Globalism / Great Reset –
Upcoming meetings of importance
- WHO pandemic ‘treaty’ May 2024
On Monday, a press conference was held to launch a Japanese national movement against WHO’s pandemic plans. Organizers also announced a protest against WHO’s plans to take place on 31 May, the second last day of the World Health Assembly meeting to adopt the amendments to the International Health Regulations (2005) and the Pandemic Treaty.
OBSERVATION - Japan was one of the first countries to sound out against the pandemic ‘treaty’. What was painted as smooth sailing for this attempt of seizing global power has hit some rough spots that may cause the WHO to water down some portions of the act. Rest assured that those portions will be weasel worded to permit the WHO to sneak back in the original goals /controls of the document.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
***
Economic blockades being targeted for the week of Independence Day (July 1st-4th) by Antifa and affiliated leftists now according to Ngo on “X” will include attempts to close ports, as seen last year. This is in addition to the expected protests to close key freeways and interchanges.
Terrorism - Heightened THREAT as of May 6, 2024
The Quantico incident now has two Jordanians here illegally, one on a terror watch list. More and more this looks like a probing effort to test security. BIG red flag is that they rolled up in a cargo truck - the type that could be used to haul a truck bomb onto the base for detonation.
Economy-
On Thursday the Dow reached 40,020 points before closing back below the 40K mark. The Nasdaq and S&P 500 both hit record highs this week as well.
OBSERVATION - There are economists that suggest the markets are a stack of cards, being held high by hopium and govt spending. They clearly don’t reflect the struggles of Joe and Jane American who are struggling to make ends meet, or the thousands daily losing their jobs due to the continued closures of hundreds (thousands) of businesses of all sizes nation wide. At this stage, a high Dow doesn’t mean that much to me other than when the crisis strikes, there will be a much larger drop in prices to be seen.
POLITICAL FRONT –
July 15 RNC convention in Milwaukee, WI
August 19 DNC convention in Chicago, IL
***
The GOP-led House Oversight Committee late Thursday night passed a resolution and report recommending US Attorney General Merrick Garland be held in contempt of Congress for refusing to hand over audio of Biden’s interview with Special Counsel Robert Hur.
US Attorney General Merrick Garland on Thursday told reporters that the Justice Department does not need to comply with a congressional subpoena because the DOJ is “a fundamental institution of our democracy.”
A visibly rattled Garland made the statements during a press conference earlier Thursday to reporters after Joe Biden asserted executive privilege over the audio of his interview with Special Counsel Robert Hur.
OBSERVATION - Nice resolution - but nothing will happen as Garland/DoJ will do nothing with it.
Phillipines –
A flotilla of fishing boats is making its way to the disputed Scarborough Shoal in the South China Sea. China is reportedly deploying coast guard and merchant marine vessels to monitor and intercept. Philippines warning it will send combat ships to protect the flotilla if necessary.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the third year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
Putin says Russian army has no orders to capture Kharkiv, troops are creating “sanitary zone” near the border.
***
Russia expels Britain’s military attache from Moscow, Russian state media reported.
“The British military attache must leave Russia within a week,“ the statement said.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures highs continue in the 50-70 range with little to no rain in the forecast
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Very busy night for the deep battle. Ukrainian air defense shot down 20 of 20 Shahed drones overnight.
Russian Ministry of Defense claims fifty-one drones were intercepted over the territory of occupied Crimea, forty-four UAVs over the territory of the Krasnodar region, six drones over the Belgorod region and one over the Kursk region. Also, naval aviation and patrol boats of the Black Sea Fleet destroyed six unmanned boats in the Black Sea.
Reports on the ground state that Ukrainian’s drone swarm strike hit the Tuapse Oil Refinery in southern Russia, setting it on fire. It has capacity of 240,000 barrels/day, or about about 3.5% of Russia total refining capacity
Ukrainian aerial drones also hit Russia’s Novorossiysk naval facility. Over 35 explosions were reported in Novorosiysk overnight. Novorossiysk is home to most of the Russian Black Sea Fleet. A fuel storage tank facility was set on fire in the NW portion of the port of Novorossiysk. This attack lasted for nearly 2 hours. Local reports from Russian sources suggest that air defense absolutely not existent.
Follow-up on the Russian Air Force airframe losses at Belbek: 2 MiG-31s and 2 MiG-29s destroyed. The Fulcrums were most likely in stored status.
An Su-27/35 was claimed, but comparison with past imagery strongly suggests it was a MiG-29. The loss of the MiG-31 are critical as they are the launch platform for the Kh-47M2 Kinzhal ‘hypersonic’ missile.
Commercial satellite imagery also indicates significant damage to the airport’s runway.
On the ground, analysts are indicating that Russia is barely able to make any progress and is now focusing its efforts on seizing Vovchansk as its reserves run low, endangering its more ambitious goals. Russia initially didn’t have enough forces on the border for a major operation, but now it’s forced to use up its reserves.
Very little ground gained by Russia at the Ocheretyne and Chasiv Yar fronts.
Overall, Ukraine reports Russia suffering heavy losses of personnel and equipment across the easter front.
Outlook —
putin indicates that the Kharkiv operation is to set up a “sanitary zone” (read buffer zone). Taking more territory also gives him better leverage if there are any peace talks down the road.
Though the Kharkiv operation has seized more territory in a shorter period since the beginning of the war, evidence along all fronts suggest that the Russian offensive may soon be reaching a pause. Operational reserves have long been committed and heavy losses in men and tanks/armor are taking their toll. Ukraine’s dynamic defense has reformed and is repelling more and more attacks. If Russia is to pull off another offensive in the summer, it will need a large infusion of troops and equipment, both are slow to come to the front.
blinken basically gave a green light for Ukraine to use long range systems like ATACMS on Russian territory. This could throw a serious wrench on Russian operations which currently have their logistic and command sitting pretty soft under the current situation where Ukraine has been forbidden to touch them. And Russia will be slow to respond according to disperse these locations.
Ukraine’s large drone strikes overnight may well generate a Russian retaliatory strike within the next few days. Post strike analysis by the OSINT community is waiting for new commercial satellite images to be collected to judge the extent of the damage.
Under the current situation, I don’t expect any breakthroughs on the fronts. Just more hard and bloody fighting.
Belarus -
Belarus resistance elements are reporting that Russia is apparently about to move military equipment to belarus once again. This movement is believed to have three potential scenarios -
- Sumy/Chernihiv invasion
- Longer term training of new conscripts
- Exercises with the Belarus military
The latter two appear to be the most likely reason for the equipment movements. An offensive towards Sumy/Chernihiv will take months to build up for. Not totally out of the question given the Kharkiv offensive apparent goals is to create some kind of buffer zone, and a similar effort here to produce the same.
ISRAEL –
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.
***
Netanyahu expressed his willingness to discuss handing over civil authority in Gaza to “local entities not affiliated with Hamas.”
US reportedly has completed work on the floating pier in N Gaza and is receiving cargo already.
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Fierce fighting continues in Jabalia camp, northern Gaza Strip
IDF continues operations in central Rafah. Ground forces encountered and destroyed Hamas rocket launching positions with rockets ready to fire on Israel
A rocket fired from Gaza towards Sderot was successfully intercepted by the Iron Dome missile defense system.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Israeli and Lebanese sources are reporting that the IAF airstrikes overnight near Baalbek in the Beqaa Valley, appear to have targeted a network of Hezbollah manufacturing infrastructure used in the development of guided-munitions and one-way “suicide” drones.
IAF launched raids on the town of Najariya in the Sidon district, southern Lebanon.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
Houthi shot down its fourth US MQ-9 “Reaper” this week.
***
Yemen’s Iran-backed Houthi militia will target all ships heading to Israeli ports, even if they do not pass through the Red Sea, the head of the US-designated terrorist organization said on Thursday.
Abdulmalik al-Houthi declared in a televised speech that the Houthis will extend their attacks on Israel-bound ships beyond the Red Sea region to the Mediterranean Sea in what the Yemeni rebels have described as a campaign of solidarity with Palestinians during the ongoing Israel-Hamas war in Gaza.
“We will target any ship heading to Israel that comes within range of our weapons,” Abdulmalik al-Houthi said. “Everyone must stop transporting to the occupied Palestinian ports … It is in the interest of all companies to stop transporting to the Israeli enemy towards the Mediterranean Sea or in any direction.”
——— FORECAST ————————-
I expect Israel to continue its tactic of withdrawal from areas of Gaza and allowing Hamas to try to fill in those areas only to be hit by IDF raids. This tactic has been effective for Israel.
Rafah operation will continue, though I do not expect that Israel will find any hostages alive. By this stage, Hamas has kill most if not all of them.
Israel will continue to take apart Hezbollah leadership and facilities, leaving the terror group in reduced capability for Israel’s operations to remove them from S Lebanon later this summer/fall (once operations in Gaza have reached their objectives)
Could have also been a twisted cyber attack - - one watching which phone lines lit up after the attack - lots of types of dry runs are happening now.
There's ONE THING we know for sure - the Quantico attack will NOT BE A CNN DEBATE QUESTION. The hundreds of thousands of terrorists and bad state actors flooding across the border - wanting to harm American citizens - will not make the CNN 'cut'. Jake Tapper will make sure of that... Tapper: "And here's a scientist who says in a hundred years Washington DC will be under water..."
I'd like to point out, also, that inflated dollars make the stock market APPEAR to hit new highs, but in fact, that might not be true.
Example:
Let us say 1000 shares of Acme Rockets is worth 10000 in 2010 dollars.
Let us say that the same stock, in 2020, is worth 20000 in 2020 dollars.
BUT, let us stipulate that from 2010 to 2020, there was 150% inflation in the dollar.
So, your stock went up 100% BUT inflation made 2020 dollars worth 66% of 2010 dollars. $20000 * 66% = $13333.
You lost money, even though the stock market went to new highs.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
***
Weekend is here and under employed college students along with Antifa affiliated groups will likely be on campuses again or in the streets.
Extra precautions should be followed when attending and exiting pro-Trump political rallies from here on out (whether he is there or not) as Antifa et al are ramping up efforts to assault and other wise intimidate attendees.
Economy-
The U.S. awarded contracts for the purchase of 3.3 million barrels of oil to help replenish the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) after a massive sale from the stockpile in 2022, the Department of Energy said Friday.
The oil is being bought at an average price of $79.38 a gallon, the department said. The Biden administration sold 180 million barrels from the SPR oil in 2022 to control gasoline prices before the midterm elections.
The Energy Department also said it is seeking to buy another 3 million barrels for delivery in November. The agency has so far bought back only 35.6 million barrels of the 180 million it sold in 2022.
The Biden administration said it wants to buy back the oil at about $79.99 a barrel. Buying back at that price could be difficult with the approach of peak U.S. summer driving season, a time that traditionally boosts oil demand.
https://www.newsmax.com/newsfront/joe-biden-strategic-petroleum-reserve-oil/2024/05/17/id/1165198/
OBSERVATION - The preverbal ‘drop in the bucket’. 180 million barrels sold , 35.6 added back and they want another 3 million back. This isn’t even one fourth what biden sucked out to aid the democrats in the midterms. It all also impact summer oil demands as well, potentially raising gasoline prices during the high demand season.
***
Nearly half of the nation’s small business owners say their businesses won’t survive, if they are subjected to another four years of Joe Biden in the White House – and a look at his first-term performance suggests they could be right.
A new, national survey by the Red Balloon job site and the PublicSquare shopping site asked small business owners a straightforward question:
“Will your business survive a second Biden presidential term?”
Forty-nine percent said they either “definitely” (22.4%) or “probably” (26.2%) won’t make through a second term of a Joe Biden presidency:
Q: Will your business survive a second Biden presidential term?
Definitely No 22.4%
Probably No 26.2%
Don’t know 28.8%
Definitely Yes 7.2%
Probably Yes 15.3%
OBSERVATION - These businesses are looking hard at their bottom line as well as the tax increases proposed by biden should he return to the WH with a democrat congress. Even under good circumstances, it will take Trump some time to get policies out there to clean up the mess the democrats have made - and those policies will be vigorously fought by congressional democrats as well as the deep state.
***
I’ve notices that Gold and Silver have reached record highs. No info on the driving factors. Anyone hear something? BTW copper has passed $5/lb-record highs as well.
POLITICAL FRONT –
July 15 RNC convention in Milwaukee, WI
August 19 DNC convention in Chicago, IL
***
House Judiciary Committee voted 18–15 on May 16 to approve a resolution to hold Mr. Garland in contempt for refusing to provide impeachment investigators with the recordings in defiance of congressional subpoenas. The House Oversight Committee followed suit hours later, voting 24-20 to approve their own resolution.
OBSERVATION - Again, who’s going to enforce the contempt ruling by congress?
Biden / Harris Watch –
Biden has invoked executive privilege to block House Republicans from obtaining audio recordings of his interviews with special counsel Robert Hur over his handling of classified documents.
OBSERVATION - This will be litigated for the next years, pushing it out of the 2024 election cycle.
Illegal Immigration –
The Biden administration is accelerating the asylum timeline for migrants who enter the US illegally en route to five major cities.
Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas and Attorney General Merrick Garland announced Thursday that a new Recent Arrivals (RA) Docket will swiftly place single adults before immigration judges in Atlanta, Boston, Chicago, Los Angeles and New York City.
Those asylum claims must be resolved within 180 days, though grace periods would be granted in some circumstances for migrants to obtain the necessary legal representation.
More than 1.7 million migrant “gotaways” have illegally crossed into America since President Biden took office, new Border Patrol data shows, in addition to the more than 9 million who have entered the US over the same period.
OBSERVATION - One of many means the regime is trying to use to ‘anchor’ the illegals in the US and prevent deportations.
Russia -
putin is wrapping up his China visit, and his image as a world leader dimmed by Xi and the meager deals he has signed with him.
Economic Impact –
The high cost of the war in Ukraine plus a decade of economic sanctions has hurt the Russian economy. To make matters worse Russia has no major allies in Europe or overseas. That leaves Russia dependent on China, which has the second largest economy in the world. The Chinese expect to be paid for the substantial economic aid they have been providing Russia.
One problem remains, how does Russia pay for all this? China suggested, and Russia accepted, that long-standing Chinese claims on a quarter of the Russian Far East and most of its prime coastal areas be considered as a form of payment. China never canceled these claims, even in the 1940s and 50s when China was very dependent on Russia. These claims amount to about nine percent of Russian territory. The Russian Far East contains part of Siberia as well as the large Pacific Ocean coastline and the port of Vladivostok.
https://www.strategypage.com/htmw/htwin/articles/2024051804318.aspx
OBSERVATION - The ceding of the land to China has not been formalized in any way that I’ve found, but the concept being described here is very much a potential front burner issue. Some have speculated that China could militarily move in and take the lands with Russia bogged down in Ukraine. But this is typical China leveraging its support and money against another nation - seen multiple times around the world but with Russia, this could be the biggest acquisition yet.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures highs continue in the 50-70 range with little to no rain in the forecast
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Russia continues its offensive efforts in Ukraine, but we may be seeing the high water mark as Ukraine artillery starts to exert its presence again and Russia runs low on bodies to throw into its ‘meat attacks’. Ukraine laughing counter attacks on various parts of the Russian offensive front created by Russian logistical overreach.
Kharkiv region, Russian advances have been slowed to a near stop. Same for assaults against Chasiv Yar and Ocheretyne.
Outlook —
As I noted above, we may be approaching the high water mark of Russia’s spring offensive. The offensives in Chaziv Yar and Ocheretyne as well has Kharkiv appear to be stalling out. If reports are correct, Russia has already committed its operational reserves in these areas and have few if any other units it can draw upon. In part due to the high casuality/loss rate that even an artillery deprived Ukraine inflicted. Now reports are that artillery rounds are approaching an abundant level and the devastating Ukraine artillery is re-establishing itself as king.
Russian fighter/bombers also seem to have pulled back from CAS operations, relying once again on glide bombs as MANPADS and other ADA assets reappear in numbers in the battle zone.
I expect continued fierce fighting along the front and an increasing likelihood of a Russian missile strike in retaliation for the recent Ukraine drone attacks.
Europe / NATO General –
Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico’s condition was serious but stable Saturday as the man accused of trying to assassinate him faced his first court appearance.
Two hours of surgery Friday to remove dead tissue from Fico’s multiple gunshot wounds led to a good prognosis for his recovery but he was still not well enough to travel to a hospital in the capital, Bratislava, government ministers said outside University F. D. Roosevelt Hospital in Banska Bystrica, where Fico was taken by helicopter after the shooting.
https://www.newsmax.com/world/globaltalk/slovakia-prime-minister-shooting/2024/05/18/id/1165225/
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Bodies of three hostages were recovered yesterday.
- Israel states that there are around 50 tunnels into Egypt, in addition to hundreds of others throughout Rafah.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.
***
In a well coordinated effort, conducted by special forces and Shin Bet, the bodies of three Israelis who died trying to flee the Nova festival massacre were recovered, giving the families closure; President Herzog: ‘Condolences and a sad embrace to the grieving and tormented families’
IDF and Shin Bet recovering the bodies of three hostages, namely Shani Louk, Amit Buskila and Itzik Gelenter. This marks the first recovery of a hostage body since April 6, when the body of Elad Katzir, who was murdered in captivity, was found.
***
Israeli sources report that IDF in eastern Rafah and several others areas of southern Gaza have begun excavating graveyards, due to recent intelligence that Hamas had buried the bodies of multiple hostages in an attempt to conceal them from Israel.
NOTE - This has been confirmed in another fashion by pro-Hamas media sources that have reported that Israel is ‘desecrating’ cemeteries in Gaza.
***
During a hearing on Friday at The Hague, Israel reportedly announced it has discovered “nearly 700 tunnel shafts” underneath the city of Rafah in southern Gaza and about 50 of them “cross into Egypt.”
“Nearly 700 tunnel shafts have been identified in Rafah, from which approximately 50 tunnels cross into Egypt. These tunnels are used by Hamas to supply itself with weapons and ammunition and could potentially be used to smuggle out of Gaza hostages, or Hamas senior operators.”
https://www.newsmax.com/world/globaltalk/israel-gaza-rafah/2024/05/17/id/1165182/
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
IDF continues to encircle and liquidate Hamas in N Gaza in some of the fiercest fighting of the war. Most of it focused in and around Jabalia Camp.
IDF continues operations in Rafah. Bodies of hostages being recovered.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
The Israeli army announces the targeting of Hezbollah launch pads and military infrastructure in southern Lebanon
——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
A car was targeted inside Syrian territory near the Masnaa border crossing with Lebanon. Possible high level Hezbollah/Hamas/IRGC person on board.
———WEST BANK——————————-
An IAF fighter jet targeted a building in Jenin in the northern West Bank late Friday night as part of a counter-terrorism operation, the IDF reported.
. . . the strike hit a five-man squad that was planning to carry out a major terrorist attack in the immediate time frame.
The one person killed in the strike was Aslam Hamaisa, one of the commanders of the Palestinian Islamic Jihad’s Jenin Brigade, Hebrew media reported. He was located by the Shin Bet hiding in an apartment in the area, Walla reported.
https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-801603#google_vignette
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
ICC in S Africa continues pressing forward with genocide and illegal warfare claims against Israel.
——— FORECAST ————————-
The recovery of dead hostages in Rafah, along with the revelation of an extensive tunnel network into Egypt is just beginning to reverberate into the world. Some are beginning to speculate that the tunnel/hostage issue is a very sensitive one in that Egypt knew the extent of Hamas tunneling operation and the increasing potential that elements of the Egyptian govt/military may have tuned a blind eye to weapons smuggling as well as the smuggling out of hostages and Hamas leadership. Still speculation, but 50 tunnels is a lot of avenues into/out of Gaza and Rafah in particular.
NOTE that a lot of the damage to ‘civilian’ buildings in Gaza is due to the destruction of Hamas tunnels that pass beneath them.
Sadly, I still don’t expect that there are any hostages alive at this stage.
Expect Israel to continue to target leadership of Hama, Hezbollah and affiliated terrorists.