I made mentions in other comments yesterday about the pillars of civilization falling apart and generally inferring that a major global collapse is coming fast. I expand more - in that much can be related to the fall of the Roman empire and current events. This fall resulted in much of Europe falling backwards culturally and coming under brutal control of various barbarian cultures. Lost was the level of civilization that wouldn’t be regained for centuries.
The things I’m seeing today resemble more a dystopian science fiction novel than what I could ever have imagined really happening. And since 2020, the rollercoaster ride has only gotten worse - with no safeguards. I find my self wondering (along with many others now), will we even have an election this year. Red lights are becoming more numerous on the panel and the prospect to dial things back is becoming more remote.
Sorry for the gloom and doom, but sometimes our normalcy bias needs to be shaken up for us to lift up our heads and come to grips with the world around us so we can make plans to mitigate the coming chaos as much as possible.
Globalism / Great Reset –
Upcoming meetings of importance
- WHO February 19 to 21, Trans guideline committee.
- WHO pandemic ‘treaty’ May 2024
*****
George Soros is poised to take a massive stake in the nation’s second-largest radio company, which owns more than 220 stations nationwide, according to court filings and sources close to the situation.
The left-leaning billionaire’s Soros Fund Management has bought up $400 million of debt in Audacy — the No. 2 US radio broadcaster behind iHeartMedia with stations including New York’s WFAN and 1010 WINS, as well as Los Angeles-based KROQ, according to bankruptcy filings.
One insider close to the situation, noting that he was a Republican, said he believed it was possible Soros was buying the stake to exert influence on public opinion in the months leading up to the 2024 presidential election.
https://nypost.com/2024/02/14/business/george-soros-poised-to-control-audacy/
OBSERVATION - A figure almost as large by himself as the WEF, soros knows how the process works. Already, most media outlets are owned by just a handful of leftist power brokers. I’ve seen numerous video clips of widely separated TV station news reports parroting the exact same words on an issue time and again. News papers all start to read alike. Soros is counting on the sheeple not being discerning enough and swallowing the propaganda hook, line and sinker.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
Showdown in TX continues. The beacons of Gondor are lit ! !
***
Cross reference this with Illegal Immigration -
New York State National Guard troops are being told to check all migrants arriving in the Big Apple for distinctive tattoos linking them to the vicious Venezuelan “Tren de Aragua” street gang, The Post has learned.
The decree comes as the NYPD this week issued a “Situational Awareness Alert” warning that the brutal gang is increasingly making its presence known in the five boroughs — with members claiming asylum at the US border and flocking to New York to join other gangbangers.
“It’s to a point that they had to post policies on use of force like if we were in a combat zone,” one National Guard source said Wednesday.
“Tren de Aragua” — Spanish for Aragua Train, a shout-out to the gang’s origins as a railroad labor union in Aragua, Venezuela — is growing in numbers in the Big Apple and has been linked by law enforcement to a recent spree of cellphone robberies, The Post revealed this week.
The brutal gang is now firmly on the NYPD’s radar, with the new bulletin warning: “Tren de Aragua’s newly established presence in New York City may incite further gang-related violence — including stabbings, assaults and robberies — raising public safety concerns.”
OBSERVATION - While focus has been recently on this Venezuelan gang and its growing relationship with MS-13, I want to reemphasize the the role these foreign gangs are likely to play in a scenario where a hotter CW2 scenario blossoms out. We’ve already seen how crime has exploded in these blue metro cities - driven in part by drastically undermanned police forces and liberal prosecutors - now consolidating under larger gangs that have become multinational. Initial fighting will be the bloodiest between these international gangs and those indigenous to metro areas (call them ‘old school’ if you could). They will fight for initial control of city resources such as food, and fuel as a means to extort money from the trapped civilians.
This will put the ‘left’s’ so called revolutionaries at a disadvantage of having to protect against these gangs while challenging the more rural whites.
IN RELATED - These illegals and the crime organizations they are moving into the US with, are reportedly expanding operations into smaller towns with a degree of technological skill that is very concerning. In Ohio, these gangs are using WiFi jamming technology to blind WiFi linked security systems in order to hit homes and businesses of the wealth in these more rural towns.
***
Buried in all the other craziness, Biden’s National Security Advisor, Jake Sullivan, argued that it’s not in the American people’s national security interest to require a warrant for surveillance. He’s rejecting a Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act (FISA) amendment that mandates a warrant for spying on Americans. He said it is not in the interest of the American people not to be spied on without a court warrant.
OBSERVATION - Talk about gaslighting.
Terrorism - Level is HIGH due to impending conflict with Iran.
This warning renewed as of Feb 6, 2024
ELEVATED RISK - Potential military action against Iranian assets for the attack that killed US forces in Jordan could result in Iranian terror groups here in the US to activate and conduct terror ops here. These attacks can range from infrastructure destruction (water, power, communications, etc) to mass casualty events (superbowl related attacks) or attacks on political candidates - heavily leaning against current administration but also Trump as well. So far the govt hasn’t come out with any warnings but the risk has increased significantly the last 24 hours, based on common sense and stated goals of the Islamist movement/Iran.
***
More than 20 people were shot during the Kansas City Chiefs’ Super Bowl victory parade. As of Wednesday afternoon, one death had been confirmed. It was also confirmed that nine of the patients being treated for gun wounds are minors.
Police have yet to release the identities of the victims or the names of the alleged shooter(s). However, reporting on social media indicate that the three shooters were black males - probably making their reporting less likely to come out.
Police were still unsure whether the Super Bowl victory celebration was targeted for attack, or whether the violence was incidental to the event and spilled over into it.
OBSERVATION - Listed under terrorism for now until more details come out. Given the ethnicity of those involved, this could range from a drug deal gone bad, gang squabble to an outright black on white racist (terror) attack taking advantage of those concentrated in attendance. Also, given the ethnicity of the shooters, we will never really know if the last motive is true or not. The shooting has already prompted more calls for gun control, but I’ll be the shooters have a mile long rap sheet and should have been behind bars and not out on the streets.
Economy-
A key measure of home-purchase applications slumped last week amid a sharp increase in mortgage rates.
The Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) index of mortgage applications fell 2.3% for the week ended Feb. 9, compared with the previous week, according to new data published Wednesday.
The data also showed that the average rate on the popular 30-year loan rose to 6.87%. While that is down from a peak of 8% in October, it marks the highest level for interest rates since December 2023.
“Application activity was weaker last week, as mortgage rates moved higher across the board,” said Joel Kan, MBA’s deputy chief economist.
OBSERVATION - I’ve repeatedly pointed to the housing market as a major touchstone sector to evaluate the health of the country’s economy. It continues to reflect the ills of the economy and it is hard to see just what will turn it around for Americans. Few can afford the current home prices and even fewer the crazy expensive mortgages.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
Planting this story here for now - if it grows legs, will likely shift discussions into a new category.
The chairman of the House intelligence committee, Rep. Mike Turner, issued an unusual cryptic statement on Wednesday saying the committee had made available to all members of Congress information about an unspecified “serious national security threat.”
But sources close to ABC News report that the threat relates to Russia’s plans to place a nuclear weapon in space. According to ABC: “This is not to drop a nuclear weapon onto Earth but rather to possibly use against satellites.” Rumors also indicate that Russia is still 2-3 years out from actually deploying this system.
One possible candidate for this threat may be associated with the
February 9th launch the Cosmos-2575 Mission, using a Soyuz-2 Rocket carrying an “Unknown Payload into Space for the Russian Ministry of Defense.
This act would be a gross violation of international treaty. The Outer Space Treaty, formally the Treaty on Principles Governing the Activities of States in the Exploration and Use of Outer Space, including the Moon and Other Celestial Bodies, is a multilateral treaty that forms the basis of international space law. Negotiated and drafted under the auspices of the United Nations, it was opened for signature in the United States, the United Kingdom, and the Soviet Union on 27 January 1967, entering into force on 10 October 1967. As of August 2023, 114 countries are parties to the treaty—including all major spacefaring nations—and another 22 are signatories.
One of the key provisions of the Outer Space Treaty include prohibiting nuclear weapons in space. It does not prohibit placement of conventional weapons in orbit.
While the current speculation focuses on placement of nuclear anti-satellite weapons, the usefulness of such a weapon is questionable given the proliferation and capabilities of earth launched anti satellite weapons.
The greater concern would be the placement of Fractional Orbital Bombardment System (FOBS) weaponry. FOBS are space-based nuclear bombs (actual warheads) that can be released at ANY time, orbit the earth several times under their own power for months or years (or just once), then come down anywhere on the planet with ZERO advance warning to the intended target.
Such weaponry would generate a massive nuclear arms race in space to ensure a mutually assured destruction scenario as the defense against such weapons is virtually zero as noted above.
OBSERVATION - Over the past 5-10 years, Russia has detached itself from many nuclear related treaties that had their origins in the Reagan administration. More recently Russia has basically stated that it’ll do what it wants in the way of updating its nuclear arsenal - and has aggressively developed new ICBMs and warheads. Moscow has even gone as far as saying that it will resume actual nuclear testing - if and when it wants to. Thus blowing off the Outer Space Treaty would not be an outlier, but one of a continuation of actions by Russia to nullify or ignore existing treaties/agreement’s. So the probability if high that Russia has or is planning to place such a weapon system into orbit.
Interesting that Trump set up a separate military command to address such threats.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Dates of importance
March 1 - latest CR expires
March 5- Super Tuesday primaries
***
Three separate prosecutors reportedly met with White House aides before indicting former President Donald Trump, President Joe Biden’s political opponent.
The reported meetings suggest a coordinated attack against Biden’s 2024 rival. If coordination occurred, it lends credence to Trump’s belief that the indictments are election interference.
The timing of the indictments are peculiar. After Trump announced a reelection bid against Biden, four indictments hit Trump in four separate jurisdictions, each following revelations about the Biden family business.
In three cases, prosecutors reportedly met with the Biden administration before indicting Trump:
Alvin Bragg: New York – “Stormy Daniels” Case (state)
Jack Smith: Miami – “Documents” Case (federal)
Fani Willis: Fulton County, Georgia (state)
OBSERVATION - There should be no doubt that this was a WH orchestrated campaign to shut down Trump. Remember, those in power now were behind the now demonstrably bogus and illegal “Russia Russia Russia” accusations of Trump’s first term.
***
Fallout and speculation continue after disclosures that the Russia collusion hoax was started and orchestrated by the Obama CIA. Growing evidence points to the suspected possession of the declassified binder on CIA involvement in Crossfire Hurricane - the operational name given for the smear campaign.. Growing speculation that Mar-a-Lago was raided because of information that former President Donald Trump may have had on Crossfire Hurricane and in particular, this binder.
This binder theory has been floating around for well over a year, but the documentation that 0bama unleashed the CIA to foment the Russian Collusion scam has only recently appeared - and in limited form.
Words escape me on the level of corruption from the 0bama administration and the CIA, FBI and NSA on this whole scandal.
Illegal Immigration –
See CW2 on Texas standoff.
***
Immigration and Customs Enforcement is discussing releasing nearly half of detained migrants to make up for a budget shortfall.
Four ICE and Department of Homeland Security officials told the Washington Post that the agency is currently experiencing its greatest budget shortfall in recent memory, at $700 million. To compensate, ICE officials are circulating an internal memorandum that proposes cutting detention beds from 38,000 to just 22,000.
The move was interpreted by some conservative figures as a hostile move from the Biden administration, retaliating for House Republicans refusing to pass an aid bill that allocated dozens of billions to Ukraine, Israel, and Taiwan, alongside $7.6 billion for ICE. It was also interpreted as retaliation against the House’s impeachment of Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas.
“In response to Mayorkas impeachment, Biden regime payback includes threat to release even more illegal aliens,” Judicial Watch President Tom Fitton wrote in a post on X, formerly known as Twitter.
OBSERVATION - This is blackmail, pure and simple. In congressional testimony, Mayorkas admitted that nearly 85% of the caught illegals are being dumped on US streets as it is. It is demonstrably more efficient and cost effect to simply close the border and turn these illegals back.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Feb 2, 2024, closing in on two years of war.
Russia is attempting to seize the initiative by executing a winter/spring offensive across the eastern front. Russia has reportedly concentrated 40,000 troops to sustain this offensive. Though reports indicate that there have been some limited successes, Russian forces have taken heavy losses. One key objective continues to be the capture of Avdiivak, near Donetsk, as well as terrain lost to Ukraine during the Ukraine fall offensive in 2022. The attacks associated with this offensive do not appear to be supportive of each other in a manner that could help expedite any breakthrough and initiate any significant armor / mobile action. These assault axis also appear to be vulnerable to Ukrainian strikes on their logistics trains.
Russia has been able to gradually enlarge the number of soldiers in the theatre to the 400,000 range. Training and equipping of these forces is still rated very poor. Russia has drawn heavily upon ‘volunteers’ from penal colonies for their “Z” shock troops- the primary element of their meat attack (human wave) assaults against Ukraine defenses. It has been documented that ‘enforcement’ squads follow behind these ‘shock troops’ with orders to shoot any who attempt to retreat.
Russia continues to suffer heavy tank and APC losses. Old, cold war era tanks and APCs are becoming more and more common sights in battle fields. (formerly) Elite units like the Russian marines are routinely seen with T54/55 series tanks instead of the T72/80/90 series they were commonly equipped with.
Shortages of Ukraine artillery ammo has permitted Russia to regain some degree of local superiority on the battlefield. Some estimates give Russia a 3:1 advantage. This is down substantially from the start of the war where it had a 10:1 advantage.
Russian has been shepherding its stockpile of missiles/drones for a potential effort to take down the Ukraine power grid as they did winter 2023. This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. In the latest, large missile / drone attack, the Black Sea fleet was noticeably out of action. In the last half of 2023, Ukraine was able to take out about 20% of the fleet.
The Russia air force has taken significant losses at the hands of Ukraine. This has forced Russia to redeploy fighter bombers further away from the contested zone and exercise more caution when attacking. Larger aircraft have been forced to alter their operations as well.
Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace. putin is struggling to place his economy on wartime footing to accomplish this goal.
*****
NUCLEAR THREATS –
See “Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments” above regarding possible Russian deployment of nuclear weapons into orbit.
Russian Personnel Issues –-
Some analysts are indicating that Russia has gotten its conscription and recruiting problems under control and can enlist at rates about equal to the ongoing losses in Ukraine. Some suggest that Russia can sustain such levels for a couple years before the body pool started to be significantly drained.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 30-40 range early in the week, with scattered snow and rain. Temps dropping to the teens-20s later in the period.
24 HOUR ROUND UP – Weather continues to dominate action on the ground. However, temperatures are reaching levels around Ukraine that are starting to freeze the ground locally, meaning that ground operations may have their tempo increase over the coming days/weeks.
Ukrainian air defense shot down 8 of 12 Kh-101 missiles, 2 of 2 Kaliber cruise missiles, 1 of 6 Iskander-M/KN-23 ballistic missiles, 2 of 4 Kh-59 missiles, also Russia launched 2 S-300 missiles from Belgorod region.
Multiple hits in western Ukraine, Kharkiv and Kyiv regions.
Avdiivka -
Greater and greater concerns over the defense of Avdiivka are coming from Ukrainian sources. Again, major emphasis on the lack of ammo and artillery rounds. For over a year, Ukraine has made this battle field a death zone for Russian forces because they could place timely artillery on Russian target. With out it, the Russian ‘meat’ attacks - essentially human waves - backed up by Russian artillery no longer fearing Ukraine counter battery fire - is carving up key portions of the Ukraine defensive lines.
The drive by Russian forces to isolate Avdiivka by cutting southwest between the town and the coke refinery is holding and now threatening Ukraines’ secondary supply route into the town. It is reaching a point where Ukraine must make a critical decision - commit enough reserves to eliminate the Russian push and reestablish supply lines or begin a staged withdrawal from the city.
Russian Territory –
Russian Telegram channels report a fire at an oil refinery in Kursk region near Polevaya village. According to them, a 100 tonnes reservoir is burning. Kursk governor said it was a drone attack.
Outlook —
Weather and mud conditions are continuing to dictate ground operations, which are at a low level due to lack of maneuverability cross country and on dirt roads due to the mud.
The situation in Avdiivka is becoming critical for Ukraine. See comments above.
Ukraine also continues to hit Russian oil refineries - exploiting gaps in ADA coverage and hitting key facilities resulting in significant losses in fuel for not only the civilian but military use.
Belarus -
Belarus declared counter-terrorism operation in Lelchitsky district of Homiel region on the border of Ukraine . State govt also announced that this was a routine exercise.
NOTE - Homiel was one of the major staging areas Russia used in its invasion of N Ukraine.
Pakistan –
Pakistan’s army-backed Muslim League-Nawaz (PML-N) party and the Pakistan Peoples Party (PPP) have announced an agreement to form a coalition government, despite the currently jailed ex-PM Imran Khan’s party Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PIT) emerging as clearly the single most popular ‘winner’ from the Feb.8 elections. No party singularly won an outright majority of seats in parliament, however.
Bilawal Bhutto Zardari’s PPP confirmed that it would help Nawaz Sharif’s Muslim League elect a prime minister. Meetings to form an alliance began Tuesday night, and by Wednesday morning it was widely being reported that former PM Shehbaz Sharif, the younger brother of Nawaz, has been nominated.
Crucially, these are the very two parties who were in the coalition that ousted then PM Imran Khan from power in 2022, after which he was slapped with literally over 100 charges of corruption. Khan’s supporters have said we are witnessing a process whereby the military and its political allies are ‘stealing’ an election, after Khan’s PIT was already barred from the election, with its candidates forced to run as independents.
OBSERVATION - If this pans out, Pakistan is on the transjectory for continued civil disruption to the edge of a low grade civil war. Lay on top of this, grown islamic terrorism in more outlying regions also threatening the govt and you have a scary scenario where nuclear weapons could get into the wrong hands.
ISRAEL –
Now the war is entering its 5th month.
Key overnight developments -
- Increasing tensions along the Israeli/Lebanese border.
- Facing proof of UNRWA collusion with Hamas and associated loss of funding, UNRWA officials are pleading for more money.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Lest we forget - there are still 105 being held hostage in Gaza.
UNRWA Commissioner-General - “If there are no new contributions, our operations will face a major funding shortage in April.”
“Dismantling the agency will be a disappointment to the Palestinians from the international community and will affect their lives.”
***
According to a report in The Wall Street Journal, Israel has proposed setting up tent compounds for Palestinian evacuees currently sheltering in Rafah, as part of a developing plan funded by the United States and Arab countries, in preparation for an IDF ground operation.
According to a report in the Lebanese news site Al-Akhbar, the establishment of the tent cities is a coordination between Israel, the United States, Egypt, Jordan, and the UAE. The funding and construction of the tent cities largely being the responsibility of the US and its Arab partners. The tent cities would also include medical field clinics.
The Al-Akhbar report said the communities will be run by “mukhtars,” government officials appointed by authorities, and who are not affiliated with Hamas.
https://www.newsmax.com/world/globaltalk/israel-palestinian-refugees/2024/02/14/id/1153538/
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Ongoing search and destroy operations throughout Gaza. Reports of more mass surrenders of Hamas and affiliated fighters. Also more reports of Hamas popping back up in N Gaza into areas previously cleared by IDF.
The Israeli army says that its special forces are carrying out an operation inside Nasser Hospital in the Gaza Strip. The Israel Defense Forces says it has “credible intelligence”, including from released hostages, that Hamas held hostages at the hospital in southern Gaza. Militants appear to be operating from within the hospital too.
IDF continues in its preparation of the battlefield for entering Rafah. Current pause being to let civilians evacuate the town.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Continued exchanges of fire between Hezbollah and IDF along the border. Levels of fire have been increasing.
***
The Prime Minister of Lebanon asks the Foreign Ministry to submit a new complaint against Israel in the Security Council.
***
Senior Hezbollah official and member of parliament Hassan Fadlallah said on Thursday that Israel would face reprisal after two sets of strikes on southern Lebanon the previous day killed 10 civilians, half of them children.
“The enemy (Israel) will pay the price for these crimes,” Fadlallah told Reuters when asked about the powerful Iran-backed armed group’s reaction to the deadliest day for civilians in Lebanon since hostilities began along its southern border.
The Israeli strikes on Wednesday came after shelling of a military base in northern Israel killed one soldier and waves of rocket attacks on N Israeli towns. Hezbollah did not claim responsibility for that attack.
***
During an assessment in northern Israel, IDF Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Herzi Halevi says the IDF is preparing for war in the north, amid Hezbollah’s daily attacks from Lebanon.
“We are not finishing this without returning the residents to Metula and all the communities in the north, with a very high level of security,” Halevi says, referring to some 80,000 Israelis displaced by Hezbollah’s attacks.
“We are now focused on being ready for war in the north. If it does not end in war, it will not end with any compromise to the achievements,” he says.
“Hezbollah is not here on the fence, we will push back all its capabilities, it will be much quieter here, there will be much more stability here and then residents can return,” Halevi continues. “Will this happen tomorrow? Probably not. It will take some time.”
https://harbingersdaily.com/israel-at-war-week-18/
———WEST BANK——————————-
Arrests continue in numerous cities in the West Bank. Associated with those raids, clashes break out between arabs and Israeli security forces.
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
The President of Brazil from Cairo - “Israel’s behavior in Gaza has no explanation, as it kills women and children under the pretext of fighting Hamas”
***
The United Arab Emirates and other Arab countries are restricting the US’s use of military facilities in their territory to launch airstrikes against the Iranian axis, people familiar with the issue told Politico on Wednesday.
The restrictions come as Arab countries attempt to balance the desire to help the US deter Iran and its proxies, while also assuaging their citizens’ anger toward Israel.
Several Iranian proxies have threatened to attack Arab states that the US uses to launch strikes from.
In October, just a few weeks after the Israel-Hamas war began, Alwiyat al-Waad al-Haq, an Iran-backed militia believed to be linked to the Iraqi Kataib Hezbollah militia, threatened to target bases where American forces are housed in Kuwait and the UAE.
——— FORECAST ————————-
Israel to continue search and destroy operations across Gaza. Fighting to continue to be locally intense across all Gaza as Hamas and affiliate cells are discovered and neutralized as well as of the couple hundred miles of tunnels are uncovered and destroyed.
As Israel build up for its enterence in to Rafah, so too does warnings from international sources. However, much of the collusion of the UNRWA with hamas combined with the conditions the rescued hostages were held under have blunted some of the warnings.
Analysts are suggesting that Israel will hold off its assault for a couple weeks, to give time for the evacuation and associated erection of a tent city to house the gazans.
Just dawned on me that in regards to the rocket attacks coming from Lebanon, the shift of the source of the attacks has occurred. Initial attacks were by hamas affiliated groups launching poor quality rockets. Now essentially all rockets being fired are from Hezbollah - an act that has definitely pulled them into a spiral of escalation with Israel. As Ive noted before, this has also granted israel ample justification to attack key command and logistical facilities Hezbollah will rely on during the eventual all out war with Israel.
Globalism / Great Reset –
Upcoming meetings of importance
- WHO February 19 to 21, Trans guideline committee.
- WHO pandemic ‘treaty’ May 2024
*****
(FO) According to people familiar with the matter, former Deputy National Security Advisor for international economics Daleep Singh is returning to the White House.
Singh said during a Senate hearing that the White House pushed for a U.S. digital dollar as “the single best step that we could take because it would crowd out the ecosystem of crypto that allows national security adversaries, like Russia, to exploit our deficiencies.”
OBSERVATION - Besides being a hawk on Russia, Singh is also a proponent for a digital dollar, or a Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC), which likely means a renewed push from the White House for a consumer digital dollar.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
Showdown in TX continues. The beacons of Gondor are lit ! !
***
With the weekend approaching, there are indicators that pro-hamas rallies will be conducted in various cities across the US. The Gaza war has dropped to lower levels of concern to other domestic issues, so these pro-hamas groups are looking at more aggressive types of protests to gain the main news. These protests are believed to be an increase in “street takeover” demonstrations. Included in this are calls for more an escalation to direct action activities like black bloc tactics at demonstrations. (FO)
***
Darwin Andres Gomez-Izquiel, 19, who reportedly ganged up on a New York City cop was arrested again yesterday, this time because of a Macy’s robbery where he apparently beat up a security guard.
OBSERVATION - This recent crop of illegals is accelerating the crime spree in NYC. Thought reports don’t say - bets are that he is back on the streets with a no-bail release.
The upwelling in organized gang crime - particularly by those coming from Venezuela is beginning to tip the scales in the domestic stability of our metro areas. As the country splits politically - power vacuums will form to be filled by gangs of many flavors. This creates a whole new grouping of threats that higher today than 3 years ago.
Terrorism - Level is HIGH due to impending conflict with Iran.
This warning renewed as of Feb 6, 2024
ELEVATED RISK - Potential military action against Iranian assets for the attack that killed US forces in Jordan could result in Iranian terror groups here in the US to activate and conduct terror ops here. These attacks can range from infrastructure destruction (water, power, communications, etc) to mass casualty events (superbowl related attacks) or attacks on political candidates - heavily leaning against current administration but also Trump as well. So far the govt hasn’t come out with any warnings but the risk has increased significantly the last 24 hours, based on common sense and stated goals of the Islamist movement/Iran.
***
Police confirm that the Kansas City shooting was a dispute between several thugs, including 2 juveniles. This has all the hallmarks of gang violence, and not a terrorist incident per say .
Of course the left is screaming for more gun control laws that these criminals will just ignore.
Economy-
Cross reference with WEF Global Reset items
Americans are struggling in an economy in which, by official statistics, nearly one-fifth of the value of their dollars has evaporated in three years—though many will say the cost of food and other essentials has become more expensive than what the official numbers state.
The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA), which tracks food prices, offers an optimistic assessment of the coming year. After having gone up 9.9 percent in 2022, the USDA states, “[food] prices grew more slowly in 2023,” increasing by only 5.8 percent.
“Food prices are expected to continue to decelerate in 2024,” the USDA projects.
While some predict that the worst is behind us, analysts of the U.S. farming industry say there is another round of price inflation in the works, which will come from the Biden administration’s “whole of government” effort to reduce global temperatures.
A recent report by the Buckeye Institute attempts to quantify the cost of Bidenomics to farmers.
The report, titled “Net-Zero Climate-Control Policies Will Fail the Farm,” projects that farmers will see costs rise by at least 34 percent, which will increase the household grocery bill for an American family of four by more than $1,300 per year.
“Complying with net-zero emissions policies and corporate ESG reporting requirements will increase prices of farm inputs, the costs of which will ultimately be passed onto consumers at grocery stores and restaurants,” the report states.
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/climate-agenda-set-push-food-prices-even-higher-analysts-say
OBSERVATION - They want to essentially kill agriculture because of the phantom menace farming allegedly has in the creation of green house gasses. The secondary (and deeply hidden) reason is to reduce the population the earth thru a forced famine scenario. We are the carbon they ultimately want to reduce.
The same agenda has caused massive protests by farmers in Europe over the past couple months - many are still continuing. The are pushing for the full closure of farms and ranches - obtainable via stringent laws and hyper high costs of essentials, like diesel for the tractors.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
Continued controversy regarding a potential Russian nuclear space based weapon. A lot of speculation and lack of details.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Dates of importance
March 1 - latest CR expires
March 5- Super Tuesday primaries
***
More evidence that 0bama conspired with the CIA and foreign govts to illegally spy on Trump and his organization during his transition period following his election. As classified letter has been revealed and published. The letter addressed to Boris Johnson also mentions Susan Rice’s involvement in spying on Trump during his transition period.
In this letter, GCHQ was asked -
“at the request of the US President seeking intelligence gathering into the Trump Organization and Donald J. Trump for President, Inc”
OBSERVATION - For those of you old enough to remember Watergate - this action by 0bama make that wiretapping look like child’s play. This is a level of treason beyond belief. This spying was initially written off as another conspiracy theory. Once again it appears the theorists were correct, and now the evil deeds are being uncovered.
Will anything be done substantially to put the wrong doers in prison. Sadly, no, even if Trump gets elected, the swamp won’t rat out their own.
***
Fani Willis and Nathan Wade, her illicit lover, had a terrible, awful, very bad day yesterday where a judge heard testimony on a motion by defendants to disqualify Fani Willis from her prosecution of Donald Trump and others. I’ll defer to the FR threads that go into all the gory details of yesterday’s testimonies. BTW - there’s more in tap today. Sitcom or soap opera - you decide.
Yesterday went to bad that MSNBC legal analyst, defense attorney and FBI official Caroline Polisi told MSNBC that she believed Fulton County District Attorney Fani Willis will likely be “disqualified” from overseeing Donald Trump’s Georgia election interference case due to her improper relationship with lead prosecutor Nathan Wade.
Suffice it to say that beyond Fani Willis wearing her dress backwards (!) - (yes, not Babylon Bee)
- Fani Willis admitted Felony Campaign Finance Fraud in addition to perjury
- Nathan Wade lied and committed Perjury
In the “Before Years”, this case against Trump would be tossed out in a second. In today’s politicized judiciary that is no longer a given, nor any punishment to Fani or Wade. I would love to be surprised though.
***
Biden’s Justice Department (DOJ) is suing Tennessee, claiming the state’s law against prostitutes, who know they have HIV and yet engage in sex with their clients, is discriminatory.
The DOJ’s lawsuit, filed Thursday, alleges that the State of Tennessee and the Tennessee Bureau of Investigation (TB) are violating the federal Americans with Disabilities Act (ADA) by punishing HIV-infected prostitutes who may knowingly risk infecting their customers.
A statute instituted in 1991 defines the crime as “aggravated prostitution” and makes it a Class C felony.
OBSERVATION - In the Before Years this kind of lawsuit would not even be considered by the DoJ. However, now in the ‘new normal’ of Alice’s wonderland, these kind of lawsuits are becoming the norm. Part of the Cloward–Piven strategy - a political strategy outlined in 1966 by American sociologists and political activists Richard Cloward and Frances Fox Piven. It is the strategy of forcing political change leading to societal collapse through orchestrated crises.
***
The U.S. House of Representatives went on recess until February 28 without considering a bill for aid to Ukraine, Israel, and Taiwan. This decision by House Speaker Mike Johnson was criticized by the White House.
OBSERVATION - Oh MY, this is going to create quite the vicious battle on capitol hill when congress reconvenes. Three major agenda items will be clashing. The foreign aid bill for Ukraine/Israel/Taiwan; border security ; and finalizing a federal budget before the current March 1 deadline. We’ve already seen this past week how vicious it has gotten. Next month will be even crazier. Throw the Mayorkas impeachment effort into the mix as well.
According to the last continuing resolution, government funding is set to run out over two dates, 01 March and 08 March, and House Republicans are saying they will not pass another continuing resolution. One can expect that the Govt will go into shutdown as a result of the political fighting and maneuvering on capitol hill.
Biden / Harris Watch –
Dates to watch -
March 7 - State of the union
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Special Counsel Robert Hur, who was tasked with probing president Joe Biden’s handling of classified documents, is set to testify before Congress in March.
US media reported that Mr Hur will testify before the Republican-led House Judiciary Committee on March 12.
The news follows Mr Hur’s report in which he raised questions about the president’s memory and mental fitness.
House Republicans have indicated that they intend to ask Mr Hur about his comments on the president’s memory.
They have also asked him to turn over recordings and transcripts of his interviews with Mr Biden, which he made during his year-long investigation.
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-68313088
OBSERVATION - There’s a storm coming. . . .
Illegal Immigration –
See CW2 on Texas standoff.
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It has been noted in the past, but the conspiracy has grown to massive proportions in the involvement of NGOs in aiding illegals to enter the US. Non-governmental organizations like OIM, Red Cross, UNICEF, HIAS, the European Union, Doctors Without Borders, UNHCR, and the Norwegian Refugee Council are offering migrants aid and instructions on how to get into the United States.
The migrants have been receiving maps with specific routes that detail how to make it safely to the U.S.-Mexico border.
OBSERVATION - Many have been receiving US $$$ supporting their efforts. Some, like a Universalist Church organization - has military age, single males in camps in the woods - out of sight of regulatory individuals/law enforcement. This is aiding and abetting - and people should go to jail over this.
****
What has happened to the thousands of illegal alien children that have entered the US. This is a scary thought considering the exponential growth in pedophilia and child trafficking. Now the US govt has made things worse.
The HHS Office of Inspector General found that HHS failed to run basic safety checks.
The Department of Health and Human Services is required to screen adults who volunteer to take in children arriving in the country without parents. But the analysis concluded that the department failed to prove it ran basic safety checks — like address or criminal background checks — on some adults who took in children. In about a third of the cases reviewed by the federal watchdog, the agency did not have legible documentation for the adults on file.
“We found that children’s case files and sponsor records were not always updated with important documentation and information,” said Haley Lubeck, an analyst for the HHS Office of Inspector General, which conducted the review.
The federal health agency responded to the report by saying it has improved the process and the report only shows a limited window into how the agency handled cases “during an unprecedented influx.” HHS said it has also added new training for its employees handling migrant children.
OBSERVATION - These kids are disappearing through there cracks and many into the hands of child predators. This is unconscionable. This is what human trafficking and child slavery look like. Who knows what was happening to those children? It sure isn’t the Biden administration.
***
Newly uncovered emails between Department of Homeland Security officials and journalists show the agency tasked with protecting U.S. border and domestic security admitted it is not tracking illegal immigrants after they were released from federal custody into the interior of the country.
In the emails obtained by the watchdog group Protect the Public’s Trust in a Freedom of Information Act request, one DHS official told a Washington Post reporter off the record he could not say how many immigrants are settling in Northern states via border state busing programs because the agency does not track those released from their custody.
https://hotair.com/headlines/2024/02/16/no-were-not-tracking-illegals-released-into-america-n3783015
OBSERVATION - Remember, recently revealed that illegals flying commercial air do not have to be photographed. They don’t want us to know where they’ve been moved to.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Feb 2, 2024, closing in on two years of war.
Russia is attempting to seize the initiative by executing a winter/spring offensive across the eastern front. Russia has reportedly concentrated 40,000 troops to sustain this offensive. Though reports indicate that there have been some limited successes, Russian forces have taken heavy losses. One key objective continues to be the capture of Avdiivak, near Donetsk, as well as terrain lost to Ukraine during the Ukraine fall offensive in 2022. The attacks associated with this offensive do not appear to be supportive of each other in a manner that could help expedite any breakthrough and initiate any significant armor / mobile action. These assault axis also appear to be vulnerable to Ukrainian strikes on their logistics trains.
Russia has been able to gradually enlarge the number of soldiers in the theatre to the 400,000 range. Training and equipping of these forces is still rated very poor. Russia has drawn heavily upon ‘volunteers’ from penal colonies for their “Z” shock troops- the primary element of their meat attack (human wave) assaults against Ukraine defenses. It has been documented that ‘enforcement’ squads follow behind these ‘shock troops’ with orders to shoot any who attempt to retreat.
Russia continues to suffer heavy tank and APC losses. Old, cold war era tanks and APCs are becoming more and more common sights in battle fields. (formerly) Elite units like the Russian marines are routinely seen with T54/55 series tanks instead of the T72/80/90 series they were commonly equipped with.
Shortages of Ukraine artillery ammo has permitted Russia to regain some degree of local superiority on the battlefield. Some estimates give Russia a 3:1 advantage. This is down substantially from the start of the war where it had a 10:1 advantage.
Russian has been shepherding its stockpile of missiles/drones for a potential effort to take down the Ukraine power grid as they did winter 2023. This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. In the latest, large missile / drone attack, the Black Sea fleet was noticeably out of action. In the last half of 2023, Ukraine was able to take out about 20% of the fleet.
The Russia air force has taken significant losses at the hands of Ukraine. This has forced Russia to redeploy fighter bombers further away from the contested zone and exercise more caution when attacking. Larger aircraft have been forced to alter their operations as well.
Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace. putin is struggling to place his economy on wartime footing to accomplish this goal.
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NUCLEAR THREATS –
The United States’ warning that Russia is developing nuclear weapons in space was written off by Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov on Thursday as a farce meant to scare Congress into giving Ukraine more funding.
“It is obvious that the White House is trying, by hook or by crook, to encourage Congress to vote on a bill to allocate money; this is obvious,” Peskov said. “We’ll see what tricks the White House will use,” he continued.
The rumors were also denounced as a “malicious fabrication” by Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergey Ryabkov.
“We have seen these reports. This is part of a trend that has been there for a decade, with the Americans making up malicious stories and ascribing to us some actions and intentions that they don’t like,” Ryabkov told a Russian media outlet.
“In working with them, we keep telling them that groundless allegations of any kind will get no reaction from us. If they make some claims, they should at least provide evidence,” Ryabkov added, referencing the Biden administration.
https://www.oann.com/newsroom/russia-calls-u-s-space-nuke-rumors-malicious-fabrication/
Logistics –
A massive crater was discovered after a recent Russian missile attack on the Kyiv region. It is suspected to be from a North Korean ballistic missile that was intercepted and fell in a forest, leaving a massive crater and vaporized all trees in an 80 meter diameter. It is believed the missile to be a NK KN-23. The KN-23 is a new SRBM first tested in May 2019, with a range of 690 km and a visual similarity to Russia’s Iskander-M.
Russian Personnel Issues –-
Unconfirmed reports that Russian Black Sea Fleet commander Admiral Viktor Sokolov has been relieved of his command.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 30-40 range early in the week, with scattered snow and rain. Temps dropping to the teens-20s later in the period.
24 HOUR ROUND UP – Weather continues to dominate action on the ground. However, temperatures are reaching levels around Ukraine that are starting to freeze the ground locally, meaning that ground operations may have their tempo increase over the coming days/weeks.
General Staff of Armed forces of Ukraine estimates Russian losses at 400,300. This is more than twice the original invasion force number. For comparison, when Russia pulled out of Afghanistan they had only lost a little over 12,000.
Avdiivka -
Ukrainan defenses in the city are beginning to fall. A decision was made to withdraw from the “Zenith” position to the south-eastern outskirts of Avdiivka, - commander Tarnavskyi. Ground based information on “Zenith” are confused, but it appears that Russian forces have essentially encircled the position and Ukraine forces are attempting a break through to facilitate evacuation. Another Russian push in the north, between the town and the coke plant continues to gain ground, threatening the rest of Ukrainian defenses. Reportedly, Russia has mustered a 7:1 advantage in men - launching almost nonstop meat attacks that Ukraine doesn’t have enough artillery ammo to fend of as they have in the past. Small arms ammo is at a premium as well.
Outlook —
Weather and mud conditions are continuing to dictate ground operations, which are at a low level due to lack of maneuverability cross country and on dirt roads due to the mud.
The situation in Avdiivka is becoming critical for Ukraine, and the likelihood that it is going to fall within the next few days is increasing moment by moment. This would be one of Russia’s most significant tactical victories of the war. In contrast to the capture of Bakhmut, Russian leadership actually put together a component of maneuver and supporting attacks across the sector. They still had to rely a lot on ‘meat’ attacks. A turning point is also the severe lack of artillery rounds. Ukraine has devastated Russian attacks with timely and well placed artillery strikes on attacking forces. It is severely lacking in the current situation.
ISRAEL –
Now the war is entering its 5th month.
Key overnight developments -
- Israel entered Nasser Hospital in search of evidence of hostages and Hamas terrorists. Several terror suspects were arrested during the raid
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Lest we forget - there are still 105 being held hostage in Gaza.
Doctors Without Borders: We call on the Israeli forces to stop their attack on Nasser Hospital in Khan Yunis immediately
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Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu rejected all plans for unilateral recognition of Palestinian statehood after he spoke with US President Joe Biden for 40 minutes and after the security cabinet met.
“At the cabinet meeting, I clarified my position regarding the recent talk of imposing a Palestinian state on Israel,” Netanyahu wrote in a post on X.
“These two sentences sum up my position,” he explained.
״Israel outright rejects international dictates regarding a permanent arrangements with the Palestinians. Such an arrangement will be reached only through direct negotiations between the parties, without preconditions,” Netanyahu wrote.
“Israel will continue to oppose the unilateral recognition of a Palestinian state. Such recognition in the wake of the October 7 massacre would give a huge reward to unprecedented terrorism and prevent any future peace settlement,” Netanyahu stressed.
https://harbingersdaily.com/israel-at-war-week-18/
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Ongoing search and destroy operations throughout Gaza. Reports of more mass surrenders of Hamas and affiliated fighters. Also more reports of Hamas popping back up in N Gaza into areas previously cleared by IDF.
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The Israel Defense Forces announced on Thursday that there was “credible evidence” that Hamas held hostages at Nasser Hospital in the southern Gaza city of Khan Yunis, and that the bodies of dead captives may be located inside the facility.
In a video message, IDF spokesperson Rear Adm. Daniel Hagari revealed that IDF special forces were conducting a “precise and limited operation” inside the hospital, with the military later stating that several terror suspects were arrested during the raid.
OBSERVATION - This operation should not be a surprise. Every hospital/medical facility has proven to be a cover for Hamas activity - storing fighting equipment and covering underground bunker systems. Evidence that sub-hospital bunkers in other parts of Gaza held hostages is also abundant.
“As was proven with the Shifa Hospital, Rantisi Hospital, Al Amal Hospital and many other hospitals across Gaza, Hamas systematically uses hospitals as terror hubs,” IDF spokesperson Rear Adm. Daniel Hagari said.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Continued exchanges of fire between Hezbollah and IDF along the border. Levels of fire have been increasing.
Israeli Foreign Minister - “The world must pressure Iran and Hezbollah to withdraw from southern Lebanon”
The Israeli army says it carried out a strike on a building used by the Hezbollah terror group in the southern Lebanon town of Qantara last night. According to the Israeli army, several operatives were killed in the strike carried out by fighter jets.
Hezbollah announced that 7 of its members were killed in Israeli bombing of southern Lebanon during the last 24 hours
———WEST BANK——————————-
Arrests continue in numerous cities in the West Bank. Associated with those raids, clashes break out between arabs and Israeli security forces.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
Rockets targeted the American base in the Al-Omar oil field in the Deir Ezzor countryside.
The US-British coalition carried out new airstrikes on various areas in Al-Hudaydah, Yemen overnight.
On Feb. 15, at approximately 4:30 p.m., an anti-ship ballistic missile was launched from Houthi controlled areas of Yemen into the Gulf of Aden. The missile was headed toward MV Lycavitos, a Barbados-flagged, UK-owned and operated bulk carrier. The ship reported no injuries but very minor damage in the attack and continued its voyage. Additionally, between the hours of 3:10 p.m. – 8 p.m. (Sanaa time), U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) forces successfully conducted two self-defense strike against three mobile anti-ship cruise missiles (ASCM) in Houthi-controlled areas of Yemen that were prepared to launch against ships in the Red Sea. CENTCOM identified these mobile missiles in Houthi-controlled areas of Yemen and determined they presented an imminent threat to U.S. Navy ships and merchant vessels in the region
The US recently conducted a cyberattack against the Iranian military ship MV Behshad which had been collecting intelligence on cargo vessels in the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden, officials say - NBC
——— FORECAST ————————-
Israel to continue search and destroy operations across Gaza. Fighting to continue to be locally intense across all Gaza as Hamas and affiliate cells are discovered and neutralized as well as of the couple hundred miles of tunnels are uncovered and destroyed.
Israel continues to target Hezbollah leadership in air strikes into Lebanon. As I’ve noted before, IDF is preparing the battle field in these strikes for the eventual ground war, wearing down Hezbollah preparations, command and communications.
It is my assessment that Israel is not going to kick the offensive off until things get better resolved in Gaza. Hezbollah may sense this and launch a preemptive offensive. However, Israel is positioned well in this regard to deal with Hezbollah forces on the ground. With progressive targeting of know rocket launching sites, the threat of massive rocket barrages become incrementally smaller, but still staggering to comprehend. I don’t think Hezbollah is quite ready to commit so such an all out war, possibly preferring to wait for Israels first move. Dangerous position to give IDF the option to seize the initiative right off the bat. Israel has been preparing for this war since 2008 and won’t make the same mistakes that it appears Hezbollah is hoping for a second time.
Armenia/Azerbaijan –
Azerbaijan is planning a “full-scale war” against Armenia, Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan said Thursday, two days after a skirmish on their border left four Armenian troops dead.
Tensions between the two Caucasus neighbors have remained high since Baku recaptured the Armenian-populated region of Nagorno-Karabakh last September in a lightning military offensive. “Our analysis shows that Azerbaijan wants to launch military action in some parts of the border with the prospect of turning military escalation into a full-scale war against Armenia,” Pashinyan said at a government meeting. “This intention can be read in all statements and actions of Azerbaijan,” he added. Yerevan is concerned that Azerbaijan, emboldened by its success in Karabakh, could invade Armenian territory in order to create a land bridge to its exclave of Nakhchivan. Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev, who won re-election this month, said in an inauguration speech Wednesday it was Armenia, not Azerbaijan, that had outstanding territorial claims. “We have no territorial claims to Armenia. And they should give up their claims. Talking to us in the language of blackmail will cost them dearly,” he said. Pashinyan and Aliyev previously said a peace agreement could have been signed by the end of last year, but internationally mediated peace talks have failed to yield a breakthrough. On Tuesday, both sides accused each other of opening fire on their volatile border, in a skirmish Armenia said left four of its soldiers dead.
https://english.alarabiya.net/News/world/2024/02/15/Azerbaijan-planning-full-scale-war-Armenia-warns
OBSERVATION - This threatens to be a regional conflict unless both sides cool down. With Russia out of the position of supporting Armenia - an act that kept relative calm between the two nations for quite a few years - the Azeri’s are seeing territorial growth potential with their historic enemies. However, the story gets complicated from there with Iran supporting the Armenians, oddly a Christian country, essentially because a worse enemy - Israel has been supplying arms to Azeris. Turkey is also supporting Azerbaijan as they have ought against the Armenians for centuries.