With all that’s happening here and in the world, I wish someone one would just tap me on the shoulder and day ‘April Fools’
Wuhan virus –
Independent statistical studies seem to indicate that since the emergency use rollout of the covid-19 injections, over 2 million excess deaths have been recorded globally. The US suffered 674,954 excess deaths in 2021, and then another 434,520 excess deaths by week 49 of 2022. Europe suffered 375,253 excess deaths in 2021 and 404,6000 excess deaths in 2022. These numbers do not include the many more disabling medical conditions associated with the jab.
OBSERVATION – While eye-opening, these statistical studies are controversial and contested as number gurus argue the basis back and forth. In part because the covid-19 vaccines aren’t the only vector destroying people’s immune systems and killing them off, they do appear to be the driving force. Under current globalist conditions locking down serious studies, we will likely never know the severity of the human loss to the jab.
CW2/Domestic violence –
Transtifa (someone else came up with the term) protests are occurring across the nation as part of the so-called national day of visibility (or vengeance). They continue to swarm state capitol buildings with activists storming the Florida capitol building, demanding rights for trans-identified people. One of the members there led the group, chanting: “Whose schools? Our schools!”
Violence has so far been limited with those considered to be ‘transphobes’ being indentified and assaulted, in many instances while standing in front of police who did nothing. Embedded in these crowds are the Antifa et al faithful who in many cases are the enforcers against perceived ‘transphobes’.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Aftershocks continue to ripple through the political realm with the indictment of Trump on bogus charges. remember the saying a DA once made saying they could indict a ham sandwich.
China –
Nine Chinese aircraft crossed the Taiwan Strait’s median line on Friday carrying out combat readiness patrols, Taiwan’s defence ministry said, days after Beijing threatened retaliation if President Tsai Ing-wen meets U.S. House Speaker Kevin McCarthy.
OBSERVATION – Chinese intrusions towards Taiwan from both aircraft and naval vessels are on a daily basis now. Now analysts note that many of the incursions are following potential invasion routes, tipping China’s hand on potential plans should they attempt an invasion.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT
Russian forces have initiated an offensive who’s declared goals are to reach and secure the Luhansk and Donetsk oblast borders — an objective that Russian Chief of General Staff Army General Valery Gerasimov had also outlined on December 22, 2022. Troop and equipment build up is being noted
This offensive action is focused on several fronts –
1) the Svatove-Kreminna front,
2) Bahkmut region,
3) Donetsk region and
4) Zaporizhizhia Oblast around the town of Vuhledar.
Analysts are noting that the Russian offensive operations are winding down. Some offensive operation will continue to be attempted, however, a lot of assessment indicates they’ve lost the capability to sustain a credible offensive to try to capture the Donbas region having frittered away resources against Bahkmut.
Russia is also capable of launching cruise/ballistic missile attacks directed against Ukrainian infrastructure - primarily its power grid, but massively reduced inventories of such missiles means these barrages will be further apart.
While Russia has nuclear capability, the probability is low that any will be used in the near future.
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One year ago, Russian forces being thwarted in their attempt to seize Kyiv were driven out of the northern portions of Ukraine with survivors being redeployed to the southern and eastern portions of occupied Ukraine to try to bolster the attack in those regions. With this withdrawl, Russian forces committed the Bucha massacre, during which Ukraine says retreating Russian forces killed hundreds of civilians in and around their homes in the suburb outside Kyiv.
Moscow considers the US course as the main source of risks for its security and international peace - a new concept of Russian foreign policy, signed by Putin
Logistics –
White House says it has new evidence that Russia is seeking an arms-for-food deal with North Korea. Washington previously declassified intelligence revealing that Russia’s mercenary Wagner Group has received weapons from North Korea to aid in its fighting in Ukraine.
Ukraine -
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures with highs now reaching the 60’s with rain/snow over most of the forecast period. The Donbas region was a recent recipient of a substantial snow storm, with up to 2 feet of the white stuff.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Fighting intensified overnight around Avdiivka while Bakhmut remained steady with some gains by Russia as Wagner based forces have been pushing in from the northeast corner of the city towards the city center.
The Zaporizhizhia and Crimean fronts were relatively quiet, with mostly scattered and sporatic Russian artillery strikes.
OUTLOOK –
Russia has been pursuing its winter offensive to capture the Donbas since December 2022 with only minor gains. For example, Russian gains in Ukraine for March are presented on the map at the link. The red dot represents the 70 sq km Russia has been able to capture for the month.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Fsl1TYJWwAEb_PK?format=jpg&name=medium
As you can see, Russia’s offensive has been underwhelming considering the men and resources they’ve poured into the effort.
Iran –
An IRGC advisor and officer, Milad Heydari, was killed in the alleged Israeli airstrike on Damascus two days ago, according to Iranian media
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Authorities in Iran have been making clear their determination to enforce the compulsory hijab on women.
It comes after months of protests demanding an end to the restriction.
A hardline Iranian MP has issued an ultimatum to the judiciary to come up with measures to put a stop to women flouting the rules on headscarves, within the next 48 hours.
The mass protests that erupted across Iran in September have largely been quelled for now by brute force.
OBSERVATION – This is but one of the many issues boiling beneath the surface that may well re-erupt in more protests as the regime oppresses the population.
Armenia/Azerbaijan –
WAR WATCH
On March 31, the Azerbaijani Armed Forces violated the ceasefire in the eastern & southwestern direction of the contact line by using small arms & RPG-7 grenade launchers. In the area of Nakhijevanik village, the Azerbaijani side opened fire on the civilians working in the yard.
Total pain yesterday trying to filter out the abundant ‘April fools’ news items from real news.
Globalism / Great Reset –
Trade between India and Malaysia is now able to be settled with Indian Rupees, the India Ministry of External Affairs (MEA) announced in a statement Saturday.
This move strikes a blow to the hegemony US dollar. “This initiative by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is aimed at facilitating the growth of global trade and to support the interests of the global trading community in Indian Rupees (INR),” the statement from the MEA reads.
OBSERVATION – As noted with BRICS, global movement is going away from the dollar as the global reserve currency. While the volume of these new exchanges are not substantial, they are growing. The WEF has to crash the US economy in order to ‘reset’, and a global economy based on the dollar is an obstacle to that reset.
Economy –
The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), staring down nearly $23 billion in outstanding costs following recent bank failures, is deliberating shifting much of that financial burden onto the nation’slargest banks.
Bloomberg reported that the FDIC is expected to propose a “special assessment” in May primarily focused on recuperating some of the $128 billion deposit insurance fund that has taken a significant blow since the collapse of Signature Bank and Silicon Valley Bank. In shifting much of this financial burden from community lenders onto larger banks such as JPMorgan and Chase & Co. and Bank of America, which already pay billions of dollars into the Deposit Insurance Fund.
OBSERVATION – Expect higher fees and penalties from these banks as they will pass these expenses on to their customers.
Biden / Harris watch –
Kamala Harris tells business leaders in Zambia:
“Many of you at this table, and the folks that you work with, have a history of doing work on this continent.”
CW2/Domestic violence –
More violence at Transgender ‘visibility’ rallies directed towards opposition groups. The biden regime has yet to acknowledge the attack against the Christian school by a transgender individual continuing to support the narrative of how oppressed the trans community is.
OBSERVATION - The transtifa (term I thing Junita Broderick recently coined) push toward violent actions is serving the purpose of generating a response on the opposite end of the spectrum. The marxists are seeking to cause an event where they can toss the constitution completely aside and crackdown on the right. An incident between Transtifa and elements like the “patriot boys” (largely led by federal agent provocateurs ) would serve the purpose well. Also remember Antifa will be in the mix as well on the side of the trans agitators. Rising transactivism my well break open into broader violence this summer.
Domestic / International Terror (modified)-
Situational awareness as Ramadan continues.
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Concerns being raise about the substantial increase of Chinese men pushing across the southern border. Some think they may be elements of unconventional warfare forces that would conduct sabotage attacks in the US in conjunction with an invasion of Taiwan. The men are unaccompanied and of military age.
Strategic Activity / Deployments –
The George H.W. Bush Carrier Strike Group is reportedly moving towards the eastern Med & a Squadron of A-10 aircraft have sent to the region, most likely in response to Iran and Iranian backed militia attacks on US forces in eastern Syria.
POLITICAL FRONT –
This next week, Trump is reportedly scheduled to report to the Manhattan court house to turn himself in for arraignment. Extra security is reportedly being coordinated.
Meanwhile, the leaked grand jury results may have someone in hot water - either in the DA’s office or someone on the grand jury itself. Unauthorized release of a grand jury result is a felony offense and would provide one more piece in the foundation of Trump’s legal team’s effort to have any charges tossed.
The DA is also in hot water from congress as it appears he used federal money as part of his efforts to get Trump indicted. As such, he is subject to congressional oversight and has been called to testify before House committees.
NOTE - If the DA tries to make a show of this, it will backfire bigly and may well trigger a counter move by some Trump supporters. Any peaceful pro-Trump protest could be accosted by Antifa et al and turn real ugly fast.
North/South Korea –
Recent commercial satellite imagery of North Korea’s Yongbyon Nuclear Scientific Research Center indicates a high level of activity around the complex, including the Experimental Light Water Reactor.
OBSERVATION – Analysts note the activity has in the past been commonly associated with the production of weapons grade plutonium and may indicate efforts to conduct a new test in the future or material to create warhead – or both. The underground test site has been refurbished / repaired and is capable of another test on little notice.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT
Russian forces have initiated an offensive who’s declared goals are to reach and secure the Luhansk and Donetsk oblast borders — an objective that Russian Chief of General Staff Army General Valery Gerasimov had also outlined on December 22, 2022. Troop and equipment build up is being noted
This offensive action is focused on several fronts –
1) the Svatove-Kreminna front,
2) Bahkmut region,
3) Donetsk region and
4) Zaporizhizhia Oblast around the town of Vuhledar.
Analysts are noting that the Russian offensive operations are winding down. Some offensive operation will continue to be attempted, however, a lot of assessment indicates they’ve lost the capability to sustain a credible offensive to try to capture the Donbas region having frittered away resources against Bahkmut.
Russia is also capable of launching cruise/ballistic missile attacks directed against Ukrainian infrastructure - primarily its power grid, but massively reduced inventories of such missiles means these barrages will be further apart.
While Russia has nuclear capability, the probability is low that any will be used in the near future.
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Russian winter offensive has failed to achieve the Kremlin’s goals of seizing all of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts by March 31. Chief of the Russian General Staff Valery Gerasimov had announced on December 22 that Russian forces were focusing most of their efforts on seizing Donetsk Oblast. The failed offensive has cost the Russian army tens (hundred) thousands of deal/wounded and massive equipment losses.
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One year ago today: two Ukrainian helicopters evaded air-defense to enter Russian territory over Belgorod and strike a fuel depot causing a huge fire.
Kerch Bridge update –
Russia police elements have been closely screening vehicles crossing the bridge leaving Crimea for Russia, creating large traffic jams.
Ukraine -
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures with highs now reaching the 60’s with rain/snow over most of the forecast period. The Donbas region was a recent recipient of a substantial snow storm, with up to 2 feet of the white stuff.
RUMINT –
Ukrainian Intelligence is reporting that the number of Russian missile carriers in the Black Sea have Increased from 3 to at least 12 within the last 24 hours with 3 Submarines also on active deployment, potentially indicating that the launch of Kalibr cruise missiles towards Ukraine is possible in the near future.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Fighting intensified overnight around Avdiivka and Bakhmut . Weather has slowed some action down due to heavy snow. Wagner forces continue to press toward the city center from the northeastern corner of the city.
The Zaporizhizhia and Crimean fronts were relatively quiet, with mostly scattered and sporatic Russian artillery strikes.
OUTLOOK –
More of the same struggle in the east with Russia making small gains at a high cost. The failure of Gerasimov’s directed offensive to seize Donbas by the end of March is pretty much absent from the Russian news cycle, but rest assured that his mortal enemy – Wagner Group – has not lost that point and will likely use it in the future to leverage more support from putin. Perhaps it is the reason Wagner has redoubled its efforts at Bakhmut.
NOTING the rumored deployment of Kalibr capable sea vessels – its about time for another Russian missile barrage. Also of note, Russian milbloggers are decrying the failure of Russia’s attack on the Ukraine power grid noting that power is restored and Ukraine is once again exporting electricity.
Israel –
See Syria below on airstrikes.
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Political turmoil regarding judicial reform is still simmering but not exploding out of control as both sides make efforts to sit down and work issues out.
Iran –
See Syria on renewed Israeli airstrikes on Iranian and supported militias facilities.
Iraq -
Deployment of additional USAF assets (A-10s) to the region will be staged out of Iraq, so expect additional Iranian militia activity against US facilities and supporting Iraqi elements.
Syria -
Reports of Israeli attacks on Ad-Dabaa Airfield, T4, an airfield near the village of Al-Qasir on the Lebanese border, Ash-Shairat Airfield. At least one strike was also reported on Hezbollah training bases and warehouses in Syria. The IRGC is putting its forces on alert in Syria. According to available information, at least 5 soldiers of the Syrian regime forces were killed during the attacks.
This is the third night of Israeli raids on different locations in Syria, hurting Iranian networks. IRGC had already threatened a response to airstrikes earlier this week. This is the third night of Airstrikes in Syria by Israel this week targeting IRGC backed militia activities.
OBSERVATION – Israel is continuing to pressure Iran and Hezbollah’s efforts to preposition assets for an eventual strike on Israel. Iran has also been expanding its efforts to fill the vaccum of Russian influence in the region. Expect Iran to launch some kind of an attack, possibly against US forces in eastern Syria soon in retaliation.
Misc of Note –
Massive tornado outbreaks in the south and midwest will likely continue as prime tornado season hit. Folks in tornado alley need to make plans and preparation as the season has already been very ugly and has spawned some very large storms.
Economic impacts will be rippling across the national economy as resources are directed to the affected regions and those regions become unable to ship their items elsewhere due to the destruction. The insurance industry will be increasingly hard pressed with the massive claims that will be coming in.