Posted on 08/16/2023 6:35:29 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
This list only includes destroyed vehicles and equipment of which photo or videographic evidence is available. Therefore, the amount of equipment destroyed is significantly higher than recorded here. Loitering munitions, drones used as unmanned bait, civilian vehicles and derelict equipment are not included in this list. All possible effort has gone into avoiding duplicate entries and discerning the status of equipment between captured or abandoned. Many of the entries listed as 'abandoned' will likely end up captured or destroyed. Similarly, some of the captured equipment might be destroyed if it can't be recovered. When a vehicle is captured and then lost in service with its new owners, it is only added as a loss of the original operator to avoid double listings. When the origin of a piece of equipment can't be established, it's not included in the list. The Soviet flag is used when the equipment in question was produced prior to 1991. This list is constantly updated as additional footage becomes available.
(Excerpt) Read more at oryxspioenkop.com ...
There were 2 drones - one for the road and one for the rail, both hit target.
“Still the Ukes have yet to reach the Russian lines.”
Ukrainian forces have reached the main Russian defensive line (called the Surovikin Line) along the Orikhiv axis of advance toward Tokmak and Melitopol (West side of the land bridge), just South of Robotyne.
The expectation is that they will contact the main line in multiple places before breaching it, to complicate the defenders ability to shift reinforcements.
It seems that the Ukrainian offensive may be culminating (running out of steam), as more of their assault forces that were held in reserve to exploit breakthroughs, have gradually been committed. The Russian situation is more overextended, with no Operational Reserve forces to reinforce breaches - they have been moving forces from one part of the front to another as needed. So there still might still be a breakthrough and exploitation before the Autumn mud season.
Things could still shift if new developments occur, like new weapons deliveries (GLSDB?), new tactical or technical innovations innovations occur, or fresh forces arrive from the training base.
Fed will raise rates again to make sure prosperity stops causing inflation.
Meanwhile, the fat Dwarf admitted eating magic mushrooms while in China, that after she bowed 2x to them.
“Meanwhile, the fat Dwarf admitted eating magic mushrooms while in China, that after she bowed 2x to them.”
I read that.
At least didn’t bow 3 times!
The rise in oil prices over the last couple of months is looking like it may have peaked. If so, we might start seeing lower prices at the pump next month. WTI dropped back below $80 today:
Oil Prices Fall As U.S. Dollar Strengthens And China’s Economy Struggles
“Even with the slide, however, benchmarks remain much higher than they have been for months.”...
...””The global economic outlook remains challenging in the face of soaring interest rates and tighter bank credit, squeezing businesses that are already having to cope with sluggish manufacturing and trade,” the IEA said in its report.”...
...””Crude has been in overbought territory for some time now, defying expectations of a correction. It has been singularly focused on U.S. economic optimism, to the exclusion of the increasingly stronger headwinds blowing in the eurozone and China,” (Vandana) Hari (from Vanda Insights) told Reuters.”
“The Russian situation is more overextended, with no Operational Reserve forces to reinforce breaches”
Enough of your administration hope porn. That’s just laughably wrong. The Russians mobilized and have hundreds of thousands that have not been committed. The Uke reserves are and have been lately whatever poor old men the press gangs were fortunate enough to find. The younger men have escaped the press gangs by all being killed in the last year fighting the Uniparty War. Get back to me when the Russian lines collapse and there are Uke substantive victories. Until the next major escalation, this continues to be a stalemated quagmire. The counteroffensive changed nothing but the vacancy rate in Uke cemeteries.
The counteroffensive changed nothing but the vacancy rate in Uke cemeteries.
—
the Russians do not have that problem, since many many demilitarized troops are left to rot or feed wild dogs.
Whatever you say, Karine.
“The Russian situation is more overextended, with no Operational Reserve forces to reinforce breaches”
“That’s just laughably wrong.”
I find it laughable, that you are so sure of things, that just ain’t so. Earlier (in just today’s same thread), you were certain that Ukrainian forces had not reached Russian defensive lines.
“Operational Reserves” refers to fully formed units (equipped, staffed and trained), that are on station in the Theater of Operations, under the command of the Operational Commander, that are not in contact, and are available to commit wherever the Commander determines.
For practical purposes (in an Operation this large), that means an Armored or Mechanized Brigade or larger unit (a Division or larger unit, in the Russian naming system). Russia currently has no such spare units in the Ukraine (not even a Battalion Tactical Group) - They are all currently committed along the front.
Russia’s Natural Gas market share into Europe is going away for the long term - now maybe their market share in Turkey too:
Turkmenistan’s Pivot Westward Threatens Russia’s Gas Dominance
By Eurasianet - Aug 16, 2023, (https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Turkmenistans-Pivot-Westward-Threatens-Russias-Gas-Dominance.html )
“Turkmenistan shows clear support for the Trans-Caspian pipeline, aiming to diversify energy flows to the European Union.
Despite this westward pivot, Turkmenistan’s existing export commitments to China will remain unaffected.
The potential pipeline threatens to capture some of Russia’s European gas market, especially amid the Russia-Ukraine war.”...
...”With estimated gas reserves of between 10-14 trillion cubic metres – the fifth largest on the planet – interest in transiting Turkmen gas across the Caspian Sea, and through Georgia and Turkey to Europe, is not new.”...
...”Speaking in May, Azerbaijan’s president Ilham Aliyev confirmed that Baku would be happy to transit Turkmen gas, but would not help fund any pipelines... One company whose name has been mentioned as a possible investor is Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC)...
...On August 4, ADNOC announced that it was taking a 30 percent stake in Azerbaijan’s Absheron gas field, a move which signals an intention to becoming a player in the development of Caspian gas reserves and potentially involved in discussions on a Trans-Caspian pipeline. “
Chuck is doubling down on “Pontoon Ferries/Bridges” the same way he did when he pushed so hard that the Saki Airfield attack could only be ATACMS. At least this is an area where he has expertise, but I think he’s way out over his skis on this.
I haven’t commented on this. But others strongly disagree with the pontoons assertion.
Putin will go to great lengths to stop this pipeline, just as he blocked the Qatari/KSA pipeline through Syria, and has seized much of Ukraine's gas fields. Controlling Europe's energy is still key to his long term plans. I guess his easiest route is to buy off Georgia, while threatening to take another chunk of their territory. Carrot and stick, Russia style.
“Putin will go to great lengths to stop this (Trans Caspian Natural Gas) pipeline”
Normally, yes.
It is a sign of the times, and waning Russian capability, that such deals are moving forward.
TankDiary and OSINTtechnical follow
OSINTdefender@sentdefender
Heavy Fighting is reported to be ongoing since this morning to the Northeast of Robotyne on the “Zaporizhzhia” Frontline, with Elements of the 10th Operational Corps of the Ukrainian Ground Force equipped with Stryker IFVs and Challenger 2 Tanks now committed to an attempted Breakthrough near the Settlement; however Footage and Claims made by Ukrainian and Russian Sources so far appear to be Grim, with 3 Strykers already said to have been Destroyed. video
https://twitter.com/sentdefender/status/1691850918201885043
Ruble dropping back a couple of cents so far in the overnight session (97)...
Maybe they will try another massive interest rate hike...
“Elements of the 10th Operational Corps of the Ukrainian Ground Force equipped with Stryker IFVs and Challenger 2 Tanks now committed to an attempted Breakthrough”
I wish they could plow the path with heavy explosives a kilometer wide before hand.
God Bless those heroes, and guide their hands.
Not taking side here but this is Chuck Pfarrer’s explanation {edited to make parties clearer}
It is a finding of fact that UKR has communicated an augmented company-sized force across the Dnipro. Not many people argue that. That unit has taken, and continues to hold, the village of Kozachi Laheri. Again, fact.
This unit has not only captured dozens of RU prisoners, but it continues (daily) to hold off Russian counterattacks.
Q) How’s that happening?
A) Ipso Facto, that unit is being supplied from the north bank of the river.
Q) But there is no pontoon crossing!
A) Fair enough. Please explain how a UKR ‘raiding force’ is still in possession of Kozachi Laheri. They don’t get supplied by Door Dash. How are they being supplied?
Having some actual combat experience (and formal training) in amphibious warfare, pontoons, causeway sections and river crossings, I’d suggest to readers it would be impossible for UKR to supply, maintain and reinforce the landing site without using pontoon sections.
The volume of ammunition, weapons, and materiel is too great to be supplied by small boats. Small craft that would be required to operate continuously, night and day, to meet the logistical requirements of a company in active combat.
It isn’t small boats, folks.
For interested parties, an idea of the daily tonnage of required food, fuel, ammunition and materiel for a company sized unit in combat may be computed using this reference:
https://army.mil/article/176881/logistics_forecasting_and_estimates_in_the_brigade_combat_team
Suffice it to say, were a taking about tons of equipment ammo, food, fuel, water and materiel - daily.
Q) But there is no bridge, you (fill in expletive).
A) But there is a UKR force operating across the river.
That unit fights every day. The longer that force holds on to the Kozachi Laheri landing site, the more certain I am that pontoon sections and ferry barges are being used to supply those troops.
Q) No way! (I was never in the military, but...)
A) Oddly enough, I was in the service. I have reconnoitered and sited river crossing points.
I’m delighted to listen to anyone who can convince me that UKR’s continuing lodgment at Kozachi Laheri is supported by some other means than pontoons.
I’d like to hear just exactly how the wheeled and tracked UKR vehicles now operating around Kozachi Laheri were communicated across the Dnipro.
It’s okay. Start typing. I’ll wait. (Extra points for providing a copy of your DD 212. Combat engineers will have their responses reposted.) <— a joke
Q) Yeah, but where are the pontoons? I can’t see them!
A) You can be sure that a UKR pontoon crossing would not be left in place during daylight.
I’d also remind readers that pontoons are components. Component parts that can be moved into and out of position and camouflaged when not in use. A pontoon crossing span is not a permanent fixture.
Q) Why can’t we see the crossing?
A) Military history is replete with a history of camouflaged river crossings.
River crossings are usually hidden. The trick is at least as old as the writing of Xenophon (~350 BCE).
More recently, the US experience in Vietnam proves this. The NVA (North Vietnamese Army) constantly surprised the US with semi submerged river crossings - pontoon sections that went undiscovered by overhead recons.
The NVA used these crossing points deliver armored vehicles into combat - often to the total shock of US forces.
Q) Why did I double down on the reports?
A) 1st, the unimpeachable reliability of the original sources.
These sources gave me hourly updates on the operation. Facts that I delayed reporting for 24-36 hours and were later confirmed my multiple ‘official’ reports. These guys have never given me bad information.
Q) Tell us who your sources are!
A) Seriously. People say that. Often while they are spewing obscenities.
The factors above allow me to continue these reports with a high degree of confidence.
I’d also suggest this: the extant and expanding UKR force on the south bank confirms that UKR is maintaining adequate levels of logistical support. And in my experience, that means pontoons.
Q) Helicopters?
A) Fair enough. But UKR is unlikely to risk helicopters in a highly challenging air defense environment for routine and ongoing resupply missions.
Aircraft are vulnerable in transit, on approach and then on exfil - and they are sitting ducks as they are unloaded on the LZ. We know that small boats were used to evacuate the wounded, so I’m thinking helos are not being risked here.
https://twitter.com/ChuckPfarrer/status/1691870499771470316
See #98
The Dnieper River is a lot smaller now, after the dam has been blown - a lot easier mission for tactical bridging than before.
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