Replies

The world is unraveling at an increased pace

Economy –

(FO) The United Auto Workers (UAW) Union reached a tentative agreement with Detroit’s Big Three automakers, which should boost labor’s leverage against U.S. corporations in other sectors. The tentative deals will raise top wages by 33% when factoring in cost-of-living adjustments.

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In a closely watched announcement Monday afternoon, the Treasury Department said it will be looking to borrow $776 billion thru the end of the year.

The Treasury said it also expects to borrow $816 billion between January and March.

The Treasury just borrowed $1.01 trillion in the recently ended July through September period, the highest ever for that quarter.

OBSERVATION - This is insanity - it appears that the regime is trying its best to bury the country in unrepeatable debt as quickly as possible. These numbers are absolutely HUGE.

CW2 / Domestic violence -

Over 100 professors from Columbia University signed a letter Monday defending students who openly supported Hamas’s terror attacks in Israel on October 7. What’s worse, instead of calling the acts of that day terrorism, they chose to use the phrase “military operations.”

OBSERVATION - This is incitement - pure and simple. What these ‘professors’ deliberately overlooked was their double standard. The attack by Hamas was a terrorist attack and if placed squarely under the so called “Rules of War” they were in gross violation of them.

Such condoning of bloodthirsty violence by the intellectual “elites” on our colleges and universities is contributing to the growing justification of violence directed towards the Jewish community in general and the US Jewish community in particular. IMHO, unless state govts nip this at the bud, we have a potential of seeing rooftop “Jews” in the near future, protecting their businesses, families and synagogues for these mindless, rampaging students and the Antifa attachments.

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Rick Wilson in a Rumble rant says someone will have to put a bullet in Donald Trump

OBSERVATION - I’ve noted that the potential for an attempted assassination on Trump, as well as other primary republican political candidates is exceptionally high. The marxist left is seeing the implosion of biden’s polling numbers and he’s dragging the left down with him. Remove Trump, there is no real successor among the other candidates and the republicans will break down into even more factions over a candidate - see the recent house speakership scrum for an example.

An assassination could very well trigger some on the right to retaliate, allowing the regime to get its justification for martial law and potentially shut down the elections by essentially arresting every Trump / republican.

Terrorism - Level is HIGH due to increased lone wolf threats.

A 22-year-old man, heavily armed and carrying a cache of explosives, was found dead at Glenwood Caverns Adventure Park on Saturday morning before the park opened to the public.

Diego Barajas Medina, 20, was found dead in a women’s bathroom at Glenwood Caverns Adventure Park by a maintenance crew on Saturday morning, before the park opened to the public. He died of a self-inflected gunshot wound to the head, Garfield County Coroner Robert Glassmire said. Authorities reported he was dressed in tactical clothing and body armor. His arsenal included an AR-style rifle, a handgun, multiple loaded magazines for each weapon, and explosives.

A message saying, “I am not a killer, I just wanted to get into the caves,” was written on a wall of the bathroom where Medina’s body was found lying on the floor, Garfield County Sheriff Lou Vallario said.

OBSERVATION - This is an unusual instance, no word yet as to if he killed himself rather than go on a rampage. Speculation is he changed his mind.

Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –

According to a Monday report, the Bataan Amphibious Readiness Group (ARG) was reassigned to the Red Sea with three Destroyers as escorts.

OBSERVATION - This is confusing, since yesterday the report was it was to join the USS Ford in the eastern Med.

POLITICAL FRONT –

SNAFU - Situation normal all fouled up.. . . . . .

Biden / Harris Watch –

BIDEN v. TELEPROMPTER: “American leadership and the undeniable rights endowed by our Creator that no Creator, no creation can take away...”

OBSERVATION - Honestly, he can’t even read a teleprompter anymore.

Illegal Immigration –

A federal judge has issued a temporary restraining order which blocks the Biden administration from cutting or removing razor wire deployed at the border by the state of Texas.

China –

China continues to issues statements in support of Iran against any attacks by Israel or the US.

Russia -

WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022

CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Sept 27, 2023

Russia is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine, relying on Russian doctrinal defense in depth to blunt the Ukrainian offensive. However, Russian forces continue increasingly stretched and undermanned, with increasingly insufficient artillery support.

Ukrainian action has forced Russia to move forces laterally to meet the Ukraine advance - thinning critical portions of the line and making them vulnerable to assault.

Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. Recent attacks indicate the Russia has started to produce its own Shahed drones with Iranian assistance. Russia capable of continued, though limited, attacks in this arena. The majority of Russian strikes are with these Iranian drones. Major targets are grain shipping facilities in the Odesa region as well as trying to hit logistical targets across the rest of the country.

Supplemental cruise missile attacks using old models will be occasionally used to supplement the drones.

The Russian Black Sea fleet is increasingly hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. Ukraine’s mixture of seaborne and airborne drones and anti-ship missiles beginning to render areas more or less off limits to Russia. The fleet is reportedly in the process of redeploying out of Crimea and moving east to Russian bases, about 600 Km further away from the front lines.

Russia is capable of launching small scale attacks in various sectors of company and small sized elements, but any large scale offensive action in the face of the heavy demands from defending against the Ukrainian offensive are essentially nil.

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putin continues to broaden the gap in Russian / Israeli relations calling Israel’s defensive actions criminal.

Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Continued cool, 50’s- 60’s with scattered rain.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Things relatively static overnight. Ukraine has retaken some the key tactical sites around Avdiivka it had earlier lost.

Continued fighting on the Tokmok and Bakhmut fronts.

Kherson Axis -
Reports of Ukraine forces expanding the bridgeheads across the Dniper River, now to a point where more reinforcements can cross at a faster pace.

OUTLOOK -
A lot of the news out of Ukraine has been muted by the news out of Gaza.

Hottest spot continues to be Avdiivka with indications that Ukraine is retaking territory lost to Russia during the past three weeks of its offensive.

Many are looking at the 5 month offensive by Ukraine as being a failure. The assessment in part points the finger at much delayed western support combined with the massive mining of the Russian defensive lines that worked to negate the Ukraine advantage in modern armor and tanks. I still expect to see continued Ukraine actions in the south primarily the Tokmok and Kherson fronts. The Kherson front shows promise against a vastly stretched out Russian foe. Weather is the biggest foe on both sides now.

Europe / NATO General –

Slovakia’s newly formed government has announced the deployment of hundreds of police officers and troops along the Hungarian border, to contain the growing number of migrants illegally crossing into the country.
Newly appointed populist Prime Minister Robert Fico said illegal migration must be controlled, warning that people linked to “terrorist” groups could otherwise enter the country.

He did not give details of the deployment, but he visited one of the border crossings late on Monday to review the measures.
“We want to send a clear signal that with the new government, a new approach to illegal migration has come,” said Interior Minister Matus Sutaj Estok.
Addressing reporters, he added that “massive forces” would be deployed to defend the border areas with Hungary that are not official crossing points.

OBSERVATION - The globalist EU powers that be want continued unrestricted migration of foreign groups from the middle east and Africa to continue unabated. They won a battle, with a leftist govt elected in Poland who vowed to open the floodgates. Slovakia OTOH sees what is happening in European countries, demonstrated so clearly by the massive pro-Hamas, pro-Islam rallies across many major European cities. They want nothing of it.

ISRAEL –

Key overnight developments -

- Netanyahu rejected calls for a ceasefire Monday, equating them to calls for Israel to surrender to Hamas.

- Massive Israeli airstrikes against northern Gaza continue

GENERAL ——————————-

Monday, combined IDF combat forces struck approximately 300 targets, including anti-tank missile and rocket launch posts below shafts, as well as military compounds inside underground tunnels belonging to the Hamas terrorist organization.

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Defense Minister Gallant: Israel is keeping most Air Force capabilities for a potential war vs. Hezbollah (via ynet alerts).

NOTE - There is likely a degree of propaganda in this statement. However, the premise is sound. Hezbollah has about 150,000 rockets and about 50,000 soldiers in Lebanon and Israel in its planning has factored in having to fight a multi front war. This statement implies that, what you see in Gaza is just a sample of Israel’s air power. Unconfirmed that 10 F16s are doing the bulk of Gaza strikes. That number seems low for the intensity and continuation of the strikes.

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Israeli air defense asset were busy overnight in the Eilat, southern Israel region as numerous drones and other unidentified targets were hit. Source of these appear to be Houthi rebels in Yemen.

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A female IDF soldier who had been kidnapped by Hamas on October 7 was freed during a ground operation in the Gaza Strip, the IDF and Shin Bet announced.

However, the family of Shani Louk, the German-Israeli woman seen in video being paraded around by Hamas men praising Allah, has confirmed she is dead. She was found beheaded

GAZA FRONT ———————————-

Initial pushes by Israel into Gaza consisted of one along the coast line. The second cutting across the central part of Gaza headed towards the coast line. Now the third has kicked off overnight in the northeastern corner of Gaza. These three avenues were reported on last week from the intensive recon in force as well as the later massive raids that provided a rolling start for the invasion. Penetration is now at least 5 km in some places.

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Unconfirmed, but likely reports indicate that the IDF is engaging in significant fighting in the Hamas tunnel network. This is the main cause of the slow, movement of forces into the strip. This is to be expected and part of the systematic destruction of Hamas.

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Hamas et al still manages to fire off rockets, but fewer and fewer.

LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-

The Israel Defense Force has announced that due to escalating fighting with Hezbollah on the border with Lebanon, the Israeli Air Force tonight has bombed a Hezbollah arms and munitions depot for the first time during this war as a warning to the terror organization.

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Hezbollah appears to be taking steps to cut mounting losses after dozens of operatives killed by Israel in recent weeks. They are allegedly deploying surface-to-air missiles to counter Israeli drones, and taking other measures according to Reuters.

NOTE - most Israeli counter strikes have taken out numerous squad sized elements - a drop in the bucket for a 50,000 strong contingent. However, such continued success by Israel appears to be having an effect on overall morale, thus Hezbollah is having to try to turn the tide.

SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-

Relatively quiet since IAF airstrikes hit Hezbollah and Syrian forces positions recently.

WEST BANK——————————-

The Israeli army continues a campaign of arrests and raids in the West Bank and Jerusalem

INTERNATIONAL ——————————-

Reports that Israel and the US are trying to work out some sort of agreement with Egypt to accept refugees on a temporary basis. Some rumors suggest that they will eventually be resettled in Canada. Egypt still maintains its refusal to accept any gazans.

FORECAST ————————-

Bottom Line Up Front (BLUF) - Things have reached a temporary plateau. Israel continues to push into Gaza in spite of all the Hamas bluster saying they are driving Israel back. The absence of such ‘successes’ on social media - and boy does Hamas like social media - strongly suggests that they are getting their arses handed to them. The Israeli push is slow in that it is a systematic clean out of Hamas fighters, facilities and tunnel network, while at the same time searching for hostages or intel on where they are being held.

All eyes continue to be on the reaction by Hezbollah, who’s leader is still planning to do a big speech this Friday. Full entrance by Hezbollah into the fight will change the dynamics of the situation significantly and could cause a rapid expansion of the fight, bringing it to Iran proper. if that occurs, its all downhill from there.

There will be continued calls for a ceasefire - something Israel has flatly rejected and is expected to continue to reject.

Also continued pleas concerning the Gaza hospitals - remember, military use by Hamas of these facilities is a breach of the laws of war and removes their protected status. My guess is that Israel will hit the underground works surrounding the hospitals and save the works under the hospital for the ground troops.

As always, this is a highly fluid situation and things can happen fast.

Iran –

Continued bluster and threats of an “earth shaking” response to any strikes by the west in response to Iranian aggression associated with the Gaza war.

OBSERVATION - Serious concerns rising that Iran may try to make the nuclear jump at this stage as a means of further deterrent.

Iraq -

US forces in the MiddleEast have been attacked by drones/rockets at least 23 times since October 17 - 14 in Iraq & 9 in Syria - per a senior US defense official “Most failed to reach their targets” per the official

OBSERVATION - Some analysts note that the restrained US counterstrikes are an effort to keep the situation from deteriorating. The militias at this stage seem to be looking for the one lucky strike in all their harassing fires.

Lebanon -

See Israel above.

Saudi Arabia –

The Saudi Arabian Armed Forces and Air Defense Sites across the country have reportedly been placed into a heightened state of readiness following clashes with Houthi Fighters over the last 24 Hours within the Jazan Region near the border with Yemen; as a result of clashes with the Iranian-backed terror group at least 4 Saudi soldiers have been reported to have been killed.

OBSERVATION - SA reliance on the west, particularly the US, for defensive systems like Patriot systems may be the cause for some of its rhetoric cooling of late.

Syria -

See Israel above on latest.

US forces in the Middle East have been attacked by drones/rockets at least 23 times since October 17 - 14 in Iraq & 9 in Syria - per a senior US defense official “Most failed to reach their targets” per the official

USAF has struck Iranian backed militia sites in response.

Venezuela -

Venezuela’s electoral court said it is suspending “all the effects” of the opposition party primary election and ordered the primary vote organizers to turn over all documents after Venezuelan President Maduro called the vote fraudulent.

OBSERVATION - One of the stipulations in the oil deal made recently by biden is that Venezuela would have open elections True to tyrannical form Maduro, is reneging on that deal.

Globalism / Great Reset –

Bill Gates is still pushing his digital ID programs that are essentially tools to that make “governments more efficient at what they are already doing,” according to the Financial Times, “and can be used as a tool to suppress or discriminate against certain citizens.” This time the Gates development and rollout of a government-backed digital ID program was announced in Kenya after a recent series of “closed-door meetings” with President Ruto. It includes a biometric vaccination system for newborns to replace birth certificates while also helping to track children from birth to 5 years old to ensure all children receive their vaccines.

OBSERVATION - This guy is taking an ever deepening plunge into the dark side.

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The International Monetary Fund (IMF) released its semi-annual “Global Financial Stability Report,” stressing that central banks around the world may need to keep interest rates high to battle inflation but higher rates will add pressure to economies.

OBSERVATION - They are also spreading hopium the there will be a ‘soft landing’ of the global economy as well. Continued high rates will continue to stress key market areas that can fail easier and easier as the press to stop inflation continues.

Economy –

Consumer confidence fell for the third straight month in October to its lowest level in five months, a key survey of U.S. households showed Tuesday.
The closely followed index of consumer confidence compiled by the Conference Board fell to 102.6 from a revised 104.3 in September. Both the assessment of the present situation and the outlook of consumers declined.
The expectations index fell slightly and remains below the threshold of 80 that historically signals a recession within the next year. The Conference Board describes consumer fears of a recession as “elevated” and says it expects a “short and shallow economic contraction” in the first half of next year.

OBSERVATION - The pocket books of Americans disagree with the happy talk from biden et al on the state of our economy.

CW2 / Domestic violence -

Continued anti -Israel protests, expected to pick up again as the weekend approaches. Conflict between LGBT supporters of Hamas and islamic radicals continue to develop rifts between the cooperation between the two groups.

Terrorism - Level is HIGH due to increased lone wolf threats.

WARNING - Iran through its supported proxy militias and organizations are saying that if Israel isn’t forced into cease fire by the 5th of November, they will launch all out attacks on Israel and its supporters. This includes threats against targets in the US as well as overseas.

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FBI Director Chris Wray says Iran has made assassination attempts against “dissidents and high-ranking current and former U.S. government officials, including right here on American soil.”

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Patrick Dai, a Cornell student, has been arrested for making online threats to Jewish students on campus. Accord to his Linkedin, He worked as a “safety officer” at Cornell. Dai faces a maximum term of five years in prison, a $250,000 fine, and a term of supervised release of up to three years if convicted.

Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –

Massive airlift continues to bring arms and materials into the middle east.

Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics –

Former VP at Pfizer, Dr. Mike Yeadon, expressed again outside the UK Parliament that mRNA-based COVID vaccines were designed intentionally to harm, maim, kill, and reduce human fertility.

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Evidence coming out that Fauci experimented with Covid for more than a year before outbreak

OBSERVATION - Increasing the pile of evidence that wuhan was a deliberate release into society and directed by this vile person.

POLITICAL FRONT –

IRS Commissioner Danny Werfel faced a grilling by lawmakers on Capitol Hill this past week, where he hinted that there’s a chance that the agency will—contrary to its repeated pledges—increase tax audits of Americans earning under $400,000.

The question of whether the IRS will use some of the $80 billion or so funding boost to increase tax enforcement of people making less than $400,000 has been a contentious issue.

IRS and Treasury Department officials have pledged not to increase audit rates for this group of Americans, while Republicans and others have argued that this pledge is either false or wishful thinking.

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has directed the IRS not to raise audit rates above historical levels for this group of taxpayers, while Mr. Werfel has repeatedly made the same pledge.

But a watchdog recently cast doubt on this promise, warning that Americans making less than $400,000 could inadvertently get caught in an enforcement dragnet because the IRS doesn’t have a clear definition of “high-income” and its enforcers use an outdated $200,000 high-income threshold as their default.

OBSERVATION - It wasn’t rocket science to realize that there aren’t enough superrich in this country to keep 18,000 gainfully occupied.

Illegal Immigration –

In Senate hearing, DHS Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas confirms over 600,000 known gotaways at the border in fiscal year 2023 while being questioned by Roger Marshall. Mayorkas also repeatedly refused to answer Marshall’s questions asking how many illegal immigrants have ties to known terror groups, saying only that DHS takes “appropriate enforcement action” to any national security threats. Marshall also asked when and if DHS would provide the countries of origin of people arrested at the border on the FBI terror watchlist - Mayorkas responded that that data could be provided in an “appropriate setting” (non public)

OBSERVATION - Why is this slime ball still in office? More blocking of critical information to congress and the American people.

China –

China’s manufacturing activity crashed in October, posting numbers far lower than the slight dip many outside observers expected.
Construction activity slowed as well, pointing to continued structural weakness in the Chinese economy – specifically, the weakness that Chinese consumer spending is not rebounding as quickly as the regime in Beijing expected after the end of brutal coronavirus lockdowns.

OBSERVATION - China’s economic woes continue and it is rippling throughout the global market, given the reliance on China for materials and goods that are still high post wuhan.

Russia -

WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022

CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Sept 27, 2023

Ukrainian action has forced Russia to move forces laterally to meet the Ukraine advance - thinning critical portions of the line and making them vulnerable to assault.

Supplemental cruise missile attacks using old models will be occasionally used to supplement the drones.

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Logistics –
An explosion of unknown cause has rocked one of Russia’s largest ammunition manufacturing plants, according to officials in central Russia’s Perm region, which lies about 1,000km east of Moscow.
“Windows and doors were broken [but] there are no victims, there is no threat to the populace,” a statement said. “The incident did not affect the plant’s production process.”
NOTE - How a major ammo plant can have a mega explosion and not affect the plant is mind boggling.

Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Continued cool, 50’s- 60’s with scattered rain.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Things relatively static overnight. Ukraine has retaken some the key tactical sites around Avdiivka it had earlier lost.

Continued fighting on the Tokmok and Bakhmut fronts.

Ukrainian Air Defense shot down 18 of 20 Shahed drones and Kh-59 cruise missile. Russian targeting western Ukraine and the Odesa regions. The Kremenchuk, Poltava region in eastern Ukraine was also targeted.

Tokmak Axis -.
Ukraine forces have consolidated critical high ground (elevation 142 M) west of Robotyne. Progress being made incrementally but steady in the Robotyne -Verbove battle space.

Avdiivka Front -
More analysis of the Russian attempt at an offensive at Avdiivka by geoconfirmed on X, vehicle losses noted.

99 Losses are from the first wave of the offensive:
Between 9 and 13 October.

94 losses are from the second wave of the offensive:
Between 14 and 23 October.

4 confirmed and 18 potential losses between 24 and 31 October.

Essentially 3 battalions lost in two waves of the offensive attacks in October. And Russia essentially has nothing to show for it.

OUTLOOK -
A lot of the news out of Ukraine has been muted by the news out of Gaza.

Hottest spot continues to be Avdiivka with indications that Ukraine is retaking territory lost to Russia during the past three weeks of its offensive.

ISRAEL –

Key overnight developments -

- Houthi leaders in Yemen announce enterance into the Gaza war, launched numerous ballistic missiles, cruise missiles and drones towards Israel.

- Increasing speculation that Hezbollah’s big announcement this Friday is to announce full scale war with Israel

- Israel encountering pockets of Hamas terrorists, resulting in fierce fighting.

- IAF continues to make steady progress to encircle Gaza City.

- Yemen Houthi announces it is at war with Israel.
NOTE - The Houthi are not the recognized rulers of Yemen, they do control most of the country.

GENERAL ——————————-

The Arrow air defense system intercepted a medium-range ballistic missile (MRBM) over the Red Sea likely inbound for Eilat in southern Israel.

RUMINT - Hezbollah and Iran have threatened that if the war does not end by dawn on Friday, the axis of resistance will be the side that directly intervenes in the war, as well as Hezbollah.

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Israel deployed warships in Red Sea to counter threats from Yemen. This is a defensive step, but some indicate that sooner or later things will start exploding in Yemen as well.

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The Hamas terror group is blocking hundreds of Americans who are stuck inside the Gaza Strip from leaving the territory, a senior defense official said Monday. The number is estimated to be about 500 US citizens. This by definition, makes them hostages.

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Hamas is the elected government of the Gaza Strip. It acts as a warlord gang, not as a government. It is essentially ISIS or al Qaeda with the trappings of a state wrapped around it. When asked about sheltering gazans in their underground network, a Hamas official replied that it is the responsibility of the United Nations to protect them.

GAZA FRONT ———————————-

Israel confirms it carried out airstrike at Jabalia refugee camp in Gaza, despite the presence of civilians, to kill senior Hamas commander. The bomb triggered substantial secondary explosions and resulting collapse of an underground tunnel network created a large crater.

According to Israeli Defense Officials, at least 2 Armored and Infantry Divisions consisting of over 20,000 IDF troops and hundreds of tanks and armored vehicles have entered the Northern Gaza Strip since the expansion of ground operations in the strip was announced on October 27th.
NOTE - Israel has a call-up of 360,000 Reservists on standby.

Israel appears to be attempting to encircle Gaza City and Northern Gaza from the south, north, and east. This is probably a strategy that Hamas did not expect.

The IDF is seemingly moving along Wadi Gaza towards the coast in an attempt to cut off north Gaza and surround Gaza City, while other units advance from the north near Beit Hanoun and Beit Lahia towns. The link below is a depiction of the approximate disposition of Israeli forces so far.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/F9y5GiNXMAEse-q?format=jpg&name=4096x4096

LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-

Hezbollah and Israel continue to trade fire across the border. Forest fires are growing in S Lebanon as a result of shelling.

SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-

Relatively quiet since IAF airstrikes hit Hezbollah and Syrian forces positions recently.

WEST BANK——————————-

The Israeli army continues a campaign of arrests and raids in the West Bank and Jerusalem.

INTERNATIONAL ——————————-

The Islamic Resistance in Iraq claims responsibility for 2 suicide drones targeted Al-Tanaf base that hosts US forces, on the Iraqi/Syrian borders. Other US bases in the region have also been attacked.

The Rafah crossing has opened from Gaza for the first time since the Hamas attack in Israel on Oct. 7th. A small number of wounded Palestinians are being taken to Egypt for treatment and some foreign nationals or dual passport holders are also leaving.

Egypt has deployed tanks and armored vehicles on the border with the Gaza Strip
The country fears the arrival of tens of thousands of refugees from the conflict zone and allows only trucks with humanitarian aid across the border, reports Times of Israel.
Earlier, the Egyptian authorities said they would not accept Palestinian refugees.
Egypt is reiterating that is will not accept general migration of Gaza arabs out of the strip. “We, the Egyptians, are ready to sacrifice millions of lives so that nobody approaches a grain of sand”
Dual nationality citizens have reportedly begun leaving Gaza via Rafah Crossing into Egypt.

Turkish Minister of Health, Fahrettin Koca: We have made all preparations to establish 20 field hospitals both in the area near the Rafah border crossing and at El Arish Airport. We are waiting for security and permits to be granted

Social media reveal the wreckage of a Houthi Quds cruise missile in the southern region of Mudawwara, Ma’an, Jordan, approximately 1,500 km away from Yemen. Houthis have been dropping hints about targeting the Shimon Peres Negev Nuclear Research Center in Dimona, Israel.
NOTE - Jordan earlier last week requested a US Patriot system.

Bolivia breaks off its diplomatic relations with Israel

FORECAST ————————-

Bottom Line Up Front (BLUF) - Things have reached a temporary plateau. Israel is continuing to press towards its objectives in Gaza, the only hindrance is the need to clear Hamas out methodically.

Once Gaza City is encircled, I would expect a similar, methodical push towards the center of the town. It will take months to achieve this.

Concern is ramping up over Hezbollah jumping in with both feet into the war. This potential Friday announcement has some Iranian proxy militias leaning forward in their foxholes, but I think the numbers are giving them pause.
Currently Israel has about 20K troops on the ground in Gaza - Israel is also sitting on 300K reserves, meaning that should Hezbollah get froggy, Israel has a substantial reserve force to address them. Also, the report that Israel has kept a significant amount of its aircraft power in reserve - just for Hezbollah.

The effect of Hezbollah and the army of resistance openly coming out is a definite increase in the scope of the fighting. And an increased threat of direct action by and against Iran. Again, it all depends on this statement on Friday.

This could be quite a chaotic weekend, keep alert.