Sooooo much out there, that I’m having to put the front burner items here. I’m monitoring the other areas but the whole Gaza war and related are swamping the feeders and currently have a very great potential to impact the US in multiple ways. Key are CW2 related protests/violence as well as any US military involvement. Economic factors are also in play. Simply a ton of things have hit the fan this month - with the October surprise being a Gaza war.
Globalism / Great Reset –
WEF-funded Johns Hopkins professor Jules Gill-Peterson has urged governments to remove the stigma around supporting child “sex work” by starting a “mass movement” to turn the tide of “moral panic” over the idea.
OBSERVATION - From Epstine on, those associated with globalists have this overwhelming desire to pervert children. It’s nothing more than an attempt to normalize child abuse in the name of adult sexual desire. It’s disgusting, it’s vile, and it’s hard to even begin to grasp the consequences of such depravity.
This is but one facet of the attack on our children, in that it goes along with the demonic push to transgender mutilate them, confuse their sexual development by gay/lesbian elements, vaccinate with unnecessary wuhan jabs that do far more harm than good, etc.
CW2 / Domestic violence -
As in the 2020 BLM-Antifa riots, pro-Palestine demonstrators are blocking the road in Manhattan and aggressively confronting drivers.
OBSERVATION - I’ve warned about their protests expanding to use this tactic. Be alert in your areas for protests and potential road block assaults.
***
Follow up on the unexpected ban of overseas sales of US made arms, ammo and related. Key items have raised new RED FLAGS to me. Reuters The Commerce Department did not provide further details for the 90 day pause, which also includes shotguns and optical sights, but said an urgent review will assess the “risk of firearms being diverted to entities or activities that promote regional instability, violate human rights, or fuel criminal activities.”
Critical concern, they may try to fashion this ‘risk’ and carry it over to domestic sales claiming individuals via straw purchases or other actions are arming to promote instability or promote criminal activity here in the US. The regime has over the past three years used many back door measures to attack constitutional rights. A ban via the Commerce department may be such an attempt to work around - short of declaring a national ‘emergency’ or martial law.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
USS Dwight D. Eisenhower (CVN-69) CSG has entered the Western Mediterranean via the Strait of Gibraltar.
USS Hershel Woody Williams ESB4 also passed thru the Strait of Gibraltar into the Mediterranean suspected of heading to join the USS Ford CSG or follow the Ike into the Arabian Sea region. It is a Lewis B. Puller-class expeditionary mobile base.
***
The massive airlift continues with a 24 hours snapshot of US and allied transport aircraft from CONUS to eastern Med/CENTCOM, including C-17A (49!), C-5M, A400M & C-130 transports with RCH/REACH callsigns.
This is far from a complete list and does not include tankers or other types of aircraft.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Sept 27, 2023
Russia is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine, relying on Russian doctrinal defense in depth to blunt the Ukrainian offensive. However, Russian forces continue increasingly stretched and undermanned, with increasingly insufficient artillery support.
Ukrainian action has forced Russia to move forces laterally to meet the Ukraine advance - thinning critical portions of the line and making them vulnerable to assault.
Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. Recent attacks indicate the Russia has started to produce its own Shahed drones with Iranian assistance. Russia capable of continued, though limited, attacks in this arena. The majority of Russian strikes are with these Iranian drones. Major targets are grain shipping facilities in the Odesa region as well as trying to hit logistical targets across the rest of the country.
Supplemental cruise missile attacks using old models will be occasionally used to supplement the drones.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is increasingly hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. Ukraine’s mixture of seaborne and airborne drones and anti-ship missiles beginning to render areas more or less off limits to Russia. The fleet is reportedly in the process of redeploying out of Crimea and moving east to Russian bases, about 600 Km further away from the front lines.
Russia is capable of launching small scale attacks in various sectors of company and small sized elements, but any large scale offensive action in the face of the heavy demands from defending against the Ukrainian offensive are essentially nil.
*****
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Continued cool, 50’s- 60’s with scattered rain.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukrainian air defense shot down 5 Shahed drones overnight in western Ukraine.
Russians continue to push against the Avdiivka, some estimates of over 4000 dead Russians with probably three times that wounded over the past couple weeks.
Continued fighting on the Tokmok and Bakhmut fronts.
Avdiivka Front -
Russia is now suffering one of the largest losses of equipment and personnel near Avdiivka in 2023. It is alleged that the Russians have deployed up to 8 brigades in the area of Avdiivka. These units probably suffered some of the worst losses seen in the Russian army in 2023.
Russian Territory –
Ukraine drones hit the Afipsky refinery in Krasnodar Krai of Russia
OUTLOOK -
Action has largely stalled out by both sides now that the rains have made their return and turning things into a big mud bog. This reduces most of the action to infantry and artillery as armor/tanks can’t play until the ground freezes over. Russian efforts to take Avdiivka will apparently press on, but at very heavy costs. Russia no longer has the artillery dominance necessary to support the infantry and Ukraine has improved to the point that they have reached a degree of parity. Russian unprotected “meat attacks” are not going their way as before. It is devolving into a very bloody fall.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Israeli Army Chief of Staff: The army has moved to the second phase of the battle
- Ground operations in Gaza expanded overnight with intense IAF bombing.
- Turkey threatens to attack Israel.
GENERAL ——————————-
IDF Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Herzi Halevi in a video statement: “Three weeks have passed since the start of the war. This war has stages, and today we moved into a new phase. Our forces are currently carrying out ground operations in the Gaza Strip... which serve to achieve all the war’s objectives, dismantling Hamas, security at the borders, and uppermost efforts to return all the hostages back home. The objectives of the war require ground entry. There are no achievements without risks, and there is no victory without prices being paid. In order to expose the enemy and destroy it, there is no other way but to enter its territory with great force. This action serves all the objectives of the war.”
***
The U.N. agency for Palestinian refugees says thousands of people broke into its Gaza aid warehouses to take food and other “basic survival items,” which the agency’s director says is “a worrying sign that civil order is starting to break down.”
NOTE - Hamas is the ruling govt entity in Gaza - they are doing nothing for the people.
***
Israeli army and Shin Bet claim that they’ve taken out 55 Hamas leaders since Oct 7th.
GAZA FRONT ———————————-
The “Second Phase” of Israel’s war against Hamas continues. The Israeli army reports that they are gradually expanding the ground incursion and bringing in more troops. Observers report more gun and tank fire than the initial incursion yesterday.
The Israeli army says fighter jets struck some 450 Hamas targets in the Gaza Strip over the past day, including command centers, observation posts, and anti-tank guided missile launch positions. Observers report that the air strikes overnight were the most severe since the start of the war.
Hamas et al still managed to get a few rocket barrages fired at Israel but had little to no effect.
Israeli Army dispersed more flyers warning of imminent operations in Northern Gaza, urges residents to evacuate.
LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Hezbollah continued with harassing fire, using ATGMs and rockets. Israel retaliated with air/artillery strikes of Hezbollah positions and facilities.
***
The Speaker of the Lebanese Parliament, Nabia Berri, hosted the Hamas delegation in Beirut, headed by the number 2 in Hamas, Saleh al-Aaruri
***
The U.S. State Department urged on Friday that U.S. nationals in Lebanon leave as soon as possible due to the region’s “unpredictable security situation.” Other countries making the same warning.
SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
Reports of another militia attack with rockets on the U.S assets at the Al-Omar Oilfield base. ‘Iraqi factions targeted an American base in Al-Hasakah in the north of the country with two drones.’
Source: Syrian TV
Syria: The resistance factions in Iraq are also saying that the Shaddadi base to the north was targeted with two drones.
The U.S. forces are targeting Iranian militia positions in the Badia Al-Mayadin desert. This is the second time in less than 72 hours that the U.S. has responded to threats against American bases in eastern Deir Ezzor.
WEST BANK——————————-
Overnight, Israeli army forces demolished the home of Hassan Qatnani, one of the Hamas militants who carried out the deadly shooting attack on the Dee family in April, in the West Bank’s Askar refugee camp. Troops also detained 23 wanted Palestinians across the West Bank, including four affiliated with Hamas
A large IDF force continues to operate in the West Bank to arrest/neutralize Hamas and affiliated terror groups.
INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Egypt warned Israel against carrying out military operations along the Philadelphi Corridor and rejected Israel’s apology for damage to an Egyptian Army guard post, according to Egyptian sources quoted in Cairo’s Al-Arabi Al-Jadid newspaper on Sunday morning.
The Philadelphi Corridor, also called the Philadelphi Route, is a narrow strip of land, 14 km. in length, situated along the border between the Gaza Strip and Egypt in southern Gaza.
***
Massive pro-Hamas protests broke out in Turkey, Britain, France, Germany. In the US major ones in NYC, and LA.
***
SAUDI MINISTER OF FOREIGN AFFAIRS STATEMENT:
“We condemn and denounce any ground operations carried out by Israel because they threaten the lives of Palestinian civilians and expose them to more dangers and inhumane conditions”
***
Czech Defense Minister Jana Černochová has just called to leave the UN for cheering Hamas terrorists. “Exactly 3 weeks ago, Hamas murdered over 1400 Israelis, more victims for their population than the militant Islamist organization al-Qaeda murdered in the US on 9/11. And only 14 countries, including ours, have spoken out clearly and understandably against this unprecedented terrorist attack perpetrated by Hamas terrorists! I am ashamed of the UN. In my opinion, the Czech Republic has no place in an organization that cheers on terrorists and does not respect the fundamental right to self-defense. Let’s get out.”
***
The president of Iran stated - “Zionist regime’s crimes have crossed the red lines, which may force everyone to take action. Washington asks us to not do anything, but they keep giving widespread support to Israel. The US sent messages to the Axis of Resistance but received a clear response on the battlefield.”
FORECAST ————————-
Bottom Line Up Front (BLUF) - I guess one could say the official ground offensive has kicked off, but it looks like Israel is utilizing a piecemeal attack strategy instead of a full front assault into N Gaza. Taking Hamas out sector by sector.
What is troubling are the global aftershocks that have rippled yesterday. A big one is the Turkish threat to attack Israel (SEE Turkey below). The US stores nuclear bombs in Turkey as a deterrent to Russia, a hold over from the cold war. NATO is at risk now. However, I do not see any immediate action by Turkey - but a lot of rhetoric by Erdoğan at this time.
Second aftershock are remarks coming from Iran that Israel has crossed the red line. So far, even with the latest ground operations, Hezbollah has been relatively quiet and not unleashed the threatened massive rocket attacks promised for an invasion of Gaza. The Iranian ‘resistance’ militias attacks on US bases in eastern Syria and Iraq have not been very substantial over the past few days, more like harassment attacks. Iran is in a hard place because its rhetoric has painted it into a corner. Iran and Hezbollah are primed to attack at a moment’s notice but their window of opportunity is rapidly closing as US and European forces move into the region as a deterrent force.
Third are the splits developing in the UN who in their typical manner condemned Israel and totally ignored the thousand plus murdered, several thousand wounded and a couple hundred hostages from many nations - not just Israel - by Hamas. Calls to actually break up/pull out of the UN by countries could signal a collapse of the organization and may further result in removal of funding by offended nations.
As always, this is a highly fluid situation and things can happen fast.
Iran –
Iran’s Army Ground Force ends its two-day military drill. Chief commander of Iranian Army earlier in the day said the drill sent a message to “enemies that Iranian armed forces have full defensive and combat readiness to deal with any threat.”
Lebanon -
See Israel above.
Saudi Arabia –
See Israel above.
Syria -
See Israel above on latest.
Iran-backed “Islamic Resistance in Iraq” announces targeting Shaddadi coalition base in Syria with 2 UAVs
Turkey –
Erdoğan: “When I said that Hamas is not a terrorist organization, Israel did not like it very much. That’s why I said it. What were you waiting for?”
“We can come at any night unexpectedly”
In response, hundreds of thousands of Turks start chanting:
“Turkish military to Gaza”
He also threatened to involve his military against Israel.
Erdogan has just expressly called out the West at this rally.
“O West, I’m calling out to you. Do you want to start a Crescent-Crusader clash again?”
OBSERVATION - This is being interpreted by many as a threat of war against Israel and any western supporters. It raised many an eyebrow in the NATO community and some questioning its status as a member.
Turkey and Israel used to have a relatively good relationship, that was until Erdogan decided he would establish a new Caliphate and relations turned rocky. The last couple year things were on the mend. Now there appears to be irreparable harm.
Israel has announced that they are in the process of Withdrawing all diplomatic officials in Turkey in order to allow for the “Reassessment of Turkish-Israeli Relations.” Israel also ordered the expulsion all Turkish diplomats. The breaking off of diplomatic contacts.
The world is unraveling at an increased pace
Globalism / Great Reset –
Many links to events that support the WEF’s goals notes in the following sections.
Economy –
Assets in U.S. ESG-oriented funds continued to shrink in the third quarter of 2023, due to increasing withdrawals and poor market performance, a new Morningstar report reveals.
While Morningstar refers to “sustainable funds” in its report, the report defines such funds as those that focus on the three ideological causes that define ESG (Environmental, Social, Governance):
“The U.S. sustainable fund universe encompasses open-end funds and exchange-traded funds that focus on sustainability, impact, or environmental, social, and governance factors (per the prospectus).”
The report notes that the third quarter’s contraction in total sustainable/ESG fund assets extends a long-term trend of losses.
OBSERVATION - Cross reference with Globalism / Great Reset.
It has been shown for the past several years now that these ESG compliant investing have been money losers. Many states have been forcing pension managers to stop the ESG investing because of those losses. Mega WEF firms like BlackRock have pushed companies into ESG compliance - to the detriment of those companies financial standings. All part of the effort to cripple economic foundation from solid investments to scam investments - to force the great reset.
CW2 / Domestic violence -
The Black Hebrew Israelites battled the pro-Palestinian protesters in Chicago. Black Hebrew Israelites are a new religious movement claiming that African Americans are descendants of the ancient Israelites. FWIW, the SPLC has described the Black Hebrew Israelites as a hate group which supports segregation, Holocaust denial, homophobia and promotes a race war.
OBSERVATION - Violence from all sorts seem to be on the rise and I expect to see more as the Gaza war goes on.
***
One feature of the pro-Hamas protests in the US as well as some parts of the world, have been the LGBT+ support of Hamas and the claims that Islam welcomes their cause as well. This has been thought to be VERY strange given that in the islamic world, LGBT are common killed for their behavior. Their participation in recent protests may be serving as a way to gain acceptance by islam - under the ‘enemy of my enemy is my friend’ concept.
That is not working and islamic leadership is starting to rise up and condemn LGBT openly, threaten persecution and rejecting their support. What remains to be seen is how aggressively moslem protestors here will now act to exclude them from the protests. One factor that may work to force continued participation is $$$$ and the though is for the islamic Hamas supporters to continue to get $$, they have to allow LGBT to continue with them.
***
Pro-hamas protests continued across parts of the country over the weekend. NYC was particularly hit with high profile actions, one closed the Brooklyn Bridge and another shut down Grand Central Station.
Terrorism - Level is HIGH due to increased lone wolf threats.
CROSS REFERENCE TO CW2 AS WELL — Numerous law enforcement and other agencies like the FBI have been alerted and are currently on the scene at Cornell University due to numerous threats against Jews at the University. Some of the posts have even mentioned the possibility of extreme violence. As a result, they have advised students and staff to avoid the building as a precautionary measure this is currently under investigation .
Posting of one of the threats state -
“Israel deserved 10/7, the genocidal fascist zionist regime will be destroyed. râpe and kill all the jew women, before they birth more jewish hitlers. jews are excrement on the face of the earth. no jew civilian is innocent of genocide.”
Cornel has been a focal point of Jewish hatred since the attacks of Oct 7. A brief timeline -
October 11: Cornell wins HEED Award for its commitment to diversity and inclusion
Oct. 15: Cornell professor calls the Hamas massacre “exhilarating”
Oct. 25: Cornell’s campus is covered with graffiti targeted at Jewish students
Oct. 29: Cornell’s Jewish students put on lockdown over death threats
The incitement of violence against Jewish students on campus is out of control and none of the universities are doing anything to address it. These universities and colleges have unashamedly endorsed and condoned physical threats to Jews on their campuses - encouraging these kinds of threats. Recently Jewish students at another college had to get locked inside a library to avoid physical harm from another group of pro-hamas protestors.
***
Concerns are rising regarding attacks on the power grid. Some watchers are noting an increase in the number of attacks over the past couple years. These groups are trying to attribute the attacks to white supremest, neo-Nazis.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
The Bataan Amphibious-Ready Group consisting of the USS Bataan (LHD-5) and USS Carter Hall (LSD-50) as well as roughly 2,000 Marines with the 26th Marine Expeditionary Unit has now being ordered to immediately deploy to the eastern Mediterranean after recently entering the Red Sea near Yemen; once crossing the Suez Canal into the Mediterranean she will link-up with the remainder of the ARG, the USS Mesa Verde (LPD-19) who has been underway in the Eastern Mediterranean for the last week or so, where they will then await further orders.
***
USNS William McLean entered the Med to join Laramie and Medgar Evers. The ships mentioned are part of the United States Navy’s Military Sealift Command (MSC) fleet. These are not traditional combat ships but are auxiliary ships used for various logistics and support roles, such as replenishing other naval vessels with fuel, ammunition, and supplies.
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics –
Older adults who received last year’s COVID booster and a high-dose version of the flu vaccine in the same visit may have a potential increased risk of stroke, according to a new FDA-funded study. However, experts urge that these results were preliminary.
OBSERVATION - Also expect the results to be down played by a large factor.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Lots happening but I don’t have time to get into details. Trump faces legal issues by biased judges, biden crime syndicate gets hit with more damming evidence, etc.
Nov 17 deadline on the budget is fast approaching.
Watching the developing court case in Colorado attempting to keep Trump off the ballot.
Biden / Harris Watch –
World burns, biden fiddles.
Cyber attacks/warfare –
Illegal Immigration –
CROSS REFERENCE TO CW2 AND TERRORISM AS WELL - Henchmen for Venezuela’s dictator and many of the South American country’s worst criminals have crossed over the US border and are now causing chaos in major American cities, including Dallas, Miami and Chicago, multiple sources tell the DailyMail.com.
In Dallas, the Venezuelan neighborhood known as ‘Villa Dallas’ has descended into mayhem. For months, once peaceful apartment complexes have been the scene of illegal street races, beatings, shootings and extortion attempts.
Residents, overwhelmingly migrants who recently made the harrowing trek through several countries to reach America and are seeking asylum, pointed to videos of fights between armed men, broken windows and reckless drivers speeding through parking lots.
At least 334,914 Venezuelan citizens have crossed into the US in fiscal year 2023, according to US Customs and Border Protection statistics.
In the month of September alone, 72,352 Venezuelans were encountered at US international crossings— making citizens from the South American country the largest nationality arrested for illegally entering the US. For the first time ever, Mexicans citizens were replaced as the top nationality along the border.
OBSERVATION - Many are the voices that have warned that this was about to happen and was starting to happen. Now overwhelmed police forces have this to deal with as well.
China –
A Hong Kong High Court judge has given crisis-hit Chinese property giant Evergrande one last chance to come up with a new deal over its huge debts or face liquidation.
A winding-up hearing, initially scheduled for Monday, was adjourned to 4 December.
Justice Linda Chan said it would be the last hearing before a decision is made.
Evergrande is the world’s most indebted property developer with more than $325bn (£268.4bn) of total liabilities.
It defaulted on its debts two years ago and has been working on a new repayment plan ever since.
Justice Chan said Evergrande had to come up with a “concrete” proposal otherwise it was likely the company would be wound up. A liquidator would still be able negotiate with creditors, she added.
Evergrande did not immediately respond to a BBC request for comment.
Apart from deciding which lenders get priority in a liquidation, there is also question of who will finish the homes that more than a million Chinese people are still waiting for Evergrande to hand over.
https://www.bbc.com/news/business-67258934
OBSERVATION - Evergrande is the largest of the property giants facing the same economic reality from the crashing Chinese market. Analysts are concerned that the Chinese leadership will deny that it is ‘too big to fail’ and do nothing - an action that will hammer foreign investors and turn them cold towards other investments in China.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Sept 27, 2023
Russia is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine, relying on Russian doctrinal defense in depth to blunt the Ukrainian offensive. However, Russian forces continue increasingly stretched and undermanned, with increasingly insufficient artillery support.
Ukrainian action has forced Russia to move forces laterally to meet the Ukraine advance - thinning critical portions of the line and making them vulnerable to assault.
Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. Recent attacks indicate the Russia has started to produce its own Shahed drones with Iranian assistance. Russia capable of continued, though limited, attacks in this arena. The majority of Russian strikes are with these Iranian drones. Major targets are grain shipping facilities in the Odesa region as well as trying to hit logistical targets across the rest of the country.
Supplemental cruise missile attacks using old models will be occasionally used to supplement the drones.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is increasingly hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. Ukraine’s mixture of seaborne and airborne drones and anti-ship missiles beginning to render areas more or less off limits to Russia. The fleet is reportedly in the process of redeploying out of Crimea and moving east to Russian bases, about 600 Km further away from the front lines.
Russia is capable of launching small scale attacks in various sectors of company and small sized elements, but any large scale offensive action in the face of the heavy demands from defending against the Ukrainian offensive are essentially nil.
*****
The predominantly moslem region of Dagestan erupted into a mass lynch mob, seeking jews in hotels and buses before storming the airport upon hearing of an impending arrival of an Israeli flagged airliner. The mob attempted to enter the plane but were unsuccessful.
The Russian National Guard and Security Forces stormed the tarmac at Makhachkala International Airport. Fighting broke out between the mob and guardsmen. 60 rioters were detained at Mahachkala airport, 9 policemen wounded.
Kremlin claims that the events around Makhachkala Airport in Dagestan yesterday were caused by an “external influence”
These riots reflect the tip of the iceberg that is rising anti-Semitism that is growing rapidly in Russia.
Russian Personnel Issues –-
Various pro-Russian channels report that the Russian commander of the Dnipro front in Kherson, Colonel General Oleg Makarevich, has been relieved from his post.
They claim that he failed to report an accurate picture of the situation on the ground.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Continued cool, 50’s- 60’s with scattered rain.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
In western Ukraine, air defense shot down 12 Shahed drones and 2 Kh-59 missiles overnight
Russians continue to push against the Avdiivka, some estimates of over 4000 dead Russians with probably three times that wounded over the past couple weeks.
Continued fighting on the Tokmok and Bakhmut fronts.
Kherson Axis -
Ukraine forces have captured a small town and expanded its bridgehead on the left bank of the Dniper River.
Avdiivka Front -
Unconfirmed reports that Ukraine has committed reserves to the defense of Avdiivka, launching a big counter attack on the northern and southwestern margins.
The unconfirmed reports of the action are coming from both from Ukraine and Russian sides.
Crimean front —
17 Russian servicemen were wounded as result of attack at air defense unit in Olenivka, occupied Crimea. Smoke observed in Sevastopol and an aerial alert, Kerch bridge has been also closed.
OUTLOOK -
A lot of the news out of Ukraine has been muted by the news out of Gaza.
Hottest spot continues to be Avdiivka, but right now the fog of war makes things uncertain.
Low numbers of Russian deep attacks by drones and missiles continues to infer that they are saving up for a later winter blitz against Ukraine power grid.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- First air strike in the west bank in over 20 years.
- Israeli armor formation reach the main N-S road south of Gaza city.
- Israeli armor units push southward along the coast in N Gaza.
- Level of fighting is increasing along the Lebanese border.
GENERAL ——————————-
This next is kinda long but bear with it - provides insight
Khaled Mashaal, a senior Hamas figure, demanded a multi-front storming of Israel, calling for greater involvement from Hezbollah and other supporters of the resistance.
He emphasizes the importance of collective action, stating:
“It’s in all of our best interest to enter this war together; this is how history is made.”
Mashaal also said that he believes that history is shaped by strategic and bold actions, not limited ones.
His call brought various, not so nice responses from across the arab world.
Wa’aem Wahab, the head of the Lebanese Arab Unification Party, responds to Mashaal’s call saying:
“I ask our brother Mashaal, if he has the 30 billion dollars it will cost for the war, then we welcome it, and let’s go in and do it.”
Faisal Abd el Sater, a political analyst aligning with Hezbollah, responds by saying:
“It’s not up to you, a person who lives in a hotel in a Gulf country, to make demands like this.”
He also notes that Mashaal’s name is generally not well received in their society.
Another Hezbollah-aligned political analyst criticizes Mashaal’s intentions, sarcastically says:
“Mashaal, who enjoys the comforts of a 7-star hotel, is calling for Lebanon to bombard Israel with rockets.”
OBSERVATION - The top Hamas leaders are residing in Qatar, with the three main leaders being reported as being billionaires and living a luxury life absent the threat from the current way. These arab/islamic responses condemn the apparent leading from the far rear, willing for others to die while they live the fat life. Clearly shows that support for Hamas is not as firm as Hamas may have once thought.
GAZA FRONT ———————————-
IDF ground operations in Gaza continued and expanded overnight:
IDF says that over the past day it carried out strikes against some 600 sites in the Gaza Strip.
An IAF aircraft—guided by ground forces—struck a Hamas post and the 20+ terrorist operatives in it.
Soldiers spotted armed terrorists and an anti-tank missile launching post near the Al-Azhar University and guided an IAF fighter jet to strike them.
IDF forces eliminated multiple terrorists barricaded within civilian buildings and terrorist tunnels who attempted to attack the forces.
Israeli forces have reached the Salah al-Din road, the main artery of the Gaza Strip and the main road leading to Gaza city. It appears that this axis goal is to reach the sea which will effectively cut the Gaza Strip in half and then securing the perimeter along the Wadi Gaza.
Israeli army says that forces operating in the Gaza Strip killed several Hamas commanders, including the head of the naval forces in central Gaza, the head of the ATGM array in Tuffah, and a senior operative involved in weapon manufacturing
Hamas et al still managing to launch some rockets. Estimates now that 8000+ have been fires since Oct 7.
LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Hezbollah rockets have intensified in northern Israel as the Israeli military advances deeper into Gaza. Terrorists in Lebanon fired a salvo of rockets at northern Israel on Sunday evening, setting off air raid sirens in Kiryat Shmona and the Upper Galilee region.
“Following the initial report of alerts in the northern region, about ten launches were identified that crossed from Lebanese territory into Israeli territory,” the Israel Defense Forces said.
“The IDF is attacking in Lebanese territory in response to the shooting,” added the statement.
***
Circulating video shows the Secretary General of Hezbollah, Sayed Hassan Nasrallah, passing in front of a Hezbollah flag. It is an alert to an announced speech by Nasrallah to be given this coming Friday. Nasrallah has been silent since the Gaza war began on Oct 7th, so his speech will either announce full offensive actions by Hezbollah or look to some way to back out of its promises to Hamas to enter the war upon the invasion of Gaza.
SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
The Israeli army says it has identified several launches from Syria. The projectiles fell in open areas and the Israeli army is responding with artillery fire.
Israeli missiles hit the military storage facility at Al-Jamou’ in the western countryside of Daraa, where Iranian militias are stationed.
Syrian State Media is reporting that the Headquarters for the 112th Mechanized Brigade of the Syrian Army in the city of Nawa has been attacked by Israeli combat aircraft which resulted in significant damage and casualties.
Syria/Iraq: Some local sources reporting more than half a dozen strikes by aircraft on the border last night targeting a convoy of trucks. No confirmation from CENTCOM or officials yet, but something definitely went bang last night on the Iraq/Syria border. Reports of building and vehicles on fire after two strikes. There are follow-on reports of five rockets, originating from Iranian militias stationed near the city of Al-Mayadeen, targeted the Al-Omar field base after these airstrikes.
Israel attacked two positions belonging to the Syrian Arab Army (SAA) in Daraa, southern Syria, yesterday in response to the firing of rockets at Israel.
The Iranian backed militias are still mostly using harassing attacks, nothing significantly masses since their first attacks a week ago.
WEST BANK——————————-
Israeli air strike in Jenin, West Bank. First in over 20 years. Strike consisted of a missile(s) fired by a drone and not the massive explosive bombs being used in Gaza.
Ongoing Israeli operations to seize associated terrorists.
INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Unconfirmed report of an apparent interception of a ballistic missile over the Red Sea. Has been denied by Israel.
***
Jordan has asked the US to deploy Patriot air defense systems on its territory to help strengthen its border defenses
FORECAST ————————-
Bottom Line Up Front (BLUF) - Israel continues its apparently systematic attack in N Gaza. Tactic is neutralizing Hamas’ attempts to pop out of its underground bunkers. They are working their way eventually to surround Gaza City - the main site of Hamas power and military facilities. They have some in S Gaza, but those locations are too far away from major Israeli cities to be much use for their short ranged rockets. Israel, once the north has been secured, may shift progressively to the south to hit Hamas reminants hiding there.
The role that Hezbollah will play is uncertain pending Nasrallah speech this Friday. The literal hell that Israel has unleashed on Gaza and the potential for that wrath to reach them may well have them making second thoughts.
They may also be questioning how the US/European fleets in the eastern Med are going to respond to any Hezbollah missile/rocket barrage, and are they willing to pay the double price of US intervention combined with Israeli counter strikes. Israel has only committed about 1/3 of its called up forces in Gaza, leaving a sizable force to go into Lebanon should the need require - another factor Hezbollah has to consider. Israel this time around will not go blindly as they did the last go round and get caught in kill zones.
Tied into Hezbollah’s decision is the pushing by Iran. If Hezbollah enters the war, Iran will be forced to support them - increasing the potential for escalating the situation. US THAAD and Patriot systems across the middle east, along with the Ike CSG and other USAF and ground forces could make life miserable for the imans. We may see better on Friday what they plan to do.
As always, this is a highly fluid situation and things can happen fast.
Iran –
Protests Erupt in Tehran Following the Death of Armita Geravand Demonstrators in Tehran can be heard chanting “down with child-killers” and “down with the Islamic Republic of Iran” from their balconies. These protests were sparked on the first night after the tragic passing of 16-year-old Armita Geravand, who was beaten into a coma by morality police for refusing to cover her hair in public.
OBSERVATION - Iran had major protests a couple years ago for similar assaults and deaths of women who refused to cover their head. Not sure if this will gain enough traction to be a repeat, but it occurs at a time when Iran is focused on the Gaza war and trying to direct its minions against Israel and the US.
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Iran’s foreign ministry spokesperson said Monday the U.S. should refrain from blaming Tehran for Hamas’ Oct. 7 attacks on Israel.
“Stop it,” Nasser Kanaani said, when asked by a journalist about statements by U.S. officials, including President Joe Biden, accusing Iran in relation to developments in Gaza.
OBSERVATION - If the shoe fits . . . .
Iraq -
See Israel above re: iranian backed militias attacks on US forces in Iraq.
Lebanon -
See Israel above.
Syria -
See Israel above on latest.