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We Won't See a Recession Until This Business Indicator Reverses
Stansberry Research ^ | 11/03/23 | Brett Eversole

Posted on 11/03/2023 7:16:53 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

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To: SeekAndFind

Written by a fool.

A fool: One who has all of the facts but knows not what to do with them.

Business economy is like sex. Going like mad and feels great....and then suddenly it stops.


21 posted on 11/03/2023 8:11:44 AM PDT by old curmudgeon (There is no situation so bad that the government can not make worsReligous wars, and this is a rele.)
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To: Robert DeLong

It seems, people are refusing to downgrade their lifestyle. Not only credit cards but HELOC spending as well. Or, even, I am reading taking money out of the 401K.


22 posted on 11/03/2023 8:17:18 AM PDT by riri (What’re y’all talking bout? I just got a new set of Michelins for the house!)
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To: riri

Maybe they figure the government doesn’t pay its debt, forgives the debt of random groups, and there are no repercussions. So why not FAFO with their own debt?


23 posted on 11/03/2023 8:19:12 AM PDT by HYPOCRACY (This is the dystopian future we've been waiting for!)
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To: HYPOCRACY

yes the stock market has been flat lined for the last two years it looks like a yoyo but stays flat lined.


24 posted on 11/03/2023 8:23:50 AM PDT by Vaduz (....)
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To: SeekAndFind

I’m just going to post this article here since it is the only business/economy thread that I see handy.

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/some-deposits-may-be-temporarily-delayed-downdetector-shows-service-disruptions-us-banks

“”Some Deposits May Be Temporarily Delayed”: Downdetector Shows Service Disruptions At US Banks “


25 posted on 11/03/2023 8:27:21 AM PDT by CFW (I will not comply!)
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To: SeekAndFind; All
Thank you for referencing that article SeekAndFind.

""You can't have a recession if everyone has a job and everyone is spending money," I told the audience in Las Vegas."


As a side note to this thread, please consider the following.

Please correct me if I'm wrong, but corrupt Democratic and RINO, post 16th (direct taxes) and 17th Amendment ratification federal lawmakers can take credit for keeping the economy going by using all the unconstitutional taxes that they collect and bribes that they take to likewise bribe people to vote to keep them in office so that they can continue to try to destroy our constitutional republic.

Alleged: (list not intended to be complete)

Regarding unconstitutional federal taxes, please consider the following excerpts from the writings and quotations of respected constitutional experts.

Patriots, the next major political event in U.S. is not Democratic and Republican Trump-supporting patriots reelecting hopeful Trump 47 for a second time, but when patriots support Trump with a new Congress by primaryiing ALL incumbent state and federal lawmakers and executives up for reelection, except for MTG, Gaetz & Company, Jordan (and others?), in 2024.

After all, lawmakers and executives continue to show that they do not have the patriotism and leadership skills necessary to find legislative support for effective remedies for unconstitutional government policies.


26 posted on 11/03/2023 8:27:23 AM PDT by Amendment10
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To: HYPOCRACY
Many, seems a majority, have a very high comfort level with debt. Not me. Just the idea of having several credit card statements come in every month, growing and growing, gives me anxiety.
27 posted on 11/03/2023 8:30:02 AM PDT by riri (What’re y’all talking bout? I just got a new set of Michelins for the house!)
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To: SeekAndFind

I think one thing that is keeping people afloat is the number of elderly parents that have passed away over the pass few years. Many died from Covid, others after getting the vaccine. The “boomer” parent’s homes (with no mortgage) are being sold for several times the amount paid for them 30 or 40 years ago.

These sales are giving their 30 to 60 year old children a lot of money to spend. Many of those that died were from the generation that believed in saving money, paying off their mortgage early, and not spending money they didn’t have. They also believed in having lots of life insurance so we have relatively young people getting 250 thousand to one million dollars dropped in their lap (depending on the number of heirs).

I wonder if there have been any studies done on the amount of life insurance pay-outs and probated estate sales done over the pass three years?


28 posted on 11/03/2023 8:36:45 AM PDT by CFW (I will not comply!)
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To: Starboard
This guy says don't worry b/c everyone has a job. Here's a current FR thread title:

Today's household survey for October shows employment collapsed by 348K, the biggest drop since the Covid shutdown.

29 posted on 11/03/2023 8:40:31 AM PDT by citizen (Put all LBQTwhatever programming on a new subscription service: PERV-TV)
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To: riri; Starboard

Extremely sad isn’t it. They have never known anything but prosperity. They are in for a life-changing reality, and shame on Stansberry Research for this BS statement, in my opinion.


30 posted on 11/03/2023 8:44:22 AM PDT by Robert DeLong
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To: CFW

That’s an interesting angle: Money forwarded from the previous generation.


31 posted on 11/03/2023 8:44:54 AM PDT by citizen (Put all LBQTwhatever programming on a new subscription service: PERV-TV)
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To: SeekAndFind

I see in this story and the comments that there is a great deal of overthinking on the subject.

Whereas all of the story and comments may be factual, the bottom line is that there are in financial matters unbreakable laws that are as certain as the law of gravity.

We have broken all of them.

Just as with the law of gravity, the consequences of those laws can be postponed by various means, but like the law of gravity there comes a tme when you lose and it wins.

The question really is....the end is near, but for how much longer can we postpone the end?


32 posted on 11/03/2023 8:45:43 AM PDT by old curmudgeon (There is no situation so bad that the government can not make worsReligous wars, and this is a rele.)
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To: Robert DeLong
Shame on Stansberry Research...
The national election is fast approaching, Stansberry wants folks to keep on spending no matter what...
33 posted on 11/03/2023 8:47:16 AM PDT by citizen (Put all LBQTwhatever programming on a new subscription service: PERV-TV)
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To: SeekAndFind

It depends on how they are spending it. If it is all debt, it will collapse


34 posted on 11/03/2023 8:48:18 AM PDT by AppyPappy (Biden told Al Roker "America is back". Unfortunately, he meant back to the 1970's)
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To: SeekAndFind

Well. Finally someone has joined me in the assessment that i have been ridiculed for... there is too much money in the economy that has been printed from thin air. The money supply grew too much too fast and the spending spree isn’t going away until that is remedied. At least the neer do wells are with second homes in the Hampton’s are doing their part and selling at a loss.


35 posted on 11/03/2023 8:54:54 AM PDT by Sequoyah101 (Procrastination is just a form of defiance)
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To: citizen
That’s an interesting angle: Money forwarded from the previous generation.

----

In addition to hubby and myself, I know several couples whose parents of one party or the other (and sometimes both) have passed away in the past few years. Of course, I do not know the particulars of how much they received from insurance and estate sales, but it is obvious by their recent purchases and vacations that they all received quite a bit of money. And, I saw the real estate ads and the amount some of the properties were listed for prior to them selling pretty fast.

36 posted on 11/03/2023 9:05:16 AM PDT by CFW (I will not comply!)
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To: CFW

Good points—we had that happen to us as well—not enough to be life changing but enough to give us an extra “cushion” so we do not have to worry about money.


37 posted on 11/03/2023 9:11:27 AM PDT by cgbg ("Creative minds have always been known to survive any kind of bad training." Anna Freud.)
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To: Sequoyah101

Yes and no, imo.

Yeah, there’s a lot of created cash sloshing around in the economy...but every slosh lands more and more into the pockets of the wealthy/well-to-do individuals and corporations and less so for the middle class and for folk just getting by.

Evidence of this: All reports on CC debt say it’s high and continuing to get higher.

Every situation is individual. If I’m hurting, it matters little how well my neighbor is doing or if stocks are up. I’ve already spent my cash-on-hand and probably sold the stock, too.


38 posted on 11/03/2023 9:14:05 AM PDT by citizen (Put all LBQTwhatever programming on a new subscription service: PERV-TV)
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To: MNJohnnie
Importantly, folks have more cash on hand right now than you probably realize. And until that changes, a recession is
unlikely from here.

Let me explain...

Explain? No, 'obfuscate' is the operative verb here.

39 posted on 11/03/2023 9:18:29 AM PDT by Thommas (The snout of the camel is already under the tent.)
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To: Robert DeLong
Left out are explanations for the growing amount of people living in tents, rvs, cars, etc.

Not too mention the sheer volume of people I see on Facebook looking for rooms to rent, renting rooms, single mom's looking for help because they aren't making it anymore (but were previously) etc.

Maybe it's not a recession to them but whatever this is, it is no country I ever recall residing in or one I'd like to leave for my kids.

40 posted on 11/03/2023 9:19:08 AM PDT by riri (What’re y’all talking bout? I just got a new set of Michelins for the house!)
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