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To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..


Globalism / Great Reset –
Upcoming meetings of importance
- WEF Davos Jan 15-19
- WHO February 19 to 21, Trans guideline committee.
- WHO pandemic ‘treaty’ May 2024

*****

A group of House Republicans, led by Pennsylvania Rep. Scott Perry, introduced legislation Thursday to defund the World Economic Forum (WEF).
The Defund Davos Act, the legislation would specifically block the State Department, USAID, and any other federal agency from providing funding to the (WEF). The U.S. has spent millions on the WEF over the years, something Perry and other GOP lawmakers say needs to end.

OBSERVATION - Symbolic in that it likely won’t even pass the House, let along the Senate.

***

Disease “X” still taking center stage at Davos.
Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, Director-General at the World Health Organization (WHO), is adamant that another pandemic is coming, claiming its not “if” but “when.”

Tedros and a set of other guests discussed this during a segment called “Preparing for Disease X” – a placeholder term for any viral outbreak or plague that may become a threat on an international scale. The WEF asked, “With the World Health Organization continuing to research the potential of so-called ‘Disease X’, what novel efforts are needed to prepare healthcare systems for the multiple challenges ahead?”

[…] There are things that are unknown that may happen, and anything happening is a matter of when not if.
Disease X is a placeholder for unknown diseases. I just wanted to clarify that because there has already been a lot of attention. Although COVID came immediately, we were preparing for COVID-like diseases. You may even call COVID the first ‘Disease X.’ And it may happen again.”
Of course, there are some people who say this will create panic. No! It’s better to anticipate something that may happen because it has happened in our history many times and prepare for it.
We shouldn’t face things unprepared; we can prepare for some unknown things as well”

https://winepressnews.com/2024/01/19/who-head-tedros-says-new-global-pandemic-is-matter-of-when-not-if-at-world-economic-forum-urges-pandemic-treaty-is-necessary/

OBSERVATION - This constant banging of the drums over “X” is causing this to pass from conspiracy theory to they really are planning on something - big.

***

John Kerry, announced the need for a war-like effort to collapse the global farming industry, under the pretext of tackling the “human-induced climate change” hoax.

“You just can’t continue to both warm the planet, while also expecting to feed it. It doesn’t work... So we have to reduce emissions from the food system.”

OBSERVATION - This just emphasizes that the carbon they want to reduce is YOU.


CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT

Upcoming events of importance

- 18 January 2023, Atlanta, “Day of the Forest Defender,” protests against the Police training facility being constructed

****
Showdown in TX continues. The deadline set by DHS has passed with no fed actions.

Worst case scenario continues to be an armed response by the Feds that could trigger other red states to more aggressively reject Washington control.


Economy-

Upcoming dates of importance
- The Fed next meets on Jan. 30-31.

*****

The dollar, once the bedrock of global financial stability, has now found itself at the bottom of the heap. In a stunning turn of events, the U.S. dollar, often synonymous with economic might, has been relegated to the 10th spot in Forbes’ latest ranking of the world’s strongest currencies. This development comes amidst concerted efforts by the BRICS nations, particularly China and Russia, to diminish the greenback’s global dominance.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/dollar-hits-the-bottom-ranks-last-in-top-currency-list/ar-BB1gXEtW?rc=1&ocid=winp1taskbar&cvid=151573e8e8544e408d8b7928346c09ec&ei=7

OBSERVATION - The dollar used to be the bedrock of sound economics. Inflation plus efforts by adversarial nations have targeted it to strip the power from the US’ foreign policy as well has economy. BRICS is the latest in such an effort. Many economists still see the dollar has the baseline for the globe, but acknowledge that these other efforts are eroding its status. Loss of lead currency status will also mean increased potential for a devastation economic hit in the future as well.


Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –

Checking on reports that two other carrier CSGs - Washington and Roosevelt - have deployed into the eastern Atlantic.


Biden / Harris Watch –

Dates to watch -
March 7 - State of the union

****

Harris said at the NAACP South Carolina State Conference’s King Day at the Dome event on Monday. “The promise of America, I do believe, is in the faith of the people – our faith in the founding principles of our nation and our profound commitment to make those principles real.”
“Generation after generation, on the fields of Gettysburg, in the schools of Little Rock, on the grounds of this state house, on the streets of Ferguson, and on the floor of the Tennessee House of Representatives, we the people have always fought to make the promise of freedom real.”

OBSERVATION - Ferguson = Gettysburg ????? Does someone have to dress and feed her?

***

Biden - “I love people who say ‘the tree of liberty is watered with the blood of patriots!’ Well, guess what man? If you really want to worry about the government, you need an F16.”

OBSERVATION - he’s back on this ‘you need a…..’ meme again. Is he actually considering use of US military forces against Americans?


Russia -

WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022

CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Jan 1, 2024

With the end of the Ukraine summer offensive and the ongoing winter mud season, Russia is struggling to gain the initiative on several fronts in easter Ukraine. Russia maintains it attacks to take Adviivka, even in the face of huge losses. Russia continues to launch smaller attacks daily across the front lines.

Russian has been shepherding its stockpile of missiles/drones with the likelihood of attempting to take down the Ukraine power grid as they did winter 2023. This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage.

The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. In the latest, large missile / drone attack, the Black Sea fleet was noticeably out of action. In the last half of 2023, Ukraine was able to take out about 20% of the fleet.

While Russia has reportedly about 400K of soldiers in the theater, all evidence indicates that they are poorly trained and equipped. Russian forces are increasingly having to rely on 50’s and 60’s vintage tanks, APCs and other vehicles. Russian large assaults continue to be what are referred to as ‘meat’ attacks - throwing large numbers of lightly armed, foot troops at Ukraine defenses in hopes of overwhelming them. These tactics ‘worked’ at Bakhmut but there Russia still had a superiority in artillery support. Concerted efforts by Ukraine to locate and destroy Russian artillery, combined with wear and tear taking systems out and poor/no ammo has generally caused Russia to lose the edge in artillery firepower.

Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace.

Russia is believed to be trying to muster a force for a winter offensive, once the soils freeze up and permit cross country maneuver. Focus of such an offensive has not solidified but the most likely candidate for one front is the continued attempt to eliminate the salient at Adviivka.


Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Warming trend bringing temps into the 40’s with rain/snow dropping back down to the 20-30s with snow towards the end of the forecast period.

24 HOUR ROUND UP – Weather continues to dominate action on the ground. However, temperatures are reaching levels around Ukraine that are starting to freeze the ground locally, meaning that ground operations may have their tempo increase over the coming days/weeks.

Ukrainian air defense shot down 4 of 7 Shahed drones overnight, 3 more not reached their targets.

Outlook —

Weather and mud conditions are continuing to dictate ground operations, which are at a low level due to lack of maneuverability cross country and on dirt roads due to the mud. However, seeing reports that the ground is beginning to solidify in areas, to the level of being capable to support off road movement.

Russia continuing to push attacks all along the eastern front.


Europe / NATO General –

Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania have agreed on building a defensive fortification line on their border with the Russian Federation.


ISRAEL –

——— GENERAL ——————————-

European Union foreign policy chief Josep Borrell said on Friday that the only peaceful solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict included the creation of a Palestinian state, and he suggested this might need to “be imposed from the outside,” without Israel’s agreement.

Borrell, in a speech at the University of Valladolid in Spain, said that without international intervention, the “spiral of hate will continue generation after generation,” according to multiple Spanish media outlets.
“The actors are too opposed to be able to reach an agreement autonomously,” Borrell said. “If everyone is in favor of this solution, the international community will have to impose it.”

https://harbingersdaily.com/israel-at-war-week-15/

***

Netanyahu says two-thirds of Hamas’ fighting forces have been eliminated

——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-

IDF continues to tighten the noose around Khan Younis and remaining Hamas and allied forces.

——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-

Continued exchanges of fire between Hezbollah and IDF along the border.

——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-

IRGC statement says four IRGC advisors were killed alongside a number of Syrians in the suspected Israeli strikes overnight in Damascus. The statement does not mention any names.

“Sardar Haj Sadiq Omidzadeh, the deputy intelligence officer of IRGC Quds Force in Syria, along with his deputy Haj Gholam (Muharram) were reportedly killed in the attacks on Damascus.” Source: Pasdaran Cyber Corps/Telegram

———WEST BANK——————————-

Multiple engagements between West Bank groups and Israeli security forces. Security forces make many raids throughout the West Bank capturing Hamas and other terror leaders and cells.

———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————

The U.S. targeted & destroyed several Houthi anti-ship missiles today that were being staged to target commercial shipping lanes. A U.S. official tells Fox News these strikes were out of self-defense. F-18’s from the USS Eisenhower were used to target the Houthi missiles

Biden admitted Thursday that U.S. airstrikes in Yemen are not deterring the Houthi rebels’ attacks in the Red Sea. biden even hinted that ground operations maybe necessary.

Pentagon is asking biden to remove restraints to go more aggressively at Houthi infrastructure and leadership. so far the WH is saying no.

***

The Al-Asad Air Base in Western Iraq, has been attacked with upwards of 20 rockets launched by Iranian-backed forces. No word on casualties at this moment.

——— FORECAST ————————-

Israel to continue search and destroy operations across Gaza. Fighting to continue to be intense in central and S Gaza while N Gaza levels are dropping fast.

The Houthi issue continues to grow. US/allied forces hunting TELS in the Yemeni desert has been good, but you really have to hit their logistics and command to put a real hurt on them. Reports are that some of the critters in the Pentagon realize this, but the biden WH is reluctant to let them go weapons free to stomp the threat out. Continued displayed weakness by the US facilitates boldness by the Houthi to continue their campaign.

On a long term view - a ‘forced’ two state solution would not do anything for a regional peace deal. The radical islamic factions are too dug in and will never quit trying to eliminate Israel as a nation and people - and more moderate arab nations will not come forward to stop them.


Misc of Note –

European leaders from multiple nations have been out warning their citizens to prepare for an impending war. Even Sweden’s Civil Defense Minister and military Commander-in-Chief are warning that war with Russia is possible. Now NATO countries are coming together for the largest military exercise in decades focusing on a Russian invasion. This sudden shift in attention is startling and could be a forebearer of bad things to come in the next years.



104 posted on 01/20/2024 8:55:22 AM PST by Godzilla (Never give up, never surrender . . . . . .)
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To: Godzilla
Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, Director-General at the World Health Organization (WHO), is adamant that another pandemic is coming, claiming its not “if” but “when.”

Sounds like a threat to me.

105 posted on 01/20/2024 9:35:01 AM PST by metmom (He who testifies to these things says, “Surely I am coming soon.” Amen. Come, Lord Jesus…)
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To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..


Globalism / Great Reset –
Upcoming meetings of importance
- WHO February 19 to 21, Trans guideline committee.
- WHO pandemic ‘treaty’ May 2024

*****
WEF has ended, but the citations keep rolling out.

Queen Máxima of the Netherlands has called on globalist elites at the World Economic Forum’s (WEF) Davos summit to expand plans for global “digital IDs” to ensure they can track individuals’ “vaccination status” and other private information.

The Dutch queen made the demands during a panel discussion at the WEF’s annual event in Switzerland this week.
Queen Máxima has served as United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres’s Special Advocate for Inclusive Finance for Development (UNSGSA) since 2009.

Speaking to WEF elites in Davos on Thursday, Queen Máxima said governments should roll out “biometric digital IDs” for the public globally. She argues that the IDs can be used to track “who actually got a vaccination or not.”
Perhaps more alarmingly, she suggested that “digital IDs” should be a requirement for members of the general public to get “subsidies from the government.”

OBSERVATION - Continued fixation on tracking ‘vaccinations’. That doesn’t track well with the population since the ending of the plandemic. Demands on those who get ‘subsidies’ is concerning, but consistent, with big Gov initiatives. Are ‘subsidies’ considered to be Soc Secty pay? Wide open undefined term.

****
At WEF’s annual meeting in Davos, the Czech Foreign Minister called for a global solution against “false content,” and the United Nations Secretary-General proposed linking people’s digital identities (“IDs”) to their bank accounts and using digital IDs to censor unapproved speech.
In a nutshell, WEF’s annual meeting called for digital IDs, rapid development of new vaccines, more partnerships with corporate media outlets and widespread acceptance and proliferation of artificial intelligence in all areas of society.

OBSERVATION - Huge emphasis on censorship to push the narrative onto the populace. Renewed calls for full digital id combined with a social credit score and programmable funds. A huge view of the totalitarian dystopic world they think will be paradise.

***
Another prominent speaker pushing another awful idea was IMF head Kristalina Georgieva. Ms. Georgieva appeared to have a multi-pronged assignment at this year’s festival consisting of comforting attendees that the world appears to be “poised for a soft landing,” while at the same time warning that elections are somehow a bad thing economically.

“This is going to be a very tough year, because fiscal policy has to rebuild buffers and deal with the debt that was accumulated in many countries,” Georgieva said in an interview conducted prior to arriving at the conference. “About 80 countries are going to have elections, and we know what happens with pressure on spending during election cycles.”

Then, in her address to the conference, she railed against what climate zealots refer to as “fossil fuel subsidies,” the vast majority of which is simply a tabulation of the very same business tax treatments available to every other business sector — common accounting items like deductions for depreciation and cost of goods sold. Her claim that these “subsidies” amount to $1.3 trillion globally is ludicrous on its face, but that didn’t stop her from making it.
Then, in her next breath, she advocated for the global collective cancel them and replace them with the most economy-killing idea currently in vogue — a tax on carbon.

“Put it back to support climate action. We cannot accelerate decarbonization fast enough without pricing carbon, with a predictable increase of the carbon price. It has to be USD 85 by 2030,” she asserted.

Georgieva is utterly dismissive of any of the little people who complain about this, though. “I am sick and tired of listening to people saying, ‘My g*d it’s so expensive, where are we going to find the money” she said, adding, “Let’s get to bringing in the money from where it hurts and putting it to where it helps.”
Where it hurts most, of course, is for the poor and lower middle classes. If that seems callous to you, well, you are not alone. But at least she puts her real views out there for all to see, and there is much utility for the rest of us hoi polloi in knowing that.

https://thelibertydaily.com/imf-head-tells-little-people-pipe-down-get/

OBSERVATION - My ! These elites are completely out of touch with reality and those who they claim to champion.


CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT

Upcoming events of importance

- 18 January 2023, Atlanta, “Day of the Forest Defender,” protests against the Police training facility being constructed

****
Showdown in TX continues. TX has blown off DHS/DoJ threats of last week. Question still remains, with the feds resort to an armed assault to retake the park? That is the worst possible scenario and could trigger massive rift between red states and the regime that could trigger even more resistance to the govt and spur more Texas exit activity.

Some pundits and analysts have in the past have suggested that if Texas were to initiate separation from the union, a couple dozen other red states my possibly follow suit.

***
“Patriot Front” a gaggle of fed agents masquerading as a right wing group, marched in NYC yesterday.


Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics –

U.S. drug regulators influenced the decision not to send an alert on heart inflammation cases that were appearing after COVID-19 vaccination, according to emails obtained through the Freedom of Information Act (FOIA).

The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) was preparing to issue an alert about postvaccination myocarditis, or heart inflammation, through its Health Alert Network in May 2021. But that plan changed after meeting with the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA), according to the emails.

“However, after discussions internally and with FDA, we will likely [redacted],” she wrote. “Our team is on a call with FDA now. I will share the messaging shortly.”

Ms. Tumpey later emailed to say that the CDC had opted to issue a document called clinical considerations rather than an alert.

The CDC issued the online considerations on May 28, 2021. They stated that “increased cases of myocarditis and pericarditis have been reported in the United States after mRNA COVID-19 vaccination (Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna)” but that every person aged 12 years and up should still get vaccinated.

The FDA did not deny influencing the decision not to send the alert.
“The FDA continues to work collaboratively with the CDC to monitor for known safety risks related to vaccines and determine how best to ensure any relevant safety information is conveyed to the public, health care providers and clinicians,” a spokesperson told The Epoch Times in an email. “After thorough assessment and when the potential risk was clear, the FDA updated the fact sheets for the COVID-19 vaccines and communicated with the public in a manner that was determined to be appropriate for the assessed risk.”

The FDA, which authorized the Pfizer and Moderna shots, did not add warnings about myocarditis until June 25, 2021.

https://thelibertydaily.com/fda-influenced-cdcs-decision-remain-silent-after-learning/

OBSERVATION - More evidence that the FDA and CDC KNEW that the mRNA ‘vaccines’ were dangerous, but buried that knowledge anyway to push the jab. Now millions are facing myocarditis and pericarditis as well as have died from it.


POLITICAL FRONT –

Dates of importance
Feb 8 - The Supreme Court is scheduled to hear oral arguments on the Colorado case.
March - latest CR expires
March 5- Super Tuesday primaries

****

In a Federal Court in Atlanta, Georgia, computer science and engineering professor J. Alex Halderman was able to hack a Dominion voting tabulator in front of U.S. District Judge Amy Totenberg using only a pen to change the vote totals.

OBSERVATION - One of the major claims by those who deny the 2020 election was jacked is that these Dominion voting machines were ‘secure’. This testimony and demonstration put a big hole in that argument. Add to it the fact that these machines were also illegally connected to the internet via WiFi.

Georgia has been one of the major epicenters of the whole vote scandal, and recent revelations are demonstrating there was rampant fraud.


Illegal Immigration –

It costs an annual rate of $451 billion to pay for the illegal migrant population in the US [2023 estimate]. It costs $15 billion to build a wall along the entire US-Mexico border.

***
biden admits the border is not secure. He demanded more money to make it secure. See note above on border fence.

OBSERVATION - Of course, the $$$$ he demands is for social programs/money to keep incentivizing illegals to come here - and absolutely nothing to prevent them.


Russia -

WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022

CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Jan 1, 2024

With the end of the Ukraine summer offensive and the ongoing winter mud season, Russia is struggling to gain the initiative on several fronts in easter Ukraine. Russia maintains it attacks to take Adviivka, even in the face of huge losses. Russia continues to launch smaller attacks daily across the front lines.

Russian has been shepherding its stockpile of missiles/drones with the likelihood of attempting to take down the Ukraine power grid as they did winter 2023. This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage.

The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. In the latest, large missile / drone attack, the Black Sea fleet was noticeably out of action. In the last half of 2023, Ukraine was able to take out about 20% of the fleet.

While Russia has reportedly about 400K of soldiers in the theater, all evidence indicates that they are poorly trained and equipped. Russian forces are increasingly having to rely on 50’s and 60’s vintage tanks, APCs and other vehicles. Russian large assaults continue to be what are referred to as ‘meat’ attacks - throwing large numbers of lightly armed, foot troops at Ukraine defenses in hopes of overwhelming them. These tactics ‘worked’ at Bakhmut but there Russia still had a superiority in artillery support. Concerted efforts by Ukraine to locate and destroy Russian artillery, combined with wear and tear taking systems out and poor/no ammo has generally caused Russia to lose the edge in artillery firepower.

Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace.

Russia is believed to be trying to muster a force for a winter offensive, once the soils freeze up and permit cross country maneuver. Focus of such an offensive has not solidified but the most likely candidate for one front is the continued attempt to eliminate the salient at Adviivka.


Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Warming trend bringing temps into the 40’s with rain/snow dropping back down to the 20-30s with snow towards the end of the forecast period.

24 HOUR ROUND UP – Weather continues to dominate action on the ground. However, temperatures are reaching levels around Ukraine that are starting to freeze the ground locally, meaning that ground operations may have their tempo increase over the coming days/weeks.

Commander of Ukrainian land forces confirmed withdrawal from the Krokhmalne village in Kharkiv region

Non-stop Russian attacks in Avdiyivka

In 2023 the Ukrainians destroyed about 3,800 aerial targets. These included 887 cruise missiles, 15 Kh-47M2 Kinzhal ballistic missiles, 41 other ballistic missiles, 2,691 Iran supplied Shahed UAVs, 35 Lancet UAVs plus 131 Orlan and other UAVs

Currently Russia is losing about 300 soldiers, dead or wounded, a day. If this continues throughout 2024, Losses to Russian forces will reach 500,000 dead and badly wounded. In contrast, the Ukrainians have had 70,000 soldiers killed and about 110,000 wounded. The lower Ukrainian losses are the result of tactics that seek to minimize casualties while deaths are reduced by providing prompt and more effective medical care for the wounded. The Ukrainians also take advantage of the Russian tactics by preparing for these attacks so that Ukrainian losses are low and Russian losses are high.

Russian Territory –
Heavy explosions and large fires in the Leningrad Region, Russia, almost 900km from the Ukrainian border. According to the governor of the Leningrad region, the facilities of the Novatek natural gas company are compromised. Locals reported that they heard the sounds of drones before the explosion.

Outlook —

Weather and mud conditions are continuing to dictate ground operations, which are at a low level due to lack of maneuverability cross country and on dirt roads due to the mud. However, seeing reports that the ground is beginning to solidify in areas, to the level of being capable to support off road movement.

Been monitoring numerous massive fires at industrial and petroleum sites in Russia. Some clearly linked to Ukraine drone attacks, other from ‘other’ sources. In part, if most are linked to Ukraine, they are very successfully targeting Russian infrastructure and business to deter the Russia war effort.

Russia’s missile campaign against Ukraine’s power grid seems to be on pause. Also appears to be more timid in the Sea of Azov region with their A-50 brought in to replace the one shot down. It is flying on the other side of the sea from Ukraine to say well outside the Patriot envelope. This has severely degraded the A-50’s coverage of the region and opened up more avenues of attack for Ukraine drones into occupied southern Ukraine and Crimea. Neutralization of Russia’s air defenses - especially its early warning system - will become more critical once F-16s are fully online and available for use. Just how Ukraine will utilize them has yet to be seen, but with much of everything else, they have shown a creativeness that has kept Russia on its toes.


Pakistan –

Reports of heavy clashes having erupted on the border of Afghanistan and Pakistan between Taliban soldiers and Pakistani Army near the Bajaur-Kunar border.


ISRAEL –

Key overnight developments -

- The Israeli military released photos of a kilometre-long tunnel with holding cells where Hamas allegedly kept about 20 hostages.

——— GENERAL ——————————-

IDF spokesman Rear Admiral Daniel Hagari on Saturday evening reported the discovery of a tunnel in Khan Yunis in which some of the hostages were held.
“The soldiers located, based on precise intelligence, the entry to a tunnel located in the home of a Hamas terrorist,” Hagari said. “They entered the tunnel, found terrorists, and conducted a battle, at the end of which the terrorists were eliminated. The tunnel was laced with explosives and shock doors, which were intended to protect the terrorists and prevent the hostages from advancing.”

“When we came into this tunnel, there were no hostages in it, but they had been in it in the past. After about a kilometer of walking in the tunnel, at a depth of 20 meters underground, the soldiers found the central room - which according to testimonies from hostages who returned - we understood that this was there they spent most of their time.”

***
Israel’s cabinet approved a plan for frozen tax funds earmarked for the Hamas-run Gaza Strip to be held by Norway instead of transferred to the Palestinian Authority (PA), officials said on Sunday.

——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-

Fighting raged across the Gaza Strip on Sunday, with reports of gunfire, air strikes and tank shelling in Khan Younis, Gaza’s main southern city.

——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-

Continued exchanges of fire between Hezbollah and IDF along the border.
Iran’s Revolutionary Guards says fifth member died after being wounded in Israeli strike in Syria - Reuters citing Iranian state media
Iran’s President Ebrahim Raisi vowed to punish Israel soon.

——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-

The Russian Ministry of Defense announced the start of military air patrols along the disengagement line between Syria and the occupied-Golan Heights. Israel has carried out airstrikes on Syria from this zone.

OBSERVATION - Monitoring closely to see if Russia actually puts planes in this zone. If so, the threat of Israel/Russia open hostilities are on the verge of growing exponentially. This indicates a total breakdown of the ‘cooperation’ between the two to avoid Russia being drawn in to targeting of Hezbollah and Iranian targets.

———WEST BANK——————————-

Ongoing Israeli security operations to locate and arrest Hamas and affiliated terrorists.

———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————

The Al-Asad Air Base in Western Iraq, UPDATE
- Not rockets, but tactical ballistic missiles;
- U.S. injuries confirmed;
15+ U.S. Patriot missiles were launched to intercept, but some missiles still got through

***
According to an exclusive Yemeni source, Ansarullah is considering implementing a plan they call the ‘Al-Aqsa Triangle’, by closing all three of the Middle East’s major waterways: Bab Al-Mandab, Strait of Hormuz, and the Suez Canal.

This will stop the oil and gas feeding Israel from Qatar, the UAE and Saudi Arabia.

OBSERVATION - Result of the weak response by the US. It will now take a major effort to combat this expansion of Houthi efforts to shut down shipping.

———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-

Continued push for a 2 state ‘solution’ to the conflict by the US, UN and other govts and agencies.

——— FORECAST ————————-

Israel to continue search and destroy operations across Gaza. Fighting to continue to be intense in central and S Gaza while N Gaza levels are dropping fast.

The Houthi issue is quickly becoming more pressing than the actual combat in Gaza. Houthi see the relatively continued weak response by US and allies as a GO signal to continue their attacks. The threat to expand it to the Persian Gulf/Strait of Hormuz region are particularly dangerous and could cause oil prices to spike. biden’s Iranian appeasement efforts are only making matters worse.

Iranian backed attacks on US bases in Iraq and Syria have also grown significantly. Use of tactical ballistic missiles at the Al-Asad Air Base is a case in point. Things are coming close to coming completely unraveled and the US unable to effectively counter these attacks without a massive response.

The US is losing face in the region, and Iran expands its dominance in that vacuum.


Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan -

See Pakistan above on border fight.


Misc of Note –

A 1 meter diameter astroid was detected and predicted to hit the earth overnight. True to the prediction, it stuck the atmosphere near Berlin GE and exploded into fragments only hours later. Countless numbers of these and larger intercept the Earth’s path around the sun, and has geologic history has noted, the Earth has not been immune to massive impacts in the past.


107 posted on 01/21/2024 6:32:02 AM PST by Godzilla (Never give up, never surrender . . . . . .)
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To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..


Globalism / Great Reset –
Upcoming meetings of importance
- WHO February 19 to 21, Trans guideline committee.
- WHO pandemic ‘treaty’ May 2024

*****

WEF hits keep coming -

Klaus Schwab reportedly got up and walked out of room during Argentina President Milei’s speech at Davos attacking globalist power-hungry Elites according to Gateway pundit.

***
CEO Larry Fink speaking at the WEF forum.
“You have to FORCE behaviours, at Blackrock we are FORCING behaviours”
Blackrock essentially own every major corporation in the world & now determine capital investment through ESG (environmental social governance) this also applies to sovereign countries.

OBSERVATION - With its trillions of dollars of assets, BlackRock is THE force that the WEF looks to when forcing the private sector into compliance with their agenda. Fink is essentially saying that this private sector leverage is now working at a governmental level.

***
John Scott, Head of Sustainability, Zurich Insurance Group, recently indicated that people’s growing issues with paying for basic necessities is actually in some ways good as it helps with achieving harmony in meeting global decarbonization goals.

Scott explained this during a forum discussing the World Economic Forum’s recently published Global Risks Report 2024, on January 10th.

During a Q&A session discussing the findings in the report, Scott was asked about collaboration in tackling climate change and how its not keeping pace with the Paris Agreement, and was asked, “how do you see real collaboration that keeps up with the pace of the risks happening, given everything else that we are talking about with climate change?”
Scott had this to say:

[…] I think it’s just a reality that the world just doesn’t get organized by International cooperation anymore, you know it’s fragmented, it’s in flux.

[…] You know we talked about the cost of living crisis, you know some people’s, most people’s electricity bills are so high that they’re desperately trying to find some way of getting off the grid or removing themselves from the cost of purchasing electricity, so I think it’s these kind of things that you know it gives us some hope and optimism actually, that we can deal with some of these global risks when we see the global cooperation at an international level not really working so well.

https://winepressnews.com/2024/01/20/world-economic-forum-panelist-thinks-its-good-people-cant-afford-electricity-and-basic-living-standards-helping-with-decarbonization/

OBSERVATION - People living in poverty cannot afford essentials like electricity and being denied that (among other things), they reduce consumption and its resulting carbon foot print. Essentially, they want you dirt poor.


CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT

Showdown in TX continues. It has been reported that other states have sent personnel to support TX efforts along the border, and it is uncertain how many of these assets are in Eagle Pass. Any use of force by the Feds could send the tensions between red states and the regime into the red zone very fast.

***
Alex Soros is currently facing scrutiny due to his recent tweet sharing a post from the far-left The Atlantic that features a bullet hole and a sum of $47. This is seen as an obvious threat against President Trump

OBSERVATION - This is a continuation of the left’s fetish for an assassination of Trump and expanded - assassination of any conservative in a position of power. I don’t think I need to say the consequences of that action would be.


Terrorism - Level is HIGH due to increased lone wolf threats.

The illegal lab found in California with Malaria, Dengue Fever, Hepatitis, HIV and Ebola. Was run by a Chinese man named Jia Bei Zhu who came here illegally. He has said he wants to “defeat the American aggressor”.

Fox News says “A recent bipartisan congressional report determined Zhu received significant financial payments from China”

Yet no charges have been filed.

From a Fox News story:

“Despite the probability that the unlabeled or coded vials contained additional unknown and dangerous pathogens, CDC officials refused to take any further investigative steps,” the report stated. It also claimed CDC officials failed to take “meaningful action” when presented with evidence that Ebola, classified at the highest level of concern, may have been present.”

https://www.americanpartisan.org/2024/01/more-on-the-chinese-biolab-in-california/

OBSERVATION - Nearly a year, and very little has been progressed on this story. The refusal of the different fed agencies to pursue this is disconcerting - almost deliberate cover up of a mega bio threat to the US. On the extreme end are rumors that “Disease X” is already in the country via this lab.


Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –

Reports of the development of a sustained campaign against the Houthi’s - See Israel below.


POLITICAL FRONT –

Dates of importance
Feb 8 - The Supreme Court is scheduled to hear oral arguments on the Colorado case.
March - latest CR expires
March 5- Super Tuesday primaries

****

Threats to make the motion to vacate the Speakership seat continue to grow as Johnson continues to backtrack on numerous other promises besides those regarding the budget.

BTW, the CR comes due in March - right around Super Tuesday. Hmmm


Russia -

WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022

CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Jan 1, 2024

With the end of the Ukraine summer offensive and the ongoing winter mud season, Russia is struggling to gain the initiative on several fronts in easter Ukraine. Russia maintains it attacks to take Avdiivka, even in the face of huge losses. Russia continues to launch smaller attacks daily across the front lines.

Russian has been shepherding its stockpile of missiles/drones with the likelihood of attempting to take down the Ukraine power grid as they did winter 2023. This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage.

The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. In the latest, large missile / drone attack, the Black Sea fleet was noticeably out of action. In the last half of 2023, Ukraine was able to take out about 20% of the fleet.

While Russia has reportedly about 400K of soldiers in the theater, all evidence indicates that they are poorly trained and equipped. Russian forces are increasingly having to rely on 50’s and 60’s vintage tanks, APCs and other vehicles. Russian large assaults continue to be what are referred to as ‘meat’ attacks - throwing large numbers of lightly armed, foot troops at Ukraine defenses in hopes of overwhelming them. These tactics ‘worked’ at Bakhmut but there Russia still had a superiority in artillery support. Concerted efforts by Ukraine to locate and destroy Russian artillery, combined with wear and tear taking systems out and poor/no ammo has generally caused Russia to lose the edge in artillery firepower.

Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace.

Russia is believed to be trying to muster a force for a winter offensive, once the soils freeze up and permit cross country maneuver. Focus of such an offensive has not solidified but the most likely candidate for one front is the continued attempt to eliminate the salient at Adviivka.

*****

What I initially thought was a Babylon Bee headline, now appears to be a legitimate one -
Putin has signed a decree making the sale of Alaska to the US illegal. territory is to be declared occupied

OBSERVATION - Still a lot of what the heck, but it seems to be trolling on a new level.


Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Warming trend bringing temps into the 40’s with rain/snow dropping back down to the 20-30s with snow towards the end of the forecast period.

24 HOUR ROUND UP – Weather continues to dominate action on the ground. However, temperatures are reaching levels around Ukraine that are starting to freeze the ground locally, meaning that ground operations may have their tempo increase over the coming days/weeks.

Ukrainian air defense shot down 8 of 8 Shahed drones overnight.
Overall, activity along the fronts was reduced, except for the area around Avdiivak where Russia has continued to press its attacks.

Yesterday I noted an estimate that Russia was losing about 300 soldiers, dead or wounded, a day. It was noted that that number is one of the lower ones out there. Yes, there are higher ones and really higher ones, depending upon the propaganda factors included. High end results are often more than twice these numbers.

It is nearly impossible to get an accurate count given the inaccessibility to the dead bodies. For instance, thousands of Russian corpses lay across the no man’s land between Russian and Ukraine positions around Avdiivka. Both sides inflate opposition costs and minimize their own.

But lets face it - even at these lower numbers, the Russian war is a disaster for the Russians. The only way they are currently able to sustain it is through massive conscription efforts as well as draining penal colonies with promises of forgiveness.

Should have included the source being strategypage.com

F/U on the drone strike against the oil and gas terminals of Ust-Luga, all tanker loading operations have been suspended. Several fuel tankers are waiting near the Luga Bay.
Ust-Luga is Russia’s largest maritime terminal for crude oil exports.
The Novatek plant in Ust-Luga processes stable gas condensate, the final products being oil, kerosene, diesel fraction and fuel oil.

This was in its initial stages yesterday. Today we see a massive amount of destruction - one that will hit Russian exports in a major way. Additionally, Russian news is slamming the putin regime for allowing Ukraine drones to transit the country unopposed to hit the facility.
Today, Russia announced relocation of air defense assets to meet these new target sets.

Meanwhile, overnight, Ukrainian drone strike on Shcheglovsky Val military factory that produces Pantsir-S missile air defense systems in Tula.

Outlook —

Weather and mud conditions are continuing to dictate ground operations, which are at a low level due to lack of maneuverability cross country and on dirt roads due to the mud. However, seeing reports that the ground is beginning to solidify in areas, to the level of being capable to support off road movement.

Ukraine use of drones to effectively target Russian facilities continues to bear fruit. Russia has a big problem - too many juicy targets spread out over a large area. There are bound to be gaps in defenses that computer assisted, gps guided drones could exploit. Russia says they are going to redeploy assets to protect these facilities. Their problem is they only have so many systems available for use and any network will still be a patchwork. This being made worse by Ukraine’s priority of targeting air defense systems within the theater of operations. Daily reports I’ve seen show roughly as many air defense systems being killed daily as tanks. Russia doesnt have boneyards of ADA systems to pull from as they do tanks.

The St Petersburg attack on the Ust-Luga facility - once thought to be out of range for Ukrainian systems - means Russia has to reassess its defenses that are already getting stretched too thin.


Belarus -

“According to the new Military Doctrine, Belarus will consider an attack on its allies as an attack on its territory” — General Staff of the Armed Forces of the Republic of Belarus

OBSERVATION - Its been a while since Belarus hit the radar screen, but this is a concerning one. While Belarus has been drilling and intensively training its forces over the course of the past couple years, many European analysts do not see it as an offensive threat. Political instability still is against the Belarus leadership and the inclinations of the forces are to reject getting involved in the Ukraine war. Regardless, the statement is a clear threat from the military - and not necessarily the civilian govt.

However, last year, fragment of the Wagner Group remained in Belarus with the mission to provide additional training and may have been focusing on altering the mindset of the officer corps of the army. Should Belarus join the fray, Ukraine at this stage would be in a world of hurt. Most of its assets are deployed along the southern and eastern fronts and trying to build up readiness for a winter offensive. Consideration of a Belarus threat has not been built into those plans. That could be changing.


ISRAEL –

——— GENERAL ——————————-

Defense Minister Yoav Gallant on Sunday told representatives of Israeli hostage families that there are growing signs that they are hotter on the heels of Hamas’s top leadership and the hostages in Khan Yunis than they have been until now.
“Operations in Khan Yunis are at a high point, and there are early signs that are arriving at the most sensitive locations for Hamas are getting us closer to the two goals of the war,” said Gallant.

——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
The IDF has initiated the ground operation’s third stage, expected to be longer than its predecessors. This shift is towards more security oriented actions rather than the offensive search and destroy operations that have been going on.

While Israel states that N Gaza is under their control, Hamas and affiliated are still present and fighting with IDF forces.

Fiercest fighting continues to be in and around Khan Yunis.

——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-

Continued exchanges of fire between Hezbollah and IDF along the border.
IAF striking targets deep within S Lebanon as well as along the border. Killed a Hezbollah leader overnight.

——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-

Kremlin announced the establishment of two additional military positions along the Syrian border. In this case, as well, Kulit issued the statement, claiming this was allegedly done to “monitor” the cease-fire, “due to the increased frequency of provocations in the region.”

This action, combined with the announcement of air patrols along the Syrian border are being conducted to limit Israel’s ability to attack Hezbollah and Iranian facilities in Syria.

———WEST BANK——————————-

Anti-terror operations continue, with Israeli security forces arresting more than 15 Palestinians in various parts of the West Bank

———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————

Houthi elements are seeking more weapons and in particular, more modern weapons to use against US and allied forces as they attempt to expand their attacks on shipping in the region.

The Washington Post reports that the U.S. is now crafting plans for a sustained military campaign targeting the Houthis in Yemen. U.S. officials believe the operation won’t bog down the military for years like in Afghanistan, but that a sustained bombing campaign will be needed

———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-

Jordanian Foreign Minister: The only way to achieve security for all is the two-state solution

The Saudi Foreign Minister told CNN: It is necessary to establish a Palestinian state

Addressing the Annual Meeting of the World Economic Forum in Davos, Qatar’s Prime Minister, Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani, said on Tuesday that the American and British attacks on the Houthis can only worsen the security situation in the Red Sea and that the real solution to the security issues there is ceasing the Israel-Hamas war in Gaza.
According to Al Thani, the Western military intervention will neither bring an end to nor contain the Houthi attacks but will only escalate them, and the sole solution is to defuse the conflict in Gaza.
NOTE - Qatar is an open supporter of Hamas, being home to the three major leaders of the terror group - with all three being billionaires.

——— FORECAST ————————-

Israel to continue search and destroy operations across Gaza. Fighting to continue to be intense in central and S Gaza while N Gaza levels are dropping fast.

The Houthi issue continues to grow with reports that the US is developing plans for a ‘sustained’ operation against them. The definition of ‘sustained’ is pretty loose and could be simply continuation of the hit and miss efforts to catch Houthi targets as they prepare to launch or it could mean a more substantial operation - major bombing campaign against the whole Houthi military infrastructure. The latter being the only one that would generated deterrence against further vessel attacks.

Houthi attacks, if expanded towards the Straits of Hormuz would meet one of Irans means of leveraging regional politics without being ‘directly’ involved in the action.

Any US actions against the Houthi (or Iran for that matter) has to be directed to be a knockout punch - all they need is one lucky shot and hit a US naval vessel.



110 posted on 01/22/2024 5:25:51 AM PST by Godzilla (Never give up, never surrender . . . . . .)
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