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To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; blu; bgill; bitt; ...


Globalism / Great Reset –

Biden’s pompous jet-setting ‘climate envoy’ John Kerry spoke at the 2023 APEC summit.

Elon Musk was bumped as a keynote speaker at this year’s APEC summit at the last minute and was replaced by John Kerry.

Kerry continued his war on farmers this week at the APEC summit and complained that many farmers use highly effective tile drainage to improve their yields.

“I learned all this, actually, when I was running for president back in 2004 [in Iowa]!” John Kerry said.

OBSERVATION - You can bet that the switch removing Musk was an indicator that the fix for major corporations to pull ads from “X” was in the works. Meanwhile kerry didn’t reveal anything new other than his hate of farms and farmers. Remember - control of the food equals control of the people.


CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT

Police in San Diego have now had to evacuate Jewish students at University of California San Diego after they held a meeting to discuss antisemitic threats. The pro-Hamas crowd heard about it and organized a mob in front of the building.

A violent pro-Palestine protest is occurring in Chicago. The militant leftist protesters have shut down eight lanes of traffic on Lake Shore Drive.

The pro-Hamas mob brought their performance activism to San Francisco and shut down the Bay Bridge.

Supporters of Hamas/Palestine shut down all entrances to Penn Station station - they have also seized control of 8th Ave.

OBSERVATION - The primary strategy of the mob appears to be annoying the hell out of commuters. It doesn’t take a lot of people to shut down streets/intersections and even at that it takes a lot of effort by LEO’s to get them cleared.

Attacks on Jews on college/university campuses are growing as the administrations of those institutions refuse to take actions to protect all students.

***
Liberal TikTok users are cheering Osama bin Laden’s 2002 “Letter to America” . The 2002 letter had originally been posted on The Guardian, which was removed this week after the letter sparked the latest criticism and controversy. Its text has been since been posted elsewhere, including in an article published Friday in Newsweek.

Now having been removed, the sudden interest and support of OBL’s attack on America just goes to show how far our education of history has fallen.

OBSERVATION - America has forgotten 9/11.


Terrorism - Level is HIGH due to increased lone wolf threats.


Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –

USS Ronald Reagan (CVN 76) Nimitz-class aircraft carrier returned to its home port of Yokosuka, Japan on November 19, 2023

***
Soldiers who were forced out of the U.S. Army because they refused to follow the Biden Administration’s draconian COVID-19 mandates are being asked to come back as a potential war looms.

OBSERVATION - Numbers I’ve see is that only 4% of those that left have opted to go back in. Not said, but likely are those who were short timers ready to retire. They are not having much other luck - and are too stupid / politically blinded to see why - the military leadership stabbed these soldiers in the back by forcing an illegal version of the jab and blanket rejecting religious exemptions (again, in violation of the law). Now they likely see how the regime continues to demonize them as anti-American domestic terrorists, racists, bigots, you name it.


POLITICAL FRONT –

The release of the J6 videos has ignited a level of anger on the right - fully confirming what was already suspected, that this was a set up from the beginning.

Todd Starnes “X” post states it pretty well-

“The new J6 videos show federal agents wearing red MAGA hats, opening doors for the so-called “insurrectionists,” exchanging high-fives with protesters and escorting them into the building. To this day, the FBI refuses to say how many of their agents were involved in the planning and execution of whatever happened on that day. The videos clearly show U.S. Capitol Police and federal agents “colluding” with the “rioters.” So, why weren’t the police prosecuted alongside the “insurrectionists”? Unless, of course, they were following orders from congressional leadership. Why did Nancy and Liz conceal these videos from the public? We need answers. We need hearings. Did congressional leadership collude with the FBI and Justice Dept. to stage an insurrection and blame it on “

Also seen now is an individual dressed up with a MAGA hat, flashing a badge.

OBSERVATION - Though I hope and pray the organizers of this false flag event get brought to justice, I just don’t see it happening even if Trump returns to office. The weight of the Deep State will clog the gears of justice up so much that nothing will essentially happen. We would need a completely new DoJ and FBI to accomplish anything -and that isn’t happening. Best case is that these suppressed and hidden videos will initially enable the convicted to successfully appeal their political based charges and set Trump up to pardon others.

We would also need to replace a boat load of “republican” who’ve already demonstrated a total lack of spine by refusing to impeach Mayorkos and other administration goons.

***
Elon Musk has revealed that X Corp will be filing a “thermonuclear lawsuit” against Media Matters for America after the infamous leftist organization published a story that attempted to undermine freedom of speech as well as deceive advertisers, according to Musk.

“The split second court opens on Monday, X Corp will be filing a thermonuclear lawsuit against Media Matters and ALL those who colluded in this fraudulent attack on our company,” Musk posted on X, attaching a document entitled, “Stand with X to protect free speech.”

OBSERVATION - This is going to be huge, and X has the receipts to back their charges. Media Matters is a Soros funded political arm of his that it the attack dog for his globalist adventures in media. Get out the popcorn, this should be great to see MM go down. Oh and by ‘nuclear’ I hope the claim for damages is in the 44 Billion range.


Biden / Harris Watch –
Numerous liberal commentators noting how physically weak and mentally distracted biden appeared to be at public functions.


Illegal Immigration –

Big blue metro cities are now trying to bus illegals to other parts of the country as they are being overwhelmed by the numbers of Illegals coming and draining their budgets.


North/South Korea –

South Korea and the United States have detected movements at North Korea’s Sohae Satellite Launching Station which indicate that preparations are underway for a ​military reconnaissance satellite launch. South Korea’s defense minister stated that the launch may take place within a week or so per Yonhap.

South Korea is considering partially suspending the 2018 inter-Korean military agreement if a third ​military reconnaissance satellite launch is attempted.


Russia -

WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022

CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Nov 12, 2023

Russia is struggling to gain the initiative on several fronts in easter Ukraine. Attacks to take Adviivka, located near occupied Donetsk has been their priority as well as further north. However, it is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine.

The Russian army has lost a considerable amount of armor/tanks and personnel in the fight to take Adviivka, causing that offensive to stall considerably and resort to “meat” attacks.

With the arrival of the muddy season, significant offensive actions by Russia are unlikely.

Ukrainian action has forced Russia to move forces laterally to meet the Ukraine advance - thinning critical portions of the line and making them vulnerable to assault.

Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. With the onset of winter, it is believed that Russian is shepherding its stockpile of missiles/drones for an effort to take down the Ukraine power grid as it did last year. This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage.

The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. Ukraine’s recent attacks on ships in Crimean harbors has forced the majority of the fleet to redeploying out of Crimea and to Russian bases, about 600 Km further away from the front lines.

Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace.

*****

Russian Personnel Issues –-
A former Russian commander who once critizised President Putin for running a “third-rate” air force, has been found dead alongside his wife at their home in the village of Adzhievsky in Stavropol region.”


Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Much of eastern Ukraine will see their first accumulating snowfall of the season next week.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Russian drones targeted Kyiv principally overnight with Ukrainian air defense shooting down 15 of 20 Shahed drones. Ukraine returned the favor launching drones at Moscow.

UK Defense Intel reports intense ground combat in three Ukranian areas – Kupiansk, Avdiivka and on the left bank of the Dnipro River in Kherson. It reports Russia has sustained “particularly heavy casualties” around Avdiivka.

Kherson Axis -
Two axes of advance are developing. One towards the south east from the vicinity of Kherson, and a second upstream in the vicinity of Krynky. Both are connected by Ukrainian controlled territory. Both are seeing slow but persistent advances by Ukraine.

Outlook —-
Things are developing on the Kherson axis. Question remains is just how much armor and supplies can Ukraine get across the river.
Otherwise, no significant changes are anticipated. Weather taking an even more dominant role in combat.


Belarus -

Haven’t’ touched on this area for a while. Reports continue that military actions by the Belarus army are relatively routine training for new recruits.


Europe / NATO General –

Spanish unrest -

Mass protest continue against socialist PM Sánchez in Madrid, Spain going into their 15th day. More than 1 million people have gathered in Madrid to protest against PM Sanchez decision to issue and amnesty to the separatist and form a government with their help. Protesters were seen with signs that read “Sanchez traitor” and “Don’t sell Spain.”


ISRAEL –

Key overnight developments -

- IDF moving deeper into N Gaza / Gaza city.

- IDF working its way slowly through the tunnels beneath Shifa Hospital, due to booby traps.

- Qatar claims that an agreement is close on a hostage release / prisoner exchange and operational pause of up to 5 days.

GENERAL ——————————-

Qatar spokesman claims that there is an imminent deal being made for Hamas to release some of the hostages in exchange for a 5 day pause in fighting. Netanyahu says that there is no deal.

Hamas’ military spokesperson Abu Ubaida says the group has lost contact with a number of groups charged with guarding Israeli hostages, and that their fate is unknown

***
Israeli estimate - Hamas terror chiefs Sinwar & Deif fled Gaza City, hiding in Khan Younis area in southern Gaza; Defense Minister Gallant says IDF forces will operate there soon. This manhunt is one of Israel’s top priorities.

***
Politico reports that US President Joe Biden directed officials in his administration to prepare visa bans and sanctions for Israelis who attack Palestinian Arabs.

A memo to aides like Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen on Friday, orders their agencies “to develop policy options for expeditious action against those responsible for the conduct of violence in the West Bank.”

Parts of the memo became known after President Biden’s op-ed in The Washington Post revealing his intentions for such a move. “The United States is prepared to take our own steps, including issuing visa bans against extremists attacking civilians in the West Bank,” he wrote in the op-ed.

The Biden administration has defended Israel’s operation in Gaza, but has also pushed for Israel to take a stronger stance against Israeli civilians attacking Palestinians. Recently, some of Biden’s party have called.for restrictions or conditions on US aid to Israel.

The targets for reprimands are broadly defined in the memo. They include people or entities that “have directly or indirectly engaged in actions or policies that threaten the security or stability of the West Bank,” take “actions that intimidate civilians in the West Bank with the purpose or effect of forcing displacement actions in the West Bank,” or make moves “that constitute human rights abuses or violations and actions that significantly obstruct, disrupt or prevent efforts to achieve a two-state solution.”

https://harbingersdaily.com/israel-at-war-week-7/

OBSERVATION - This is a first - sanctioning Israeli civilians.

***
Israeli Minister of Defense Yoav Gallant vowed Saturday night that all Hamas operatives would be killed — including those outside Gaza, sheltering in comfortable exile in Arab states like Qatar.

GAZA FRONT ———————————-

IDF Spokesman Rear Adm. Daniel Hagari says troops are still operating at the tunnel shaft in the Shifa Hospital complex, and the military will issue new footage soon. He says the IDF is operating at Shifa Hospital to obtain information on the Hamas-held hostages, to locate weapons and command rooms, to locate Hamas operatives in the area, and to uncover Hamas’s underground infrastructure.

Israeli forces are expanding offensive operations into Gaza City. Israel forces provided humanitarian aid to al Shifa Hospital as civilians evacuated the medical complex.

LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-

At least 10 mortars fired from Lebanon at northern Israel, setting off sirens in Shlomi. All landed in open areas, causing no injuries. The Israeli army says it is responding with artillery shelling. The Israeli army also says fighter jets struck a number of Hezbollah sites in southern Lebanon

WEST BANK——————————-

Continuing clashes between Palestinian militants and Israeli forces in Jenin camp

INTERNATIONAL ——————————-

Hundreds of Māori men and women gathered in Brisbane to ‘Haka for Israel’ forcing a pre-planned-pro-Hamas rally to change location for their hatefest.

FORECAST ————————-

Bottom Line Up Front (BLUF) - The drama continues to center on the Al-Shifa and Qods hospitals now that IDF has entered and is in the process of securing them. The topside battle for Shifa is pretty much done, the underreported action is in the underground realm and it may be days before news is released on that battle. The Hamas command bunker below the hospital is reportedly as deep as 200 feet and consists of multiple levels with deep tunnels reaching out to other areas in N Gaza.

The PR war in the information battlefield is still going to be fierce. Israel’s methodically slow entrance into the maze of tunnels under Shifa is allowing anti-Israeli misinformation on the complex to ride to high visibility. This results in growing anti-Israeli sentiment. The longer this goes on, the more the cry for a ceasefire will be on the forefront.

The pro-hamas rallys/ protests around the world has worked to alert some that the millions of islamic migrants allowed into their country is about to bite them in the rear unless they do something and fast. And the numbers of these radical moslems have started to reach the threshold where they start controlling and censoring the culture that they have moved into - replacing it with koranic / shria based laws and customs. Much of Europe is lost and the move is growing here in the US as well. Expect continued riots/protests in support of Hamas et al.


Lebanon -

See Israel above.


Syria -

See Israel above on latest.



679 posted on 11/19/2023 5:32:33 AM PST by Godzilla (Never give up, never surrender . . . . . .)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 678 | View Replies ]


To: Godzilla
OBSERVATION - America has forgotten 9/11.

America has learned from 9/11. We've learned that "Our dear friends, the Saudis" and all their coreligionists are the good guys.

The president himself used every available opportunity to tell us the Saudis were our dear friends, ad nauseam

If the Saudis are the good guys, we must be the bad guys...

680 posted on 11/19/2023 6:30:24 AM PST by null and void (If you support monsters you will die in the cross fire.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 679 | View Replies ]

To: Godzilla
This is a first - sanctioning Israeli civilians.

This would be sooo abhorrent on our part. Unbelievable.
681 posted on 11/19/2023 9:49:09 AM PST by Chani ( )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 679 | View Replies ]

To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; blu; bgill; bitt; ...

Did the world hit a tipping point on Oct 7th? That is a question that is gaining more and more attention. It ripped open some seriously ugly on a global basis and destabilized an already wobbly world even further.


Economy –

The commercial real estate sector is facing the possibility of a substantial number of bankruptcies that could ultimately hamper economic recovery and threaten the wounded banking industry, according to experts who spoke to the Daily Caller News Foundation.

“Commercial real estate is in deep trouble and could constitute a major risk to the banking system and the recovery,” Desmond Lachman, a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, told the DCNF. “In fact, I would characterize the situation as a slow-moving train wreck. The underlying problem is that occupancy rates have slumped post-Covid since many workers are now working at least part of the time from home.”

https://thelibertydaily.com/slow-moving-train-wreck-theres-powder-keg-inside/

OBSERVATION - Hand in hand with the residential real estate crisis is the commercial real estate crisis. Both look at synergizing with the other and continued high fed prime rates coupled with the persistent damage from the wuhan plandemic shutdowns threaten the larger banking related community. This would result in more bank collapses and failures - even among the so called too large to fail banks. If this happens, then the conspiracy theories of bank “bail ins” and even the pushing of the global reset button become a very real possibility.


CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT

Saturday night’s massive protest in Downtown Sacramento brought the California Democratic Convention to a standstill. More than 2,500 demonstrators flooded the streets, demanding Democratic leaders call for a cease-fire in Gaza.

The protest originated as a sit-in demonstration inside the Safe Credit Union Convention Center building with about 200 people. However, it rapidly escalated, swelling to thousands as protestors called for democratic leaders to call for a cease-fire.

Sameena Husman, a delegate, emphasized that some Democratic voters, stating that without swift action, won’t participate in next year’s elections.
“A lot of people who are Democrats have lost faith in the party,” Husman said. “We need to stand up and say we’re not going to stand for this, and we have to have a cease-fire.”

The Democratic Party of Oregon canceled its Portland holiday party over fears of violence & disruption from leftist pro-Palestine protesters.

OBSERVATION - Can cross reference under political category as well. The targeting of the democrats by pro-hamas elements is most interesting and evidence of internal conflicts between older, more moderate dems and the radical marxist leftist in the party now supporting hamas. It would seem that the marxists are attempting to secure their democrat power base in the face of the 2024 elections. So the violence currently is directed towards them. Once they gain capitulation of that group, you can expect violence to next focus on everyone else.


Terrorism - Level is HIGH due to increased lone wolf threats.

Police in Lakewood, N.J. are investigating a grenade that was attached to a utility pole near the Satmar Bais Medrash synagogue. The Lakewood Scoop reports that the grenade was real but inert and empty.


POLITICAL FRONT –

The extent of the fraudulent reporting and the increasing evidence that the J6 events were planned keep rolling in with more and more video release. The whole point of J6, it appears, was to sabotage the Electoral College objections, prevent an investigation of election fraud allegations, and frame Trump and his supporters for it. It worked so far, but the narrative is crumbling. Never fear, the deep state is not going to let these criminals who organized this false flag event be prosecuted. Withholding evidence in the trials of J6 individuals may result in judges thinking otherwise.

***
Musk is expected to launch is ‘thermonuclear” lawsuit against uber leftist Media Matters and associated individuals today. It has also come to light that the CEO for X was strongly encouraged to resign as part of this pressure campaign by high level advertising executives.

RELATED - On Sunday, Republican Missouri Attorney General Andrew Bailey announced that his team is investigating left-leaning news organization Media Matters over allegations of criminal and civil violations.

This comes after Elon Musk announced that X-Corp will be launching a “thermonuclear lawsuit” against the company on claims that Media Matters enacted a “fraudulent attack” on X-Corp and in an attempt to “undermine freedom of speech and mislead advertisers.”
The specific allegations that Attorney General Bailey’s Office is investigating pertain to recent findings that Media Matters allegedly created fake social media accounts to game the X servers in order to create false impressions for its hit piece on Elon Musk. These allegations went viral after they were shared on X by Human Events’ Jack Posobiec.On Sunday, Republican Missouri Attorney General Andrew Bailey announced that his team is investigating left-leaning news organization Media Matters over allegations of criminal and civil violations.

This comes after Elon Musk announced that X-Corp will be launching a “thermonuclear lawsuit” against the company on claims that Media Matters enacted a “fraudulent attack” on X-Corp and in an attempt to “undermine freedom of speech and mislead advertisers.”

The specific allegations that Attorney General Bailey’s Office is investigating pertain to recent findings that Media Matters allegedly created fake social media accounts to game the X servers in order to create false impressions for its hit piece on Elon Musk. These allegations went viral after they were shared on X by Human Events’ Jack Posobiec.

OBSERVATION - Taking the fight directly to Soros funded MM, both civilly and criminally. This includes board members as well at MM. Evidence put forth by Musk seems to support the charges and places it on solid ground. These WEF sensitive corporations that pulled their ads based on this coordinated campaign may well be in a world of hurt as well - conspiracy. Break open the popcorn.

***
A new NBC national poll for the 2024 general election has Republican presidential candidate and former President Donald Trump beating President Joe Biden for the “first time” in the network’s “history,” according to NBC host Kristen Welker.

Welker was joined by national correspondent Steve Kornacki Sunday during the network’s show “Meet the Press” to discuss the latest polling for the 2024 general election. Kornacki stated that Trump now leads Biden by 2 points, holding at 46 percent.

OBSERVATION - I don’t given a lot of credence to polling, especially this early in the election cycle, but two things jump out bigly.

1. This is from a leftist leaning organization who has historically skewed their polls towards the left as a means to sway public opinion. The fact that they reported that Trump is leading indicates strongly that their ‘special sauce’ poll tactics are mot enough to over come Trump’s popularity.

2. That they would go forward and publish such a negative poll also strongly suggests that the powers that be may be trying to get biden to step down. Media has provided less and less cover for biden’s scandals and bungles over the past months.


Biden / Harris Watch –

biden got creepy with a young girl. . . . . . again.


China –

Taiwan reported renewed Chinese military activity around the island on Sunday, with nine aircraft crossing the sensitive median line of the Taiwan Strait and warships carrying out “combat readiness patrols.”

Democratically-governed Taiwan, which China claims as its own territory, has complained for the past four years of regular Chinese military patrols and drills near the island, as Beijing seeks to pressure Taipei over its sovereignty claims.
With Chinese President Xi Jinping in San Francisco last week for the Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit, where he met U.S. President Joe Biden, the scale of that military activity around Taiwan had scaled off. These incursions resumed Sunday following Xi’s return to China from the APEC summit.

OBSERVATION - Xi made happy with biden over the weekend, but that is a deception. Xi will do what it takes to seize Taiwan and that opportunity window is closing fast - especially if biden drops out of the election or is defeated, then China may strike sooner than later.

***
Taiwan holds presidential and parliamentary elections on Jan. 13, with the island’s fraught relations with China an important topic on the campaign trail.
OBSERVATION - China is hip deep in trying to influence the outcome of this election. if it goes against it, expect a serious response


North/South Korea –

The defense chiefs of South Korea and the United States on Monday unveiled an updated security strategy, the first in a decade, specifically designed to counter the growing threats emanating from North Korean nuclear weapons and other weapons of mass destruction.

“(The defense chiefs) recognized that the 2023 TDS revisions render it into a flexible and robust document that serves as a strategic framework to effectively deter and respond to advancing DPRK nuclear and other WMD and non-nuclear capabilities with strategic impacts,” read the joint statement of the annual Security Consultative Meeting, a key bilateral defense dialogue, held in Seoul.

OBSERVATION - Pretty standard, but will draw the ire of NK never the less.


Japan –

Japan has strongly condemned the hijacking of Japanese-operated cargo ship Galaxy Leader in the Red Sea by Iran-backed Houthi rebels.

The Yemeni militia claimed the vessel was Israeli, but a Japanese government spokesperson said the car carrier was operated by Nippon Yusen.

Japan’s chief cabinet secretary said it is working towards its release.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu blamed Iran, which backs the Houthi militia, for the hijacking.

Mr Netanyahu said neither the vessel nor the crew were Israeli, and called it an “Iranian attack on an international ship”.

Twenty-two people are believed to be on board the vessel which is thought to be British-owned.

Nippon Yusen said the Galaxy Leader was seized off the coast of Yemen on its way to India.


Russia -

WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022

CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Nov 12, 2023

Russia is struggling to gain the initiative on several fronts in easter Ukraine. Attacks to take Adviivka, located near occupied Donetsk has been their priority as well as further north. However, it is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine.

The Russian army has lost a considerable amount of armor/tanks and personnel in the fight to take Adviivka, causing that offensive to stall considerably and resort to “meat” attacks.

With the arrival of the muddy season, significant offensive actions by Russia are unlikely.

Ukrainian action has forced Russia to move forces laterally to meet the Ukraine advance - thinning critical portions of the line and making them vulnerable to assault.

Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. With the onset of winter, it is believed that Russian is shepherding its stockpile of missiles/drones for an effort to take down the Ukraine power grid as it did last year. This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage.

The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. Ukraine’s recent attacks on ships in Crimean harbors has forced the majority of the fleet to redeploying out of Crimea and to Russian bases, about 600 Km further away from the front lines.

Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace.

Logistics –

British intel: Russia will likely bring the Soviet-era M-55 high-altitude reconnaissance aircraft back into service. Max 70,000 ft ceiling.
NOTE - This plane in similar in some design aspects and use as the US SR-1 birds. Russia is seriously lacking airborne intelligence platforms to guide their war efforts. However unlike the US, Russia has not maintained nor upgraded these airframes to bring them into the era of modern war.


Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Much of eastern Ukraine will see their first accumulating snowfall of the season next week.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukrainian airstrike with JDAM at Russian base near Tarasivka of Kherson region.

Other than that, nothing really significant other than more fighting in the Kherson region.

Kherson Axis -
Things are becoming more interesting in the push across the Dniper River. It is being noted that it’s only 65km from the Ukrainian bridgehead at Krynky to occupied Crimea. Similar distance from the second bridgehead closer to Kherson. The old axiom comes into play - “he who gets there with the mostest first will win it”

Outlook —-
Weather dominated lull in most of the fighting, but that isn’t really stopping all of it. However, nothing significant expected in the near term.


Europe / NATO General –

France has successfully test-fired an M51.3 long-range ballistic missile, boosting the credibility of France’s nuclear deterrence capabilities, the defense ministry said on Sunday. The M51.3 missile is an upgraded version of the M51, a three-stage sea-land strategic ballistic missile designed to be launched from French Navy submarines. The M51 was first test-fired from a ground base in 2006 and from a submarine in 2010, the year it was commissioned.

***
Antifa held a demonstration in Madrid, Spain on Nov. 18 to oppose the conservatives protesting against the socialist government giving amnesty to leftist separatists.

Far more massive protests against the leftists in the Madrid govt continue, far outnumbering the Antifa elements.

OBSERVATION - Mobilization of Antifa elements, combined with other more radical leftist elements is raising the potential for inter-group violence in the near term. From what I’ve read, the amnesty for the leftists is not yet a done deal and something that the interim govt is not even permitted to do - because it is temporary. Initial impression I’ve read is that the Judiciary is not inclined favorably to such extra judicial grant of amnesty.

****
Finland is preparing to close its four remaining checkpoints on the border with Russia on the night of November 21-22 - Finnish media.

OBSERVATION - Russia continues to facilitate the movement of Somali and Syrian refugees toward the Baltic regions in a move designed to destabilize the countries in a manner much of the rest of europe has been destabilized.


ISRAEL –

Key overnight developments -

- Israel released videos showing hostages being brought into the Shifa Hospital forcibly by Hamas elements and hospital staff taking note, but no actions.

- Israel also released videos of one of the entrances and portions of what appears to be a much bigger bunker located beneath the Shifa hospital complex. Video stopped at a large blast door yet to be breached.

- IDF ground forces continued to move eastward from the coast while forces in moved south from the northern border region.

- The Indonesian Hospital is in the process of being surrounded and taken over in a manner similar to the Shifa hospital .

- Houthi terrorists have hijacked the cargo ship GALAXY LEADER.

GENERAL ——————————-

Hamas press notice - “We demand action to stop targeting civilians in schools protected under international law”
NOTE - Tons of evidence Hamas has been using schools for rocket launching and munitions storage.

***
Israeli army released for publication 2 videos from the Shifa Hamas HQ showing Hamas terorists bringing in kidnapped civilians (a Thai and Nepalese nationals) during the Simchat Tora Massacre on October 7th, the “medical staff” is clearly and willingly collaborating with the militants

Additionally, the army also says a medical report determined that a young Israeli woman soldier whose body was recovered last week had been injured in an air strike and then killed by Hamas in the hospital.

***
A journalist employed by NBC was arrested on Thursday on suspicion of inciting terrorism and identifying with a terrorist organization.

Marwat Al-Azza, a 45-year-old journalist, employed by the NBC television network and living in east Jerusalem, was arrested after four recent posts on her personal Facebook page regarding the October 7 terror attack by Hamas from the Gaza Strip, in which at least 1,200 people were murdered and 240 taken hostage.

In her investigation, she admitted to what was attributed to her.

***
There continues to be talk about a proposed hostage release / prisoner exchange with some sort of operational ‘pause’ by Israel. Israel is holding firm to its policy of unconditional hostage release.

GAZA FRONT ———————————-

Hamas announces the killing of 12 people in raids on the Indonesian hospital in the northern Gaza Strip. This Indonesian hospital is the next location of Hamas use and underground bunkers that the IDF is focusing on.

LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-

Israeli army says that earlier today Hezbollah targets were struck by fighter jets in Lebanon, also confirmed that multiple mortar shells and ATGMs were repeatedly launched in different areas along the border, Israeli army continues to retaliate

The Israeli army says it carried out preemptive artillery shelling in southern Lebanon this morning. A short while later, a number of rockets and mortars were fired from Lebanon at the northern communities of Arab al-Aramshe and Bar’am, as well as the Biranit base.

Hezbollah militia targeted the Israeli “Branit” barracks with heavy “Burkan” missiles.

WEST BANK——————————-

Continuing clashes between Palestinian militants and Israeli forces in Jenin camp.
Israeli forces arrested at least 38 Palestinians in the West Bank at dawn today (local)

“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————

Houthi made good their threat on any shipping associated with Israel. Overnight the GALAXY LEADER, a vehicle transport carrier, was attacked by Houthi militants off the coast of Yemen. GALAXY LEADER sails under Ray Shipping LTD; an Israeli based car transport service and was carrying cars that was sailing from Turkey to India. The reports say the’ve taken over the ship and have 22 hostages of which some are alleged to be Israelis*

Houthi rebels are believed to have used a helicopter raid to seize the cargo ship according to US officials.

Joe Biden took the Houthis off the Terror Watch List and then the Houthis attacked the U.S.

Following the hijacking of a ship today, Houthi spokesperson says the following types of ships will be targeted: Ships carrying Israeli flags. Ships operated by Israeli companies and ships owned by Israeli companies

INTERNATIONAL ——————————-

The Jordanian King warns of the disastrous effects of the ongoing war in Gaza, which is killing, defenseless civilians.
NOTE - The king of jordan forgets that these same ‘civilians’ also participated in the horrors of Oct 7th.

***
Indonesia’s Foreign Minister Retno Marsudi has condemned the alleged Israeli air strike on the Indonesian hospital in northern Gaza.
This morning, the Hamas-run health ministry in Gaza said 12 people were killed at the site. Israeli tanks were later seen entering the area.
“The attack is a clear violation of international humanitarian laws,” Marsudi said.

OBSERVATION - Again, allowing the use of the facilities by Hamas for military purposes voids international rules on protecting hospitals and other civilian facilities.

FORECAST ————————-

Bottom Line Up Front (BLUF) - The drama continues to center on various hospitals now that IDF has entered and is in the process of securing them. The location and exploration of the main bunker complexes is still in its early stages, but The Hamas command bunker below the hospital is reportedly as deep as 200 feet and consists of multiple levels with deep tunnels reaching out to other areas in N Gaza.

The Houthi seizure of the GALAXY LEADER is likely to prompt a military strike of some sort on Houthi infrastructure along the coast of the Red Sea. Intel and targeting is probably ongoing by both US and Israeli elements. Until this seizure, it seemed that Israel was willing to put up with sporadic drone and ballistic missile attacks that have been easily defeated. This opens up a new can of worms. Not sure Houthi’s really want to anger other nations on a screwed up hijacking.

Could be that Houthi’s are feeling pretty cocky and that the distance separating it from Israel is enough to grant it some degree of protection, but I wouldn’t count on it.

As the ship is operated by Japan and the crew non-israeli, it is likely that it will be released sooner than later, since Houthi’s desire Israeli hostages, not those from other countries. Once that happens, I expect some kind of military action against the houthi’s by Israel or the US or both.


Lebanon -

See Israel above.


Syria -

See Israel above on latest.


Central / South America General-

Javier Milei is the new president of Argentina. Sergio Massa has recognized his defeat and conceded. Leftists in Argentina are in tears tonight, sobbing as their 40 years of rule has come to an end.

Milei is considered to be the Argentina Trump.

OBSERVATION - His election was by a landslide and he is wildly popular. One of the platforms of his campaign was to eliminate elements of the government associate with the leftist agenda in the country. It will be a wild ride.



682 posted on 11/20/2023 8:01:46 AM PST by Godzilla (Never give up, never surrender . . . . . .)
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