CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate THREAT - up dated Sep 12, 2024
— Downgrade due to lack of physical activity, but high due to rhetoric.
***
NEW YORK TIMES: “It is becoming increasingly likely that there will be no clear and immediate winner on election night and that early returns could give a false impression of who will ultimately prevail.”
“If a winner is not declared on election night, it will not necessarily point to failures in the process. More likely, it will be a result of the intense security measures required for counting mail-in ballots.”
OBSERVATION - They are telegraphing the effort to cheat on the vote and are attempting to prepare the people psychologically for the action. A repeat of 2020 will likely trigger violence from the right.
***
Another assassination attempt on Trump. FR threads pretty well cover it, however I’ve got a few points.
- The left almost immediately denounced it as fake or staged
- The left continued to state that trump deserved it
The perp - Ryan Routh is a known and very public individual, having been interviewed by MSM in regards to his open support and recruiting efforts for Ukraine. Also an outspoken supporter of Hamas. A democrat donor.
He was arrested in 2002 after barricading himself in a business and charged with carrying a concealed weapon and possession of a weapon of mass destruction, referring to a fully automatic machine gun. He was also charged with resisting, delaying and obstructing a law enforcement officer and driving while license revoked.
The New York Times interviewed him in 2023 about his plans to recruit Afghan soldiers and illegally transport them to fight in Ukraine.
He was also interviewed in 2022 in Kyiv by Newsweek Romania about his efforts to recruit international volunteers and mercenaries for Ukraine.
IMHO the SS did their job orders of magnitude better than the previous attempt, quickly discovering Routh several hundred yards away from trump and engaging him immediately upon seeing the weapon (a probable SKS sporter model, with a scope) . It is unclear if he actually fired his weapon during the incident.
Motivation? He was definitely an anti-Trumper and some believe that his association with the efforts to form a mercenary force for Ukraine link him to the CIA.
His targeting of Trump has raised issues of being ‘helped’ from the inside. Primary is that Trumps golf set was not listed on the public events for the day. Some may say that if Routh surveillanced trump, he would have known that he commonly played golf on a Sunday afternoon. Knowledge of the timing of that round is critical, since he set up ahead of the action and ready for trump to come to him.
This is the second attempt - and I’ll bet there will be more, inspired by the left. Resorting to violence is not an unknown tactic by communists globally, but here it has cranked the gage into the red zone. Two attempts in 60 days is unprecedented.
Economy- HIGH Threat - as of AUG 5, 2024
A federal judge temporarily halted the enforcement of a Biden-Harris administration rule in five states on Thursday designed to reduce methane emissions and minimize natural gas waste on federal lands.
U.S. District Court Judge Daniel Traynor issued a preliminary injunction that temporarily blocks the Bureau of Land Management (BLM) from enforcing a new rule that was implemented in April in North Dakota, Montana, Texas, Wyoming and Utah, according to The Hill. These states argued that the federal rule, which mandates oil and gas companies to implement waste reduction plans and leak detection programs on public lands, constitutes an overreach of federal authority, infringing upon state rights.
BLM, under the Department of the Interior, argued that venting and flaring natural gas squanders public and Native American resources, cutting significant royalty revenues for taxpayers, tribes, and states, while exacerbating climate change, the North Dakota Monitor stated. However, Judge Traynor contends that the BLM lacks the authority for air quality control, a power reserved for the Environmental Protection Agency and the states by the Clean Air Act.
OBSERVATIONS - Also related to Globalism / Great Reset items. Govt effort to kill the fossil fuel industry based on fake science. The economic impact of this regulation would cause energy prices to skyrocket to the point where extraction would cease to be feasible or cost effective.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
The Navy is slated to commission its very first Virginia-class submarine designed for a fully gender-integrated crew on Saturday.
A submarine designed and built for both genders has been a long time coming. The New Jersey is entering the fleet roughly 14 years after then-Defense Secretary Robert Gates ended the ban on women serving on subs in 2010.
Adm. William Houston, then-commander of Naval Submarine Forces, said last year that he signed a “major revision” to the Navy’s plan to integrate women into the submarine fleet. The new guidance calls for women officers to serve on 40 submarines – up from the original 30.
OBSERVATION - Integration of women into the combat arms realms traditionally held by men has been fraught with destructive wokeness and feminist dogma. Now, close quarters inside a sub for long periods is a recipe for trouble.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Merchan sentencing of trump - Nov 25th
Debates ???
Vance/walz - Oct. 1
**** Remember, most polls are designed to shape opinion, not reflect it. ****
****Notably, Democrats historically have an edge in support in national polls due to the large strangleholds on registered voters in the largest blue states of California and New York that do not impact the Electoral College but can skew the popular vote and a national poll.****
***
harris’ not so good ABC interview just got worse. According to Tom Elliott, the founder of Grabien, a media service that archives news coverage, the network made a substantial edit to the interview before broadcasting it.
Elliott pointed out that the portion where Harris struggled to provide a coherent answer was completely cut from the televised version. Instead of airing the original response, ABC 6 reportedly spliced in a different part of the interview.
In the recorded broadcast, Taff’s question about lowering costs is still heard, but Harris’ actual response is replaced with a later, more polished segment.
ABC6 is in the process of trying to bury the whole incident.
***
ABC whistleblower affidavit has been released yesterday. It alleges as a sworn statement under penalty of perjury that ABC coordinated with the Harris campaign to give her sample questions, assurances that Trump would be fact checked and Kamala would not, and favorable accommodations for Kamala’s appearance on screen.
Its contents has already been echoed by the anchorette Lindsey Davis, who has openly declared they deliberately directed the attack on Trump. Davis told the Times that ABC had deliberately targeted Trump — and only Trump — because of perceptions that he had been allowed to get away with false statements in the CNN debate against President Joe Biden in late June.
***
Tim Walz is encouraging democrats to confront individuals in grocery stores in an effort to get them to vote for harris.
A grocery store, really? Has Walz seen grocery prices lately? Has he been inside a grocery store in the last 4 years? Has he seen the effects of harris/biden’s policies on the prices of groceries. The Babylon Bee couldn’t do a good a job.
Illegal Immigration –
More spin surrounding the problems that imported haitans have brought to Springfield OH. Meanwhile the cats continue to drive the left nutz on the overall issue.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the upper 70s to mid 80s range, fair but with scattered light rain.
NOTE - Remnants of Storm Boris will potentially impact portions of Ukraine over the next several days. Forecast is likely for the southern half of the nation to feel excessive rains.
RUMINT –
More rumblings about allowing Ukraine to use western long range munitions to hit strategic targets in Russia continue. At this stage, my guess is that the west will concede to elements of a target list submitted by Ukraine in order to ‘control’ any escalation with Russia.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
The Ukrainian Air Force reported on another large drone attack overnight. Out of 56 launched Shahed drones, 53 were shot down. Another 3 were lost on Ukrainian territory, likely due to EW measures.
Ukraine Kursk Offensive-
Russian Ministry of Defense claims control over Uspenovka and Borky villages of Kursk region.
Ukraine’s second incursion continues to grow and in the direction of the Russian rear areas of forces currently counterattacking the Kursk salient.
Pokrovsk axis (Formerly Ocheretyne) -
Russia pressing more attacks across the whole Donbas front.
Outlook —
Russia continues to devote substantial resources in the fight to capture the donbas. However, dwindling men and armor are seriously hampering the efforts.
The Kursk fight continues to be one of maneuver, which the Ukrainians are serving it up on Russia, inspire of Russia regaining some territory. Russia’s efforts appear to be stalling.
Meanwhile, Ukraine’s second penetration into Russia continues to grow.
Belarus -
Russian shahed drone entered Belarus airspace, loitered around for a considerable time before exiting the country. No fighter assists were scrambled to deal with it.
ISRAEL –
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Continued search and destroy operations. Artillery and air strikes across the whole overnight.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Israeli Radio: the head of the northern commander says his forces are ready to occupy a “security zone” on the Lebanese side.
Israel Defense Minister Gallant told US Secretary of Defense that the time to a diplomatic solution to the war with Hezbollah is passing, the “direction is clear”
———WEST BANK——————————-
Aggressive Israeli security forces operations continue.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
Follow up. The ballistic missile launched by the Iran-backed Houthis from Yemen at central Israel was hit by an interceptor missile, although it did not manage to completely destroy the target, according to an Israeli Air Force probe.
The missile had been identified upon launch from northwestern Yemen, and the Arrow long-range defense system was activated to intercept it. Several interceptor missiles were launched at the target in attempts to down it.
At least one of the Arrow interceptors hit the missile, but did not destroy it completely, the probe finds. Instead, the interceptor caused the Houthi missile to break apart in the air, and the warhead, as well as other pieces, fell to the ground.
The missile fired at Israel by the Houthis on Sunday was not a hypersonic missile, as claimed by the Houthis, but rather an outdated surface-to-surface ballistic missile upgraded by Iran,
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Egyptian Foreign Minister: Israel must be pressured to end the crisis and cease fire in Gaza. The situation in the Palestinian territories cannot continue like this
——— FORECAST ————————-
Talk by military and civilian leaders shifting more towards the eventual war with Hezbollah, preparing the people for it. Such has a short shelf life, so the move into Lebanon may well be happening soon. Lack of reporting as well as Israeli OPSEC seems to be masking a lot of indicators of impending action - such as troop movements, etc. It does appear that the IAF is hitting a lot more munitions related targets and doing so in a much harder way than in the past.
Will Israel generate a false flag incident to justify the assault, or just go in guns blazing anyway. I think the latter is more likely. Hezbollah with its increasing rocket attacks on the north is justification enough.
Syria -
Syria: tonight several explosions were heard in outskirts of US base in Rumaylan (Hasakah province). Up to 3 suicide drones were reportedly shot down
“OBSERVATION - Integration of women into the combat arms realms traditionally held by men has been fraught with destructive wokeness and feminist dogma. Now, close quarters inside a sub for long periods is a recipe for trouble.”
In 1979 I was trained in the very first male/female integrated Army Basic Training Platoon, Fort Jackson, SC. I escaped unscathed. ;)
It was also VERY tiring hauling those boys along with us gals every day! Leave No Man Behind! ;)
Republicans in swing states need to hold back their precinct ballot boxes until almost all democrat ballot boxes are in. It's a big way to stop the dem voter fraud system known as 'voting the people who don't show up to vote'...
Just, damn. Is there ANY way to counter the cheat, or are we finished as a country?
CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate THREAT - up dated Sep 12, 2024
— Downgrade due to lack of physical activity, but high due to rhetoric.
Hillary Clinton on MSNBC: suggests jailing Americans for posting “misinformation”
“There needs to be deterrence”
“The press needs to create a consistent narrative about how dangerous he is”
“He is a danger to our country & world”
OBSERVATION - Hillary is the mouthpiece for the tyrannical left in america. Take what she says seriously as a goal of the marxist left.
***
The California chapter of the Council on American-Islamic Relations (CAIR) is objecting to a proposal by the Los Angeles City Council that aims to prevent harassment at the entrances of synagogues, following a surge in antisemitic incidents tied to anti-Israel protests.
At a glance:
CAIR’s California chapter is opposing a proposal by the L.A. City Council that would create an eight-foot “bubble zone” around synagogues and religious institutions.
The proposal aims to address rising antisemitism linked to anti-Israel protests, but CAIR argues it unfairly targets pro-Palestinian activists.
The measure would make it a misdemeanor to block entrances or protest within eight feet of those entering religious institutions, healthcare facilities, and schools.
OBSERVATION - After decades of resting largely under a rock, CAIR is beginning to raise its head again in light of the pro-hamas sentiment developed over the past year. Will be interesting to see if CAIR is radical enough for this crop of anti-israel / anti-american protestors to attach themselves to.
***
Commentary by Johnathan Turley -
A poll released by the University of Chicago via the Chicago Project on Security and Threats offers a chilling account of the growing radicalism in America, particularly after the second foiled assassination attempt of former president Donald Trump, the poll found that 26 million Americans believe “the use of force” is justified to keep Trump from regaining the presidency. …
With the unrelenting claims of President Joe Biden, Vice President Kamala Harris, and others that democracy is about to die in America, some now feel a license to commit criminal acts in the name of “saving democracy.”
It is the ultimate form of self-delusion that one saves democracy by committing political violence against those with whom you disagree.”
POLITICAL FRONT –
Merchan sentencing of trump - Nov 25th
Debates ???
Vance/walz - Oct. 1
**** Remember, most polls are designed to shape opinion, not reflect it. ****
****Notably, Democrats historically have an edge in support in national polls due to the large strangleholds on registered voters in the largest blue states of California and New York that do not impact the Electoral College but can skew the popular vote and a national poll.****
***
Rouths political connections with democrats and the left are aligning, and are raising questions
1) Routh was featured in The New York Times in March 2023 for his efforts to recruit fighters for Ukraine.
2) CBS News even admits to texting frequently with him for over a year during the early stages of the war.
3) Semafor interviewed him about recruiting Afghan mercenaries for Ukraine.
4) Newsweek spoke with him in 2022 regarding his pro-Ukraine stance.
Despite being on the FBI’s radar and a multiple-time felon since at least 2019, Routh seemed to otherwise fly under law enforcement’s radar.
With time, more and more questions are coming up about Routh, his motivations and the growing suspicions that he had some kind of insider sources. The quickness that national media buried the assassination attempt is more compelling and concerning.
Illegal Immigration –
Ohio Gov. Mike DeWine reveals that the 33 bomb threats in Springfield have all been hoaxes. He says an investigation revealed that some of the threats came from overseas.
“So 33 threats, 33 hoaxes. I’ll make that very, very clear. None of these had any validity at all.”
“We have people unfortunately overseas who are taking these actions. Some of them are coming from one particular country.”
OBSERVATION - So the democrat line that is it MAGA phoning in has been hit at the waterline - FOREIGN sources are making the threats.
Russia -
Russian Personnel Issues –-
Putin continues to increase his army: in a new order he published he stated that the size of the Russian army will be 2,389,000 soldiers - of which 1.5 million are combat soldiers. The last time he increased his army, in December, he determined that the size of the army would be 2,209,130 soldiers, of which 1,320,000 were fighters
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the upper 70s to mid 80s range, fair but with scattered light rain.
NOTE - Remnants of Storm Boris will potentially impact portions of Ukraine over the next several days. Forecast is likely for the southern half of the nation to feel excessive rains.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukrainian air defense shot down 34 of 51 Shahed-type drones overnight, 12 more lost from radars(crashed), 2 returned to Russia.
NOTE - These are getting to be pretty standard numbers of shahed’s in a daily attack.
Ukraine Kursk Offensive-
The Governor of the Kursk region Alexey Smirnov, declared the mandatory evacuation of residents of the Rylsky and Khomutovsky districts.
Tactical situation on the ground continues to be relative stable.
Russian Territory –
Explosions were reported near Engels airfield in Saratov region, suspected Ukraine drone strike.
Outlook —
Russia pushing to enlarge its standing army, a big logistical and personnel goal. How that will play in Moscow is yet to be seen.
Ground war relatively static, with Russia continuing to press in Donbas while it appears that Ukraine is executing a successful war of maneuver in Kursk against counterattacking forces.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- New war goal to return northern residents to their homes ‘safely’
- Widespread “cyber” attack causes thousands of pagers recently delivered to Hezbollah members to explode simultaneously across Lebanon.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
October 2, Rosh Hashana, the Jewish New Year,
Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.
Israeli media: Netanyahu concluded a security meeting with the head of Mossad to discuss “developments on the northern front”
After this morning’s lengthy meeting with the Director Executive of the Mossad, high ranking officials from the governmental and security echelons are holding “dramatic” situational assessment meetings, Israeli media reports
Netanyahu’s office: Israel adds new official goal to war: Returning northern residents to their areas “safely” About 60,000 people have been evacuated from northern Israel because of near-daily attacks by Iran-backed Hezbollah in neighbouring Lebanon.
NOTE - This is widely interpreted as an essential announcement that Israel is soon to launch full scale war against Hezbollah.
***
Defense Minister Yoav Gallant has been against a military campaign in southern Lebanon, and there are reports that he may soon be fired by Netanyahu…
There is currently widespread speculation in Israeli media that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will soon terminate Defense Minister Yoav Gallant, which would constitute a monumental reshuffle of his cabinet. The two have reportedly been clashing over war strategy, especially on what to do about the crisis in northern Israel, an area which has come under daily rocket and drone attack from Lebanese Hezbollah.
“The drafts of the agreement have already been drawn up … Netanyahu is preparing for Gallant’s dismissal in the near future … Gallant will be fired by Netanyahu,” Israeli news outlet Ynet reported Monday.
***
NOTE - I’ve not seen much track record for this source off of “X” but much of the statements do match other actions being seen.
Israel-Hezbollah update:
1. The IDF has completed preparations for a potential war in Lebanon, including operational planning, training, and stocking up on arms, according to military journalist Ron Ben-Yishai. The IDF has also presented political leaders with various strategies for a large-scale campaign.
2. The operation is currently delayed due to objections from the U.S., with the American administration wanting to avoid a major conflict in the Middle East ahead of the November elections. U.S. officials estimate that Hezbollah would respond to any attack with heavy fire targeting central Israel.
3. The U.S. also expects Iran to intervene, which would likely force American involvement to defend Israel and resupply the IDF with weapons.
4. Israel’s leadership has agreed to the U.S. demands to postpone any military action, ensuring that full American support will be in place if the situation escalates.
5. During this delay, the IDF will continue targeting Hezbollah assets and rocket launchers, aiming to weaken their defenses ahead of any larger assault.
(Israel Radar on X)
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Continued search and destroy operations. Artillery and air strikes across the whole overnight.
A commander of the Palestinian Islamic Jihad rocket unit was killed in an Israeli drone strike yesterday in the southern Gaza Strip, the Israeli army says. Ahmed Ayesh Salama al-Hashash, who commanded Islamic Jihad’s rocket array in Rafah, was killed in the strike in the Israeli-designated humanitarian zone in the Khan Younis area
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
BREAKING BREAKING BREAKING
Getting odd reports of pagers exploding all across Lebanon primarily those of hezbollah and Iranian
UNbelieve able reports of upwards of 1000+ injured and comms across Lebanon in disarray. Hospitals currently overwhelmed by the casualties.
WSJ: exploding pagers were from a new shipment that arrived recently, were carried by hundreds of Hezbollah members; Hezbollah official speculates malware caused the devices to overheat and explode; some members felt pagers getting hot and disposed of them
According to Israel’s Channel 12 news, the pagers are new, latest generation models, part of a recent shipment.
The Iranian ambassador to Lebanon was injured after a device he had exploded in Beirut, Iranian media is reporting.
****
IDF Seeks Buffer Zone Inside Lebanon:
Northern Command Chief Gordin has called on the Israeli government to authorize a takeover of Lebanese territory to create a buffer zone against Hezbollah.
2. Gordin noted that conditions are favorable, as Hezbollah has withdrawn many of its Radwan forces from the border area, allowing for a swift operation.
3. With only 20% of local residents remaining in southern Lebanese villages due to the ongoing conflict, the IDF would face less resistance in conducting military maneuvers.
4. This move is seen as the potential start of a larger conflict, with the buffer zone possibly pushing Hezbollah toward a ceasefire deal that would enhance the security of northern Israel.
———WEST BANK——————————-
Aggressive Israeli security forces operations continue.
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Jordanian King and Egyptian President: We stress the necessity of establishing an independent Palestinian state on the lines of June 4, 1967, with East Jerusalem as its capital
——— FORECAST ————————-
Pagers blowing up all across Lebanon!!! Who had that on their bingo card for September.
NOTE - Hezbollah comms are currently in complete disarray - this would be the opportune time for Israel to launch its attack! Monitoring!
Israel is pushing strongly towards moving into Lebanon. The signs are pointing to things starting soon. Best I can offer. The current pager attack may be the opening event.
Monitoring
Iran –
Iranian President: Israel sought to drag us into a regional war by assassinating Haniyeh, but we exercised self-restraint
Syria -
New attack reportedly carried out by a group affiliated with the Ukrainian Intelligence (GUR) in Aleppo, Syria. Target is described as a base used by Russians for UAVs. It was hit by an IED. Attack happened this morning