Globalism / Great Reset –
On December 5, the World Economic Forum (WEF) and its partner organizations released a report claiming that one of the biggest threats to the deep state’s power fortress is the unmitigated spread of “misinformation” online.
Dubbed “Cybersecurity Futures 2030: New Foundations,” the report, which is based on a study, puts forth the notion that one of the biggest cybersecurity concerns for the establishment is free speech that threatens the existing world order.
“This introduces a novel perspective on the significance of locating and quashing fabricated information, cynically tagged as ‘mis’- or ‘dis-information’ held in the cybersecurity domain.”
https://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_Cybersecurity_Futures_2030_New_Foundations_2023.pdf
https://thelibertydaily.com/wef-says-spread-misinformation-online-is-cybersecurity-issue/
OBSERVATION - Thought control and censorship - key Orwellian concepts being pushed by the WEF and implemented by its assets in govts and businesses around the globe, incrementally. Saw this in full bloom during the wuhan plandemic. WEF has used that experience to craft even sharper tools so silence opposing views, now and in the future.
Raising it to the definitionally redefined ‘cybersecurity’ realm brings it into direct collision course with global free speech - where the real fight is going beyond social media to independent web sites and email lists.
***
According to a new white paper published by the WEF in partnership with global management consulting firm McKinsey & Company on Wednesday, Dec. 13. The paper, titled “The Role of Public-Private-Philanthropic Partnerships in Driving Climate and Nature Transitions,” stressed that the world needs to spend up to $3.5 trillion on additional climate-focused investments each year “to reach net zero and restore nature” by the United Nations’ end-date of 2050. This also represents around half of global corporate profits, a quarter of world tax revenue and approximately seven percent of household consumer spending.
This also does not include the $1 trillion in additional spending the WEF estimates the world needs to divert from high-emission to low-carbon assets.
OBSERVATION - Positioning themselves to demand $$ from the eventual slave states of the world. This is on top of $$$ necessary to maintain countries currently.
***
Speaking of money -
According to projections by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) global government debt will hit $97.1 trillion in 2023. That represents a 40% increase since 2019.
By 2028, the IMF projects that global public debt will exceed 100% of global GDP. The only other time global debt-to-GDP was that high was at the height of the pandemic lockdowns.
Americans like to brag about being number one. Well, when it comes to debt, they’re right.
The US national debt makes up 32.4% of the total global government debt.
According to the IMF, America’s debt-to-GDP ratio stands at 123.3%.
https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/GGXWDG_NGDP@WEO/OEMDC/ADVEC/WEOWORLD
OBSERVATION - To “reset’ something, it has to be broken first, and govt debt explosion is one way to break the system to permit a global ‘reset’.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
Robert F. Kennedy warned the nation’s voters that they should be extremely concerned about the future of the US.
“Every American should be troubled by the Colorado Supreme Court’s decision to remove President Trump from the ballot. The court has deprived him of a consequential right without having been convicted of a crime. This was done without an evidentiary hearing in which he is given the basic right of confronting his accusers,” he posted to X. “If Trump is kept out of office through judicial fiat rather than being defeated in a fair election, his supporters will never accept the result,” he added. “This country will become ungovernable. It’s time to trust the voters. It is up to the people to decide who the best candidate is. Not the courts. The people. That’s Democracy 101.”
RELATED- The states of California and Maine are now exploring options to keep former President Trump off their respective state ballots in the wake of Colorado’s ruling.
OBSERVATION - Double quote -“This country will become ungovernable.” The CO Supreme Court is setting the stage for a Civil War by this action.
***
Growing numbers of announced pro-hamas protests/rallies scheduled for this weekend. High probability of disruptions targeting major highways and Christmas related events.
Terrorism - Level is HIGH due to increased lone wolf threats.
Customs and Border Protection agents have already caught 31 illegals who are on the terror watchlist, according to CBP data, a number that is on pace to make fiscal year 2024 the highest ever.
Fiscal Year 2023 set a record of 172 illegals caught who were on the terror watchlist. The new fiscal year began Oct. 1. CBP collared 98 on the terror list in FY 2022. The current pace of FY24 is at 186.
OBSERVATION - And these are just the ones that were caught.
RELATED - A representative from the TSA told Fox News:
For non-citizens and non-U.S. nationals who do not otherwise have acceptable forms of ID for presentation at security checkpoints, TSA may also accept certain DHS-issued forms, including ICE Form I-200 (Warrant for Arrest of an Alien)...All passengers whose identity is verified through alternate procedures receive additional screening before being allowed into the secure area of the airport.
UnFREEKING believable folks.
Economy-
New home sales fell in the South by the most, followed by the West. The Northeast and Midwest saw increased sales. New home sales crashed 12.2% MoM - the biggest MoM drop since April 2022.
The median new home priced jumped to $434.7k from $414.9k.
The median existing home price dropped to lowest since April while median new home price jumped to highest since August (Source: Bloomberg)
OBSERVATION - Repeating myself, but the housing market is a key indicator of the health of the economy. Not looking healthy lately.
***
Shipping industry insiders expressed uncertainty about the effectiveness of the Biden administration’s newly unveiled multinational initiative, Operation Prosperity Guardian, aimed at safeguarding Red Sea shipping from potential terrorist attacks by Iran-backed Houthi militants in Yemen.
Many cargo operations remain hesitant to resume activities in the Red Sea. Some choose alternative routes, such as circumventing the Cape of Good Hope. Such diversions result in a 10-day sailing extension and significant additional costs for shipments.
https://www.newsmax.com/politics/shipping-firms-biden-administration-red-sea/2023/12/21/id/1146844/
It is also being reported that logistics managers are quoting ocean freight rates of $10,000 per 40-foot container from Shanghai to the U.K. Last week, rates were $1,900 for a 20-foot container, to $2,400 for a 40-foot container.
OBSERVATION - These prices will hit the consumers in the next few months as they work through the system.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
The Defense Cooperation Agreement signed Monday between Washington and Helsinki will give the American forces access to 15 installations — five in the High North near Russia — and permission to store equipment and weapons on Finnish soil.
The bilateral agreement with the United State “just makes it easier” to store agreed upon equipment, allow for pre-positioning at four air bases, one naval base and land force installations and the movement of troops, she said. While it does cover use of large training areas in the High North, the pact does not cover nuclear weapons, nor does it call for permanent American bases in Finland.
***
Almost as soon as it was announced, the coalition for “Prosperity Guardian” has started to spin apart.
France, Spain, and Italy have all announced their refusal to accept U.S. Command Structure for the Operation, and they will only conduct further Maritime Operations under the Command of NATO and/or the European Union and not the United States.
US Navy says they don’t have enough warships to start Operation Prosperity Garden. US built 24 littoral combat ships but are not deploying them because the Navy believes they are unable to defend themselves against Houthi attacks, let alone defend cargo vessels.
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics – HEIGHTENED ALERT STATUS
Summary: a study of humans suffering from Long Covid analyzed their cellular DNA. The authors unexpectedly found genes uniquely specific to the Pfizer COVID vaccine in human blood cells. This finding proves that mRNA COVID vaccines permanently integrate into the DNA of some COVID-vaccinated people.
https://www.europeanreview.org/article/34685
OBSERVATION - This concern, of the mRNA permanently affecting the DNA of our bodies was raised very early in the season of the jab. It was, of course, swatted down by our ‘betters’ who ‘knew the science’. This study strongly suggests that so called ‘long covid’ could be linked to this function.
***
Researchers have developed an airborne mRNA vaccine offering a vehicle by which to rapidly vaccinate the masses without their knowledge or consent.
A team from Yale University has developed a new airborne method for delivering mRNA right to your lungs. The method has also been used to vaccinate mice intranasally, “opening the door for human testing in the near future.”
While scientists may celebrate this invention as a convenient method to vaccinate large populations, skeptics raise obvious concerns about the potential misuse of an airborne vaccine, including the possibility of covert bioenhancements a concept that has previously been suggested in academic literature.
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30157295/
OBSERVATION - Involuntary inoculation - a massive human rights assault - except that human rights don’t matter to these mad men. You better believe, just as the Pfizer/Moderna vaccine was jacked to damage the population - this will follow the same path.
POLITICAL FRONT –
A “friend of the court” brief by onetime AG Edwin Meese and constitutional scholars contends that lower federal courts should dismiss all of Jack Smith’s prosecutions — including all pending charges against Trump, The reason? Jack Smith is holding a position that was never created by Congress, the Meese brief argues.
OBSERVATION - Smith’s selection and method of prosecution have been highly irregular and his recent appeals to the USSC an effort to bypass any potential appeals. Observers are noting an increasing desperation from Smith to get the job done prior to the elections - suggesting that his case is falling apart with recent revelation on J6 and the classified docs issues.
***
Congressional Democrats and media outlets are pressuring Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas to recuse himself from any decision on former President Trump’s disqualification from the Colorado primary ballot or immunity from prosecution.
Illegal Immigration –
KJP: “What we’re seeing here at the border...it’s not unusual…”
***
ICE is reportedly scheduling appointments for asylum seekers into 2031. Eight years from now.
OBSERVATION - Unbelievable. 8 years for these illegals to burrow into our society, suck resources off the teat of govt and contribute virtually nothing to society except crime and grift.
***
The Biden White House is sending Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas to engage Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO) in talks over border security.
***
See “Terrorism” above for record numbers of intercepted illegals that are on the terror database list.
China –
During a recent summit in San Francisco, Chinese President Xi Jinping reportedly conveyed a firm message to President Joe Biden, stating that Beijing intends to reunify Taiwan with mainland China, though the timeline for this action remains undecided. Xi, at last year’s Chinese Communist Party Congress, warned of a military attack on Taiwan if it declares independence with foreign support. He emphasized that this threat targets only external interference and a minority of separatists advocating for Taiwanese independence.
OBSERVATION - China knows we are at our weakest levels in decades - possibly even since the Vietnam War. Short of a global war, the US lacks the resources and will to military confront China in a decisive manner.
Japan –
Japan’s Cabinet on Friday approve a record 7.95 trillion yen or $55.9 billion defense budget for Fiscal Year 2024, which begins on April 1 next year. The amount represents a 16.5 percent increase from FY2023’s budget of 6.8 trillion yen or $47.7 billon with the budget for each fiscal year to increase until it reaches 8.9 trillion yen or $62.5 billion in FY2027 thus making each fiscal year defence budget until 2027 continuously the highest ever recorded.
https://news.usni.org/2023/12/22/japanese-cabinet-approves-largest-ever-defense-budget
OBSERVATION - Japan is facing threats primarily from China as well as N Korea and has to get caught up militarily . It can no longer rely on the US for many of its regional defense needs.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Nov 12, 2023
Russia is struggling to gain the initiative on several fronts in easter Ukraine. Attacks to take Adviivka, located near occupied Donetsk has been their priority as well as further north. However, it is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine.
The Russian army has lost a considerable amount of armor/tanks and personnel in the fight to take Adviivka, causing that offensive to stall considerably and resort to “meat” attacks.
With the arrival of the muddy season, significant offensive actions by Russia are unlikely.
Ukrainian action has forced Russia to move forces laterally to meet the Ukraine advance - thinning critical portions of the line and making them vulnerable to assault.
Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. With the onset of winter, it is believed that Russian is shepherding its stockpile of missiles/drones for an effort to take down the Ukraine power grid as it did last year. This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. Ukraine’s recent attacks on ships in Crimean harbors has forced the majority of the fleet to redeploying out of Crimea and to Russian bases, about 600 Km further away from the front lines.
Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace.
*****
Russia is threatening to bomb NATO air bases if F-16s given to Ukraine take off from there - The EurAsian Times
Russia has already warned that the use of NATO aircraft from Europe.
European / NATO actions would turn the countries hosting the aircraft into “legitimate targets” by Russia
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temps in the 20-40 degree range with on again, off again rain and snow.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Weather continues to dominate action.
Yesterday, Ukrainian air defense shot down 24 of 28 Shahed drones launched by Russia overnight. Drone hit an infrastructure in Mykolaiv region.
Overnight, 7 Shahed drones were shot down over Odesa region
What is even more remarkable is that yesterday Ukraine took down 3 (THREE) Su-34 aircraft in the S Ukraine region. These fighter-bombers have been a bane lately to Ukraine forces, dropping guided ‘gilding bombs’ at targets primarily in the Kherson region, though showing up on other fronts as well. Ukraine may have quickly deployed some Patriot assets into the region and surprised the Russians.
Outlook —-
Weather and mud conditions are dictating operations, resulting in very little significant combat overnight.
Russia’s air force is receiving a Black Sea fleet wake up call. Earlier last week, Ukraine drones hit an airbase, damaging / destroying several other SU-34s as well. Once able to lob rocket/glide bombs safely outside Ukraine’s formerly shorter ranged air defense assets, the take down now suggests that most of Crimea is hostile to Russian fighter/bombers. With the loss of its artillery advantage, Russia switched to aircraft, developing tactics to avoid being shot down. Those tactics now have to be revised. In this specific instance, these jets were supporting Russian defenses against the Ukrainian bridgehead of the Dniper River - and one desperately needed by Russian ground forces.
Ukraine is also on the verge of finally getting F-16s for its forces to use. This could make the air even more hostile to Russia and provide needed support to Ukrainian ground forces. Hopefully Ukraine learned from its ground offensive to develop its own tactics and not rely on Western tactics. They have become good at finding the weak spots in Russia’s defenses and exploiting them. These F-16s could well cause a lot of problems. Key too is the plans for Ukraine to resume offensive operations - now with F-16 cover - could be a game changer.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Israel warning those living in Central Gaza to move to designated safe areas in S Gaza as war effort moves out of N Gaza.
- Hamas says no talks on a hostage deal until there’s a ceasefire
——— GENERAL ——————————-
According to Israeli media, as part of any to release Israeli hostages, Hamas wants Israel to release three very high profile Palestinian prisoners: Marwan Barghouti, a popular Fatah leader who has been imprisoned in Israel for attacks against Israelis during the Second Intifada. He is predicted to win against any other Palestinian leaders, if elections were held. - Abdullah Barghouti a member of the Hamas’s al-Qassam Brigades who is also a relative of Marwan Barghouti, - Ahmed Saadat the Secretary-General of the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine,
A US-Israeli dual citizen taken into captivity by Hamas during the October 7 terrorist attacks has become the first American hostage to die, a group representing hostages’ families said on Friday.
Gadi Haggai, 73, who also held Israeli citizenship, had not been seen since the brutal attack that claimed the lives of over 1,200 people, when he was taken with his wife Judi on a morning walk around the kibbutz.
Hamas released a video on Thursday of three hostages killed in Hamas captivity and who had their bodies recovered by the IDF from the Gaza Strip last week.
In the video, the three hostages – Elia Toledano, Nik Beizer, and Ron Sherman, are seen holding up pieces of paper with their names and personal information.
In a statement posted alongside the video, Hamas claimed that “they tried to keep them alive – but Netanyahu insisted on killing them.”
The video then adds visual effects of shots and animated blood. They are shown in captivity smiling and speaking to each other.
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
The Israeli army has begun to call on residents of central Gaza’s Bureij to evacuate south, and head for shelters in Deir al-Balah, as the ground offensive expands.
Hamas and affiliated forces are resisting Israeli movement southward into Central Gaza and are facing intense air and artillery bombardment.
The Israeli army announced that it has established full “operational control” over Gaza City’s Shejaiya neighborhood, which saw some of the fiercest fighting during the ground offensive against Hamas
IDF blew up the main bunker complex in the middle of Gaza City yesterday. The explosion was spectacular and also displayed the extent of the system which connected above ground homes/facilities with their underground equivalents.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Border fight continues with little change as Hezbollah continues to fire mortars and ATGMs along the Lebanon border, with IDF artillery and air strikes in response.
IAF is increasing their targeting of other Hezbollah assets in S Lebanon as part of battlefield preparation for what appears to be an eventually Israeli attack to clear out Hezbollah from the border areas. Logistics, command and control, rocket firing sites and troop concentrations all under increasing pressure by the IAF.
——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
Wednesday, four rockets were fired from Syria at the Golan Heights, setting off sirens in Mas’ade and Ein Quiniyye. The IDF says it shelled the source of the fire and targeted a Syrian Army position.
———WEST BANK——————————-
Continued Israeli security forces actions through out the West Bank to capture/neutralize Hamas and related terrorists. Skirmishes reported in several locations.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
Iran is providing real-time intelligence to Yemen’s Houthis that the jihadists are using target ships passing through the Red Sea, according to a report published on Friday in The Wall Street Journal.
NOTE - Iran has one of their coveted ‘command’ ships in the area, likely the source for real time data.
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Allied shipping defense under Operation Prosperity Garden is hitting the rocks - See “Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments” above.
——— FORECAST ————————-
Bottom Line Up Front (BLUF) - Israel continues the methodical elimination of Hamas forces throughout Gaza. IDF repeats the estimate of several months before the operation is considered to be complete. Action now is relatively routine.
Search and destroy operations moving into Central Gaza. Hamas and affiliated forces are running out of maneuver space. They are reports to be putting up a fight, but are vastly out gunned and out maneuvered.
The whole operation to make shipping safe through the Red Sea is turning into what we call here in the Redoubt a “goat rope” All these senior officers / generals who were promoted thru diversity and loyalty to the regime rather than merit are showing that they are incapable of organizing / equipping action against a minor terror group. Allies are noting this, plus have their noses out of joint over biden’s support for Israel, to send a message back to us. We have become - in just 3 years - incompetent in running this kind of operation. Combined with the stack of air assets in the region - and those strategic air bombers available, combined with naval air, should leave massive, smoking craters on tactical and strategic sites of Houthi forces.
Continued calls for ceasefire are falling of deaf Israeli ears, and rightfully so. The only way the Hamas threat is to be eliminated is through their total destruction.
Venezuela - Increasing potential for war
Tensions are decreasing as putin is urging Venezuela to seek peaceful resolution and UK pledges support to Guyana. Maduro is also planning to hold elections in Essequibo so residents can vote to break away from Guyana and join Venezuela. Just how he will accomplish that while still under the jurisdiction of Guyana is beyond me.
If Iran or one of Iran's proxies sink a few ships in the strait of Hormuz or a few select other ones, the trip around the Cape of Good Hope will be a bargain. Cargo Operations know this - they're playing the long game.
Merry Christmas and thank you to all who work so hard on this thread.
Tomorrow being Christmas, I’ll be standing down for the day - barring any earthshaking event. Have a merry Christmas with your friends and families.
Globalism / Great Reset –
At one time derided as for ‘doomsdayers’, bunkers are becoming mainstream - especially for the rich. Mark Zuckerberg is building a 5,000 square-foot doomsday bunker in his sprawling Hawaii compound. He’s far from the only billionaire living in fear of what they all call ‘The Event’.
Will it be global environmental breakdown? Societal collapse (probably accelerated by the technology some of them built)? Nuclear war? Standard practice is showing that they are stocked for a one year minimum self-sustainment.
RELATED - The World Economic Forum (WEF) and its fellow unelected globalist leaders are pushing for governments around the world to phase out fossil fuels. Leading experts have spoken out against their plans and are warning the public that the WEF’s “Net Zero” goal to eliminate fossil fuels will result in the deaths of over four billion people or more.
The “Net Zero” target to end fossil fuel use is part of the WEF and UN’s “Agenda 2030” and “Agenda 2050” plans for humanity and involves dramatically reducing fossil reliance by 2030 and completely eliminating their use by 2050.
Danish statistician Bjørn Lomborg is just one who has warned that ending fossil fuel use will lead to the deaths of around half of the world’s population through starvation alone.
“4 billion people are dependent on fossil fertilizer for food,” Lomborg notes. “Without, 4 billion will starve to death. “
https://expose-news.com/2023/12/23/experts-warn-wefs-net-zero-goals-will-kill-4-billion-people/
Neil Record reported: “If we literally just stopped using fossil fuels and “did without the natural resources on which the world, its economies and populations depend, most likely six billion people would die within a year.”
(Global power failure similar to the “One Second After” scenario)
Members of the WEF have repeatedly suggested that mass reductions in the number of humans on earth would help the organization reach its green agenda goals, and as Slay News has reported, Dennis Meadows who is a “celebrated member of the WEF, has called for a staggering 86 percent reduction in the population of humans.
https://slaynews.com/news/wef-member-90-population-reduction-solve-globalists-problems/
OBSERVATION - Speculation on what globalist powers that be have up their sleeves has been floating around out there for years. The now extinct, Georgia Guide Stones stated that the world would be drastically depopulated to around 500 million. Additionally include the Deagel’s 2025 Depopulation Forecast as well as WEF commentary and things get interesting.
Once again, some of the sources I cited need to be held away from the body a bit, but they do cover similar statements publicly made for years now. The global elite are preparing for something devastating and some evidence suggests that this “event” is coming soon. I concur, something big is on the horizon, but I don’t think the ‘elite’ will get away from its impact the way they indicate that they will.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
Pro-hamas demonstrations focused on Christmas related events yesterday. A highway to Chicago O’Hare International Airport was blocked by pro-Palestine demonstrators just ahead of Christmas Eve rush.
Thousands of Pro-Palestine protestors took to the streets of Manhattan’s 5th Avenue for a protest themed “NO CHRISTMAS AS USUAL”. As the streets are filled with holiday shoppers as well.
More protests are planned for today and Christmas Day. The next big target time period for protests will likely be New Years Eve and Day. After this the holiday season will fast disappear in the rear view mirror, meaning that the pro-hamas consortium will have to find new venues to protest to maintain their momentum. Recent protests have accomplished a couple things. First, to intimidate the average citizen and second create negative feed back to their cause.
Terrorism - Level is HIGH due to increased lone wolf threats.
Maintain alert status through the rest of the holiday season.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
US lead ‘coalition’ to protect Red Sea shipping is falling apart fast.
POLITICAL FRONT –
See efforts to keep the infamous Chinese balloon under wraps from the citizens under biden/harris watch below.
Biden / Harris Watch –
On a Friday evening last January, Gen. Glen VanHerck, the Air Force commander in charge of defending American airspace from foreign intrusion, called President Joe Biden’s top military adviser, Gen. Mark Milley.
U.S. intelligence officials had just notified the general that for roughly 10 days they had been tracking a mysterious — and enormous — object flying over the Asia-Pacific, VanHerck told Milley. The object had crossed into U.S. airspace over Alaska and VanHerck said he planned to dispatch military jets to fly alongside it and assess what it was.
Administration officials at first hoped to conceal the balloon’s existence from the public, and from Congress, according to multiple former and current administration and congressional officials.
OBSERVATION - How in the heck to categorize this mongazo? What a bunch of clowns in the military and WH - let the thing fly over and keep it secret. smh
Illegal Immigration –
Biden administration is allowing illegal immigrants to travel around the country with nothing but their arrest warrants as identification. The migrants obtain the warrants when they are arrested for illegally crossing the border. The TSA confirmed to Fox News that yes, this form of identification is all that’s required.
TSA claims these illegals receive ‘additional screening’, but there is no evidence of this.
OBSERVATION - This story has been out there for over a month but has reappeared on the radar following reports of commercial flights filling up with these non-documented illegals being shipped to parts unknown in the US.
American citizens have to undergo a lot of screening just to get on a flight, special access ways have been created for these illegals.
China –
A top secret Chinese spaceplane that launched into orbit last week is sending strong signals over North America. The craft - dubbed Shenlong after a spirit dragon from Chinese mythology - has released six mysterious objects after reaching the Earth’s orbit for the third time in three years.
Amateur astronomer Scott Tilley has been tracking the plane and examining the signals they have been emitting. He told DailyMail.com they appear to be sending the strongest signals while passing over North America.
OBSERVATION - Clone of the US spaceplane.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Nov 12, 2023
Russia is struggling to gain the initiative on several fronts in easter Ukraine. Attacks to take Adviivka, located near occupied Donetsk has been their priority as well as further north. However, it is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine.
The Russian army has lost a considerable amount of armor/tanks and personnel in the fight to take Adviivka, causing that offensive to stall considerably and resort to “meat” attacks.
With the arrival of the muddy season, significant offensive actions by Russia are unlikely.
Ukrainian action has forced Russia to move forces laterally to meet the Ukraine advance - thinning critical portions of the line and making them vulnerable to assault.
Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. With the onset of winter, it is believed that Russian is shepherding its stockpile of missiles/drones for an effort to take down the Ukraine power grid as it did last year. This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. Ukraine’s recent attacks on ships in Crimean harbors has forced the majority of the fleet to redeploying out of Crimea and to Russian bases, about 600 Km further away from the front lines.
Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace.
*****
Russian Personnel Issues –-
Closing in on the two year mark for the Ukraine war, analysts evaluating the force posture of the Russian army see the wear and tear on its command structure. Officers of all grades, particularly higher grades, have been lost in large numbers - leaving units with undertrained and unexperienced officers to continue the attacks.
The body of active duty has been sustained thru almost continuous but low grade mobilization actions. But these only supply meat. Training and equipment of these forces is reportedly abysmal. Increase use of hardened criminals in prisons for ‘shock’ troops continues to rise. So, even though Russian forces still outnumber Ukraine forces, they continue to be incapable of successful major operations, losing massive numbers of armor and personal for minimal gains.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temps in the 20-40 degree range with on again, off again rain and snow.
RUMINT – Ukraine to receive the first of its F-16s before the end of the year.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Weather continues to dominate action.
Ukrainian air defense shot down 14 of 15 Shahed drones, launched by Russia.
Russia renewed attacks around Adviivka and the bridgeheads across the Dniper River near Kherson.
Rumors that following the shoot down of 3 SU-34 fighter-bombers, Russia stopped flying ground attack sorties. They were flying in neighborhood of 40-60 per day.
Outlook —-
Weather and mud conditions are dictating operations, resulting in very little significant combat overnight.
Russia’s air force appears to be standing down for the moment. The unexpected appearance of Patriot systems in an area the once had mostly free reign has shocked the command. Analysts are noting that once the F-16s become operational, Russian air power will suffer further in that the F-16 likely will operate within cover of Patriot systems - enabling them to hit Russian positions while the Patriots keep Russian fighters at bay.
This Patriot/F-16 combination could become decisive if /when Ukraine attempts its winter offensive campaign.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Increased fighting in Central Gaza
- Houthi and Iran launch strikes on shipping.
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Numbers and intensity of airstrikes in central Gaza have increased the past few days as the focus of IDF ground operation shift from N Gaza southward.
***
The IDF has allegedly informed Egypt of its intention to occupy the Rafah border area and asked Egyptian soldiers to evacuate the area, Arab media reported.
The report also stated that the IDF emphasized to the Egyptians that from now on the IDF would not be responsible for the security of Egyptian forces in the area, while the IDF is attempting to occupy the border area, and emphasized that the military operation in the area will continue whether Egypt agrees or rejects it.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Border fight continues with little change as Hezbollah continues to fire mortars and ATGMs along the Lebanon border, with IDF artillery and air strikes in response.
Israel continues to strike more important Hezbollah combat facilities besides those immediately firing on IDF units. The increasing depth and target set continues to indicate Israel is working to shape the battle field for an eventual strike into S Lebanon in the near future.
——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
Maritime security firm Ambrey reports that a ship affiliated with Israel that had been sailing off the coast of India was attacked by a UAV. The attacking aircraft was believed to have been launched from Iran, among the first direct steps Iran has taken against Israel throughout the war.
The vessel attacked was a chemical freighter flying a Liberian flag. Ambrey reports that it had last called in Saudi Arabia, and was destined for India. After the attack, the vessel called the Indian Air Force for assistance, and Indian aircraft and warships were dispatched to provide assistance.
The crew and ship were determined to be safe despite the attack.
Iran’s Revolutionary Guards have warned they could force the closure of waterways other than the Red Sea if “America and its allies continue committing crimes” in Gaza.
“They shall soon await the closure of the Mediterranean Sea, (the Strait of) Gibraltar and other waterways,” Tasnim quoted Brigadier General Mohammad Reza Naqdi, coordinating commander of the Guards, as saying.
———WEST BANK——————————-
Continued Israeli security forces actions through out the West Bank to capture/neutralize Hamas and related terrorists. Skirmishes reported in several locations.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
Iranian backed militia in Iraq attempted to fire a drone toward Israel overnight.
Iran fired anti-ship drone at a tanker in the Indian Ocean.
According to U.S. Central Command, the USS Laboon (DDG-58) an Arleigh Burke-Class Guided-Missile Destroyer with Operation Prosperity Guardian in the Red Sea conducted a shoot down of 4 one-way attack drones launched by the Houthi Terrorist Group in Yemen towards International Shipping Lanes in the Region; the shoot downs followed the detection of 2 anti-ship ballistic missiles being launched into the Red Sea from Houthi Controlled-Territory which resulted in no damage or casualties
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Allied shipping defense under Operation Prosperity Garden is hitting the rocks.
——— FORECAST ————————-
Bottom Line Up Front (BLUF) - Israel continues the methodical elimination of Hamas forces throughout Gaza. IDF repeats the estimate of several months before the operation is considered to be complete. Action now is almost elatively routine.
Search and destroy operations moving into Central Gaza. Hamas and affiliated forces are running out of maneuver space. They are reports to be putting up a fight, but are vastly out gunned and out maneuvered.
Houthi and Iran are calling the US’ bluff on Operation Prosperity Garden. With ‘coalition’ forces refusing to operate under US command, the Sec State, Sec Def and Sec Trans (?!?) are trying to fight this battle. There is no apparent plan by the US other than to try to swat drones down and nothing to strike launch and drone/missile storage areas.
This very apparent US weakness is made worse by Iran attacking shipping in the Red Sea. They have nothing to fear from US retaliation as they seen the US basically sitting on their hands from all the other “ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” attacks. This is not going to end well as sooner or later one of our ships will be hit, likely by a swarm attack of dozens of these drones and anti-shipping missiles. Houthi and Iran have no fear of retaliation at the moment. And lacking real coordination with ‘allied’ naval vessels only makes matters worse.
Iran’s threat to close off the Med at the straits of Gibraltar is interesting and more likely propaganda than actual potential. It is possible that IRGC forces in coordination with islamic rebels in Morocco - however, that country broke relations in 2022 after it was revealed that Hezbollah guided forces (polisario ) were training to overthrow the govt.
Algeria is known to be on good terms with Iran. Algeria’s role as a facilitator of Iran’s destabilization acts in North Africa is pretty well established and is now considered to be the new base of Iranian influence in Africa. Algeria could serve as a launching base for anti-shipping drones, being well within range of the Straits of Gibraltar, and thus able to make good this threat.
One thing is certain. biden’s bumbling foreign policy is only making matters worse.
Iran –
See Israel above - shooting at and hitting oil vessel in the Indian Ocean.
Iraq -
See Israel - Iranian backed militia attempted to fire a drone at Israel.