CEO Sounds Alarm on Looming Russian Energy Crisis

Gazprom Neft CEO Alexander Dyukov has confirmed what energy analysts have long suspected: Russia is running out of cheap oil. The country is being forced to tap into so-called “hard-to-recover” reserves—deep, complex, and geologically intractable deposits that require expensive extraction methods, advanced technology, and massive government support.

According to Dyukov, even maintaining current production levels now requires tapping into these complex reserves. At Gazprom Neft alone, more than 60% of oil production already comes from these high-cost sources. By 2030, more than half of new oil production across Russia is expected to come from similar sites.

According to another source, the situation is even worse. The share of hard-to-recover oil in Russian reserves is expected to reach 80% by 2030. This was announced by First Deputy Minister of Energy Pavel Sorokin at Russian Energy Week.

As was already said today, two-thirds of our reserves can already be classified as hard-to-recover, and by 2030 we will be talking about 80% or more that can be classified as hard-to-recover reserves, Sorokin said.

This means that old high-yield, low-cost fields are depleted, Dyukov continued, and what remains underground is not cheap. The golden era of cheap extraction is over. What follows is a sharp increase in production costs, a decrease in profitability, and a growing dependence on the Russian state to keep the system afloat.

If oil prices remain at current levels, Moscow could lose half of its production by 2030. These figures may sound sensational, but this is the new reality. The fields the Kremlin is now actively exploiting were discovered in the 1980s—and they are already 90–95% depleted. New reserves will never be as profitable, which could lead the Kremlin toward complete bankruptcy.

https://kyivinsider.com/gazprom-ceo-sounds-alarm-russian-energy-crisis/

15,760 posted on 05/13/2025 10:13:38 PM PDT by AdmSmith (GCTGATATGTCTATGATTACTCAT)
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