Take a deep breath today, I suspect this next week could be very intense in many ways. Yom Kippur is over and Israel has no more distractions delaying its attack on Iran. The political cycle is spinning up into a Cat 4 round of mayhem, half truths and bald faced lies.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate THREAT - up dated Sep 12, 2024
Several Democrats have suggested they could challenge certification of a victory by former President Donald Trump in the upcoming presidential election.
House Oversight Committee ranking member and former Jan. 6 committee member Jamie Raskin said he would accept the decision if Trump “won a free, fair and honest election”; however, he “definitely” doesn’t assume that Trump would use free, fair, and honest means to secure a victory.
“[He] is doing whatever he can to try to interfere with the process, whether we’re talking about manipulating Electoral College counts in Nebraska or manipulating the vote count in Georgia or imposing other kinds of impediments,” Raskin told Axios.
Rep. Jan Schakowsky, D-Ill., a senior chief deputy whip who voted to object to George W. Bush’s electors in 2005, said a Trump win would need to be examined.
“I don’t know what kind of shenanigans he is planning,” she said, Axios reported. “We would have to, in any election ... make sure that all the rules have been followed.”
https://www.newsmax.com/politics/democrats-house-donald-trump/2024/10/11/id/1183692/
OBSERVATION - Planning on doing what they charged the republicans of doing. This is isn’t the first time for these two in particular to engage in these games. However, this time around democrat desperation to hold onto power may result in greater challenges this year. As always, such actions could spinoff into all kinds of leftist actions and push back.
Terrorism - HIGH THREAT as of Sep 21, 2024
US supplying alternative aircraft for trump to use to obscure his travels from potential terror threats to shoot down the plane he is flying in.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
See Israel - potential deployment of THAAD assets to Israel to defend key sites from possible Iranian ballistic missile attacks.
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics –
More dark knowledge that medical response to wuhan was full of deliberate medical malpractice. —
A military whistleblower released a series of documents revealing 601 deaths of military service members and a high rate of serious adverse events in clinical trials involving remdesivir, an antiviral commonly administered to COVID-19 patients during the pandemic.
According to “The Remdesivir Papers,” some clinical trials were improperly run. In the case of at least one study, results were never made public. The whistleblower also alleged a widespread lack of informed consent for trial participants.
“Data derived from the Department of Defense [DOD] Joint Trauma System … by a military whistleblower offers a stark contrast to results of multiple clinical trials involving the liberal usage of remdesivir in military treatment facilities and other civilian facilities, as well as its potential contribution to, at minimum, hundreds of untimely deaths,” the documents state.
Yet according to the documents, the military began “liberally” administering remdesivir to service members who were suspected of having COVID-19 — months before the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved the drug.
https://childrenshealthdefense.org/defender/remdesivir-papers-drug-military-members-601-deaths/
OBSERVATION - The vast numbers of ‘covid’ deaths were associated to the use of ventilators and remdesivir, along with other chemicals, that accelerated the body’s shut down and eventual death. It was almost a virtual death sentence. Now the data and facts are coming out. Unfortunately, the criminals who fought to hid this data will never see judgement in this life.
AND THERE IS MORE -
A study involving 1.7 million children in England aged between 5 and 15 years old has found that myocarditis and pericarditis only developed in children who had received Pfizer’s covid injections. Not a single unvaccinated child in the group suffered from these heart conditions.
A study was published in May 2024 by the Bennet Institute for Applied Data Science, a multidisciplinary team based at the University of Oxford. It was an observational study to assess the safety and effectiveness of the first and second doses of Pfizer-BioNTech’s (BNT162b2) covid injection in children and adolescents in England. The injection was offered to this age group from September 2021 as part of the Government’s national covid injection campaign.
The study used the OpenSAFELY-TPP database and included adolescents aged 12-15 years and children aged 5-11 years, comparing unvaccinated and single-vaccinated children with those receiving a second dose.
It compared data for at least 1,678,668 children and adolescents comprising:
820,926 unvaccinated adolescents.
441,858 adolescents who had received a first dose.
283,422 unvaccinated children.
132,462 children who had received a first dose
There is no indication of how many adolescents and children who had received a second dose were included in the study.
The study used the incidence rate ratio (“IRR”), separately for children and adolescents, to compare unvaccinated outcomes to vaccinated outcomes and the first does (single-vaccinated) to those who had two doses of Pfizer’s “vaccine.”
https://expose-news.com/2024/10/12/myocarditis-and-pericarditis-only-in-covid-vaccinated/
OBSERVATION - Even with these results clearly evident, the medical ‘authorities’ are still pushing the jab onto America’s children. One aspect is money for pharma, the second and more sinister, is the deliberate actions to cull the population.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Merchan sentencing of trump - Nov 25th
**** Remember, most polls are designed to shape opinion, not reflect it. ****
****Notably, Democrats historically have an edge in support in national polls due to the large strangleholds on registered voters in the largest blue states of California and New York that do not impact the Electoral College but can skew the popular vote and a national poll.****
***
\Walz displayed his ineptness in loading ‘his’ shotgun in a video going viral this weekend. Made Elmer Fudd look accomplished.
Harris earlier sorta bragged about owning a Glock.
***
I hold caution towards polls and hold greater caution towards reports of campaigns “collapsing” a this stage of a campaign. Both sides vigorously spin to try to project confidence in their candidate as well as try to demoralize their opponent’s support base. This effort is also clouded up with shifting polls cited in their support.
However, taking components together, there are indicators and one of the biggest is 0bama and Clinton hitting the circuit. 0bama sucks the oxygen out of the room as he focuses everything on himself. This time, his first outing managed to offend the black community - essentially telling them to get back on the plantation. He has strayed far from being attached to the black society - a Martha’s Vineyard democrat who is now clueless to the issues affecting blacks today.
Democrat concern is also displayed in harris’ increase in interviews - knowing that her hiding wasn’t helping. Those interviews continue to be dumpster fires - one of the latest is the Univision ‘town hall’ where now it has been shown that the audience was not undecided, but deliberately packed with supporters. Add to it the use of teleprompters - indicating pre arranged ‘questions’, and it just goes down hill from there.
Finally, the DNC has launched “its first-ever” attack ads against Jill Stein. What is their internal polling showing?
No I’m not fully accepting the talk that the democrats are hitting the panic button, but I see trends. Nor am I going to be overconfident of a Trump win. Still too many days yet to the election.
Biden / Harris Watch –
Biden says that Americans who have criticized his hurricane response will “pay a price.”
OBSERVATION - Again, out there with the threats against those who exercise there rights to free speech.
Illegal Immigration –
On Friday, local media outlet Action News revealed that federal investigators had been investigating staffing firm Prosperity Services, which supplies cheap migrant labor to Fourth Street Foods in Charleroi.
According to Action News, Fourth Street “employs 700 immigrants from 41 countries, many of them Haitians.” The migrants work on conveyor lines in massive ice boxes to slap breakfast bowls and sandwiches together under various private-label brands for big box retailers.
Here’s the bombshell from the media outlet published Friday evening:
Many of Fourth Street’s workers are actually employed by a contractor, Prosperity Services. Prosperity also transports workers in vans, which can be seen throughout Charleroi.
In court records, federal investigators said Prosperity “knowingly paid undocumented non-citizen employees with cash” and “transported and housed undocumented non-citizens for employment purposes.”
Earlier this year, the feds seized nearly $1 million in cash from Prosperity and two men affiliated with the company, including Andy Ha, the company president.
In another report -
Many of these workers are not directly employed by Fourth Street Foods. Instead, according to Scott, they are hired through staffing agencies, which pay workers about $12 an hour for entry-level food-processing roles and bill Fourth Street Foods over $16 per hour to cover their costs, including transportation and overhead. (The average wage for an entry-level food processor in Washington County was $16.42 per hour in 2023.)
https://thelibertydaily.com/feds-find-million-cash-while-investigating-mysterious-staffing/
OBSERVATION - Another example of the great job replacement, that is beginning to smell more like modern slavery.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 50-60s with rain in the forecast.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
The Ukrainian Air Force reports on a missile and drone attack overnight.
Summary:
0/2 Iskander-M ballistic missiles
0/2 Kh-59 cruise missiles
31/68 Shahed drones shot down
36/68 Shahed drones taken out due to electronic warfare
Russian assaults have ramped up again across the eastern fronts.
Ukraine Kursk Offensive-
Russian has launched fresh assaults in the western portion of the Kursk Salient and reports indicate that they are forcing Ukraine forces back.
Pokrovsk axis (Formerly Ocheretyne) -
Russian Ministry of Defense claims full occupation of Mykhailivka village of Donetsk region of Ukraine
Outlook —
Over the past couple days, Russia has increased the intensity of its assaults on the Donbas region fronts as well as Kursk. This has forced Ukraine back in some sectors. The increased attention in the Kursk region reflects the Russian desire to eliminate the salient so that forces can once again be reassigned to the Donbas region. Attacks against the western margin of the Kursk salient are lead by VDV forces - those that Russia desperately wants for Donbas exploitation.
As noted before, the second reason for the recent Russian push is the incoming wet season that will hinder further offensive operations. This uptick in Russian attacks are reflected in higher reported personnel losses.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Israel deploys a 5th division into S Lebanon
——— GENERAL ——————————-
U.S. official: No decision has yet been made to deploy the THAAD defense system in Israel.
NOTE - Discussion on THAAD deployments suggest US concern for a potential Iranian response to the pending Israeli strike.
——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————-
More evacuation orders for N Gaza as IDF presses southward toward Gaza City
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
The Israeli army tonight once again expanded its ground maneuver in southern Lebanon. An Israeli army division began ground maneuvering during the last few hours in one of the new areas in southern Lebanon. This increases the count to 5 ground divisions
(ISW). Israeli forces also appear to have at least partially secured some villages in southern Lebanon given the presence of Israeli journalists and unarmored engineering vehicles.
Israeli forces continued their air campaign across Lebanon to degrade Hezbollah’s military capabilities. The IDF struck at least 115 Hezbollah targets, primarily in southern Lebanon.
Hezbollah fired off several hundred rockets during Yom Kippur.
——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
Unconfirmed reports that the IDF has breached into Syria from the Golan Heights, towards the town of Kwdana! Reportedly special ops forces in armored vehicles.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
Rumors that the houthi are threatening to directly attack Israeli naval vessels with vessels of their own. Houthi have small, fast boats, commonly used by pirates in the region, with minimal armament as well as drone boats.
——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-
Ok, Yom Kippur is no longer a delaying excuse and the Israeli strike on Iran should happen this week. By current indicators, Israel is proceeding with a very large strike and not a symbolic hit like last time. Iran is trying to placate Israel by saying via third party they will overlook the impending attacks if they are not severe.
Bets are still on that oil, key headquarters, important nuclear sites and especially the mullahs are primary targets. Israel has no desire for this back and forth minor exchange scenario that the US is trying to force. Netanyahu realizes this is war and that Iran is trying to eradicate the nations from the face of the earth. biden et al don’t realize this or if they do are playing into Iran’s hand. biden hates Netanyahu and a strong Israel.
Hezbollah is trying to spin PR that Israel is failing in its initial phases of the S Lebanon operation. Mostly for the moral support of its fighters. Israel is establishing presence on the first line of hills overlooking the border having to work thru the defenses Hezbollah has built up since 2006 to deter another ground invasion.
Now with a 5th division attacking into Lebanon, Hezbollah really has its hands full. Leadership losses and communications challenges are going to work against them. I think that once Israel has finished breaching these border defenses, things will go more quickly as Hezbollah planned for its next war based on the limited 2006 conflict where Israel didn’t penetrate too deeply, so they have not planned a better defense in depth that the apparent israeli objects indicate.
On a more strategic level, hezbollah continues to lose ammo dumps, headquarters and senior leaders. Impacts are evident from the very weak rocket response Hezbollah has been mustering - generally just a few hundred rockets per day. Israel had expected thousands per day.
In Gaza, IDF is cornering more Hamas and affiliated groups and eradicating them. Hamas et al has fewer and fewer assets with which to challenge Israel, and the jihadi mentality causes their losses to increase accordingly.
This week’s alerts - man, if Israel doesn’t launch against Iran this week, when will they. I understand the necessity of making sure you have your bases covered because there is little room for errors on an attack of this nature.
Iran –
Iranian Foreign Ministry: We affirm our right to “appropriate response” to US sanctions imposed on us
***
According to latest reports, the Iran government and the country’s nuclear facilities have been hit by massive cyberattacks; while there is no information about when this happened and who is behind the attacks, it is being said that important information has been stolen.
As per the local media reports, all three branches of the Iranian government, namely, executive, legislature and judiciary have been hit by the massive cyberattacks. Along with the Iran government branches, the country’s nuclear facilities have also been targeted by these cyberattacks.
Iran International English quoted Firouzabadi, former Secretary of Iran’s Supreme Council of Cyberspace as saying, “Nearly all three branches of Iran’s government – the judiciary, the legislature and the executive branch – have been hit by heavy cyberattacks, and their information stolen.”
***
The United States still believes that Iran has not decided to build a nuclear weapon despite Tehran’s recent strategic setbacks, including Israel’s killing of Hezbollah leaders and two largely unsuccessful attempts to attack Israel, two U.S. officials told Reuters.
The comments from a senior Biden administration official and a spokesperson for the Office of the Director of National Intelligence added to public remarks earlier this week by CIA Director William Burns, who said the United States had not seen any evidence Iran’s leader had reversed his 2003 decision to suspend the weaponization program.
“We assess that the Supreme Leader has not made a decision to resume the nuclear weapons program that Iran suspended in 2003,” said the ODNI spokesperson, referring to Iran’s leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.
https://www.newsmax.com/world/globaltalk/iran-nuclear/2024/10/11/id/1183686/
OBSERVATION - A very dangerous assessment and one that strays far from understanding the moslem mind. Deception and lying is ingrained into islam, and the willing allowance this administration has given Iran via lifting of sanctions and out right cash payments just shows the ignorance of those in the intelligence field.
Syria -
US Central Command announces launching a series of airstrikes on ISIS sites in Syria
Rep. Jan Schakowsky, D-Ill., a senior chief deputy whip who voted to object to George W. Bush’s electors in 2005, said a Trump win would need to be examined.
“I don’t know what kind of shenanigans he is planning,” she said, Axios reported. “We would have to, in any election ... make sure that all the rules have been followed.”
What blatant projection.
The stinking hypocrites only want the rules enforced when it benefits them.
In 2020 they did everything they’re now accusing Trump of doing.
We desperately need some major Divine Intervention in this election.
Who would want to eat anything packaged by them?
Prepare your own food. At the very least, you have a much better idea what’s in it.
Happy Columbus Day
Terrorism - HIGH THREAT as of Sep 21, 2024
An armed man was arrested outside Donald Trump’s rally in Coachella, California, after allegedly stating his intent to “kill the president,” according to the Riverside County Sheriff’s Department. Sheriff Chad Bianco confirmed the arrest of the individual, who was found with two firearms near the rally’s perimeter.
Vem Miller, the conservative activist accused of possibly trying to assassinate Trump, is calling the claim from the Riverside sheriff “complete bullsh—.” Miller was charged with weapons violations when he was arrested about a quarter-mile from the rally.
From reports, he’s a “sovereign citizen” activist. Deputies became suspicious of Miller due to the interior of his vehicle being in “disarray” and having fake license plates consistent of groups claiming to be “sovereign citizens,” and was unregistered, Bianco said. Bianco said Sunday. Miller claimed to be a journalist, and had multiple fake passports with different names inside, Bianco said.
The arrest took place at a checkpoint at the intersection of Avenue 52 and Celebration Drive in Coachella at 4:59 p.m. on Saturday, the Riverside County Sheriff’s Office said. The rally was scheduled to start at 5 p.m.
Miller was found to be in illegal possession of a shotgun, a loaded handgun, and a high-capacity magazine (all are illegal to possess in the state of Kalifornia).
He is facing weapons charges and was released on $5000 bail.
OBSERVATION - This is a weird situation and I’ve placed it hear just because of the publicized assassination threat. The probable biggest aspect of this is what appears to be his ‘”sovereign citizen” status with a lot of fake ID’s and VIP/Press passes. From others who knew him, his threat to kill trump are foreign to his nature and was understood to be a trump supporter. If this was an assassination attempt, a $5k bond would have never been issued and currently there are no federal charges pending.
It appears this guy is pretty nutty and nut jobs have tendencies to do some really stupid things, like attempting to assassinate a presidential candidate they support. I don’t think this is the issue here, but more likely an arrest that resulted in gun charges over an unregistered/licensed vehicle trying to enter a secured area.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
USS Harry S. Truman (CVN-75) is operating Atlantic Ocean having left the eastern Med.
The Abraham Lincoln Carrier Strike Group continues to operate in the North Arabian Sea. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin ordered Abraham Lincoln and its attached destroyers to remain in the region as regional conflict intensified, according to a Pentagon statement.
***
The United States will send a Terminal High Altitude Area Defense battery and troops to Israel, the Pentagon said Sunday, even as Iran warned Washington to keep American military forces out of Israel.
Maj. Gen. Pat Ryder, Pentagon spokesman, said in a statement that Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin authorized the deployment of the THAAD battery at the direction of President Joe Biden.
Generally each battery consists of six truck-mounted launchers, 48 interceptors, radio and radar equipment and required 95 soldiers to operate.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Merchan sentencing of trump - Nov 25th
**** Remember, most polls are designed to shape opinion, not reflect it. ****
****Notably, Democrats historically have an edge in support in national polls due to the large strangleholds on registered voters in the largest blue states of California and New York that do not impact the Electoral College but can skew the popular vote and a national poll.****
***
With election day fast approaching, so to the rise in rhetoric. In regards to polling (see warnings above) traditionally democrat/liberal sources show the race has swung to a 50/50 to slight trump lead. Observers note that in these polls, trump is doing far better than he was in 2016 and 2020. I think in large part these lefty polls are trying to center back to reality because if they blow their final projection -they lose credibility and future funding. This is a typical trend.
Biden / Harris Watch –
Parodies of Walz as Elmer Fudd continue to go viral.
Harris’ challenge for Trump to appear on a CNN townhall have fallen on deaf ears. She says she intends to do it anyway. Could be another disaster as CNN this cycle has been uncharacteristically brutal to the democrats and she may face a much more hostile scenario than all the scripted and preplanned interviews of the past.
Trump for his part is likely on the track of letting his opponent self destruct on their own.
China –
China on Monday launched new military drills off the coast of Taiwan in what it described as “punishment” for a speech given by its president William Lai, when he vowed to “resist annexation” or “encroachment upon our sovereignty”.
China claims the self-governing island of Taiwan as its own and its president Xi Jinping has vowed to retake it by force if necessary.
Taiwan said it detected 34 naval vessels and 125 aircraft in formation around the island on Monday.
Maps published by Chinese state media indicated its forces were positioned around the whole island. It said later on Monday that the drills had been successfully concluded.
OBSERVATION - The extent of the deployment around Taiwan is indicative of a naval blockade plan rather than a physical invasion. A naval blockade is currently the most likely threat to Taiwan, and though risky, its it not as risky as attempting to capture the island via an amphibious operation.
North/South Korea –
N Korea placed its artillery units on a state of high alert over the weekend. One of the key components of NK’s war plan against the south is to launch a massive artillery attack on the south - principally Seoul - as a preclude to an invasion.
The alert did not appear to involve other ground forces and seems to follow recent saber rattling by Kim over recent US/SK exercises.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 40-60s with scattered showers in the forecast.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
A rare period of no Sahed drone attacks.
Ukraine Kursk Offensive-
After some initial successes, the Russian counter attack in the western portion of the Kursk Salient seem to have stalled out.
Pokrovsk axis (Formerly Ocheretyne) -
Russian forces focusing their attacks on the western portion of the salient from Pokrovsk southward.
Outlook —
Russia is throwing everything it has along the Donbas front. Putin wants full control of the region badly. That effort has been hampered by the diversion of forces towards the Kursk front.
Ukraine has been giving up more ground over the past months- uncharacteristic of its tenacious defense of the past couple years. But those terrain losses have cost Russia greatly.
Russia’s current estimated losses now exceed 600,000 - a devastatingly blood campaign for Russia. They have had to almost continually raise the age of conscription to feed the meat grinder.
Ground action continues as it has over the past month or so. Still expect a Russian missile/drone attack of large proportions.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Hezbollah drone hits dining facility, killing 4 and wounding around 60 others.
- US THADD battery enroute manned by US soldiers
- UN ‘peacekeeping’ forces ordered to leave S Lebanon.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
The Pentagon has announced the immediate deployment of a Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) Battery operated by U.S. soldiers to Israel, in order to bolster Israeli defenses against any future attack by Iran using ballistic missiles.
The deployment of the United States defense system in Israel - for the first time since the Gulf War in 1991. The system is designed as a layer backing up the Patriot system and can rightly be equated to Israel’s David Sling missile defense system but with a slightly longer range.
***
Israel has called for the removal of UN peacekeeping forces from S Lebanon as Hezbollah bunkers and firing positions are essentially co-located with nearly all of the UN OPs and other facilities. UN has so far rejected the command.
——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————-
More evacuation orders for N Gaza as IDF presses southward toward Gaza City
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
The Iranian Foreign Ministry said that the assassination of the commander of the Quds Force in Lebanon, Abbas Nilforoushan, is an illegal act and an unforgivable crime. Nilforoushan was killed in the same raid that targeted Hassan Nasrallah, and his body was found last Friday, and his funeral ceremony will begin today in the Iraqi city of Karbala.
Hezbollah drones and rockets have increasingly targeted the Haifa area. Hezbollah claiming they desire to make this the new Kiryat Shmona, a city in the Galilee region that has historically faced the brunt of Hezbollah rocket attacks.
***
A UAV, launched by the Hezbollah, directly hit the dining room at the Golani divisional training base, while dozens of recent recruits were inside eating dinner.
In all, 51 soldiers were injured in the incident, including nine in moderate condition. The rest are in light condition. Four have been reported as killed.
Preliminary investigation indicates that the Hezbollah UAV was an Iranian Mirsad-1 with a payload of 20KG explosive.
***
Israeli ground forces continue to press northward into Lebanon
——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
An Israeli bombing raid targeted a crossing linking the towns of Jarmash and Qusayr on the Lebanese-Syrian border
An Iranian 747 cargo jet linked to arms shipments to Hezbollah has landed twice at a Russian controlled airbase in Syria. Israel recently hit a delivery to the same airbase a few weeks ago. Iran is currently unable to land in Beirut or Damascus because of Israeli embargo threats. This Russian airfield is safer until Iran tries to move the materials off base, whereupon Israel is on it like white on rice. As in the past, an Israeli airstrike is expected sooner rather than later.
———WEST BANK——————————-
Israeli security forces arrest 50 during a large-scale raid campaign in West Bank cities
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Russia, Syria and Iran should take more effective measures to protect Syria’s territorial integrity, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said on Saturday, when asked about Israel’s recent alleged strike on Damascus. “We will defend an urgent and permanent peace in Syria…. Israel is the most concrete threat to regional and global peace,” Erdogan said in an interview with Turkish media.
There are some unconfirmed rumbling from Gulf states like Saudi Arabia that they would prefer Israel to takeout Iranian nuclear sites and not oil facilities given Iran’s threats to take out ‘supporting’ Gulf states oil facilities as a response.
——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-
The deployment of a THAAD battery to Israel brings an interesting new component to the puzzle. Its presence is a harbinger of an anticipated Iranian response to the impending Israeli attack. I estimate it will take them about a week to get deployed and set up.
Israel doesn’t need them to be operations when they launch their counter strike as Iran would be unlikely to launch a response in a quick manner, judging from the last two missile attacks. It presence DOES indicate the likelihood that Israel’s attack will be pretty big and hitting possible ‘red line’ targets, prompting a large Iranian response.
This deployment may also be in exchange for some modifications in the current Israeli operations - primarily the systematic destruction of Hezbollah facilities in Beirut. Those attacks have ceased for the past four days. However, with the recent drone attack, targeting of Beirut may soon resume.
Timing of the Israeli attack on Iran remains unknown. Initial delays due to Israeli holy days are past, but now a new feature is the closeness of the US elections. That may affect to some degree some of the targets, but the general consensus is that it will not further delay Israel’s timing for an attack.
Action is Gaza has picked up some temp as IDF elements squash Hamas and affiliate terror groups attempt to reassert their power in N Gaza. Many see this as the first step into converting the north into a military district under direct Israeli governance.
Israel to continue to eradicate Hezbollah forces in S Lebanon. Action may cause injuries/deaths to so called UN peacekeeper forces due to the proximity that Hezbollah has set up ammo caches and firing positions to those UN OPs and other facilities.
Israel’s attack on Iran is still widely expected this week.