Globalism / Great Reset –
Upcoming meetings of importance
- WHO pandemic ‘treaty’ May 2024
Professor Bill McGuire is a well-known vulcanologist and climate scientist who doesn’t care much for humanity. He tweeted out a scathingly brilliant idea if you’re in the mortuary business or work as a grave digger.
“If I am brutally honest, the only realistic way I see emissions falling as fast as they need to, to avoid catastrophic #climate breakdown, is the culling of the human population by a pandemic with a very high fatality rate.” https://t.co/hzga69EhV3
— Bill McGuire (@ProfBillMcGuire) May 11, 2024
OBSERVATION - He later deleted the tweet saying that too many people were taking it the wrong way. Pretty sad mea culpa. This depopulation theme is well documented among the WEF types and goals. The infamous (now extinct) Georgia Guidestones called for reducing the global population to 500 million. Hence the recurring belief that the wuhan mRNA jab was an initial tool to begin the process.
Perhaps he should just shut up and study volcanos.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
Andy NGO reports on “X”- Online far-left accounts are sharing a virtual flyer calling for May 15 to be a day to riot for Gaza.
“It’s time to escalate,” the flyer reads. The extremists want the riots to be politically destabilizing to the U.S.
OBSERVATION - Now that school is out for the summer, Antifa et al has lost a lot of mind-numbed students for their campus protests. This call out for more violent “protests” appears to be an effort to ramp up and retain the initiative the college protests provided. I expect local events at this stage, more violent in the Antifa heartlands, and less so in the soft liberal areas. Monitoring to seen if things change between now and then.
Terrorism - Heightened THREAT as of May 6, 2024
Israeli operation in Rafah increases the potential for sympathetic, lone wolf attacks here and globally.
Economy-
CPI numbers are expected to be out Wednesday May 15. Reporters are noting that the govt is playing with the numbers. in this case, they are removing coffee from the index. What you may not have realized is there was significant increase in coffee prices from March - May, 2024. Since September 2023, coffee prices are up a 78%.
From January 1st of this year through the high in April when this change was announced, coffee prices gained 35%.
***
(Bloomberg) — Roughly one in 37 homes are now considered seriously underwater in the US and that share is much higher across a swath of southern states, according to data out Thursday.
Nationally, 2.7% of homes carried loan balances at least 25% more than their market value in the first few months of the year. That’s up from 2.6% in the previous quarter, according to the first-quarter 2024 US Home Equity & Underwater Report from ATTOM, a real estate data firm.
OBSERVATION - Saw this happen back in 2008 with my home at the time, though not near the 25% level. Totally upended the housing market for a couple of years. Not a good sign.
POLITICAL FRONT –
July 15 RNC convention in Milwaukee, WI
August 19 DNC convention in Chicago, IL
***
There are reports surfacing that the DNC is considering moving a lot of the convention on-line to avoid protests/rioting from the ascending, pro-Hamas flank of the party. This could be done in part by minimizing live programming and openings for protest in Chicago’s United Center. This would mean moving party business, such as rules and platform votes, off the floor and denying would-be demonstrators a chance to seize on contentious debates.
OBSERVATION - Both conventions are in dark blue cities, so the fuel for riots is already at hand. I Chicago’s case, not only is the wrath of pro-hamas elements on the rise, but the standard black community is highly agitated due to the preferential treatment illegals are getting. Black community leaders have warned of protests for several month now.
Biden / Harris Watch –
biden still trying to find ways to walk back his decision to block congressionally approved arms shipments to Israel in the face of intense pushback from rank and file democrats who are in general pro-Israeli.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the third year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
Russian Personnel Issues –-
Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu has been fired. Andrey Belousov, First Deputy Prime Minister, and a longtime economist, replaces him.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures highs continue in the 50-70 range with little to no rain in the forecast
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
The General Staff of Ukraine reporting on the status of the fighting in the Kharkiv region - Combat operations continue in the directions Pylna - Lukyantsi, Pylna - Hlyboke, Pylna - Oliynikove, Murom - Buhruvatka. Russian troops carrying out assaults in the directions of Strilecha - Hlyboke, Oliynikovo - Hlyboke, Oliynikovo - Lukyantsi, Murom - Staritsa, Pletenivka - Tyche. - Fighting continues for the border town of Vovchansk.
The evacuation of people in the Kharkiv region has been going on for more than two days, - the Regional Emergency Service. Currently, more than 4,500 residents have been evacuated from the border settlements of Bogodukhiv, Chuhuiv and Kharkiv districts
Ukrainian Sources are reporting that overnight several additional brigade-sized elements of the Russian ground forces, consisting of thousands of troops as well as hundreds of tanks, armored vehicles, and artillery, crossed the northeastern Ukraine border utilizing the multiple bridgeheads that had already been established over the last 48-72 hours.
Outlook —
The new offensive in Kharkiv province is not going well for Ukraine at the moment. However, much of the Russian land grab consists of lightly screened border areas. As noted before, one of the key reasons for the attack is to freeze Ukraine forces the region and prevent movement to the current main offensive further to the south.
However, analysts have noted other potential reasons for this attack. The Siverskyi Donets River is the most prominent geographical feature in the immediate area and poses as a major obstacle that divides Kharkiv from land to the east that stretches to Kupyansk and Dvorichna
If this Russian offensive is for real and this is not a feign to draw off already stretched Ukrainian forces, the area stretching from the Siverskyi Donets to the Oskil River could be what Russia is after.
Another goal may be to get within the 25 km radius of Kharkiv. At this distance, conventional artillery can range the town. To date, Kharkiv has been hammered by missiles, drones and glide bombs. Getting within tube artillery range will add significantly to the attack.
Much of the recent Russian gains have been lateral - joining the two assaults together. Ukraine defenses have stiffened with counter attacks seeking to slow the advance.
Current assessments by analysts indicate that the current Russian forces being employed are insufficient to take Kharkiv, but the Russian push there still strategically significant as a means to achieve other goals in Ukraine.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Intense fighting in N Gaza
- Rafah campaign continues to increase in intensity.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.
***
The Israel Defense Force has announced that a Joint-Operation with Shin Bet last Friday resulted in the Elimination of Naim Gol, one of the Member of Hamas’s Shari Battalion who was Responsible for the Guarding of Corporal Noa Marciano, a Soldier in the IDF who was Kidnapped by Hamas during the October 7th Massacre and then Killed at some point by Doctors at Al-Shifa Hospital in Gaza City.
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Intense Israeli airstrikes on northern Gaza as IDF presses attacks against Hamas elements trying to reconstitute there.
Mujahideen Brigades - We are engaged in fierce clashes with Israeli forces with appropriate weapons east of Jabalia camp, north of the Gaza Strip.
Israeli Armed forces are sending new reinforcements in an attempt to penetrate into the Jabalia camp in the northern Gaza Strip
IDF continues to expand operations in Rafah. Large airstrikes hitting targets at the center of the town.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Israeli Army Radio reports 3 missiles were launched from southern Lebanon towards Branit in the Western Galilee.
Hezbollah says it launched an attack with a swarm of drones on a military site in northern Israel. Two explosive-laden drones launched from Lebanon struck an area near the northern community of Beit Hillel earlier this morning, the military says. The Israeli army says the blasts sparked a fire which was extinguished a short while later.There are no injuries.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
CENTCOM intercepted Houthi drones over the Gulf of Aden and the Red Sea.
——— FORECAST ————————-
IDF operations in the Jabalia Camp, N Gaza to continue to ramp up as they have managed to trap a sizable Hamas force. Israeli tactics, once again, is to pull out and give Hamas et al an opportunity to crawl out of their holes and try to reform. IDF surveillance catches all of this then strikes back quickly at the now exposed Hamas elements. IDF has used this tactic several times with good success.
Rafah ops continue to expand in spite of biden’s demands for it to stop. Netanyahu called biden’s bluff on this one. It looks like deliveries will resume with the tag of not to use against Rafah. I think Israel is “Ok” with that as they have sufficient for Rafah anyway and need to stock up for the Hezbollah campaign.
Action by Hezbollah and the “Islamic Resistance” is not expected to be significant in the near future.
Iran – HEIGHTENED Warning for supported attacks against Israeli and US interests across the globe. Downgraded Apr 20, 2024
Iranian lawmaker Ahmad Bakhshayesh Ardestani claimed on Friday that Iran possesses nuclear weapons, despite the country’s formal policy under the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA). This statement came shortly after the UN’s atomic watchdog highlighted Iran’s capacity to produce multiple nuclear bombs, Fox News reported.
OBSERVATION - More likely rhetoric than reality at this stage.
Markets will factor in how long it'll take the public to figure out they've een conned...
Globalism / Great Reset –
Upcoming meetings of importance
- WHO pandemic ‘treaty’ May 2024
The World Health Organization (WHO) has watered down some provisions of its pandemic agreements ahead of the upcoming World Health Assembly on May 27. Critics in the United States, however, say the changes don’t do enough to address the concerns over the policy.
The release of the latest draft of the amendments, dated April 17, are the first public update on the IHR draft, which was initially made public early 2023.
“In most areas, and for all of those which most concerned us from a legal perspective, the interim draft reflects a major retreat by the WHO Working Group from the text of the original proposals,” write English solicitors Ben and Molly Kingsley in an April briefing paper regarding the new amendments.
Some WHO-watchers remain wary, however.
“Practically all the bad things are still there,” Dr. Meryl Nass, a U.S.-based physician and vocal critic of the WHO agreements, told The Epoch Times.
“The language is gentler, but since there is so much to be decided later it is not clear the gentler language is meaningful,” Dr. Nass said.
“My best guess is that they are desperate to get something passed, so the options are likely to be either a vanilla version of the treaty … or a delay. But they fear delay because people are waking up.”
OBSERVATION - The pandemic ‘treaty’ is hitting pushback in what once was thought to be a cakewalk. I share a similar opinion as the article - the WHO is now desperate to get this thing passed in order to get the camel’s nose under the tent so to speak, with warm, fuzzy language that can be modified at a later date without the intense scrutiny the treaty is receiving today. Many of the “concessions” could also be quickly reversed in the face of another plandemic.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
A volunteer for the Trump campaign headquarters in Limestone County, Alabama was brutally attacked Saturday afternoon while she was leaving the premises.
The Alabama Republican Party identified the victim as Tara Johnson.
AL.com reports Johnson was in her vehicle when the attacker “grabbed her by the hair, repeatedly punched her in the face and slammed her head against the door of her truck.”
OBSERVATION - Though still under investigation, such attacks are commonly encouraged by leftist, Antifa related sources across the inter webs. I expect that more assaults like this will become more common as November approaches.
Economy-
Housing numbers are coming in and they are not looking good. The combination of high prices and equally high mortgage rates have driven buyers out of the market. Evidence that the mean home price has dropped to $400K, lowest since 2021, interest rates now pushing past the 7% mark.
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics –
More continued rumbling about the avian flu being the next great pandemic. They are telegraphing their next move folks.
POLITICAL FRONT –
July 15 RNC convention in Milwaukee, WI
August 19 DNC convention in Chicago, IL
***
The Biden campaign has a new explanation for its current position in the 2024 election: The polls are fake.
That doesn’t mean every poll is correct, but there’s no way to know which ones are in the meantime. Polling aggregates have become popular for a reason, and while the Biden campaign wants to call the Times survey an outlier, Trump is still up in the overall aggregate as well, which would portend an electoral blowout given the dynamics of the electoral college.
OBSERVATION - biden camp is taking these polls seriously, suggesting that the fundamentals behind them match what they are seeing and don’t want the public to be informed about them. As I’ve noted before, many of these polls are designed to shape public perception and thought.
Biden / Harris Watch –
Biden administration is under fire after reportedly withholding intelligence on the locations of senior Hamas officials to pressure Israel into giving up its planned invasion of Rafah.
Illegal Immigration –
The northern border of the US continues to see record numbers of captured illegals. For example, from April 28 to May 4, one week, Border Patrol agents apprehended 492 illegal aliens. That was more than the total apprehensions for all of 2021. In 2021, the total number for the entire fiscal year was 365.
Chief Patrol Agent Garcia said that during the week before that, Champlain Border Patrol agents apprehended 220 illegals. It was “the highest number ever encountered in a single week in Swanton Sector history.”
OBSERVATION - Illegal apprehensions have been buried by other news items lately. Still at record levels across both border regions. With improving weather conditions, I expect that the northern border will get even more action in the coming months.
China –
Military analysts are suggesting that Chinas increasing presence in the seas around Taiwan have a specific goal to lull the Taiwanese military into a false sense of normalcy so that when China decides to implement a blockade of the Island, they can do so quickly and with a minimum of initial response from Taiwan. The blockade theory is rising as the most likely course of action that China will take against Taiwan, posing the least risk to the mainland and preserving forces from an allied assault.
Phillipines –
China is deploying many ships to blockade Scarborough Shoal (Bajo de Masinloc) ahead of a Philippine civilian resupply mission on Tuesday that sends supplies to fishermen operating in the area, which is inside the Philippine exclusive economic zone.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures highs continue in the 50-70 range with little to no rain in the forecast
RUMINT –
Reports coming out that Kharkiv authorities pocketed much of $200 million that was designated to construct defensives towards the border regions.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukrainian air defense shot down 18 of 18 Shahed drones overnight over western Ukraine. The Ukrainian General Staff reports that another Su-25 was shot down in the Donetsk region. This is the 3rd claimed downing of a Russian fighter jet in recent weeks.
Over all, reported combat events have doubled over averages from last month.
Russian forces continue to consolidate gains in Kharkiv provence, where it is estimated that Russian has committed 30,000 troops to the assault.
The Head of the Sumy Region of northeastern Ukraine has ordered an immediate evacuation for the towns of Vorozhba and Bilopillya near the border with the Kursk Region of Russia, due to a significant increase over the last 24 hours in cross-border shelling and the possibility of Russian ground forces soon entering the region.
New reports that Ukraine was aware of the build up of forces opposite of Kharkiv within Russia over the past months, but were prohibited from striking these troop concentrations with western munitions by the US and others. This created ‘sanctuary’ areas that facilitated the current Russian attacks.
This morning, Ukrainian forces successfully hit a Russian ammunition dump outside of Sorokyne, Luhansk Oblast. Loud secondary explosions could be heard throughout the area.
Ukrainian Su-24M/Mr type aircraft launched 6 Storm Shadow type winged missiles from their nearest deployment zone, 267 km away, targeting the Russian air defense’s 3rd Radiotechnical Regiment at the Ai-Petri Mountain in occupied Crimea.
According to reports, this strike resulted in significant damage to the base and also killed the commander of the Russian military unit 85683, Alexander Kulakov.
Outlook —
Things are looking bleaker in the Kharkiv region. Russian have taken a pretty large chunk of land. Now if the information is correct, Ukraine could face another assault in the NE corner of the country toward the city of Sumy. Both Sumy and Kharkiv were likely undermanned with forces shifted to the south. Russia may well be able to maintain the captured territory in part since they now have considerably more troops in theater than when the invasion first began.
If the stories of corruption in the Kharkiv region are correct, things are even worse.
Russian losses are correspondingly high but then the Ukraine losses are high as well. Are Kharkiv and Sumy at risk of falling - no, but the territorial losses place Ukraine at a disadvantage and my cause western allies to loosen up restriction on attacking Russia proper with the munitions supplied. Already Britain has given the go for its munitions.
Europe / NATO General –
The Estonian government is “seriously” discussing the potential deployment of Estonian troops in non-combat roles in Ukraine, said Madis Roll, the national security advisor to the president, in an interview with Breaking Defense published on May 13.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Today is Israel’s 76th Independence Day.
- Tank heavy units penetrate into the central portions of Rafah.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.
***
UN admits Gaza death toll wrong, with almost 50% fewer women, children killed than previously reported. Blames ‘fog of war’ for the incorrect count - ignoring that they were fed these numbers by Hamas.
***
Hamas’ armed wing Al Qassam Brigades said on Monday it had lost contact with militants guarding four Israeli hostages, including U.S.-Israeli citizen Hersh Golberg-Poline, reportedly due to Israeli bombardment of Gaza over the past 10 days.
***
U.S. national security adviser Jake Sullivan said on Monday that President Joe Biden’s administration did not view the killings of Palestinians in Gaza by Israel in its war with Hamas as a genocide.
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Israel launches a renewed offensive into Eastern Rafah.
Israeli tanks have entered the neighborhoods of Al-Jneina, Al-Salam and Al-Brazil.
A few rockets were launched from the Gaza Strip at the southern city of Ashkelon
IDF engaged in fighting pockets of Hamas in the Gaza city area.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
IAF and artillery hit Hezbollah positions in S Lebanon overnight.
———WEST BANK——————————-
Numerous Israeli security force operations throughout the West Bank overnight
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Egypt is considering to downgrade its diplomatic ties with Israel over Rafah operation, Egyptian officials told WSJ
——— FORECAST ————————-
Rafah operation will continue to intensify in spite of US meddling.
IDF operations against reformed Hamas elements in N and Central Gaza to continue as well.
Conflict along the border with Lebanon looks to continue at current levels. No evidence that Hezbollah is coming to the aid of Hamas.