Replies

Terrorism - HIGH THREAT as of Sep 21, 2024

it turns out the ISIS fan who threatened to carry out a terrorist attack on Election Day had been a CIA asset.

Economy- HIGH Threat - as of AUG 5, 2024

The weekly count of Americans filing initial claims for unemployment benefits jumped to its highest level in more than a year, the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL) reported Thursday.

For the week ending October 5, the advance figure for seasonally-adjusted initial jobless claims was 258,000, an increase of 33,000 from the previous week’s unrevised level of 225,000, according to the latest DOL report:

“This is the highest level for initial claims since August 5, 2023 when it was 258,000. The 4-week moving average was 231,000, an increase of 6,750 from the previous week’s unrevised average of 224,250.”

Last week’s initial jobless claims came in about thirty thousand higher than analysts had expected.

The September report is the latest sign that the job market is weakening, as the Associated Press noted Thursday:

“The total number of Americans collecting jobless benefits rose by 42,000 to about 1.86 million for the week of Sept. 28, the most since late July.
“In August, the Labor Department reported that the U.S. economy added 818,000 fewer jobs from April 2023 through March this year than were originally reported. The revised total was also considered evidence that the job market has been slowing steadily, compelling the Fed to start cutting interest rates.”

https://mrctv.org/blog/craig-bannister/jobless-claims-jump-highest-level-more-year

OBSERVATION - This is a contra indicator showing that the economy is not as rosy as the regime and its number skewing minions like to show. These numbers are what the public actually ‘feel’ and impress how well or poor the economy is going. Job market declines are opposite what a robust economy would produce.

POLITICAL FRONT –
Merchan sentencing of trump - Nov 25th

**** Remember, most polls are designed to shape opinion, not reflect it. ****

****Notably, Democrats historically have an edge in support in national polls due to the large strangleholds on registered voters in the largest blue states of California and New York that do not impact the Electoral College but can skew the popular vote and a national poll.****

***
Vice President Kamala Harris said Tuesday that she can’t think of a single thing she would’ve done differently the past three and a half years if she’d been president instead of Joe Biden - and this isn’t the first time.

“If anything, would you have done something differently than President Biden during the past four years?” Co-host Sunny Hostin asked during Harris’ appearance on “The View.”

“There is not a thing that comes to mind. And I’ve been part of most of the decisions that have had impact,” V.P. Harris replied, claiming partial credit for President Biden’s choices.

https://mrctv.org/blog/craig-bannister/kamala-harris-says-theres-not-thing-she-wouldve-done-differently

OBSERVATION - Even in front of a friendly crowd, harris manages to screw it all up. Going from fixing everything wrong now to openly acknowledging that she had a hand in creating the mess in the first place.

Biden / Harris Watch –

harris was caught using two teleprompters during her “Town Hall” at Univision.

OBSERVATION - Her recent blitz of ‘interviews’ to shrug off the accusation of hiding from questions has backfired in a major way.

Illegal Immigration –

Local officials in Logansport, Indiana are sounding the alarm on the huge influx of migrants causing a strain on the local school systems.
Hundreds of migrant minors are being enrolled in the local schools. The Haitian student population alone has increased 1378% since 2021.

Russia -

Russian Personnel Issues –-

An unspecified senior US defense official stated on October 9 that Russian forces have suffered over 600,000 casualties since the start of the full-scale invasion in February 2022

Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 50-60s with rain in the forecast.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –

Ukrainian air defense shot down 29 of 66 Shahed-type strike drones over Ukraine overnight, 31 lost, 2 returned to Russia, 4 is still flying.
NOTE - They’ve been reporting “lost” drones for a little while now. Not sure of how they are defining that.

Russian ballistic missile struck in Odesa region last evening.

Pokrovsk axis (Formerly Ocheretyne) -

Russian Ministry of Defense claims full occupation of Ostrivske village of Donetsk region of Ukraine

Crimean front —

Another fuel reservoir exploded at burning oil depot in Feodosiya, occupied Crimea. This facility has been burning for over 5 days now.

Outlook —

Noticed reported Russian casualties have gone down from their highs from over the past couple months. This would suggest Russian activity has decreased, rather than increased as suggested in previous post. Too early to say if the seasonal weather change is the cause or Russian just running out of troops and supplies. As noted under Russia above, it is estimated that Russia has lost 600,000 in less than the three yeas of this war. One can extend that to equivalent losses of equipment as well. These losses have put a lot of pressure to maintain recruitment levels which have impacted their economy by removing workers from many sectors. Territory gained in Ukraine has come at a great cost to Russia.

Monitoring for potential changes in the ground action.

Still expecting Russian major missile barrage.

ISRAEL –
October 12, Yom Kippur

Key overnight developments -

- Continued ground operations is S Lebanon

- Large airstrikes near Khan Yunis.

——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————-

Some of the largest airstrikes in a while, targeting areas east of Khan Yunis.

——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-

IDF breached sections of Lebanon border fence at unexpected spots to surprise Hezbollah, enabling forces to directly enter Lebanese villages. Hezbollah anti-tank missile squads in area pushed further away from border, can no longer target Israel with direct fire.

Unconfirmed reports that in another strike in Beirut, Israel has eliminated Mohammad Raad - a Lebanese politician of the Lebanese Shia Islamist political party and militia Hezbollah, who serves as member of parliament.

Hezbollah rockets target the Haifa area, with no significant affect.

——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-

Israeli raid targets Al-Qasr town crossing in Homs countryside near Lebanese border

Israeli raid on Matraba area on Lebanese-Syrian border in Bekaa Valley, eastern Lebanon

———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————

Kataib Hezbollah (KH) Commander Abu Ali Al-Askari issued a direct threat against the United States. KH is a U.S.-designated anti-American Shiite militia operating in Iraq with ancillary operations in Syria.

———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-

Spanish PM: International community must stop arms exports to Israel

Lebanon’s representative to the Security Council: We support the US-French initiative for a 21-day ceasefire

——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-

Yom Kippur is tomorrow, so an Israeli strike on Iran could occur as soon as the weekend. Rhetoric from Netanyahu, as well as govt and military sources indicate that his discussions with biden did little to change his mind on what targets to hit. If they did alter his plans, he is not letting on to that, nor does it look like there are any leaks from DC on that as well.

Iran has issued several warnings to Gulf nations that they will retaliated against them should there be any appearance of support to Israel. This is a very valid threat as most of the Gulf nations are opposed to Iran on religious grounds, as well as political. If Iran carried out any of the threats, the region would break into a war who’s first target will be the oil industry in the gulf. This would cause prices to skyrocket as there would be global shortages. Saudi Arabia in particular has been gradually preparing its forces in the event of a conflict with Iran and would likely be the largest target by Iran.

Analysis of Israeli operations in S Lebanon indicate that Israel learned its lessons from the 2006 war, utilizing maneuver and surprise to negate the ATGM traps Hezbollah used successfully. Since Oct 7, Hezbollah has fired ATGMs into Israel, targeting a wide range of objectives. This initial push by Israel has moved the potential firing locations both out of range as well as out of line of sight for those ATGMs.

In Gaza, Israel continues to liquidate remnants of Hamas and its allies in N Gaza. Action hasn’t been limited to that area alone, as air/artillery strikes continue throughout the strip.

Near term - Israeli counter strike on Iran, probably before the end of the weekend.

Iran –

There is a soap opera of sorts surrounding Esmail Qaani, Head of Iran’s Quds Forces, who reportedly had a heart attack while being interrogated for the suspicion of being an Israeli agent. He had been located with Hashem Saffiedine, Nasrallah’s potential successor, when Israel attacked the bunker he was in. Qaani was reportedly taken into custody by the IRGC and was undergoing interrogation.

Other unconfirmed reports are that the Iranian agent that was interrogating him at the time has now been arrested as possibly being a member of the Mossad as well. The level of panic is deep within Iran’s ruling class.

***
Again, Iran threatened Jordan, Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Qatar not to allow Israel to attack Iran through their territory or airspace

Misc of Note –

The run-up to the election is a potentially very hazardous period for stuff to go sideways very fast. But there is another time frame that is potentially a lot more dangerous. That is the period between the election day and inauguration.

A trump win may well trigger a desperate attempt by the regime to go all out and prevent the inauguration. This ranges from efforts not to certify the election, to an imposition of a “national emergency” of some sort - potentially triggered by rioting illegals - to declare martial law. Another effort could be an attempt to arrest and jail trump - in some attempt to void the results of the election. And Just as after 2016, the democrats will unleash Antifa et al to cause violence and destruction.

I do not underestimate the potential desperation of the democrats at the prospect of losing power in DC.

Similar, but slightly different dynamics in the event of a harris win, especially if there are potential cheating involved. I can expect the govt to move to arrest republicans and leaders of potential opposition groups - similar to third world and communist countries. Any opposition could face brutal crackdowns which could cause the fissure to open wide between red and blue.

Even the above is very simple - the matrix is maxed out as far as the chaos that could ensue post election. We have to spiritually, mentally and physically prepare for the worst and pray for the best.

Take a deep breath today, I suspect this next week could be very intense in many ways. Yom Kippur is over and Israel has no more distractions delaying its attack on Iran. The political cycle is spinning up into a Cat 4 round of mayhem, half truths and bald faced lies.

CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate THREAT - up dated Sep 12, 2024

Several Democrats have suggested they could challenge certification of a victory by former President Donald Trump in the upcoming presidential election.

House Oversight Committee ranking member and former Jan. 6 committee member Jamie Raskin said he would accept the decision if Trump “won a free, fair and honest election”; however, he “definitely” doesn’t assume that Trump would use free, fair, and honest means to secure a victory.
“[He] is doing whatever he can to try to interfere with the process, whether we’re talking about manipulating Electoral College counts in Nebraska or manipulating the vote count in Georgia or imposing other kinds of impediments,” Raskin told Axios.

Rep. Jan Schakowsky, D-Ill., a senior chief deputy whip who voted to object to George W. Bush’s electors in 2005, said a Trump win would need to be examined.

“I don’t know what kind of shenanigans he is planning,” she said, Axios reported. “We would have to, in any election ... make sure that all the rules have been followed.”

https://www.newsmax.com/politics/democrats-house-donald-trump/2024/10/11/id/1183692/

OBSERVATION - Planning on doing what they charged the republicans of doing. This is isn’t the first time for these two in particular to engage in these games. However, this time around democrat desperation to hold onto power may result in greater challenges this year. As always, such actions could spinoff into all kinds of leftist actions and push back.

Terrorism - HIGH THREAT as of Sep 21, 2024

US supplying alternative aircraft for trump to use to obscure his travels from potential terror threats to shoot down the plane he is flying in.

Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –

See Israel - potential deployment of THAAD assets to Israel to defend key sites from possible Iranian ballistic missile attacks.

Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics –

More dark knowledge that medical response to wuhan was full of deliberate medical malpractice. —

A military whistleblower released a series of documents revealing 601 deaths of military service members and a high rate of serious adverse events in clinical trials involving remdesivir, an antiviral commonly administered to COVID-19 patients during the pandemic.

According to “The Remdesivir Papers,” some clinical trials were improperly run. In the case of at least one study, results were never made public. The whistleblower also alleged a widespread lack of informed consent for trial participants.

“Data derived from the Department of Defense [DOD] Joint Trauma System … by a military whistleblower offers a stark contrast to results of multiple clinical trials involving the liberal usage of remdesivir in military treatment facilities and other civilian facilities, as well as its potential contribution to, at minimum, hundreds of untimely deaths,” the documents state.

Yet according to the documents, the military began “liberally” administering remdesivir to service members who were suspected of having COVID-19 — months before the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved the drug.

https://childrenshealthdefense.org/defender/remdesivir-papers-drug-military-members-601-deaths/

OBSERVATION - The vast numbers of ‘covid’ deaths were associated to the use of ventilators and remdesivir, along with other chemicals, that accelerated the body’s shut down and eventual death. It was almost a virtual death sentence. Now the data and facts are coming out. Unfortunately, the criminals who fought to hid this data will never see judgement in this life.

AND THERE IS MORE -
A study involving 1.7 million children in England aged between 5 and 15 years old has found that myocarditis and pericarditis only developed in children who had received Pfizer’s covid injections. Not a single unvaccinated child in the group suffered from these heart conditions.

A study was published in May 2024 by the Bennet Institute for Applied Data Science, a multidisciplinary team based at the University of Oxford. It was an observational study to assess the safety and effectiveness of the first and second doses of Pfizer-BioNTech’s (BNT162b2) covid injection in children and adolescents in England. The injection was offered to this age group from September 2021 as part of the Government’s national covid injection campaign.

The study used the OpenSAFELY-TPP database and included adolescents aged 12-15 years and children aged 5-11 years, comparing unvaccinated and single-vaccinated children with those receiving a second dose.

It compared data for at least 1,678,668 children and adolescents comprising:
820,926 unvaccinated adolescents.
441,858 adolescents who had received a first dose.
283,422 unvaccinated children.
132,462 children who had received a first dose
There is no indication of how many adolescents and children who had received a second dose were included in the study.

The study used the incidence rate ratio (“IRR”), separately for children and adolescents, to compare unvaccinated outcomes to vaccinated outcomes and the first does (single-vaccinated) to those who had two doses of Pfizer’s “vaccine.”

https://expose-news.com/2024/10/12/myocarditis-and-pericarditis-only-in-covid-vaccinated/

OBSERVATION - Even with these results clearly evident, the medical ‘authorities’ are still pushing the jab onto America’s children. One aspect is money for pharma, the second and more sinister, is the deliberate actions to cull the population.

POLITICAL FRONT –
Merchan sentencing of trump - Nov 25th

**** Remember, most polls are designed to shape opinion, not reflect it. ****

***
\Walz displayed his ineptness in loading ‘his’ shotgun in a video going viral this weekend. Made Elmer Fudd look accomplished.
Harris earlier sorta bragged about owning a Glock.

***
I hold caution towards polls and hold greater caution towards reports of campaigns “collapsing” a this stage of a campaign. Both sides vigorously spin to try to project confidence in their candidate as well as try to demoralize their opponent’s support base. This effort is also clouded up with shifting polls cited in their support.

However, taking components together, there are indicators and one of the biggest is 0bama and Clinton hitting the circuit. 0bama sucks the oxygen out of the room as he focuses everything on himself. This time, his first outing managed to offend the black community - essentially telling them to get back on the plantation. He has strayed far from being attached to the black society - a Martha’s Vineyard democrat who is now clueless to the issues affecting blacks today.

Democrat concern is also displayed in harris’ increase in interviews - knowing that her hiding wasn’t helping. Those interviews continue to be dumpster fires - one of the latest is the Univision ‘town hall’ where now it has been shown that the audience was not undecided, but deliberately packed with supporters. Add to it the use of teleprompters - indicating pre arranged ‘questions’, and it just goes down hill from there.

Finally, the DNC has launched “its first-ever” attack ads against Jill Stein. What is their internal polling showing?

No I’m not fully accepting the talk that the democrats are hitting the panic button, but I see trends. Nor am I going to be overconfident of a Trump win. Still too many days yet to the election.

Biden / Harris Watch –

Biden says that Americans who have criticized his hurricane response will “pay a price.”

OBSERVATION - Again, out there with the threats against those who exercise there rights to free speech.

Illegal Immigration –

On Friday, local media outlet Action News revealed that federal investigators had been investigating staffing firm Prosperity Services, which supplies cheap migrant labor to Fourth Street Foods in Charleroi.

According to Action News, Fourth Street “employs 700 immigrants from 41 countries, many of them Haitians.” The migrants work on conveyor lines in massive ice boxes to slap breakfast bowls and sandwiches together under various private-label brands for big box retailers.

Here’s the bombshell from the media outlet published Friday evening:
Many of Fourth Street’s workers are actually employed by a contractor, Prosperity Services. Prosperity also transports workers in vans, which can be seen throughout Charleroi.

In court records, federal investigators said Prosperity “knowingly paid undocumented non-citizen employees with cash” and “transported and housed undocumented non-citizens for employment purposes.”

Earlier this year, the feds seized nearly $1 million in cash from Prosperity and two men affiliated with the company, including Andy Ha, the company president.

In another report -
Many of these workers are not directly employed by Fourth Street Foods. Instead, according to Scott, they are hired through staffing agencies, which pay workers about $12 an hour for entry-level food-processing roles and bill Fourth Street Foods over $16 per hour to cover their costs, including transportation and overhead. (The average wage for an entry-level food processor in Washington County was $16.42 per hour in 2023.)

https://thelibertydaily.com/feds-find-million-cash-while-investigating-mysterious-staffing/

OBSERVATION - Another example of the great job replacement, that is beginning to smell more like modern slavery.

Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 50-60s with rain in the forecast.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –

The Ukrainian Air Force reports on a missile and drone attack overnight.
Summary:
0/2 Iskander-M ballistic missiles
0/2 Kh-59 cruise missiles
31/68 Shahed drones shot down
36/68 Shahed drones taken out due to electronic warfare

Russian assaults have ramped up again across the eastern fronts.

Ukraine Kursk Offensive-

Russian has launched fresh assaults in the western portion of the Kursk Salient and reports indicate that they are forcing Ukraine forces back.

Pokrovsk axis (Formerly Ocheretyne) -

Russian Ministry of Defense claims full occupation of Mykhailivka village of Donetsk region of Ukraine

Outlook —

Over the past couple days, Russia has increased the intensity of its assaults on the Donbas region fronts as well as Kursk. This has forced Ukraine back in some sectors. The increased attention in the Kursk region reflects the Russian desire to eliminate the salient so that forces can once again be reassigned to the Donbas region. Attacks against the western margin of the Kursk salient are lead by VDV forces - those that Russia desperately wants for Donbas exploitation.

As noted before, the second reason for the recent Russian push is the incoming wet season that will hinder further offensive operations. This uptick in Russian attacks are reflected in higher reported personnel losses.

ISRAEL –

Key overnight developments -

- Israel deploys a 5th division into S Lebanon

——— GENERAL ——————————-

U.S. official: No decision has yet been made to deploy the THAAD defense system in Israel.
NOTE - Discussion on THAAD deployments suggest US concern for a potential Iranian response to the pending Israeli strike.

——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————-

More evacuation orders for N Gaza as IDF presses southward toward Gaza City

——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-

The Israeli army tonight once again expanded its ground maneuver in southern Lebanon. An Israeli army division began ground maneuvering during the last few hours in one of the new areas in southern Lebanon. This increases the count to 5 ground divisions

(ISW). Israeli forces also appear to have at least partially secured some villages in southern Lebanon given the presence of Israeli journalists and unarmored engineering vehicles.

Israeli forces continued their air campaign across Lebanon to degrade Hezbollah’s military capabilities. The IDF struck at least 115 Hezbollah targets, primarily in southern Lebanon.

Hezbollah fired off several hundred rockets during Yom Kippur.

——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-

Unconfirmed reports that the IDF has breached into Syria from the Golan Heights, towards the town of Kwdana! Reportedly special ops forces in armored vehicles.

———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————

Rumors that the houthi are threatening to directly attack Israeli naval vessels with vessels of their own. Houthi have small, fast boats, commonly used by pirates in the region, with minimal armament as well as drone boats.

——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-

Ok, Yom Kippur is no longer a delaying excuse and the Israeli strike on Iran should happen this week. By current indicators, Israel is proceeding with a very large strike and not a symbolic hit like last time. Iran is trying to placate Israel by saying via third party they will overlook the impending attacks if they are not severe.

Bets are still on that oil, key headquarters, important nuclear sites and especially the mullahs are primary targets. Israel has no desire for this back and forth minor exchange scenario that the US is trying to force. Netanyahu realizes this is war and that Iran is trying to eradicate the nations from the face of the earth. biden et al don’t realize this or if they do are playing into Iran’s hand. biden hates Netanyahu and a strong Israel.

Hezbollah is trying to spin PR that Israel is failing in its initial phases of the S Lebanon operation. Mostly for the moral support of its fighters. Israel is establishing presence on the first line of hills overlooking the border having to work thru the defenses Hezbollah has built up since 2006 to deter another ground invasion.

Now with a 5th division attacking into Lebanon, Hezbollah really has its hands full. Leadership losses and communications challenges are going to work against them. I think that once Israel has finished breaching these border defenses, things will go more quickly as Hezbollah planned for its next war based on the limited 2006 conflict where Israel didn’t penetrate too deeply, so they have not planned a better defense in depth that the apparent israeli objects indicate.

On a more strategic level, hezbollah continues to lose ammo dumps, headquarters and senior leaders. Impacts are evident from the very weak rocket response Hezbollah has been mustering - generally just a few hundred rockets per day. Israel had expected thousands per day.

In Gaza, IDF is cornering more Hamas and affiliated groups and eradicating them. Hamas et al has fewer and fewer assets with which to challenge Israel, and the jihadi mentality causes their losses to increase accordingly.

This week’s alerts - man, if Israel doesn’t launch against Iran this week, when will they. I understand the necessity of making sure you have your bases covered because there is little room for errors on an attack of this nature.

Iran –

Iranian Foreign Ministry: We affirm our right to “appropriate response” to US sanctions imposed on us

***
According to latest reports, the Iran government and the country’s nuclear facilities have been hit by massive cyberattacks; while there is no information about when this happened and who is behind the attacks, it is being said that important information has been stolen.
As per the local media reports, all three branches of the Iranian government, namely, executive, legislature and judiciary have been hit by the massive cyberattacks. Along with the Iran government branches, the country’s nuclear facilities have also been targeted by these cyberattacks.
Iran International English quoted Firouzabadi, former Secretary of Iran’s Supreme Council of Cyberspace as saying, “Nearly all three branches of Iran’s government – the judiciary, the legislature and the executive branch – have been hit by heavy cyberattacks, and their information stolen.”

***
The United States still believes that Iran has not decided to build a nuclear weapon despite Tehran’s recent strategic setbacks, including Israel’s killing of Hezbollah leaders and two largely unsuccessful attempts to attack Israel, two U.S. officials told Reuters.
The comments from a senior Biden administration official and a spokesperson for the Office of the Director of National Intelligence added to public remarks earlier this week by CIA Director William Burns, who said the United States had not seen any evidence Iran’s leader had reversed his 2003 decision to suspend the weaponization program.
“We assess that the Supreme Leader has not made a decision to resume the nuclear weapons program that Iran suspended in 2003,” said the ODNI spokesperson, referring to Iran’s leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

https://www.newsmax.com/world/globaltalk/iran-nuclear/2024/10/11/id/1183686/

OBSERVATION - A very dangerous assessment and one that strays far from understanding the moslem mind. Deception and lying is ingrained into islam, and the willing allowance this administration has given Iran via lifting of sanctions and out right cash payments just shows the ignorance of those in the intelligence field.

Syria -

US Central Command announces launching a series of airstrikes on ISIS sites in Syria