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To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..


Globalism / Great Reset –
Upcoming meetings of importance
- WEF Davos Jan 15-19
- WHO February 19 to 21, Trans guideline committee.
- WHO pandemic ‘treaty’ May 2024

*****
Business is booming for prostitutes at Davos, reportedly they are ‘all sold out’ and only the ultra rich can manage to book them.

***

The president of the Heritage Foundation, Kevin Roberts, confronted hosts at the World Economic Forum Thursday in Davos, Switzerland, challenging claims that the WEF is protecting democracy and calling so-called elites “part of the problem.”

The moderator, British international affairs expert Sir Robin Niblett, at one point asked Roberts about former President Trump’s promise of “retribution” if he regains office, and that the World Economic Forum’s purported defenses of liberal democracy could be “swept under the rug” by the mogul.
“It’s laughable that you or anyone would describe Davos as ‘protecting liberal democracy’,” Roberts said.
“It’s equally laughable to use the word ‘dictatorship’ at Davos and aim that at President Trump. In fact, I think that’s absurd.”

https://www.foxbusiness.com/media/heritage-foundation-head-defends-trump-scolds-elites-world-economic-forum-part-problem

OBSERVATION - This following Milei’s taking a sledgehammer to the leftists at Davos is interesting. I suspect it is a fig leaf attempt to fulfill the theme of the group “Restoring confidence”. Observers are noting that attendees are ‘shocked’ to get feed back that the general public opposes their gracious and generous policies.

With the smoke lifting from the wuhan plandemic, all the sneaky behind the scenes maneuvering from CBDC, to digital ID to climate change war on agriculture and business, people seem to have woke up and are not happy about the loss of their quality of life brought (or will be coming) as a result of these policies. They increasingly see these elites telling them to ‘let them eat cake’ and ignoring the restrictions they want to place on them.

Yet, you can see that the WEF elite are going to press forward with their agenda anyway - by force if necessary and that this soul searching is but for show only.

***
The world is entering a “new economic regime” that will see company performance driven by how boards manage mega-trends including the transition to a low-carbon economy and AI, asset manager BlackRock said Thursday.

Four structural shifts would shape the new economic regime, it added: digital disruption and artificial intelligence (AI); geopolitical fragmentation and economic competition; the low-carbon transition; and demographic divergence.

https://www.newsmax.com/finance/streettalk/blackrock-shareholder-activision-climate/2024/01/18/id/1150033/

OBSERVATION - As noted here often, BlackRock is a massive co-conspiratory with the WEF, pushing the multiple agendas such as DEI, climate change, etc onto the corporate world thru leveraging their massive portfolio and money. Here, for 2024 they lay out how they are going to ‘convince’ business to cowtow to the globalist agenda.


CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT

****
Showdown in TX continues. See Illegal immigration for latest.

***
The Media Research Center (MRC) has uncovered a Biden Administration plot — yes, plot — to silence conservatives before the 2024 election with a “media literacy” program that targets conservatives, Christians, gun owners, and the GOP in the name of fighting terrorism. The program uses federal taxpayer funds to pay people to write, blog, and podcast messages that are anti-American, anti-Christian, anti-Republican, and anti-anyone who ever thought Donald Trump wore nice ties.

Phase one of the three-phase program pays people to write blogs and do podcasts that are anti-conservative. This phase is well under way

Phase two of the program uses seminars produced by the University of Rhode Island’s Media Education Lab that “train educators across the country on how to divert students away from conservative ideas and media sources skeptical of the administration’s agenda.”

And phase three of the plan grants $1,000 to the Biden Youth to demand action!

https://pjmedia.com/victoria-taft/2024/01/18/bidens-monstrous-anti-terror-plan-to-censor-conservatives-n4925595

OBSERVATION - PJM is a relatively OK source at times bombastic, but in this instance their claims are documented within the article. This is not an outrageous assessment given that the FBI has infiltrated Catholic Churches, surveilled and tracked parents objecting to the Trans and CRT objectives in school board meetings and now Treasury Department having credit card/banks flag even purchases of Bibles. We already know schools have become indoctrination centers, this only adds another brick to that pile.


Economy-

Upcoming dates of importance
- The Fed next meets on Jan. 30-31.

*****
U.S. mortgage rates fell this week to the lowest since May 2023, Freddie Mac reported Thursday, providing a possible boost to buyer traffic in the housing market.

The average fixed-rate 30-year mortgage fell to 6.60% as of Thursday from 6.66% the week prior, Freddie Mac said in its weekly report on home loan borrowing costs.

OBSERVATION - IMHO, a 0.06% drop is nothing to crow about. New homes are still seen as out of reach for most americans, and that continues to drag the economy down. Lowered home prices and lowered rates (should you have a credit rating suitable to get it) reflect a market trying to move product against massive financial forces that are deterring it.


Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics –

The House Energy and Commerce Committee’s investigation into the origins of COVID-19, led by Chair Cathy McMorris Rodgers (R-WA), Subcommittee on Health Chair Brett Guthrie (R-KY), and Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations Chair Morgan Griffith (R-VA), uncovered that a SARS-CoV-2 sequence was submitted to GenBank, the National Institutes of Health’s (NIH) genetic sequence database operated by the National Center for Biotechnology Information (NCBI), on December 28, 2019—two weeks before the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (China CDC) first released the virus’s sequence.

The sequence was submitted by Dr. Lili Ren, an accomplished virologist at the Institute of Pathogen Biology of Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences in Beijing, China, which has ties to the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and People’s Liberation Army. She is also a current subgrantee of non-profit EcoHealth Alliance on the same National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Disease (NIAID) grant as the Wuhan Institute of Virology (WIV), which has been debarred from receiving NIH grants for ten years for failing to provide laboratory records requested by NIH and for conducting research that “did lead or could lead to health issues or other unacceptable outcomes.”
Dr. Ren’s submission was missing some of the technical (not scientific) information required for publication on GenBank. She was notified by NIH staff on December 31, 2019, that her submission would be deleted without the additional information. Dr. Ren’s sequence is not the first instance of Chinese researchers attempting to delete early SARS-CoV-2 sequences posted to GenBank, but it is the earliest known one.

The Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) has confirmed that Dr. Ren’s December 28, 2019, sequence was nearly identical to the sequence later made public by the China CDC on January 10, 2020, which at the time was the first known sequence. China has consistently stated that it published the genetic sequence of SARS-CoV-2 as soon as it was available.

https://energycommerce.house.gov/posts/e-and-c-investigation-uncovers-earliest-known-sars-co-v-2-sequence-released-outside-of-china

OBSERVATION - More and more confirmation of that which was considered three years ago to be conspiracy theory. It pushes the time line back by two additional weeks and further confirms a Chinese release from a lab (wuhan) of the disease.


POLITICAL FRONT –

Dates of importance
Feb 8 - The Supreme Court is scheduled to hear oral arguments on the Colorado case.
March - latest CR expires
March 5- Super Tuesday primaries

****
Congress sent President Joe Biden a short-term spending bill on Thursday that would avert a looming partial government shutdown and fund federal agencies into March.

The House approved the measure by a vote of 314-108, with opposition coming mostly from the more conservative members of the Republican conference. Shortly before the vote, the House Freedom Caucus announced it “strongly opposes” the measure because it would facilitate more spending than they support.

Nevertheless, about half of Republicans joined with Democrats in passing the third stopgap funding measure in recent months. The action came a few hours after the Senate had voted overwhelmingly to pass the bill by a vote of 77-18.

OBSERVATION - Johnson may well face a vacate the seat motion given that the CR gives the democrats everything they want with no budget cuts or action to stop the tsunami on the border.


Cyber attacks/warfare – HEIGHTENED ALERT

JPMorgan Chase & Co., in response to a mounting wave of global cybercrime, reported an uptick in attempts by hackers to breach its systems.
JPMorgan Chase said it is combating approximately 45 billion daily hacking attempts, twice the number from the previous year. Mary Callahan Erdoes, the head of JPMorgan’s asset and wealth management division, revealed the concerning trend during a panel discussion at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Bloomberg reported.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-17/jpmorgan-says-hacker-attempts-have-increased-this-year

OBSERVATION - Interesting that this is being brought up at Davos. A massive cyber attacks is one of the hypothetical scenarios globalists have been bringing up lately that they could covertly used to push the world into ‘secure’ CBDC aligned financial systems.


Illegal Immigration –

Migrants without proper identification may apparently opt out of being photographed by TSA upon entry at Miami International Airport.

According to a sign posted on X by conservative podcaster Dave Rubin Thursday, the Transportation Security Administration (TSA) is allowing migrants to pass through entry points without having their picture taken.

OBSERVATION - Probably cross reference under Terrorism as well. TSA is allowing tens (hundreds?) of thousands of illegal aliens to transit our county in an untrackable manner. As much of a farce TSA has turned into over the years, this just goes beyond the pale.

***
Texas is doubling down on its occupation of the park at Eagle’s Pass by installing more fencing
The floating buoy barrier in the Rio Grande River at Eagle Pass, Texas remains in place, at least for now. Thanks to the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals, Governor Abbott was handed a victory Wednesday.
In December the court ruled against Abbott in an order that would have forced him to move the barrier from the river. But on Wednesday, the court granted Abbott’s request for a rehearing of the case with the entire Fifth Circuit instead of the three-judge panel that made the initial call.
The decision means Abbott will get to keep the buoy barrier in the water at least through May when the new hearing is scheduled to be held.


North/South Korea –

North Korea conducted a test of their underwater nuclear drone system, which is known as the “Haeil-5-23.”
The test was done in response to the joint maritime exercise between South Korea, the United States, and Japan


Russia -

WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022

CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Jan 1, 2024

With the end of the Ukraine summer offensive and the ongoing winter mud season, Russia is struggling to gain the initiative on several fronts in easter Ukraine. Russia maintains it attacks to take Adviivka, even in the face of huge losses. Russia continues to launch smaller attacks daily across the front lines.

Russian has been shepherding its stockpile of missiles/drones with the likelihood of attempting to take down the Ukraine power grid as they did winter 2023. This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage.

The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. In the latest, large missile / drone attack, the Black Sea fleet was noticeably out of action. In the last half of 2023, Ukraine was able to take out about 20% of the fleet.

While Russia has reportedly about 400K of soldiers in the theater, all evidence indicates that they are poorly trained and equipped. Russian forces are increasingly having to rely on 50’s and 60’s vintage tanks, APCs and other vehicles. Russian large assaults continue to be what are referred to as ‘meat’ attacks - throwing large numbers of lightly armed, foot troops at Ukraine defenses in hopes of overwhelming them. These tactics ‘worked’ at Bakhmut but there Russia still had a superiority in artillery support. Concerted efforts by Ukraine to locate and destroy Russian artillery, combined with wear and tear taking systems out and poor/no ammo has generally caused Russia to lose the edge in artillery firepower.

Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace.

Russia is believed to be trying to muster a force for a winter offensive, once the soils freeze up and permit cross country maneuver. Focus of such an offensive has not solidified but the most likely candidate for one front is the continued attempt to eliminate the salient at Adviivka.

*****

Russia is having power problems all over the place. Now large swaths of Crimea have lost power -blackouts in Simferopol, Sevastopol, Feodosiya, Dzhankoi, Saky in occupied Crimea

RUMINT-
Another A-50 AWAC is reportedly now in operation in the Sea of Azov region.


Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Warming trend bringing temps into the 40’s with rain/snow dropping back down to the 20-30s with snow towards the end of the forecast period.

24 HOUR ROUND UP – Weather continues to dominate action on the ground. However, temperatures are reaching levels around Ukraine that are starting to freeze the ground locally, meaning that ground operations may have their tempo increase over the coming days/weeks.
Russia launched renewed attacks all along the eastern front. Minimal territorial gains.

Ukrainian drones have struck St Petersburg for the first time since the war started, targeting an oil facility

Russian Territory –
Fire at the oil depot in Klintsy, Bryansk region

Outlook —

Weather and mud conditions are continuing to dictate ground operations, which are at a low level due to lack of maneuverability cross country and on dirt roads due to the mud. However, seeing reports that the ground is beginning to solidify in areas, to the level of being capable to support off road movement.

Recent Russian ground attacks are taking the form of an attempt to gain momentum for a winter offensive. Large numbers of attacks along the broad eastern front. They do not, other than chronologically, appear to be organized and coordinated into a larger effort. Just a lot of attacks.


Europe / NATO General –

The largest since the Cold War: NATO announces military training involving 90,000 troops - Reuters

The troops will assess their ability to fight an enemy like Russia. The training will start next week.

OBSERVATION - Exercise is raising some eyebrows as some in Europe are saying that conflict with Russia could happen very soon.


ISRAEL –

Key overnight developments -

- Hamas hostage Kfir Bibas turns one in captivity

——— GENERAL ——————————-

President of the United Nations General Assembly - “The continuation of the war in Gaza will affect generations of Palestinians and will nullify the peaceful solution”

***
The Israeli Broadcasting Authority - “The bodies of 21 Israeli detainees (hostages) were found in a cemetery in Khan Yunis in southern Gaza last night.”

***
IDF eliminates Wael Abu-Fanounah, deputy head of Islamic Jihad’s psychological warfare operations. Wael Abu-Fanounah was originally arrested in Israel on December 12, 1989, and was sentenced to three life sentences for his terrorist activities. He was released in 2011 as part of the Gilad Schalit prisoner deal.

****
The rift between Joe Biden and Benjamin Netanyahu deepened on Thursday as the Israeli Prime Minister accused the US of trying to ‘coerce’ Israel.
In an interview on national TV, Netanyahu rejected US calls to scale back Israel´s military offensive in the Gaza Strip and take steps toward the establishment of a Palestinian state after the war.
Netanyahu accused the US of trying to ‘coerce’ Israel into a situation which would ‘endanger’ the country and said ‘we will not settle for anything short of an absolute victory’.
White House national security spokesman John Kirby immediately responded, saying: ‘We obviously see it differently.’

——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-

The IDF says it has completed demolishing Hamas’s main rocket and weapon manufacturing industrial zone in the central Gaza Strip, along with a vast tunnel network beneath it that houses some of the facilities.

——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-

Continued exchanges of fire between Hezbollah and IDF along the border.

——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-

Local authorities in Golan Heights say three rockets were fired from Syria, which landed in open areas near Yonatan. The Golan Regional Council says the Israeli army is response with shelling as explosions heard in West Daraa countryside where those rockets were fired from.

———WEST BANK——————————-

Multiple engagements between West Bank groups and Israeli security forces. Security forces make many raids throughout the West Bank capturing Hamas and other terror leaders and cells.

———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————

CENTCOM - “As part of ongoing multi-national efforts to protect freedom of navigation and prevent attacks on maritime vessels in the Red Sea, on Jan. 18 U.S. Central Command forces conducted strikes on two Houthi anti-ship missiles that were aimed into the Southern Red Sea and were prepared to launch. U.S. forces identified the missiles in Houthi-controlled areas of Yemen at approximately 3:40 p.m. (Sanaa time) and determined they were an imminent threat to merchant vessels and U.S. Navy ships in the region. U.S. forces subsequently struck and destroyed the missiles in self-defense”

British Maritime Authority - A new attack on a ship off the port of Al-Shihr in Hadhramaut Governorate

UKMTO has received a report of 4 unidentified Uncrewed Aerial Systems (UAS) flying close to a merchant vessel 85NM South East of Ash Shibt, Yemen (Gulf of Oman) . 1 UAV hitting the water in close proximity to the vessel. Coalition forces responding

——— FORECAST ————————-

Israel to continue search and destroy operations across Gaza. Fighting to continue to be intense in central and S Gaza while N Gaza levels are dropping fast.

Action against the Houthi continues to build. CAPs by US jet fighters are spotting Houthi launchers, but Houthi are not backing down and still firing on shipping. The target zone appears to be expanding to the Sea of Oman.


Iran –

Iran confirmed the hijacking of a U.S. oil tanker off the coast of Oman which may now threaten further trade globally.

OBSERVATION - Under weak president carter, Iranian students held over 50 American hostages for longer than a year. Iran sees biden in the same light.


Iraq -

A MQ-9 “Reaper” Surveillance Drone was shot down overnight over the Diyala Governorate of Eastern Iraq by Iranian-Backed Militias. Since 2017 at least 4 MQ-9s have been Downed by the Houthis in Yemen, with 1 being downed over the Red Sea in November of 2023 during the ongoing war in Israel.



99 posted on 01/19/2024 8:11:35 AM PST by Godzilla (Never give up, never surrender . . . . . .)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 95 | View Replies ]


To: Godzilla

“... president of the Heritage Foundation, Kevin Roberts, confronted hosts at the World Economic Forum Thursday in Davos, Switzerland, challenging claims that the WEF is protecting democracy and calling so-called elites “part of the problem.”

The moderator, British international affairs expert Sir Robin Niblett, at one point asked Roberts about former President Trump’s promise of “retribution” if he regains office, and that the World Economic Forum’s purported defenses of liberal democracy could be “swept under the rug” by the mogul.
“It’s laughable that you or anyone would describe Davos as ‘protecting liberal democracy’,” Roberts said.
“It’s equally laughable to use the word ‘dictatorship’ at Davos and aim that at President Trump. In fact, I think that’s absurd.”

https://www.foxbusiness.com/media/heritage-foundation-head-defends-trump-scolds-elites-world-economic-forum-part-problem

OBSERVATION - Observers are noting that attendees are ‘shocked’ to get feed back that the general public opposes their gracious and generous policies)
________________________________________________________

LOL - this is rich stuff - - and on the mark. Our ‘elites’ are a little out of touch with reality. Thanks for finding this on Godzilla.


100 posted on 01/19/2024 8:24:38 AM PST by GOPJ (“POSIWID” systems engineer's acronym that stands for “the Purpose Of a System Is What It Does.”)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 99 | View Replies ]

To: Godzilla

This is a stunning development - it means if someone has to be traced - a terrorist or a Chinese spy - law enforcement won’t have a picture of the person they’re looking for...
Is this more fallout from the bribery?


illegal Immigration –

Migrants without proper identification may apparently opt out of being photographed by TSA upon entry at Miami International Airport.

According to a sign posted on X by conservative podcaster Dave Rubin Thursday, the Transportation Security Administration (TSA) is allowing migrants to pass through entry points without having their picture taken.

OBSERVATION - Probably cross reference under Terrorism as well. TSA is allowing tens (hundreds?) of thousands of illegal aliens to transit our county in an untrackable manner. As much of a farce TSA has turned into over the years, this just goes beyond the pale.


101 posted on 01/19/2024 10:19:54 AM PST by GOPJ (“POSIWID” systems engineer's acronym that stands for “the Purpose Of a System Is What It Does.”)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 99 | View Replies ]

To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..


Globalism / Great Reset –
Upcoming meetings of importance
- WEF Davos Jan 15-19
- WHO February 19 to 21, Trans guideline committee.
- WHO pandemic ‘treaty’ May 2024

*****

A group of House Republicans, led by Pennsylvania Rep. Scott Perry, introduced legislation Thursday to defund the World Economic Forum (WEF).
The Defund Davos Act, the legislation would specifically block the State Department, USAID, and any other federal agency from providing funding to the (WEF). The U.S. has spent millions on the WEF over the years, something Perry and other GOP lawmakers say needs to end.

OBSERVATION - Symbolic in that it likely won’t even pass the House, let along the Senate.

***

Disease “X” still taking center stage at Davos.
Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, Director-General at the World Health Organization (WHO), is adamant that another pandemic is coming, claiming its not “if” but “when.”

Tedros and a set of other guests discussed this during a segment called “Preparing for Disease X” – a placeholder term for any viral outbreak or plague that may become a threat on an international scale. The WEF asked, “With the World Health Organization continuing to research the potential of so-called ‘Disease X’, what novel efforts are needed to prepare healthcare systems for the multiple challenges ahead?”

[…] There are things that are unknown that may happen, and anything happening is a matter of when not if.
Disease X is a placeholder for unknown diseases. I just wanted to clarify that because there has already been a lot of attention. Although COVID came immediately, we were preparing for COVID-like diseases. You may even call COVID the first ‘Disease X.’ And it may happen again.”
Of course, there are some people who say this will create panic. No! It’s better to anticipate something that may happen because it has happened in our history many times and prepare for it.
We shouldn’t face things unprepared; we can prepare for some unknown things as well”

https://winepressnews.com/2024/01/19/who-head-tedros-says-new-global-pandemic-is-matter-of-when-not-if-at-world-economic-forum-urges-pandemic-treaty-is-necessary/

OBSERVATION - This constant banging of the drums over “X” is causing this to pass from conspiracy theory to they really are planning on something - big.

***

John Kerry, announced the need for a war-like effort to collapse the global farming industry, under the pretext of tackling the “human-induced climate change” hoax.

“You just can’t continue to both warm the planet, while also expecting to feed it. It doesn’t work... So we have to reduce emissions from the food system.”

OBSERVATION - This just emphasizes that the carbon they want to reduce is YOU.


CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT

Upcoming events of importance

- 18 January 2023, Atlanta, “Day of the Forest Defender,” protests against the Police training facility being constructed

****
Showdown in TX continues. The deadline set by DHS has passed with no fed actions.

Worst case scenario continues to be an armed response by the Feds that could trigger other red states to more aggressively reject Washington control.


Economy-

Upcoming dates of importance
- The Fed next meets on Jan. 30-31.

*****

The dollar, once the bedrock of global financial stability, has now found itself at the bottom of the heap. In a stunning turn of events, the U.S. dollar, often synonymous with economic might, has been relegated to the 10th spot in Forbes’ latest ranking of the world’s strongest currencies. This development comes amidst concerted efforts by the BRICS nations, particularly China and Russia, to diminish the greenback’s global dominance.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/dollar-hits-the-bottom-ranks-last-in-top-currency-list/ar-BB1gXEtW?rc=1&ocid=winp1taskbar&cvid=151573e8e8544e408d8b7928346c09ec&ei=7

OBSERVATION - The dollar used to be the bedrock of sound economics. Inflation plus efforts by adversarial nations have targeted it to strip the power from the US’ foreign policy as well has economy. BRICS is the latest in such an effort. Many economists still see the dollar has the baseline for the globe, but acknowledge that these other efforts are eroding its status. Loss of lead currency status will also mean increased potential for a devastation economic hit in the future as well.


Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –

Checking on reports that two other carrier CSGs - Washington and Roosevelt - have deployed into the eastern Atlantic.


Biden / Harris Watch –

Dates to watch -
March 7 - State of the union

****

Harris said at the NAACP South Carolina State Conference’s King Day at the Dome event on Monday. “The promise of America, I do believe, is in the faith of the people – our faith in the founding principles of our nation and our profound commitment to make those principles real.”
“Generation after generation, on the fields of Gettysburg, in the schools of Little Rock, on the grounds of this state house, on the streets of Ferguson, and on the floor of the Tennessee House of Representatives, we the people have always fought to make the promise of freedom real.”

OBSERVATION - Ferguson = Gettysburg ????? Does someone have to dress and feed her?

***

Biden - “I love people who say ‘the tree of liberty is watered with the blood of patriots!’ Well, guess what man? If you really want to worry about the government, you need an F16.”

OBSERVATION - he’s back on this ‘you need a…..’ meme again. Is he actually considering use of US military forces against Americans?


Russia -

WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022

CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Jan 1, 2024

With the end of the Ukraine summer offensive and the ongoing winter mud season, Russia is struggling to gain the initiative on several fronts in easter Ukraine. Russia maintains it attacks to take Adviivka, even in the face of huge losses. Russia continues to launch smaller attacks daily across the front lines.

Russian has been shepherding its stockpile of missiles/drones with the likelihood of attempting to take down the Ukraine power grid as they did winter 2023. This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage.

The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. In the latest, large missile / drone attack, the Black Sea fleet was noticeably out of action. In the last half of 2023, Ukraine was able to take out about 20% of the fleet.

While Russia has reportedly about 400K of soldiers in the theater, all evidence indicates that they are poorly trained and equipped. Russian forces are increasingly having to rely on 50’s and 60’s vintage tanks, APCs and other vehicles. Russian large assaults continue to be what are referred to as ‘meat’ attacks - throwing large numbers of lightly armed, foot troops at Ukraine defenses in hopes of overwhelming them. These tactics ‘worked’ at Bakhmut but there Russia still had a superiority in artillery support. Concerted efforts by Ukraine to locate and destroy Russian artillery, combined with wear and tear taking systems out and poor/no ammo has generally caused Russia to lose the edge in artillery firepower.

Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace.

Russia is believed to be trying to muster a force for a winter offensive, once the soils freeze up and permit cross country maneuver. Focus of such an offensive has not solidified but the most likely candidate for one front is the continued attempt to eliminate the salient at Adviivka.


Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Warming trend bringing temps into the 40’s with rain/snow dropping back down to the 20-30s with snow towards the end of the forecast period.

24 HOUR ROUND UP – Weather continues to dominate action on the ground. However, temperatures are reaching levels around Ukraine that are starting to freeze the ground locally, meaning that ground operations may have their tempo increase over the coming days/weeks.

Ukrainian air defense shot down 4 of 7 Shahed drones overnight, 3 more not reached their targets.

Outlook —

Weather and mud conditions are continuing to dictate ground operations, which are at a low level due to lack of maneuverability cross country and on dirt roads due to the mud. However, seeing reports that the ground is beginning to solidify in areas, to the level of being capable to support off road movement.

Russia continuing to push attacks all along the eastern front.


Europe / NATO General –

Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania have agreed on building a defensive fortification line on their border with the Russian Federation.


ISRAEL –

——— GENERAL ——————————-

European Union foreign policy chief Josep Borrell said on Friday that the only peaceful solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict included the creation of a Palestinian state, and he suggested this might need to “be imposed from the outside,” without Israel’s agreement.

Borrell, in a speech at the University of Valladolid in Spain, said that without international intervention, the “spiral of hate will continue generation after generation,” according to multiple Spanish media outlets.
“The actors are too opposed to be able to reach an agreement autonomously,” Borrell said. “If everyone is in favor of this solution, the international community will have to impose it.”

https://harbingersdaily.com/israel-at-war-week-15/

***

Netanyahu says two-thirds of Hamas’ fighting forces have been eliminated

——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-

IDF continues to tighten the noose around Khan Younis and remaining Hamas and allied forces.

——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-

Continued exchanges of fire between Hezbollah and IDF along the border.

——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-

IRGC statement says four IRGC advisors were killed alongside a number of Syrians in the suspected Israeli strikes overnight in Damascus. The statement does not mention any names.

“Sardar Haj Sadiq Omidzadeh, the deputy intelligence officer of IRGC Quds Force in Syria, along with his deputy Haj Gholam (Muharram) were reportedly killed in the attacks on Damascus.” Source: Pasdaran Cyber Corps/Telegram

———WEST BANK——————————-

Multiple engagements between West Bank groups and Israeli security forces. Security forces make many raids throughout the West Bank capturing Hamas and other terror leaders and cells.

———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————

The U.S. targeted & destroyed several Houthi anti-ship missiles today that were being staged to target commercial shipping lanes. A U.S. official tells Fox News these strikes were out of self-defense. F-18’s from the USS Eisenhower were used to target the Houthi missiles

Biden admitted Thursday that U.S. airstrikes in Yemen are not deterring the Houthi rebels’ attacks in the Red Sea. biden even hinted that ground operations maybe necessary.

Pentagon is asking biden to remove restraints to go more aggressively at Houthi infrastructure and leadership. so far the WH is saying no.

***

The Al-Asad Air Base in Western Iraq, has been attacked with upwards of 20 rockets launched by Iranian-backed forces. No word on casualties at this moment.

——— FORECAST ————————-

Israel to continue search and destroy operations across Gaza. Fighting to continue to be intense in central and S Gaza while N Gaza levels are dropping fast.

The Houthi issue continues to grow. US/allied forces hunting TELS in the Yemeni desert has been good, but you really have to hit their logistics and command to put a real hurt on them. Reports are that some of the critters in the Pentagon realize this, but the biden WH is reluctant to let them go weapons free to stomp the threat out. Continued displayed weakness by the US facilitates boldness by the Houthi to continue their campaign.

On a long term view - a ‘forced’ two state solution would not do anything for a regional peace deal. The radical islamic factions are too dug in and will never quit trying to eliminate Israel as a nation and people - and more moderate arab nations will not come forward to stop them.


Misc of Note –

European leaders from multiple nations have been out warning their citizens to prepare for an impending war. Even Sweden’s Civil Defense Minister and military Commander-in-Chief are warning that war with Russia is possible. Now NATO countries are coming together for the largest military exercise in decades focusing on a Russian invasion. This sudden shift in attention is startling and could be a forebearer of bad things to come in the next years.



104 posted on 01/20/2024 8:55:22 AM PST by Godzilla (Never give up, never surrender . . . . . .)
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