The world is unraveling at an increased pace
Globalism / Great Reset –
Many links to events that support the WEF’s goals notes in the following sections.
Economy –
Assets in U.S. ESG-oriented funds continued to shrink in the third quarter of 2023, due to increasing withdrawals and poor market performance, a new Morningstar report reveals.
While Morningstar refers to “sustainable funds” in its report, the report defines such funds as those that focus on the three ideological causes that define ESG (Environmental, Social, Governance):
“The U.S. sustainable fund universe encompasses open-end funds and exchange-traded funds that focus on sustainability, impact, or environmental, social, and governance factors (per the prospectus).”
The report notes that the third quarter’s contraction in total sustainable/ESG fund assets extends a long-term trend of losses.
OBSERVATION - Cross reference with Globalism / Great Reset.
It has been shown for the past several years now that these ESG compliant investing have been money losers. Many states have been forcing pension managers to stop the ESG investing because of those losses. Mega WEF firms like BlackRock have pushed companies into ESG compliance - to the detriment of those companies financial standings. All part of the effort to cripple economic foundation from solid investments to scam investments - to force the great reset.
CW2 / Domestic violence -
The Black Hebrew Israelites battled the pro-Palestinian protesters in Chicago. Black Hebrew Israelites are a new religious movement claiming that African Americans are descendants of the ancient Israelites. FWIW, the SPLC has described the Black Hebrew Israelites as a hate group which supports segregation, Holocaust denial, homophobia and promotes a race war.
OBSERVATION - Violence from all sorts seem to be on the rise and I expect to see more as the Gaza war goes on.
***
One feature of the pro-Hamas protests in the US as well as some parts of the world, have been the LGBT+ support of Hamas and the claims that Islam welcomes their cause as well. This has been thought to be VERY strange given that in the islamic world, LGBT are common killed for their behavior. Their participation in recent protests may be serving as a way to gain acceptance by islam - under the ‘enemy of my enemy is my friend’ concept.
That is not working and islamic leadership is starting to rise up and condemn LGBT openly, threaten persecution and rejecting their support. What remains to be seen is how aggressively moslem protestors here will now act to exclude them from the protests. One factor that may work to force continued participation is $$$$ and the though is for the islamic Hamas supporters to continue to get $$, they have to allow LGBT to continue with them.
***
Pro-hamas protests continued across parts of the country over the weekend. NYC was particularly hit with high profile actions, one closed the Brooklyn Bridge and another shut down Grand Central Station.
Terrorism - Level is HIGH due to increased lone wolf threats.
CROSS REFERENCE TO CW2 AS WELL — Numerous law enforcement and other agencies like the FBI have been alerted and are currently on the scene at Cornell University due to numerous threats against Jews at the University. Some of the posts have even mentioned the possibility of extreme violence. As a result, they have advised students and staff to avoid the building as a precautionary measure this is currently under investigation .
Posting of one of the threats state -
“Israel deserved 10/7, the genocidal fascist zionist regime will be destroyed. râpe and kill all the jew women, before they birth more jewish hitlers. jews are excrement on the face of the earth. no jew civilian is innocent of genocide.”
Cornel has been a focal point of Jewish hatred since the attacks of Oct 7. A brief timeline -
October 11: Cornell wins HEED Award for its commitment to diversity and inclusion
Oct. 15: Cornell professor calls the Hamas massacre “exhilarating”
Oct. 25: Cornell’s campus is covered with graffiti targeted at Jewish students
Oct. 29: Cornell’s Jewish students put on lockdown over death threats
The incitement of violence against Jewish students on campus is out of control and none of the universities are doing anything to address it. These universities and colleges have unashamedly endorsed and condoned physical threats to Jews on their campuses - encouraging these kinds of threats. Recently Jewish students at another college had to get locked inside a library to avoid physical harm from another group of pro-hamas protestors.
***
Concerns are rising regarding attacks on the power grid. Some watchers are noting an increase in the number of attacks over the past couple years. These groups are trying to attribute the attacks to white supremest, neo-Nazis.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
The Bataan Amphibious-Ready Group consisting of the USS Bataan (LHD-5) and USS Carter Hall (LSD-50) as well as roughly 2,000 Marines with the 26th Marine Expeditionary Unit has now being ordered to immediately deploy to the eastern Mediterranean after recently entering the Red Sea near Yemen; once crossing the Suez Canal into the Mediterranean she will link-up with the remainder of the ARG, the USS Mesa Verde (LPD-19) who has been underway in the Eastern Mediterranean for the last week or so, where they will then await further orders.
***
USNS William McLean entered the Med to join Laramie and Medgar Evers. The ships mentioned are part of the United States Navy’s Military Sealift Command (MSC) fleet. These are not traditional combat ships but are auxiliary ships used for various logistics and support roles, such as replenishing other naval vessels with fuel, ammunition, and supplies.
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics –
Older adults who received last year’s COVID booster and a high-dose version of the flu vaccine in the same visit may have a potential increased risk of stroke, according to a new FDA-funded study. However, experts urge that these results were preliminary.
OBSERVATION - Also expect the results to be down played by a large factor.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Lots happening but I don’t have time to get into details. Trump faces legal issues by biased judges, biden crime syndicate gets hit with more damming evidence, etc.
Nov 17 deadline on the budget is fast approaching.
Watching the developing court case in Colorado attempting to keep Trump off the ballot.
Biden / Harris Watch –
World burns, biden fiddles.
Cyber attacks/warfare –
Illegal Immigration –
CROSS REFERENCE TO CW2 AND TERRORISM AS WELL - Henchmen for Venezuela’s dictator and many of the South American country’s worst criminals have crossed over the US border and are now causing chaos in major American cities, including Dallas, Miami and Chicago, multiple sources tell the DailyMail.com.
In Dallas, the Venezuelan neighborhood known as ‘Villa Dallas’ has descended into mayhem. For months, once peaceful apartment complexes have been the scene of illegal street races, beatings, shootings and extortion attempts.
Residents, overwhelmingly migrants who recently made the harrowing trek through several countries to reach America and are seeking asylum, pointed to videos of fights between armed men, broken windows and reckless drivers speeding through parking lots.
At least 334,914 Venezuelan citizens have crossed into the US in fiscal year 2023, according to US Customs and Border Protection statistics.
In the month of September alone, 72,352 Venezuelans were encountered at US international crossings— making citizens from the South American country the largest nationality arrested for illegally entering the US. For the first time ever, Mexicans citizens were replaced as the top nationality along the border.
OBSERVATION - Many are the voices that have warned that this was about to happen and was starting to happen. Now overwhelmed police forces have this to deal with as well.
China –
A Hong Kong High Court judge has given crisis-hit Chinese property giant Evergrande one last chance to come up with a new deal over its huge debts or face liquidation.
A winding-up hearing, initially scheduled for Monday, was adjourned to 4 December.
Justice Linda Chan said it would be the last hearing before a decision is made.
Evergrande is the world’s most indebted property developer with more than $325bn (£268.4bn) of total liabilities.
It defaulted on its debts two years ago and has been working on a new repayment plan ever since.
Justice Chan said Evergrande had to come up with a “concrete” proposal otherwise it was likely the company would be wound up. A liquidator would still be able negotiate with creditors, she added.
Evergrande did not immediately respond to a BBC request for comment.
Apart from deciding which lenders get priority in a liquidation, there is also question of who will finish the homes that more than a million Chinese people are still waiting for Evergrande to hand over.
https://www.bbc.com/news/business-67258934
OBSERVATION - Evergrande is the largest of the property giants facing the same economic reality from the crashing Chinese market. Analysts are concerned that the Chinese leadership will deny that it is ‘too big to fail’ and do nothing - an action that will hammer foreign investors and turn them cold towards other investments in China.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Sept 27, 2023
Russia is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine, relying on Russian doctrinal defense in depth to blunt the Ukrainian offensive. However, Russian forces continue increasingly stretched and undermanned, with increasingly insufficient artillery support.
Ukrainian action has forced Russia to move forces laterally to meet the Ukraine advance - thinning critical portions of the line and making them vulnerable to assault.
Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. Recent attacks indicate the Russia has started to produce its own Shahed drones with Iranian assistance. Russia capable of continued, though limited, attacks in this arena. The majority of Russian strikes are with these Iranian drones. Major targets are grain shipping facilities in the Odesa region as well as trying to hit logistical targets across the rest of the country.
Supplemental cruise missile attacks using old models will be occasionally used to supplement the drones.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is increasingly hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. Ukraine’s mixture of seaborne and airborne drones and anti-ship missiles beginning to render areas more or less off limits to Russia. The fleet is reportedly in the process of redeploying out of Crimea and moving east to Russian bases, about 600 Km further away from the front lines.
Russia is capable of launching small scale attacks in various sectors of company and small sized elements, but any large scale offensive action in the face of the heavy demands from defending against the Ukrainian offensive are essentially nil.
*****
The predominantly moslem region of Dagestan erupted into a mass lynch mob, seeking jews in hotels and buses before storming the airport upon hearing of an impending arrival of an Israeli flagged airliner. The mob attempted to enter the plane but were unsuccessful.
The Russian National Guard and Security Forces stormed the tarmac at Makhachkala International Airport. Fighting broke out between the mob and guardsmen. 60 rioters were detained at Mahachkala airport, 9 policemen wounded.
Kremlin claims that the events around Makhachkala Airport in Dagestan yesterday were caused by an “external influence”
These riots reflect the tip of the iceberg that is rising anti-Semitism that is growing rapidly in Russia.
Russian Personnel Issues –-
Various pro-Russian channels report that the Russian commander of the Dnipro front in Kherson, Colonel General Oleg Makarevich, has been relieved from his post.
They claim that he failed to report an accurate picture of the situation on the ground.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Continued cool, 50’s- 60’s with scattered rain.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
In western Ukraine, air defense shot down 12 Shahed drones and 2 Kh-59 missiles overnight
Russians continue to push against the Avdiivka, some estimates of over 4000 dead Russians with probably three times that wounded over the past couple weeks.
Continued fighting on the Tokmok and Bakhmut fronts.
Kherson Axis -
Ukraine forces have captured a small town and expanded its bridgehead on the left bank of the Dniper River.
Avdiivka Front -
Unconfirmed reports that Ukraine has committed reserves to the defense of Avdiivka, launching a big counter attack on the northern and southwestern margins.
The unconfirmed reports of the action are coming from both from Ukraine and Russian sides.
Crimean front —
17 Russian servicemen were wounded as result of attack at air defense unit in Olenivka, occupied Crimea. Smoke observed in Sevastopol and an aerial alert, Kerch bridge has been also closed.
OUTLOOK -
A lot of the news out of Ukraine has been muted by the news out of Gaza.
Hottest spot continues to be Avdiivka, but right now the fog of war makes things uncertain.
Low numbers of Russian deep attacks by drones and missiles continues to infer that they are saving up for a later winter blitz against Ukraine power grid.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- First air strike in the west bank in over 20 years.
- Israeli armor formation reach the main N-S road south of Gaza city.
- Israeli armor units push southward along the coast in N Gaza.
- Level of fighting is increasing along the Lebanese border.
GENERAL ——————————-
This next is kinda long but bear with it - provides insight
Khaled Mashaal, a senior Hamas figure, demanded a multi-front storming of Israel, calling for greater involvement from Hezbollah and other supporters of the resistance.
He emphasizes the importance of collective action, stating:
“It’s in all of our best interest to enter this war together; this is how history is made.”
Mashaal also said that he believes that history is shaped by strategic and bold actions, not limited ones.
His call brought various, not so nice responses from across the arab world.
Wa’aem Wahab, the head of the Lebanese Arab Unification Party, responds to Mashaal’s call saying:
“I ask our brother Mashaal, if he has the 30 billion dollars it will cost for the war, then we welcome it, and let’s go in and do it.”
Faisal Abd el Sater, a political analyst aligning with Hezbollah, responds by saying:
“It’s not up to you, a person who lives in a hotel in a Gulf country, to make demands like this.”
He also notes that Mashaal’s name is generally not well received in their society.
Another Hezbollah-aligned political analyst criticizes Mashaal’s intentions, sarcastically says:
“Mashaal, who enjoys the comforts of a 7-star hotel, is calling for Lebanon to bombard Israel with rockets.”
OBSERVATION - The top Hamas leaders are residing in Qatar, with the three main leaders being reported as being billionaires and living a luxury life absent the threat from the current way. These arab/islamic responses condemn the apparent leading from the far rear, willing for others to die while they live the fat life. Clearly shows that support for Hamas is not as firm as Hamas may have once thought.
GAZA FRONT ———————————-
IDF ground operations in Gaza continued and expanded overnight:
IDF says that over the past day it carried out strikes against some 600 sites in the Gaza Strip.
An IAF aircraft—guided by ground forces—struck a Hamas post and the 20+ terrorist operatives in it.
Soldiers spotted armed terrorists and an anti-tank missile launching post near the Al-Azhar University and guided an IAF fighter jet to strike them.
IDF forces eliminated multiple terrorists barricaded within civilian buildings and terrorist tunnels who attempted to attack the forces.
Israeli forces have reached the Salah al-Din road, the main artery of the Gaza Strip and the main road leading to Gaza city. It appears that this axis goal is to reach the sea which will effectively cut the Gaza Strip in half and then securing the perimeter along the Wadi Gaza.
Israeli army says that forces operating in the Gaza Strip killed several Hamas commanders, including the head of the naval forces in central Gaza, the head of the ATGM array in Tuffah, and a senior operative involved in weapon manufacturing
Hamas et al still managing to launch some rockets. Estimates now that 8000+ have been fires since Oct 7.
LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Hezbollah rockets have intensified in northern Israel as the Israeli military advances deeper into Gaza. Terrorists in Lebanon fired a salvo of rockets at northern Israel on Sunday evening, setting off air raid sirens in Kiryat Shmona and the Upper Galilee region.
“Following the initial report of alerts in the northern region, about ten launches were identified that crossed from Lebanese territory into Israeli territory,” the Israel Defense Forces said.
“The IDF is attacking in Lebanese territory in response to the shooting,” added the statement.
***
Circulating video shows the Secretary General of Hezbollah, Sayed Hassan Nasrallah, passing in front of a Hezbollah flag. It is an alert to an announced speech by Nasrallah to be given this coming Friday. Nasrallah has been silent since the Gaza war began on Oct 7th, so his speech will either announce full offensive actions by Hezbollah or look to some way to back out of its promises to Hamas to enter the war upon the invasion of Gaza.
SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
The Israeli army says it has identified several launches from Syria. The projectiles fell in open areas and the Israeli army is responding with artillery fire.
Israeli missiles hit the military storage facility at Al-Jamou’ in the western countryside of Daraa, where Iranian militias are stationed.
Syrian State Media is reporting that the Headquarters for the 112th Mechanized Brigade of the Syrian Army in the city of Nawa has been attacked by Israeli combat aircraft which resulted in significant damage and casualties.
Syria/Iraq: Some local sources reporting more than half a dozen strikes by aircraft on the border last night targeting a convoy of trucks. No confirmation from CENTCOM or officials yet, but something definitely went bang last night on the Iraq/Syria border. Reports of building and vehicles on fire after two strikes. There are follow-on reports of five rockets, originating from Iranian militias stationed near the city of Al-Mayadeen, targeted the Al-Omar field base after these airstrikes.
Israel attacked two positions belonging to the Syrian Arab Army (SAA) in Daraa, southern Syria, yesterday in response to the firing of rockets at Israel.
The Iranian backed militias are still mostly using harassing attacks, nothing significantly masses since their first attacks a week ago.
WEST BANK——————————-
Israeli air strike in Jenin, West Bank. First in over 20 years. Strike consisted of a missile(s) fired by a drone and not the massive explosive bombs being used in Gaza.
Ongoing Israeli operations to seize associated terrorists.
INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Unconfirmed report of an apparent interception of a ballistic missile over the Red Sea. Has been denied by Israel.
***
Jordan has asked the US to deploy Patriot air defense systems on its territory to help strengthen its border defenses
FORECAST ————————-
Bottom Line Up Front (BLUF) - Israel continues its apparently systematic attack in N Gaza. Tactic is neutralizing Hamas’ attempts to pop out of its underground bunkers. They are working their way eventually to surround Gaza City - the main site of Hamas power and military facilities. They have some in S Gaza, but those locations are too far away from major Israeli cities to be much use for their short ranged rockets. Israel, once the north has been secured, may shift progressively to the south to hit Hamas reminants hiding there.
The role that Hezbollah will play is uncertain pending Nasrallah speech this Friday. The literal hell that Israel has unleashed on Gaza and the potential for that wrath to reach them may well have them making second thoughts.
They may also be questioning how the US/European fleets in the eastern Med are going to respond to any Hezbollah missile/rocket barrage, and are they willing to pay the double price of US intervention combined with Israeli counter strikes. Israel has only committed about 1/3 of its called up forces in Gaza, leaving a sizable force to go into Lebanon should the need require - another factor Hezbollah has to consider. Israel this time around will not go blindly as they did the last go round and get caught in kill zones.
Tied into Hezbollah’s decision is the pushing by Iran. If Hezbollah enters the war, Iran will be forced to support them - increasing the potential for escalating the situation. US THAAD and Patriot systems across the middle east, along with the Ike CSG and other USAF and ground forces could make life miserable for the imans. We may see better on Friday what they plan to do.
As always, this is a highly fluid situation and things can happen fast.
Iran –
Protests Erupt in Tehran Following the Death of Armita Geravand Demonstrators in Tehran can be heard chanting “down with child-killers” and “down with the Islamic Republic of Iran” from their balconies. These protests were sparked on the first night after the tragic passing of 16-year-old Armita Geravand, who was beaten into a coma by morality police for refusing to cover her hair in public.
OBSERVATION - Iran had major protests a couple years ago for similar assaults and deaths of women who refused to cover their head. Not sure if this will gain enough traction to be a repeat, but it occurs at a time when Iran is focused on the Gaza war and trying to direct its minions against Israel and the US.
****
Iran’s foreign ministry spokesperson said Monday the U.S. should refrain from blaming Tehran for Hamas’ Oct. 7 attacks on Israel.
“Stop it,” Nasser Kanaani said, when asked by a journalist about statements by U.S. officials, including President Joe Biden, accusing Iran in relation to developments in Gaza.
OBSERVATION - If the shoe fits . . . .
Iraq -
See Israel above re: iranian backed militias attacks on US forces in Iraq.
Lebanon -
See Israel above.
Syria -
See Israel above on latest.
I don't believe there's ever been a time when 'protests' worked in a totalitarian hellhole. For a citizen's protest movement to bring about change the leaders must have a conscience - the Mullahs have none.
Thank you for. All the info. Tremendously enlightening
The world is unraveling at an increased pace
Economy –
(FO) The United Auto Workers (UAW) Union reached a tentative agreement with Detroit’s Big Three automakers, which should boost labor’s leverage against U.S. corporations in other sectors. The tentative deals will raise top wages by 33% when factoring in cost-of-living adjustments.
***
In a closely watched announcement Monday afternoon, the Treasury Department said it will be looking to borrow $776 billion thru the end of the year.
The Treasury said it also expects to borrow $816 billion between January and March.
The Treasury just borrowed $1.01 trillion in the recently ended July through September period, the highest ever for that quarter.
OBSERVATION - This is insanity - it appears that the regime is trying its best to bury the country in unrepeatable debt as quickly as possible. These numbers are absolutely HUGE.
CW2 / Domestic violence -
Over 100 professors from Columbia University signed a letter Monday defending students who openly supported Hamas’s terror attacks in Israel on October 7. What’s worse, instead of calling the acts of that day terrorism, they chose to use the phrase “military operations.”
OBSERVATION - This is incitement - pure and simple. What these ‘professors’ deliberately overlooked was their double standard. The attack by Hamas was a terrorist attack and if placed squarely under the so called “Rules of War” they were in gross violation of them.
Such condoning of bloodthirsty violence by the intellectual “elites” on our colleges and universities is contributing to the growing justification of violence directed towards the Jewish community in general and the US Jewish community in particular. IMHO, unless state govts nip this at the bud, we have a potential of seeing rooftop “Jews” in the near future, protecting their businesses, families and synagogues for these mindless, rampaging students and the Antifa attachments.
***
Rick Wilson in a Rumble rant says someone will have to put a bullet in Donald Trump
OBSERVATION - I’ve noted that the potential for an attempted assassination on Trump, as well as other primary republican political candidates is exceptionally high. The marxist left is seeing the implosion of biden’s polling numbers and he’s dragging the left down with him. Remove Trump, there is no real successor among the other candidates and the republicans will break down into even more factions over a candidate - see the recent house speakership scrum for an example.
An assassination could very well trigger some on the right to retaliate, allowing the regime to get its justification for martial law and potentially shut down the elections by essentially arresting every Trump / republican.
Terrorism - Level is HIGH due to increased lone wolf threats.
A 22-year-old man, heavily armed and carrying a cache of explosives, was found dead at Glenwood Caverns Adventure Park on Saturday morning before the park opened to the public.
Diego Barajas Medina, 20, was found dead in a women’s bathroom at Glenwood Caverns Adventure Park by a maintenance crew on Saturday morning, before the park opened to the public. He died of a self-inflected gunshot wound to the head, Garfield County Coroner Robert Glassmire said. Authorities reported he was dressed in tactical clothing and body armor. His arsenal included an AR-style rifle, a handgun, multiple loaded magazines for each weapon, and explosives.
A message saying, “I am not a killer, I just wanted to get into the caves,” was written on a wall of the bathroom where Medina’s body was found lying on the floor, Garfield County Sheriff Lou Vallario said.
OBSERVATION - This is an unusual instance, no word yet as to if he killed himself rather than go on a rampage. Speculation is he changed his mind.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
According to a Monday report, the Bataan Amphibious Readiness Group (ARG) was reassigned to the Red Sea with three Destroyers as escorts.
OBSERVATION - This is confusing, since yesterday the report was it was to join the USS Ford in the eastern Med.
POLITICAL FRONT –
SNAFU - Situation normal all fouled up.. . . . . .
Biden / Harris Watch –
BIDEN v. TELEPROMPTER: “American leadership and the undeniable rights endowed by our Creator that no Creator, no creation can take away...”
OBSERVATION - Honestly, he can’t even read a teleprompter anymore.
Illegal Immigration –
A federal judge has issued a temporary restraining order which blocks the Biden administration from cutting or removing razor wire deployed at the border by the state of Texas.
China –
China continues to issues statements in support of Iran against any attacks by Israel or the US.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Sept 27, 2023
Russia is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine, relying on Russian doctrinal defense in depth to blunt the Ukrainian offensive. However, Russian forces continue increasingly stretched and undermanned, with increasingly insufficient artillery support.
Ukrainian action has forced Russia to move forces laterally to meet the Ukraine advance - thinning critical portions of the line and making them vulnerable to assault.
Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. Recent attacks indicate the Russia has started to produce its own Shahed drones with Iranian assistance. Russia capable of continued, though limited, attacks in this arena. The majority of Russian strikes are with these Iranian drones. Major targets are grain shipping facilities in the Odesa region as well as trying to hit logistical targets across the rest of the country.
Supplemental cruise missile attacks using old models will be occasionally used to supplement the drones.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is increasingly hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. Ukraine’s mixture of seaborne and airborne drones and anti-ship missiles beginning to render areas more or less off limits to Russia. The fleet is reportedly in the process of redeploying out of Crimea and moving east to Russian bases, about 600 Km further away from the front lines.
Russia is capable of launching small scale attacks in various sectors of company and small sized elements, but any large scale offensive action in the face of the heavy demands from defending against the Ukrainian offensive are essentially nil.
*****
putin continues to broaden the gap in Russian / Israeli relations calling Israel’s defensive actions criminal.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Continued cool, 50’s- 60’s with scattered rain.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Things relatively static overnight. Ukraine has retaken some the key tactical sites around Avdiivka it had earlier lost.
Continued fighting on the Tokmok and Bakhmut fronts.
Kherson Axis -
Reports of Ukraine forces expanding the bridgeheads across the Dniper River, now to a point where more reinforcements can cross at a faster pace.
OUTLOOK -
A lot of the news out of Ukraine has been muted by the news out of Gaza.
Hottest spot continues to be Avdiivka with indications that Ukraine is retaking territory lost to Russia during the past three weeks of its offensive.
Many are looking at the 5 month offensive by Ukraine as being a failure. The assessment in part points the finger at much delayed western support combined with the massive mining of the Russian defensive lines that worked to negate the Ukraine advantage in modern armor and tanks. I still expect to see continued Ukraine actions in the south primarily the Tokmok and Kherson fronts. The Kherson front shows promise against a vastly stretched out Russian foe. Weather is the biggest foe on both sides now.
Europe / NATO General –
Slovakia’s newly formed government has announced the deployment of hundreds of police officers and troops along the Hungarian border, to contain the growing number of migrants illegally crossing into the country.
Newly appointed populist Prime Minister Robert Fico said illegal migration must be controlled, warning that people linked to “terrorist” groups could otherwise enter the country.
He did not give details of the deployment, but he visited one of the border crossings late on Monday to review the measures.
“We want to send a clear signal that with the new government, a new approach to illegal migration has come,” said Interior Minister Matus Sutaj Estok.
Addressing reporters, he added that “massive forces” would be deployed to defend the border areas with Hungary that are not official crossing points.
OBSERVATION - The globalist EU powers that be want continued unrestricted migration of foreign groups from the middle east and Africa to continue unabated. They won a battle, with a leftist govt elected in Poland who vowed to open the floodgates. Slovakia OTOH sees what is happening in European countries, demonstrated so clearly by the massive pro-Hamas, pro-Islam rallies across many major European cities. They want nothing of it.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Netanyahu rejected calls for a ceasefire Monday, equating them to calls for Israel to surrender to Hamas.
- Massive Israeli airstrikes against northern Gaza continue
GENERAL ——————————-
Monday, combined IDF combat forces struck approximately 300 targets, including anti-tank missile and rocket launch posts below shafts, as well as military compounds inside underground tunnels belonging to the Hamas terrorist organization.
***
Defense Minister Gallant: Israel is keeping most Air Force capabilities for a potential war vs. Hezbollah (via ynet alerts).
NOTE - There is likely a degree of propaganda in this statement. However, the premise is sound. Hezbollah has about 150,000 rockets and about 50,000 soldiers in Lebanon and Israel in its planning has factored in having to fight a multi front war. This statement implies that, what you see in Gaza is just a sample of Israel’s air power. Unconfirmed that 10 F16s are doing the bulk of Gaza strikes. That number seems low for the intensity and continuation of the strikes.
***
Israeli air defense asset were busy overnight in the Eilat, southern Israel region as numerous drones and other unidentified targets were hit. Source of these appear to be Houthi rebels in Yemen.
***
A female IDF soldier who had been kidnapped by Hamas on October 7 was freed during a ground operation in the Gaza Strip, the IDF and Shin Bet announced.
However, the family of Shani Louk, the German-Israeli woman seen in video being paraded around by Hamas men praising Allah, has confirmed she is dead. She was found beheaded
GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Initial pushes by Israel into Gaza consisted of one along the coast line. The second cutting across the central part of Gaza headed towards the coast line. Now the third has kicked off overnight in the northeastern corner of Gaza. These three avenues were reported on last week from the intensive recon in force as well as the later massive raids that provided a rolling start for the invasion. Penetration is now at least 5 km in some places.
***
Unconfirmed, but likely reports indicate that the IDF is engaging in significant fighting in the Hamas tunnel network. This is the main cause of the slow, movement of forces into the strip. This is to be expected and part of the systematic destruction of Hamas.
***
Hamas et al still manages to fire off rockets, but fewer and fewer.
LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
The Israel Defense Force has announced that due to escalating fighting with Hezbollah on the border with Lebanon, the Israeli Air Force tonight has bombed a Hezbollah arms and munitions depot for the first time during this war as a warning to the terror organization.
***
Hezbollah appears to be taking steps to cut mounting losses after dozens of operatives killed by Israel in recent weeks. They are allegedly deploying surface-to-air missiles to counter Israeli drones, and taking other measures according to Reuters.
NOTE - most Israeli counter strikes have taken out numerous squad sized elements - a drop in the bucket for a 50,000 strong contingent. However, such continued success by Israel appears to be having an effect on overall morale, thus Hezbollah is having to try to turn the tide.
SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
Relatively quiet since IAF airstrikes hit Hezbollah and Syrian forces positions recently.
WEST BANK——————————-
The Israeli army continues a campaign of arrests and raids in the West Bank and Jerusalem
INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Reports that Israel and the US are trying to work out some sort of agreement with Egypt to accept refugees on a temporary basis. Some rumors suggest that they will eventually be resettled in Canada. Egypt still maintains its refusal to accept any gazans.
FORECAST ————————-
Bottom Line Up Front (BLUF) - Things have reached a temporary plateau. Israel continues to push into Gaza in spite of all the Hamas bluster saying they are driving Israel back. The absence of such ‘successes’ on social media - and boy does Hamas like social media - strongly suggests that they are getting their arses handed to them. The Israeli push is slow in that it is a systematic clean out of Hamas fighters, facilities and tunnel network, while at the same time searching for hostages or intel on where they are being held.
All eyes continue to be on the reaction by Hezbollah, who’s leader is still planning to do a big speech this Friday. Full entrance by Hezbollah into the fight will change the dynamics of the situation significantly and could cause a rapid expansion of the fight, bringing it to Iran proper. if that occurs, its all downhill from there.
There will be continued calls for a ceasefire - something Israel has flatly rejected and is expected to continue to reject.
Also continued pleas concerning the Gaza hospitals - remember, military use by Hamas of these facilities is a breach of the laws of war and removes their protected status. My guess is that Israel will hit the underground works surrounding the hospitals and save the works under the hospital for the ground troops.
As always, this is a highly fluid situation and things can happen fast.
Iran –
Continued bluster and threats of an “earth shaking” response to any strikes by the west in response to Iranian aggression associated with the Gaza war.
OBSERVATION - Serious concerns rising that Iran may try to make the nuclear jump at this stage as a means of further deterrent.
Iraq -
US forces in the MiddleEast have been attacked by drones/rockets at least 23 times since October 17 - 14 in Iraq & 9 in Syria - per a senior US defense official “Most failed to reach their targets” per the official
OBSERVATION - Some analysts note that the restrained US counterstrikes are an effort to keep the situation from deteriorating. The militias at this stage seem to be looking for the one lucky strike in all their harassing fires.
Lebanon -
See Israel above.
Saudi Arabia –
The Saudi Arabian Armed Forces and Air Defense Sites across the country have reportedly been placed into a heightened state of readiness following clashes with Houthi Fighters over the last 24 Hours within the Jazan Region near the border with Yemen; as a result of clashes with the Iranian-backed terror group at least 4 Saudi soldiers have been reported to have been killed.
OBSERVATION - SA reliance on the west, particularly the US, for defensive systems like Patriot systems may be the cause for some of its rhetoric cooling of late.
Syria -
See Israel above on latest.
US forces in the Middle East have been attacked by drones/rockets at least 23 times since October 17 - 14 in Iraq & 9 in Syria - per a senior US defense official “Most failed to reach their targets” per the official
USAF has struck Iranian backed militia sites in response.
Venezuela -
Venezuela’s electoral court said it is suspending “all the effects” of the opposition party primary election and ordered the primary vote organizers to turn over all documents after Venezuelan President Maduro called the vote fraudulent.
OBSERVATION - One of the stipulations in the oil deal made recently by biden is that Venezuela would have open elections True to tyrannical form Maduro, is reneging on that deal.