Late because other stuff came up. Sorry
Globalism / Great Reset –
Upcoming meetings of importance
- WEF Davos Jan 15-19
- WHO February 19 to 21, Trans guideline committee.
- WHO pandemic ‘treaty’ May 2024
*****
Davos confab is ongoing.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Dates of importance
January 19 - funding for federal transportation programs, housing and food plans and other resources will expire.
February 2 - funding for Departments of Health and Human Services, Commerce, Labor, State and Defense will expire
March 5- Super Tuesday primaries
****
Iowa Caucuses - Trump crushed the other republican candidates to win by a record amount of votes in all 99 counties. Vivek drops out following the vote and endorses Trump.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Jan 1, 2024
With the end of the Ukraine summer offensive and the ongoing winter mud season, Russia is struggling to gain the initiative on several fronts in easter Ukraine. Russia maintains it attacks to take Adviivka, even in the face of huge losses. Russia continues to launch smaller attacks daily across the front lines.
Russian has been shepherding its stockpile of missiles/drones with the likelihood of attempting to take down the Ukraine power grid as they did winter 2023. This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. In the latest, large missile / drone attack, the Black Sea fleet was noticeably out of action. In the last half of 2023, Ukraine was able to take out about 20% of the fleet.
While Russia has reportedly about 400K of soldiers in the theater, all evidence indicates that they are poorly trained and equipped. Russian forces are increasingly having to rely on 50’s and 60’s vintage tanks, APCs and other vehicles. Russian large assaults continue to be what are referred to as ‘meat’ attacks - throwing large numbers of lightly armed, foot troops at Ukraine defenses in hopes of overwhelming them. These tactics ‘worked’ at Bakhmut but there Russia still had a superiority in artillery support. Concerted efforts by Ukraine to locate and destroy Russian artillery, combined with wear and tear taking systems out and poor/no ammo has generally caused Russia to lose the edge in artillery firepower.
Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace.
Russia is believed to be trying to muster a force for a winter offensive, once the soils freeze up and permit cross country maneuver. Focus of such an offensive has not solidified but the most likely candidate for one front is the continued attempt to eliminate the salient at Adviivka.
*****
RUMINT-
According to a leak, Russia only has 2 remaining A-50 AWACS planes that are serviceable and combat-ready.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temps in the single digits to 20s degree F range with on again, off again snow. Lows 0 to the teens.
24 HOUR ROUND UP – Weather continues to dominate action on the ground. However, temperatures are reaching levels that are starting to freeze the ground locally, meaning that ground operations may have their tempo increase over the coming days/weeks.
Discussion continues over the two aircraft shot down over the Sea of Azov. Image reportedly of the damaged IL-22M appeared. It was able to land in Anapa but the tail is heavily damaged.
The A-50 AWAC reportedly was carrying a dozen pilots as well as Lieutenant General Oleg Vladimirovich Pchela, commander of the long-range aviation of the Russian Air Force.
Speculation that this was friendly fire has shifted towards a Patriot scenario. The distance from Ukrainian controlled territory to the location where the planes were believed to be is just at or outside of the range of a Patriot MIM-104D/E PAC-2 which has a published range of 160 km (86 nmi; 99 mi). Some are thinking Ukraine devised a way to extend the range enough to reach the targets or received a shipment of enhanced range Patriots.
Further word that a Su-34 fighter/bomber was also targeted that same time frame, but broke and got away in time, just before firing a Kinzel missile.
RUMINT suggests that Russia only has 2 remaining A-50 AWACS planes that are serviceable and combat-ready.
Russian ground forces continue their attacks along a line southward from Adviivka past Donetsk.
Ukraine targeted an airfield near Voronezh with drones overnight.
Outlook —
Weather and mud conditions are continuing to dictate ground operations, which are at a low level due to lack of maneuverability cross country and on dirt roads due to the mud. However, seeing reports that the ground is beginning to solidify in areas, to the level of being capable to support off road movement.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Hamas threatens Israel after killing two hostages.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Hamas issued a new video on Monday in which it forced an Israeli hostage, Noa Argamani, announced the death of two other hostages who had appeared in another video with Argamani the day before
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Israel continues to conduct search and clearing operations in central and S Gaza. N Gaza is essentially been subdued. Fighting is the fiercest in S Gaza and IDF continues to work its way into the major Hamas strongholds in Khan Yunis.
Hamas managed to put together a 50 rocket barrage, the largest since the end of the operational pause. Fired from S Gaza / Khan Yunis region.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Continued exchanges of fire between Hezbollah and IDF along the border.
PM of Lebanon Mikati: Our choice is diplomatic and we want permanent stability on the border with Israel
——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
Aleppo hit by Israeli missiles to intercept Iranian supplied war material for Hezbollah.
———WEST BANK——————————-
Multiple engagements between West Bank groups and Israeli security forces. Security forces make many raids throughout the West Bank capturing Hamas and other terror leaders and cells.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
On Jan. 15 at approximately 4 p.m. (Sanaa time), Iranian-backed Houthi militants fired an anti-ship ballistic missile from Houthi-controlled areas of Yemen and struck the M/V Gibraltar Eagle, a Marshall Islands-flagged, U.S.-owned and operated container ship. The ship has reported no injuries or significant damage and is continuing its journey.
Earlier in the day, at approximately 2 p.m. (Sanaa time), U.S. Forces detected an anti-ship ballistic missile fired toward the Southern Red Sea commercial shipping lanes. The missile failed in flight and impacted on land in Yemen. There were no injuries or damage reported.
CENTCOM.
US naval forces also intercepted a boat carrying missiles and components from Iran destined for Houthis.
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Freight container volumes through Red sea region have fallen by around 65% from expected values
——— FORECAST ————————-
Israel to continue search and destroy operations across Gaza. Fighting to continue to be intense in central and S Gaza while N Gaza levels are dropping fast.
Things will continue to escalate with the Houthi’s until constant and consistent pressure and air strikes are applied.
Iran steeped dangerously into a serious escalation with the US with the ballistic missile attack.
Iran –
Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps claims responsibility for the attack on Erbil, Iraq saying it destroyed “spy headquarters and the gathering of anti-Iranian terrorist groups in the region with ballistic missiles”. It is believed the missiles to be that at least 6 Fateh-110 Tactical Short-Range Ballistic Missiles were used.
According to U.S. Officials, the ballistic missile attack which Struck near the U.S. Consulate within the City of Erbil in Northern Iraq appears to have been launched directly by the IRGC from Iranian territory.
However, Iranian State Media is reporting that the missile attack originated from the Aleppo in Northwestern Syria and was the longest-range missile attack in Iranian history, with the missiles flying over 1,200km or 760 miles.
Commander of the Revolutionary Guards Air Forces statement - “We bombed the Israeli Mossad headquarters in Erbil, Iraq, with 11 ballistic missiles”
Iraqi sources say the US Consulate was heavily damaged.
OBSERVATION - Waiting to see if the US is going to respond to this attack. biden said he gave Iran a ‘message’ Looks like Iran returned the favor.
Iraq -
Iraq denounced the Erbil attacks, calling them a violation of its sovereignty.
Syria -
Israel Air Force just destroyed IRGC’s weapon shipments recently transferred from Iran to Syria in Aleppo a few minutes ago. Six cruise missiles launched by Israeli fighter jets hit multiple targets in southwest of Aleppo and also the Airport of the city
Old saying here in the Redoubt - It has to warm up in order to snow -and as sure as shooting, it’s warming up and preparing to snow. Banana belt +14 this morning. Potential 3-7 inches of snow in the forecast.
Globalism / Great Reset –
Upcoming meetings of importance
- WEF Davos Jan 15-19
- WHO February 19 to 21, Trans guideline committee.
- WHO pandemic ‘treaty’ May 2024
*****
Numerous statements are coming out of Davos of concern to the world.
***
Panels are going to be discussing the mysterious “Disease X” today and tomorrow and how the world should respond to it.
***
Speaking at the WEF 2023 summit, unelected EU technocrat Věra Jourová, threatens Elon Musk with sanctions if the EU’s totalitarian censorship rules are not “complied with”.
“Our message was clear: We have the rules, which have to be complied with, and otherwise there will be sanctions.”
Harvard’s Naomi Oreskes says X is “such a toxic place” with a “scary name” at Klaus Schwab’s WEF.
NOTE - Threat against a platform that has shifted to free speech.
***
Speaking at the WEF, former head of the IMF’s China division, Eswar Prasad: CBDC will be programmable, in a way that will enable governments to dictate how, when, where, on what and by whom they can be spent, including the imposition of expiry dates.
OBSERVATION - Clear outline of the goals for the use of digital currency. For those unfamiliar with the term “ expiry dates”, it is essentially a use it or lose it clause meaning that you cannot save your money, that it must be spent by that ‘date’ or its gone.
***
January 14, 2024 Yuval Harari joined host Steven Bartlett on The Diary Of A CEO podcast last week for a wide-ranging discussion on the future of humanity.
“Are you concerned that Trump might be elected again,” asked Bartlett.
Harari responded, “I think it’s very likely, and if it happens it is likely to be the kind of like death blow to what remains of the global order, and he says it openly. It should be clear that many of these politicians present a false binary vision of the world as if you have to choose between patriotism and globalism… between being loyal to your nation and being loyal to some kind of global government or whatever.”
OBSERVATION - The target on Trump’s back grows with statements like this. NOTE - Some consider Harari to be a lunatic. That is too easy of a label. He is a stone cold WEF right hand of Schwab - carrying a lot of influence. His words have been echoed by many other syncopates of Schwab - so dismiss them at your own risk.
***
Latest buzzword that has made its appearance at Davos.
Farming, fishing and making money etc is now called “Ecocide.”
So basically if you want to live, you’re committing a crime. You are ‘killing ‘ the ecology (and global climate change)
****
WEF digital ID efforts becoming applied here in the US by TSA
TSA will expand the pilot for mobile driver’s license or digital ID at TSA checkpoints from seven to nine states, and from five to six platforms, giving more passengers digital ID options.
Expand the use of facial identification technology with TSA PreCheck®
TSA will expand the use of facial identification technology with TSA PreCheck®, from five to 10 airport locations and from two to three airlines. More passengers may opt for a live facial image to be matched against a temporary gallery of pre-staged photos, improving both verification security and line speed.
https://docs.reclaimthenet.org/hisp-action-plan-dhs-tsa.pdf
OBSERVATION - The continued push for digital and biometric ID being expanded in the US.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
Upcoming events of importance
- 18 January 2023, Atlanta, “Day of the Forest Defender,” protests against the Police training facility being constructed
****
RE the Jan 18 Atlanta protests - Expect them to last thru the weekend. In the past the construction contractor has suffered considerable vandalism of equipment and supplies. Also these Antifa related elements have set booby traps in adjacent parks. Could be a lot of violence coming.
***
See “Illegal Immigration” below as a showdown is developing today between Texas and the DHS.
***
Dozens of pro-hamas protests are in the works around the country. This weekend could be very busy. Recent protests coordinated actions in front of hospitals, particularly those with special children’s wards and care centers.
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics –
Chinese scientists affiliated with the military have engineered a lethal mutant coronavirus strain, GX_P2V, with a 100% mortality rate in mice, igniting concerns over the potential transmission to humans.
https://www.newsmax.com/newsfront/coronavirus-wuhan-china/2024/01/16/id/1149829/
OBSERVATION - Could this be the disease “X” the WEF is discussing? A lot of speculation as the discussion in Davos shifts to panels discussing X
POLITICAL FRONT –
Dates of importance
January 19 - funding for federal transportation programs, housing and food plans and other resources will expire.
February 2 - funding for Departments of Health and Human Services, Commerce, Labor, State and Defense will expire
March 5- Super Tuesday primaries
****
Attention now being focused on New Hampshire.
Illegal Immigration –
A show down is set today in Texas. A strongly worded letter from the Department of Homeland Security to the State of Texas demands access to the U.S.-Mexico border on land seized by the State in Eagle Pass. DHS officials ordered the State to cease and desist its efforts to block Border Patrol’s access in and around Shelby Park “and remove all barriers to access” by the end of the day on January 17 (today).
OBSERVATION - The USSC has not ruled on the DHS emergency petition. The big question is will DHS/Border Patrol force an armed incident. Will the fed govt “nationalize” the TX NG units at the park? Will TX reinforce the NG with TX Rangers? Depending on the path DHS chooses to take, this could be a significant event of constitutional crisis proportions. If the support of TX by the Border Patrol union reflects rank and file, BP officers may well be reluctant to square off in this situation. Would US Fed Marshals or FBI do the same?
As I understand the law, State ‘owned’ lands , the state can tell the BP to pound sand. The emergency declaration makes the park ‘state owned’.
Also, the wording of the order suggests that criminal charges may be made against the TX governor and state officials.
China –
I am not seeing any major military based response to Taiwan’s election rejection of China.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Jan 1, 2024
With the end of the Ukraine summer offensive and the ongoing winter mud season, Russia is struggling to gain the initiative on several fronts in easter Ukraine. Russia maintains it attacks to take Adviivka, even in the face of huge losses. Russia continues to launch smaller attacks daily across the front lines.
Russian has been shepherding its stockpile of missiles/drones with the likelihood of attempting to take down the Ukraine power grid as they did winter 2023. This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. In the latest, large missile / drone attack, the Black Sea fleet was noticeably out of action. In the last half of 2023, Ukraine was able to take out about 20% of the fleet.
While Russia has reportedly about 400K of soldiers in the theater, all evidence indicates that they are poorly trained and equipped. Russian forces are increasingly having to rely on 50’s and 60’s vintage tanks, APCs and other vehicles. Russian large assaults continue to be what are referred to as ‘meat’ attacks - throwing large numbers of lightly armed, foot troops at Ukraine defenses in hopes of overwhelming them. These tactics ‘worked’ at Bakhmut but there Russia still had a superiority in artillery support. Concerted efforts by Ukraine to locate and destroy Russian artillery, combined with wear and tear taking systems out and poor/no ammo has generally caused Russia to lose the edge in artillery firepower.
Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace.
Russia is believed to be trying to muster a force for a winter offensive, once the soils freeze up and permit cross country maneuver. Focus of such an offensive has not solidified but the most likely candidate for one front is the continued attempt to eliminate the salient at Adviivka.
*****
Russia is moving towards national elections, and putin has no opposition - all those candidates are in prison.
Electrical and heating systems continue to fail across the country, leaving millions without power and heat in the face of severe, sub zero (F) temperatures. Collateral damage from broken water lines is mounting to the millions of dollars range.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Warming trend bringing temps into the 40’s with rain/snow dropping back down to the 20-30s with snow towards the end of the forecast period.
24 HOUR ROUND UP – Weather continues to dominate action on the ground. However, temperatures are reaching levels around Ukraine that are starting to freeze the ground locally, meaning that ground operations may have their tempo increase over the coming days/weeks.
Ukrainian air defense shot down 19 of 20 Shahed drones, launched by Russia overnight
Russian army conducted missile strikes with Onyx missiles in Odesa and Bilhorod-Dnistrovsky districts this morning.
Russian attacks around Adviivka have made some minor gains in terrain in recent days, but at heavy cost.
Outlook —
Weather and mud conditions are continuing to dictate ground operations, which are at a low level due to lack of maneuverability cross country and on dirt roads due to the mud. However, seeing reports that the ground is beginning to solidify in areas, to the level of being capable to support off road movement.
Europe / NATO General –
Against the background of the news about tomorrow’s consideration of the resolution on deprivation of the right to vote in the EU Council, Hungary is ready to unblock funding for Ukraine for 50 billion. - Politico
OBSERVATION - Hungary’s pro Russian leadership has been a sticking point for EU support to Ukraine - wielding its veto authority. Unless Hungary changes its ways, it will lose its vote and the EU will proceed with Ukrainian support that Hungary can no longer veto. Very significant move by the EU.
Pakistan –
The regime in Iran launched a wave of combined missile and drone strikes against Pakistan. Iran claims it is targeting bases of Jaish al-Adl militants near Panjgur in Balochistan.
Pakistan has announced that it considers yesterday’s ballistic missile attack by the regime in Iran against Panjgur in Pakistan an attack on its sovereignty. Pakistan also warned the mullahs in Iran that there will be serious consequences for the attack.
OBSERVATION - Iran went trigger happy the past few days. Iran needs to be careful, Pakistan is a nuclear nation that may have no qualms nuking Iran right back.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Intense bombing os Khan Younis
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Israel continues to conduct search and clearing operations in central and S Gaza. N Gaza is essentially been subdued. Fighting is the fiercest in S Gaza and IDF continues to work its way into the major Hamas strongholds in Khan Yunis.
Residents of Khan Younis in southern Gaza say they have faced one of the most intense nights of air strikes since the start of Israel’s offensive.
Israel’s Defense Minister, Yoav Gallant, has said that the intense stage of Israel’s military operations against Hamas would “soon” wind down in the south of Gaza, including Khan Younis, where it is thought local leaders of the armed group may be hiding.
He said that the military had already switched to more targeted action in the north, where it began its ground offensive.
However, in recent days, the return of Israeli tanks to parts of the north which ground forces had previously left has led some Gazans - who had been planning to return home - to think again.
Israeli military officials have repeatedly warned that the fighting will continue for months.
Some reports that IDF is drawing down its operations in Central Gaza and pulling out at least one brigade sized unit.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Continued exchanges of fire between Hezbollah and IDF along the border.
IDF still using the skirmishes to also strike deeper Hezbollah targets key to any major war breaking out.
——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
Confusion in Syria as Iranian IRGC forces fire on ISIS targets in Syria
———WEST BANK——————————-
Multiple engagements between West Bank groups and Israeli security forces. Security forces make many raids throughout the West Bank capturing Hamas and other terror leaders and cells.
Israeli air strikes killed nine in two areas of the occupied West Bank on Wednesday, and the Israeli military described at least five of the dead as terrorists suspected of planning an imminent attack.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
The Biden administration was expected to announce plans to relist Houthi rebels as specially designated global terrorists, a US official told Reuters on Tuesday.
OBSERVATION - Remember, biden took the Houthi’s off the list from essentially day one of his takeover of the WH.
*****
Reports coming out that commanders and advisers from Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps are on the ground in Yemen and playing a direct role in Houthi rebel attacks on commercial traffic in the Red Sea.
The U.S. military carried out preemptive strikes in Yemen on Tuesday, targeting four anti-ship ballistic missiles that the Houthis were preparing to launch, according to two U.S. officials
After U.S. forces conducted a preemptive strike on Houthi missiles early today, the militants fired an anti-ship ballistic missile against another commercial ship in the southern Red Sea, per 2 U.S. officials. Missile hit but did not sink the ship, no casualties
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Presidential Command Council in Yemen: What Britain and America are doing against the Houthis is “required”
NOTE - This is the internationally recognized govt of Yemen.
——— FORECAST ————————-
Israel to continue search and destroy operations across Gaza. Fighting to continue to be intense in central and S Gaza while N Gaza levels are dropping fast.
Houthi actions against vessels in the Red Sea will continue until the US and allies get serious about taking out not only their capability, but leadership as well.
Iran –
Yesterday, I reported initial reports that the Iranian ballistic missile attack on Erbil targeted the US consolidate. Seems that another location was the actual target.
The family home of Peshraw Dizayee was destroyed, a kurdish businessman and real estate investor was killed alongside 4 members of his family by the Iranian ballistic missile attack on the City of Erbil in northern Iraq. Iran claimed the target was a Mossad spy center.
OBSERVATION - Deliberate, or incorrect targeting inputted into the missiles?