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CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
More than 200 U.S. active duty and retired service members are vowing to hold senior military leaders in the Biden administration — “who broke the law” — accountable for establishing the COVID-19 vaccine mandate.
“While implementing the COVID-19 vaccine mandate, military leaders broke the law, trampled on constitutional rights, denied informed consent, permitted unwilling medical experimentation and suppressed the free exercise of religion,” read a letter from active duty service members and veterans sent Monday to senior military leaders. A copy of the letter, titled a Declaration of Accountability, was posted on X by Brad Miller, who describes himself as a former Army officer.
OBSERVATION - I noted over a year ago, the mandate violated the DoD’s own orders by illegally substituting (as adjudicated in federal court) an unauthorized version of the wuhan jab for the authorized, which was never used. Add to it blanket rejections - again against the law - plus the other actions noted in the letter, means this was a deliberate action to tear down the military. BTW, same debilitating sudden deaths and other medical effects that have hit the general population have hit the military.
This declaration annotates another line in the sand that the regime has crossed and I as a veteran say godspeed to its goals to make accountable those in authority who committed these criminal acts.
This also marks another foundational stone in the progression of a CW2 - citizens moving to hold govt / military leaders accountable for their actions. These veterans are now wearing a big target should the regimen go full monty and try a crack down of some sort - a scary possibility as the election gets closer and closer.
Terrorism - Level is HIGH due to increased lone wolf threats.
A deadly, fiery crash that occurred outside an entertainment venue in upstate New York early New Year’s Day is being investigated as possible terrorism, a law enforcement source briefed on the case told ABC News.
Two people were killed and five others injured after a Ford Expedition struck a Mitsubishi Outlander that was exiting a parking lot near the Kodak Center in Rochester, according to the city’s police chief, David Smith.
First responders found at least a dozen gasoline canisters in and around the Ford Expedition once the fire was extinguished, the police chief said.
“We are continuing to work with our federal partners, including the FBI, to learn exactly what led to this crash,” Smith said.
The driver of the Expedition is from Syracuse and drove his own vehicle to the Syracuse airport, where he rented the extra-large SUV, law enforcement officials confirmed to ABC News.
OBSERVATION - That is a lot of gasoline cans, making it very suspect as a potential terror attack. No released further information on the Expedition driver, though there is a slight inference about Gaza.
Also, some are seeing a connection to similar vehicle attacks over the past year.
Economy-
Gold prices closed out 2023 at record highs.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
The Bataan Amphib Group re-assembling following the departure of the Ford CSG.
POLITICAL FRONT –
With almost regal fanfare, the Epstine logs are coming out. The MSM has gone into overdrive to obfuscate them, citing old releases as being the new ones. As the fallout from the release hits - yes we are seeing actual names now - the effects could be wide as it seems there are many active politicians listed numerous times going to the island.
Illegal Immigration –
Final numbers still coming in but so far Customs and Border Patrol said the agency had 302,000 border encounters in December, the single highest month ever recorded, and 785,000 encounters since September.
China –
On Sunday, Chinese President Xi Jinping promised to take Taiwan by force, if necessary, so that the island nation would be reunified with mainland China. The comments were made during a year-end address in which Xi reasserted the CCP’s longstanding position that Taiwan is a rebel region and must be reunited with the mainland, the New York Post reports.
OBSERVATION - A continuation of what Xi has been saying for several years now. Statements seen more critical now as an apparent attempt to intimidate and sway voters in the upcoming Taiwan national elections.
North/South Korea –
South Korean opposition leader Lee Jae-myung stabbed in his neck at press conference in Busan. His current condition is not yet known. He was seen falling to the ground, bleeding from his neck. Health officials are saying his wounds are not life-threatening.
Police have arrested a 67-year-old man stabbed Lee, on the left side of his neck with an 18cm knife bought online, police said.
Lee lost to conservative Yoon Suk Yeol in a tight presidential race in 2022. Lee is widely expected to run for president again in 2027, and recent polls have indicated that he remains a strong contender. Lee is also currently on trial for alleged bribery stemming from a development project when he was mayor of Seongnam near Seoul.
OBSERVATION - This will definitely increase tensions in SK politics.
Japan –
Country recovering following a 7.8 quake, 48 dead and counting. Minor tsunami was triggered.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Jan 1, 2024
With the end of the Ukraine summer offensive and the ongoing winter mud season, Russia is struggling to gain the initiative on several fronts in easter Ukraine. Russia maintains it attacks to take Adviivka, even in the face of huge losses. Russia continues to launch smaller attacks daily across the front lines.
Russian has been shepherding its stockpile of missiles/drones with the likelyhood of attempting to take down the Ukraine power grid as they did winter 2023. This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. In the latest, large missile / drone attack, the Black Sea fleet was noticeably out of action. In the last half of 2023, Ukraine was able to take out about 20% of the fleet.
While Russia has reportedly about 400K of soldiers in the theater, all evidence indicates that they are poorly trained and equipped. Russian forces are increasingly having to rely on 50’s and 60’s vintage tanks, APCs and other vehicles. Russian large assaults continue to be what are referred to as ‘meat’ attacks - throwing large numbers of lightly armed, foot troops at Ukraine defenses in hopes of overwhelming them. These tactics ‘worked’ at Bakhmut but there Russia still had a superiority in artillery support. Concerted efforts by Ukraine to locate and destroy Russian artillery, combined with wear and tear taking systems out and poor/no ammo has generally caused Russia to lose the edge in artillery firepower.
Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace.
Russia is believed to be trying to muster a force for a winter offensive, once the soils freeze up and permit cross country maneuver. Focus of such an offensive has not solidified but the most likely candidate for one front is the continued attempt to eliminate the salient at Adviivka.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temps in the 20-40 degree range with on again, off again rain and snow.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Weather continues to dominate action on the ground.
Russia launched another major missile assault. It is believed that Russia used up to at least 21 Russian strategic bombers [17 Tu-95Ms & 4 Tu-22m3].
Of the 99 missiles launched by Russia, 72 downed by Ukraine
10/10 Kh-42M2 Khinzal. This is the highest number of Kinzhal Missiles fired by Russia in one day
59/70 Kh-101/555/55 cruise missiles
3/3 Kalibr
0/4 Kh-31P
0/12 SRBM (S-300/400, Iskander-M)
Kharkiv and Kyiv were both targeted heavily.
Russia also launched renewed attacks in the Adviivka region.
Outlook —
Weather and mud conditions are continuing to dictate ground operations, which are at a low level due to lack of maneuverability cross country and on dirt roads due to the mud.
Observers are going back to the missile counting game. This wasn’t too successful during last winter’s Russian blitz against the Ukraine power grid. However, the month’s long absence of Russian missile attacks (relying primarily on Shahed drones) heavily indicates they were working to build up their supply. Some estimate that Russia has enough missiles stored up for another 6 - 10 barrages like overnight.
Last night’s barrage was more focused - hitting Ukraine’s largest two cities.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Israelis warned that the fight could go on thru most of 2024
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Israel announced Sunday that it would begin to draw down the number of reservist brigades in Gaza, allowing some reservists to temporarily return to civilian life.
IDF Spokesman Brig.-Gen. Daniel Hagari said the IDF was giving the time off to refresh the forces, saying the “objectives of the war require prolonged fighting, and we are preparing accordingly.”
“We are wisely planning the management of the forces operating in the field, looking at the reserve system, the economy, refreshing forces, and continuing the combat training processes in the IDF,” Hagari said in a press briefing Sunday evening.
The reservists who have been given leave are expected to be called up later in the year, either in the south or along Israel’s increasingly active northern border.
https://allisrael.com/idf-releases-some-reservists-to-refresh-ahead-of-prolonged-fighting
OBSERVATION - Two quick take aways.
1. This is going to be a prolonged, many month conflict. Maintaining large force readiness can over time actually degrade that readiness.
2. It indicates that an attack into S Lebanon is not imminent and on Israel’s timetable it must be planning on (near) completion of Gaza operations first.
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
IDF air and artillery strikes intensified overnight against targets in central and S Gaza. Daily, Israel finds tunnels, ammo caches, and in some cases booby trapped schools as they continue to clear sectors.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Criticism in Lebanon of the Hezbollah is increasing, as is the demand that it stop firing at Israel due to fear that the country’s citizens will pay the price.
The chairman of the Christian Lebanese Forces party, Samir Geagea, claimed that “Hezbollah is doing manipulations at the expense of the fate of the Lebanese - claiming that it is helping Gaza. It is not helping Gaza, but harming it.”
Geagea is one of the politicians considered to be the leaders of the fight against Hezbollah and represents about a fifth of the Lebanese population.
Maronite patriarch Bechara al-Rai joined Geagea and said, “We are opposed to the war entering southern Lebanon, the citizens of Lebanon must be protected. The war has brought us to the lowest of the lows. We demand the removal of all the missile launchers between the houses to prevent a destructive response by Israel. Everyone should respect [UN Security Council] Resolution 1701.”
https://www.israelnationalnews.com/news/382860
OBSERVATION - Hezbollah has not created very many friends in Lebanon. Its heavy handedness in local and national politics has turned more against it than for it. It is not surprising that Lebanese Christian groups oppose Hezbollah. Several years ago, locals in S Lebanon openly opposed Hezbollah establishing military bases and rocket firing positions in/near their towns - resulting in a standoff. This resistance and general hatred of Hezbollah has likely been well exploited by Mossad to enhance the database for targeting key locations in the pending war with Hezbollah.
——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
At least five rockets fired from Syria at the Golan Heights, The rockets landed in open areas south of the Golan. The Israeli army confirmed it carried out strikes against sites belonging to the Syrian Army overnight, in response to the rocket fire on northern Israel
———WEST BANK——————————-
Israeli security forces continued operations in various areas of the West Bank.
Israel Defense Forces has said that its operations in the West Bank are pre-emptive and aimed at dealing with security threats. It says it has carried out a wide campaign against Hamas and other armed factions in the territory over the past three months.
It says that more than 2,550 people have been arrested, approximately 1,300 of whom are associated with Hamas.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
Iran’s Alborz warship has entered the Red Sea, the semi-official Tasnim news agency reported on Monday, at a time of soaring tensions on the key shipping route amid the Israel-Hamas war and attacks on vessels by forces allied to Tehran.
Tasnim did not give details of the Alborz’s mission but said Iranian warships had been operating in open waters to secure shipping routes, combat piracy and carry out other tasks since 2009.
The Alvand class destroyer had been a part of the Iranian navy’s 34th fleet, alongside the Bushehr support vessel, and patrolled the Gulf of Aden, the north of the Indian Ocean and the Bab Al-Mandab Strait as far back as 2015, according to Iran’s Press TV.
——— FORECAST ————————-
Israel to continue search and destroy operations across Gaza. They have most of N Gaza cleared and are moving efforts to central and S Gaza. Hamas and affiliated forces still have a lot of hide outs, as evidenced by the New Years rocket barrage. But attrition by Israel is very evident. Hamas was able to launch about 80 rockets after the operational ‘pause’, while this latest burst was only a couple dozen rockets.
Some analysts are looking at the possibility that Houthi’s will now directly attack US/coalition vessels now that the US has drawn blood.
The arrival of the Iranian destroyer has brought both cackles of laughter (its an old vessel) as well as concern. IMHO it is there mostly to enhance Iranian intelligence efforts in addition to assist Houthi drones/missiles actual final approach targeting. There is a threat as it is a warship, but it would be a suicide mission to attack any of the US warships - but not out of the realm of possibility either though low IMHO.
Still hanging in the calculations are just how motivated will Iran and Hezbollah become now that the Ford CSG is transiting out of the region. The Bataan group has some capability but not at the fire power level of the Ford.
Iran –
Nicolas de Rivière, the French ambassador to the United Nations, recently told Iran International that he is “extremely concerned” about Iran’s jump in uranium enrichment.
His comments follow a joint statement by the United States, France, Germany, and the United Kingdom slamming Iran for skyrocketing its enrichment of uranium to up to 60% purity, near the level used for nuclear weapons.
The condemnation was a response to an International Atomic Energy Agency report detailing the findings, which Iran dismissed as “nothing new.”
OBSERVATION - 2024 may be the year Iran officially develops the bomb.
Biden and the cartels are ramping up the numbers... guess they suspect Trump's going to stop this madness when he's elected.
Thank you Godzilla. Best reporting and synopsis there is.
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Globalism / Great Reset –
Upcoming meetings of importance
- WEF Davos Jan 15-19
- WHO pandemic ‘treaty’ May 2024
***
World Economic Forum will be meeting in Davos, 15 – 19 January 2024. The stated theme is ‘Rebuilding Trust’. The 54th Annual Meeting was outlined in a partial release, saying it will “provide a crucial space to focus on the fundamental principles driving trust, including transparency, consistency and accountability.”
OBSERVATION - 2023 was a hard year for the WEF and associated globalists. Though they have managed to push forward on many of its keystone goals, like CBDC, global health and economic controls, they have also faced increasingly stiff pushback from the post wuhan world. The ease at which those draconian wuhan controls were taken by the world are being challenged due to the post-plandemic knowledge that the so called health ‘experts’ were lying through their collective teeth over the jab and alternative treatments along with the destruction of people’s lives for not getting the jab. Now we know the jab is deadly and very probably manufactured to be so. Similar runs for global food control - rioting farmers; elimination of fossil fuels - China and India rejecting recent COP28 restrictions; and growing concerns over the WHO globalist hijacking of govts via ‘health emergencies’, for just a short list.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is purchasing millions of dollars worth of military-grade equipment, including night vision goggles and other weapons. This in parallel with the substantial spending by the likes of the IRS for similar gear.
OBSERVATION - This raises two very ugly specters that could happen. The first is that these tactical groups in the alphabet agencies will be used to enforce a govt crackdown on the civilian population - possibly from a false flag event and the declaration of martial law some time prior to the elections. The second fear is that this gear and weapons will be handed out to illegals who have been brought here by the left to wage war in ‘red’ areas of the country in an effort to neutralize or tie up those elements response to a govt tyrannical takeover - again associated with the election. All the way back to the Before Years and 0bama, govt has been spending exorbitant amounts of money on items like this and even causing an ammo shortage. I think it is likely the regime / swamp are looking at more ‘reliable’ fighters than the military which the majority of the rank and file would reject to be used for a crack down. Also remember - 0bama called for another armed component equal to the military - for an unstated reason.
Terrorism - Level is HIGH due to increased lone wolf threats.
Follow up on the New Years vehicle loaded with gasoline. The driver has been identified as Michael Avery, a suspected bipolar man from Syracuse. Avery was transported to the hospital with life-threatening injuries
Avery is believed to have been an “emotionally disturbed person,” had rented a hotel room in Rochester, where police conducted a search and recovered a suicide note and journal, according to law enforcement sources.
Investigators are reviewing the journal for any clues into the attack and have interviewed family members who said they believed the suspect had bipolar disorder, though he was never officially diagnosed, according to sources.
Incident has been removed from a potential terror attack investigation by the police and FBI.
***
Al-Qaida is attempting to rejuvenate itself and raise fighters to resume its attack on the US and west. Growth of the internet and various associated communications channels, AQ is looking to more widely disseminate bomb making and other combat doctrine materials for global jihadists. The surge in AQ internet proselytizing began shortly after the Hamas attacks of Oct7 and may be timed to use the heightened jihadist fever those attacks triggered.
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics – HEIGHTENED ALERT STATUS
Pfizer has completed a 43 billion acquisition of Seagen, a small drug company that treats turbo cancers and barely makes $2 Billion per year.
OBSERVATION - Create the sickness, cash in on the cure.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Release of the Epstine list has been delayed by a women currently identified as #107.
***
Trump filed a lawsuit on Tuesday challenging Maine Secretary of State Shenna Bellows’ decision to disqualify Trump from Maine’s 2024 ballot.
Biden / Harris Watch –
biden returned from his latest vacation with a sunburn.
Cyber attacks/warfare – HEIGHTENED ALERT
U.S. security officials are warning about the vulnerability of water utilities to cyber threats. This follows a hack of the Aliquippa water authority in western Pennsylvania. The attack was by an anti-Israeli group.
OBSERVATION - Infrastructure attacks are a significant concern. Hostile elements could adjust controls, add too much or too little chemicals to drinking water and contaminate it. Alter sewage treatment. Disrupt and damage the power grid at key nodes, etc. Aliquippa is small potatoes, but an example of potential harm that could be created by an attack.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Jan 1, 2024
With the end of the Ukraine summer offensive and the ongoing winter mud season, Russia is struggling to gain the initiative on several fronts in easter Ukraine. Russia maintains it attacks to take Adviivka, even in the face of huge losses. Russia continues to launch smaller attacks daily across the front lines.
Russian has been shepherding its stockpile of missiles/drones with the likelyhood of attempting to take down the Ukraine power grid as they did winter 2023. This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. In the latest, large missile / drone attack, the Black Sea fleet was noticeably out of action. In the last half of 2023, Ukraine was able to take out about 20% of the fleet.
While Russia has reportedly about 400K of soldiers in the theater, all evidence indicates that they are poorly trained and equipped. Russian forces are increasingly having to rely on 50’s and 60’s vintage tanks, APCs and other vehicles. Russian large assaults continue to be what are referred to as ‘meat’ attacks - throwing large numbers of lightly armed, foot troops at Ukraine defenses in hopes of overwhelming them. These tactics ‘worked’ at Bakhmut but there Russia still had a superiority in artillery support. Concerted efforts by Ukraine to locate and destroy Russian artillery, combined with wear and tear taking systems out and poor/no ammo has generally caused Russia to lose the edge in artillery firepower.
Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace.
Russia is believed to be trying to muster a force for a winter offensive, once the soils freeze up and permit cross country maneuver. Focus of such an offensive has not solidified but the most likely candidate for one front is the continued attempt to eliminate the salient at Adviivka.
*****
Economic Impact –
European Union is imposing sanctions on the largest diamond company in Russia, “Alrosa”
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temps in the 20-40 degree F range with on again, off again rain and snow.
Temperatures in Ukraine are expected to drop beginning Jan 6 and onwards, with snow, blizzards and ice. In the northern, central and eastern regions temperature at night are expected to drop to -10 to-15 deg F, and in the northeast down to 18-20 degrees F.
RUMINT – Unconfirmed reports that Russia lost anther Su-34 overnight.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Weather continues to dominate action on the ground.
The Russian missile barrage ceases for a day at least. Ukraine targeted Belgorod overnight with the Russian Ministry of Defense claiming air defense shot down 6 Tochka-U missiles and 6 missiles of Vilkha MLRS. Explosions were also reported in Sevastopol, from a claimed shoot down of a missile.
Outlook —
Weather and mud conditions are continuing to dictate ground operations, which are at a low level due to lack of maneuverability cross country and on dirt roads due to the mud. Increasingly cold temperatures will gradually freeze the ground, but this won’t happen for sometime yet.
Patriot take down of Russia’s vaunted hypersonic missile is good news for Ukraine and US and bad for Russia. These hits help the computer refine its calculations for the next round being fired at it.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Israeli drone strike took out Hamas #2 leader - Saleh Al-Arouri
- Hezbollah and Hamas vowing retribution for the attack.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Hamas - We will stop ceasefire talks and prisoner exchanges after the assassination of Al-Arouri. There were unconfirmed reports prior to the hit on Al-Arouri that Hamas as in the process of conceding a lot of its demands on Israel for the release of hostages.
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
IDF forces continue their search and destroy operations, moving progressively southward into central and S Gaza. Heavy fighting reported in Khan Younis.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Israeli drone attack killed several key Hamas leaders - Saleh Al-Arouri, Abu Amer, , Samir Fandi and Azzam Al-Aqraa. Al-Arouri, deputy head of Hamas, was also considered to be the leader of the political side of Hamas and was very closely linked to Iran and Hezbollah. Abu Amer, was head of Hamas operations in southern Lebanon. IAF targeted the Hamas operations center in the heavily Hezbollah affiliated Dahiya district of southern Beirut with reportedly two bombs.
In a coincidence not to be missed by Iran and Hezbollah, the assassination comes on the eve of the anniversary of IRGC Qassem Soliemanis assassination in Iraq.
The Israeli Army announced that they have raised the state of alert on the northern border as a result of taking out Al-Arouri. A senior Israeli official also told Israel is preparing for a significant retaliation by Hezbollah for the Arouri assassination including by launching long range missiles on targets in Israel
Hezbollah said the assassination of Hamas official and commanders in the heart of southern Beirut is a dangerous assault on Lebanon, its people, security, sovereignty and resistance, containing political and security messages, and that “it will not go unanswered”
Lebanon announces that it will submit a complaint to the UN Security Council against the backdrop of targeting Lebanese sovereignty
——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
Hezbollah Secretary General Hassan Nasrallah planned speech today is going ahead despite earlier reports.
The Iranian President: We condemn the Israeli assassination of Saleh Al-Arouri, who was a prominent fighter who defended the rights of his people
———WEST BANK——————————-
Multiple engagements between West Bank groups and Israeli security forces.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
Houthis reportedly launched 3 Anti-Ship ballistic missiles at a commercial shipping vessel near the Bab al-Mandab Strait roughly 33nm off the Coast of Eritrea, causing no damage to the ship or casualties
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
UNIFIL: We are concerned about any potential escalation that could have devastating consequences for the population on both sides of the border
***
Danish shipping giant Maersk announced Tuesday that it will halt all shipping through the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden following the weekend attack on one of its vessels from Houthi militants, CNBC reported.
The company’s decision extends the 48-hour pause it implemented on Sunday in the aftermath of the attack by the Yemen-based rebels.
“We have made the decision to pause all transits through the Red Sea/Gulf of Aden until further notice,” the company reportedly told customers in an update.
Germany’s Hapag-Lloyd will continue to divert its vessels away from the Suez Canal and around the Cape of Good Hope for security reasons, a spokesperson for the company said Tuesday.
“We monitor the situation closely day-by-day, but will continue to reroute our vessels until Jan. 9,” the spokesperson for the world’s fifth biggest container liner said in reply to a query.
——— FORECAST ————————-
Israel to continue search and destroy operations across Gaza. They have most of N Gaza cleared and are moving efforts to central and S Gaza.
Yesterday’s assassination strike on Saleh Al-Arouri has kicked the hornets nest. Tightly linked to Iran and Hezbollah, some analysts considered him to be the real leader of Hamas. The strike makes clear that Israel is willing to keep its word at striking Hamas leadership no matter where they are.
Now concerns switch to how serious of a retaliation will Hezbollah launch. If they pull out the heavy rockets, fighting could escalate exponentially with even Iran getting directly involved. The magnitude of the Israeli hit basically guarantees retaliation of some manner, if Hezbollah/Iran is to save face.
Israel is still manned strongly enough for action, even with the announced release of Reservists. Those reservists could rebound back with short notice.
Prior to the hit, it was becoming apparent that Hamas was becoming desperate to gain some breathing space with negotiators ready to waive the condition of a final ceasefire and the withdrawal of IDF soldiers from Gaza in their ongoing talks with Israel for a second hostage release. The terrorist group reportedly open to the release of 40 hostages in exchange for 120 prisoners held by Israel, one source said, adding that Hamas had demanded a one-day ceasefire in exchange for each hostage released, but Israel refused.
Hamas has sustained massive losses in leadership, fighters, material and bases of operation. Israel’s offensive plan was one that Hamas didn’t expect and are being taken apart piecemeal.
Iran –
BREAKING - At least 73 killed and 171 wounded following twin blasts at Qassam Soleimani memorial site in the southeastern city of Kerman, Iran.
Iran has labeled the explosions terrorists attacks but has not yet directed blame at anyone specifically.
OBSERVATION - There are plenty of dissidents in Iran that could have pulled this off besides Israeli infiltrators. Most likely Iran will point the finger at Israel and the US as a simple scape goat, especially in light of the hit on Al-Arouri.
Turkey –
Turkey has vowed to block two British Royal Navy ships intended for Ukraine to pass through its waters. Last month, Britain said it would transfer the two minehunter ships to the Ukrainian navy to help bolster its sea operations in its war with Russia.
However, the Turkish presidency’s communications directorate has now said it will not let the vessels through its Bosphorus and Dardanelles straits.
When Russia first waged war on Ukraine in 2022, Turkey sparked an international agreement that blocks the passage of military ships through the passages for those at war.
Yesterday, the NATO member country says it has implemented the 1936 Montreux Convention impartially and meticulously in order to prevent a military escalation in the Black Sea.
OBSERVATION - A legitimate refusal by Turkey who on this point at least is maintaining neutrality.
You should have included Texas Tech in my threat matrix....
Please put me on your ping list. I’ve been on FR for 9 years. Surprised I have not read your analysis before.
Keep up the good work.