Globalism / Great Reset –
Beginning in 2024, the European Union will require visitors to get pre-approval via the European Travel Information and Authorisation System — and that goes for summer jet-setters from the US.
OBSERVATION - Tinfoil hat? Visa requirements could foretell the implication of the 15 minute city mindset - controlling movement in this case globally.
Economy –
The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) – which includes new manufacturing orders, new building permits, and eight other components – forecasts that the U.S. economy is already in a recession that will last through Q1 2024.
IN RELATED - The U.S. economy grew faster than expected in the second quarter as labor market resilience underpinned consumer spending, while businesses boosted investment in equipment, potentially keeping a much-feared recession at bay.
Gross domestic product increased at a 2.4% annualized rate last quarter, the Commerce Department in its advance estimate of second-quarter GDP on Thursday. The economy grew at a 2.0% pace in the January-March quarter. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast GDP rising at a 1.8% rate.
Outside the housing market and manufacturing, the economy has largely weathered the 525 basis points in interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve since March 2022 as the U.S. central bank battled inflation.
OBSERVATION - Continued high fed rates are seen as a boat anchor for any continued growth.
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A measure of consumer prices that is closely monitored by the Federal Reserve fell last month to its lowest level since March 2021, the latest sign that inflation in the United States is steadily cooling from its once-painful highs.
Prices rose just 3% in June from 12 months earlier, down from a 3.8% annual increase in May, though still above the Fed’s 2% inflation target. On a monthly basis, prices rose 0.2% from May to June, up slightly from 0.1% the previous month.
OBSERVATION - Concern among economists that the raise in the already record high fed rate will start to reverse the trend and that another wave on inflation - due to off shore issues - may be building.
CW2 / Domestic violence -
Over all, activity in this category has hit low levels as Antifa et al has not had a good mobilizing event to jump on. Even the Transtifa wing is at a lower level of operation, facing public pushback following their overt public sex displays and successful efforts of parents to shut them down in schools and other public arenas.
Strategic Activity / Deployments –
Additional F-35s being deployed to the middle east to support Naval freedom of navigation operations in the Persian Gulf region as well as to provide CAP for US forces anti ISIS operations in eastern Syria.
Wuhan Plandemic –
More from the swiss study - Moderna’s Covid jab injured the hearts of about 3 percent of people who received it.
The vaccinated people did not show obvious signs of heart damage. But when researchers ran blood tests three days after the jabs, they found high levels of troponin, a protein the heart releases when it is injured, in many recipients.
“Subclinical mRNA vaccine-associated myocardial injury is much more common than estimated based on passive surveillance,” the researchers concluded. The paper was published last week in the peer-reviewed European Journal of Heart Failure.
Over 1 billion people have received mRNA jabs. The study suggests tens of millions of them may have suffered heart damage – and don’t even know they’ve been hurt.
OBSERVATION - This is beyond incompetence, it was and is a deliberate attack on the global population. Making the mRNA jabs fatal, combined with the Remdesivir / respirator protocol that killed nearly all it was used on, show this was deliberate.
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Speaking of wuhan, a banner popped up on my phone concerning an article about the summer time ‘bump’ in wuhan cases. Just cant leave it alone can they?
POLITICAL FRONT –
biden regime publicly rules out a pardon for Hunter . . . . That should make dinner table conversation a little stressed in the WH.
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Congress breaking for its August vacay. No forward movement on any of the numbers impeachment claims as well as tying up a federal budget.
North/South Korea –
First images of North Korea’s July 27 military parade show new drones (These mimic the USAF MQ-9 & RQ-4.) conducting flyovers and on trailers rolling through the parade square, as well as new ‘Haeil’ underwater drones and the country’s largest nuclear missiles.
OBSERVATION - The drones are reverse engineered from US models. A larger surprise is the display of a large underwater drone.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated July 9, 2023
Russia is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine, relying on Russian doctrinal defense in depth to blunt the Ukrainian offensive. With Ukraine lacking air superiority, Russia has taken chance in using its aircraft (helicopters and fast movers) to more directly assist its ground forces, though at an increasing loss of airframes.
The month plus of Ukraine offensive action has forced Russia to give up terrain on all fronts - most notably in the Bakhmut area where Russian forces are now being in danger of being encircled.
Russian reserves are increasingly being used to try to stop Ukrainian advances. Just how big and combat capable of a reserve force is debatable. Reports that Russia has amassed about 180,000 troops opposite of Kharkiv may be a ploy to freeze some of the Ukraine forces out of the offensive to the south. However, this number includes cooks, bottle washers and other logistic elements, so the ‘teeth’ numbers are likely much lower.
Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. Recent attacks indicate the Russia has started to produce its own Shahed drones with Iranian assistance. Russia capable of continued, though limited, attacks in this arena.
Russia is capable of launching small scale attacks in various sectors of company and small sized elements, but any large scale offensive action in the face of the heavy demands from defending against the Ukrainian offensive are essentially nil.
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putin continues to try to woo African nations at the meeting in St Petersburg. Latest is an offer of free grain and free shipping - grain likely that stolen from Ukraine. Russia faces an uphill battle against Chinese influence on the continent because the Ukraine war has exposed Russia as weak and financially strapped, while China is willing to flash money to countries to fund projects.
NUCLEAR THREATS –
Rumors that Russia has actually placed some tactical nukes in bunkers in Belarus.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Warm with some highs in the upper 60s to 90’s with mid week forecast of thunderstorms.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Russian defenses have cracked on two of the Ukrainian axes of attack. Ukraine flanked russian forces in Tobotyne, and punched through to the “dragon teeth’ line south of Staromayorske. Both have placed Russian forces in an untenable position which will likely result in withdrawals over the next couple days.
Russian milbloggers report chaos as commander are unable to direct forces to counter the Ukraine forces.
Significant note - Artillery fire that has been sporatic and scattered along the Kharkiv - Sumy border has suddenly died down. Could be a reporting blip or Russia is desperately trying to redirect ammo to the eastern and southern fronts.
Tokmak Axis -
Robotyne has been flanked to the east and is endanger now of being cut off.
Rumint. General Staff of the RF Armed Forces have given a order to withdraw from Robotyne and Urozaine
Velyka Novosilka Axis-
Ukrainian Defense Forces have liberated Staromayorske village near Velyka Novosilka
Russian Territory –
Drone was reportedly shot down in Moscow overnight.
Explosive device exploded at Kuybishevsky refinery in Samara.
Partisan Resistance ——
Explosions and fire at oil depot in Shakhtarsk
OUTLOOK –
Yesterday’s actions suggest that Russia’s lines are buckling and that they have little left to rely on. Ukraine’s biggest hinderance has been the plethora of mines Russia has laid out. Ukraine appears to be close to sealing a method of mine removal consisting of concentrated artillery fire and specialized equipment to clear lanes.
The recent breakthroughs will challenge Russia’s ability to make an orderly pull back to deeper defensive lines. Fixed defenses can be maneuvered around and Russia cannot man the whole line at the same time. Russian units are also reportedly wore our, no reserves or replacements for forces while Ukraine cycles in fresh and well trained/armed units.
Ukraine may well make substantial gains over the next few days, and the areas they are pushing through will give them tactical advantages as they press further southward.
Israel –
Leftists continue protesting bill that will being judicial reforms in the country.
Iran –
A number of European intelligence reports recently translated and published by the Middle East Media Research Institute (MEMRI) revealed a growing concern that Iran could soon be ready to test an atomic bomb. The Netherlands General Intelligence and Security Service examined Iran’s fast-tracking of its weapons grade uranium manufacturing and concluded that it “brings the option of a possible [Iranian] first nuclear test closer.” AVID went on to say, “Iran is further ignoring the agreements that were made within the framework of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA). And by deploying increasingly more sophisticated uranium enrichment centrifuges, it is enlarging its enrichment capacity.”
OBSERVATION - Iran crosses this red line, Israel will be forced to attack - and things will become very ugly in the region.
Globalism / Great Reset –
UN - “The era of global warming has ended. The era of global boiling has arrived. The air is unbreathable, the heat is unbearable, and the level of fossil fuel profits and climate inaction is unacceptable.”
OBSERVATION - I noted at least a year ago that the next global crisis will be that of global warming and that the ‘crisis’ will be used to generate a lockdown similar to that used for wuhan. The compliance of the sheeple in that plandemic formed the template for future actions by the global elite. Already the hype is in overdrive -
- Hottest July in tens of thousands of years
- Hottest ocean temperatures ever
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2023/07/28/how-to-push-a-climate-crisis-hoax-floridas-record-ocean-temperature/
- ocean currents are at the point of collapse.
There are some key hurdles that have to be cleared before such a global emergency can not only be declared but enforced. First is the subjugation of the sheeple burned by the wuhan hoax to once again submit to the global/govt overlords. Second, political situations in the US and other nations have to shift to an even more totalitarian footing where rule by executive order is largely unchallenged by opposition parties/elements. Third, the huge PR/propaganda play has to cow enough sheeple to provide social cover for the totalitarian laws/rules to go into place.
No clue as to how soon these and other pieces will come together, but the increased fervor of the effort belies the fact that they want it sooner than later.
Economy –
The U.S. rig count is down by 13% over the last year, according to figures from the Baker Hughes rig count posted on Friday.
The oil and gas rig count, an early indicator of future output, fell by five to 664, according to the last count held on July 28. As compared to totals from last year, there are now 103 fewer rigs than on July 29, 2022.
OBSERVATION - This will only get worse as new fees and royalties get slammed onto exploration - all in the effort to kill the petroleum industry. This will in the long term, create potential fuel shortage disasters should our off shore sources cease (combined with an essentially empty oil reserve). The consequences to the overall economy are at a nuclear level disaster should our enemies stop the flow of foreign oil.
IN RELATED - Gasoline prices have risen for the past 8 weeks.
CW2 / Domestic violence -
Nearly half of millennials believe that misgendering a transgender person should be considered a crime, according to a new poll conducted by Redfield & Wilton Strategies for Newsweek.
According to Newsweek, “44 percent of those aged 25-34 think ‘referring to someone by the wrong gender pronoun (he/him, she/her) should be a criminal offense.’”
Thirty-one percent (31%) of millennials surveyed disagreed with the notion that it should be a crime and the remainder reported they “neither agree nor disagree” or “don’t know.”
Newsweek also stated, “[t]his view remains popular for those aged 35-44, among whom 38 percent think misgendering should be illegal, whilst 35 percent disagree and 26 percent either don’t know or didn’t express an opinion.”
It was quite a contrast to the population at large, where 65% of Americans said it should not be considered a crime, only 19% thought it should be, and the remainder were unwilling to give a definitive answer.
OBSERVATION - Of note, most of the supporters / foot soldiers of Antifa and other violent leftist outfits are in the sub 34 yr old category. This is further evidence of growing willingness by the left to use violence as a means to obtain its ends.
Strategic Activity / Deployments –
The B-21 Raider accomplished its first “power on” test in recent months, moving it another step closer to a first flight that is still scheduled to take place before the end of 2023, Northrop Grumman officials announced July 27.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Just more chest beating by republicans and democrats alike. Things will get real hot when they get back from August recess and have to deal with the budget.
North/South Korea –
Ukrainian soldiers were observed using North Korean rockets that they said were seized by a “friendly” country before being delivered to Ukraine, the Financial Times reported on Saturday. Ukraine’s defense ministry suggested the arms were captured from the Russians, the newspaper said.
Ukraine were reportedly saying these rockets had “unusual” ballistic pattern (IE, they were not very accurate).
NK has repeatedly said they have not supplied munitions to Russia.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated July 9, 2023
Russia is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine, relying on Russian doctrinal defense in depth to blunt the Ukrainian offensive. With Ukraine lacking air superiority, Russia has taken chance in using its aircraft (helicopters and fast movers) to more directly assist its ground forces, though at an increasing loss of airframes.
The month plus of Ukraine offensive action has forced Russia to give up terrain on all fronts - most notably in the Bakhmut area where Russian forces are now being in danger of being encircled.
Russian reserves are increasingly being used to try to stop Ukrainian advances. Just how big and combat capable of a reserve force is debatable. Reports that Russia has amassed about 180,000 troops opposite of Kharkiv may be a ploy to freeze some of the Ukraine forces out of the offensive to the south. However, this number includes cooks, bottle washers and other logistic elements, so the ‘teeth’ numbers are likely much lower.
Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. Recent attacks indicate the Russia has started to produce its own Shahed drones with Iranian assistance. Russia capable of continued, though limited, attacks in this arena.
Russia is capable of launching small scale attacks in various sectors of company and small sized elements, but any large scale offensive action in the face of the heavy demands from defending against the Ukrainian offensive are essentially nil.
Russian Personnel Issues –-
New rumors concerning another military callus of 500K to be ready for way by fall. Recently, the conscription age was raised from 18-27 to 18-30.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Warm with some highs in the upper 60s to 90’s with mid week forecast of thunderstorms.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
News from the front is relatively quiet from reporters on both sides overnight as opposed to yesterday. Observers note that when Ukraine is up to something, they do a good job at OPSEC in the interwebs. Russian milbloggers are noted to go quiet when things are going really bad.
Russia and Ukraine exchanged missiles, each striking targets. Russian missiles however continued to strike civilian targets while Ukraine missiles are believed to have hit miilitary ones (OPSEC).
OUTLOOK –
I expect that Ukraine is in the process of exploiting the break through of Russian defenses and mop up operations. Russia is believed to have committed most of its operational reserves to stop the initial Ukraine offensive, so they may have very little left to block any breakthroughs.. With the attempted Russian counter offensive in the Kharkiv region quickly stalling out, and continued Ukraine pressure around Bakhmut, pulling forces from the west to the south are problematical.
Combined with deep command and logistical interdiction by Ukraine assets, Ukraine ground forces so far have out maneuvered the more fixed Russian defensive lines and the threat of encirclement may cause Russian resistance to crumble. Depending on how good the Russian command and leadership is will determine how orderly these Russian forces will pull back.
There is no doubt in my mind that Ukraine is swinging for the fence, knowing that the summer season is coming to a close and they need to reach Crimea (or at least cut off the ‘land bridge’) as soon as possible.
Belarus -
See Poland below on Wagner presence
Poland –
Poland’s interior minister says around 1k-1,2k Wagner mercenaries currently at the Osipovichi military camp in Belarus plus dozens of wagnerists at the Brest military training range with no heavy military equipment with them.
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Army to be doubled in Poland - Deputy Prime Minister Kaczynski
Today, the Polish army has 172 thousand soldiers, but in the future there will be 300 thousand, and the number of divisions will increase from 3 to 6.
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Polish officials suspect some Wagner mercenaries will dress as Belarus Border guards and attempt to destabilize Poland through the allowance of illegal migrants to cross the border, while other Wagner war criminals will enter Poland in disguise for later terrorist acts.
Israel –
Leftists continue protesting bill that will being judicial reforms in the country.
Central / South America General-
Haiti - The embassy further warned that the U.S. government could only offer “extremely limited” assistance and that remaining government personnel were prohibited from leaving the area around the embassy.
The U.S. State Department ordered all government personnel to evacuate the Caribbean nation of Haiti amid a significant rise in gang violence and domestic turmoil.
The embassy in Port-au-Prince announced a “Do Not Travel” order, citing heightened risk of kidnapping. Non-emergency government personnel were also ordered to leave the country.
“Do not travel to Haiti due to kidnapping, crime, civil unrest, and poor health care infrastructure,” the warning reads. “On July 27, 2023, the Department of State ordered the departure of family members of U.S. government employees and non-emergency U.S. government employees.”
“U.S. citizens in Haiti should depart Haiti as soon as possible by commercial or other privately available transportation options, in light of the current security situation and infrastructure challenges. U.S. citizens wishing to depart Port-au-Prince should monitor local news and only do so when considered safe,” it continued.
The embassy further warned that the U.S. government could only offer “extremely limited” assistance and that remaining government personnel were prohibited from leaving the area around the embassy. They further may not use public transportation or taxis, visit banks or use ATMs, drive at night, or travel anywhere without authorization.
OBSERVATION - The perennial hell-hole of a ‘country’ continues to fall apart under anarchy and violence. Political corruption is rampant and power is in the hands of gangs. Hate to be too dystopian, but in some ways Haiti can serve as a warning to what might happen in our densely populated urban areas in the event that things go very sideways.here.