Replies

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NOTE - Russia and Ukraine status raised to RED as increased fighting between Russian backed separatists and Ukraine forces.
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Threat Trending Code
Color Key
BLACK - An area worth noting, but not immediately impacting on US safety
BLUE - Incidents increasing and needing further monitoring, low threat to the US
YELLOW - This is the moderate concern level. Definitely becoming a threat but in the longer term.
ORANGE - A definite threat in both short term and long term. Some active events occurring
RED - Active and ongoing. Examples of this would be 2020 rioting, etc.

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Globalism / Great Reset - YELLOW trending upward *unchanged*
DISCUSSION - The Canadian Trucker and related protests are poising a significant threat to GGR power.

Canadian Trucker Protest Update items NOTE - NEXT WEEK CONVOY PROTESTS WILL HAVE THEIR OWN ITEM LINE.
- According to the acting Ottawa police chief, it is now unlawful to protest against the govt.
- Ottawa police warn journalists to say out of the protest zone.
- Canadian police on Friday started arresting protesters as part of an operation to end a three-week blockade of Ottawa. This follows arrests of the ‘leaders’ of the protest yesterday.
- Ottawa police are also threatening to remove children from protesting parents as well as conficating pets (euthanization)
- The Canadian Civil Liberties Association (CCLA) announced Thursday that it plans to sue the federal government over its decision to invoke the Emergencies Act in response to ongoing protests and blockades. “Emergency powers cannot and must not be normalized,” said CCLA executive director Noa Mendelsohn. She said use of the act “seriously infringes on the Charter rights of Canadians.”. In a statement released Thursday, Amnesty International also expressed concerns about the act, saying in a French news release that it “raises concerns and questions relating to the respect of human rights.”
- Parliament is expected at this point to endorse, by a thin margin, Trudeau’s declaration of Emergency Powers.

The New Zealand Defense Force (NZDF) warned Wednesday it was poised to deploy “Defence Force assets” to Wellington to disband an anti-coronavirus vaccine mandate protest near New Zealand’s parliament building after the rally pushed into its ninth consecutive day.
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Wuhan virus - YELLOW *last updated 12-10-21*
DISCUSSION - Blue states see the science - political science that is - changing and grudgly rolling back wuhan restrictions and mandates.

California Gov. Gavin Newsom on Thursday announced the first shift by a state to an “endemic” approach to the coronavirus pandemic that emphasizes prevention and quick reactions to outbreaks over mandates, a milestone nearly two years in the making that harkens to a return to a more normal existence.
OBSERVATION - Read of the plan shows it to be a continued ‘soft’ tyranny with the maintenance of edicts put into effect and resumptions of other mandates/lockdowns ready to go on a moments notice. Population separation on a vaxxed/unvaxxed basis with differing ‘rights’ between them.

New Zealand is fining people for not wanting to get tested for covid. If you don’t pay the fine you can get arrested, have your accounts and property seized, and be put on a no fly list.

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Economy - ORANGE trending upward *unchanged*
DISCUSSION - Maintaining color code pending first Fed rate increase. Increasing threat of deep recession / depression as the Fed tries to control inflation.

New construction of single-family homes fell sharply and unexpectedly in January as homebuilders struggled with huge costs increases, data from the Department of Commerce showed Thursday.
Single-family home starts dropped 5.6 percent in January compared with the prior month, exasperating a shortage of houses that has sent home prices soaring. U.S. homebuilders started new single-family projects at a seasonally adjusted, annualized rate of 1.116 million units, 2.4 percent below the rate of construction a year ago.
OBSERVATION - The housing market is on the precipice, demand still high, but loan rates set to take off like a rocket.

Average gas prices is now $3.51/gal. Forecasts now of upwards of $110/barrel for oil, likely to skyrocket if full blown war breaks out in Ukraine.

Stock morket had a shaky week due to Russia/Ukraine war concerns as well as trying to read the tea leaves on how big the Fed will increase rates in the face of record high inflation numbers that came out.

The Senate gave final approval Thursday to legislation averting a weekend government shutdown, sending Biden a measure designed to give bipartisan bargainers more time to reach an overdue deal financing federal agencies until fall. The House easily approved the legislation last week. The legislation will finance government through March 11.
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Invasion of Illegals - ORANGE trending upward *unchanged*
DISCUSSION - Illegals continue to push across the border with record numbers of intercepts

A new court document filed in Texas v. Biden reveals that of the 153,941 people who attempted to enter the United States illegally at the southern border in January, nearly 30% were released into the country.
Of the approximately 75,000 migrants who were taken into custody, roughly 46,000 were released into the U.S. on parole or after being placed in immigration court proceedings. Rather than return people to Mexico, federal law enforcement released tens of thousands of migrants into the U.S., despite a pandemic public health protocol requiring they be returned to Mexico and a mandate that noncitizens entering the U.S. at ports of entry be fully vaccinated, the Washington Examiner reported.

The Biden administration is expanding the size of migrant processing facilities on the southern border, a sign it does not see the immigration crisis ending any time soon.
An internal document sent to senior Customs and Border Protection officials, obtained by the Washington Free Beacon, describes plans by the agency to construct three permanent processing facilities for up to 1,000 migrants at a time in Del Rio, Laredo, and El Paso, Texas. An existing temporary U.S. Border Patrol processing site in Yuma, Ariz., will double in size and also be made permanent.
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Biden watch - ORANGE trending upward *unchanged*
DISCUSSION - Mental facilities continue to degrade

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CW2/Domestic violence - YELLOW trending neutral to down *updated 01/21/22*
DISCUSSION - Generally quiet activity on the BLM/Antifa front. Rampant crime continues

A Soros sponsored district attorney, José Garza, announced the indictment of a stunning 19 police officers for their efforts to quell the riots during the summer of 2020. A Texas grand jury indicted 19 Austin, Texas, police officers on charges of aggravated assault with a deadly weapon for their actions during 2020 protests over racial injustice that spread nationwide following the killing of George Floyd, sources told The Associated Press. Prosecution of rioters is non-existent.

Less than two years after donating a cool $10 million to “social justice” organizations including the Black Lives Matter Global Network Foundation (BLMGNF), Amazon has removed the foundation from its list of approved AmazonSmile charities. The move comes after the states of Washington and California ordered BLMGNF to cease accepting donations immediately until the controversial non-profit resolves serious transparency issues and complies with financial reporting requirements.
OBSERVATION - Most will probably note that tens of millions of dollars raise are missing from BLM coffers and spent by the founders of this BLM ‘organization’ for mansions across the country and Canada.
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POLITICAL FRONT - YELLOW and increasing *updated 01-28-22*
DISCUSSION - Democrats scramble to improve public approval prior to the 2022 midterms.

Hillary came out of her hole to address the Special Counsel John Durham’s investigation that appears to be closing the noose around her and her campaign’s actions in the “Russian collusion” scandal.

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Strategic Activity / Deployments - ORANGE (UPDATED 01/21/2022) *status raised*

More US troops and equipment deployed to Poland.
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Cyber Warfare - YELLOW

Warnings continue over possible Russian cyber attack in conjunction with any Ukraine invasion.
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China - ORANGE trending neutral to upward

Olympic woes bringing bad publicity.
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North Korea - YELLOW (UPDATED 01/21/22)

Increased activity in missile and nuclear programs.

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Russia - RED * updated 02=18-22*
DISCUSSION - INCREASED WARNING ONGOING -

****** Condition raised to RED due to significant increase in combat between separatists and Ukraine forces. No sign of any pull back / redeployment of Russian forces. Noncombatants in the separatist held areas are being evacuated. *******

OSINT and other analysts are noting the continued build up of military assets that go far beyond those necessary for a military ‘exercise’. Putin has seriously deployed for combat and can execute several options at any moment. Current indicators are that Russia is more inclined to launch a full scale attack against the Ukraine with the purpose of overthrowing the government.
Russian backed separatists have significantly increased artillery attacks against Ukraine forces, who’ve returned fire. Russia can use this as an excuse to justify an invasion.

WEATHER - Temperatures are warming above freezing thru mid Feb, increasing likelihood of muddy field conditions.

INDICATORS -
- Civilians reportedly in the separatist Dombass region are being mobilized to evacuate the region.
- Significant 10 fold increase in separatist artillery attacks on Ukraine positions.

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Putin demanded on Thursday that the U.S. remove all of its forces from Eastern and Central Europe and expelled U.S. Deputy Ambassador Bartle Gorman from Russia.

A State Department spokesperson confirmed the expulsion of Deputy Chief of Mission Bart Gorman, the No. 2 diplomat at the U.S. Embassy in Moscow, and described it as “unprovoked.”

Putin: all Kyiv needs to do is sit down at the negotiating table with representatives of Donbass and agree on political, military, economic and humanitarian measures to end the conflict.
OBSERVATION - Russia in addition to recognizing separatist controlled Dombass region as a separate country is trying to force Ukraine to do the same. This will not stop that conflict as separatists are continuing to try to gain more territory.

U.S. ambassador to OSCE says we assess that Russia probably has massed 169,000-190,000 personnel in and near Ukraine as compared with about 100,000 on Jan. 30.
NOTE - OSINT sources have placed the higher number since January.

Russia has agreed to the U.S. proposal for a Blinken-Lavrov meeting in Europe and suggested dates late next week. U.S. will proceed “provided there is no invasion of Ukraine,”

Russia says that Moscow will be forced to respond due to Washington’s unwillingness to agree on security guarantees, according to Russian state news TASS.
OBSERVATION - Based on all the statements on this subject by Russia over the past couple months, the only action that they said they would take is war.

The Russian military on Friday announced massive drills of its nuclear strategic forces. Exercise will include multiple practice launches of intercontinental ballistic missiles and cruise missiles.
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Ukraine - RED *updated 02-18-22*
Engaged in increasing conflict with Russian supported separatists.

Ukrainian Foreign Minister Kuleba: We categorically refute Russian disinformation reports on Ukraine’s alleged offensive operations or acts of sabotage in chemical production facilities. Ukraine does not conduct or plan any such actions in the Donbass. We are fully committed to diplomatic conflict resolution only.

Interfax reporting the plan to evacuate several hundreds of thousands of people from occupied parts of Donetsk region of Ukraine (Separatist controlled region). Russia denies any knowledge of this evacuation.

Overnight, wires were cut on Vodafone lines in 3 cities in Eastern Ukraine. Zero connection for few hours and was restored by morning.
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Belarus - YELLOW *updated 121021*
DISCUSSION -

Putin expressed satisfaction with the level of integration processes between Russia and Belarus. Russia and Belarus will continue to collectively take measures to ensure security in the light of NATO activity,

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Poland - YELLOW trending upward *updated 121021*

U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin announced on Friday the planned sale of 250 Abrams tanks to Poland, as Washington moves to strengthen the defense of a key eastern European ally amid a mounting threat of war between neighboring Ukraine and Russia.
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Europe / NATO General - YELLOW TRENDING UPWARD *updated 121021*
DISCUSSION - Increasing potential that NATO will become involved in an Ukraine invasion as Poland, Romania and the Baltic Nations respond.

NATO: We are concerned about Russia’s deployment of nuclear weapons in Kaliningrad and Iskander missiles in Belarus
NOTE - Kalinigrad is a tiny nation along the Baltic Sea between Poland and Lithuania.
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Israel - ORANGE trending neutral to upward *unchanged*
DISCUSSION - Ongoing threat from Hezbollah and Iran continues.

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Iran - ORANGE *unchanged*

Iran’s parliament has refused to end a $10 billion food subsidy scheme fearing protests and unrest. The indirect subsidies are a tremendous burden on the government’s finances since the US sanctions stopped most of its oil export earnings in dollars
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Syria - YELLOW

Significant decrease in Russian operations, likely due to shift of resources to the Ukraine theater.
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More of a focus on Ukraine / Russia today.
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Globalism / Great Reset -

NOTE - Global backtracking on wuhan mandates is only a tactical retreat. Anti mandate forces have not really won anything. In most instances, there is still a divided populace - jabbed vs unjabbed - with many restrictions remaining. Unmasking is just a show. GGR have shown the people to be quickly herded into compliance on many mandates and are confident they have been conditioned to do the same again when the next emergency comes around. This is a three steps forward, one step back dance by the GGR elites

On Thursday, the Department of Justice announced via press release the creation of the “Virtual Asset Exploitation Unit,” a specialized team of cryptocurrency experts “dedicated to providing analysis, support, and training across the FBI, as well as innovating its cryptocurrency tools to stay ahead of future threats.” The DOJ says the specialzied unit will deal with blockchain analysis, as well as seizure of virtual assets when necessary.
OBSERVATION - Just another front for GGR control. There is some scuttle butt that biden will decree new restrictions on cryptocurrencies by executive order. This DOJ unit will weaponize the govt to control the cryptocurrency market - currently out of reach of govt controls, as one step towards a US goal of a digital currency and eventually a global digital currency.

EPA has no statutory authority to regulate greenhouse gas emissions from coal plants. Although the Supreme Court is taking up the question on Feb. 28, the Biden regime doesn’t care what the Court holds. It plans to aggressively regulate emissions from coal plants anyway. As reported by Politico’s “Morning Energy” report today.
OBSERVATION - Climate change is anticipated to be the next ‘emergency’ to throw the world into new tyrannical mandates. This won’t be the first time biden has thumbed his nose at the courts. His administration has openly in the past stating that the by the time the court rule again, they will have obtained most of their policy objectives that will remain in place.
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TRUCKER PROTESTS

Canadian Truck protest bullets. Recommend FR threads for up to date info -
- Ottawa police moved not the protestors with a heavy hand yesterday, arresting nearly 100. However, their actions have been condemned as brutal with videos of police horse units trampling protestors, including one where an elderly woman with a walker was knocked down and trampled. There were initial reports that she died bath the hospital, but was not the case. Other videos show police beating others, breaking windows, etc. Definitely a poor media visibility day
- Parliament didn’t meet yesterday due to the police actions. AS of yesterday, it appeared that Trudeau’s slim majority would endorse his activation of the Emergency Powers Act. Need to watch if the brutality of the police action sways more minds.

US Truckers rally is kicking off with converging convoys from across America. There are plans for a series of truck convoys to arrive in Washington D.C. around the time of the State of the Union address to be given by Biden on March 1. This could set up a potential conflict between the Capitol police and protestors.

There are reports coming out of Australia that the govt may have used sonic weapons against protestors. During a senate committee, two Australian senators, Malcolm Roberts and Alex Antic, asked Reece Kershaw, Commissioner of the Australian Federal Police, if an LRAD machine (a long range acoustic device) had been used against protesters. Kershaw first tried to dodge Roberts’ question, saying: “[T]hat would be something about police methodology that we would have to look at [as] some sort of public interest immunity claim.”
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Wuhan virus -

Starting on Feb. 22, all Italian employees in the public or private sector aged 50 and older will need to show proof of COVID-19 vaccination via the country’s “super green pass” in order to enter their workplace.
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Economy -

biden signed budget extension through March 11th, avoiding a govt shut down.
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Invasion of Illegals -

Customs and Border Protection sent out an alert to all personnel this week warning agents that Mexican cartels may be plotting to assassinate them, the Washington Examiner reported Friday.
The Examiner said it reviewed the alert, which said that “cartel groups were discussing killing U.S. law enforcement personnel along the border near Fronton, Texas, between Miguel Aleman and Los Guerra, Tamaulipas, Mexico.”
Another CBP official confirmed the alert to the Examiner and said that area is a “high-traffic area for drug smuggling as it is just across the Rio Grande from Miguel Aleman, one of the more dangerous cities in the Mexican state of Tamaulipas.”
OBSERVATION - The cartels know the Border Patrol are over extended and that they are now willing to force control into the US south like they have northern Mexico.

Texas Facility Commission’s Federal Surplus Program acquired prefabricated Federal border panels through the General Service Administration (GSA) in late November 2021. TFC on Monday, February 7, 2022, received the final shipment of approximately 1,700 metal surplus panels, acquired through the General Service Administration (GSA), Federal Surplus Program (FSP).
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Biden watch -

Biden informed Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi that he intends to extend the federal National Emergency declaration beyond its termination date in March. By statute the State of a National Emergency expires one year after initial declaration. That meant the COVID National Emergency declaration was scheduled to end March 1st. However, the statute allows the extension if the executive office informs the legislative branch within the 90-day window prior to expiration.
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CW2/Domestic violence -

Black Lives Matter bail fund has paid to release violent rapists, murderers, and even a would-be political assassin. This has caused anger from victims as well as Republican legislators who are looking at ways to shut ways to restrict charitable bail.
OBSERVATION - Just a reminder, sowing crime fears into society is one tool of the left to cause them to eventually give up more rights for “security”.
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China -

Olympics end this weekend.
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Russia - T-?

WAR WATCH - Putin has deployed the 75% of the Russian army for combat and can execute several options at any moment. Russian deployments indicate the capability to launch an offensive against Ukraine along 7 fronts: from the Union State of Russia and Belarus, from the Russian Federation, from Russian-occupied Donbas, from the Sea of Azov, from Russian-occupied Crimea, from the Black Sea, from Russian-occupied Moldova.

****Update ****
Here are the current indicators of an impending attack -
- Increased shelling between separatist forces in the Dombass region and Ukraine forces
- More efforts by separatist forces to set up a false flag scenario to give Russia a pretense to invade.

POTENTIAL DIRECT THREATS TO THE US -
- Cyber attacks on energy and economic targets

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Via its proxy forces in Ukraine’s separatist region, Russia is trying to build up a story to protect Russia citizens living in the break away territories and justify its intervention to prevent ‘genocide’. ?This is the same play book it used in 2014.
As emphasized now in MSM and noted here a while ago, Russia has about 75% of its ground forces in hte border areas off northern and eastern Ukraine. OSINT reports of more forces staging closer to the border. With this large of a force, Putin has many options for an attack and it all boils down to how much damage (political, economic and casualties) he can sustain for his options. One trend that is clear, he wants to be the unfettered influence on the former Soviet union nations, as evidenced by his demands. How far he will push in Ukraine will depend upon at what point will he reach diminishing returns and avoiding a massive pushback and entrenchment of NATO in these former soviet republics.

Russia is conducting a strategic nuclear exercise today. Strategic forces exercise launches reported by the Kremlin: Kinzhal missiles launched, Black Sea and Northern Fleets ships and submarines launched Kalibr AShM and Tsirkon missile against onshore and offshore targets, Iskander BM launched from Kapustin Yar, ICBM Yars launched from Plesetsk to Kura, Tu-95MS launched cruise missiles to Kura and Pemboy ranges, Delta-IV Karelia launched SLBM Sineva from Barents Sea to Kura
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Ukraine -

WEATHER FORECAST - Temperatures forecast thru Feb 28 show temperatures in the mid to upper 40’s to even 50’s with rain/snow.
This forecast indicates that soil conditions are shifting from frozen much softer. Today is a waning Gibbous moon.

Separatist forces in the Dombass region unleashed a tidal wave of propaganda and false flag actions yesterday. However, in today’s quick internet world, most where uncovered to be either false or very much staged.
First was the claim that the Druzhba gas pipeline was destroyed. This tuned out to be much smaller pipelines near the Ukraine - Russia border in separatist controlled regions.
Second was there message and video of Russian citizens fleeing the separatist region allegedly under attack by Ukraine forces. Meta data showed that the videos were made days prior.
Metadata struck a third time of video clip showing “saboteur group attempting to blow up chlorine cylinder in Horlivka” shows it was made as late as 8th February.

Separatists, in connection with Russian media and authorities, are overstating the ‘evacuation’ of Russian citizens east into Russia.
Russian media report that head of occupation authorities (Ukraine separatists) in parts of Luhansk region signed decree on mobilization, prohibited exit of men aged 18 to 55 from territories. Exit have been prohibited since yesterday

Head of Donetsk regional administration Pavlo Kyrylenko: several cities without water supply after shelling targeted Vasylivka pumping station.
NOTE this is not in separatist controlled regions but immediately to the west.
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Belarus -

Joint exercises continue.
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