Globalism / Great Reset –
A top World Economic Forum (WEF) official has called for so-called ‘conspiracy theorists’ to be banned from accessing the internet due to their ‘dangerous’ belief that a global cabal of elites control the world.
Yuval Noah Harari, who is Klaus Schwab’s right hand man, condemned the theory that a shadowy elite of billionaires and globalists control the world as “anti-Semitic” and “dangerous.”
During an appearance on the Lex Fridman podcast, Harari pointed out that the world is “too complex” for powerful people to control it.
“The global cabal theory has many variations, but basically, there is a small group of people, a cabal, that secretly controls everything that is happening in the world,” Harari declared.
“All the wars, all the revolutions, all the epidemics, everything that is happening is controlled by this very small group of people, who are of course evil and have bad intentions.”
OBSERVATION - Harari is by far the most dangerous person on the WEF’s inner circle of power. He is simply an expression of true evil. As we have seen in the wuhan information crackdown as well as other govt actions to silence speech against the narrative, squashing and controlling speech is an essential component of their plans to rule.
Economy –
Availability of money is a key indicator of future economic activity This is tracked in part by the money supply. Annualized, non-seasonally adjusted M2 money supply growth went from -7.4% in early June to -5.8% in early July. Although improving, money supply growth is at the lowest in decades and still at Great Depression levels.
When money supply growth falls below 0%, a stock market crash, financial crisis, or recession follows. This year was no different – money supply growth fell to -2% right before Silicon Valley Bank collapsed in March. (FO)
OBSERVATION - Still contains a threat of later recession, so the SVB crash is only a foreshock.
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The Federal Reserve resumed its aggressive rate hikes to tackle inflation, raising the interest rate by a quarter-point today. This raises the rate to a range of 5.25% – 5.5%, the highest in 22 years.
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(Bloomberg) — A strong majority of business economists now say the odds of the US entering a recession in the next 12 months are 50% or less, according to a National Association for Business Economics survey.
Some 71% of respondents reported such an outlook in results of the poll, published Monday. That marks a sharp turnaround from NABE’s previous survey in April, which showed an almost even split between those forecasting a downturn and those who were not.
More than one in four respondents in the July survey put the chance of a recession in the next year at 25% or less.
Ongoing strength in the labor market and a pullback in key consumer price metrics have helped fuel the shift in sentiment. While economists have in recent months repeatedly altered their forecasts for when a potential recession may begin, the NABE survey results suggest many may now be changing their minds altogether on the inevitability of one.
OBSERVATION - Having been calling for a recession for a year now, the strength of many of the sectors of the economy may be enough to prevent a crash. But we are in no ways out of the woods yet.
IN RELATED - U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said Wednesday Fed staff are no longer forecasting a U.S. recession, and “we do have a shot” for inflation to return to target without high levels of job losses.
Powell told a news conference after the Fed’s latest interest-rate hike that there was “a lot left to go to” see such a soft landing.
IN MORE RELATED - Sales of new single-family houses in the U.S. fell by far more than expected in June.
The Commerce Department said that new home sales fell 2.5 percent in June compared to the previous month. New homes sold at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 697,000, according to Commerce Department data released Wednesday.
OBSERVATION - Fed rate hikes and still soft economic footing of most americans is still dragging on the economy. Historical marker of economic pull out from recessions has been the housing market and with the outrageously high costs combined with near record interest rates there is no light at the end of the tunnel to be seen yet.
All this economic ‘news’ (propaganda) hasn’t really reached the masses pocket books. According to a new Rasmussen poll a 51% majority of likely U.S. voters give Biden a poor rating on his handling of the economy, compared to 37% who rate the president’s handling of the economy as good or excellent. In April, 42% gave Biden a good or excellent rating on the economy
CW2 / Domestic violence -
Public support for the use of force to coerce members of Congress grew sharply among Democrats, according to a University of Chicago study.
Support for the use of force grew from nine percent to 17 percent between January 2023 to June 2023, effectively doubling, according to the study.
A graph in the study showed that Democrats’ support for the use of force grew from seven percent in January 2023 to 16 percent in June 2023 — a growth of nine percent.
“This growing anger parallels the Republican rise to power and proceedings in the House of Representatives,” the study said.
Meanwhile, support for the use of force among Republicans grew by six percent and Independents by eight percent.
Related. A new poll from Pew Research shows that a growing number of Americans, mostly people on the left, no longer support First Amendment protections for free speech.
A majority of Americans – and an overwhelming number of Democrats – no longer support First Amendment protections for free speech.
The government should restrict “false” information online, even if doing so blocks people from “publishing or accessing information,” 55 percent of Americans said in a large poll released Thursday. Only 42 percent disagreed.
OBSERVATION - Been tracking this for a while. As the left continues to try to dehumanize the right via propaganda (IE ‘White nationalists’, domestic terrorists, etc), the natural barriers to violence are being stepped away and the left now feels more justified in violent actions. Continued tyrannical actions by the govt against the right combined with the incessant drum beats against conservatives will only grow and sharpen the divide between Red and Blue.
Wuhan Plandemic –
More of “we knew this all along”. A study done in Basel Switzerland indicates that the rate of subclinical myocarditis after the COVID vaccine is hardly rare at all.
In fact, in a study with only 777 participants with a median age of 37—all medical professionals getting the COVID vaccine–the incidence of elevated cardiac enzymes 3 days after injection was pretty substantial, at almost 3%.
The CDC did a study and from that, they claimed the rate was 0.001%, or one out of 100,000.
2.8% is a lot higher than 0.001%. Another 0.3% had “probable myocarditis,” putting the total at over 3%. That is 3000 times higher than the US government claimed.
POLITICAL FRONT –
The proposed plea deal between Hunter Biden and the Department of Justice (DOJ) on alleged tax crimes fell apart in court yesterday after prosecutors told the judge the plea bargain would not immunize Hunter from future prosecution of the Foreign Agents Registration Act. I’ll defer to the FR threads covering this in greater detail, but it was UGLY for both biden’s defense team as well as the DOJ.
BTW, the judge’s conditions of release rules for hunter’s behavior are epic.
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Increasing rumors that January 6 charges against Trump drop soon in order to draw attention away from the Biden scandal and DOJ’s corruption!
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McConnell just froze at a press conference, some feel he may have had a type of stroke. He later tried to laugh it off, but the video shows something serious hit him at the podium.
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Drumbeats over impeaching biden as well as many of his cronies in DoJ and DHS are growing. But lets be real about this. Absent a real Republican controlled Senate, a House impeachment will only be symbolism. The scurvy rats will retain their jobs and little will change.
Illegal Immigration –
Mayorkas in congressional testimony claimed the border was closed. Not only have historically high illegal border crossings under the Biden administration prove the border has been opened, but Border Patrol agents themselves have characterized the border as open.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated July 9, 2023
Russia is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine, relying on Russian doctrinal defense in depth to blunt the Ukrainian offensive. With Ukraine lacking air superiority, Russia has taken chance in using its aircraft (helicopters and fast movers) to more directly assist its ground forces, though at an increasing loss of airframes.
The month plus of Ukraine offensive action has forced Russia to give up terrain on all fronts - most notably in the Bakhmut area where Russian forces are now being in danger of being encircled.
Russian reserves are increasingly being used to try to stop Ukrainian advances. Just how big and combat capable of a reserve force is debatable. Reports that Russia has amassed about 180,000 troops opposite of Kharkiv may be a ploy to freeze some of the Ukraine forces out of the offensive to the south. However, this number includes cooks, bottle washers and other logistic elements, so the ‘teeth’ numbers are likely much lower.
Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. Recent attacks indicate the Russia has started to produce its own Shahed drones with Iranian assistance. Russia capable of continued, though limited, attacks in this arena.
Russia is capable of launching small scale attacks in various sectors of company and small sized elements, but any large scale offensive action in the face of the heavy demands from defending against the Ukrainian offensive are essentially nil.
Economic Impact –
Putin is trying to set him self up as the savior to Africa by offering to replace Ukrainian grain he is destroying with higher cost Russian grain (some of which has been stolen from Ukraine).
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Warm with some highs in the upper 60s to 90’s with mid week forecast of thunderstorms.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Various western news agencies are declaring that the main part of Ukraine’s counteroffensive has begun in the country’s southeast.
One map depicts potential directions and objectives below:
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/F2BPWVvXoAAMMED?format=jpg&name=large
The figure shows the main thrust developing along the Tokmak Axis with the likely goal of driving to the Azov Sea, splitting Russian forces in half and cutting off the ‘land bridge’ to Crimea. So far it appears that Ukraine has committed a brigade of its operational reserves (equivalent to a US size division) to the fight in the Robotyne area. Ukraine’s multi pronged attacks have forced Russian to essentially commit their operational reserves and their forces are stretched out across the southern and eastern fronts, creating an opportunity. for Ukraine.
Russian drones/missiles continue their extended assault on grain facilities on the Black sea coast. Close to 40 drones/missiles have been fired in the past 24 hours, with nearly all but a few being shot down.
Russian fleet is preparing for military operations in the Black Sea - UK intelligence and reportedly redeployed some of its assets after the Russian Federation withdrew from the Black Sea Grain Initiative, preparing for actions to potentially attempt to blockade Ukraine.
Russia continues to lose Russian KA-52 attack helicopter in the south. Once a key player in Russian defense against Ukraine’s offensive, they have been suffering significant losses and have become more vulnerable to Ukraine AD and now are far less of a threat to Ukraine armor.
Tokmak Axis -
Both Ukraine and Russian sources confirm heavy fighting in the area of Robotyne.
Velyka Novosilka Axis-
Ukraine is continuing to pressure Russians in vicinity of Staromayorske.
Bakhmut Axis -
Russian continues to be forced back on the north and south flanks of Bakhmut. Ukraine drones hitting everything Russian trying to resupply Russian forces in the area.
Western / Central Ukraine ——
Russia has attempted striking western Ukraine sites by skirting along the Moldovan border in an effort to hit areas not well protected by ADA assets.
Russian Territory –
OUTLOOK –
Russia continues to play dangerous with its movement to shut down Black Sea shipping. One false move (and Russia is fully capable of such a screwup) of hitting a NATO flagged vessel and all heck can break out. Poland and Romania have their swords sharpened and at the ready. Still waiting to see if Turkey is going to uphold its promise to Ukraine to escort ships. Against NATO, Russia’s small Black Sea fleet wouldn’t fare very well, nor would any Russian air cover - as NATO would hold the edge there as well.
Have to wait and see if Ukraine’s latest push succeeds in finally breaking Russian defenses in the south. The indicators are all there, but can they deal with the massive minefields quickly enough and hit with cluster bombs to counter lack of air support?
Moldova/Transnistria -
Moldova’s government is expelling 18 Russian diplomats & 27 technical staff from the Russian Embassy in Chișinău.
Europe / NATO General –
NATO / EU is condemning Russian attacks on Ukraine grain facilities.
Central / South America General-
Cuba - Russia making moves to place missiles on the island in a reprise of the Cuban Missile crisis.
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Africa general –
Soldiers in Niger claim to have overthrown President Mohamed Bazoum
Group of soldiers appear on national television to announce the toppling of Bazoum’s government as US calls for the president’s ‘immediate release’.
OBSERVATION - Another day, another coup.
Globalism / Great Reset –
Beginning in 2024, the European Union will require visitors to get pre-approval via the European Travel Information and Authorisation System — and that goes for summer jet-setters from the US.
OBSERVATION - Tinfoil hat? Visa requirements could foretell the implication of the 15 minute city mindset - controlling movement in this case globally.
Economy –
The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) – which includes new manufacturing orders, new building permits, and eight other components – forecasts that the U.S. economy is already in a recession that will last through Q1 2024.
IN RELATED - The U.S. economy grew faster than expected in the second quarter as labor market resilience underpinned consumer spending, while businesses boosted investment in equipment, potentially keeping a much-feared recession at bay.
Gross domestic product increased at a 2.4% annualized rate last quarter, the Commerce Department in its advance estimate of second-quarter GDP on Thursday. The economy grew at a 2.0% pace in the January-March quarter. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast GDP rising at a 1.8% rate.
Outside the housing market and manufacturing, the economy has largely weathered the 525 basis points in interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve since March 2022 as the U.S. central bank battled inflation.
OBSERVATION - Continued high fed rates are seen as a boat anchor for any continued growth.
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A measure of consumer prices that is closely monitored by the Federal Reserve fell last month to its lowest level since March 2021, the latest sign that inflation in the United States is steadily cooling from its once-painful highs.
Prices rose just 3% in June from 12 months earlier, down from a 3.8% annual increase in May, though still above the Fed’s 2% inflation target. On a monthly basis, prices rose 0.2% from May to June, up slightly from 0.1% the previous month.
OBSERVATION - Concern among economists that the raise in the already record high fed rate will start to reverse the trend and that another wave on inflation - due to off shore issues - may be building.
CW2 / Domestic violence -
Over all, activity in this category has hit low levels as Antifa et al has not had a good mobilizing event to jump on. Even the Transtifa wing is at a lower level of operation, facing public pushback following their overt public sex displays and successful efforts of parents to shut them down in schools and other public arenas.
Strategic Activity / Deployments –
Additional F-35s being deployed to the middle east to support Naval freedom of navigation operations in the Persian Gulf region as well as to provide CAP for US forces anti ISIS operations in eastern Syria.
Wuhan Plandemic –
More from the swiss study - Moderna’s Covid jab injured the hearts of about 3 percent of people who received it.
The vaccinated people did not show obvious signs of heart damage. But when researchers ran blood tests three days after the jabs, they found high levels of troponin, a protein the heart releases when it is injured, in many recipients.
“Subclinical mRNA vaccine-associated myocardial injury is much more common than estimated based on passive surveillance,” the researchers concluded. The paper was published last week in the peer-reviewed European Journal of Heart Failure.
Over 1 billion people have received mRNA jabs. The study suggests tens of millions of them may have suffered heart damage – and don’t even know they’ve been hurt.
OBSERVATION - This is beyond incompetence, it was and is a deliberate attack on the global population. Making the mRNA jabs fatal, combined with the Remdesivir / respirator protocol that killed nearly all it was used on, show this was deliberate.
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Speaking of wuhan, a banner popped up on my phone concerning an article about the summer time ‘bump’ in wuhan cases. Just cant leave it alone can they?
POLITICAL FRONT –
biden regime publicly rules out a pardon for Hunter . . . . That should make dinner table conversation a little stressed in the WH.
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Congress breaking for its August vacay. No forward movement on any of the numbers impeachment claims as well as tying up a federal budget.
North/South Korea –
First images of North Korea’s July 27 military parade show new drones (These mimic the USAF MQ-9 & RQ-4.) conducting flyovers and on trailers rolling through the parade square, as well as new ‘Haeil’ underwater drones and the country’s largest nuclear missiles.
OBSERVATION - The drones are reverse engineered from US models. A larger surprise is the display of a large underwater drone.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated July 9, 2023
Russia is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine, relying on Russian doctrinal defense in depth to blunt the Ukrainian offensive. With Ukraine lacking air superiority, Russia has taken chance in using its aircraft (helicopters and fast movers) to more directly assist its ground forces, though at an increasing loss of airframes.
The month plus of Ukraine offensive action has forced Russia to give up terrain on all fronts - most notably in the Bakhmut area where Russian forces are now being in danger of being encircled.
Russian reserves are increasingly being used to try to stop Ukrainian advances. Just how big and combat capable of a reserve force is debatable. Reports that Russia has amassed about 180,000 troops opposite of Kharkiv may be a ploy to freeze some of the Ukraine forces out of the offensive to the south. However, this number includes cooks, bottle washers and other logistic elements, so the ‘teeth’ numbers are likely much lower.
Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. Recent attacks indicate the Russia has started to produce its own Shahed drones with Iranian assistance. Russia capable of continued, though limited, attacks in this arena.
Russia is capable of launching small scale attacks in various sectors of company and small sized elements, but any large scale offensive action in the face of the heavy demands from defending against the Ukrainian offensive are essentially nil.
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putin continues to try to woo African nations at the meeting in St Petersburg. Latest is an offer of free grain and free shipping - grain likely that stolen from Ukraine. Russia faces an uphill battle against Chinese influence on the continent because the Ukraine war has exposed Russia as weak and financially strapped, while China is willing to flash money to countries to fund projects.
NUCLEAR THREATS –
Rumors that Russia has actually placed some tactical nukes in bunkers in Belarus.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Warm with some highs in the upper 60s to 90’s with mid week forecast of thunderstorms.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Russian defenses have cracked on two of the Ukrainian axes of attack. Ukraine flanked russian forces in Tobotyne, and punched through to the “dragon teeth’ line south of Staromayorske. Both have placed Russian forces in an untenable position which will likely result in withdrawals over the next couple days.
Russian milbloggers report chaos as commander are unable to direct forces to counter the Ukraine forces.
Significant note - Artillery fire that has been sporatic and scattered along the Kharkiv - Sumy border has suddenly died down. Could be a reporting blip or Russia is desperately trying to redirect ammo to the eastern and southern fronts.
Tokmak Axis -
Robotyne has been flanked to the east and is endanger now of being cut off.
Rumint. General Staff of the RF Armed Forces have given a order to withdraw from Robotyne and Urozaine
Velyka Novosilka Axis-
Ukrainian Defense Forces have liberated Staromayorske village near Velyka Novosilka
Russian Territory –
Drone was reportedly shot down in Moscow overnight.
Explosive device exploded at Kuybishevsky refinery in Samara.
Partisan Resistance ——
Explosions and fire at oil depot in Shakhtarsk
OUTLOOK –
Yesterday’s actions suggest that Russia’s lines are buckling and that they have little left to rely on. Ukraine’s biggest hinderance has been the plethora of mines Russia has laid out. Ukraine appears to be close to sealing a method of mine removal consisting of concentrated artillery fire and specialized equipment to clear lanes.
The recent breakthroughs will challenge Russia’s ability to make an orderly pull back to deeper defensive lines. Fixed defenses can be maneuvered around and Russia cannot man the whole line at the same time. Russian units are also reportedly wore our, no reserves or replacements for forces while Ukraine cycles in fresh and well trained/armed units.
Ukraine may well make substantial gains over the next few days, and the areas they are pushing through will give them tactical advantages as they press further southward.
Israel –
Leftists continue protesting bill that will being judicial reforms in the country.
Iran –
A number of European intelligence reports recently translated and published by the Middle East Media Research Institute (MEMRI) revealed a growing concern that Iran could soon be ready to test an atomic bomb. The Netherlands General Intelligence and Security Service examined Iran’s fast-tracking of its weapons grade uranium manufacturing and concluded that it “brings the option of a possible [Iranian] first nuclear test closer.” AVID went on to say, “Iran is further ignoring the agreements that were made within the framework of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA). And by deploying increasingly more sophisticated uranium enrichment centrifuges, it is enlarging its enrichment capacity.”
OBSERVATION - Iran crosses this red line, Israel will be forced to attack - and things will become very ugly in the region.