Economy- HIGH Threat - as of Dec 5, 2024
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell more than 1,100 points after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates but signaled they might stay higher than investors expected in 2025.
Heading into the meeting, traders had expected that the Fed would cut interest rates twice next year. Interest-rate futures now indicate a strong probability that the Fed will cut rates only once in 2025, or not all.
OBSERVATION - The fed threw cold water on expected loosening of the prime rate and raised the specter of inflation once again with tighter controls.
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics
Gov. Gavin Newsom declared a state of emergency due to the bird flu in California on Wednesday, despite the virus’s low risk to the public.
OBSERVATION - Developing. Many see some precursors to a potential nation wide “emergency”.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Following the release yesterday of the 1500+ page abomination called a CR, all hades broke loose on Speaker Johnson and any Republican supporters of the bill.
The assembled forces of DOGE, lead by Musk , and Vivek Ramaswamy and Americans on “X”, the bill was picked apart and the massive grift, waste and abuse quickly brought into the open. That opened the floodgates to the Capitol Switchboard and filled republicans voice mail boxes quickly. By yesterday afternoon, Trump and Vance were on record being against the bill. Vance reportedly met with Johnson to ‘discuss’ the bill.
It now looks like the bill has been pulled and a shift to a “clean” CR is in the offing.
After accusing GOP leaders of breaking a pact and threatening a government shutdown, House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.) hinted on Wednesday that Democrats would oppose any federal spending package that deviates from the bipartisan pact unveiled the day before.
In a succinct statement, Jeffries cautioned Republicans that they will have to “own” the political and economic consequences of any shutdown, highlighting the mounting outcry against the negotiated continuing resolution (CR), including vocal opposition from President-elect Donald Trump.
The CR was initially being leveraged as a way to get $100 billion in emergency aid to W NC and TN suffering from lack of govt response from recent hurricanes. It was an emotional blackmail ploy.
OBSERVATION - I’ll leave other threads in FR to discuss the horrific crap filling the 1500+ pages that were supposedly crafted in a “bipartisan” manner. Suffice it to say if it weren’t for Musk and the renewed “X” platform, word would never have gotten out on just how demonic the bill was until after it passed. Speaker Johnson, after hanging around Trump since the election, quickly showed his real self in allowing this bill to even see the light of day. His days as speaker are numbered.
Big to the discussion was the warning to any republican who votes for this CR the very real threat of being primaried out of office. Being tone deaf to the demands of Americans from the election results will not work well for them. I find it hard to understand why an republican would support anything but a clean CR?
Back up plan if the congressional republicans passed this mess was Sen Paul and some others ready to block it in the senate.
The current extension expires this Friday and a limited shutdown could commence shortly thereafter. NOTE - parts of the govt will be designated essentially as ‘non essential’ My what a good starting point for cutting govt waste.
Final good observation -
“No, they don’t have to be bipartisan. The House can simply pass a bill that continues spending at present levels for a few months, with no other provisions. If the Democrats who still control the Senate for the next month want to hold out for unrelated concessions, they can decline to pass the bill. Then the government will “shut down.” Who cares? Let the government stay “shut down” until Senate Democrats relent, or the new Congress assembles. Democrats will mind that more than Republicans will.”
https://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2024/12/doge-showdown.php
Biden / Harris Watch –
Just 34% of Americans approve of Joe Biden’s job performance while 66% disapprove — putting him underwater by an abysmal 32 points!
That’s marks the worst net approval rating Biden has posted in the Marquette Law School national poll since taking office.
https://x.com/CortesSteve/status/1869449510960963925
North/South Korea –
South Korean intelligence reports heavy losses among North Korean soldiers fighting for Russia in the Kursk region, per Reuters. Reports indicate that around 100 killed and 1,000 wounded.
The high casualties are due to their lack of experience in “drone warfare” and unfamiliarity with the open terrain where battles are taking place.
OBSERVATION - Another key factor is a language barrier / communications issues.
Russia -
Putin:
We have evacuated 4,000 Iranian fighters to Tehran from the Khmeimim base.
Russia was not defeated in Syria. We achieved our goal in Syria, we did not allow the creation of an Islamic caliphate, it was not terrorists who came to power there.
30,000 government troops and pro-Iranian units retreated without a fight.
NOTE - He is blaming Syria for its loss, disavowing any Russian contribution (or lack thereof)
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 30s and rain and snow throughout much of the period.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Russian losses per 19/12/24 reported by the Ukrainian general staff
+1530 men
+5 tanks
+27 APVs
+14 artillery pieces
+1 AD system
Ukraines Air Force reports on a missile and shahed drone attack overnight.
Shot down:
0/2 Iskander-M ballistic missiles
0/1 Kh-59/69 cruise missile
45/85 Shahed drones
Another 40 drones were suppressed by electronic warfare. No information about damage was received.
The Russian Defense Ministry reported 84 drones were shot down overnight over seven regions, with the largest number of UAVs — 36 and 21 — shot down over the Rostov and Bryansk regions.
Russian Territory –
Yesterday, the Rostov region was attacked, targeting -among other things- the Kamensky plant. The plant produces rocket fuel, including for intercontinental missiles, as well as explosives and ammunition components.
Russia believes Ukraine attacked Rostov region with ATACMS or Storm Shadow/SCALP-EG.
Overnight, explosions occurred in Rostov-on-Don. It was reported that the Rostselmash plant in Rostov-on-Don, known for repairing and upgrading armored vehicles, was hit.
The General Staff confirmed the Russian Novoshakhtinsky Oil Refinery was struck and hit. This facility supplies the Russian armed forces with fuel, specializing in producing mazut, diesel, furnace, and marine fuel, with a capacity of 7.5 million tons of oil annually. A fire has been confirmed at the ELOU-AVT-2.5 catalytic cracking unit.
Summary —
Russia continues to try to maintain to the initiative in the fight as reflected in the reported casualties, though they are not as high as last week. Very limited success by any of the Russian attacks.
It was another relatively ineffective Shahed attack by Russian but a far more successful series of drone / missile attacks by Ukraine.
On a strategic level, the bow wake of Trumps return to the WH continues to force Ukraine and Russia to publicly address ceasefire issues.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- IAF hit Houthi targets overnight
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Israel rejected Turkish accusations on Tuesday following Ankara’s condemnation of Israeli military actions in Syria, as Turkey escalates its own operations in the war-torn country. The rising tensions have deepened the rift between the two nations and sparked concerns over regional stability and the fate of U.S.-backed Kurdish forces fighting ISIS.
On Tuesday, Israel’s Foreign Ministry issued a response on X. “Turkey has systematically encroached on Syrian territory… Approximately 15% of Syria’s territory is under Turkish-backed control. In these areas, the Turkish currency is in use, and Turkish bank branches and postal services have been operating.
“Furthermore, the Turkish military bombards infrastructure in the northeastern autonomous region of Syria using aircraft and UAVs. Turkey supports jihadist forces that operate against Kurds in Syria. The last country that can speak about occupation in Syria is Turkey… There is no justification for Turkish aggression and violence against Kurds in Syria!”
https://harbingersdaily.com/israel-at-war-week-56/
——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————-
IDF is working the Gaza Palestinian terrorists this morning with 24 terrorists being eliminated in IDF strikes in the Gaza Strip this morning so far.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
IDF continues to destroy Hezbollah facilities found in the occupied areas of S Lebanon.
——— JUDEA AND SAMARIA——————————-
Palestinians are reporting that Tarek al-Dush, commander of the Al-Aqsa Martyrs Brigades in the Tulkarm camp, was killed in the airstrike. An Israeli drone struck a car in the Tulkarm camp in the West Bank, the Israeli army said
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
Houthi’s launched a ballistic missile at Israel that was intercepted before entering the country. Parts of that missile hit a school.
According to an initial probe in the Israeli Air Force, the missile launched by the Houthis from Yemen at Israel overnight was only partially intercepted by the Arrow air defense system. The missile’s warhead remained intact, without exploding in the air. It then crashed and exploded on a school in Ramat Gan, causing a building to collapse.
In response, Israel attacked the Haziz power station in the south of the capital Sanaa, two attacks targeted the D’Habban power station in the north of Sanaa. Four attacks targeted the port of Al-Hodeidah in the west of the country, two attacks targeted the oil facility in Ras Al-Issa also in western Yemen. In Al-Hodeidah, there are reports of power outages in most neighborhoods. For the first time, Israeli struck in the capital Sanaa area!
At least 9 Workers are now reported to have been Killed, as a result of Israeli Airstrikes on the Ras Al-Issa Oil Refinery and Port within the City of Hodeida in Western Yemen.
The powerful strikes came less than an hour after a Yemeni ballistic missile was intercepted above Israel and pieces of interceptors caused damage to a building near Tel Aviv.
It’s estimated that the IAF strikes in Yemen overnight paralyzed all three ports controlled by the Houthis, crippling the Iranian regime’s ability to send weapons to the Houthis by sea.
The Houthis have launched some 200 missiles and 120 UAVs at Israel in the last 14 months (most did not reach Israel).
Mohammed Al-Bukhaiti to Al-Arabiya TV: We will respond to the Israeli raids on Sanaa and Hodeidah, and escalation will be met with escalation. Our military operations will escalate, and we have a bank of targets that will hurt America, Britain, and Israel. Our position is just, and we will stop our military operations if the aggression on Gaza stops.
OBSERVATION - Note the difference between Israeli strikes and those of the US/Coalition?
——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-
Biggest news is the IAF hitting key infrastructure targets under Houthi control. I note the difference between US/Coalition and Israeli strikes. The Israeli strikes display STRENGTH and are very open for the population to see (and feel the effects from). Western ‘strikes’ seek to avoid such and though they may hit some military facilities - evidence from Hamas and Hezbollah are that they have a lot scattered throughout the countryside, many underground, and would require a sustained effort like in Gaza and Lebanon to effective reduce that threat. These Israeli attacks go for the throat and with the situation stable in Gaza, Lebanon, Syria and even Iran, the Houthi will be facing a lot of scrutiny in the coming days.
Iran is so weakened that there is very little support they can now offer them. The only practical means of supply by Iran is via air cargo. Sea lift of military supplies is virtually done with the amount of damage to the three Houthi ports now. Airlift is very costly, and Iran doesn’t have the spare change to support what is necessary - they have big trouble brewing at home.
Israel has now threatened Houthi leadership with targeting. If anything, Houthi leaders will be losing a lot of sleep, judging from the success Israel has had hunting leaders of Hamas, Hezbollah and Iran.
Iran –
After the E3, known as Britain, France and Germany accused Iran yesterday of growing its Stockpile of Highly-Enriched Uranium to “Unprecedented Levels” without Civil Justification; the Iranian Ambassador to the U.N. threatened the Three Countries, stating that if they reimpose Sanctions on Iran, then they will face a “Harsh and Disproportionate Response” which will create a Major Crisis that does not serve the Interests of either Side.
https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1869264236867670304?s=46&t=nfRT-Yioj0xALNzJelzFcA
OBSERVATION - Iran’s only ace in the hole at this stage is their nuclear program and their race to get the bomb.
Syria -
US supported SDF calls on Kobane(Ayn al-Arab) residents to take up arms (Kurdish region) (Reuters)
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Syrian rebels leader Ahmed Al-Sharaa (Al-Julani): Syria will not be Afghanistan and I believe in educating women
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Threat of expanded Turkish attacks in the north are growing. If Turkey commences with attacks, it may cause a more direct confrontation with the US.
Turkey –
During an interview with Al Jazeera, Turkish Minister of Foreign Affairs Hakan Fidan would not directly deny that Turkey is preparing for a significant joint Turkish military-SNA offensive in Northern Syria. When directly asked if Turkey was preparing for an offensive, Fidan instead chose to focus on the Syrian Democratic Forces’ (SDF) connections to groups that Turkey designates as terrorist entities. Wrapping up his answer, he said that “we don’t want to disturb certain balances in the region, but we must keep our national interests [observed] and safe,” without definitively denying the coming offensive.
In the same interview with Al Jazeera, Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan addressed the current decision-makers in Damascus, saying that “if they address this situation (Kurdish forces in northern Syria) properly, then there will be no reason for us to intervene.” This likely indicates that Turkey is pressuring the new government, led by Hay’at
Tahrir al-Sham’s leader, Abu Mohammad al-Jolani, to take action against the SDF and/or subordinate groups that Turkey has designated as terrorist organizations.
https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1869505252476764339?s=46&t=nfRT-Yioj0xALNzJelzFcA
***
Turkish President Erdogan exchanged a brief greeting with Iran’s President ahead of D8 leaders summit in Cairo. This is their first engagement since the fall of Bashar Al-Assad in Syria
***
Turkish Defense Ministry: No agreement on truce with SDF in northern Syria. The factions we support will control the Kurdish areas in northern Syria
***
Turkish Ministry of Defense: We strongly condemn Israel’s decision to expand illegal settlements in the Golan Heights, which it has occupied since 1967.
Misc of Note –
Drones -
At least 17 military bases adjacent to Chinese-owned farmland across the US have experienced a rash of drone sightings in recent weeks, The Post has learned.
Mysterious drones have been reported near military bases in Hawaii and by installations in Utah, California, Maine and Florida — among other facilities scattered throughout the country.
The Post previously identified 19 military bases that lie in close proximity to farmland bought up by Chinese-owned companies — a situation that has worried China analysts, who feared the Communist country would use the land to spy on US military operations.
All of those facilities apart from Grand Forks Air Force Base in North Dakota and Joint Base San Antonio-Camp Bullis in Texas had reports of drones either attempting to fly over their bases or nearby, according to local reports.
OBSERVATION - This evidence contributes to my concerns that hostile agents - in this case likely the Chinese - have their droned buried in the midst of this ongoing now nationwide flap.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate THREAT - up dated Nov 12, 2024
More murders of business leaders are coming, two-thirds of U.S. likely voters warn in reaction to the recent slaying of UnitedHealth CEO Brian Thompson.
National surveys by Rasmussen, Emerson College Polling and Economist/YouGov all found significant empathy for Thompson’s murder and suspect Luigi Mangione:
- 20% of U.S. adult citizens view Mangione favorably.
- 27% of U.S. likely voters say Thompson’s murder “was an understandable reaction to the high cost of health care in America.”
- 17% of U.S. voters say Thompson’s murder at least “somewhat acceptable,” including eight percent who consider it “completely acceptable.”
Perhaps more disturbing, fully two-thirds (67%) of U.S. likely voters call it at least somewhat likely that the murder of the healthcare CEO “will inspire copycats who target other business executives,” Rasmussen reports.
Of those, 25% call it “very likely” and 42% say it’s “somewhat likely” that copycats will try to kill the heads of other disliked businesses and industries.
While belief that the murder will inspire copycats was consistent among all demographic cohorts in the Rasmussen survey, all three of the national surveys found that empathy for either the murder or suspect is highest among young and Democrat respondents.
https://mrctv.org/blog/craig-bannister/more-murders-business-leaders-are-coming-americans-warn
OBSERVATION - Noted before, assassination of high profile ‘capitolists’ by radical marxists is a tactic that has been used a number of times in various countries over the past. The fact that it appears that the mentality has penetrated so deeply into the American left is what is increasingly disturbing to me. Indicates that the left is willing to up the violence factor another notch in an effort to silence their opposition and state their ‘cause’.
Additionally, this is fruit of the ‘dehumanization’ efforts of the left to justify violence in general against any opponents - primarily those on the right. Should something trigger mass rioting by the left, I expect much more significant violence directed towards the right/republicans than seen in 2020.
Terrorism - HIGH THREAT as of Oct 20, 2024
Hanukkah: Dec 26 - Jan 1
***
A George Mason University student, an Egyptian national, has been arrested for planning a terrorist attack against the Israeli consulate in NY with explosives.
This comes after two other students at the university were found with “Death to Jews” signs, Hamas flags, and guns in their house.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
Pentagon says there are now 2,000 US troops in Syria, up from previous level of 900 “core” presence. Additional ~1,100 are “temporary rotational forces” deployed to meet “shifting mission requirements,” PentagonPresSec says
OBSERVATION - This growth was relatively ‘secret’. May be in part the result of the regional build up of forces in the region to convince Iran not to continue attacks against Israel and Iranian backed militia attacks on existing US/Coalition bases.
POLITICAL FRONT –
The US House rejected Trump backed bill to prevent a government shutdown later yesterday. This second bill was a stripped down to a little over 100 pages, down from the 1500+ page monster. 38 republicans voted against it.
House Republicans are now reportedly exploring a plan to divide the spending bill into smaller parts for individual votes rather than passing it as a single package, according to Politico.
Posible configuration
Bill 1 - Freeze current spending and extend 90 days
Bill 2 - Disaster relief
Bill 3 - Farm bill
Bill 4 - Suspend debt ceiling for two years.
OBSERVATION - Quite frankly, this third plan is what should have come out the first time.
This CR fight has exposed republican representatives who are hostile towards Trump and the voter mandate he is riding into DC on. These pre-presidency fights may be short lived as public pressure is maintained and the threat of being primaried loom. Similar to what happened to some of the senate republicans.
***
The Georgia Court of Appeals removed Fulton County District Attorney Fani Willis from an election subversion case against President-elect Donald Trump.
Willis is expected to appeal against the ruling, which is seen as a major legal victory for Trump.
The ruling reverses the trial judge’s decision to allow Willis to stay on the case after it was revealed she had a romantic relationship with a prosecutor she had hired.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c77jdk4k717o
OBSERVATION - Now it must be decided if the case is to proceed under a new attorney, or to drop the case altogether. Rumblings suggest that finding a replacement attorney will be extremely difficult given how corrupted the current case is. Willis is in serious trouble overall and could be soon facing criminal charges should Georgia get some backbone.
INTERNATIONAL GENERAL –
Biden / Harris Watch –
Unconfirmed reports that Kamala Harris just abruptly cancelled her planned trip to California and “raced to the White House,” per reporters
Biden also just returned to DC, after being expected to stay in Delaware until after Christmas
OBSERVATION - This could be in anticipation of a govt shutdown. However, they’ve been vacationing like crazy since the election all the while the world was burning down, so why all the critical attention on a potential shut down - if that is the real reason.
Illegal Immigration –
Influenced by Trump’s threat of imposition of tariffs, Dominic LeBlanc, the Minister of Finance and Intergovernmental Affairs in Canada, officially commits $1.3 billion to help secure Canada’s border with the United States.
Their focus will be on fent*nyl, human tra**icking, and crimes that cross our border.
China –
China announces the development of a Mach 7 drone.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 30s and rain and snow throughout much of the period.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukraines Air Force reports on the missile and drone attack from last night and this morning.
Shot down:
5/6 Iskander-M/KN-23 ballistic missile
0/1 Kh-59/69 cruise missile
40/65 Shahed drones
In addition, 20 more Shahed drones were suppressed by electronic warfare.
Missiles that got thru hit near Boryspil Airport as well as the downtown area of Kyiv.
Russian Ministry of defense says strikes in Kyiv is a response to all recent Ukrainian attacks in Russia, including liquidation of chemical protection general and missile strikes at military enterprise in Kamensk-Shakhtinsky. Claiming they’ve targeted SBU command post, Luch design bureau and Patriot battery
Russian losses per 20/12/24 reported by the Ukrainian general staff
+2200(!!) men
+8 tanks
+24 APVs
+42 artillery systems
+1 AD system
A very bad day for Russian troops, double the daily losses from just earlier this week.
Summary —
The tit for tat exchange of deep strike missile/drone attacks continue. Though Ukraine manages to take out a significant number of missiles, some still manage to get thru.
Trying to pin down what part of the front the significant Russia casualties came from. One of the worst one day totals this year. This also seems to run opposite to the reported numbers of attacks for the period across the front, which were down. No reports of terrain captured by Russia either.
Middle East / N. Africa General -
LIBYA - Libya PM says moving Russia’s Syrian arms to the nation is unacceptable. Dbeibah says foreign forces can’t impose will on Libya
OBSERVATION - Russia has reportedly been transferring their Syrian equipment to Libya to reinforce their bases there. In spite of the PM’s words, Russia still maintains a significant influence over the affairs of the country and is the Syrian bases are lost, Libya would provide Russia the ability to still threaten NATO’s southern flank and operation in the Med.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Hostage talks stall
——— GENERAL ——————————-
No progress was made towards the completion of a hostage deal/ceasefire agreement on Thursday, and CIA Director William J. Burns, who was in Doha for the talks, left Qatar after being there for a day, a US official, speaking on the condition of anonymity, told The Washington Post on Friday.
“They know that if they don’t reach such an agreement, it will not be a good thing for any of them, including the Israelis,” the member of the diplomatic mission said. “I think this has resulted in a lot of developments. ... The question is whether [or not] they wait for Trump.”
“They know that if they don’t reach such an agreement, it will not be a good thing for any of them, including the Israelis,” the member of the diplomatic mission said. “I think this has resulted in a lot of developments. ... The question is whether [or not] they wait for Trump.”
https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-834257
——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————-
Scattered air strikes on identified Hamas et al groupings.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
More demolition of Hezbollah infrastructure in the occupied S. Lebanon region.
——— JUDEA AND SAMARIA——————————-
Very busy as Israeli security forces operated throughout there region.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
Houthi’s talking tough.
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Turkish President: We will continue to corner Israel and force it to act according to the law. More Turkey-Israel under Turkey.
——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-
On the Hama/Hezbollah/Iran front, pretty quiet in many respects. How deterred the Houthi’s are is yet to be seen, however, Israel hit them in a way that the US/Coalition forces, and even Saudi Arabia haven’t.
Israel may be headed towards some sort of confrontation with Turkey in Syria. See Turkey below.
Syrians in areas occupied by the IDF have reportedly been on good terms with the soldiers. Much of this area is occupied by Druze and in general, Druze have been treated well in Israel, so they are seen by the broader community as an asset and friend.
The new rebel govt and Turkey will demand Israel withdraw, but neither has the military clout at this time to enforce their demands and in the cased of the rebel govt, my seek negotiated settlement versus fighting.
Iraq -
Iraqi Foreign Minister: ISIS is expanding its areas of control and reorganizing its ranks using weapons it seized as a result of the collapse of the Syrian army
Syria -
Iraq handed over the soldiers of the Fourth Division, affiliated with Maher al-Assad, to the new Syrian authorities.
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Syria’s largest oil refinery has halted operations after ceasing to receive the crude from Iran that previously made up the vast majority of the country’s input, its general manager told the Financial Times
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SDF chief Mazloum Abdi tells Reuters that if they reach an agreement with Turkey to end hostilities in northern Syria, non-Syrian Kurdish fighters will leave Syria
Turkey –
Turkiye president Erdogan says US, western powers have a responsibility to stop Israel from invading Syrian territories.
NOTE - Erdogan excuses himself for doing far more in N Syria.
***
Turkey President Recep Tayyip Erdogan called for an arms embargo on Israel on Thursday and seeks to end to all trade with the Jewish state in hopes of isolating it internationally.
During a talk at the D-8 Summit in Cairo, Erdogan said the measures are necessary to punish Israel for its aggression in the Middle East, Turkey’s state-run Anadolu Agency reported.
“We see Israel’s steps that disregard Syria’s territorial integrity, including the expansion of illegal settlements in the Golan Heights,” he said. “I believe the D-8 must respond more strongly to the lawlessness threatening Syria’s stability and our region.”
“As Islamic countries, we must lead steps that can be taken against Israel,” Erdogan said. “We must work harder together, as D-8 countries, for a just and lasting peace in the region.”
https://www.newsmax.com/newsfront/recep-tayyip-erdogan-turkey-israel/2024/12/19/id/1192294/
***
Erdogan declares that Jerusalem belongs to them (Turkey).
OVERALL OBSERVATIONS - Turkey and Israel and even the US may come into serious conflict this next year.
This comes as Erdogan talks tough about using economic and even military actions. A key friction point may be the Turkish threat to Syrian Kurds, who are generally favorable towards Israel and the US.
A second may be Turkish support of rebel forces taking up the fight against Israel instead of Hezbollah / Iran. Turkey’s pursuit of becoming the new Caliphate of the region, it has willingly put its support into the rebel forces in Syria, in effect establishing them as their own oriented militia group, much like Iran did with Hezbollah.
Turkey has so far stayed away from positioning themselves to directly engage Israel, making the new Syrian puppet govt their potential sword. Turkey’s military are more focused on genocide of Syrian Kurds in the northern and eastern portions of Syria.
Turkey has gained a viable, unrestricted ground attack route to Israel thru the rebel portions of Syria: Aleppo -> Hama -> Homs -> Damascus.
However, until they are satisfied with their actions against the Kurds, movement of this sort is unlikely in the next year.