thanks for the birthday wishes, it was a dark day when I was born.
No regular TM post - used my day off to continue to work through the year in review. Today being CW2/Domestic violence.
2023 In Review and 2024 Outlook.
CW2 / Domestic violence -
There are many other factors that I don’t cover here, but these are the biggies IMHO.
Keep in mind, the goal of the WEF et al is to divide the US, to prevent resistance to their desired conquest of the world.
The polls all indicate a growing view that there will be some sort of a civil break up between Red and Blue in the near future. Democrats/ leftists also poll even stronger towards the willingness to use violence to obtain their goals. Thus the chasm between Red and Blue has grown substantially over the course of 2023.
This category has also morphed significantly over the past year. Originally documenting the Antifa/BLM insurrections, it has grown to include the deliberate targeting of conservatives by the deep state. In the forefront is the rapidly development of data bases upon which the feds may initially try to arrest/detain if and when things go sideways. The the CW2 scenario has grown to one of govt vs civilians.
The Antifa crowd had a very slow first part of the year — no real big events to stir up their base to turn out on a nationwide basis. Then the blowback from the trans movement by parents and other groups stimulated the formation of a new element- Transfifa, trans sex supporters that utilize violent Antifa developed tactics. Transtifa attacks were prevalent over most of the summer, assaulting anti-grooming speakers and groups. So brash were these attacks, it caused a split in the LGBT community with the onset of Gays against Groomers speaking out against the trans agenda.
The Gaza war created another new outlet for leftist violence. The pro-hamas movements, largely centered on US colleges and universities, has suggested that a tipping point has been reached with the massive influx of moslems into the country, combined with indoctrination and wimpy civilian / govts unwilling to go against this new entitled class - radical moslems. Going into this flow was the radical LGBT elements- a strange mix given that under full moslem shariah law they would be tossed off roofs, they are seemingly tolerating them for numbers turnout and propagandizing the hamas cause. And of course Antifa showing up for anything anti-govt. Hitting also during the holiday season, they’ve gotten more press than normal. A disturbing trend is increasing highway blockages. These protests have been largely peaceful, absent the more violent Antifa/BLM road blocks of 2020.
This newly violent anti-Israeli democrat left has also created a rift in the democrat party in general. Traditional democrats generally support Israel. The Marxist elements on the left are now full on anti-Israel and the infighting is increasing.
Another growing factor is the totally uncontrolled flood of illegals entering the country . Taking from the Illegal discussion a little, these illegals notably tend to be military aged males. This flood is deliberate - representing the once derided concept that these massive immigrations were designed to corrupt and tear down the existing society - Europe has been succumbing to a similar uncontrolled migration of middle easterners and N Africans as well.
All this is causing resentment by the pre-existing dependency class - predominantly blacks in urban, blue metro areas. Friction between them and the illegals is growing. But friction is growing against biden and Chicago blacks have warned of massive demonstrations during the democratic nation convention this next year. The other aspect of such a flood of illegals are terror / military cells from the many anti-US countries out there. These covered more when I get to Terrorism.
Media and other mouthpieces have furthered the narrative of racism and violence is acceptable towards whites. This brings up the specter of brewing race war. Massive looting of stores is being represented as ‘reparations’ and crime directed at whites.
One last item - the massive democrat efforts to stop the Trump candidacy by legal or ‘other’ means. Trump could well be the third rail of the political period. Right now as legal persecutions increase, so Trump’s support appears to be solidifying, rather than melting. Huge errors are being made by these prosecutors and judges and any rough handling of Trump could set off repercussions by the right.
Lawfare - a component of the “Political” category to be looked as later is another foreshock of potential violent responses between the right and left. The recent Colorado Supreme Court decision to have Trump removed from the ballot has ratcheted tensions for the election year a whole order of magnitude. Even more terrifying is the potential response on any assassination attempt or success. Many mouthpieces of the left have been calling for assignations and their demonizing of Trump lays the foundation for some one to actually try to follow through with those calls.
One potential outcome that is growing is red states using the precedent set by Colorado by removing biden from their ballots - perhaps by invoking the 25th amendment argument. It would divide this nation with one side holding one president and the other holding another. An interesting and scary potential outcome - one which could trigger a hot civil war as well.
Finally, the whole corruption of the voting system by democrats is pushing the potential that neither side will accept the results of the election. That rejection has a strong potential of moving the needle closer to a very real separation of the country and a hot CW2.
Corruption of the legal system, corruption of the voting system, corruption of free speech is leaving things rushing to what JFK warned about over 60 years ago -
“Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable.” [ Remarks on the first anniversary of the Alliance for Progress, 13 March 1962]”
What is the outlook for 2024?
VERY PERILOUS TIMES. The election year of 2020 was tumultuous, 2024 could potentially be far worse.. My biggest fears consist of
1 Assassination attempts on Trump and others on the right. I think components of the left are desperate enough to try. If Trump gets hit, it is likely ‘go’ time.
2 Expansion of Antifa style protests/riots shifting gears from hamas support to attacking political candidates / rallies, to include burning down the cities, violent road blockades and other violence. This will shift from pro-hamas protests as the war continues and the enthusiasm shifted more towards internal politics. A repeat of 2020 is almost inevitable.
3 Violence at the Democrat national convention - is a certain. Will BLM antagonists use this event to cause problems against other democrat facilities and run cities? See also #2 above.
4 Some sort of false flag event that allow the govt to ‘justify’ a crackdown on the right. Even to the point of establishment of martial law, cancelation of the election and suspension of rights.
5 Apparent illegalities in the vote that some how the least popular president of all times manages to win against Trump. The stolen election nearly tore the country apart. This time around it could get ugly.
6 Will any of the 5 above result in a “divorce” with red vs blue separating either ‘peacefully’ or violently .
7 Outbreak of violence by illegals, both unorganized and organized. By organized I’m looking at deliberate terror teams (predominantly islamic or Chinese) launching broad riots or targeted terror attack. This would escalate very quickly to the potential of civilian defense elements in the face of probable govt inaction.
What do I see a CW2 break up looking like? Based on trends I’ve been monitoring i think it breaks out like this. First and foremost - a democrat controlled fed govt will be hostile to any conservative separation and could launch arrests of potential resistance leadership, martial law and other crack downs that could precipitate shooting scenarios.
Strong red or blue states will likely try to separate as a state, providing a govt structure already in place. I think that separation will still be strongly influenced by the Red vs Blue county breakout. For instance, red CA,OR and WA will not side with the blue controls in the state capitols. So on a broad measure, the dark blue metro areas along both coasts vs red rural areas is the break out I see. So a CW1 scenario of state vs state is less likely due to heterogeneity of the populations versus a more homogeneous culture during the civil war.
Many think the CW2 will develop into something similar to the Spanish civil war, with liberal cities versus conservative rural areas. Cities would have an initial population advantage but are heavily resource dependent. Rural areas more self sufficient, but with better armed/trained, though fewer civilians. A lot of scenarios run outward from this. The worst case is rural areas laying siege to cities, the fed forces trying to maintain supply lines to the cities as well as trying to keep their supply lines open and keep the troops inline.
CW2 in 2024? With all the potential ruptures above, 2024 is fast becoming the most dangerous year in our history. Prepare accordingly.
Since the army is WOKE and has the weapons, I'm assuming to 'quell' the rebellion, the left will nuke Florida's largest cities.
Godzilla wrote:
“...Strong red or blue states will likely try to separate as a state, providing a govt structure already in place. ...”
There have been enough signatures gathered by the Texas Nationalist Movement, to put a ‘Texit’ proposition on the March ballot.
Globalism / Great Reset –
On December 5, the World Economic Forum (WEF) and its partner organizations released a report claiming that one of the biggest threats to the deep state’s power fortress is the unmitigated spread of “misinformation” online.
Dubbed “Cybersecurity Futures 2030: New Foundations,” the report, which is based on a study, puts forth the notion that one of the biggest cybersecurity concerns for the establishment is free speech that threatens the existing world order.
“This introduces a novel perspective on the significance of locating and quashing fabricated information, cynically tagged as ‘mis’- or ‘dis-information’ held in the cybersecurity domain.”
https://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_Cybersecurity_Futures_2030_New_Foundations_2023.pdf
https://thelibertydaily.com/wef-says-spread-misinformation-online-is-cybersecurity-issue/
OBSERVATION - Thought control and censorship - key Orwellian concepts being pushed by the WEF and implemented by its assets in govts and businesses around the globe, incrementally. Saw this in full bloom during the wuhan plandemic. WEF has used that experience to craft even sharper tools so silence opposing views, now and in the future.
Raising it to the definitionally redefined ‘cybersecurity’ realm brings it into direct collision course with global free speech - where the real fight is going beyond social media to independent web sites and email lists.
***
According to a new white paper published by the WEF in partnership with global management consulting firm McKinsey & Company on Wednesday, Dec. 13. The paper, titled “The Role of Public-Private-Philanthropic Partnerships in Driving Climate and Nature Transitions,” stressed that the world needs to spend up to $3.5 trillion on additional climate-focused investments each year “to reach net zero and restore nature” by the United Nations’ end-date of 2050. This also represents around half of global corporate profits, a quarter of world tax revenue and approximately seven percent of household consumer spending.
This also does not include the $1 trillion in additional spending the WEF estimates the world needs to divert from high-emission to low-carbon assets.
OBSERVATION - Positioning themselves to demand $$ from the eventual slave states of the world. This is on top of $$$ necessary to maintain countries currently.
***
Speaking of money -
According to projections by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) global government debt will hit $97.1 trillion in 2023. That represents a 40% increase since 2019.
By 2028, the IMF projects that global public debt will exceed 100% of global GDP. The only other time global debt-to-GDP was that high was at the height of the pandemic lockdowns.
Americans like to brag about being number one. Well, when it comes to debt, they’re right.
The US national debt makes up 32.4% of the total global government debt.
According to the IMF, America’s debt-to-GDP ratio stands at 123.3%.
https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/GGXWDG_NGDP@WEO/OEMDC/ADVEC/WEOWORLD
OBSERVATION - To “reset’ something, it has to be broken first, and govt debt explosion is one way to break the system to permit a global ‘reset’.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
Robert F. Kennedy warned the nation’s voters that they should be extremely concerned about the future of the US.
“Every American should be troubled by the Colorado Supreme Court’s decision to remove President Trump from the ballot. The court has deprived him of a consequential right without having been convicted of a crime. This was done without an evidentiary hearing in which he is given the basic right of confronting his accusers,” he posted to X. “If Trump is kept out of office through judicial fiat rather than being defeated in a fair election, his supporters will never accept the result,” he added. “This country will become ungovernable. It’s time to trust the voters. It is up to the people to decide who the best candidate is. Not the courts. The people. That’s Democracy 101.”
RELATED- The states of California and Maine are now exploring options to keep former President Trump off their respective state ballots in the wake of Colorado’s ruling.
OBSERVATION - Double quote -“This country will become ungovernable.” The CO Supreme Court is setting the stage for a Civil War by this action.
***
Growing numbers of announced pro-hamas protests/rallies scheduled for this weekend. High probability of disruptions targeting major highways and Christmas related events.
Terrorism - Level is HIGH due to increased lone wolf threats.
Customs and Border Protection agents have already caught 31 illegals who are on the terror watchlist, according to CBP data, a number that is on pace to make fiscal year 2024 the highest ever.
Fiscal Year 2023 set a record of 172 illegals caught who were on the terror watchlist. The new fiscal year began Oct. 1. CBP collared 98 on the terror list in FY 2022. The current pace of FY24 is at 186.
OBSERVATION - And these are just the ones that were caught.
RELATED - A representative from the TSA told Fox News:
For non-citizens and non-U.S. nationals who do not otherwise have acceptable forms of ID for presentation at security checkpoints, TSA may also accept certain DHS-issued forms, including ICE Form I-200 (Warrant for Arrest of an Alien)...All passengers whose identity is verified through alternate procedures receive additional screening before being allowed into the secure area of the airport.
UnFREEKING believable folks.
Economy-
New home sales fell in the South by the most, followed by the West. The Northeast and Midwest saw increased sales. New home sales crashed 12.2% MoM - the biggest MoM drop since April 2022.
The median new home priced jumped to $434.7k from $414.9k.
The median existing home price dropped to lowest since April while median new home price jumped to highest since August (Source: Bloomberg)
OBSERVATION - Repeating myself, but the housing market is a key indicator of the health of the economy. Not looking healthy lately.
***
Shipping industry insiders expressed uncertainty about the effectiveness of the Biden administration’s newly unveiled multinational initiative, Operation Prosperity Guardian, aimed at safeguarding Red Sea shipping from potential terrorist attacks by Iran-backed Houthi militants in Yemen.
Many cargo operations remain hesitant to resume activities in the Red Sea. Some choose alternative routes, such as circumventing the Cape of Good Hope. Such diversions result in a 10-day sailing extension and significant additional costs for shipments.
https://www.newsmax.com/politics/shipping-firms-biden-administration-red-sea/2023/12/21/id/1146844/
It is also being reported that logistics managers are quoting ocean freight rates of $10,000 per 40-foot container from Shanghai to the U.K. Last week, rates were $1,900 for a 20-foot container, to $2,400 for a 40-foot container.
OBSERVATION - These prices will hit the consumers in the next few months as they work through the system.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
The Defense Cooperation Agreement signed Monday between Washington and Helsinki will give the American forces access to 15 installations — five in the High North near Russia — and permission to store equipment and weapons on Finnish soil.
The bilateral agreement with the United State “just makes it easier” to store agreed upon equipment, allow for pre-positioning at four air bases, one naval base and land force installations and the movement of troops, she said. While it does cover use of large training areas in the High North, the pact does not cover nuclear weapons, nor does it call for permanent American bases in Finland.
***
Almost as soon as it was announced, the coalition for “Prosperity Guardian” has started to spin apart.
France, Spain, and Italy have all announced their refusal to accept U.S. Command Structure for the Operation, and they will only conduct further Maritime Operations under the Command of NATO and/or the European Union and not the United States.
US Navy says they don’t have enough warships to start Operation Prosperity Garden. US built 24 littoral combat ships but are not deploying them because the Navy believes they are unable to defend themselves against Houthi attacks, let alone defend cargo vessels.
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics – HEIGHTENED ALERT STATUS
Summary: a study of humans suffering from Long Covid analyzed their cellular DNA. The authors unexpectedly found genes uniquely specific to the Pfizer COVID vaccine in human blood cells. This finding proves that mRNA COVID vaccines permanently integrate into the DNA of some COVID-vaccinated people.
https://www.europeanreview.org/article/34685
OBSERVATION - This concern, of the mRNA permanently affecting the DNA of our bodies was raised very early in the season of the jab. It was, of course, swatted down by our ‘betters’ who ‘knew the science’. This study strongly suggests that so called ‘long covid’ could be linked to this function.
***
Researchers have developed an airborne mRNA vaccine offering a vehicle by which to rapidly vaccinate the masses without their knowledge or consent.
A team from Yale University has developed a new airborne method for delivering mRNA right to your lungs. The method has also been used to vaccinate mice intranasally, “opening the door for human testing in the near future.”
While scientists may celebrate this invention as a convenient method to vaccinate large populations, skeptics raise obvious concerns about the potential misuse of an airborne vaccine, including the possibility of covert bioenhancements a concept that has previously been suggested in academic literature.
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30157295/
OBSERVATION - Involuntary inoculation - a massive human rights assault - except that human rights don’t matter to these mad men. You better believe, just as the Pfizer/Moderna vaccine was jacked to damage the population - this will follow the same path.
POLITICAL FRONT –
A “friend of the court” brief by onetime AG Edwin Meese and constitutional scholars contends that lower federal courts should dismiss all of Jack Smith’s prosecutions — including all pending charges against Trump, The reason? Jack Smith is holding a position that was never created by Congress, the Meese brief argues.
OBSERVATION - Smith’s selection and method of prosecution have been highly irregular and his recent appeals to the USSC an effort to bypass any potential appeals. Observers are noting an increasing desperation from Smith to get the job done prior to the elections - suggesting that his case is falling apart with recent revelation on J6 and the classified docs issues.
***
Congressional Democrats and media outlets are pressuring Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas to recuse himself from any decision on former President Trump’s disqualification from the Colorado primary ballot or immunity from prosecution.
Illegal Immigration –
KJP: “What we’re seeing here at the border...it’s not unusual…”
***
ICE is reportedly scheduling appointments for asylum seekers into 2031. Eight years from now.
OBSERVATION - Unbelievable. 8 years for these illegals to burrow into our society, suck resources off the teat of govt and contribute virtually nothing to society except crime and grift.
***
The Biden White House is sending Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas to engage Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO) in talks over border security.
***
See “Terrorism” above for record numbers of intercepted illegals that are on the terror database list.
China –
During a recent summit in San Francisco, Chinese President Xi Jinping reportedly conveyed a firm message to President Joe Biden, stating that Beijing intends to reunify Taiwan with mainland China, though the timeline for this action remains undecided. Xi, at last year’s Chinese Communist Party Congress, warned of a military attack on Taiwan if it declares independence with foreign support. He emphasized that this threat targets only external interference and a minority of separatists advocating for Taiwanese independence.
OBSERVATION - China knows we are at our weakest levels in decades - possibly even since the Vietnam War. Short of a global war, the US lacks the resources and will to military confront China in a decisive manner.
Japan –
Japan’s Cabinet on Friday approve a record 7.95 trillion yen or $55.9 billion defense budget for Fiscal Year 2024, which begins on April 1 next year. The amount represents a 16.5 percent increase from FY2023’s budget of 6.8 trillion yen or $47.7 billon with the budget for each fiscal year to increase until it reaches 8.9 trillion yen or $62.5 billion in FY2027 thus making each fiscal year defence budget until 2027 continuously the highest ever recorded.
https://news.usni.org/2023/12/22/japanese-cabinet-approves-largest-ever-defense-budget
OBSERVATION - Japan is facing threats primarily from China as well as N Korea and has to get caught up militarily . It can no longer rely on the US for many of its regional defense needs.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Nov 12, 2023
Russia is struggling to gain the initiative on several fronts in easter Ukraine. Attacks to take Adviivka, located near occupied Donetsk has been their priority as well as further north. However, it is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine.
The Russian army has lost a considerable amount of armor/tanks and personnel in the fight to take Adviivka, causing that offensive to stall considerably and resort to “meat” attacks.
With the arrival of the muddy season, significant offensive actions by Russia are unlikely.
Ukrainian action has forced Russia to move forces laterally to meet the Ukraine advance - thinning critical portions of the line and making them vulnerable to assault.
Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. With the onset of winter, it is believed that Russian is shepherding its stockpile of missiles/drones for an effort to take down the Ukraine power grid as it did last year. This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. Ukraine’s recent attacks on ships in Crimean harbors has forced the majority of the fleet to redeploying out of Crimea and to Russian bases, about 600 Km further away from the front lines.
Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace.
*****
Russia is threatening to bomb NATO air bases if F-16s given to Ukraine take off from there - The EurAsian Times
Russia has already warned that the use of NATO aircraft from Europe.
European / NATO actions would turn the countries hosting the aircraft into “legitimate targets” by Russia
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temps in the 20-40 degree range with on again, off again rain and snow.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Weather continues to dominate action.
Yesterday, Ukrainian air defense shot down 24 of 28 Shahed drones launched by Russia overnight. Drone hit an infrastructure in Mykolaiv region.
Overnight, 7 Shahed drones were shot down over Odesa region
What is even more remarkable is that yesterday Ukraine took down 3 (THREE) Su-34 aircraft in the S Ukraine region. These fighter-bombers have been a bane lately to Ukraine forces, dropping guided ‘gilding bombs’ at targets primarily in the Kherson region, though showing up on other fronts as well. Ukraine may have quickly deployed some Patriot assets into the region and surprised the Russians.
Outlook —-
Weather and mud conditions are dictating operations, resulting in very little significant combat overnight.
Russia’s air force is receiving a Black Sea fleet wake up call. Earlier last week, Ukraine drones hit an airbase, damaging / destroying several other SU-34s as well. Once able to lob rocket/glide bombs safely outside Ukraine’s formerly shorter ranged air defense assets, the take down now suggests that most of Crimea is hostile to Russian fighter/bombers. With the loss of its artillery advantage, Russia switched to aircraft, developing tactics to avoid being shot down. Those tactics now have to be revised. In this specific instance, these jets were supporting Russian defenses against the Ukrainian bridgehead of the Dniper River - and one desperately needed by Russian ground forces.
Ukraine is also on the verge of finally getting F-16s for its forces to use. This could make the air even more hostile to Russia and provide needed support to Ukrainian ground forces. Hopefully Ukraine learned from its ground offensive to develop its own tactics and not rely on Western tactics. They have become good at finding the weak spots in Russia’s defenses and exploiting them. These F-16s could well cause a lot of problems. Key too is the plans for Ukraine to resume offensive operations - now with F-16 cover - could be a game changer.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Israel warning those living in Central Gaza to move to designated safe areas in S Gaza as war effort moves out of N Gaza.
- Hamas says no talks on a hostage deal until there’s a ceasefire
——— GENERAL ——————————-
According to Israeli media, as part of any to release Israeli hostages, Hamas wants Israel to release three very high profile Palestinian prisoners: Marwan Barghouti, a popular Fatah leader who has been imprisoned in Israel for attacks against Israelis during the Second Intifada. He is predicted to win against any other Palestinian leaders, if elections were held. - Abdullah Barghouti a member of the Hamas’s al-Qassam Brigades who is also a relative of Marwan Barghouti, - Ahmed Saadat the Secretary-General of the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine,
A US-Israeli dual citizen taken into captivity by Hamas during the October 7 terrorist attacks has become the first American hostage to die, a group representing hostages’ families said on Friday.
Gadi Haggai, 73, who also held Israeli citizenship, had not been seen since the brutal attack that claimed the lives of over 1,200 people, when he was taken with his wife Judi on a morning walk around the kibbutz.
Hamas released a video on Thursday of three hostages killed in Hamas captivity and who had their bodies recovered by the IDF from the Gaza Strip last week.
In the video, the three hostages – Elia Toledano, Nik Beizer, and Ron Sherman, are seen holding up pieces of paper with their names and personal information.
In a statement posted alongside the video, Hamas claimed that “they tried to keep them alive – but Netanyahu insisted on killing them.”
The video then adds visual effects of shots and animated blood. They are shown in captivity smiling and speaking to each other.
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
The Israeli army has begun to call on residents of central Gaza’s Bureij to evacuate south, and head for shelters in Deir al-Balah, as the ground offensive expands.
Hamas and affiliated forces are resisting Israeli movement southward into Central Gaza and are facing intense air and artillery bombardment.
The Israeli army announced that it has established full “operational control” over Gaza City’s Shejaiya neighborhood, which saw some of the fiercest fighting during the ground offensive against Hamas
IDF blew up the main bunker complex in the middle of Gaza City yesterday. The explosion was spectacular and also displayed the extent of the system which connected above ground homes/facilities with their underground equivalents.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Border fight continues with little change as Hezbollah continues to fire mortars and ATGMs along the Lebanon border, with IDF artillery and air strikes in response.
IAF is increasing their targeting of other Hezbollah assets in S Lebanon as part of battlefield preparation for what appears to be an eventually Israeli attack to clear out Hezbollah from the border areas. Logistics, command and control, rocket firing sites and troop concentrations all under increasing pressure by the IAF.
——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
Wednesday, four rockets were fired from Syria at the Golan Heights, setting off sirens in Mas’ade and Ein Quiniyye. The IDF says it shelled the source of the fire and targeted a Syrian Army position.
———WEST BANK——————————-
Continued Israeli security forces actions through out the West Bank to capture/neutralize Hamas and related terrorists. Skirmishes reported in several locations.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
Iran is providing real-time intelligence to Yemen’s Houthis that the jihadists are using target ships passing through the Red Sea, according to a report published on Friday in The Wall Street Journal.
NOTE - Iran has one of their coveted ‘command’ ships in the area, likely the source for real time data.
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Allied shipping defense under Operation Prosperity Garden is hitting the rocks - See “Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments” above.
——— FORECAST ————————-
Bottom Line Up Front (BLUF) - Israel continues the methodical elimination of Hamas forces throughout Gaza. IDF repeats the estimate of several months before the operation is considered to be complete. Action now is relatively routine.
Search and destroy operations moving into Central Gaza. Hamas and affiliated forces are running out of maneuver space. They are reports to be putting up a fight, but are vastly out gunned and out maneuvered.
The whole operation to make shipping safe through the Red Sea is turning into what we call here in the Redoubt a “goat rope” All these senior officers / generals who were promoted thru diversity and loyalty to the regime rather than merit are showing that they are incapable of organizing / equipping action against a minor terror group. Allies are noting this, plus have their noses out of joint over biden’s support for Israel, to send a message back to us. We have become - in just 3 years - incompetent in running this kind of operation. Combined with the stack of air assets in the region - and those strategic air bombers available, combined with naval air, should leave massive, smoking craters on tactical and strategic sites of Houthi forces.
Continued calls for ceasefire are falling of deaf Israeli ears, and rightfully so. The only way the Hamas threat is to be eliminated is through their total destruction.
Venezuela - Increasing potential for war
Tensions are decreasing as putin is urging Venezuela to seek peaceful resolution and UK pledges support to Guyana. Maduro is also planning to hold elections in Essequibo so residents can vote to break away from Guyana and join Venezuela. Just how he will accomplish that while still under the jurisdiction of Guyana is beyond me.