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To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..

Back from a long weekend soaking in hot springs in the mountains of the Redoubt. Bit smoky but still beautiful.

Very little earthshaking happened but the continuous drumbeat of multiple threats to the US and its citizens. Now closing in on the last couple months before the elections, things continue to get more intense.


Globalism / Great Reset –
Sept 22- 23: UN Summit of the Future

The Workers’ Party (PT), the ruling party of Brazil and the party of President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, continues to post on X to promote its candidates in the upcoming elections despite a judicial order banning the platform in the country.

This week, Brazil implemented a nationwide ban on X, threatening fines of roughly $8,900 for individuals who access the platform via VPN. The decision followed Elon Musk’s refusal to appoint a legal representative in Brazil and the closure of X’s offices there. This comes after his previous legal representative fled the country rather than face arrest at the nation’s highest court took aim at X, eventually outlawing it entirely.

https://humanevents.com/2024/09/01/brazils-ruling-party-continues-to-post-on-x-despite-lulas-regime-banning-platform#google_vignette

(Amir Tsarfati ) - Elon Musk warns that free speech may not exist if Kamala Harris, who was a strong supporter of removing Trump from Twitter, gets into office.

Here are some attacks on free speech that have taken place this past month:

1. Brazil announces anyone using a VPN to access X will be fined up to $8,874 a day. They have also demanded Apple and Amazon remove the X app from their stores.

2. German podcast hosts of ‘Hoss and Hopf’ face a €250,000 fine and jail time in Germany after they “misgendered” a bald transgender person.

3. Telegram founder Pavel Durov is arrested in France for not censoring users.

4. UK arrests a 55-year-old woman for sharing “misinformation” online.

5. UK looks to move forward with new legislation that would label misogyny as a form of extremism.

6. EU Commissioner Thierry Breton sent Elon Musk a letter, demanding that he comply with their censorship laws.

7. Rumble CEO Chris Pavlovski fled Europe, citing threats from the French government.

8. META CEO Mark Zuckerberg released a letter, detailing how the Biden-Harris administration and the FBI worked to censor content on META platforms.

OBSERVATION - More on the threat against free speech and expression by globalist leaders. Those following the Brazil aspects note that it is the court, not the administration, that is leading the policy attacks on free speech. What is also being noted is that there has been essentially no push back by the US govt. As noted with fakebook’s Zuckerberg faux apology, the US govt is actively pursuing similar censorship behind the scenes.
Bottom line is conditions are going to be pressed further and further as the globalists well know that they cannot implement their plans if there is free exchange of ideas out there - they cannot handle the competition .

Also - a lot of people are advocating getting VPN and using it now. While this may be a short term workaround, the powers that be may then shut down the internet even further or all together to silence the flow of views and information. Conspiracy theory or just common sense seeing what the govts have already done the past few years.

RELATED -
A five-member panel of Brazil’s Supreme Court will vote on Monday whether to uphold Justice Alexandre de Moraes’ ruling to shut down social media platform X in the country.

Moraes, whom X owner Elon Musk has labeled a “dictator,” has called a virtual session of the court’s first chamber — of which he is a member — so peers can review his decision.

Brazil’s Supreme Court has 11 justices split between two chambers of five members each, not including the chief justice. They can vote to maintain or reject decisions by a single judge.

https://www.newsmax.com/finance/streettalk/brazil-x-ban/2024/09/02/id/1178705/


CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate to High THREAT - up dated July 14, 2024
— Attempted assassination of Trump.

***
Also associated with illegal immigration - the rising crisis of Venezuelan gangs in Aurora is forcing the hand of the Gov of Colorado to finally hint that there is a problem. The mayor is now more open of the ongoing crime wave.

What puzzles me is the signifiant delay in action to nip this in the bud and conduct massive closures of areas and sweeps for these gangsters. The conventional, progressive lack of enforcement and even traditional enforcement measures are not working or even being applied. This gang is getting entrenched quickly and will expand its territory to other areas around Denver, Colorado and the rest of the country.

This expansion may well encounter resistance if it ventures into much redder portions of the country, and it won’t be pretty.

***
Some college campus protest in support of Hamas have popped up, but are no where near the size and intensity of those this past spring.


Terrorism - Moderate THREAT as of Sep 2, 2024
Downgrade of threat as Iran appears to be backpedaling on escalating the crisis with Israel.

AQ and ISIS rhetorically continue to call for terror strikes on the west.


Economy- HIGH Threat - as of AUG 5, 2024

Americans’ average personal savings rate fell to its lowest monthly level in more than two years in July, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported Friday.

At 2.9%, the personal savings rate for July was down from June’s 3.1% rate. It was also the lowest savings rate since June of 2022 (2.7%).

Since April of 2008, when it was 2.4%, the monthly savings rate has been less than 3.0% only these two times, both under the Biden Administration. Under the previous administration, the personal savings rate more than doubled, from 5.6% to 12.8%.

Meanwhile, the BEA reported that it revised U.S. personal disposable income (DPI) growth from May to June down from 0.2% to 0.1%.

In July, U.S. disposable personal income (personal income less personal current taxes) increased $54.8 billion (0.3%). But, personal outlays (the sum of personal consumption expenditures, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments) increased nearly twice that much: $103.3 billion (0.5).

https://mrctv.org/blog/craig-bannister/us-personal-savings-rate-falls-lowest-level-more-two-years

OBSERVATION - The dems continue the attempt to gaslight Americans into thinking the economy is the best it has ever been. Americans look at their bank account and see right through that farce.
What is critical is that Americans have fewer resources to fall back on in the event of a major recession and that could make matters worse by causing spending to drop even more dramatically along with more loan and credit defaults.


Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics –
Oct 2- 5: International Bird Flu Summit in DC

Nearly 10% of people in Japan who reported having myocarditis or pericarditis after receiving an mRNA COVID-19 vaccine died from the condition within 64 days after they received the vaccine, a new peer-reviewed study found. Fatality rates were highest among men under 30.

However, the study authors downplayed the finding by reporting that “overall outcomes were good,” according to Dr. Peter McCullough — a cardiologist and author of more than 1,000 publications — who analyzed the study on his Substack.

“In the COVID-19 crisis,” McCullough said, “we have learned to look at the data and the analyses ourselves because there are usually very important results downplayed by the authors — this time it is vaccine myopericarditis mortality.”
McCullough combined the numbers from the study’s results for myocarditis and pericarditis cases to show that 97 of the 1,014 (9.6%) myopericarditis cases were fatal.

Myopericarditis is an umbrella term for myocarditis, inflammation of the heart, and pericarditis, inflammation of the tissue surrounding the heart.
“A 9.6% case fatality rate for a vaccine side effect largely in young healthy men is astronomical and clinically unacceptable,” he said.

https://www.americanpartisan.org/2024/08/study-finds-9-6-fatality-rate-among-people-who-reported-myocarditis-or-pericarditis-after-an-mrna-covid-vaccine/

OBSERVATION - Absurd - “overall outcomes were good,” !!! A 9.6% mortality rate far exceeds the mortality rate of the disease itself!


POLITICAL FRONT –

Debates ???
ABC September 10th
NBC September 25

Vance/walz - Oct. 1

**** Remember, most polls are designed to shape opinion, not reflect it. ****

Remember the axiom above. There is the appearance that polling is shifting back to trumps favor. There have been some released by clearly democrat/partisan polling firms that show harris with a substantial lead, but those have a history of being wildly wrong. Speaking of history, now that we are post labor day, pollsters are likely to be more ‘conservative’ in their polling because if they are off by too much by the election, they lose ‘credibility’ and with that future business. So I expect a slow but steady regrowth of trumps lead in the weeks to come.

Dems and Reps have been going at it hammer and tongs this weekend. The fallout from Harris/Walz disastrous ‘interview’ continue to rumble and more policy flip flops are coming forward by harris. Walz is facing even more criticism over his lying on his past. Even his brother reportedly is set to come out with details that won’t be pleasant.

Dems have amassed a very large coffer of funds to flood ads from national to local level races. If my TV survives getting something thrown at it in reflex to the BS these adds spew it will be a miracle.


Biden / Harris Watch –

biden is now onto 3 weeks of vacation - who’s running the country?


Cyber attacks/warfare – Moderate ALERT as of Sep 1, 2024

Things cooling off between Iran and Israel driver in lower threat.


Illegal Immigration –

Mexico increasing bussing of illegals from the southern areas of its nation to the border. These illegals have finagled the immigration app to get preference of entrance.

See CW2 above, increased crime organizations / cartel activity is increasing.


China –

See Philippines below.


Japan –

Chinese drones entered Japan defense zone on several occasions over the weekend. This is an increase in activity.


Phillipines –

Chinese forces surrounded and rammed the flagship of the Philippine Coast Guard today at Escoda Shoal in the seventh scuffle this month between Beijing and Manila in the South China Sea.

BRP Teresa Magbanua (MRRV-9701), the Philippine Coast Guard’s flagship and largest patrol ship, was rammed three times by China Coast Guard vessel 5205 around noon. The collisions punched a hole in the Teresa Magbanua’s hull and caused other damage. Multiple Chinese vessels surrounded the 97-meter-long Japanese-made patrol ship, during the fracas, including two Type 837 tugs from the People’s Liberation Army Navy.

China also blockaded a Philippine resupply mission and rammed three Philippine ships in August across the disputed region that China claims under the Ten-Dash Line. There were also three disputed aerial incidents.

https://news.usni.org/2024/08/31/chinese-vessels-ram-surround-philippine-coast-guard-flagship-in-south-china-sea

OBSERVATION - Aggression by China is escalating and one of these times guns will ring out. Continued talks about joint escorts involving US naval vessels - developing.


Russia -

NUCLEAR THREATS –

Russia will change its nuclear doctrine based on an analysis of recent conflicts and the West’s actions, - Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov

The existing nuclear doctrine, set out in a decree by President Vladimir Putin in 2020, says Russia may use nuclear weapons in the event of a nuclear attack by an enemy or a conventional attack that threatens the existence of the state. Some hawks among Russia’s military analysts have urged Putin to lower the threshold for nuclear use in order to “sober up” Russia’s enemies in the west. Ryabkov’s comments on Sunday were the clearest statement yet that changes would indeed be made. “The work is at an advanced stage, and there is a clear intent to make corrections,” state news agency Tass cited Ryabkov as saying. The decision was “connected with the escalation course of our western adversaries” in connection with the Ukraine conflict.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/sep/02/ukraine-war-briefing-russia-says-it-will-change-nuclear-doctrine-due-to-western-escalation-in-ukraine

OBSERVATION - The war against Ukraine has resulted in many of the “red lines” drawn by Russia being soundly crossed and putin’s nuclear threats seen as toothless upon crossing them.

Economic Impact –

Chinese state banks are shutting down transactions with Russia “en masse” and billions of yuan worth of payments are held up, a source close to the government told Reuters.
This follows threats of secondary sanctions by the US Treasury earlier this summer.


Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the upper 70s to mid 80s range and fair.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –

Over the weekend, the missile exchanged continued. overnight, Ukrainian air defense shot down 9/16 Iskander-M/KN-23 ballistic missiles, 13/14 Kh-101 cruise missiles and 20/23 UAVs. Kyiv region was the primary target zone.

On Sunday, Ukraine launched the largest drone attack on Russia to date. Over 158 drones were sent towards Moscow, successfully hitting two power plants and an oil refinery facility.

Ukraine’s newly acquired F-16s faced their first significant challenge as one of the jets was lost during an engagement against a massive Russian missile barrage on August 26.
It is not clear yet - though many outlets say otherwise - if this was a friendly fire, enemy fire or pilot error caused loss.

Ukraine Kursk Offensive-

Little gains by Ukraine noted.

Pokrovsk axis (Formerly Ocheretyne) -

The Russian offensive in this region gained traction over the weekend and made significant gains. While the Ukraine Kursk offensive has diverted some units, the Russians have maintained this as their principle war effort on the front and are giving it everything they got.

Bakhmut / Chasiv Yar -

More Ukraine trouble here as there were gains in the Chasiv Yar area over the weekend.

Outlook —

The offensive into Kursk is playing out as Ukraine doesn’t have the forces necessary to add to the assault and Russian reinforcements are starting to get organized for defense.

Russian success on the Pokrovsk axis is a growing concern and if successful, they will control a major road and rail center - further disrupting Ukraine defensive efforts. If Ukraine has a trick up its sleeve to stop this assault, they better be playing it sooner rather than later.

The deep game by both sides kicked up a notch this weekend. Ukraine strikes in the Moscow area once again brought the war to the people’s attention. Russian PR may have been successful in sculpting the public perception of the action in Kursk, but they can’t manage direct eyewitness accounts of the attacks. Russia has hammered Ukraine power plants and now is on the receiving end of similar strikes by Ukraine. Though Russian ADA claims of downing Ukraine drones is impressive, now it appears it will have to stretch its assets even more to cover power generation. This will create more holes that Ukraine can exploit.

At this stage, much of the deep war is ebbing for a short stay, though smaller, daily strikes by both sides will continue to be expected.


Poland –

In the face of internal criticism for its lack of response to Russian drones entering Polish airspace unchallenged, Poland scrambled jets to intercept any stray drones or cruise missiles this past weekend.


ISRAEL –

Key overnight developments -

- One of the six murdered hostages retrieved over the weekend was a dual citizenship American. Another was a Russian citizen.

- Protests and strikes across Israel

——— GENERAL ——————————-

Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.

***

Hamas deputy leader, Khalil Al-Hayya, says that without Israeli withdrawal from the Philadelphi and Netzarim corridors and the Rafah crossing, there will be no agreement

Demonstrations demanding Israel capitulate to Hamas in exchange for remaining hostages, following the recovery of 6 dead hostages found in a tunnel in Rafah. A strike was also initiated in support of protestors, but the Israeli courts ordered a halt.

A staggering 6,000 Gazans infiltrated Israel during the October 7 massacre, nearly double the previously estimated amount, according to a new probe by the Gaza Division that was submitted to IDF Chief of Staff Lt.-Gen. Herzi Halevi and published on Saturday on the N12 News site.

——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-

Continued specific strikes taking out hamas cells identified as regrouping along with continued operations to locate tunnels and possible hostages.

——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-

Hezbollah continued to launch rockets into N Israel and Israel response with air and artillery strikes.

Hezbollah envoy in Tehran met Iran FM, discussing the situation in Lebanon, Gaza and West Bank. Iranian FM said Iran’s support for Resistance front will continue

The chairman of the Christian “Free Patriotic Movement”, Gebran Bassil, who is considered a political ally of Hezbollah, said in a speech this weekend that they will not stand by Hezbollah, if it initiates a war against Israel: “We stand by Hezbollah when it comes to defending Lebanon and when Israel attacks us, But we will not stand by your side if you start a war against Israel.” According to Bassil, “We are in favor of a defensive strategy and not an offensive strategy. This does not mean that we want Israel to benefit, but that Lebanon alone cannot start a war against Israel or liberate Palestine.”

Hezbollah spokesmen over the weekend have been touting the ‘success’ of the preempted missile/rocket strike against Israel.

———WEST BANK——————————-

Israeli security forces continue to be very busy in the Jenin region, arresting dozens of suspected terrorists, discovering bomb making sites.

———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-

Various nations continue to call for an immediate cease fire and a two-state solution.

——— FORECAST ————————-

The ‘RUMINT’ of an Iranian response I posted before the weekend obviously didn’t pan out. Though still on the table, OSINT indicators are not pointing to an imminent attack, but an effort to backpedal.

Similar backpedaling by Hezbollah indicated by their massive PR effort to claim massive success against Israel as a tool to backpedal from its previous aggressive stances and rhetoric.

Israel for its part continues to eat away at Hezbollah’s capabilities and leadership. Currently, Hezbollah’s general backing off is not giving Israel the justification to launch ground operations.

However, Israel’s strong, preemptive strike against Hezbollah demonstrated that force and the willingness and ability to use it is a deterrent in the arab world.

Hamas demands that Israel the Philadelphi corridor along the Egyptian border and the Netzarim corridor running east to west across central Gaza. As discovered during the Rafah campaign, the Philadelphi corridor was a very substantial avenue of smuggling between Gaza and Egypt. The Netzarim corridor provides Israel with a screening method to disarm any Gaza residents attempting to move back into N Gaza, limiting terrorist movements. These demands, along with others by Hamas, would essentially be a surrender of Israel and a victory for Hamas who will be allowed by Egypt, Qatar and even the US to remain the power broker in Gaza.

biden has reportedly laid out a ‘take it or leave it’ plan, that both sides are likely to leave it. The associated reports suggest that the US will no longer attempt to broker further deals if rejected.

Future cast involves continued soap opera surrounding the ceasefire talks. Combat in Gaza will continue its ebb and flow as Israel continues seek and destroy ops against Hamas as well as searching for hostages.

In the north, Israel will continue to launch pinpoint strikes on Hezbollah (and even IRGC) leaders and key command and logistic sites, with escalated responses to Hezbollah rocket attacks that protest those killings.

Iran looks to remain quiet for the moment. Current Israeli and western defensive readiness will deter Iran apparently now until it can find a window of opportunity, perhaps using an asymmetric strike.


Iran –

Associated with Iran’s ire against Israel is continued rumors that Iran is shifting efforts to make a nuclear breakthrough before any Israeli airstrike can derail the effort. As noted before are reported increased testing of detonation devices along with covert enrichment of uranium to the 90% level. How much technical support Iran has received from Russia, Pakistan and N Korea is unknown, but such aid could accelerate the development of a device. Delivery of such a device to Israel would be another significant technological matter as the components would have to be miniaturized to fit into a warhead that can be fitted probably onto a missile.

The potential re-election of Trump may also be driving the work, as there is a strong chance that Trump will reestablish sanctions and other means to prevent the development of a bomb.



864 posted on 09/02/2024 6:47:30 AM PDT by Godzilla (“When tyranny becomes law, rebellion becomes duty” - Thomas Jefferson)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 860 | View Replies ]


To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..


CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate to High THREAT - up dated July 14, 2024
— Attempted assassination of Trump.

***
See “Illegals” RE Venezuelan gangs taking over more turf.

IMHO - The concept of a CW2 is becoming very multifaceted versus the old school comparison to CW1. Not only do we have gross political differences across americans, but we now have other aspects thrown in due to uncontrolled illegal immigration. The most apparent has been the rise of gangs that are beginning to challenge what I would call ‘old school’ gangs, with the potential to kick off new gang wars in some ways similar to the cartel wars in Mexico.

Another area is the increase in radical islamic/moslem threats. We’ve already seen how somali ‘refugees’ have turned parts of Minnesota into copies of their third world garbage dumps. The growth of imported islam displayed its budding strength in the pro-hamas university protests this spring. Shriah law is fundamentally hostile to our Constitutional rights and yet it is being forced into communities.

Finally, we have the rebuild of 60/70s style leftists and anarchists in today’s Antifa and BLM. Here grows simple racism on the BLM front combined with the wanton destructive tendencies of Antifa’s hardened push for leftist control.

Should the leftist democrats finally push things to far and political war goes hot, these other elements will begin to more strongly vie for political and economic control of territory, sometimes teaming up with leftists, other times against - occasionally very fluid associations.

Ground zero for much of this fighting will be major urban areas as more rural areas are far more homogeneous in demographics and more moderate to conservative in general. This doesn’t mean they are immune from internal strife, just more prone to work things out.

Areas closer to urban areas will see the effects of urban fighting working their way out due in part to degradation of resources - food, etc - but many consider that they will be out of their territory with little fall back support. Aurora CO, being a suburb of Denver, would represent the very earliest stage of this outward movement of criminal elements towards more rural areas. Venezuelan gangs will have difficulties blending in areas of wheat fields and cattle rangeland, let alone facing armed citizens that can plunk them at 300-400 yards.

By all factors above plus others such as US military involvement, other illegal immigrant groups (Chinese) etc, a ‘hot’ civil war will be far more fluid and diverse than traditional views. All of these elements seem to be orbiting, seeking a reason and opportunity to hit the go button. Many think the ‘go’ button may revolve around the upcoming election.


Biden / Harris Watch –

Observers are noting that biden’s mental state from yesterday’s campaign appearances with harris have been greatly degraded. Most likely that they are no longer keeping him hyped up with drugs and the natural course is fully taking over.


Illegal Immigration –

Unconfirmed report that a group of 32 armed Venezuelans took over an apartment building in Chicago tonight based on a police scanner call -

6124 S King: caller says 32 Venezuelans are trespassing in the building, they are showing guns in the courtyard and they have motorcycles in the courtyard as well, all stairwells are filled.

OBSERVATION - This kind of action is growing and will likely grow to other major metropolitan areas.


Russia -

Logistics –

European officials expect Iran to deliver ballistic missiles to Russia imminently, a move that could prompt a swift response from Ukraine’s allies, people familiar with the matter told Bloomberg. They didn’t provide estimates of the type and scope of the deliveries or a timeline, though one of the officials said shipments could begin within a matter of days.

Russia’s acquisition of Ababil or Fateh-360 ballistic missiles would likely allow Russia to strike Ukrainian near-rear targets while preserving Russia’s stockpiles of domestically-produced missiles, such as Iskanders, for deep-rear Ukrainian targets.

Economic Impact –

September 3, 2024: Russian railroads are at the point of collapse. This process began before Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022. This process was underway before Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022. The covid-19 pandemic disrupted ball bearing production worldwide. When production was back to normal, there were problems providing customers with all the ball bearings they requested. Another problem is that Russia has always imported most of its ball bearings, usually from American and West European manufacturers.
After Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022, most western suppliers of ball bearings ceased filling Russian orders. This caused a major shortage of the things in Russia as it was in the process of shifting all of its trains to relatively new coil bearings, none of which were produced in Russia. Since ball bearings are used in automotive equipment, which includes tanks and other armored vehicles, these vehicles received priority because Russia needed weapons for its troops in Ukraine. This was a higher priority that supplying Russian railroads. This ball bearing shortage for Russia’s state owned and operated railroads has, in the last few years gradually reduced service. By 2024 the Russian railroads were much less capable of moving people or freight over the vast Russian railroad system. These disruptions were also felt by essential long-distance routes like the Trans-Siberian line. The net result of all this is a sharp reduction the ability of the Russian military to move men, weapons, equipment and supplies by rail. Trucks, canal boats, high seas shipping and airfreight could not make up for the loss of railroad capacity even if they had enough ball bearings, but they don’t because they now suffer from ball bearing shortages too.

https://www.strategypage.com/htmw/htlog/articles/2024090302148.aspx#google_vignette


Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the upper 70s to mid 80s range and fair.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukrainian Air Defense shot down 27 Shahed drones overnight

Russia is launching Shaheds from Belarus for the first time in the war. This is the equivalent of Ukraine launching missiles at Russia from NATO territory
This is an escalation by Russia

Ukraine Kursk Offensive-

Ukraine made some gains overnight, but largely the situation is stable.

Pokrovsk axis (Formerly Ocheretyne) -

Fighting continues to go bad for Ukraine as Russian forces continue their advances. Current Russian attacks indicate that they are concerned over their flanks as well as forward progress, now dividing up assaults more to shore up the flanks.

Russian Territory –

The Moscow Oil Refinery has halted half of its operations after a Ukrainian drone strike. The refinery, which supplies a third of Moscow’s gasoline and is the largest kerosene supplier for its airports, had to shut down its Euro+ oil processing unit.

Outlook —

The Russian push in the Donbas continues to be a significant concern. However, it doesn’t appear that Russian has the capabilities to exploit any break throughs because of equipment and personnel issues. The vast amount of new soldiers are headed for this region in spite of Ukraine operations in Kursk. Russian equation is that Kursk is not as critical as the Russian goals and efforts in Donbas.

Firing shaheds from Belarus? That is the latest reports. It is not surprising since Russian staged part of its initial invasion from Belarus and has fired ballistic missiles from there too. It is unlikely that at this time Ukraine will retaliate and hit Belarus launching areas.

Influx of Iranian missiles into the fight may tip the western allies into letting Ukraine use deep strike capabilities into Russia. With shaheds fired from Belarus Russian may face deeper threats. Russian nuclear threats against attacking its territory have been shown so far to be hollow, so escalating the fight to military staging areas may open up finally for Ukraine.


Poland –

Poland and its neighboring partner countries are obligated to intercept Russian missiles in Ukrainian airspace before they enter NATO airspace. This was stated by Polish Foreign Minister Radosław Sikorski. He emphasized that while there are concerns about escalating the conflict, NATO members must ensure their own airspace security, as intercepting missiles over Ukrainian territory is a legitimate act of self-defense to protect civilians from potential harm.


ISRAEL –

Key overnight developments -

- Hamas gives instructions to kill hostages if it appears Israel forces are close to finding and releasing them.

——— GENERAL ——————————-

Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.

***

The spokesperson for Hamas’ armed wing al-Qassam Brigades, Abu Ubaida, announced on Monday that the group has issued new instructions to guards on how to handle hostages if Israeli forces approach their locations in Gaza.
On Sunday, the Israeli military reported the recovery of the bodies of six hostages from a tunnel in the southern Gaza city of Rafah, claiming that Hamas was responsible for their deaths. Ubaida said his group holds Israel responsible for the deaths.

He said the new instructions, which he didn’t detail, were given to guards of hostages after a rescue operation by Israel in June. At that time, Israeli forces freed four hostages in a deadly raid in which dozens of Palestinians, including women and children, were killed.

https://www.newsmax.com/world/globaltalk/hamas-israel-hostages/2024/09/02/id/1178778/#ixzz8kiamznYL

NOTE - the instructions are essentially to kill the hostages if Israel forces close on their positions.

RELATED - Hamas has been releasing ‘final word’ videos of some of the hostages as part of a psyops campaign against Israel.

——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-

IDF spokesman: Overnight, fighter jets of the Air Force attacked about ten launchers of the Hezbollah, which posed a threat to the citizens of the State of Israel in the areas of Zabkin and Shehin in southern Lebanon. The strike caused some of the rockets to fire randomly and uncontrollably.

———WEST BANK——————————-

Israeli security source to Sky News Arabia: We have observed an increase in Iranian efforts to turn the West Bank into a real battlefield

———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————

Houthi military spokesman: We carried out an operation targeting a ship in the Red Sea after it violated the ban on entering Palestinian ports.

Three ships have been hit in the past week

———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-

British Defense Minister: We are fully committed to defending Israel
NOTE - this comes after the british announcement that they are suspending sales of 30 kinds of munitions to Israel.

——— FORECAST ————————-

Smaller, preemptive strike hit 10 launch areas preparing for an attack. Hezbollah still not doing well and Israel intel is wining.

Hama’s latest order to kill hostages, combined with ever hardening position that Israel must pull out of all Gaza before any more hostages are released has all but stopped any reasonably productive negotiations. It was already a given that hamas was a bunch of cold blooded killers, the order only confirms that.

Iran (and Hezbollah) have otherwise been relatively quiet. Israel continues to have its way attacking Hezbollah leaders and facilities. Iran has grown quieter, but IMHO, potentially more deadly as I strongly suspect that it is going all out to develop a nuclear bomb. The device is unlikely to be mountable on an existing rocket, but could be deployed by other means, such as a cargo container close to US / western ships, etc, for crude targeting. But to project that threat is has to be pretty clear that they have one.

Forecast includes now pretty much routine search and destroy ops in Gaza and continued exchanges of fire in the north.


Syria -

U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) forces, partnered with Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), captured an ISIS leader, who was assessed as helping ISIS fighters after escape from a Raqqah Detention Facility in Syria. During the early morning hours of Sept. 1, CENTCOM forces and SDF captured Khaled Ahmed al-Dandal, an ISIS facilitator assessed to be aiding efforts of detained ISIS fighters to include recently escaped fighters. Previously, on Aug. 29, five ISIS Foreign Terrorist Fighter detainees (Two Russians, two Afghans, and one Libyan) escaped from the Raqqah Detention Facility. SDF recaptured two escapees: Imam Abdulwahed Akhwan (Russian) and Muhammad Noh Muhammad (Libyan). The search continues for the three who remain at large: Timor Talbrken Abdash (Russian) and Shuab Muhammad Al-Abdli and Atal Khaled Zar (both Afghans).


Turkey –

Two US soldiers were physically assaulted by members of a nationalist youth group in western Turkey.
15 assailants have been detained; the soldiers are now safe, confirmed the US embassy in Turkey.

Members of the Turkish Communist Party TKP organized a demonstration in Izmir calling for the expulsion of the American ship USS Wasp docked in Izmir for joint exercises with the Turkish navy.
The background: the aid given by the US military to Israel “against the Palestinian brothers”.
The protesters announced that they will not leave Izmir until the American ship leaves Turkey.


Venezuela -

The United States has seized Venezuela President Nicolas Maduro’s airplane after determining that its acquisition was in violation of US sanctions, among other criminal issues.

***
A Venezuelan court has granted an arrest warrant for opposition presidential candidate Edmundo Gonzalez Urrutia for claiming that he won the country’s recent election

Venezuelan socialist dictator Nicolás Maduro called for him to be arrested

The arrest warrant is for “usurpation” of public functions, “forgery” of a public document, incitement to disobedience, sabotage, and “association” with organized crime and financiers of “terrorism.”

OBSERVATION - Sound similar to what has been happening here?



865 posted on 09/03/2024 6:15:26 AM PDT by Godzilla (“When tyranny becomes law, rebellion becomes duty” - Thomas Jefferson)
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