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To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..

The big bru-ha-ha over the Chinese balloon is all over the nets. What a clown circus in the pentagon over it.


Globalism / Great Reset –

In a recent article in the UK medical journal, Lancet, the argument is made for “One Health,” a term described by Breitbart as a “‘revolutionary shift of perspective’ away from human-centered health care in favor of ‘ecological equity’ attributing equal value to all life” (emphasis original). What does this mean?

Well, One Health is “an integrated, unifying approach that aims to sustainably balance and optimise the health of people, animals, and ecosystems,” because “the health of humans, domestic and wild animals, plants, and the wider environment (including ecosystems) are closely linked and inter-dependent.” This is in contrast to the “traditional” approach which is supposedly “purely anthropocentric,” meaning humans are the primary focus of medical concern.
Based on the view that “all life is equal, and of equal concern,” One Health proponents believe we need a “complete change to our relationship with animals,” including shifting to a plant-based diet, which they say, “not only benefits human health, but also animal health and wellbeing.”

OBSERVATION – Embedded in this insane article is the globalist demand that we give up eating meat and graze on veggies. It deliberately lowers the position of man in the world and inspires a plan to essentially equalize man to the world, rather than have dominion over it, instead, “all life is equal, and of equal concern.”

**
According to official figures released by the Government of New Zealand, the sland suffered 2,169 excess deaths in 2021 and then a shocking 5,286 excess deaths by week 49 of 2022.
This means New Zealand suffered a shocking 3,203% increase in excess deaths in 49 weeks throughout 2022 compared to 53 weeks throughout 2020.
The figures have been provided to the Organisation for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD) Government of New Zealand. So these aren’t independent estimates. They are official Government-authorized figures.

OBSERVATION – Medical tyranny now coming back to haunt New Zealand (who’s PM resigned during the Davos meetings last month). Note, this trend is being seen globally where the mRNA based jabs have been administered. “Pure Bloods” are not dying “suddenly”.


Wuhan virus –

Project Veritas on Thursday released a new segment of undercover footage of Pfizer director Jordon Walker in which the Director of R&D within the company’s mRNA operation expressed concern over how the COVID-19 vaccine may be affecting women’s reproductive health.
“There is something irregular about the menstrual cycles. So, people will have to investigate that down the line,” Walker told an undercover journalist he thought he was on a date with.

OBSERVATION – Impacts to women’s reproductive health have been noted early on – particularly spontaneous abortions/miscarriages. This just confirms the fact that Pfizer was aware of it too – and did nothing about it in order to keep profiting from it.


Economy –

Commodities strategists at Morgan Stanley told clients this week that they expect Brent crude oil to rise to about $110/barrel by summer 2023. This is about 30% increase from this week’s prices, which will push inflationary pressure across the U.S. economy

OBSERVATION – Much of this rise is anticipated to be the result of China getting through its wuhan production slowdowns and nearly doubling its import requirements by summer. This equates to roughly gasoline at over $4/gallon again..

**
Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva proposed a BRICS currency for international trade. “If it were up to me, we would always trade with other countries in national currencies, so as not to be dependent on the dollar. Why not make an attempt to create a common currency for MERCOSUR [South American Trade Bloc] countries or for BRICS countries?”

OBSERVATION – Been monitoring BRICS development for a while now. Set up as an alternative trading block to counter US dominance, its growth has taken off the past year in part due to sanctions against Russia and Russia’s efforts to get around those sanctions. Others, like China, see it as a means to prepare for economic combat against the US.

**
U.S. employers added a robust 517,000 jobs in January in a sign of a still-strong labor market despite Fed rate hikes.

RELATED - The productivity of U.S. workers saw its biggest annual decline in 2022 in nearly five decades.

Nonfarm labor productivity—a measure that compares the output of goods and services to the number of hours worked—dropped 1.5 percent in the final three months of the year when compared with the year-earlier period. Apart from worse declines earlier in 2022, this was the biggest drop in four decades.

OBSERVATION – Aspects of the labor market are still showing mixed signals with some big companies down sizing while other sectors are still struggling to get caught up following the wuhan lockdowns.


CANCEL CULTURE FRONT

ATT/Direct TVs removal of NewsMax from its feeds is gaining more attention from congress and even negative reviews from some democrats.


POLITICAL FRONT –

The US House of Representatives voted on Thursday to remove Rep. Ilhan Omar (D-Minnesota) from the House Foreign Affairs Committee. The vote was approved along party lines, 218-211.

OBSERVATION – this action resulted in a shortage of popcorn as the rabid leftists raged on about how evil the action was, but I guess she/they found out didn’t they when the tables are turned.


Strategic Activity / Deployments –

The U.S. is tracking a suspected Chinese surveillance balloon that has been spotted over U.S. airspace for a couple days, but the Pentagon decided not to shoot it down over concerns of hurting people on the ground, officials said Thursday. The discovery of the balloon puts a further strain on U.S.-China relations at a time of heightened tensions.

U.S Intelligence Officials have stated that Chinese High-Altitude Surveillance Balloons have been appearing over U.S Territories like Hawaii and Guam for several years now but that many Defense and Government Officials turned a “Blind Eye” till now.

OBSERVATION – biden and the pampered princes (and princesses) in the pentagon are absolutely worthless – as is their reason for not shooting this thing down. A very simple note – central Montana has a population density of one person per multiple miles. That thing could come down and only disrupt the grazing of antelope and deer for crying out loud.

Meanwhile, I’ve encountered may skulls full of mush on the interwebs who don’t know what is so important in Montana. I give them 150 reasons – Minuteman III nuclear tipped missiles throughout central Montana.


China –

See balloon above.


North/South Korea –

North Korea reportedly will send policemen to the occupied Donbass as workers, and also military, a South Korean news report says. Their exact number is unknown, but there are likely 300-500 security forces who will arrive in Donbas in February or March.


Russia -
WAR WATCH - Russia’s “three days to conquer Ukraine” war continues since fighting starting on Feb 24th.

CURRENT ASSESSMENT
Russia is currently working to (re)assemble a military force capable of resuming the offensive in the Donbas while at the same time trying to make defensive preparations for an expected Ukrainian offensive as well. Suspected goal for the start of offensive operations has shifted from latter half of January more towards end of March at the earliest.

At present, it is capable of very local offensive actions as in the ongoing fighting around Bakhmut and Donetsk.

Russia is also capable of launching more cruise/ballistic missile attacks directed against Ukrainian infrastructure -primarily its power grid, but massively reduced inventories of such missiles means these barrages will be further apart.

While Russia has nuclear capability, the probability is low that any will be used in the near future.

********

Vladimir Putin has ramped up the rhetoric against the West, saying he is prepared to use ‘more than just tanks’, after feeling ‘threatened’ by NATO’s military package to Ukraine.
Putin also appeared to aim a threat at the US as he insisted Russia has ‘friends all over the world, including on the American continent’ - a carefully worded reminder that the Kremlin can still count on the likes of Cuba and Venezuela as allies.

OBSERVATION – Most recent of the multiple threats directed against the US and the west by putin.

Russian Personnel Issues –-
- North Korea will send policemen to the occupied Donbass as workers, and also military, a South Korean news report says. Their exact number is unknown, but there are likely 300-500 security forces who will arrive in Donbas in February or March.

- The number of Russian troops killed and wounded in Ukraine is approaching 200,000, according to American and other Western officials - New York Times
NOTE – for scale, this means that every Russian soldier that took part in the initial invasion have been killed or wounded, and then some. A very rough estimate is 50,000 killed alone.

- Wagner Group has apparently seen substantial drops in recruitments from prisons, some explaining the fact that they used human wave style attacks with high mortality rates souring the prisoners views on signing on.


Ukraine -
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures will remain around freezing with an increase in snow. Long term temperature forecasts suggest that the ground may be starting to achieve temperatures to maintain frozen state for longer periods.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Russia continues to press ground attacks along the line from Kreminna southward towards Donetsk, with only minor localized gains reported. Observers are noting that with the withdrawal of Wagner forces, more ‘conventional’ Russian military tactics are being used.

Interesting note of increased and persistant Russian artillery strikes north-northeast of Kharkiv and further north along the Sumy Oblast/Russian border. Both areas are rumored to potentially be included in any Russian offensive action.

Very little Russian artillery activity opposite Zaporizhia Oblast LOC.

OUTLOOK ——
Who’s going to do what, where first? It seems that Russia may hold the edge in getting their offensive started first, but they continue to severely bleed units in eastern Ukraine. If Russia is massing troops for an immanent invasion, they will be forced to marshal those forces wall away from the front due to Ukraine’s HIMAR threat. Dispersion closer to the front also fraught with problems ranging from huge OPSEC threats to, yes even more HIMARS strikes if they get too careless. Plus a higher risk of desertion.



79 posted on 02/03/2023 7:11:01 AM PST by Godzilla (Never give up, never surrender . . . . . .)
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To: Godzilla
“‘revolutionary shift of perspective’ away from human-centered health care in favor of ‘ecological equity’ attributing equal value to all life” (emphasis original). What does this mean?

It means a million bacteria out vote the human they made sick.

Mob rule democracy raised to its ultimate goal.

80 posted on 02/03/2023 7:22:57 AM PST by null and void (You can’t have a police state without a state police.)
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To: Godzilla
The big bru-ha-ha over the Chinese balloon is all over the nets. What a clown circus in the pentagon over it.

Doesn't the Pentagon ever consider what would happen if one of these balloons was large enough and hung around long enough that some citizen might notice? Seems the only thing the Pentagon is prepared for is large fancy dinners with military contractors.

81 posted on 02/03/2023 10:18:30 AM PST by GOPJ ( https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=muw22wTePqQ Gumballs: Immigrants by the numbers.)
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To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..

The Chinese balloon controversy has continued to “balloon” with a lot of unanswered questions as to why the military/govt allowed it to continued over sensitive military sites in the US.


Globalism / Great Reset –

The United Nations just sounded alarm bells about the rise of hate speech. “The rise and impact of hate speech is being amplified at an unprecedented scale … threatening peace around the world,” the authors of a Jan. 30 report wrote .

The report joins a flurry of recent warnings — by members of the European Union, U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres , and others — about the rise of hate speech, as well as calls for the U.S. government to crack down on the problem.

OBSERVATION – What is important here are the definitions of the terms used. “hate speech” according to the leftists and globalists is that which challenges the narrative. Their demands for the US govt to ‘crack down’ is nothing more than an effort to undermine and eliminate our constitution.


CW2/Domestic violence –

The House on Thursday approved a resolution denouncing socialism in a bipartisan vote that fractured the Democratic caucus. The resolution overwhelmingly cleared the chamber in a 328-86-14 vote. The majority of Democrats — 109 of them — voted with all Republicans for the resolution, while 86 voted against it and 14 voted “present.” “Congress denounces socialism in all its forms, and opposes the implementation of socialist policies in the United States of America,” the resolution reads.

OBSERVATION – Sad that this vote wasn’t unanimous. This goes to show the subversive element in the congress. Yet even those democrats that voted in support (and likely some republicans) will vote for socialistic laws in the future anyway.

**
On Thursday, the Virginia Senate Education and Health Committee blocked Gov. Glenn Youngkin’s bill that would have required schools to notify students and their parents if they won national merit awards and recognition along with other college scholarship opportunities. 7News has been covering this as a part of our Crisis in the Classroom coverage. The bill was introduced after several Virginia schools didn’t notify students of their national merit recognition in time for important college and scholarship deadlines.

OBSERVATION – not all components of the developing CW2/Great Divorce are bullets and burning buildings. Much of today’s activity is directed at splitting up the social constructs and subordinating the tyrannical over the masses. The actions in Virginia are but one battle in what we used to call the culture war. Here if everyone doesn’t get a trophy, no one gets a trophy attitude is in effect. Our children are a critical battle ground for the left and we’re seeing this from scholastic achievement, LGBT/Trannie “grooming”, CRT indoctrination etc. It doesn’t surprise me that the leftists in the DoJ consider parents to be potential “domestic terrorists” when they confront leftifst school boards and officials.

RELATED - The House Judiciary Committee fired off its first subpoenas under the leadership of Chair Jim Jordan (R-Ohio), targeting a trio of Biden administration officials including Attorney General Merrick Garland over a short-lived memo dealing with threats against school board members.
The subpoenas, sent also to FBI Director Christopher Wray and Education Secretary Miguel Cardona, follow a series of more than 100 letters on the 2021 memo from Judiciary Republicans.

Garland signed the memo in October of last year, noting a “disturbing spike in harassment, intimidation, and threats of violence against school administrators, board members, teachers, and staff” amid broader discussion over COVID-19 policies and how issues like race and gender are addressed at school.

OBSERVATION – Old action by the DoJ but not closed out or repudiated by Garland – his memo still stands.


Strategic Activity / Deployments –

For the last 5 months, USS George H. W. Bush has remained in the Mediterranean Sea amid Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.


China –

Following the bouncing balloon.

A second Chinese “surveillance balloon” was spotted flying over Latin America after another one traveling across the continental U.S. was detected earlier in the day, officials confirmed Friday evening.

Another was reported over Canada on Friday.

China’s foreign ministry has accused American officials of excessively “hyping” the balloon incident.
Top Chinese diplomat Wang Yi said: “China is a responsible country and has always strictly abided by international law. We do not accept any groundless speculation and hype.

Earlier a senior Pentagon official flatly rejected Beijing’s claims that a Chinese airship spotted flying over sensitive US military sites was a meteorological research balloon.

Defense officials have said the balloon’s flight path had taken it over “a number of sensitive” military sites, including the Malmstrom Air Force Base in Montana, which houses 150 nuclear warheads.
On Friday, US secretary of state Antony Blinken postponed a planned trip to China after Beijing admitted ownership of the balloon.

Late yesterday (Friday), a video alleging that something was “shot down” went viral on the interwebs.

OBSERVATION – Classical “in your face” actions by China. Far cheaper than a spy satellite and yet capable of producing quality intelligence. We’ve probably all see the photos of the rig, the multi-solar panel cargo of the balloon that is about the size of three school busses (and the balloon much larger). Navigation as other balloons navigate, by adjusting altitude to the prevailing wind directions – just like human operated balloons do. There are adequate, open source data on current and projected wind speeds and directions that China (or anyone else could access) to do the initial planning for such a flight. NOTE this balloon drifted over the 150 Minuteman III missile silos before moving on to Missouri where our B2 bombers are stationed.

The clown circus at the Pentagon and WH is only adding to China’s glee. It could have been shot down by a missile armed aircraft and very little potential collaterial damage on the ground (its central/eastern Montana for heavens sake with population density in the range of multiple square miles per person).

To address the viral video – it’s a nothing burger and may well be a hoax. Close viewing of the video shows the object moving very slowly with the contrail roughly parallel to the cloud deck. Seems the video shooter was the only one who heard an ‘explosion’. No Nat’l Guard deployments (as claimed) nor fighter jets were operating. The one thing I will note is that the contrail is different in some appearances to what one would consider a standard contrail, but the thick cirrostratus clouds would indicate the contrail would be substantial as cloud creation conditions were apparently good at that altitude.
See Miscellaneous below on my view of a future EMP threat from a balloon.


Russia -
WAR WATCH - Russia’s “three days to conquer Ukraine” war continues since fighting starting on Feb 24th.

CURRENT ASSESSMENT
Russia is currently working to (re)assemble a military force capable of resuming the offensive in the Donbas while at the same time trying to make defensive preparations for an expected Ukrainian offensive as well. Suspected goal for the start of offensive operations has shifted from latter half of January more towards end of March at the earliest.

At present, it is capable of very local offensive actions as in the ongoing fighting around Bakhmut and Donetsk.

Russia is also capable of launching more cruise/ballistic missile attacks directed against Ukrainian infrastructure -primarily its power grid, but massively reduced inventories of such missiles means these barrages will be further apart.

While Russia has nuclear capability, the probability is low that any will be used in the near future.

********

RUMINT-
Leaked emails reveal that a Kremlin-linked lobbying group offered payments to several European politicians to promote pro-Russia policies. Legitimizing the annexation of Crimea being chief among them

Kerch Bridge update –
Big fire at the bridge constructions plant in Belgorod region of Russia. It has been reported that this plant is constructing trusses for the Kerch Strait bridge.

Russian Personnel Issues –-
- General staff of Armed forces of Ukraine estimates Russian losses at 130,590. IIRC other western intelligence reports I noted this week have the number around 200K.


Ukraine -
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures will remain around freezing (upper 20s to low 30s) and relatively dryer conditions. Overnight lows in the mid to upper teens.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Mostly Russian artillery strikes, with Russian ground attacks in the Bahkmut and Kreminna areas.

Very little Russian artillery activity opposite Zaporizhia Oblast LOC.

OUTLOOK ——
Activity continues to resemble an operational pause by both sides. Gerasimov appears to be getting his cats under control and not being wasted in brutal frontal attacks and he may be just launching spoiling attacks at this time just to keep Ukraine pinned down.

Region is now overdue for the missile / drone attacks on Ukrainian infrastructure that were so prevalent in Dec-Jan. Could be evidence that Russia is trying to build up a stockpile for use when they kick off their offensive.


Misc of Note –

HIGH ALTITUDE BALLOONS AND THE NUCLEAR/EMP THREAT.

BLUF - The magnitude of the effect of an EMP attack on the United States, or any similar advanced country, will remain unknown until one actually happens.

“It is important to emphasize that, although EMP attacks affecting all of the continental United States are possible, smaller regional EMP attacks, launched to lower altitudes with a smaller missile or with a high-altitude balloon are probably much more likely. These lower altitude attacks would affect a much smaller area, and would probably be of a much smaller intensity, but could still be very damaging to data centers and other facilities with a high reliance upon microelectronics.”

http://www.futurescience.com/emp.html

High-altitude balloons, such as the one China has floated over mountain state military bases this week, are considered a key “delivery platform” for secret nuclear strikes on America’s electric grid, according to intelligence officials.
Spy balloons, used by Japan to drop bombs during World War II, are now far more sophisticated, can fly at up to 200,000 feet, evade detection, and can carry a small nuclear bomb that, if exploded in the atmosphere, would shut down the grid and wipe out electronics in a many-state-wide area.
The threat of balloon-launched electromagnetic pulse attacks was warned about by a congressional EMP commission and inside the military several years ago.”

“In a 2015 report for the American Leadership & Policy Foundation, Air Force Maj. David Stuckenberg, one of the nation’s leading EMP experts, wrote extensively about the threat balloons carrying bombs pose to national security.
“Using a balloon as a WMD/WME platform could provide adversaries with a pallet of altitudes and payload options with which to maximize offensive effects against the U.S.,” he wrote in the report.”

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/washington-secrets/balloons-called-top-delivery-platform-for-nuclear-emp-attack

To allow a balloon of this size and potential to float into our controlled airspace unchallenged is a disastrous policy and I do think that this would be a test of an asymmetrical attack vector that China could use. The construction of the balloon system is sophisticated enough to potentially carry a small nuclear device. As noted above, a regional EMP attack via high altitude balloon is a scenario that has been considered credible threat. But before all the uneducated bleating on Nuclear EMPs, please take the time to at least read through the Future Science article linked above.

In the future, such balloons should be shot down upon detection. But our current military leadership and WH are too stupid to come to that common sense conclusion. China will likely continue to use such balloons to perfect potential, unconventional delivery methods (as there are two others reportedly in the air).


83 posted on 02/04/2023 7:36:26 AM PST by Godzilla (Never give up, never surrender . . . . . .)
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