CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate THREAT - up dated Nov 12, 2024
Antifa and other leftists are celebrating the murder of the UHC CEO and are calling for more of the same.
However, on social media, there have been many who consider themselves on ‘the right’ supporting the assassination as well.
OBSERVATION - Both are symptoms of a dehumanization process that has been growing over the past 8 to 10 years and the growth of a perception of injustice becomes the norm and the system refuses to provide balance that people will begin to work outside of the system to find regress.
***
Federal law enforcement is surveilling Americans’ financial activity without warrants, according to an interim report released on Friday by the House Judiciary Subcommittee on the Weaponization of the Federal Government.
The FBI has been able to access bank customer financial information through manipulating the Suspicious Activity Report (SAR) system.
The report found that the FBI requested banks search private bank transactions for “MAGA,” “Trump” and “Biden.”
“With narrow exception, federal law does not permit law enforcement to inquire into financial institutions’ customer information without some form of legal process,” the report read. “The FBI circumvents this process by tipping off financial institutions to ‘suspicious’ individuals and encouraging these institutions to file a SAR — which does not require any legal process — and thereby provide federal law enforcement with access to confidential and highly sensitive information.”
OBSERVATION - This article and related has been out there for a few days now and the knowledge of gross spying by the govt on citizens has been on the radar for a longer period. Note the targeted searches and you see the deep state developing targets and info on the right - and they don’t collect this information for grins and giggles, but for eventual tactical use.
***
A Texas federal judge has issued a preliminary block on the Corporate Transparency Act, which would require all American businesses to report information about their stakeholders to the Treasury Department, invalidating it within less than a month of its reporting deadline.
The nationwide injunction was issued by U.S. District Judge Amos Mazzant in Sherman, Texas, siding with the 300,000-member National Federation of Independent Businesses and a group of non-profits and small businesses who claim the act is unconstitutional. Some of the other plaintiffs involved include the family-run firearms and tactical gear store Texas Top Cop Shop and the Libertarian Party of Mississippi.
Mazzant said the federal government was making an “unprecedented” attempt to legislate in an aspect of law that is typically left up to states and taking away the anonymity that states offer for forming corporations. He based his decision on the ruling that Congress does not have the authority to regulate commerce in this way and that it was violating states’ rights under the Tenth Amendment.
The judge wrote in his 79-page opinion: “For good reason, Plaintiffs fear this flanking, quasi-Orwellian statute and its implications on our dual system of government. If sanctioned, there’s no telling how Congress might control companies in the future.”
https://www.naturalnews.com/2024-12-08-texas-judge-blocks-transparency-act.html
OBSERVATION - Again, the govt doesn’t collect this kind of information unless they are planning on weaponizing it. Expect more to be attempted under the radar during the Trump administration.
Economy- HIGH Threat - as of Dec 5, 2024
Both the nation’s unemployment rate and number of unemployed inched up in November, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported Friday.
At 4.2%, the seasonally-adjusted unemployment rate for November was higher than both October’s rate of 4.1% and the 3.5% mark recorded in November of 2023. Likewise, the number of unemployed persons increased to 7.1 million, up from 7.0 million in October and 6.0 million a year earlier.
https://mrctv.org/blog/craig-bannister/jobs-lost-retail-trade-push-unemployment-rate-higher-november
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics
More cases of a mysterious flu-like illness labelled “Disease X” were reported in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, and the World Health Organization has dispatched a rapid response team to help investigate.
Over 400 cases of the unidentified illness – marked by fever, headache, cough, runny nose, and body aches – have been reported since late October in the Panzi health zone in southwest Congo, the WHO said in a statement Sunday.
While more than half of the cases involve children under 5, a 50-year-old man hospitalised in Lucca, Italy, is suspected to have recovered from the disease after a business trip to Congo, Il Tempo reported.
Russia -
*****
Total damage and other losses to Russia as a result of the collapse of the Assad regime have yet to pop out from OSINT and other analysts. But the total cost is going to be huge.
Lost infrastructure costs for the Tartus Naval Base and the large airfields is in the multi hundreds of billion dollar range. Losses in equipment, ranging from small arms and ammunition to jet fighters and air defense systems will be huge as well. Some of the latter may have been mitigated via the reduction in Russian support being diverted to the Ukraine war.
These losses are unlikely to hit the front lines in Ukraine in the short term, but will in the intermediate term (the next year) as Russia has to decide how to rebuild the losses while sustaining the war.
The Russia fleet in the Mediterranean is in a world of hurt. Tartus was its main base and there are no equivalent in the region except for the Black Sea region, which is effectively bottled up by Turkey in response to the Ukraine war., and the numbers of ships available in that fleet have been seriously depleted by Ukraine attacks since the start of the war.
***
With the Russians no longer able to operate from Tartus they are faced with two choices, either find an alternative for Tartus or being unable to maintain a permanent presence in the Mediterranean. In theory several options are available such as Eqypt, Algeria, Sudan and Libya. Non of these options provide the full range of advantages that Tartus offered.
Egypt could offer the Russians a position in the Eastern Mediterranean, close to the Suez Canal and port facilities from which to sustain a permanent presence. Egypt has a neutral policy trying to balance between Russia and the West. However, in the past years, Egypt has been shifting closer to the West with military arms purchases from European shipyards and F-16s provided by the United States. Allowing for a Russian presence in Egypt would alienate it from the West and jeopardize future military purchases as well as support for current western systems.
In the case of Algeria, most people are pointing out that the Russians regularly dock at Algiers, have good relations with the country and that Algeria is an active buyer of Russian weapon systems. Such analysis fail to take other factors in account. First, Algeria is pursuing a largely anti-colonial policy rather then a anti-western policy though some overlap exists. Algeria has a neutral stance and while it allows Russian warships to dock in Algiers, these port visits are nothing more then a short resupply and refueling stop for vessels just coming in or planning to go out of the Mediterranean.
Granting the Russians a naval base would mean a shift in Algerian policy of a more neutral stance to a pro-Russian stance. Even if Algeria was planning to give the Russians a naval base, the location is not suitable for Russia.
Over the past years, Russia has been developing ties with Sudan leading to an agreement for a Russian naval base at Port Sudan. Also here, several issues will limit any Russian deployment.
Port Sudan would place the Russian Navy in the Red Sea, thus out of the Mediterranean. Though the close proximity of the Suez Canal would allow to dispatch vessels into the Eastern Mediterranean, the operational freedom would be limited as the Suez Canal serves as a chokepoint and early warning of Russian deployments.
Port Sudan in its current form is unable to support a naval task force and major dredging and construction efforts would be needed in order to create a suitable naval base, an operation that would take years.
Last but not least, the active civil war in Sudan places a risk on any Russian plans for a naval base in Port Sudan. Should the anti-Russian faction win the Sudanese Civil War, the agreement to station Russian warships in Port Sudan would be revoked.
All things considered, the port of Tobruk, Libya, would offer the least bad option for the Russians if they want to maintain a permanent presence in the Mediterranean.
First, the port of Tobruk allows for existing port facilities that could support a naval presence. Though less developed as the naval base in Tartus, a limited presence could be sustained. Fleet oilers and Amur class repair vessels could keep a task force operational over a long duration, just as was the case in Tartus. The nearby airfield at Adam, south of Tobruk, could allow for aerial logistics as well as the deployment of naval aviation aircraft though desert conditions would place an additional burden on maintenance and combat readiness.
Secondly, the location has some benefits. Located south of Crete and closer to the Central Mediterranean would result in easier surveillance by NATO forces, the location would still allow Russia to project power towards Crete and the Suez Canal, its main geopolitical targets in this region. Operating from Tobruk also brings Russian warships closer to Europe, thus expanding the area that can be struck with Kalibr cruise missiles.
Thirdly, the existing fuel infrastructure could aid the Russian task force. Just as with Banayas, Syria, the Russians could use their civilian tankers to transport crude oil out of Libya and bring in refined fuel, most likely aviation fuel, to support its operations.
And last, the Haftar regime in eastern Libya is already depended on Russian forces. Russian private military companies already operate in eastern Libya and were recently reinforced with military equipment coming from Syria, a so called Libyan Express run of at least 4 transports took place during 2024. Libya already serves as an important transit point for Russian aircraft heading to and from Africa.
https://russianfleetanalysis.blogspot.com/2024/12/the-russian-navy-and-fall-of-tartus.html
OBSERVATION - Good analysis by the speciality blog above.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures cooling to the 20-30s and rain and snow throughout much of the period.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
The Ukrainian Air Force reports on a missile and drone attack overnight.
Shot down:
2/2 Kh-59/69 cruise missiles
18/37 Shahed drones
An additional 18 were suppressed by electronic warfare. One UAV remains in Ukrainian airspace.
Russian losses per 09/12/24 reported by the Ukrainian general staff
+1220 men
+18 AFVs
+3 artillery systems
On the night of 6th December Ukrainian naval drones have attacked Kerch Bay, using onboard guns to attack helicopters. According to intelligence there were casualties and damage to helicopters
Partisan Resistance ——
Vehicle of the chief of Olenivka prison, involved in deaths of Ukrainian POWs, was blown up in Donetsk this morning
Summary —
As noted under Russia above, the full effects of the Russian disaster in Syria have yet to ripple through the system to effect the battlefield. Russia is going to have to divert a lot of energy and money to rebuild any kind of fleet presence in the Mediterranean. That will severely divert assets Russia is heavily applying in Ukraine and potentially crush the enlarged military budget and speed economic collapse of the nation. Will the loss of ports help push Russia into peace talks so it can divert resources from Ukraine to rebuilding its naval presence in the region?
Weather effects may be coming into play as the number of Russian casualties on a daily basis has notably dropped the past few days. This suggests that fewer attacks are taking place due to weather and associated soil conditions.
Europe / NATO General –
Germany is halting decisions on asylum applications from Syrian citizens after Syria’s former ruler Bashar al-Assad fled the country, a spokesman for the Office for Migration and Refugees (BAMF) tells dpa
Austria suspends asylum applications for Syrian citizens -Krone
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- IDF elements expand the buffer zone within Syria
- IAF hit hundreds of targets throughout Syria.
- Possible movement on the Hamas hostage issue.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Prime-Minister Benjamin Netanyahu officially announced the end of the 1974 Disengagement Agreement in the Syrian Golan Heights following the collapse of the Syrian Arabic Republic! Orders seizure of buffer zone
Israel
The Syrian side of Mount Hermon was captured by the Israeli Air Force’s elite Shaldag Unit. The troops did not face any resistance during the operation.
Netanyahu on the Syrian border:
“We send a hand of peace to all those beyond our border in Syria: to the Druze, to the Kurds, to the Christians, and to the Muslims who want to live in peace with Israel.”
Former Defense Minister Benny Gantz warns of an Iranian nuclear breakout, urging Israel to act decisively, including immediate military intervention, to eliminate the threat.
***
Negotiations for a ceasefire and hostage release deal in Gaza “have reached an advanced stage,” according to Al-Araby Al-Jadeed. The report cites “informed sources” saying Hamas provided Egyptian mediators with a list of Israeli hostages who are elderly or have medical conditions, expected to be released in the first phase. The list reportedly includes four American citizens.
Israel has received this list alongside one detailing Palestinian prisoners Hamas wants freed.
An Israeli delegation is expected to arrive in Cairo today to finalize the agreement. Hamas has reportedly agreed to a 60-day transitional period involving a temporary Israeli withdrawal from parts of Gaza, along with increased humanitarian aid entering the Strip, including food, medicine, and fuel.
——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————-
Hamas, in an official statement, congratulated the Syrian people on achieving “freedom and justice” and expressed confidence that Syria will maintain its historic support for the Palestinian cause.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
US intelligence estimates that at least 4000 Hezbollah soldiers have been killed so far in fighting and using common estimation for those wounded too severe to return to fighting of 3X the deaths, another 12,000 were taken out - for a total of approximately 16K.
Ceasefire violations by Hezbollah have dropped substantially, likely due to the organization pulling back due to the heavy losses of personnel, arms and material in Syria.
——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
NOTE - I’m splitting reporting on Syria between two spots depending on the source. This area is for Israel dealing with the Hezbollah/Iran threat from Syria, while the Syria category below is all other - now primarily the aftermath of the rebel uprising and over throw of Assad.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
A Houthi drone struck a residential building in the southern city of Yavne this morning. The military says it is investigating why sirens were not activated. There were no injuries in the attack, but damage was caused to several apartments
Presence of the “Islamic resistance” has been severely depleted and damaged in part by elements that moved west to try to support Assad and got caught up in the disastrous loss, now fleeing across the border to Iraq. This has reduced militia presence and the US has been hitting very heavily lately, supporting coalition friendly Kurdish forces take over of historic staging areas of the Iranian backed militia forces.
——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-
Big play now is Israel expanding its presence in Syria and creating a buffer zone in the previous DMZ established in 1974 after the Yon Kippur war. With the ongoing chaos in Syria, Israel is launching a massive effort to demilitarize Syria to the maximum level possible, destroying equipment, ammo, bases, you name it. Israel wants a little as possible remaining that the rebels could potentially use against it at a future date.
Efforts to keep Hezbollah under its thumb may have been helped by the losses Hezbollah suffered in Syria in both men and material. Russia ‘helped’ Israel in hitting Russian and Iranian/Hezbollah munition sites.
Iran is assessing its options to be able to support Hezbollah, but they are very few. Syria is off limits for the immediate future, both by air and ground. Iran/Hezbollah made some serious enemies during the Syrian civil war and it is doubtful the new rulers of Syria want any significant presence of either for a long time.
Gaza continues to move in end game. Hamas showing weakness in being forced to get a handle on the number of hostages it holds and their status. Something they’ve resisted for most of the war. One of the big demands was the immediate withdrawal of all IDF forces from Gaza. Now a regulated pull out seems ok. May include a caveat that Israel will be allowed to interdict threats like against Hezbollah.
Iran’s threat towards Israel remains low. They have enough on their plate to absorb with the losses in Lebanon and now Syria to go around poking the Israeli bear. This scenario does increase the threat that Iran will fast track development of a nuclear weapon now that its ‘conventional’ weapons of Hamas, Hezbollah and Syria have essentially been stripped away and their conventional missile and drone threats being countered effectively.
Iran’s nuclear program is target #1 for Israel and they may well go for it after Trump enters office. A significant element of the post revolution Syria has been targeting and elimination Syrian radar capabilities, freeing the IAF to move across Syria when striking Iran. Clock is ticking on both development of nukes and the destruction of the capability.
Iran –
Iran is facing a greater threat internally for an overthrow of the mullahs in the face of the embarrassment of the losses in Syria. Regime opposition sees this as a major sign of weakness and there are rumors of a development of a revolt along the lines of what hit Syria. The vast amount of money lost with Hezbollah and Syria will ripple across the Iranian economy, fueling anti-regime sentiments. Should Israel go after the nuclear program, this anti-regime movement may gain even greater traction. Unconfirmed reports that some key players in the govt are backing away from the mullahs and even begin to favor the monarchy. Crisis point could get critical after Trump takes office.
Syria -
Rebels are at work attempting to bring control to the chaos in the region and establish a new govt. Mohammad al-Bashir, the head of the Syrian Salvation Government which has managed Idlib for several years, has been tasked with forming a new Syrian government to oversee the transitional phase, according to Al Jazeera.
Scattered fighting between elements remaining, mostly in the northeastern region where Turkish supported groups are fighting Kurdish forces.
Russian media from the Kremlin: former Syrian President Bashar Assad and his family members are in Russia. They were granted political asylum for humanitarian reasons.
Overnight, elements of three different air forces pummeled the Syrian country side. Russian finished up hitting targets - mostly Russian ammo and material dumps.
Israel, OTOH, hit more targets than they ever did during the 1973 Yon Kippur war. Dozens of aircraft attacked nearly 100 targets of the Syrian army almost non-stop. Targets included a major security complex in the southern suburb of Kafr Sousa, as well as a branch of the Scientific Studies and Research Center in the Damascus known to have been used previously be Iran from the development of long-range missiles and other weapons. Israel also taking out Syrian fighter jets, air defense radars, and anti-aircraft batteries. In other words, the path to Iran is being cleared.
Russia is still facing issues. Across the country, detachments of Russian soldiers have been found abandoned by their leaders, having no clue that Syria has fallen to the rebels.
Rebels have officially entered the strategic port city of Tartus as reports emerge of Russian forces withdrawing key naval assets.
Syrian rebels have also entered Latakia, the main port of Syria and the last stronghold of Assad’s regime.
Mount Jablah next to Hmeimim Air Base has been captured by rebel forces. It is unclear if there are still Russian forces present at the air base.
Unconfirmed reports that Russia has come to some sort of agreement with the rebels so as not to directly attack these bases (at least yet) presumably until they get their equipment and people out.
In eastern Syria, U.S. CENTCOM says its forces hit 75 ISIS targets today in Syria, utilizing B-52s, F-15s, and A-10s. Included but not stated were remaining Iranian backed militia sites. Several locations were reportedly hit with over 1,000 bombs (hello B52s). These “Islamic Resistance” elements (See Israel) mostly headed west to try to assist the Assad army, but likely got caught in the route and then deflected back to Iran via Iraq.
***
Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz directed the IDF:
1. Complete the takeover of the buffer zone in Syria and the controlled points - IDF activity continued last night to seize additional points.
2. Work to create a security zone free of heavy strategic weapons and terrorist infrastructure in the southern region - beyond the buffer zone - that could threaten the State of Israel - while establishing contact with the Druze population in the region and other populations.
3. Work immediately to prevent and thwart the renewal of the weapons smuggling route from Iran to Lebanon through Syria
4. Continue to work to destroy heavy strategic weapons throughout Syria
My mother - who was kind of strange in her own ways - felt killing people was stupid and a waste of time when the real problem was 'the ideas behind those people'. So she advocated killing ideas. Go to the real root cause.
And she was right - there's too many people doing stupid things with healthcare to even consider killing as an option. No one should look up to the killer or his ways - he's a monster.
That said, the toxic incentives behind our current health care systems are worse than letting millions of illegals from third world countries flood into our country. Toxic incentives are causing prices to rise and the quality of care to fall - and it's getting worse. And it's undermining our culture.
Threat Alert
With the Penny acquittal BLM is attempting to go violent.
NYC mayor Adams on the surface appears to be ready to put violence down.
Extra situational awareness is urged.
Relatively low volume report today. Syria is calming down, Hamas and Hezbollah down, Russia slowing down, etc. Better enjoy the calm while it lasts
CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate THREAT - up dated Nov 12, 2024
Daniel Penny found not guilty of negligent homicide. His other charge of manslaughter was dismissed last week.
BLM New York calls for vengeance from black vigilantes after the acquittal of Daniel Penny in Manhattan.
“People wanna jump up and choke us and kill us for being loud? How about we do the same?”
https://x.com/mrandyngo/status/1866172878808314261?s=61&t=Ca4dYBe3FZLWI7Zi7HkShg
According to Fox News, there are threats to ‘burn down New York’
OBSERVATION - There was some disturbances outside of the court house yesterday. Mass protests have not developed yet, however, numerous cities are reporting to have been readying measures in the event Floyd style riots break out.
Russia -
*****
Russian warships have been forced to anchor off shore of Tartus Syria.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures cooling to the 20-30s and rain and snow throughout much of the period.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Rare calm night in Ukraine, no Shahed-type drones had been reported. Ukraine also reports Russia lost -
+1350 men
+5 tanks
+7 APVs
+3 artillery systems
Missile strikes were reported in Yenakiieve at a Russian ammo dump, occupied part of Donets region. Area is cordoned off and civilians being evacuated.
Though Russian casualties are down, they continue to press the attack in the Pokrovsk and other sectors.
Ukraine Kursk Offensive-
In Kursk region Ukrainian forces have repelled 11 Russian army assaults, - General Staff of Armed Forces of Ukraine reports
Summary —
Seems weather condition are taking more and more control over Russia’s offensive in the east. The apparent slowdown in Russia’s actions are too soon to reflect the Syrian debacle.
More political maneuvering by both sides in anticipation of Trump’s actions to stop the fighting.
Europe / NATO General –
List of countries that announced they are freezing all Syrian asylum applications:
Germany, France, Italy , UK, Netherlands, Belgium, Austria, Sweden, Finland, Denmark, Norway, Czechia , Switzerland, Croatia and Greece
Sweden’s 2nd-largest party, the Sweden Democrats, announce that they want to overturn the residency rights to Syrians who have been granted asylum in Sweden and send them back to Syria after Assad’s fall.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- IDF expands their presence in the Syrian buffer zone
——— GENERAL ——————————-
IAF forces have expanded their control in the buffer zone between Israel and Syria along the Golan Heights.
——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————-
IDF struck several locations in central and N Gaza overnight.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Reports of an Israeli army strike in Maroun al-Ras, southern Lebanon. This is the only reported action of any significance by Israel in Lebanon for the past 24+ hours.
——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-
The Syria rebellion has really sucked a lot of the air out of Hezbollah and Iran’s fight against Israel. Overnight, only one airstrike occurred against hezbollah actions in Lebanon and no other infractions by Hezbollah.
As Israel steadies its status on the border of Syria, attention will grow towards Hezbollah and Hamas again.
Syria -
The Israeli Navy destroyed multiple Syrian navy vessels armed with sea-to-sea missiles at Minet el-Beida and Latakia, ensuring advanced weaponry doesn’t reach hostile forces. The Air Force has also conducted more than 300 strikes in Syria post-Assad regime collapse.
Israeli Army Radio, citing a senior security source: We destroyed the capabilities of the Syrian army in the largest air operation we have carried out in our history.
NOTE - Exceeding the massive operation against Hezbollah in Lebanon.
***
Some friction between elements of HTS coalition as protogovernental actions are underway.
The Islamic rebels who toppled Assad’s regime after taking over the major cities in Syria, including Damascus, is on video vowing to take Jerusalem next and to free all the Gazans.
Reports are Syrian rebels are conduction genocide / ethnic cleansing of opposing sects across Syria and particularly in costal areas where Assad’s sect of Islam resides.
OVERALL OBSERVATION -
Israel has destroyed nearly all of the remaining equipment and munitions of both the Assad regime as well as Iran/Hezbollah stockpiles and facilities. This was made easy in that these targets were not hardened nor hidden under civilian areas. I expect that Israel will continue to hit some locations if BDA comes back indicating that additional hits are necessary.
Most serious action is in the north and northeastern areas of the country where Turkish backed rebels are engaging Kurdish troops. Israel has reached out to the Kurds and have begun an effort to shore them up as allies. IAF may also be called upon in some instances.
Genocide / ethnic cleansing is expected as those elements who’ve supported Assad face rebel retribution.
All evidence is that Russia is/has abandoned its bases in Syria. There are rumblings from nonofficial sources that they are trying to negotiate some sort of an agreement where they can stay, but I find this unlikely. Russia has spilled too much rebel blood, and they have Turkey as their benefactor.