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To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..


Globalism / Great Reset –
Upcoming meetings of importance
- WEF Davos Jan 15-19
- WHO February 19 to 21, Trans guideline committee.
- WHO pandemic ‘treaty’ May 2024

*****

We are seeing from Davos the rise of a new order of global dictators. They haven’t yet reached the level of an Adolf Hitler, Josef Stalin, or even a Vladimir Putin or Xi Jinping, but their actions during the wuhan plandemic brought them out of the wood work and into the sun shine. They not only want to bring America into their own view of what the world should look like, but the whole world. And that view is them at the top, with the rest of us here to serve them.

***
At the WEF meeting they now say that countries have to sign up to the WHO pandemic treaty to be prepared for “Disease X”. This is looking to be another PLANdemic of epic proportions.

***
President of Argentina Javier Milei demolished socialism in front of a bunch of socialists at the World Economic Forum. Speaking to the assembled throng he hammered them -

“I’m here to tell you that the western world is in danger and it is endangered because those who are supposed to have to defend the values of the West are co-opted by a vision of the world that inextricably leads to socialism and thereby to poverty.”

“Unfortunately, in recent decades, motivated by some well-meaning individuals willing to help others and others motivated by the wish to belong to a privileged caste.”

“The main leaders of the Western world have abandoned the model of freedom for different versions of what we call collectivism. We are here to tell you that collectivist experiments are never the solution to the problems that afflict the citizens of the world. Rather, they are the root cause.”

OBSERVATION - Some expressed wonder why the conservative newly elected PM of Argentina would go to the pit of snakes that is the Davos confab. He went to plant a truth bomb. The only thing that was missing was his chainsaw.

***
U.S. Special Presidential Envoy for Climate John Kerry lashed out at a reporter who asked him about his “carbon footprint” at the World Economic Forum’s Davos conference on Tuesday.
“What’s the carbon footprint of these events every single year that you come here? Think it’s worth it? Peasants pay for your crimes?” Avi Yemini asked Kerry.
“That’s a stupid question,” Kerry responded.

A female member of Kerry’s entourage then appeared to shove Yemini, aggressively telling him the interview was over.
“Don’t grab me. You can’t grab us. This is a free society, mate,” Yemini retorted. “We have freedom of the press. Why do you think you’re more important? Your carbon footprint doesn’t matter.”
“I never suggested that,” Kerry snarled. “Nobody ever suggested that. Don’t make up stupid questions.”

OBSERVATION - Lurch can’t handle having the mirror put to his face.

***
Lurch just can’t keep his mouth shut. In a session, he basically states that govts can not stop the WEF climate change juggernaut.
“If you wound up with a different President who was opposed to climate crisis, I got news for you. No one politician anywhere in the world can undo what is happening now...The only issue for all of us is not whether or not we can get or will get to a low carbon, no carbon economy globally. We will. The only question is, will we get there in time to meet the challenge of the scientists in order to avoid the worst consequences of this crisis. That is what is at stake.”

***
WEF acolyte and Harvard professor Naomi Oreskes at Davos issued similar fatwas against anyone standing in the way of the forced de-industrialization of society for the sake of, allegedly, the Earth.
Via TIME :

“It will be crucial to build on the framework established in the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act to accelerate the transition to renewable energy. This will include opposing infrastructure that will lock in fossil-fuel energy for decades to come and carbon capture and storage projects that are adjuncts to fossil-fuel production. It will also be crucial not to allow new forms of denial to take hold. We are already seeing examples, such as the false claim that off-shore wind kills whales and that restrictions on gas stoves are the latest excuse by liberals to control our lives and deny our freedom. Scientists will have to work with climate activists to block the spread of such misleading narratives”.

OBSERVATION - Once again, control of free speech and criticism of the ‘narrative’ are key points of order from the globalists. They will spare nothing to jam their agenda down our throats.

***
Trump announced at a campaign rally that he will prohibit the Fed Reserve from establishing a CBDC during his term.

***
Lurch’s daughter took up the climate change theme -

“We have to phase out fossil fuels, because this is a crisis of burning fossil fuels.”

Speaking on a panel at the WEF’s annual Davos summit, John Kerry’s daughter, Vanessa Kerry, attempts to paint the “climate crisis” as a “health crisis”, going on to express concern that the UN Agenda 2030 sustainable development goals are “losing progress”.

“2023 was an apocalyptic year in terms of extreme weather events... That is about to get worse.”

OBSERVATION - More fear mongering, however, it lays the foundation for globalists to push the agenda (see censorship above) and foment potential global orders to force compliance. Note that climate change is defined as a “health” issue, permitting the WHO to potentially go after it once the pandemic treaty has been modified.


CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT

Upcoming events of importance

- 18 January 2023, Atlanta, “Day of the Forest Defender,” protests against the Police training facility being constructed

****
Showdown in TX continues. Texas AG Ken Paxton responds to threats from DHS—

“According to your letter, ‘the U.S. Constitution tasks the federal government with… securing the Nation’s borders.’ When were you planning to start?”

“Your letter misstates both the facts and the law in demanding that Texas surrender to President Biden’s open-border policies. Because the facts and law side with Texas, the State will continue utilizing its constitutional authority to defend her territory, and I will continue defending those lawful efforts in court…”

OBSERVATION - How far is the biden/DHS going to go to push this fight? I think the globalist cause - replacement of the US population - will drive the issue and biden regimen will go to the mat on this one. The outstanding question is will they resort to force of arms to gain control of the park? Such an act could well trigger state wide push back on federal officials. TX is already favorable to dissolving its link to the country (TEXIT) and such a conflict may trigger TX patriots and militias to form and mass on border crossing in support of the state - triggering more potential armed confrontations with DHS/FBI/ BP.
Given the govt track record so far, resorting to an armed conflict with TX NG and TX Rangers is definitely within the envelope of probability at this stage of the game.

RELATED - Texas DPS is now rounding up and arresting illegal aliens who are caught invading in Eagle Pass. This comes just one week after TX seized Shelby Park in Eagle Pass from federal authorities.

***
Fed govt surveillance state continues to consume more and more data once thought to be private and only accessible via court orders. Now the Select Subcommittee on the Weaponization of the Federal Government has revealed that the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN), a bureau of the United States Department of Treasury, urged financial institutions in the wake of January 6, 2021 to look through customers’ transactions, using search terms like “Trump” and “MAGA”

The letter from the Select Subcommittee on the Weaponization of Government and the Committee on the Judiciary have obtained documents indicating that following January 6, 2021, the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN) “distributed materials to financial institutions that, among other things, outline the ‘typologies’ of various persons of interest and provide financial institutions with suggested search terms and Merchant Category Codes (MCCs) for identifying transactions on behalf of federal law enforcement.”

https://thepostmillennial.com/breaking-biden-admin-flagged-financial-transactions-containing-terms-maga-trump?utm_campaign=64487

OBSERVATION - As you work your way thru the article, it becomes apparent that the Stasi would have loved to have the capabilities the govt has today to intrude on our privacy. A lot of people say things like ‘get off the internet’ or use burner cell phones, etc to avoid surveillance. Folks, they have a bazillion ways from Friday to surveil us. Sorry to say that those who go off line in these ways could likely trigger a flag that suggests to the feds you are trying to avoid monitoring - thus increasing their attention using the many multiple other ways.


Terrorism - Level is HIGH due to increased lone wolf threats.

The FBI has arrested a 56-year-old Cottage Grove woman accused of making threats online to harm Jews and Black people in posts displaying a Nazi flag and multiple guns.

Elizabeth Ballesteros West, who was found with a cache of guns and has been diagnosed with bipolar disorder, was arrested Friday and is being held in the Lane County Jail, according to federal agents and court records. She [sic] has not yet made her [sic] first appearance in federal court in Eugene.

OBSERVATION - The number of “transitioned” individuals either committing or planning to commit mass murder has skyrocketed over the past few years. Add one mental instability onto another and Trans are turning deadly.


POLITICAL FRONT –

Dates of importance
January 19 - funding for federal transportation programs, housing and food plans and other resources will expire.
February 2 - funding for Departments of Health and Human Services, Commerce, Labor, State and Defense will expire
Feb 8 - The Supreme Court is scheduled to hear oral arguments on the Colorado case.

March 5- Super Tuesday primaries

****
House Speaker Mike Johnson said he will push for tighter border security during his meeting with President Joe Biden on Wednesday, signaling that legislation to send more aid to Ukraine is not possible without a deal.

“Before we even talk about Ukraine, I’m going to tell the president what I was telling all of you and what we told the American people: border, border, border,” Johnson said Wednesday. “We have to take care of our own house. We have to secure our own border before we talk about doing anything else.”

Republicans in Congress have blocked emergency funding that Biden has requested for Ukraine and threatened to force a partial shutdown of the government in an effort to tighten security along the U.S.-Mexico border; they blame Biden’s policies for leading to an influx of immigrants into the United States.

OBSERVATION - Republicans have the leverage with the immigration crisis on a public opinion angle. However, even if an “agreement” takes place favorable to border security first - guess what - biden will move the goalposts and likely blow off the agreement or redirect the funds to settlement rather than closing the border.

RELATED -
Chuck Schumer just stated that the Democrats won’t fund border security until they get billions more for the war effort in Ukraine.


Illegal Immigration –

Rumors that Sen McConnell in backroom meetings is concerned that Trump will be elected and is seeking ways to pass a massive amnesty bill before the inauguration.

***

See CW2 for TX response to DHS threats.


China –

According to Newsweek, China’s stock market “appears to be in free fall now”…

The FTSE China 50 index—a real-time tradable index comprising 50 of the country’s largest and most liquid stocks—has plunged by 1.77 percent between Monday and Tuesday as part of a long-term large decline over the past six months. Compared to one year ago, the index is down by 29.24 percent.

China’s market regulators have tried to stabilize the market by imposing restrictions that stop some investors from being net sellers of equities on certain days. This strategy—with authorities offering what’s known as “window guidance” in an attempt to help the country’s stock market bounce back—was first introduced in October.

https://www.newsweek.com/china-stock-market-free-fall-1860933

OBSERVATION - This growing level of financial losses will be a serious drag on Xi’s goals of beefing up the military and any associated action against Taiwan - primarily the invasion option. People have gotten a taste of capitalism and like it, and now losing market gains is biting them. Xi is increasingly swinging toward Maoist principles to bring the people back under communism in all aspects, but it looks like a very hard landing is coming.


North/South Korea –

Robert Carlin and Siegfried Hecker, intelligence experts with over 50 years of studying and observing NK suggest that in 2023, Kim turned a corner and is now actively preparing to go to war against SK, US and even Japan. In part, they see Kim infatuated with Russia and its war in Ukraine, plus the abysmal state of US foreign policy as an opportunity to move forward by war.

https://www.38north.org/2024/01/is-kim-jong-un-preparing-for-war/

OBSERVATION - Clearly, the NK threat has evolved seriously since the years of the Soviet Union and the cold war. My intel briefings on NK were full of apocalypic scenarios of massive artillery strikes on Seoul, special ops flying in by antique biplanes and a massive ground force supported with the newest (at that time) armor.
The implosion of the Soviet Union and global changes put NK on the outside. No longer receiving lots of support to maintain its status as a Soviet pawn threatening US interests in Asia, its military fell into disrepair as well as its economy. Kim has managed to scrape together other allies, like Iran, to help fund modernization of its military -the biggest star being the development of thermonuclear weapons (H bomb) as well as development of a wide variety of missiles, short ranged to ICBM, to potentially carry warheads. This effort still hasn’t addressed modernization of its ground or airfares, who’s equipment is increasingly unreliable or vastly obsolete. War on the peninsula would be ugly, made more ugly by the potential use of nukes against the south, Guam and even Japan.


Russia -

WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022

CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Jan 1, 2024

With the end of the Ukraine summer offensive and the ongoing winter mud season, Russia is struggling to gain the initiative on several fronts in easter Ukraine. Russia maintains it attacks to take Adviivka, even in the face of huge losses. Russia continues to launch smaller attacks daily across the front lines.

Russian has been shepherding its stockpile of missiles/drones with the likelihood of attempting to take down the Ukraine power grid as they did winter 2023. This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage.

The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. In the latest, large missile / drone attack, the Black Sea fleet was noticeably out of action. In the last half of 2023, Ukraine was able to take out about 20% of the fleet.

While Russia has reportedly about 400K of soldiers in the theater, all evidence indicates that they are poorly trained and equipped. Russian forces are increasingly having to rely on 50’s and 60’s vintage tanks, APCs and other vehicles. Russian large assaults continue to be what are referred to as ‘meat’ attacks - throwing large numbers of lightly armed, foot troops at Ukraine defenses in hopes of overwhelming them. These tactics ‘worked’ at Bakhmut but there Russia still had a superiority in artillery support. Concerted efforts by Ukraine to locate and destroy Russian artillery, combined with wear and tear taking systems out and poor/no ammo has generally caused Russia to lose the edge in artillery firepower.

Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace.

Russia is believed to be trying to muster a force for a winter offensive, once the soils freeze up and permit cross country maneuver. Focus of such an offensive has not solidified but the most likely candidate for one front is the continued attempt to eliminate the salient at Adviivka.

*****

GPS signal disruptions were reported over Poland, with significant disruptions in Piła and Konin, and moderate in Poznań. Similar incidents occured in Finland and Estonia. According to John Wiseman from gpsjam, it could be a deliberate Russian jamming attempt or a military exercise. Russia has jamming systems within range in the Königsberg region.


Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Warming trend bringing temps into the 40’s with rain/snow dropping back down to the 20-30s with snow towards the end of the forecast period.

24 HOUR ROUND UP – Weather continues to dominate action on the ground. However, temperatures are reaching levels around Ukraine that are starting to freeze the ground locally, meaning that ground operations may have their tempo increase over the coming days/weeks.

Ukrainian air defense shot down 22 of 33 Shahed drones
Russian Ministry of Defense reports shooting down drones over Moscow and Leningrad regions

Outlook —

Weather and mud conditions are continuing to dictate ground operations, which are at a low level due to lack of maneuverability cross country and on dirt roads due to the mud. However, seeing reports that the ground is beginning to solidify in areas, to the level of being capable to support off road movement.

There has been a great video that has gone viral of a M2 Bradly using its 25mm Bushmaster gun to tear apart a Russian T-90. Though its armor generally protected it, the volume of fire and unprotected others items, like sights for the gun and driver - were toast. Eventually the Bradly got an engine hit and the tank taken out.


ISRAEL –

Key overnight developments -

- US redesignated Houthi as a “Specially Designated Global Terrorist”

——— GENERAL ——————————-

Israeli media reports this morning that the Hezbollah militants had officially notified the US mediators that they reject the ceasefire with Israel plan that was proposed by the US.

The Israeli army announces that its losses in the Gaza battles have risen to 192 soldiers

***
The Biden administration is trying to lay the groundwork for the establishment of a Palestinian state with Israeli leaders and representatives of civil society, expecting a future post-Netanyahu government: “He will not remain there forever.”

“We have today a profound regional opportunity in the Middle East that we did not have in the past,” said Blinken during an interview at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. “The challenge is to realize it.” When asked if Netanyahu is the right prime minister to seize this opportunity, Blinken responded that “these are decisions that Israelis need to make” and added, “We are at a turning point.”

In an attempt to bypass Netanyahu, Blinken also separately met with members of the diplomatic security cabinet and other Israeli leaders, including opposition leader Yair Lapid, during his visit to the Middle East.

OBSERVATION - biden’s regime is the most anti-Israeli group since 0bama. Deliberately going behind Netanyahu’s back during a time of war to push for the “Two State” solution and to leverage him out of power is pretty low. The “Two State” solution has been offered something like 5 or 7 times since Israel became a nation once again - every time rejected by the arabs. You cannot co-exist with people who actively seek your total annihilation. Pressures are coming globally to try to force that ‘solution’ on Israel.

——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-

Israel continues to conduct search and clearing operations in central and S Gaza. N Gaza is essentially been subdued. Fighting is the fiercest in S Gaza and IDF continues to work its way into the major Hamas strongholds in Khan Yunis.

Israeli military has repositioned, after several weeks of withdrawal on the outskirts, deeper inside Gaza city. A while ago, Israeli vehicles entered Rimal neighborhood

Intense fighting and IAF bombardment of Khan Yunis overnight as IDF continues to contact the hamas controlled areas of the city.

——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-

Continued exchanges of fire between Hezbollah and IDF along the border.
5 missiles were launched from Lebanon towards the Al-Manara settlement in the Upper Galilee

Israeli Chief of Staff - The possibility of war with Lebanon has become greater than before, and the army is increasing its preparedness

———WEST BANK——————————-

Multiple engagements between West Bank groups and Israeli security forces. Security forces make many raids throughout the West Bank capturing Hamas and other terror leaders and cells.

Israeli forces arrest 50 Palestinians in the West Bank overnight.

———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————

Yemeni Foreign Minister to Al Arabiya Net - Washington returning the Houthis to the terrorist list is a serious step to hold them accountable.

The US designates the Yemen’s Houthis as a “Specially Designated Global Terrorist” group amid Red Sea attacks. Stops short of “Foreign Terrorist Organization” (FTO) label, as some in Congress has advocated but which aid groups said would hinder their work

Houthi spokesman Muhammad Abdul Salam: The American classification has no value and will not deter us from our positions with Palestine

CENTCOM confirms strikes that targeted 14 Iran-backed Houthi missiles on launch rails in Houthi-controlled areas in Yemen. “These missiles presented an imminent threat to merchant vessels and U.S. Navy ships in the region and could have been fired at any time”

A large fire was reported in the Dhamar Governorate of Western Yemen following the U.S. strikes.

———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-

Iranian Foreign Ministry: Returning the Houthis to the terrorist list is an unconstructive measure by Washington and raises tensions

——— FORECAST ————————-

Israel to continue search and destroy operations across Gaza. Fighting to continue to be intense in central and S Gaza while N Gaza levels are dropping fast.

Action against the Houthi continues to build, with the US conducting preemptive strikes on drone/missile launching sites - particularly those identified as preparing to fire. I suspect drones monitoring these areas closely as there are only so many launching sites available. Same goes for munition storage.

War drums continue as the mental battlespace is being prepared for the eventual showdown with Hezbollah.


Iran –

Sources in the Pakistani Armed Forces are reporting that the Air Force has conducted several airstrikes overnight on a Baloch Militant Group in Eastern Iran near the city of Saravan, roughly 20 miles into the Sistan and Baluchestan Provence from the border with Pakistan.

OBSERVATION - This seems to be the same militant group Iran hit on Pakistani terrain. Curious.


Central / South America General-

Ecuador - Narco-Terrorist Alert.

A prosecutor investigating an attack on a TV studio in Ecuador last week has been killed, officials say.
César Suárez was shot dead in the port city of Guayaquil, Guayas province on Wednesday, the attorney general said.
It is not clear whether Mr Suarez’s death is linked to his investigation into the TV station attack.
During the dramatic incident last week, masked men burst into public TV channel TC’s studio during a live broadcast and threatened them at gunpoint.
Pictures that were broadcast live on air showed journalist Jose Luis Calderon pleading with the gunmen, while station staff were forced to sit or lie on the studio floor.
One cameraman was shot in the leg, while another’s arm was broken during the attack, TC’s deputy director of news said.
Local media reports that Mr Suárez was shot while driving near his office. Unverified footage on social media also shows a vehicle with bullet holes in the window.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-68014040

OBSERVATION - The level of violence is down from last week, however, there are still plenty of nacro-terrorists out there to accomplish assassinations of opponents or other threats.



95 posted on 01/18/2024 8:38:14 AM PST by Godzilla (Never give up, never surrender . . . . . .)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 89 | View Replies ]


To: Godzilla

The masks are really coming off the WEF globalists and they don’t even care.

What unbridled arrogance. They think they are invincible and untouchable. News for them is that they are not going to live forever, and there is a great day of reckoning they cannot avoid or escape from.

But at this point, considering how old so many of them are, Satan is clearly protecting his own best and most useful tools.


96 posted on 01/18/2024 8:46:18 AM PST by metmom (He who testifies to these things says, “Surely I am coming soon.” Amen. Come, Lord Jesus…)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 95 | View Replies ]

To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..


Globalism / Great Reset –
Upcoming meetings of importance
- WEF Davos Jan 15-19
- WHO February 19 to 21, Trans guideline committee.
- WHO pandemic ‘treaty’ May 2024

*****
Business is booming for prostitutes at Davos, reportedly they are ‘all sold out’ and only the ultra rich can manage to book them.

***

The president of the Heritage Foundation, Kevin Roberts, confronted hosts at the World Economic Forum Thursday in Davos, Switzerland, challenging claims that the WEF is protecting democracy and calling so-called elites “part of the problem.”

The moderator, British international affairs expert Sir Robin Niblett, at one point asked Roberts about former President Trump’s promise of “retribution” if he regains office, and that the World Economic Forum’s purported defenses of liberal democracy could be “swept under the rug” by the mogul.
“It’s laughable that you or anyone would describe Davos as ‘protecting liberal democracy’,” Roberts said.
“It’s equally laughable to use the word ‘dictatorship’ at Davos and aim that at President Trump. In fact, I think that’s absurd.”

https://www.foxbusiness.com/media/heritage-foundation-head-defends-trump-scolds-elites-world-economic-forum-part-problem

OBSERVATION - This following Milei’s taking a sledgehammer to the leftists at Davos is interesting. I suspect it is a fig leaf attempt to fulfill the theme of the group “Restoring confidence”. Observers are noting that attendees are ‘shocked’ to get feed back that the general public opposes their gracious and generous policies.

With the smoke lifting from the wuhan plandemic, all the sneaky behind the scenes maneuvering from CBDC, to digital ID to climate change war on agriculture and business, people seem to have woke up and are not happy about the loss of their quality of life brought (or will be coming) as a result of these policies. They increasingly see these elites telling them to ‘let them eat cake’ and ignoring the restrictions they want to place on them.

Yet, you can see that the WEF elite are going to press forward with their agenda anyway - by force if necessary and that this soul searching is but for show only.

***
The world is entering a “new economic regime” that will see company performance driven by how boards manage mega-trends including the transition to a low-carbon economy and AI, asset manager BlackRock said Thursday.

Four structural shifts would shape the new economic regime, it added: digital disruption and artificial intelligence (AI); geopolitical fragmentation and economic competition; the low-carbon transition; and demographic divergence.

https://www.newsmax.com/finance/streettalk/blackrock-shareholder-activision-climate/2024/01/18/id/1150033/

OBSERVATION - As noted here often, BlackRock is a massive co-conspiratory with the WEF, pushing the multiple agendas such as DEI, climate change, etc onto the corporate world thru leveraging their massive portfolio and money. Here, for 2024 they lay out how they are going to ‘convince’ business to cowtow to the globalist agenda.


CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT

****
Showdown in TX continues. See Illegal immigration for latest.

***
The Media Research Center (MRC) has uncovered a Biden Administration plot — yes, plot — to silence conservatives before the 2024 election with a “media literacy” program that targets conservatives, Christians, gun owners, and the GOP in the name of fighting terrorism. The program uses federal taxpayer funds to pay people to write, blog, and podcast messages that are anti-American, anti-Christian, anti-Republican, and anti-anyone who ever thought Donald Trump wore nice ties.

Phase one of the three-phase program pays people to write blogs and do podcasts that are anti-conservative. This phase is well under way

Phase two of the program uses seminars produced by the University of Rhode Island’s Media Education Lab that “train educators across the country on how to divert students away from conservative ideas and media sources skeptical of the administration’s agenda.”

And phase three of the plan grants $1,000 to the Biden Youth to demand action!

https://pjmedia.com/victoria-taft/2024/01/18/bidens-monstrous-anti-terror-plan-to-censor-conservatives-n4925595

OBSERVATION - PJM is a relatively OK source at times bombastic, but in this instance their claims are documented within the article. This is not an outrageous assessment given that the FBI has infiltrated Catholic Churches, surveilled and tracked parents objecting to the Trans and CRT objectives in school board meetings and now Treasury Department having credit card/banks flag even purchases of Bibles. We already know schools have become indoctrination centers, this only adds another brick to that pile.


Economy-

Upcoming dates of importance
- The Fed next meets on Jan. 30-31.

*****
U.S. mortgage rates fell this week to the lowest since May 2023, Freddie Mac reported Thursday, providing a possible boost to buyer traffic in the housing market.

The average fixed-rate 30-year mortgage fell to 6.60% as of Thursday from 6.66% the week prior, Freddie Mac said in its weekly report on home loan borrowing costs.

OBSERVATION - IMHO, a 0.06% drop is nothing to crow about. New homes are still seen as out of reach for most americans, and that continues to drag the economy down. Lowered home prices and lowered rates (should you have a credit rating suitable to get it) reflect a market trying to move product against massive financial forces that are deterring it.


Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics –

The House Energy and Commerce Committee’s investigation into the origins of COVID-19, led by Chair Cathy McMorris Rodgers (R-WA), Subcommittee on Health Chair Brett Guthrie (R-KY), and Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations Chair Morgan Griffith (R-VA), uncovered that a SARS-CoV-2 sequence was submitted to GenBank, the National Institutes of Health’s (NIH) genetic sequence database operated by the National Center for Biotechnology Information (NCBI), on December 28, 2019—two weeks before the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (China CDC) first released the virus’s sequence.

The sequence was submitted by Dr. Lili Ren, an accomplished virologist at the Institute of Pathogen Biology of Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences in Beijing, China, which has ties to the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and People’s Liberation Army. She is also a current subgrantee of non-profit EcoHealth Alliance on the same National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Disease (NIAID) grant as the Wuhan Institute of Virology (WIV), which has been debarred from receiving NIH grants for ten years for failing to provide laboratory records requested by NIH and for conducting research that “did lead or could lead to health issues or other unacceptable outcomes.”
Dr. Ren’s submission was missing some of the technical (not scientific) information required for publication on GenBank. She was notified by NIH staff on December 31, 2019, that her submission would be deleted without the additional information. Dr. Ren’s sequence is not the first instance of Chinese researchers attempting to delete early SARS-CoV-2 sequences posted to GenBank, but it is the earliest known one.

The Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) has confirmed that Dr. Ren’s December 28, 2019, sequence was nearly identical to the sequence later made public by the China CDC on January 10, 2020, which at the time was the first known sequence. China has consistently stated that it published the genetic sequence of SARS-CoV-2 as soon as it was available.

https://energycommerce.house.gov/posts/e-and-c-investigation-uncovers-earliest-known-sars-co-v-2-sequence-released-outside-of-china

OBSERVATION - More and more confirmation of that which was considered three years ago to be conspiracy theory. It pushes the time line back by two additional weeks and further confirms a Chinese release from a lab (wuhan) of the disease.


POLITICAL FRONT –

Dates of importance
Feb 8 - The Supreme Court is scheduled to hear oral arguments on the Colorado case.
March - latest CR expires
March 5- Super Tuesday primaries

****
Congress sent President Joe Biden a short-term spending bill on Thursday that would avert a looming partial government shutdown and fund federal agencies into March.

The House approved the measure by a vote of 314-108, with opposition coming mostly from the more conservative members of the Republican conference. Shortly before the vote, the House Freedom Caucus announced it “strongly opposes” the measure because it would facilitate more spending than they support.

Nevertheless, about half of Republicans joined with Democrats in passing the third stopgap funding measure in recent months. The action came a few hours after the Senate had voted overwhelmingly to pass the bill by a vote of 77-18.

OBSERVATION - Johnson may well face a vacate the seat motion given that the CR gives the democrats everything they want with no budget cuts or action to stop the tsunami on the border.


Cyber attacks/warfare – HEIGHTENED ALERT

JPMorgan Chase & Co., in response to a mounting wave of global cybercrime, reported an uptick in attempts by hackers to breach its systems.
JPMorgan Chase said it is combating approximately 45 billion daily hacking attempts, twice the number from the previous year. Mary Callahan Erdoes, the head of JPMorgan’s asset and wealth management division, revealed the concerning trend during a panel discussion at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Bloomberg reported.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-17/jpmorgan-says-hacker-attempts-have-increased-this-year

OBSERVATION - Interesting that this is being brought up at Davos. A massive cyber attacks is one of the hypothetical scenarios globalists have been bringing up lately that they could covertly used to push the world into ‘secure’ CBDC aligned financial systems.


Illegal Immigration –

Migrants without proper identification may apparently opt out of being photographed by TSA upon entry at Miami International Airport.

According to a sign posted on X by conservative podcaster Dave Rubin Thursday, the Transportation Security Administration (TSA) is allowing migrants to pass through entry points without having their picture taken.

OBSERVATION - Probably cross reference under Terrorism as well. TSA is allowing tens (hundreds?) of thousands of illegal aliens to transit our county in an untrackable manner. As much of a farce TSA has turned into over the years, this just goes beyond the pale.

***
Texas is doubling down on its occupation of the park at Eagle’s Pass by installing more fencing
The floating buoy barrier in the Rio Grande River at Eagle Pass, Texas remains in place, at least for now. Thanks to the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals, Governor Abbott was handed a victory Wednesday.
In December the court ruled against Abbott in an order that would have forced him to move the barrier from the river. But on Wednesday, the court granted Abbott’s request for a rehearing of the case with the entire Fifth Circuit instead of the three-judge panel that made the initial call.
The decision means Abbott will get to keep the buoy barrier in the water at least through May when the new hearing is scheduled to be held.


North/South Korea –

North Korea conducted a test of their underwater nuclear drone system, which is known as the “Haeil-5-23.”
The test was done in response to the joint maritime exercise between South Korea, the United States, and Japan


Russia -

WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022

CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Jan 1, 2024

With the end of the Ukraine summer offensive and the ongoing winter mud season, Russia is struggling to gain the initiative on several fronts in easter Ukraine. Russia maintains it attacks to take Adviivka, even in the face of huge losses. Russia continues to launch smaller attacks daily across the front lines.

Russian has been shepherding its stockpile of missiles/drones with the likelihood of attempting to take down the Ukraine power grid as they did winter 2023. This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage.

The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. In the latest, large missile / drone attack, the Black Sea fleet was noticeably out of action. In the last half of 2023, Ukraine was able to take out about 20% of the fleet.

While Russia has reportedly about 400K of soldiers in the theater, all evidence indicates that they are poorly trained and equipped. Russian forces are increasingly having to rely on 50’s and 60’s vintage tanks, APCs and other vehicles. Russian large assaults continue to be what are referred to as ‘meat’ attacks - throwing large numbers of lightly armed, foot troops at Ukraine defenses in hopes of overwhelming them. These tactics ‘worked’ at Bakhmut but there Russia still had a superiority in artillery support. Concerted efforts by Ukraine to locate and destroy Russian artillery, combined with wear and tear taking systems out and poor/no ammo has generally caused Russia to lose the edge in artillery firepower.

Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace.

Russia is believed to be trying to muster a force for a winter offensive, once the soils freeze up and permit cross country maneuver. Focus of such an offensive has not solidified but the most likely candidate for one front is the continued attempt to eliminate the salient at Adviivka.

*****

Russia is having power problems all over the place. Now large swaths of Crimea have lost power -blackouts in Simferopol, Sevastopol, Feodosiya, Dzhankoi, Saky in occupied Crimea

RUMINT-
Another A-50 AWAC is reportedly now in operation in the Sea of Azov region.


Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Warming trend bringing temps into the 40’s with rain/snow dropping back down to the 20-30s with snow towards the end of the forecast period.

24 HOUR ROUND UP – Weather continues to dominate action on the ground. However, temperatures are reaching levels around Ukraine that are starting to freeze the ground locally, meaning that ground operations may have their tempo increase over the coming days/weeks.
Russia launched renewed attacks all along the eastern front. Minimal territorial gains.

Ukrainian drones have struck St Petersburg for the first time since the war started, targeting an oil facility

Russian Territory –
Fire at the oil depot in Klintsy, Bryansk region

Outlook —

Weather and mud conditions are continuing to dictate ground operations, which are at a low level due to lack of maneuverability cross country and on dirt roads due to the mud. However, seeing reports that the ground is beginning to solidify in areas, to the level of being capable to support off road movement.

Recent Russian ground attacks are taking the form of an attempt to gain momentum for a winter offensive. Large numbers of attacks along the broad eastern front. They do not, other than chronologically, appear to be organized and coordinated into a larger effort. Just a lot of attacks.


Europe / NATO General –

The largest since the Cold War: NATO announces military training involving 90,000 troops - Reuters

The troops will assess their ability to fight an enemy like Russia. The training will start next week.

OBSERVATION - Exercise is raising some eyebrows as some in Europe are saying that conflict with Russia could happen very soon.


ISRAEL –

Key overnight developments -

- Hamas hostage Kfir Bibas turns one in captivity

——— GENERAL ——————————-

President of the United Nations General Assembly - “The continuation of the war in Gaza will affect generations of Palestinians and will nullify the peaceful solution”

***
The Israeli Broadcasting Authority - “The bodies of 21 Israeli detainees (hostages) were found in a cemetery in Khan Yunis in southern Gaza last night.”

***
IDF eliminates Wael Abu-Fanounah, deputy head of Islamic Jihad’s psychological warfare operations. Wael Abu-Fanounah was originally arrested in Israel on December 12, 1989, and was sentenced to three life sentences for his terrorist activities. He was released in 2011 as part of the Gilad Schalit prisoner deal.

****
The rift between Joe Biden and Benjamin Netanyahu deepened on Thursday as the Israeli Prime Minister accused the US of trying to ‘coerce’ Israel.
In an interview on national TV, Netanyahu rejected US calls to scale back Israel´s military offensive in the Gaza Strip and take steps toward the establishment of a Palestinian state after the war.
Netanyahu accused the US of trying to ‘coerce’ Israel into a situation which would ‘endanger’ the country and said ‘we will not settle for anything short of an absolute victory’.
White House national security spokesman John Kirby immediately responded, saying: ‘We obviously see it differently.’

——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-

The IDF says it has completed demolishing Hamas’s main rocket and weapon manufacturing industrial zone in the central Gaza Strip, along with a vast tunnel network beneath it that houses some of the facilities.

——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-

Continued exchanges of fire between Hezbollah and IDF along the border.

——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-

Local authorities in Golan Heights say three rockets were fired from Syria, which landed in open areas near Yonatan. The Golan Regional Council says the Israeli army is response with shelling as explosions heard in West Daraa countryside where those rockets were fired from.

———WEST BANK——————————-

Multiple engagements between West Bank groups and Israeli security forces. Security forces make many raids throughout the West Bank capturing Hamas and other terror leaders and cells.

———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————

CENTCOM - “As part of ongoing multi-national efforts to protect freedom of navigation and prevent attacks on maritime vessels in the Red Sea, on Jan. 18 U.S. Central Command forces conducted strikes on two Houthi anti-ship missiles that were aimed into the Southern Red Sea and were prepared to launch. U.S. forces identified the missiles in Houthi-controlled areas of Yemen at approximately 3:40 p.m. (Sanaa time) and determined they were an imminent threat to merchant vessels and U.S. Navy ships in the region. U.S. forces subsequently struck and destroyed the missiles in self-defense”

British Maritime Authority - A new attack on a ship off the port of Al-Shihr in Hadhramaut Governorate

UKMTO has received a report of 4 unidentified Uncrewed Aerial Systems (UAS) flying close to a merchant vessel 85NM South East of Ash Shibt, Yemen (Gulf of Oman) . 1 UAV hitting the water in close proximity to the vessel. Coalition forces responding

——— FORECAST ————————-

Israel to continue search and destroy operations across Gaza. Fighting to continue to be intense in central and S Gaza while N Gaza levels are dropping fast.

Action against the Houthi continues to build. CAPs by US jet fighters are spotting Houthi launchers, but Houthi are not backing down and still firing on shipping. The target zone appears to be expanding to the Sea of Oman.


Iran –

Iran confirmed the hijacking of a U.S. oil tanker off the coast of Oman which may now threaten further trade globally.

OBSERVATION - Under weak president carter, Iranian students held over 50 American hostages for longer than a year. Iran sees biden in the same light.


Iraq -

A MQ-9 “Reaper” Surveillance Drone was shot down overnight over the Diyala Governorate of Eastern Iraq by Iranian-Backed Militias. Since 2017 at least 4 MQ-9s have been Downed by the Houthis in Yemen, with 1 being downed over the Red Sea in November of 2023 during the ongoing war in Israel.



98 posted on 01/19/2024 8:11:35 AM PST by Godzilla (Never give up, never surrender . . . . . .)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 95 | View Replies ]

To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..


Globalism / Great Reset –
Upcoming meetings of importance
- WEF Davos Jan 15-19
- WHO February 19 to 21, Trans guideline committee.
- WHO pandemic ‘treaty’ May 2024

*****
Business is booming for prostitutes at Davos, reportedly they are ‘all sold out’ and only the ultra rich can manage to book them.

***

The president of the Heritage Foundation, Kevin Roberts, confronted hosts at the World Economic Forum Thursday in Davos, Switzerland, challenging claims that the WEF is protecting democracy and calling so-called elites “part of the problem.”

The moderator, British international affairs expert Sir Robin Niblett, at one point asked Roberts about former President Trump’s promise of “retribution” if he regains office, and that the World Economic Forum’s purported defenses of liberal democracy could be “swept under the rug” by the mogul.
“It’s laughable that you or anyone would describe Davos as ‘protecting liberal democracy’,” Roberts said.
“It’s equally laughable to use the word ‘dictatorship’ at Davos and aim that at President Trump. In fact, I think that’s absurd.”

https://www.foxbusiness.com/media/heritage-foundation-head-defends-trump-scolds-elites-world-economic-forum-part-problem

OBSERVATION - This following Milei’s taking a sledgehammer to the leftists at Davos is interesting. I suspect it is a fig leaf attempt to fulfill the theme of the group “Restoring confidence”. Observers are noting that attendees are ‘shocked’ to get feed back that the general public opposes their gracious and generous policies.

With the smoke lifting from the wuhan plandemic, all the sneaky behind the scenes maneuvering from CBDC, to digital ID to climate change war on agriculture and business, people seem to have woke up and are not happy about the loss of their quality of life brought (or will be coming) as a result of these policies. They increasingly see these elites telling them to ‘let them eat cake’ and ignoring the restrictions they want to place on them.

Yet, you can see that the WEF elite are going to press forward with their agenda anyway - by force if necessary and that this soul searching is but for show only.

***
The world is entering a “new economic regime” that will see company performance driven by how boards manage mega-trends including the transition to a low-carbon economy and AI, asset manager BlackRock said Thursday.

Four structural shifts would shape the new economic regime, it added: digital disruption and artificial intelligence (AI); geopolitical fragmentation and economic competition; the low-carbon transition; and demographic divergence.

https://www.newsmax.com/finance/streettalk/blackrock-shareholder-activision-climate/2024/01/18/id/1150033/

OBSERVATION - As noted here often, BlackRock is a massive co-conspiratory with the WEF, pushing the multiple agendas such as DEI, climate change, etc onto the corporate world thru leveraging their massive portfolio and money. Here, for 2024 they lay out how they are going to ‘convince’ business to cowtow to the globalist agenda.


CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT

****
Showdown in TX continues. See Illegal immigration for latest.

***
The Media Research Center (MRC) has uncovered a Biden Administration plot — yes, plot — to silence conservatives before the 2024 election with a “media literacy” program that targets conservatives, Christians, gun owners, and the GOP in the name of fighting terrorism. The program uses federal taxpayer funds to pay people to write, blog, and podcast messages that are anti-American, anti-Christian, anti-Republican, and anti-anyone who ever thought Donald Trump wore nice ties.

Phase one of the three-phase program pays people to write blogs and do podcasts that are anti-conservative. This phase is well under way

Phase two of the program uses seminars produced by the University of Rhode Island’s Media Education Lab that “train educators across the country on how to divert students away from conservative ideas and media sources skeptical of the administration’s agenda.”

And phase three of the plan grants $1,000 to the Biden Youth to demand action!

https://pjmedia.com/victoria-taft/2024/01/18/bidens-monstrous-anti-terror-plan-to-censor-conservatives-n4925595

OBSERVATION - PJM is a relatively OK source at times bombastic, but in this instance their claims are documented within the article. This is not an outrageous assessment given that the FBI has infiltrated Catholic Churches, surveilled and tracked parents objecting to the Trans and CRT objectives in school board meetings and now Treasury Department having credit card/banks flag even purchases of Bibles. We already know schools have become indoctrination centers, this only adds another brick to that pile.


Economy-

Upcoming dates of importance
- The Fed next meets on Jan. 30-31.

*****
U.S. mortgage rates fell this week to the lowest since May 2023, Freddie Mac reported Thursday, providing a possible boost to buyer traffic in the housing market.

The average fixed-rate 30-year mortgage fell to 6.60% as of Thursday from 6.66% the week prior, Freddie Mac said in its weekly report on home loan borrowing costs.

OBSERVATION - IMHO, a 0.06% drop is nothing to crow about. New homes are still seen as out of reach for most americans, and that continues to drag the economy down. Lowered home prices and lowered rates (should you have a credit rating suitable to get it) reflect a market trying to move product against massive financial forces that are deterring it.


Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics –

The House Energy and Commerce Committee’s investigation into the origins of COVID-19, led by Chair Cathy McMorris Rodgers (R-WA), Subcommittee on Health Chair Brett Guthrie (R-KY), and Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations Chair Morgan Griffith (R-VA), uncovered that a SARS-CoV-2 sequence was submitted to GenBank, the National Institutes of Health’s (NIH) genetic sequence database operated by the National Center for Biotechnology Information (NCBI), on December 28, 2019—two weeks before the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (China CDC) first released the virus’s sequence.

The sequence was submitted by Dr. Lili Ren, an accomplished virologist at the Institute of Pathogen Biology of Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences in Beijing, China, which has ties to the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and People’s Liberation Army. She is also a current subgrantee of non-profit EcoHealth Alliance on the same National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Disease (NIAID) grant as the Wuhan Institute of Virology (WIV), which has been debarred from receiving NIH grants for ten years for failing to provide laboratory records requested by NIH and for conducting research that “did lead or could lead to health issues or other unacceptable outcomes.”
Dr. Ren’s submission was missing some of the technical (not scientific) information required for publication on GenBank. She was notified by NIH staff on December 31, 2019, that her submission would be deleted without the additional information. Dr. Ren’s sequence is not the first instance of Chinese researchers attempting to delete early SARS-CoV-2 sequences posted to GenBank, but it is the earliest known one.

The Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) has confirmed that Dr. Ren’s December 28, 2019, sequence was nearly identical to the sequence later made public by the China CDC on January 10, 2020, which at the time was the first known sequence. China has consistently stated that it published the genetic sequence of SARS-CoV-2 as soon as it was available.

https://energycommerce.house.gov/posts/e-and-c-investigation-uncovers-earliest-known-sars-co-v-2-sequence-released-outside-of-china

OBSERVATION - More and more confirmation of that which was considered three years ago to be conspiracy theory. It pushes the time line back by two additional weeks and further confirms a Chinese release from a lab (wuhan) of the disease.


POLITICAL FRONT –

Dates of importance
Feb 8 - The Supreme Court is scheduled to hear oral arguments on the Colorado case.
March - latest CR expires
March 5- Super Tuesday primaries

****
Congress sent President Joe Biden a short-term spending bill on Thursday that would avert a looming partial government shutdown and fund federal agencies into March.

The House approved the measure by a vote of 314-108, with opposition coming mostly from the more conservative members of the Republican conference. Shortly before the vote, the House Freedom Caucus announced it “strongly opposes” the measure because it would facilitate more spending than they support.

Nevertheless, about half of Republicans joined with Democrats in passing the third stopgap funding measure in recent months. The action came a few hours after the Senate had voted overwhelmingly to pass the bill by a vote of 77-18.

OBSERVATION - Johnson may well face a vacate the seat motion given that the CR gives the democrats everything they want with no budget cuts or action to stop the tsunami on the border.


Cyber attacks/warfare – HEIGHTENED ALERT

JPMorgan Chase & Co., in response to a mounting wave of global cybercrime, reported an uptick in attempts by hackers to breach its systems.
JPMorgan Chase said it is combating approximately 45 billion daily hacking attempts, twice the number from the previous year. Mary Callahan Erdoes, the head of JPMorgan’s asset and wealth management division, revealed the concerning trend during a panel discussion at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Bloomberg reported.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-17/jpmorgan-says-hacker-attempts-have-increased-this-year

OBSERVATION - Interesting that this is being brought up at Davos. A massive cyber attacks is one of the hypothetical scenarios globalists have been bringing up lately that they could covertly used to push the world into ‘secure’ CBDC aligned financial systems.


Illegal Immigration –

Migrants without proper identification may apparently opt out of being photographed by TSA upon entry at Miami International Airport.

According to a sign posted on X by conservative podcaster Dave Rubin Thursday, the Transportation Security Administration (TSA) is allowing migrants to pass through entry points without having their picture taken.

OBSERVATION - Probably cross reference under Terrorism as well. TSA is allowing tens (hundreds?) of thousands of illegal aliens to transit our county in an untrackable manner. As much of a farce TSA has turned into over the years, this just goes beyond the pale.

***
Texas is doubling down on its occupation of the park at Eagle’s Pass by installing more fencing
The floating buoy barrier in the Rio Grande River at Eagle Pass, Texas remains in place, at least for now. Thanks to the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals, Governor Abbott was handed a victory Wednesday.
In December the court ruled against Abbott in an order that would have forced him to move the barrier from the river. But on Wednesday, the court granted Abbott’s request for a rehearing of the case with the entire Fifth Circuit instead of the three-judge panel that made the initial call.
The decision means Abbott will get to keep the buoy barrier in the water at least through May when the new hearing is scheduled to be held.


North/South Korea –

North Korea conducted a test of their underwater nuclear drone system, which is known as the “Haeil-5-23.”
The test was done in response to the joint maritime exercise between South Korea, the United States, and Japan


Russia -

WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022

CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Jan 1, 2024

With the end of the Ukraine summer offensive and the ongoing winter mud season, Russia is struggling to gain the initiative on several fronts in easter Ukraine. Russia maintains it attacks to take Adviivka, even in the face of huge losses. Russia continues to launch smaller attacks daily across the front lines.

Russian has been shepherding its stockpile of missiles/drones with the likelihood of attempting to take down the Ukraine power grid as they did winter 2023. This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage.

The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. In the latest, large missile / drone attack, the Black Sea fleet was noticeably out of action. In the last half of 2023, Ukraine was able to take out about 20% of the fleet.

While Russia has reportedly about 400K of soldiers in the theater, all evidence indicates that they are poorly trained and equipped. Russian forces are increasingly having to rely on 50’s and 60’s vintage tanks, APCs and other vehicles. Russian large assaults continue to be what are referred to as ‘meat’ attacks - throwing large numbers of lightly armed, foot troops at Ukraine defenses in hopes of overwhelming them. These tactics ‘worked’ at Bakhmut but there Russia still had a superiority in artillery support. Concerted efforts by Ukraine to locate and destroy Russian artillery, combined with wear and tear taking systems out and poor/no ammo has generally caused Russia to lose the edge in artillery firepower.

Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace.

Russia is believed to be trying to muster a force for a winter offensive, once the soils freeze up and permit cross country maneuver. Focus of such an offensive has not solidified but the most likely candidate for one front is the continued attempt to eliminate the salient at Adviivka.

*****

Russia is having power problems all over the place. Now large swaths of Crimea have lost power -blackouts in Simferopol, Sevastopol, Feodosiya, Dzhankoi, Saky in occupied Crimea

RUMINT-
Another A-50 AWAC is reportedly now in operation in the Sea of Azov region.


Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Warming trend bringing temps into the 40’s with rain/snow dropping back down to the 20-30s with snow towards the end of the forecast period.

24 HOUR ROUND UP – Weather continues to dominate action on the ground. However, temperatures are reaching levels around Ukraine that are starting to freeze the ground locally, meaning that ground operations may have their tempo increase over the coming days/weeks.
Russia launched renewed attacks all along the eastern front. Minimal territorial gains.

Ukrainian drones have struck St Petersburg for the first time since the war started, targeting an oil facility

Russian Territory –
Fire at the oil depot in Klintsy, Bryansk region

Outlook —

Weather and mud conditions are continuing to dictate ground operations, which are at a low level due to lack of maneuverability cross country and on dirt roads due to the mud. However, seeing reports that the ground is beginning to solidify in areas, to the level of being capable to support off road movement.

Recent Russian ground attacks are taking the form of an attempt to gain momentum for a winter offensive. Large numbers of attacks along the broad eastern front. They do not, other than chronologically, appear to be organized and coordinated into a larger effort. Just a lot of attacks.


Europe / NATO General –

The largest since the Cold War: NATO announces military training involving 90,000 troops - Reuters

The troops will assess their ability to fight an enemy like Russia. The training will start next week.

OBSERVATION - Exercise is raising some eyebrows as some in Europe are saying that conflict with Russia could happen very soon.


ISRAEL –

Key overnight developments -

- Hamas hostage Kfir Bibas turns one in captivity

——— GENERAL ——————————-

President of the United Nations General Assembly - “The continuation of the war in Gaza will affect generations of Palestinians and will nullify the peaceful solution”

***
The Israeli Broadcasting Authority - “The bodies of 21 Israeli detainees (hostages) were found in a cemetery in Khan Yunis in southern Gaza last night.”

***
IDF eliminates Wael Abu-Fanounah, deputy head of Islamic Jihad’s psychological warfare operations. Wael Abu-Fanounah was originally arrested in Israel on December 12, 1989, and was sentenced to three life sentences for his terrorist activities. He was released in 2011 as part of the Gilad Schalit prisoner deal.

****
The rift between Joe Biden and Benjamin Netanyahu deepened on Thursday as the Israeli Prime Minister accused the US of trying to ‘coerce’ Israel.
In an interview on national TV, Netanyahu rejected US calls to scale back Israel´s military offensive in the Gaza Strip and take steps toward the establishment of a Palestinian state after the war.
Netanyahu accused the US of trying to ‘coerce’ Israel into a situation which would ‘endanger’ the country and said ‘we will not settle for anything short of an absolute victory’.
White House national security spokesman John Kirby immediately responded, saying: ‘We obviously see it differently.’

——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-

The IDF says it has completed demolishing Hamas’s main rocket and weapon manufacturing industrial zone in the central Gaza Strip, along with a vast tunnel network beneath it that houses some of the facilities.

——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-

Continued exchanges of fire between Hezbollah and IDF along the border.

——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-

Local authorities in Golan Heights say three rockets were fired from Syria, which landed in open areas near Yonatan. The Golan Regional Council says the Israeli army is response with shelling as explosions heard in West Daraa countryside where those rockets were fired from.

———WEST BANK——————————-

Multiple engagements between West Bank groups and Israeli security forces. Security forces make many raids throughout the West Bank capturing Hamas and other terror leaders and cells.

———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————

CENTCOM - “As part of ongoing multi-national efforts to protect freedom of navigation and prevent attacks on maritime vessels in the Red Sea, on Jan. 18 U.S. Central Command forces conducted strikes on two Houthi anti-ship missiles that were aimed into the Southern Red Sea and were prepared to launch. U.S. forces identified the missiles in Houthi-controlled areas of Yemen at approximately 3:40 p.m. (Sanaa time) and determined they were an imminent threat to merchant vessels and U.S. Navy ships in the region. U.S. forces subsequently struck and destroyed the missiles in self-defense”

British Maritime Authority - A new attack on a ship off the port of Al-Shihr in Hadhramaut Governorate

UKMTO has received a report of 4 unidentified Uncrewed Aerial Systems (UAS) flying close to a merchant vessel 85NM South East of Ash Shibt, Yemen (Gulf of Oman) . 1 UAV hitting the water in close proximity to the vessel. Coalition forces responding

——— FORECAST ————————-

Israel to continue search and destroy operations across Gaza. Fighting to continue to be intense in central and S Gaza while N Gaza levels are dropping fast.

Action against the Houthi continues to build. CAPs by US jet fighters are spotting Houthi launchers, but Houthi are not backing down and still firing on shipping. The target zone appears to be expanding to the Sea of Oman.


Iran –

Iran confirmed the hijacking of a U.S. oil tanker off the coast of Oman which may now threaten further trade globally.

OBSERVATION - Under weak president carter, Iranian students held over 50 American hostages for longer than a year. Iran sees biden in the same light.


Iraq -

A MQ-9 “Reaper” Surveillance Drone was shot down overnight over the Diyala Governorate of Eastern Iraq by Iranian-Backed Militias. Since 2017 at least 4 MQ-9s have been Downed by the Houthis in Yemen, with 1 being downed over the Red Sea in November of 2023 during the ongoing war in Israel.



99 posted on 01/19/2024 8:11:35 AM PST by Godzilla (Never give up, never surrender . . . . . .)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 95 | View Replies ]

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