Globalism / Great Reset –
The United States Department of Justice along with the United Nations is filing an official document in a U.S. federal court arguing that UN employees who took part in the Oct. 7 massacre of Israelis are immune from prosecution.
The U.N. Oversight Investigations Division confirmed that compelling evidence was presented against at least nine UNRWA workers, but no legal proceedings are pending against them. Israel claims many more UNRWA employees were complicit in the massacre.
In the document submitted to the court, the U.N. claims the UNRWA employees who participated in the massacre have immunity: “Since the U.N. has not waived their immunity in this case, its subsidiary organization, UNRWA, continues to enjoy absolute immunity from prosecution, and the lawsuit should be dismissed.”
Attorney General Merrick Garland supported the UN’s claim that these officials have immunity.
OBSERVATION - The globalists protect their minions. Even those who killed on behalf of Hamas terrorists.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate THREAT - up dated Sep 12, 2024
Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo ignited social media on Wednesday after she called to “extinguish” former President Donald Trump “for good” which comes after Trump has survived multiple assassination attempts.
Raimondo made the remarks during an MSNBC interview on “Morning Joe,”
OBSERVATION - All the left’s talk about deescalating violent rhetoric is nothing but bovine excriment. Raimondo is speaking what is on the hearts of the left not only towards trump but any and all on the right as well.
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More threats by the left
“If former President Donald Trump wins November’s election, he would pose an “existential threat” — at least according to a letter apparently from the National Association of Letter Carriers (NALC), obtained by The Federalist.
“If Donald Trump wins the upcoming election, it could prove an existential threat to our union and our contract,” the letter reads. “Your vote matters: consider how the consequences could affect you, your job, and our union when deciding how to vote.””
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Placing this here as this is further evidence of a likely insider action to allow Trump to be killed, which could have sent the country into widespread violence. . . . .
The Secret Service was warned of a “credible” threat in the days leading up to the attempted assassination of former President Donald Trump at a July 13 campaign rally in Butler, Pennsylvania, but failed to act accordingly, according to a damning bipartisan Senate report released Wednesday.
The Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs released an interim report on the attack that detailed numerous “failures” by the Secret Service to secure the site and to respond to threats.
“The Committee finds that USSS failures in planning, communications, security, and allocation of resources for the July 13, 2024 Butler rally were foreseeable, preventable, and directly related to the events resulting in the assassination attempt that day,” the report said. “The Committee also finds that siloed communications and coordination problems between federal, state, and local law enforcement officials remain unaddressed and were a contributing factor to the failures at the July 13 Butler rally.”
The report said that the Secret Service Lead Advance Agent was made aware of a “credible intelligence” threat to Trump on July 9, but that she still reported that there was “no adverse intelligence” in a security planning document in preparation for the rally. In response to the threat, a Secret Service counter-sniper team was assigned to the rally, but almost no one was told of the threat.
The Lead Advance Agent told the Senators that she was told of the threat by a Secret Service official who said he couldn’t discuss specifics of the threat.
OBSERVATION - The Keystone cops were better than the SS. The gross incompetence displayed here is appalling.
Economy- HIGH Threat - as of AUG 5, 2024
(FO) An ILA strike at East and Gulf Coast ports is likely on 1 October. ILA reiterated last week that the union is prepared for a strike, and USMX said they have no meetings with the ILA scheduled this week. Acting Labor Secretary Julie Su would have to be invited by both sides to intervene, according to the Biden administration. And the White House has said it will not use the Taft-Hartley Act to ask the courts to block a strike for 80 days.
OBSERVATION - WH reluctance to step in will virtually guaranteed substantial supply chain issues that could significantly harm the economy right when such shocks would make the biggest impacts. biden et al are selling out to the unions, likely to garner additional democrats support for the elections. Damage to the economy may backfire on them though. The longer the strike persists the more significant the disruption, and the longer the economy and supply chains will take to recover.
RELATED
(FO) The U.S. National Feed and Grain Association (NFGA) and 55 other trade groups urged the White House to act immediately to avert disruptions at East and Gulf Coast ports. According to the NFGA, 40% of U.S. agricultural exports move through East and Gulf Coast ports, and ag supply chain impacts will “quickly reverberate” throughout the entire ag industry.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Merchan sentencing of trump - Nov 25th
Debates ???
Vance/walz - Oct. 1
**** Remember, most polls are designed to shape opinion, not reflect it. ****
****Notably, Democrats historically have an edge in support in national polls due to the large strangleholds on registered voters in the largest blue states of California and New York that do not impact the Electoral College but can skew the popular vote and a national poll.****
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Congress passed a stopgap bill to avert a partial government shutdown beginning next week, even as a large number of Republicans revolted against their leadership for failing to achieve new federal spending cuts.
The stopgap funding bill will maintain the government’s current level of roughly $1.2 trillion in annual discretionary funding through Dec. 20, avoiding the furloughing of thousands of federal workers and shutdown of a wide swath of government services just weeks before the Nov. 5 election.
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Harris said she will back Senate Democrats’ push to remove the Senate legislative filibuster, to pass a law codifying Roe v. Wade with a simple majority.
OBSERVATION - Removal of the filibuster has been a hot/cold issue with democrats, wanting the removal to press their agenda, but defending it when republicans have threatened the same.
Biden / Harris Watch –
Harris’ latest interview on Wednesday with Stephanie Ruhle of MSNBC was another dumpster fire. One word salad response for example -
“Some of the work is gonna be through what we do in terms of giving benefits and assistance to state local governments around transit dollars and looking holistically at the connection between that and housing and looking holistically at the incentives we in the federal government can create for local and state governments to actually engage in planning in holistic manner that includes prioritizing affordable housing for working people.”
She is demonstrating that she can’t even handle scripted interviews from a friendly media type.
Japan –
A Japanese warship sailed through the Taiwan Strait between Taiwan and China for the first time, according to reports in Japanese media.
The JS Sazanami, a naval destroyer, passed through the strait from north to south on Wednesday, accompanied by ships from Australia and New Zealand.
The vessel was on its way to take part in military exercises in the South China Sea, Japanese ministers were quoted as saying.
This would be a significant move by Japan, which is thought to have avoided sailing its ships through the strait in order not to upset China, which claims self-governed Taiwan and the strait.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cm28yd04xxno
Russia -
NUCLEAR THREATS –
Russia is changing its nuclear doctrine, as Putin held a security council meeting on “nuclear deterrence.” Which, according to Putin, includes expanding the category of states and military alliances subject to nuclear deterrence, adding new military threats that could trigger nuclear deterrence measures, and maintaining the right to use nuclear weapons in the event of aggression against Belarus.
He added that a confirmed air or space attack on Russia will prompt a nuclear response, and a critical threat to Russian sovereignty with conventional weapons will also justify a nuclear response. Additionally, any aggression against Russia by a non-nuclear state, if supported by a nuclear state, will be treated as a joint attack on Russia.
OBSERVATION - Analysts are noting that this represents another lowering of the nuclear bar for Russia and is designed primarily to put fear into NATO countries and their decision processes in allowing Ukraine to use western weapons systems to strike deep into Russia.
Key point - even ‘aid’ to Ukraine can cross this new red line.
This also comes after the failure of the “Satan - 2” ICBM missile test, the fourth failure in 5 tests.
Russian Personnel Issues –-
According to Forbes, Russia is sending its sailors from the aircraft carrier ‘Admiral Kuznetsov’ to the front due to a shortage of personnel.
Part of the aircraft carrier’s crew, which previously consisted of 1,500 people, was transferred to the ground forces and formed a ‘frigate’ battalion, which is participating in combat operations as part of the 1st Guards Tank Army.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 70s and fair.
Pokrovsk axis (Formerly Ocheretyne) -
Russia continues to throw forces into this front as well as all of the Donbas sector.
Robotyne Axis -.
Outlook —
Fierce fighting across the Donbas region as Russia scrambles to capture as much terrain as possible before the winter sets in. Ukraine is grudgingly giving up terrain, but is inflicting high losses to Russian forces and equipment in the process.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- A claim of a ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah played out overnight.
- IDF general warns the next phase is a ground war.
- IAF continues to hammer Hezbollah rocket related sites as well as Hezbollah command and control.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
October 2, Rosh Hashana, the Jewish New Year,
Overnight a great deal of confusion was thrown into the situation when a statement was released by the US and ‘allies’ stating that a 21 day cease fire was about to be enacted. The joint statement (inclusive of United States, Australia, Canada, European Union, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates and Qatar ) released by the White House calls for a ceasefire consistent with UNSCR 1701. That resolution mandates Hezbollah be disarmed south of the Litani. However, Hezbollah was not specifically named in the proposal. So Israel would be justified in saying it will agree to a ceasefire when Hezbollah has done just that.
Neither of the two statements referred to Hezbollah, a U.S.-designated terror group, which has launched thousands of rockets at the Jewish state since Oct. 8. Israel has targeted launch sites and missiles tied to Hezbollah and has not declared war on Lebanon.
Hezbollah was specifically left out of this ‘agreement’ but claimed that Lebanese government would coordinate the signing with Hezbollah. This came as a surprise to the Lebanese PM -
Office of the Prime Minister of Lebanon: “We deny the news of the Prime Minister signing the ceasefire proposal after his meeting with Blinken and Hochstein”
Unnamed ‘officials’ in Israel put out the claim that Netanyahu had signed onto the plan. In a statement, that claim was cited as false -
Prime Minister’s Office:
“The news about a ceasefire is incorrect. This is an American-French proposal, to which the Prime Minister did not even respond.”
“The news about the supposed directive to moderate the fighting in the north is also the opposite of the truth. The Prime Minister instructed the IDF to continue the fighting with full force, and according to the plans presented to him.”
The claim from “US officials” was that the cease fire was to take effect in the next few hours (time window now past). Hezbollah ceased rocket fire and other attacks for about 20 hours and has since resumed - allegedly simulating a ‘cease fire’.
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Activity levels still continue at fairly low levels.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Overnight, the Israeli army says fighter jets struck over 280 targets across Lebanon, including rocket launchers and military infrastructure, such as weapons depots.
Fighter jets struck 60 terrorist targets belonging to Hezbollah’s intelligence directorate. The strikes destroyed intelligence-gathering tools, command centers, and additional infrastructure used by the enemy to build an intelligence situational assessment.
The Israeli army says it is continuing to strike in Lebanon to destroy Hezbollah’s capabilities.
IDF spokesman:
The Commander of the Northern Command: “We have entered another phase of the campaign, we need to be very strongly prepared for a entry ground maneuver and action”
For the first time since the beginning of Operation Northern Arrows, the Israeli Air Force is attacking Hezbollah terrorist targets in the city of Byblos, north of Beirut.
In accordance with the assessment of the situation in the IDF, it was decided to recruit two reserve brigades for operational missions in the northern sector.
According to the statement of the IDF spokesman, “their recruitment will allow the continuation of the fighting effort against the terrorist organization Hezbollah, the protection of the citizens of the State of Israel and the creation of the conditions for the safe return of the residents of the north to their homes.”
Hezbollah claims that this morning’s Attack on Tel Aviv was carried out using a “Qadr-1 or 110” Medium-Range Ballistic Missile, which is an Improved variant of the “Shahab-3” Ballistic Missile equipped with a with a 700-1,000kg Warhead and produced by Iran. While the Houthis in Yemen were previously known to posses the missile, this is the first time that it has been confirmed Hezbollah is also in possession of it.
Sheikh Muhammad Amro, commander of Hezbollah’s North Lebanon, was eliminated in an airstrike.
More than half a million south Lebanese residents have fled from their homes. Many of them are crossing into Syria.
The Shiite supporters of Hezbollah aren’t welcomed in Sunni, Druze of Christian villages of Lebanon. Syria is their only option.
PRE GROUND ATTACK INDICATORS
- IDF General specifically notes an impending ground assault
- Reserve forces called up.
——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
Israel army said it attacked several crossing borders between Lebanon and Syria to prevent arms transfers to Hezbollah
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
Iran is trying to work out a deal with Russia to supply Houthis supersonic anti-ship cruise missiles.
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Turkey preparing for possible evacuation of citizens, foreigners from Lebanon, source says
——— FORECAST ————————-
The whole soap opera of a ‘ceasefire’ played out overnight with a degree of incredibility. Let me break this down into some bullet points.
- This so called proposal follows a week of Israel bashing at the UN
- Israel has its boot to Hezbollah’s throat
- Israel on verge of ground operations into Lebanon
- The deliberate non-reference to Hezbollah in this proposal, written in a manner that suggests Israel has declared war on greater Lebanon.
- The “pause” in Hezbollah attacks faking a cease fire.
- The disinformation that was disseminated throughout Israel that Netanyahu was doing a hard 180 on his stated policies and goals.
Folks, IMHO, this was an attempt by the globalist factions to try to throw a wrench into Israel’s efforts to end Hezbollah. The unmitigated gaul of these countries to claim to have worked out a ceasefire that was agreed to by both sides - absent input from both sides - is disgusting.
The only ones who would benefit from a 21 day ceasefire would be Hezbollah - giving them breathing space to regroup while at the same time refusing to disarm from regions south of the Litani River. Israel has fallen to such a ploy over the years. At this time they have shown resistance to fall for Lucy and the football again. Nasarallah’s entire command staff has been eliminated, and only third stringers (those unworthy of pagers - as noted by another commentator) are trying to run the operation.
Also note - Hezbollah must of had some kind of heads up in order to fake a ‘ceasefire’ for about 20 hours - to increase leverage against Israel.
This was but another effort to split the Netanyahu govt up. Note that unnamed sources claimed Netanyahu was supportive of the cease fire, but those were slapped down hard by his office clearly and unmistakably shutting off talk of acceptance of the ‘proposal’.
I expect to see some protests in Israel by the left - common reactions. This may also accelerate the ground operation in the face of US et al subterfuge. Netanyahu and the country has a kind of ‘get ur done’ attitude, and with the stated primary goal of returning Israelis to their homes in the north, such a ‘ceasefire’ proposal would not accomplish that task.
I fully expect that the IAF tsunami of airstrikes on Hezbollah targets will continue and that we can now expect ground operations shortly.
Syria -
An attack targeted the US base in the Conoco gas field in Deir Ezzor Governorate.
Misc of Note –
Hurricane “Helene” is expected to rapidly intensify to a Category 4 major hurricane before making landfall on Florida’s Big Bend coast on Thursday, September 26, 2024. Catastrophic storm surge, potentially reaching 6 m (20 feet) above ground, along with destructive winds and life-threatening flash flooding, pose serious risks to the region. Residents in affected areas are urged to follow evacuation orders and complete preparations immediately.
OBSERVATION - Warnings should be heeded and preparations already laid in. This is not a drill. Of particular note is that the storm is projected to hang a left hand turn and move east along Tennessee instead of the normal path of swinging right and returning to the Atlantic. Could pose additional flooding threats.
No prosecution?
Is assassination off the table?
Had errands this morning but breaking news out of Lebanon.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate THREAT - up dated Sep 12, 2024
Muslim and far-left extremists, many of them holding Hamas and Hezbollah terror flags, have again shut down the streets of New York City in a direct action.
More disturbances expected today with Netanyahu speaking before the UN.
Terrorism - HIGH THREAT as of Sep 21, 2024 due to threat to shoot down Trump.
DEVELOPING
RUMOR: There are reports (most recently aired on Fox News) that the Secret Service has credible intelligence that Trump Force One may be the target of an assassin armed with a shoulder fired missile. As a result the Secret Service is recommending that Trump’s campaign use multiple unmarked charter jets to transport the former president and campaign staff. No one from the campaign is confirming or denying these rumors/reports.
Unconfirmed reports that nine heat-seeking surface-to-air missiles have been smuggled into the US by Mexican cartels for this purpose. And there are at least three kill teams already inside the country.
OBSERVATION - This is deep into the gray zone as far as accuracy goes. However, earlier reports of at least 5 assassination teams in country is considered very likely given the vast numbers of illegals that have poured in and the number of ID’d terrorists that have been released by DHS, not including the ‘got aways’. Cooperation with drug cartels in Mexico is also very plausible, money talks, and they have the ways and means to get something like a MANPAD system(s) into the US undetected.
Trump Force One is a very easily identifiable airplane. Included in the reported security briefing is the effort for him to switch to unmarked, more generic looking aircraft. This would add further credibility to the MANPAD threat.
IMHO, the most likely player in this would be Iran who has already openly threatened Trump’s life. There are other nations/groups out there that would also have the desire to kill Trump, but Iran is the biggest one.
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics –
Oct 2- 5: International Bird Flu Summit in DC
Gilead Sciences has announced a recall of its antiviral drug remdesivir.
Remdesivir had a 53% mortality rate in clinical trials done in Africa. This is the same medication they forced on us while preventing us from using hydroxychloroquine & ivermectin!
(Dr Simon Gold on “X”)
POLITICAL FRONT –
Merchan sentencing of trump - Nov 25th
Debates ???
Vance/walz - Oct. 1
**** Remember, most polls are designed to shape opinion, not reflect it. ****
****Notably, Democrats historically have an edge in support in national polls due to the large strangleholds on registered voters in the largest blue states of California and New York that do not impact the Electoral College but can skew the popular vote and a national poll.****
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Note increased threat on Trump’s life
A New York Appellate Court panel heard oral arguments in former President Trump’s appeal in a civil case brought by New York Attorney General Letitia James. New York Judge Arthur Engoron ordered Trump to pay $454.2 million in penalties in February. Observers note that the panel appeared to be very skeptical toward the judgement and many are thinking that the verdict against trump will tossed.
China –
41 PLA aircraft and 6 PLAN vessels operating around Taiwan were detected up until 6 a.m. (UTC+8) today. 32 of the aircraft crossed the median line and entered Taiwan’s Northern, central, southwestern and eastern ADIZ.
OBSERVATION - Though these incursions have been happening on a daily basis, the number of planes involved is about twice the number of the ongoing average of intrusions.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 70s and fair.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukrainian air defense shot down 24 of 32 Shahed-type drones. Kyiv was particularly targeted
Reports that Ukraine has demolished several very large attacks in the Donbas region.
Pokrovsk axis (Formerly Ocheretyne) -
Russian Ministry of Defense claims full occupation of Marynivka village of Donetsk region of Ukraine
Outlook —
No real change in the action. Russian continuing to attack across the Donbas region.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Netanyahu speaks before the UN
- Massive IAF airstrike at what is believed to be the bunker HQ of Nasrallah in Beirut.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
October 2, Rosh Hashana, the Jewish New Year,
Netanyahu addressed UN today, saying Israel will finish what it started and essentially the UN can lead, follow or get out of the way.
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Activity levels still continue at fairly low levels.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
BREAKING - At the end of Netanyahu’s UN speech, IAF launched a massive airstrike on the compound in Beirut believed to house Nasrallah’s bunker. F35s with bunker buster bombs carried out the mission. It is estimated no less than 60 bunker-penetrating missiles were launched at Hezbollah headquarters.
Some Hezbollah sources are saying Nasrallah is safe and will soon address the people. Israel believes he was present there at the time of the attack.
LATEST - Tasnim News Agency (IRGC) has now withdrawn their statement which claimed Nasrallah was alive with them now stating they can not confirm his status. The Iranians say that they don’t know what Hassan Nasrallah’s condition is “because the communication with the Dahiyeh has been cut off”.
Netanyahu is cutting short the remainder of his time in the US and is headed back to Israel.
Known fatality is one Hashem Safieddine, head of Hezbollah’s Executive council and widely considered to be the successor to Nasrallah.
Israel did not inform the US of the attack in advance.
The leader of the Christian Kataeb party in Lebanon Sami Gemayel calls on Hezbollah to immediately hand over its weapons and the south to the Lebanese army.
Hezbollah confirms 51-year-old commander Muhammad Husayn Surur was killed in Thursday’s Israeli strike in Beirut’s Dahiyeh. Member since 1986, had a prominent role in the fight in Syria, was in charge of air force (Drones) since 2020. Hezbollah leaders Abbas Ibrahim Sharaf Ad-Din and Hussein Hany were also eliminated.
IAF continues its high intensity bombing campaign, striking several hundred targets overnight.
Hezbollah managed to fire some rockets at Israel, but in highly surpassed numbers.
SURGE IN PRE GROUND ATTACK INDICATORS
- Washington Post: Israeli military convoys mass in the north in preparation for a possible ground incursion into Lebanon
——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
Syrian Ministry of Defense: Israeli attack at dawn on one of our military sites on the Syrian-Lebanese border near Kfir Yabous in the Damascus countryside. The aggression on the Damascus countryside led to the deaths of 5 soldiers and the injury of another
IDF confirm they have bombed bridges today that link Lebanon to Syria and which is used to transfer weapons.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
Houthis launched a ballistic missile towards Tel Aviv and a drone towards Ashkelon in Israel. Both were taken out by Israeli air defenses.
Initial reports from Yemen indicate a US and UK airstrike in the Saada district in the northern part of the country.
CNN: The US military intercepted a barrage of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles and UAVs at two American warships in the Bab al-Mandab Strait area
——— FORECAST ————————-
The fact that Israel targeted the main HQ for Hezbollah is astounding just in itself. The very likely fact that Nasrallah was likely there - and Israel has been very accurate on Hezbollah leaders that have been targeted so far - adds to the mix. Observers judging from the amount of damage are pretty convinced that anyone who was in the bunker at the time is dead.
The impact of the death of Nasrallah is difficult to gauge at this time. So many senior leaders of Hezbollah have been taken out over the past months that picking a successor with enough clout to be recognized as the new leader will be difficult. It will also start of chain of reestablishing links of command as well as the new leader just trying to figure out what has hit Hezbollah.
One other impact - talk of a ceasefire will be quenched for the near future.
Confirmed death will likely accelerate Israel’s preparation for a ground operation, again to strike while the iron is hot. Hezbollah will be even more fractured and demoralized is Nasrallah is dead.
Eyes again look to Iran, who so far in the face of the Israeli full on attacks has been pretty silent. It is hard to see that Iran’s golden boy threat to Israel which they have poured billions of dollars into getting ready for this confrontation being left out to dry, but so far that is what is happening.
Israel has the capability to launch a ground offensive at any time. The question is to hit before or after Rosh Hashana.
Syria -
The United States (U.S.) announces $535 million in additional humanitarian assistance to support the people in Syria
OBSERVATION - Why are we propping up Assad’s govt and its war on the people of Syria?