Previous day’s thread: https://freerepublic.com/focus/bloggers/4173235/posts
Calling someone a RuZZian on FR is considered an insult.
Calling someone a Comrade on FR is considered an insult.
Summarizing this war:
A tragedy for Ukraine.
A disaster for RuZZia.
A strategic win for the USA. The biggest winner of the war.
“More than three decades after Reagan left office, most Republicans still believe that America is a force for good.”
Even known purveyor of administration disinfo, the NYTs, admits the horrible truth about conditions in the Uke military.
https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/4173420/posts
<img src=”https://pbs.twimg.com/media/F26AXkvWIAAqq3f?format=webp” width=50%
Ukraine: military situation update - Aug 6, 2023
••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... ) or { } or [ ].
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU
[ Reporting From Ukraine is Still Sick Today ]
••
••With the 4 Crimean bridges down, all Russian supply lines in the south are under Ukrainian fire control.
One of the main roads they will have to use leads to Oleshky, which could soon become under UA control, cutting the important cross roads in the area. All of the secondary roads are in bad condition.
This now places the major defence lines with supply and troop rotation problems. It will be a slow process, but eventually, Russia will be unable to supply them, and they will become useless.
==
Oryx: 08/03-04/2023
Vehicles lost:
Russia = 28
4 Tanks;
2 BUK-M1 systems: 1 destroyed, one damaged.
1 landing ship damaged.
UA = 16
1 Leopard 2A4: one destroyed, 1 2A46 abandoned.
[These were probably lost during the big armor battle in the East in the Novoiehorivka direction, where the UA was forced to retreat from its deep penetration.
==
UK Intel: With the loss of 50% of the VDK elite forces or 15,000 troops since their invasion, it approaches the total number of troops lost in Afghan at 18,000 over4 years.
==
Saudi-Chinese Peace Conference had no critics of the Ukraine peace plan. All attendees agreed that Ukraine’s border should be recognized by everyone. A big win for Ukrainian diplomacy.
==
Ukraine took delivery of a new RST air defense system.
==
Russia [using the Kersh bridge RR? ] brought in a train load of armored vehicles, tanks and engineering equipment to Crimea yesterday, but now with the rail and road bridges out of commission, finds no way to get them to southern Ukraine.
==
Wagner opens office in Niger to deploy many troops in the country. The French forces are given one week to leave the country by the Niger Army.
Putin was offered to give Kaliningrad to Lukashenko. Sounds weird but makes sense
A number of Russian experts, including the military, have developed a proposal document for the defense of the Kaliningrad region. It is no secret that because of the special operation in Ukraine, part of the troops and equipment was withdrawn from the region and transferred to the combat zone.
The report was handed over to the president. It describes several scenarios, including partial or complete loss of control over the Kaliningrad region. The scenario of transferring the region to Belarus was named a priority.
“The Kaliningrad region leaves the Russian Federation and becomes part of Belarus. Then Minsk lays a land corridor to its own territory, and the RF Armed Forces participate in this all either under a false flag or as assistance to the CSTO,” one of the developers briefly described the scheme.
Between the extreme point of the Republic of Belarus and the Kaliningrad region is less than 70 km. When trying to break through quickly from both sides, the entire operation on the border of Poland and Lithuania can take less than 3-4 hours.
Then fastening. “While NATO troops react, the troops of the Republic of Belarus will already have a land corridor. The estimated width of the corridor is up to 5 km,” the author of the report stressed.
According to some rumors, Wagner PMC units, which are being assembled on the territory of the Republic of Belarus, can send to break through the corridor.
At the same time, clear arguments are made in the document that this is the only scenario that will allow maintaining control over the separated region of the Russian Federation. In the future, both Kaliningrad and Belarus will return to the Russian Federation as parts of the Union State.
==
Kremlin snuffbox
https://t.me/s/kremlin_secrets
Around Kaliningrad began to actively dig trenches
Residents of the Kaliningrad region, on the rights of anonymity, told us that along the international route they began to actively build defensive structures. In particular, engineering equipment and the military were seen near the village of Novoselovo.
Obviously, forecasts about Russia’s possible loss of Kaliningrad have reached Moscow. Back in March, we wrote that such conversations began to sound more often in Germany.
The number of troops in the region has been significantly reduced due to the SVO. More precisely, the number of combat-ready units decreased to a minimum. Everyone who somehow knew how to fight was sent to Ukraine.
Poland, Latvia and Lithuania recently officially renamed Kaliningrad and will now use its “historical names” - Karalyauchi or Kienengsberg.
As we predicted in April, it was the Poles who began to push the topic of Kaliningrad and its future outside of Russia. Obviously, the construction of defensive structures is a response to the decision of the Baltic countries.
https://t.me/kremlin_secrets /2150
==
Lukashenko retreats, or ..?
Recently, interesting events have been taking place between Minsk and Moscow. The rebellion of Prigozhin ended with the fact that part of his units of PMC Wagner were transferred to Belarus.
Prigogine himself, although he goes there, in general, goes to St. Petersburg more often.
Recently, Alina Kabaeva arrived in Minsk on a visit. And here there is one moment that causes tension among the Belarusian elites. Until that time, Lukashenko skillfully restrained attempts to involve the Belarusian troops in a special operation, which allows the elites to avoid sanctions, and some of them earn even more than before 2022.
We are talking about the resale of goods and the creation of a network of gasket companies for the supply of components from Europe to Russia.
The visits of Russian representatives to Belarus may indicate an attempt to complete the creation of the Union State.
There are rumors in Moscow that Lukashenko, with a creak, but gave the green light to the absorption of Belarus, bargaining for himself a place in the Security Council of the new state. At the same time, the mood in Minsk is different.
“Lukashenko wants to physically outlive Putin. He understands that entering the war will mean the collapse of everything that he has been building for decades,” says a source from among large Belarusian businessmen.
As for the role of PMC Wagner for Lukashenko, versions differ. The information that Prigozhin’s fighters will try to take control of the Suwalki corridor and connect Belarus with the Kaliningrad region is not true.
Now there is simply no strength for this: about the scenario itself, although we wrote long before Prigozhin’s rebellion and the transfer of his troops to Belarus.
In general, an interesting game is being observed, when representatives of the Russian elites go to Minsk literally as if they were at home, but Lukashenko is forced to fly to Putin and play for time.
Ukraine attacks on Svatove direction and in Robotine.
https://t.me/pilotblog/5821?single
https://t.me/pilotblog/5820?single
Kremlin snuffbox
Shoigu “behind the back” called General Teplinsky
given to him by General Mikhail Teplinsky Sergei Shoigu refused to study the ideas on how to improve the situation at the front and reduce losses among our troops. We were told about this by two sources in the Ministry of Defense.
“What does this axxhole think about himself? Let him shut up and be glad that he has not been kicked out or imprisoned yet. He gives me ideas,” the minister said. Teplinsky’s proposals infuriated him, our interlocutors say.
We turned to people close to Teplinsky for comment. They are discouraged by this response and promised a reaction in the coming days.
“Mikhail Yuryevich is now on one of the very difficult sectors of the front and is not always in touch. He will return, we will definitely talk with him. I wonder, for example, whether the Minister of Defense is ready to repeat the same words in the eyes of Teplinsky,” a person close to the general told us military.
https://t.me/s/kremlin_secrets