Superbowl and balloons have sucked the air out of most of the reporting on the feeds I monitor. Seems slow, but I suspect things are going fast below the surface. Pretty slim report for a Monday
Globalism / Great Reset –
A professor at Yale is calling for the elderly in Japan to kill themselves and cease being a burden on society. Fact is, these types have been endorsing death across the planet for the sick and elderly. Fully expect an increased effort here in the US to promote death beyond that of abortion.
Biden / Harris watch –
Harris once again is excited about school busses.. . .
CW2/Domestic violence –
Angry Eagle fans tore up Philadelphia overnight. They would have done the same if the Eagles had won.
Strategic Activity / Deployments –
“An F-16 fighter jet shot down the object, over Lake Huron, according to a Congressional aide, who said the object was shaped like an octagon and was at an altitude of 20,000 feet, posing a hazard to commercial aircraft.”
Senator Tester is saying the object shot down over Lake Huron is the same object that was detected over Montana last night.
OBSERVATION – incredible. Even china is shooting down balloons.
**
Related? NORAD has announced that they will be conducting an Air Defense Exercise on Tuesday over Washington, D.C.
OBSERVATION - Reportedly, this is an annual drill, but in light of the balloon barrage who know?
Cyber Warfare –
Reported yesterday that the Russian-backed hacktivist group KILLNET declared today that they are going to target NATO’s infrastructure with DDoS attacks.
China –
China has claimed to have shot down an unidentified balloon over its territory.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - Russia’s “three days to conquer Ukraine” war continues since fighting starting on Feb 24th.
CURRENT ASSESSMENT
Russian forces have initiated an offensive who’s declared goals are to reach and secure the Luhansk and Donetsk oblast borders — an objective that Russian Chief of General Staff Army General Valery Gerasimov had also outlined on December 22, 2022. Troop and equipment build up is being noted
This offensive action is focused on several fronts – 1) the Svatove-Kreminna front, 2) Bahkmut region, 3) Donetsk region and 4) Zaporizhizhia Oblast around the town of Vuhledar.
Russia is also capable of launching more cruise/ballistic missile attacks directed against Ukrainian infrastructure -primarily its power grid, but massively reduced inventories of such missiles means these barrages will be further apart.
While Russia has nuclear capability, the probability is low that any will be used in the near future.
********
Ukraine -
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures will remain around freezing (upper 20s to low 30s) increasing snow. Overnight lows in the mid to upper teens.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Heavy fighting continues to be centered around Bahkmut and northward towards Kreminna.
Apparently not wanting to be left out of the whole balloon thing, the Russian army launched a reconnaissance drone at Dnipropetrovsk region and several balloons with reflectors, - Ukrainian Air Command
OUTLOOK –
Nothing really jumping out from the overnight actions. Russian forces are pressing hard on the north side of Bahkmut with unconfirmed reports that it is sending small, special covert ops to infiltrate into the town at night.
Russian information space is not too thrilled with how this “offensive” is starting out. Reports of how soldiers are treated on the front have gotten back to the general population and is not being taken well. Conservative estimates of nearly 1000 deaths (not inclusive of causalities) hit home that Russia cannot fight using WW1/2 tactics in 2023 and expect to win.
Moldova/Transnistria -
Moldova’s President outlined Monday what she described as a plot by Moscow to use external saboteurs to overthrow her country’s government, put the nation “at the disposal of Russia” and derail its aspirations to one day join the European Union.
President Maia Sandu’s briefing comes a week after Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said his country had intercepted plans by Russian secret services to destroy Moldova, claims that were later confirmed by Moldovan intelligence officials.
OBSERVATION – How great of a threat this poses is uncertain. Ever since the start of the Ukraine war, Russia has wanted to be physically connected and in control of the country. Russian forces are in Transnistria, a thin strip of land adjacent to Ukraine and those forces have been drawn down due to the war. The miliary there does not pose a threat to Ukraine, but could make life difficult in Moldova. If Russia tries something in Moldova, Romania may be drawn into it – and potentially NATO with it.
Globalism / Great Reset –
A counter-terrorism program in the United Kingdom that was originally designed to focus on stopping radical Muslim jihadists from terrorizing the country could soon be modified to also include the “unvaccinated” as targets.
British SNP politician Kirsten Oswald believes that the so-called “Prevent” program is perhaps a bit too “racist” in its current form because it risks marginalizing Great Britain’s ever-growing Muslim communities. To fix it, Oswald wants unvaccinated people to be added to the country’s terrorism watchlist.
Oswald made these remarks during a speech by Home Secretary Suella Braverman about plans for “major reform” to the Prevent program. Braverman told the room full of MPs (members of parliament) that the new-and-improved Prevent program must focus “on security, not political correctness.”
OBSERVATION – The unjabbed are apparently a threat to the WEF/GGR crowd and their minions on various govt levels are taking measures to identify, track and in this case, make plans to criminally target them. The past few months here in the US CDC has issued computer codes to identify those who’ve not been jabbed and transplant patients across the globe continue to have lifesaving operations done unless the patient gets the jab.
When this whole thing got started and the ‘conspiracy theory’ of the jab being a genocidal weapon sounded too far fetched. Today, with the evidence from the Twitter files, medical studies confirming early suspicions about extensive lethal adverse affects and the effort to continue to force a jab that has been demonstrated to be ineffective on all ages has changed my mind – big time. Joe and Jane Sheeple living under cover of normalcy bias and ignoring these facts are going to have a rude awakening.
**
Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) on Monday announced a proposal to eliminate ESG banking and prohibit the financial sector from implementing social credit scores that would otherwise prevent Floridians from obtaining loans, lines of credit and opening bank accounts.
OBSERVATION – ESG scoring is a major component of the WEF/GGR efforts to restructure the way we live. Combined with a CBDC, the economic tyrants could withhold funds to pay for anti-ESG items such as ammo, guns, gasoline, etc. Fights are at a state level because the fed govt is in bed with the WEF and will institute its mandates – hiding behind govt/private partnerships to circumvent the congressional processes.
Big names are already pushing the ESG message – BlackRock and JP Morgan come to mind quickly.
Economy –
The Federal Reserve will need to continue to raise interest rates in order to get them to a level high enough to bring inflation back down to the central bank’s target rate, Fed Governor Michelle Bowman said on Monday.
“I expect we’ll continue to increase the federal funds rate because we have to bring inflation back down to our 2 percent goal and in order to do that we need to bring demand and supply into better balance,” Bowman said during an American Bankers Association conference in Florida.
The Fed’s benchmark overnight lending rate is currently in the 4.50 percent–4.75 percent range. Once at a sufficiently restrictive level, interest rates will then need to be held for “some time” to restore price stability, Bowman said without offering specifics on the rate peak she would like to see.
OBSERVATION – “some time” requires significant damage to an already wuhan injured economy with massive global instabilities from the Ukraine war and questionable energy supplies. As many note – the housing market is usually one of the prime indicators that lead us into and out of recessions and the market is crashing. Extended “some time” will cut matters to the bone, making any recovery long and tedious IMHO and experience.
Invasion of Illegals –
Apparently even illegal friendly Canada has had enough of illegals coming into the country.
Biden / Harris watch –
Biden in Poland on Feb 20th for a speech and to mark the 1 year anniversary of the Ukraine war.
CW2/Domestic violence –
The Biden administration and Democrats in New York, Connecticut and other states are fighting local zoning laws in order to build high-rise apartment buildings with “affordable” units in tree-lined, single-family neighborhoods. All in the name of equity, meaning everyone can live in a tranquil suburb, whether they’ve earned the money to pay for it or not.
The Biden administration announced Jan. 19 that it will require all towns across the U.S. to submit “Equity Plans” showing how they will make it possible for low-income people to live there by providing affordable housing, transportation and other resources. Towns that don’t meet the cookie-cutter requirement for economic diversity will lose federal funding.
OBSERVATION – See also how this fits into the “15 minute city” concept. Stuffing high density, apartment housing in single family neighborhoods is just looking to cause problems. Call me racist or bigoted, but most of these apartments will be designated for low income individuals via federal mandates. And with it all the associated crime – because the same lax criminal “justice” system will continue to dump criminals back onto the streets of these suburbs to commit more crime.
On a CW2 level, the current mix of urban and suburban living has a blue/red (respectively ) connotation. Under the current status quo, if/when things go sideways, chaos will hit the urban core first then work outward towards suburbs. We’ve seen similar in Kalifornia last summer with the mob raids on shopping centers, starting in those adjacent to the Urban centers, then moving quickly outward to the richer suburbs. Under this administrations push, criminal (and likely gang) activity will be present sooner and pose a greater CW2 threat.
Expect to see this push also head into rural areas as this will affect all communities.
**
Biden administration is planning to sell 26 million barrels of crude oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR). The Department of Energy asked Congress to block the sale so the department can begin refilling the SPR, which will drop to 345 million barrels with the latest drawdown. (FO)
OBSERVATION – Biden is deliberately moving us well within the danger zone and any significant oil supply crunch could cause irrevocable harm.
CANCEL CULTURE FRONT
Direct TV/ATT receiving more flack from multiple groups over its removal of NewsMax.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Buttigieg did not make a single comment about the train crash in Ohio.
Instead, he complained about the whiteness of the construction industry.
Domestic / International Terror (modified)-
A U-Haul truck driver mowed down pedestrians in Brooklyn Monday morning, injuring people at multiple locations. Police said at least eight people were injured in the rampage, A man in his 30s was struck on Fourth Avenue and taken to an area hospital in critical condition, while three other men on mopeds suffered minor injuries after being hit.
A suspect taken into custody has been identified as Weng Sor, 62, two sources told CBS News senior investigative producer Pat Milton. The suspect, who has a Nevada driver’s license, rented the truck in Daytona Beach, Florida, in January, according to the sources. The suspect may have been living out of the truck, according to the sources.
OBSERVATION – No motive has been identified, but the driver has a criminal record from Nevada. This kind of action has been used by terrorists across the world.
**
Posting here because of questions this attack raises. At least three people have been killed after a gunman opened fire at Michigan State University (MSU), police say.
As well as the three victims, police said the suspect had died apparently from a “self-inflicted gunshot wound”. Another five people were injured in the attack at the main campus in the city of East Lansing late on Monday.
Police described the suspect as “a black male, shorter in stature”. They later said he was 43 years old with no known affiliation to the university. He has been found dead with self-inflicted gunshot wounds.
OBSERVATION – Black history month and a black goes on a shooting spree. This event will likely go back under the radar because it doesn’t fit the gun control narrative. Need to stay tuned to find out what the motive was.
Strategic Activity / Deployments –
Potentially large piece of the 2,000 lb Chinese spy craft fished off the bottom of the Atlantic after being shot down Feb. 4 This piece apparently contained critical electronics from the suspected Chinese spy balloon, including key sensors - Reuter
**
The U.S. Air Force F-16Cs which downed the “UFO” over Lake Huron yesterday reportedly missed their first AIM-9X Air-To-Air Missile and were forced to fire another which made Direct Contact. Missile hasn’t been found.
China –
A statement released Monday by the Philippine Coast Guard said the Chinese vessel “illuminated the green laser light twice” and “also made dangerous maneuvers” to block a Philippine fleet from delivering supplies to another ship grounded at Second Thomas Shoal, also known as Ayungin Shoal, a disputed atoll 120 miles off the west coast of the Philippine island of Palawan.
The Philippines has accused China of “a blatant disregard” and “clear violation” of sovereignty, alleging that a Chinese coast guard ship last week directed a “military-grade laser light” at a Philippine Coast Guard ship in the hotly contested South China Sea, temporarily blinding the Filipino crew onboard.
OBSERVATION – China continues to intimidate smaller countries like the Phillippines in waters they claim as theirs. See also Japan for new Japanese-Philippian agreements in progress.
Japan –
Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. said he has no issues if the country signs a Visiting Forces Agreement (VFA) with Japan if it increases maritime security and greater protection of fishermen. Marcos visited Japan to increase security ties with the country, which culminated in signing a pact that allows their militaries to work together during disaster relief operations.
OBSERVATION – Japan and other nations like the Phillippines are working hard and fast to secure agreements for mutual levels of defense in the face of growing Chinese aggression.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - Russia’s “three days to conquer Ukraine” war continues since fighting starting on Feb 24th.
CURRENT ASSESSMENT
Russian forces have initiated an offensive who’s declared goals are to reach and secure the Luhansk and Donetsk oblast borders — an objective that Russian Chief of General Staff Army General Valery Gerasimov had also outlined on December 22, 2022. Troop and equipment build up is being noted
This offensive action is focused on several fronts – 1) the Svatove-Kreminna front, 2) Bahkmut region, 3) Donetsk region and 4) Zaporizhizhia Oblast around the town of Vuhledar.
Russia is also capable of launching more cruise/ballistic missile attacks directed against Ukrainian infrastructure -primarily its power grid, but massively reduced inventories of such missiles means these barrages will be further apart.
While Russia has nuclear capability, the probability is low that any will be used in the near future.
********
Missed this yesterday. The United States has told its citizens to leave Russia immediately due to the war in Ukraine and the risk of arbitrary arrest or harassment by Russian law enforcement agencies. Other nations have also reiterated the warning to not only leave Russia but Belarus as well. Most of the warning was a continuation of the warning given a year ago just prior to the Russian invasion and restated after Griner was arrested. Key target groups are those holding dual citizenship and the risk of being forced into military service.
Kerch Bridge update –
Recent satellite photos show resurfacing of the roadway suggesting that it could soon be open. Work to repair the rail bridge continues, with a completion date still some time this summer.
Russian Personnel Issues –-
- Russian general Vladimir Makarov dies in apparent suicide weeks after being fired, TASS reports
- Rumors that putin is holding back the call up of another major mobilization because the previous/current one has been so screwed up and they are still unable to get the mobilies processed, trained adequately and to the front with the equipment they need.
- Many reports – possible Ukrainian based propaganda – have Russian territorial volunteers posting videos on social media complaining on how they are being treated.
Ukraine -
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures will remain around freezing (upper 20s to low 30s) increasing snow. Overnight lows in the mid to upper teens.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Heavy fighting continues to be centered around Bahkmut and Kreminna. Fighting along the Zaporizhizhia front has ground to a halt following last weeks essential annihilation of 4 Russian combat brigades. Russian artillery strikes were primarly centered along the Donetsk-Svatove front in the east, while being widely scattered across the rest of the LOC.
OUTLOOK –
NATO has officially stated that Russia has started its winter offensive to try to capture the Donbas. After a week of heavy attacks, Russia has made very, very little progress. It appears that maneuvers to encircle Bahkmut are sputtering out, with only minor gains on the northern flank. Intense counter attacks in the Kreminna region have made little progress as well and as noted before the offensive in the Zaporizhizhia region was an absolute disaster in the decimation of 4 Russian brigades.
Unless Russia pulls a rabbit out of their hat, this offensive is going to leave them in a worse position than what they started at – with a lot of losses in men and equipment. Ukraine meanwhile is in the process of fielding 4 new brigades with modern, western equipment. One could forget that Ukraine initiated a million man mobilization last February and a lot of them have been receiving modern combat training. The success of the Kharkiv and Kherson offensive actions last year are evidence of that.
Russian command seems to be mired in the same old rut, made deeper by the loss of may generals and other officers and continued poor logistical planning. Again, they may have something up their sleeves but time is running out for them.
Moldova/Transnistria -
Moldova temporarily closed its airspace, until 16:00, according to local media and Air Moldova.
It is reported that the reason for this was a Russian reconnaissance drone that flew into the airspace of Moldova. There is no official confirmation of this yet.
OBSERVATION – Continuation of rising tensions with Russian occupied Transnistria.
Belarus -
Russian forces are again setting up large military camps in Voronezh and Kursk regions, this was also seen before the renewed invasion last year. One of the newly established camp in Postoyalye Dvory, is located east of Kursk.
Although there is large offensives taking place on the eastern frontline, It is also possible they open a new frontline in spring.
OBSERVATION – Current estimates of 9000 Russian soldiers currently in Belarus and most of those being newly mobilized and undergoing training. At this stage reestablishment of these military camps is important, but the massive influx of Russian soldiers and equipment that marked the buildup to the start of the current war is absent.
**
Russian President Putin is set to most likely meet Belarusian President Lukashenko on Friday in which they will reportedly discuss the possibility of steps to increase the “Security and Cooperation” between the Nations.
OBSERVATION – Putin probably trying to twist the arm of Lukashenko to get the more deeply involved in Ukraine war. Increased ‘cooperation’ may also mean Belarus supplying more war materials and perhaps even conscripting ‘volunteers’ to join Russian forces in Wagner like paramilitary groups.
Two Dutch F-35 jets have “remotely escorted” a Russian spy plane and two fighters which crossed into Polish airspace, Netherlands says. Royal Dutch Air Force is carrying out Nato’s air policing mission in Poland. First time such intervention made since Ukraine conflict began – BBC
OBSERVATION – Russia playing ‘chicken’ and applying pressure to NATO in a manner designed to encourage them to back down from supporting Ukraine.
Syria -
Pro-Assad forces and the Russian and Iranian militias are targeting the outskirts of the town of Maarat Al-Naasan, east of Idlib, with missiles.
OBSERVATION – Earthquake recovery is on going and Assad and his gang decide to start bombing what remains .
Turkey -
As of yesterday, the official death toll figures from last week’s magnitude 7.8 earthquake in Turkey and Syria rose above 37,000.
Misc of Note –
East Palestine, Ohio, and surrounding region are facing a massive emergency following major release of toxins due to a train derailment. Vinyl Chloride, a deadly chemical has “contaminated the Ohio River due to train derailment. Documented animal and fish kills tens of miles away from the derailment site. 10% of the U.S. population, over 30 MILLION PEOPLE, live in the Ohio River Basin! The Ohio River itself provides drinking water to over 5 MILLION PEOPLE!
Now add to it, other train derailments in –
- Montgomery county, TX
- Spartanburg county, SC
OBSERVATION – The USEPA approved of the decision to burn the contaminants in Ohio; clearly another inept govt agency. This disaster was just made worse - it made it HUGE. Clean up the region may damage agriculture and other businesses for years, let along the deadly chemicals humans have been exposed to. If it can mass kill off birds and fish in very little time at all, human exposures likely to create serious health issues.
The other derailments causing concern are possibly just information bias, smaller derailments that are not beyond ‘background’ levels but inflated because of the Ohio disaster. Worth monitoring to see if a pattern of potential sabotage is identified.