CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate to High THREAT - up dated July 14, 2024
— Attempted assassination of Trump.
August 19 - DNC convention in Chicago, IL
***
Unconfirmed reports are claiming that over 30,000 international antifa have already arrived in the Chicago area, with approximately 500-850 more arriving each day.
Chicago police reportedly expecting upwards of 100,000 demonstrators.
OBSERVATION - All the warm fuzzies being put out by the harris campaign may evaporate here in the near future. This foreign influx of antifa may trigger local chapters to get bold and turnout as well.
***
The City University of New York (CUNY), the largest urban public university system in the United States, is not prepared for the “potentially dangerous” onslaught of anti-Israel protests that may hit campuses when students return this fall, CUNY police officers warned, reported the New York Post.
“The university is going into this under fire. They have no idea what’s going to happen. There’s no preparation,” a CUNY police officer told the Post, speaking on condition of anonymity.
The officers highlighted last spring’s violent protests across college campuses in response to the Israel-Hamas war as reason for concerns this fall.
https://www.newsmax.com/us/college-campus-anti-israel/2024/08/15/id/1176724/
OBSERVATION - A lot depends on the DNC convention and action between Israel and Hezbollah/Iran.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
The American aircraft carrier Abraham Lincoln crossed the Singapore Strait Thursday on its way to the Middle East
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics –
Oct 2- 5: International Bird Flu Summit in DC
The World Health Organization (WHO) is ordering governments worldwide to prepare to implement unprecedented new lockdowns due to the new mutant monkeypox strain, which it claims will transform into a global pandemic.
The new strain of the virus is much worse than the one seen in 2022, according to WHO officials.
The virus is also reportedly “spreading” without any sexual contact. Business Insider reports the virus can also spread without any sexual contact at all.
It began spreading through sexual transmission, via the local sex work industry, according to the researchers. However, they said the new virus has also spread within households, between mothers and their children, and there have even been cases of person-to-person spread outside households and without sexual contact.
OBSERVATION - The WHO is desperate to come up with some sort of pandemic boogyman by this fall.
POLITICAL FRONT –
August 19 DNC convention in Chicago, IL
Debates ???
FoxNews Sept 4th (dropped by harris)
ABC September 10th
NBC September 25
Vance/walz - Oct. 1
**** Remember, most polls are designed to shape opinion, not reflect it. ****
Anyone else feel like they need to shower after viewing the massive pro-harris media blitz by the MSN?
The cover up continues. The FBI secretly released would be Trump assassin, Thomas Crooks’ body to be cremated before Rep. Clay Higgins could examine it.
OBSERVATION - These acts by the FBI scream coverup.
Russia -
Russian Personnel Issues –-
Unconfirmed reports that green conscripts - absent any combat training, are being shipped to Kursk in mass.
OBSERVATION - Deployment of completely green conscripts is evidence of desperation by putin.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures continue in the 80 - 90 degree range and fair.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukrainian air defense shot down 3 Shahed drones and 2 drones of unknown type. Ukraine drones / missiles also hit several targets in Crimea.
Ukraine Kursk Offensive-
NOTE - Much of the OSINT is coming from Russian based reports. Ukraine still holding to very tight OPSEC. Situation on the ground is still confused and changing minute by minute.
***
Ukrainian military presence reported in Vyazovoye village of Belgorod region
Russian military bloggers reporting another Russian military column could have been destroyed near Korenevo
The mayor of the city of Lgov in the Kursk region, Alexey Klemeshov, advises the people who left the city not to return until the situation improves
Russian Defense Minister Belousov demanded that he should be provided with “truthful” and “up-to-date” information from the Kursk region, where Ukrainian Armed Forces units have entered, as well as from other Russian border regions
Ocheretyne front -
Russian Ministry of Defense claims full occupation of Serhiivka village in Donetsk region of Ukraine. Russian forces are pressing to expand the flanks of the salient and taking ground.
Outlook —
The Kursk offensive continues to slow, less to Russian efforts but more due to Ukrainian forces reaching their maximum capabilities of their forces.
Russian Defense Minister Belousov’s demand for “truthful” information indicates that classic Russian happy face battlefield reports are working up the chain, deflecting criticism of lower echelons. This further adds to the fog of war the Kremlin is facing.
It does appear that Russia has designated a general to coordinate the Kursk defense, but that still isn’t helping the lack of command and control of the hodgepodge units being thrown into the fight.
On the Ocheretyne front, Russia is having some success pressing southward out of the salient. This is open terrain that has somewhat poorer Ukraine defenses. When Russia comes upon a town/city, they face the typical meat grinder Ukraine defenses. Ocheretyne front seems to be exempted from releasing forces for Kursk.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- More talks on ceasefire and hostage releases.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.
***
British and French Foreign Ministers Arrive in Israel in an effort to dissuade Israel from striking Hezbollah and Iran, in addition to accepting a ceasefire plan for Gaza.
Qatari Foreign Ministry Spokesman: The meeting of mediators to end the war on Gaza, held in Doha, is ongoing and will resume today, Friday
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
The Israeli army issues a new evacuation order for Palestinians in north Khan Younis and east Deir al-Balah, and has further reduced the boundaries of the Israeli-designated humanitarian zone. This is due to Hamas continuing to fire rockets from within refugee camps.
IDF has destroyed about 50 tunnels in the Philadelphia corridor region. The military did not detail how many of the tunnels crossed into Egypt. Tunnels along the Philadelphia Corridor are believed to be used by Hamas for smuggling arms into the Strip.
Air and artillery strikes throughout Gaza over night. More than 30 Hamas sites, including booby-trapped buildings, tunnels, and weapon depots, were targeted in airstrikes across Gaza, according to the military.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Hezbollah and IDF exchanged fire overnight. Israel stuck targets throughout S Lebanon with artillery and air attacks.
———WEST BANK——————————-
Growing unrest between Jews living in the West Bank and palestinians. Israeli security forces continued raids to arrest terror suspects.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
Abdul-Malik al-Houthi: Our response to the Israeli attack on Hodeidah is coming, and U.S. efforts to contain it have failed
The US has announced that it has imposed sanctions on the trading networks of Hezbollah and the Houthis.
——— FORECAST ————————-
The ceasefire / hostage talks are not likely to go anywhere today. Hamas is issuing new demands that are clearly unacceptable to Israel. With the collapse of talks, the likelyhood for a Hezbollah / Iran strike grow.
Hezbollah has been ready for weeks now. Iran continues to appear to be dragging its feet on the attack. Israel’s threat to take out Iran’s nuclear program in addition to its vulnerable oil infrastructure may well reside in their planning.
I know I’ve been saying this for some time now, but both can launch strikes at any moment. WIth the Doha talks spinning apart, the likelihood for a soon strike grows.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate to High THREAT - up dated July 14, 2024
— Attempted assassination of Trump.
August 19 - DNC convention in Chicago, IL
***
Protestors are swarming on Chicago for next weeks DNC convention. Protest organizers expect between 30,000 and 40,000 to join the March on the DNC 2024 on Monday.
Nearly 100 organizations that plan to protest against Israel are expected to be in Chicago as the war in Gaza reaches 10 months. The groups expected to protest outside the DNC between Monday and Thursday include CODEPINK, the Palestinian Feminist Collective, Students for Justice in Palestine Chicago, American Muslims for Palestine Chicago, and other pro-Palestinian groups active across the United States, according to a new report by a watchdog group.
Activists who have pressured the Biden administration for a ceasefire and an end to military aid said their calculus has not changed, even after Biden stepped aside.
OBSERVATION - Protestors were relatively quiet in Milwaukee but here they are trying to be loud. The focal point of these hard core leftist groups is the complete isolation of Israel - a fight they are facing internally against traditionally moderate, pro-israel democrats. Just like in places like Portland, these radical groups are attempting to bully the party into conceding to their demands. In Portland, antifa has been largely successful. Here, with a strongly anti-Israel harris, they will try the same.
ADDITIONAL NOTE - Tens of thousand of foreign based Antifa elements are rumored to be in town.
IN RELATED - Chicago businesses are boarding up in anticipation of violent riots next week.
***
new photos of Trump shooter Thomas Matthew Crooks have raised more questions about the failed assassination attempt.
One of the images captures the 20-year-old Crooks perched on a wall in a grassy area on July 13 at the Butler, Pennsylvania rally - just moments before he opened fire.
In the picture, Crooks can be seen holding up his cell phone - as if chatting to someone on a call. Investigators have still not determined what Crooks’ motive was or whether he was indeed acting alone.
The other picture captures the moment Crooks turns to look over his shoulder while sitting in the same position. It was unclear what prompted him to turn, or whether he was talking to someone behind him.
OBSERVATION - This topic has shifted to several categories over the past month in these TM’s. Evidence points to the strong likelihood that Crooks was recruited by the deep state and an assassination of trump being a key component of the efforts to shut down opposition, the questions raised by these photos - especially the one with him apparently talking on his phone minutes prior to the attack - raise more questions. That call should be identifiable and traceable. More and more, the grossly botched security plans and now bungling investigation all point to Crooks having insider support. The silence about the investigation is LOUD.
Terrorism - Heightened THREAT as of Aug 1, 2024
A Jordanian national who currently lives in Orlando, Florida has been arrested and charged with destroying an energy facility and threatening the use of explosives to destroy multiple other businesses.
According to the Daily Caller, the charges were filed against 43-year-old Hashem Younis Hashem Hnaihen by the Department of Justice (DOJ). The charges were announced in a DOJ press release on Thursday, detailing his campaign of violence against multiple businesses in the Orlando area that resulted in over $700,000 in damage.
Hnaihen’s attacks began in June of 2023, targeting businesses that he claimed, without evidence, were pro-Israel. He would carry out his attacks late at night and would wear a mask to conceal his face on security cameras. He smashed windows and glass doors and left behind “warning letters” that were addressed to the federal government. In the letters, he threatened to “destroy or explode everything here in whole America. Especially the companies and factories that support the racist state of Israel.”
One of his victims was a solar power generation facility in Wedgefield, Florida, where he “spent hours systematically destroying solar panel arrays.”
OBSERVATION - This guy is here legally. Imagine the thousands of others of his ilk here illegally.
Economy- HIGH Threat - as of AUG 5, 2024
According to CNBC: “Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said the swelling national debt is manageable as long as it stays around where it is relative to the rest of the economy. ‘If the debt is stabilized relative to the size of the economy, we’re in a reasonable place,’ she told CNBC’s Andrew Ross Sorkin. ‘The way I look at it is that we should be looking at the real interest cost of the debt. That’s really what the burden is.’”
The public share of the national debt as a share of GDP is running at about 97% but is expected to soon top 100% at current spending rates. In other words, the national debt is on track to eclipse the size of the entire U.S. economy’s annual output.
Just this fiscal year alone (starting October 1, 2023), interest costs on the national debt have exceeded $600 billion, which is more than the government spent on healthcare of defense, and four times its education expenditures. In the entirety of the 2023 fiscal year, interest costs were $659 billion.
The budget deficit for 2024 is running at $1.2 trillion with four months left in the fiscal year. In 2023, the shortfall totaled $1.7 trillion.
https://wokespy.com/biden-treasury-secretary-claims-national-debt-in-a-reasonable-place/
OBSERVATION - With revelations on harris’ economic policies coming forth for the DNC convention, concern is rising even in the MSM realm of the realities that her trillions in new debt spending will collapse the tower of cards.
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics –
Oct 2- 5: International Bird Flu Summit in DC
Monkey pox continues to revolve around the inter webs. The narrative is trying to push that it is no longer a sexually transmitted disease but one that can be transmitted like the cold.
POLITICAL FRONT –
August 19 DNC convention in Chicago, IL
Debates ???
FoxNews Sept 4th (dropped by harris)
ABC September 10th
NBC September 25
Vance/walz - Oct. 1
**** Remember, most polls are designed to shape opinion, not reflect it. ****
Fun and games on tap as the dnc kicks off its convention in Chicago Monday.
Three vulnerable senators will not be attending the DNC next week - Sens. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio), Jon Tester (D-Mont.), and Jacky Rosen (D-Nev.). All three have been vocal supporters of the biden regime and consistently voted for his disastrous plans.
***
Trump’s legal team asked New York Judge Juan Merchan to delay a sentencing hearing in Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg’s falsified business records case until after the November election. The sentencing hearing is currently scheduled for 18 September.
OBSERVATION - Democrats are playing with fire on this one. The backlash from a pre-election sentencing that places Trump could shift the whole dynamic of the election once again. The judicial activists are likely hoping that they can delay the appeals (which would blow up their convictions) until after the elections, keeping trump in jail and off the campaign trail.
Biden / Harris Watch –
Harris continues to struggle to pull herself away from biden policies of the past 3 years, while biden’s regime keeps the strings attached.
Cyber attacks/warfare – HEIGHTENED ALERT as of Aug 1, 2024
The massive release of SSNs and personal data continues to reverberate.
China –
Reports that the Chinese lost their aircraft carrier Minsk that they purchased from Russia due to some kind of fire.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures continue in the 80 - 90 degree range and fair.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukrainian air defense shot down 14 Russian Shahed drones overnight
Ukraine Kursk Offensive-
NOTE - Much of the OSINT is coming from Russian based reports. Ukraine still holding to very tight OPSEC. Situation on the ground is still confused and changing minute by minute.
***
Ukrainian airstrike destroyed a bridge in Glushkovo of Kursk region.
Russian Telegram blogger reports Ukrainian forces advancing at Vyshnevka village of Korneevo district. Small arms fighting in the area
Ukraine forces continue to advance in the northern and southeastern portions of the salient.
RUMINT from Russia suggests that the Kremlin is not convinced this is the big event. There are beliefs that Ukraine is hiding an even bigger, heavier force to strike another section of the front.
Outlook —
While Ocheretyne continues to be the focus on Russia’s offensive, Kursk is taking increasingly higher priorities. It is already evident that the intensity of Russian attacks in other sectors like Chasiv Yar have decreased substantially, as forces are moved to Kursk.
Ukraine is also making reinforcement more difficult for Russia, now targeting bridges and other transportation routes.
I’m not convinced that Russian leaders have any kind of a handle of what is going on in Kursk. Resistance is building, but coordination/communications between units is still very poor, creating seams that Ukraine is exploiting to further penetrations to hit forces from the rear.
AFA a second Ukraine offensive - I would’t rule it out as they evaluate where Russia has pulled forces from and the status of this remaining.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Negotiation in Doha concluded with very little if any progress. To reconvene in Egypt in a week.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.
***
In apparent preparations for a potential strike in Iran, the Israeli Air Force yesterday conducted a long-range refueling exercise. In a statement, the IDF says the drill “simulated a long-range flight deep in enemy territory, while conducting aerial refueling several times in short periods.”
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Israeli strikes throughout Gaza targeting Hamas cells.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Hezbollah took responsibility for launching a barrage of rockets at the northern community of Ayelet HaShahar a short while ago. Ayelet HaShahar is located some 10 kilometers from the Lebanon border, and is not among the evacuated towns.
Israel responded by striking of areas in the eastern sector of southern Lebanon with artillery.
Israeli army: We bombed Hezbollah weapons and ammunition depots in Nabatieh, southern Lebanon, yesterday
Hezbollah released video of a large, underground facility in Lebanon that they claim can be used to launch tens of thousands of rockets. Large enough for trucks and considerable storage of rockets/missiles, it reportedly is one of many facilities.
———WEST BANK——————————-
Israeli security forces active throughout the west bank arresting terror suspects.
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
French Foreign Minister: We hope that the upcoming Cairo round will end with an agreement on Gaza
Egypt’s Foreign Minister: The only formula to end the Palestinian-Israeli conflict is the two-state solution
——— FORECAST ————————-
Doha talks are done, with no deal. Now Iran has to fish or cut bait, it has run out of excuses to delay any attack. Thus an attack could be kicked off at a moment’s notice.
Israel continues to maintain readiness to respond, as demonstrated by its air refueling exercise yesterday. Though in a broad sense, Israeli ops in Gaza have stepped down a bit potentially in preparation for the impending attack.
Hezbollah for its part, released a video of one of its underground complexes. Construction of such a large facility would definitely have left a substantial footprint. Though buried in a mountain - it has serious vulnerabilities such as destroyable entrances/exits and other portals. Given Israel’s intensive intelligence operations in Lebanon, these are likely already been pinpointed and set into a target set. Hezbollah has put a lot of eggs into one basket with these mega bunkers.
Forecast remains the same - Hezbollah/Iranian attack is imminent and could happen at any time.