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To: dennisw
While I give Kirsch credit for continuing to dig into the data, it's hardly clear to me that his assessment of this latest batch of data he's received is altogether correct. Moreover, data showing a notable surge in "all cause" deaths in September 2021 is something that has been hiding in plain view for nearly a year now. One hardly needed to wait for government whistleblowers to start paying attention to the data that were already out there.

Specifically, from the official death certificate information compiled by the National Center for Health Statistics, we see that there was a total of 312,515 "all cause" deaths in September 2021, reflecting an "expected death" percentage -- i.e., comparing September 2021's death numbers to a three-year (i.e., September 2017-2019) pre-pandemic baseline average -- of 141%. (Notably, this 141% figure represents the second highest monthly "all cause" excess mortality rate since the pandemic began, exceeded only by the 144% rate recorded in December 2020.)

Scrutinizing these numbers further, the NCHS database indicates that of these 312,515 "all cause" deaths in September 2021, some 63,432 were identified as having been "deaths involving COVID" (i.e., coded as such on individual death certificates). How do these figures compare to the preceding September (i.e., September 2020)? Well, in September 2020, there were 257,190 "all cause" deaths, of which 19,158 were identified as "deaths involving COVID." In short, "all cause" deaths in September 2021 increased by approximately 22% compared to September 2020, whereas COVID deaths in September 2021 increased by a whopping 231% compared to the preceding September.

The above figures include all age groups. Kirsch is writing about new data he's received that focuses on the 18-55 age group specifically. As to this, it is possible to also get more granular with the aforementioned NCHS data. When we do, what do we see?

Again, focusing solely on the month of September, for both 2020 and 2021, we find that for the age cohort 18-29, there were 6,227 "all cause" deaths in September 2021, compared to 5,399 in September 2020 (an increase of some 15%). For other age groups, we see:

30-39 -- 10,526 "all cause" deaths in September 2021; 7,312 such deaths in September 2020 (an increase of 44%).

40-49 -- 16,369 "all cause" deaths in September 2021; 10,700 such deaths in September 2020 (an increase of 53%).

50-64 -- 60,195 "all cause" deaths in September 2021; 43,272 such deaths in September 2020 (an increase of 39%).

And what do we see for "deaths involving COVID" specifically?

For the 18-29 cohort -- 775 COVID deaths in September 2021; 86 such deaths in September 2020 (an increase of 801%).

30-39 -- 2,552 COVID deaths in September 2021; 235 such deaths in September 2020 (an increase of 986%).

40-49 -- 5,510 COVID deaths in September 2021; 627 such deaths in September 2020 (an increase of 779%).

50-64 -- 17,848 COVID deaths in September 2021; 3,053 such deaths in September 2020 (an increase of 485%).

Finally, if we were to extract out from the "all cause" deaths that were incurred in September 2021 and September 2020 the deaths identified as "involving COVID," what would we see? For the 18-29 age cohort, there were an additional 139 non-COVID related deaths in September 2021, compared to September 2020. For the other age groups, we see:

30-39 -- an additional 897 non-COVID deaths in September 2021, compared to September 2020.

40-49 -- an additional 786 non-COVID deaths in September 2021, compared to September 2020.

50-64 -- an additional 2,128 non-COVID deaths in September 2021, compared September 2020.

Make of these data what you may. For my part, if Kirsch means to be saying that the surge in "all cause" deaths in September 2021 is attributable solely to (or even significantly to) vaccine uptake five months earlier, I question whether that is the correct way to interpret the data. My own take, for what it's worth, is that vaccine uptake is responsible, but that we're talking about increased vaccine uptake starting in August 2021 -- i.e., about the time that the so-called "Delta" variant began to make the news and about the time the Biden administration (and various other state-level governmental and private entities) began their push for vaccine "mandates" (e.g., in order to attend school, etc.). It was at that time that many younger people, who had not been vaccinated at all up to that point, began to take the shot.

It has long been understood -- although this information, while not exactly suppressed, has not been widely trumpeted by vax-crazed "public health" authorities -- that one's immune system is compromised for a time (said to be about two weeks) immediately after taking one of these mRNA COVID vaccines. For me, the most straightforward explanation for the foregoing data is that a lot of younger people either went out (or were essentially made to go out) and got a COVID vaccine for the first time (or perhaps a second shot in the series) starting around August of 2021, this compromised their immune system immediately, they contracted COVID, and it killed them. After all, COVID deaths increased by 231% in September 2021, compared to September 2020, at which time, of course, no one had yet been vaccinated. Doesn't that fact alone seem, I dunno, odd?

Other interpretations are, of course, possible, and I'm certainly no epidemiologist. But the data are what they are, and I think they demand an explanation. I give credit for Kirsch for at least beginning to look into something that has been evident for a long, long time.

77 posted on 09/01/2022 6:55:05 AM PDT by DSH
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To: DSH
Not bad. For me, the most straightforward explanation for the foregoing data is that a lot of younger people either went out (or were essentially made to go out) and got a COVID vaccine for the first time (or perhaps a second shot in the series) starting around August of 2021, this compromised their immune system immediately, they contracted COVID, and it killed them.

Consistent with a trend in data from the Brits that all-cause mortality is highest in the single-jabbed (for the months Jan 2022-May 2022).

The problem is there is so little official curiosity (*cough* elephant in room *cough*) about causes of death, e.g. death from no known cause is the 6th leading cause of death in Canada.

("Maybe if we ignore this problem it'll go away.")

But it won't because it ignores massive side effects from the jab, which make up the daily lives of people and their friends and contacts, and are more emotionally important than some shadowy statistic. And when people see so little official notice, help, or sympathy from the jab shots among those they know, and they see more people *dying*, too, ...

it doesn't take long to put two and two together.

And an entire century's worth of trust in the government, FDA, CDC, and the medical industry is squandered. Either so Pfauci can get his sadistic rocks off, the WEF can control us, or the C-suite of Pfizer and Moderna can get rich. Or a couple other less savory possibilities, or any combination of the above.

146 posted on 09/01/2022 8:48:03 AM PDT by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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