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On Oct. 30, 2008, Pres. candidate Barack 0bama said, “We are five days away from fundamentally transforming the United States of America,” and it seems to me that America is going through a fundamental transformation (a spiritual, moral, and economic downward spiral).

CW2 / Domestic violence -

Antifa et al are openly supporting Hamas and its attacks on Israel. Expect them to show up at these Hamas rallies across the US today and in future days.

Terrorism -

ALL - CONSIDER BEING AT A HEIGHTENED STATE OF ALERT, ESPECIALLY IF FIGHTING EXPANDS TO INCLUDE HEZBOLLAH AND IRAN. Though Jewish areas and synagogues face the highest threat level, remember Iran’s mantra “death to America” so other sectors of the country could be at an equal risk - especially to deflect support from Israel.

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RUMINT - Looking for some verification of this report but it is being noted that in Matamoros, Mexico, directly across the border from Brownsville, Tx, Hamas has a training center at a large factory, used to train young, military age men. These men have been reported as infiltrating into the US.

OBSERVATION - Establishment of sleeper cells by islamic terrorists was a major concern here in TM in the months after 9/11. With the numbers of pro hamas rallies in the US any such sleeper cells would find shelter and support in preparation for any future attack.

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NYPD, LAPD and Miami cops are deploying extra officers to Jewish areas and synagogues following Hamas terror attack on Israel.

‘While there is no credible threat to New York City at this time, our administration is in touch with Jewish leaders across the five boroughs, and we have directed the NYPD to deploy additional resources to Jewish communities and houses of worship citywide to ensure that our communities have the resources they need to make sure everyone feels safe,’ Adams explained about the extra security.

United Airlines, American and Delta have suspended service to and from Tel Aviv following the unrest.
‘The safety of our customers and crew is our top priority. We are closely monitoring the situation and we are adjusting flight schedules as required,’ United said in a statement.

OBSERVATION - See warning at top of section.

Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –

No US military activity noted or reported in response to the Hamas/Israel war. The Ford CSG is in the Med providing support to the Ukraine effort. The Reagan is at sea near Japan. The Bataan ARG is on station in the Persian Gulf region.

POLITICAL FRONT –

In the face of the brutal slaughter of Israeli civilians, the biden regime is scrambling to put the best face on appeasement payments to Iran and Palestinian authorities.

US Secretary of State Antony Blinken has approved the release of $75 million in crucial food assistance for Palestinians just hours before the funds were set to be redistributed elsewhere.

Blinken’s decision came after months of pressure from Democratic lawmakers and dozens of civil society groups, who warned that blocking the aid would create a humanitarian disaster for over one million Palestinians in Gaza and the West Bank.

This follows the release of $6 BILLION in assets held in Qatar that are only to be used for ‘humantarian’ causes, a claim Iran rejected saying it would spend the money as it sees fit. This is on top of $8 billion unfrozen earlier. The regime is trying to claim that these funds could not be used to fund terror, but they are blind to the fact that these funds frees up their money to go to support terror.

Biden / Harris Watch –

Biden issued an underwhelming statement on the Hamas/Israel war and then shuffled off the platform without answering any questions.

Illegal Immigration –

Illegal immigrants are making demands in Chicago, NYC and other major metro areas claiming “better housing,” “safe food and water,” and “You promised us safe living conditions, but our rights have been violated.”

Even Chicago Alderman Ray Lopez, a fellow Democrat, took shots at the mayor for his handling of the crisis. “Migrant asylum-seekers are now using their vehicles to block streets, perform sex acts and otherwise disrupt life in communities where this behavior wasn’t the norm. To make matters worse, residents now feel that their only recourse is to take action against the migrant asylum-seekers.” Other demands are for more money handouts, job training and better accommodations.

Community sentiment is boiling towards vigilantism in these areas.

OBSERVATION - File equally under CW2 as this is beginning to boil over.

Russia -

WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022

CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Sept 27, 2023

Russia is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine, relying on Russian doctrinal defense in depth to blunt the Ukrainian offensive. However, Russian forces continue increasingly stretched and undermanned, with increasingly insufficient artillery support.

Ukranian action has forced Russia to move forces laterally to meet the Ukraine advance - thinning critical portions of the line and making them vulnerable to assault.

Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. Recent attacks indicate the Russia has started to produce its own Shahed drones with Iranian assistance. Russia capable of continued, though limited, attacks in this arena. The majority of Russian strikes are with these Iranian drones. Major targets are grain shipping facilities in the Odesa region as well as trying to hit logistical targets across the rest of the country.

Supplemental cruise missile attacks using old models will be occasionally used to supplement the drones.

The Russian Black Sea fleet is increasingly hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. Ukraine’s mixture of seaborne and airborne drones and anti-ship missiles beginning to render areas more or less off limits to Russia. The fleet is reportedly in the process of redeploying out of Crimea and moving east to Russian bases, about 600 Km further away from the front lines.

Russia is capable of launching small scale attacks in various sectors of company and small sized elements, but any large scale offensive action in the face of the heavy demands from defending against the Ukrainian offensive are essentially nil.

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Russia saying that Israel should return to its pre-1967 borders and allow the palis to establish their capitol in Jerusalem.

Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures varying between the 50s and 70s with chances of rain showers for the forecast period.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –
The Israeli/Hamas war continues to suck up much of the bandwidth over what is happing in Ukraine. Some reports do get thru. Overnight Russia launched a large rocket strike on Kharkiv, and artillery stikes on Kherson. Ukraine states that they are making progress to the south of Bakhmut as well as west of Robotyne.

OUTLOOK -
Until something substantial happens, most of the reporting will be overwhelmed by Israel info as many OSINT types have shifted their focus to the middle east. Some interesting analysis has come out recently -

“This autumn/winter will be a record for the number of drones that Russia will use against Ukraine. More than 1000 Shaheds were used against Ukraine in the last 6 months of the heating season. Russia used more than 500 drones in September only,” said spokesman of the Ukrainian Air Force Yuriy Ignat.

September has also been a big month for Ukrainian drones as well, softening up Russian air defenses for major strikes by cruise missiles.

Israel –

NOTE - I’ve only viewed a fraction of the abundant photos and videos - mostly posted by hamas - of the brutal and deliberate executions of unarmed Israelis from the start of the war. If you are a palestinian ‘supporter’, support yourself off this site as there is absolutely no justification for these terrorist actions.

Also note - there is an abundance of recycled photos/videos from years past that have been thrown into the mix - don’t accept anything at face value.

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Remember, in 2005 Israel withdrew from Gaza and left them world-class hydroponics and greenhouses that provided huge amounts of food. These Palestinians promptly destroyed every nice thing Israel left behind - relegating their citizens to living in near stone age conditions.

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A coincidental coincidence? On Sept. 18-23, 2023, the UN General Assembly met in New York, and the U.S. greatly criticized Israel for settlement construction on the West Bank and refusing to divide the Promised Land.

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Biden’s office of Palestinian Affairs set out an ill advised Xweet stating -
“We unequivocally condemn the attack of Hamas terrorists and the loss of life that incurred. We urge all sides to refrain from violence and retaliatory attacks. Terror and violence solve nothing.”

Essentially saying Israel should surrender to this level of terror.
The Xweet was later removed.

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Overnight things are still very fluid and in country reports are conflicting in some ways. Quick summary -

-600+ Israelis killed
-1,500+ wounded
-3,000+ rockets fired into Israel (down from the initial estimate of 5000)
-Dozens of Israeli soldiers and civilians taken hostage and now are POWs in Gaza
-252 Palestinians dead 1,000+ wounded

These numbers are expected to increase substantially. Israeli Police and Recovery Teams have arrived at the site where a music festival for peace was taking place near the border with the Gaza Strip before they were attacked by Hamas terrorists reportedly causing a significant loss of human life; Israeli Officials have stated that they expect the death toll to drastically rise and possibly double now that Teams have reached the festival site.

Israel is still in the process of regaining control of portions of southern Israel taken over by Hamas forces Hamas is still able to get troops and support to these hold out areas. The link below is to a map that generally depicts the situation Hamas is believed to control areas in red

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/F76cx1qXYAEDSoT?format=jpg&name=4096x4096

Israeli forces liberating small towns and kibbutzes are reporting scenes of incredible brutal murders. Hamas has posted some videos showing their terrorists going door to door in these communities killing who ever they find. Israel has captured dozens of Hamas terrorists in the clean-up process.

Rockets continue to be fired at Israel, but in substantially reduced numbers as the air strikes by the IAF appear to be taking their toll.

Israel has dropped tons of bombs on Gaza, leveling many ‘high rises’ containing Hamas and associated facilities. Israel has largely done away with the ‘knocking’ technique (dropping small bomb on roofs to warn civilians to get out) and striking them outright. Currently, nothing appears to be off limits to airstrikes if Hamas us using them. Overnight IAF hit two mosques being used as control centers by Hamas.

Israel continues the largest military call up since 1973. Israeli citizens who are abroad have reportedly begun to receive phone calls to notify them of their call-up to active military service. In one instance, the Israeli embassy in Greece is starting to arrange flights to take over 5000 of Israeli reservists currently in Greece back to Israel to assist in Gaza war.

Substantial movements of tanks, artillery and other armor have been observed coming out of central Israel and headed for the south, north and east to address the threats from Hamas, Hezbollah and Hezbollah/Iran from Syria - respectively.

The war is spreading -

Overnight, Hezbollah claimed credit for a rocket and mortar attack on an Israeli long-range radar installation on Mt Dov in Northern Israel. This facility is used to detect and track missiles coming from Lebanon and Syria. Israel responded by striking the Hezbollah unit with artillery fire. Security has been Increased at radar and surface-to-air missile batteries in the North of Israel due to the possibility that Islamist factions in Lebanon and Syria may be attempting to “Knock Out the Eyes and Ears of the IDF” which would be used to defend the country against long-range and intermediate-range missiles.

Multiple Israeli tourists shot dead in Alexandria, Egypt by an Egyptian police officer.

Rallies for Hamas are being scheduled around the world today. An Islamic terrorist sympathizing group in Tampa, Florida known as “Resistance of Tampa Bay” is having a pro-HAMAS rally in Tampa, Florida on Sunday October 8, 2023. In the promotion for their event, they said they want to celebrate the “Palestinian martyrs” who murdered Israelis today. They described today’s attacks on Israel as “heroic Palestinian resistance”. Their invitation goes on to say they support “Palestinian liberation and return by any means necessary.”

There’s going to be one in NYC and multiple other cities as well.

Meanwhile, calls from various parts of the world for Israel to exercise “restraint” in the face of the most diabolically brutal attack on Israeli civilians in decades.

NYPD, LAPD and Miami cops deploy extra officers to Jewish areas and synagogues following Hamas terror attack on Israel.

The Israeli nuclear option has been highly rumored about. Not on the table for Gaza - too close to Israel for fallout and damage. This option is on the table if Iran becomes directly involved as it could be used against their nuclear and other weapons facilities. But this is too early in the war to realistically game out this option and there is no evidence that Israel is preparing for such an action (though I’m sure they have there plans being updates as I type).

OVERALL OBSERVATION - Israel is building up for a major invasion into Gaza. Israel has weighed the potential reaction of Hezbollah and Iran and has decided to get it done. The violation of Israeli citizen has crossed too many red lines. IAF and currently engaged Israeli forces will continue the mop up operations in country and keep Hamas pinned down in Gaza so that the invasion force can be pulled together and final operational plans executed. This should take a few days to accomplish as tens (hundreds) of thousands called up reservists fall on equipment and head to assembly areas.

At the same time, Israel is preparing for a war with Hezbollah in Lebanon and Syria. As with Gaza, the gloves will come off and Israel will be far less restrained targeting Hezbollah positions commonly next to places like schools, hospitals, etc.

Global ‘support’ for Hamas is disgusting, trying to blame Israel for the loss of Israeli lives. So that when Israeli boots hit the ground in Gaza, they will be facing considerable anti-Israeli propaganda. Arab nations are calling for cease fire and deescalation by Israel, potentially knowing that Hamas is about to be taken off the map by Israel.

Hezbollah is on the edge - its fish or cut bait time for them. They are on record saying that when Israel invades Gaza they will enter the war. But I’m not sure they counted on the hornets nest that Hamas stirred up and may be rethinking its commitment. Israel has engaged Hezbollah forces twice already in the past 24 hours and Hezbollah has not taken any retaliation (except perhaps for the Mt Dov attack).

FINALLY - Hamas’ attack should put the final nail in the “two state” solution. They have shown that radical Islam will not live peacefully along side Israel.

Iran –

See Israel on their support for Hamas.

Concerns rising should Iran become directly involved in the Hamas / Israel war, one option they may execute is closing off oil traffic coming out of the region either via mining Hormuz or other naval activity. The US only has an estimated 17 day supply in the strategic reserve, thanks to the regime sell off. The US has increased its presence in the Gulf because of Iranian aggression against shipping in recent months.

Also concerns considering the build up of Iranian backed militias in eastern Syria and the threat posed to US forces in the region.

Syria -

Syrian artillery and Russian air strikes continue to pummel the Idlib area in largely an indiscriminate manner.

Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan -

Taliban is asking for permission to transit arab nations in order to join Hamas in its fight against Israel.

Mexico -

Mexican president says talk about resuming the construction of the wall is “pure publicity”.