Attack On Europe: Documenting Russian Equipment Losses During The 2022 Russian Invasion Of Ukraine

ORYX ^ | Since February 24, 2022 and daily | ORYX

[SpeedyInTexas]

This list only includes destroyed vehicles and equipment of which photo or videographic evidence is available. Therefore, the amount of equipment destroyed is significantly higher than recorded here. Loitering munitions, drones used as unmanned bait, civilian vehicles and derelict equipment are not included in this list. All possible effort has gone into avoiding duplicate entries and discerning the status of equipment between captured or abandoned. Many of the entries listed as 'abandoned' will likely end up captured or destroyed. Similarly, some of the captured equipment might be destroyed if it can't be recovered. When a vehicle is captured and then lost in service with its new owners, it is only added as a loss of the original operator to avoid double listings. When the origin of a piece of equipment can't be established, it's not included in the list. The Soviet flag is used when the equipment in question was produced prior to 1991. This list is constantly updated as additional footage becomes available.

[PIF]

If Chuck is correct and his logic seems to be correct, we should soon see tanks in that area. RGF has no tanks there, as all is committed elsewhere.

[BeauBo]

“Confirmed! Urozhaine is liberated by the AFU.”

That is only about five miles from the main Russian defenses (Surovikin Line) on the road to Mariupol - on the Eastern side of the land bridge to Crimea (Velyka Novosilka Axis of Advance, in Donetsk Oblast).

Jump the guns up closer, and start the pounding.

[BeauBo]

The ruble is going for another ride in after hours trading.

Again we see the pattern of it continuing to bounce off a ceiling (97.3 tonight), where an algorithm kicks in to buy some rubles, only to back it down for for 20 or 30 minutes. Its already cycled like that 10 times tonight.

https://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=USD&to=RUB&view=12H

Even after raising interest rates a whopping 350 basis points, the Russian Central Bank still has to spend foreign currency to shore up the ruble.

Bottom Line: It looks like the normal mechanism for interest rate increases to strengthen a currency (drawing more investors seeking higher returns), is kind of broken for Russia. A lot of money managers are just not going to invest in Russia, no matter what the rate.

Let them burn through the rest of their foreign reserve. Let then burn everything...

[BeauBo]

Let’s see if other ships get out, or only the Chinese flagged ship:

First cargo ship leaves Ukraine port since end of grain deal despite Russian threats

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/aug/17/cargo-ship-leaves-ukraine-port-of-odesa-black-sea?ref=upstract.com

“A civilian cargo vessel has left Ukraine’s southern port of Odesa, Kyiv has said, despite warnings from Russia that its navy could target ships using the Black Sea export hubs.

The ship was travelling down a temporary corridor that Ukraine asked the International Maritime Organization (IMO) to ratify. With ship insurance likely to be high for operators, Ukraine has told the IMO it would “provide guarantees of compensation for damage”...

...Ukraine’s infrastructure minister, Oleksandr Kubrakov, said the Hong Kong-flagged Joseph Schulte left on Wednesday morning from the port of Odesa – one of three vessels that participated in the now-scrapped grain export deal.

The Joseph Schulte is the first vessel to sail from the port since 16 July, according to Oleksandr Kubrakov, Ukraine’s deputy prime minister. It had been stuck in Odesa since February 2022.”...

...”Analysts, however, say Black Sea shipping has in general remained steady since the end of the grain deal – despite higher insurance rates – but shipments out of Ukraine have fallen.

The Joseph Schulte is carrying more than 30,000 tons of cargo, with 2,114 containers, including food products, according to Kubrakov. The vessel is the highest value ship of the 60 still stuck in Ukraine since the war began”

[BeauBo]

Bulgaria joins G7 declaration on security guarantees to Ukraine - the Bulgarian government announced on Aug. 16.

Bulgaria therefore becomes the 16th country to sign the document.

G7 declaration in support of Ukraine: Key points

The G7 declaration emphasizes its commitment to a free, independent, democratic, and sovereign Ukraine within its internationally recognized borders. They underscore that Ukraine’s security is essential for Euro-Atlantic security and vow to support Ukraine in its defense against Russian aggression for as long as necessary.

Each G7 country will work with Ukraine on specific bilateral security commitments, which include:

● Strengthening Ukraine’s armed forces through the provision of modern military equipment, enhancing operational compatibility with partners, training and education of servicemen, intelligence sharing, and assistance in countering hybrid threats.

● Strengthening Ukraine’s economic stability, energy security, reconstruction efforts, and creating conditions for economic prosperity.

● Providing technical and financial aid to ensure Ukraine’s ongoing reforms.

The G7 leaders commit to immediate consultations with Ukraine and swift assistance in the event of a potential future attack by Russia. They also express their determination to hold Russia accountable through the introduction of new sanctions, export control measures, and punishment of individuals responsible for war crimes and other atrocities.

The G7 leaders also supported the need to establish an international mechanism for compensating damage caused by Russian aggression.

[ETCM]

I read his explanation, but I think he’s the only one saying there’s a large enough force in Kozachi Laheri to require such a large logistics effort. No tanks, IFVs, howitzers or other heavy weapons. Just a relatively small force with man-portable gear. I also don’t see anyone else claiming Ukraine is “holding” the village, just that they have a foothold in the village.

But I’m not there, so who knows? He says he trusts his sources.

[PIF]

He says his sources have never given him bad info.

“I’d like to hear just exactly how the wheeled and tracked UKR vehicles now operating around Kozachi Laheri were communicated across the Dnipro.”

Well, he does not state exactly which vehicles. But they are there.

Why does everyone doubt the UA is using pontoons and ferries? The Russians did with much success after the main bridges were blown.

Are the Ukrainians too slow, too stupid to use pontoons and ferries? What?

We have sent then lots of bridging equipment, is it sitting in some storage depot rusting away?

There are no maps because of operational secrecy. Denys D said his sources detailed the operation and the territory taken, including the village using regular troops.

In short, the UA would be stupid not to take advantage of this glaring Russian weakness - just mobniks and an arty unit with no mechanized forces in the region.

FYIU: You can fabricate a single pontoon out of plywood and fiberglass using spray guns in hours.

[PIF]

BTW: Chuck does not say they only have “man-portable gear”. That’s your supposition.

[e_castillo]

Some interesting bits in this article.

https://kalkinemedia.com/us/business-news/latest/usdrub-gbprub-russian-ruble-currency-control-could-backfire

[ETCM]

This is true. But like I said, Chuck is the only person I see making these claims of a large armored force across the river. If such a force exists, it would obviously support his insistence of a large logistics operation.