Globalism / Great Reset –
The Los Angeles Times says that blackouts have to increase in order to combat climate change, while stunningly acknowledging the policy may cost people’s lives. The newspaper has asked its dwindling audience to consider “a larger conversation” in which people become more accustomed to changing their expectations, including the idea of living without electricity for large parts of their lives so as to prevent “climate catastrophe.”
OBSERVATION - Aligned with the WEF’s overall attack on energy, extended power outages have a far greater impact on society than just reducing carbon emissions. First is the spoilage of frozen foods in store - outages in Kalifornia a few years back hammered stores to the tune of tens of thousands of dollars losses. Second is the direct threat to human life. Loss of power yields loss of life to those dependent on power for life support functions, hospitals hit and depending on the season cold/heat related deaths. The callousness of the writer displays that humans are unimportant and disposable. I wonder just how his views may change without power for a week?
Economy –
Consumers reportedly are viewing the current economy more favorably due to the drop in the inflation rate over last summer. However, real earnings have actually declined over the same period. The housing market continues to collapse in addition to the commercial property market.
Many seem to think that the recession many forecast to hit this summer may be pushed off to 2024. Mixed indicators are growing to support such an interpretation.
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The national average price for a gallon of gasoline could rise five to 10 cents this week, with increases of 10 to 25 cents a gallon in some states, Patrick De Haan, head of petroleum analysis for GasBuddy, tweeted Monday.
Currently, the average price for a gallon of gas is $3.58 for the week ending July 20, three cents higher from the previous week. Still, it is 88 cents less than a year ago, according to the latest report by AAA.
OBSERVATION - Food and fuel are two of the greatest hitters to the family budget. Will gasoline prices take off in a greater manner. I don’t see it too likely as OPEC+ while dropping production to stabilize higher prices has the capability to increase to profit even more off what may be increased demand.
CW2 / Domestic violence -
Trust in the govt and once favored alphabet agencies like the FBI have crashed over the past few years, accelerated in the face of a two-tiered justice system and exposure of gross civil rights violations from spying on US citizens without warrant or cause. Such violations drives a wedge between the citizenry and the govt, making further causes against the govt more justified. History repeats itself and there are growing parallels IMHO to the same tyrannical govt/ citizen revolt as what triggered the War of Independence. Many parallels.
- Govt censorship of news, development of alternative media
- Govt attmpting to restrict arms/ammunition
- Govt declaring narrative opponents as domestic terrorists.
- Increasing police powers
- Growing split in citizenry (Tory’s vs Patriots, Red vs Blue)
Wuhan Plandemic –
Recent deaths and cardiac episodes of high profile individuals like most recently LeBron James’ son, has rekindled the spot light on the danger of the nMRA jab to the general population. I see more studies floating around out there that continue to justify initial warnings of the dangers jab. Just isn’t hitting the news like it once was.
In response to these high visibility casualities, government health officials in the United States and the United Kingdom have declared that the “explosion” of soaring deaths and disabilities in the aftermath of the Covid mRNA vaccine rollout is just a “coincidence.”
Official government data shows a staggering spike in disabilities, autism, blood clots, strokes, heart attacks, and related deaths since early 2021.
POLITICAL FRONT –
DeSantis laid off one-third of his campaign staff after recent filings revealed the campaign was not raising enough money to sustain operations. His campaign is increasingly showing signs of faltering and may well fold by the end of the year.
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RFK Jr is creating serious waves in the democrat primary. So much so the marxists are trying to censor him on many matters and ways to challenge the narrative.
Opposing RFK is the snot nosed kalifornian gov Newsome, who is apparently running for office without running for the office.
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More questions than answers concerning the drowning at 0bama’s global warming endangered estate at Martha’ vineyard.
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Hunter’s plea deal is in jeopardy following the revelation that his lawyers posed as plaintiff lawyers to have evidence removed from the docket prior to his plea bargain hearing. In addition to the possibility that the plea agreement may be tossed, his lawyers face serious sanctions.
Biden Watch –
Biden: “I said I’d cure cancer they looked at me like, why cancer? Because we can. We ended cancer as we know it.”
OBSERVATION - Early in his reign, his handlers carefully sculpted his press time. Now it appears that they are letting his dementia display itself more and more. Part of laying the foundation for his removal from the 2024 campaign?
Illegal Immigration –
The regime is playing numbers games claiming that illegal immigrant border crossings are down, while Republicans point out border authorities are sending illegals to ports of entry and aren’t included in the illegal crossing numbers.
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Texas is saying ‘see you in court’ over the barriers they installed in the Rio Grande River to block crossings by illegals. As the court day approaches, will Texas actually stand up in a rebellious manner to the cabal in DC.
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The Biden administration was dealt a major blow in its efforts to control the ongoing border crisis on Tuesday when a federal judge blocked a rule introduced in May that makes migrants ineligible for asylum if they have entered illegally and failed to take advantage of expanded lawful pathways set up by the federal government.
Judge Jon Tigar of the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California blocked the Circumvention of Lawful Pathways rule in response to a lawsuit from a coalition of left-wing immigration groups, which claimed the rule was similar to a Trump-era transit ban that was similarly blocked. He found the rule is “both substantively and procedurally invalid” and has delayed his ruling from taking effect for 14 days to give the administration time to appeal
OBSERVATION - Like most of the legal decisions against biden, his regime will likely tweak the now illegal program to still keep the same standards but enough to meet the requirements of the decision. Delay , delay, delay scheme to work around the courts.
North/South Korea –
A Russian delegation led by Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu has arrived in North Korea, to be joined by a Chinese delegation later on Wednesday.
They will attend Pyongyang’s celebrations of the 70th anniversary of the end of the Korean War, marked typically by massive military parades.
The visits are the first of their kind to the North since it shut its borders to try to keep out the pandemic.
OBSERVATION - NK has mouthed support for Russia in its war against Ukraine. Rumors that NK has even supplied munitions. Russia may be trying to rebuild support from allies as its other ‘allies’ have refused to materially support the war.
NK has very little to offer except a potential source of labor and some munitions (rated at very low quality).
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated July 9, 2023
Russia is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine, relying on Russian doctrinal defense in depth to blunt the Ukrainian offensive. With Ukraine lacking air superiority, Russia has taken chance in using its aircraft (helicopters and fast movers) to more directly assist its ground forces, though at an increasing loss of airframes.
The month plus of Ukraine offensive action has forced Russia to give up terrain on all fronts - most notably in the Bakhmut area where Russian forces are now being in danger of being encircled.
Russian reserves are increasingly being used to try to stop Ukrainian advances. Just how big and combat capable of a reserve force is debatable. Reports that Russia has amassed about 180,000 troops opposite of Kharkiv may be a ploy to freeze some of the Ukraine forces out of the offensive to the south. However, this number includes cooks, bottle washers and other logistic elements, so the ‘teeth’ numbers are likely much lower.
Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. Recent attacks indicate the Russia has started to produce its own Shahed drones with Iranian assistance. Russia capable of continued, though limited, attacks in this arena.
Russia is capable of launching small scale attacks in various sectors of company and small sized elements, but any large scale offensive action in the face of the heavy demands from defending against the Ukrainian offensive are essentially nil.
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See Shoigu NK visit above under North/South Korea
Kerch Bridge update –
The Russian government has extended the deadline for rebuilding the Crimean bridge until December 31, 2023 Earlier it was reported that the bridge will be rebuilt within a month, later they revised the terms and announced November, now the new deadline is the end of 2023.
Russian Personnel Issues –-
Russian parliament has raised the conscription age for compulsory service in Russia. Now it will be from 18 to 30 years old (previously it used to be 21 to 27 years old).
NOTE - Evidence that Russia is digging in to the thought of an extended war with Ukraine.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Warm with some highs in the upper 60s to 90’s with mid week forecast of thunderstorms.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
No significant changes from the previous post.
Tokmak Axis -
Ukraine forces are reportedly cracking Russian defenses in the push to seize the village of Robotyne.
Velyka Novosilka Axis-
Ukraine is reportedly making gains and on the verge of a breakout in the vicinity of Staromayorske.
Bakhmut Axis -
Around the northern and southern flanks of Bakhmut, Ukraine has seized key terrain and in the past 6 weeks recaptured more terrain than Russia did in 6 months.
OUTLOOK –
Reported Ukraine breakthroughs in various fronts will likely yield limited gains - just like other breakthroughs have over the past few weeks. I don’t expect a Kharkiv style breakout like last fall. That may come in time however, as Ukraine continues to hammer Russian logistics and C3.
Belarus -
Wagner elements have started showing up with limited armor vehicle capability, but no heavy armor/tanks.
Iran –
While on hiatus, the US has expanded its force presence in the Persian Gulf in response to the increase in Iranian seizures of cargo and oil vessels in the region. Presence of power is of limited deterrence unless the US is willing to use the force associated with it.
Syria -
Russian fighter jets ‘severely damaged’ a US Air Force MQ-9 Reaper drone that was conducting counter-ISIS operations over Syria. -CENTCOM
The Russian jet dropped/fired flares in front of the Reaper, one of which hit the propeller damaging it. Russia has been playing this kind of game for several months now and a dangerous one it is.
Mexico -
Tension between Mexico and the United States continues to escalate as Mexico urges the U.S. to enact legal proceedings, calling on a U.S. court to pursue a $10 billion lawsuit against gun manufacturers.
This week, Mexico called on a U.S. appeals court to pursue a $10 billion lawsuit that would hold U.S. gun manufacturers responsible for facilitating the trafficking of guns to drug cartels across the U.S. – Mexico border. The request comes as the topic of drug cartels has drawn the ire of Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO), Mexico’s president.
The request stems from a three-judge panel from the 1st U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals in Boston that had questioned if a lower-court had wrongly concluded that a U.S. law prevented Mexico from suing Smith & Wesson Brands, Ruger & Co., Sturm, and the like. The law in question is the federal Protection of Lawful Commerce in Arms Act, which provides broad protection to the firearms industry from lawsuits over the misuse of their products.
OBSERVATION - Leftist govt in Mexico doing the dirty work for the leftists regime in DC.
Misc of Note –
I always had an interest in UFOs, ever since the 60s and the major flaps of the decade. They were never considered seriously by most until suddenly the last few years when the infamous “Tic Tac” videos came out. Now there is a significant fixation on ufos, not only at the govt level, but acceptance a the MSM level as well. What is this being a cover for? Or perhaps, what is this all preparing us for? This is one of the major tinfoil hat conspiracy theories that is still up in the air. However given the track record of other conspiracy theories coming up true, one must wonder.
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Drought emergencies are being declared many areas of the northwest and northern Rockies because of early snowmelt, a lack of spring rain and low-flowing streams. These conditions, as well as drying conditions in Kalifornia, have prompted me to start monitoring the national fire situation daily.
Black Swans
Alaska’s Trident volcano has seen a significant increase in seismic activity and ground uplift over the past five months, leading to concerns about a potential volcanic eruption. The Alaska Volcano Observatory (AVO) has confirmed that this unrest is the result of magma intrusion beneath the volcano. The rising magma, which can trigger an eruption, has also caused increased seismic activity in the neighboring volcanoes of the Katmai volcanic cluster, including Katmai, Martin, Mageik, and the Novarupta vent.
The largest eruption of the 20th century occurred in June 1912 near the base of the Trident volcano. The eruption occurred at a location known as Novarupta, close to a group of late Quaternary stratocones and domes that have released an estimated 140 km3 (33.6 mi3) of magma over the past 150 000 years. Despite the eruption occurring closest to the Trident volcano group and other nearby volcanoes, it was Mount Katmai, 10 km (6.2 miles) east of Novarupta, that experienced a significant collapse, forming a 5.5 km3 (1.3 mi3) caldera.
The eruption was accompanied by many earthquakes, including 14 ranging from magnitude 6 to 7, which released 250 times more seismic energy than the 1991 caldera-forming eruption of the Pinatubo volcano in the Philippines.
Around 13 km3 (3.1 mi3) of magma erupted in 1912, which included a significant amount of high-silica rhyolite and crystal-rich dacite. The Katmai caldera only compensated for 40% of the erupted magma.
OBSERVATION - Mega volcanic eruptions cause significant climate altering effects and a 1912 repeat may well have great impact.
Cuba willing to accept russian missilery. Imho the missiles have been in cuba for a minimum of one year.
Globalism / Great Reset –
A top World Economic Forum (WEF) official has called for so-called ‘conspiracy theorists’ to be banned from accessing the internet due to their ‘dangerous’ belief that a global cabal of elites control the world.
Yuval Noah Harari, who is Klaus Schwab’s right hand man, condemned the theory that a shadowy elite of billionaires and globalists control the world as “anti-Semitic” and “dangerous.”
During an appearance on the Lex Fridman podcast, Harari pointed out that the world is “too complex” for powerful people to control it.
“The global cabal theory has many variations, but basically, there is a small group of people, a cabal, that secretly controls everything that is happening in the world,” Harari declared.
“All the wars, all the revolutions, all the epidemics, everything that is happening is controlled by this very small group of people, who are of course evil and have bad intentions.”
OBSERVATION - Harari is by far the most dangerous person on the WEF’s inner circle of power. He is simply an expression of true evil. As we have seen in the wuhan information crackdown as well as other govt actions to silence speech against the narrative, squashing and controlling speech is an essential component of their plans to rule.
Economy –
Availability of money is a key indicator of future economic activity This is tracked in part by the money supply. Annualized, non-seasonally adjusted M2 money supply growth went from -7.4% in early June to -5.8% in early July. Although improving, money supply growth is at the lowest in decades and still at Great Depression levels.
When money supply growth falls below 0%, a stock market crash, financial crisis, or recession follows. This year was no different – money supply growth fell to -2% right before Silicon Valley Bank collapsed in March. (FO)
OBSERVATION - Still contains a threat of later recession, so the SVB crash is only a foreshock.
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The Federal Reserve resumed its aggressive rate hikes to tackle inflation, raising the interest rate by a quarter-point today. This raises the rate to a range of 5.25% – 5.5%, the highest in 22 years.
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(Bloomberg) — A strong majority of business economists now say the odds of the US entering a recession in the next 12 months are 50% or less, according to a National Association for Business Economics survey.
Some 71% of respondents reported such an outlook in results of the poll, published Monday. That marks a sharp turnaround from NABE’s previous survey in April, which showed an almost even split between those forecasting a downturn and those who were not.
More than one in four respondents in the July survey put the chance of a recession in the next year at 25% or less.
Ongoing strength in the labor market and a pullback in key consumer price metrics have helped fuel the shift in sentiment. While economists have in recent months repeatedly altered their forecasts for when a potential recession may begin, the NABE survey results suggest many may now be changing their minds altogether on the inevitability of one.
OBSERVATION - Having been calling for a recession for a year now, the strength of many of the sectors of the economy may be enough to prevent a crash. But we are in no ways out of the woods yet.
IN RELATED - U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said Wednesday Fed staff are no longer forecasting a U.S. recession, and “we do have a shot” for inflation to return to target without high levels of job losses.
Powell told a news conference after the Fed’s latest interest-rate hike that there was “a lot left to go to” see such a soft landing.
IN MORE RELATED - Sales of new single-family houses in the U.S. fell by far more than expected in June.
The Commerce Department said that new home sales fell 2.5 percent in June compared to the previous month. New homes sold at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 697,000, according to Commerce Department data released Wednesday.
OBSERVATION - Fed rate hikes and still soft economic footing of most americans is still dragging on the economy. Historical marker of economic pull out from recessions has been the housing market and with the outrageously high costs combined with near record interest rates there is no light at the end of the tunnel to be seen yet.
All this economic ‘news’ (propaganda) hasn’t really reached the masses pocket books. According to a new Rasmussen poll a 51% majority of likely U.S. voters give Biden a poor rating on his handling of the economy, compared to 37% who rate the president’s handling of the economy as good or excellent. In April, 42% gave Biden a good or excellent rating on the economy
CW2 / Domestic violence -
Public support for the use of force to coerce members of Congress grew sharply among Democrats, according to a University of Chicago study.
Support for the use of force grew from nine percent to 17 percent between January 2023 to June 2023, effectively doubling, according to the study.
A graph in the study showed that Democrats’ support for the use of force grew from seven percent in January 2023 to 16 percent in June 2023 — a growth of nine percent.
“This growing anger parallels the Republican rise to power and proceedings in the House of Representatives,” the study said.
Meanwhile, support for the use of force among Republicans grew by six percent and Independents by eight percent.
Related. A new poll from Pew Research shows that a growing number of Americans, mostly people on the left, no longer support First Amendment protections for free speech.
A majority of Americans – and an overwhelming number of Democrats – no longer support First Amendment protections for free speech.
The government should restrict “false” information online, even if doing so blocks people from “publishing or accessing information,” 55 percent of Americans said in a large poll released Thursday. Only 42 percent disagreed.
OBSERVATION - Been tracking this for a while. As the left continues to try to dehumanize the right via propaganda (IE ‘White nationalists’, domestic terrorists, etc), the natural barriers to violence are being stepped away and the left now feels more justified in violent actions. Continued tyrannical actions by the govt against the right combined with the incessant drum beats against conservatives will only grow and sharpen the divide between Red and Blue.
Wuhan Plandemic –
More of “we knew this all along”. A study done in Basel Switzerland indicates that the rate of subclinical myocarditis after the COVID vaccine is hardly rare at all.
In fact, in a study with only 777 participants with a median age of 37—all medical professionals getting the COVID vaccine–the incidence of elevated cardiac enzymes 3 days after injection was pretty substantial, at almost 3%.
The CDC did a study and from that, they claimed the rate was 0.001%, or one out of 100,000.
2.8% is a lot higher than 0.001%. Another 0.3% had “probable myocarditis,” putting the total at over 3%. That is 3000 times higher than the US government claimed.
POLITICAL FRONT –
The proposed plea deal between Hunter Biden and the Department of Justice (DOJ) on alleged tax crimes fell apart in court yesterday after prosecutors told the judge the plea bargain would not immunize Hunter from future prosecution of the Foreign Agents Registration Act. I’ll defer to the FR threads covering this in greater detail, but it was UGLY for both biden’s defense team as well as the DOJ.
BTW, the judge’s conditions of release rules for hunter’s behavior are epic.
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Increasing rumors that January 6 charges against Trump drop soon in order to draw attention away from the Biden scandal and DOJ’s corruption!
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McConnell just froze at a press conference, some feel he may have had a type of stroke. He later tried to laugh it off, but the video shows something serious hit him at the podium.
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Drumbeats over impeaching biden as well as many of his cronies in DoJ and DHS are growing. But lets be real about this. Absent a real Republican controlled Senate, a House impeachment will only be symbolism. The scurvy rats will retain their jobs and little will change.
Illegal Immigration –
Mayorkas in congressional testimony claimed the border was closed. Not only have historically high illegal border crossings under the Biden administration prove the border has been opened, but Border Patrol agents themselves have characterized the border as open.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated July 9, 2023
Russia is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine, relying on Russian doctrinal defense in depth to blunt the Ukrainian offensive. With Ukraine lacking air superiority, Russia has taken chance in using its aircraft (helicopters and fast movers) to more directly assist its ground forces, though at an increasing loss of airframes.
The month plus of Ukraine offensive action has forced Russia to give up terrain on all fronts - most notably in the Bakhmut area where Russian forces are now being in danger of being encircled.
Russian reserves are increasingly being used to try to stop Ukrainian advances. Just how big and combat capable of a reserve force is debatable. Reports that Russia has amassed about 180,000 troops opposite of Kharkiv may be a ploy to freeze some of the Ukraine forces out of the offensive to the south. However, this number includes cooks, bottle washers and other logistic elements, so the ‘teeth’ numbers are likely much lower.
Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. Recent attacks indicate the Russia has started to produce its own Shahed drones with Iranian assistance. Russia capable of continued, though limited, attacks in this arena.
Russia is capable of launching small scale attacks in various sectors of company and small sized elements, but any large scale offensive action in the face of the heavy demands from defending against the Ukrainian offensive are essentially nil.
Economic Impact –
Putin is trying to set him self up as the savior to Africa by offering to replace Ukrainian grain he is destroying with higher cost Russian grain (some of which has been stolen from Ukraine).
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Warm with some highs in the upper 60s to 90’s with mid week forecast of thunderstorms.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Various western news agencies are declaring that the main part of Ukraine’s counteroffensive has begun in the country’s southeast.
One map depicts potential directions and objectives below:
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/F2BPWVvXoAAMMED?format=jpg&name=large
The figure shows the main thrust developing along the Tokmak Axis with the likely goal of driving to the Azov Sea, splitting Russian forces in half and cutting off the ‘land bridge’ to Crimea. So far it appears that Ukraine has committed a brigade of its operational reserves (equivalent to a US size division) to the fight in the Robotyne area. Ukraine’s multi pronged attacks have forced Russian to essentially commit their operational reserves and their forces are stretched out across the southern and eastern fronts, creating an opportunity. for Ukraine.
Russian drones/missiles continue their extended assault on grain facilities on the Black sea coast. Close to 40 drones/missiles have been fired in the past 24 hours, with nearly all but a few being shot down.
Russian fleet is preparing for military operations in the Black Sea - UK intelligence and reportedly redeployed some of its assets after the Russian Federation withdrew from the Black Sea Grain Initiative, preparing for actions to potentially attempt to blockade Ukraine.
Russia continues to lose Russian KA-52 attack helicopter in the south. Once a key player in Russian defense against Ukraine’s offensive, they have been suffering significant losses and have become more vulnerable to Ukraine AD and now are far less of a threat to Ukraine armor.
Tokmak Axis -
Both Ukraine and Russian sources confirm heavy fighting in the area of Robotyne.
Velyka Novosilka Axis-
Ukraine is continuing to pressure Russians in vicinity of Staromayorske.
Bakhmut Axis -
Russian continues to be forced back on the north and south flanks of Bakhmut. Ukraine drones hitting everything Russian trying to resupply Russian forces in the area.
Western / Central Ukraine ——
Russia has attempted striking western Ukraine sites by skirting along the Moldovan border in an effort to hit areas not well protected by ADA assets.
Russian Territory –
OUTLOOK –
Russia continues to play dangerous with its movement to shut down Black Sea shipping. One false move (and Russia is fully capable of such a screwup) of hitting a NATO flagged vessel and all heck can break out. Poland and Romania have their swords sharpened and at the ready. Still waiting to see if Turkey is going to uphold its promise to Ukraine to escort ships. Against NATO, Russia’s small Black Sea fleet wouldn’t fare very well, nor would any Russian air cover - as NATO would hold the edge there as well.
Have to wait and see if Ukraine’s latest push succeeds in finally breaking Russian defenses in the south. The indicators are all there, but can they deal with the massive minefields quickly enough and hit with cluster bombs to counter lack of air support?
Moldova/Transnistria -
Moldova’s government is expelling 18 Russian diplomats & 27 technical staff from the Russian Embassy in Chișinău.
Europe / NATO General –
NATO / EU is condemning Russian attacks on Ukraine grain facilities.
Central / South America General-
Cuba - Russia making moves to place missiles on the island in a reprise of the Cuban Missile crisis.
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Africa general –
Soldiers in Niger claim to have overthrown President Mohamed Bazoum
Group of soldiers appear on national television to announce the toppling of Bazoum’s government as US calls for the president’s ‘immediate release’.
OBSERVATION - Another day, another coup.