Go on the road for a couple days and all heck breaks out.
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Globalism / Great Reset -
TOPIC NOTE- These protests and national responses to the wuhan disease are evidence that it is not about the disease but control. The WEF has openly stated that they want to us this to usher in the ‘great reset’ ( a desire echoed by biden as well). However, as long as the population refuses to succumb to these lockdowns and restrictions, the WEF will find its goals delayed. Hence I’m tracking them here rather than wuhan. If action in the US starts to turn violent, I’ll track under CW2//Domestic Violence.
Canadian Truck protest bullets. Recommend FR threads for up to date info -
- Protestors were removed from the Ambassador Bridge. However, like a game of wack a mole (as noted by some) other blockades have sprung up in several other areas.
- Ottowa protestors have reached a minor agreement to pull elements out of residental areas.
- Biden in a call with Trudeau encouraged the use more authority (ie force) to clear the Ambassador bridge.
- After raising over $9 million for the Freedom Convoy movement and having their funds blocked and even seized by private banks, Christian crowdsourcing platform GiveSendGo has been hacked and taken offline.
In related - New Zealand is trying to use psyops to displace protestors, by playing Barry Manlow and Baby Shark.
Paris police responded violently to protestors in Paris.
Found an interesting chart on how the WEF / GGR will control people society
https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEh8Pv6lihysNk4skEpssxE158HmdL6pNHkfgHK_5bHH-hqs8AFwHjMQUSb_F_fp5qBBvktR81fms2iheb5FEByelD_j_7pzmkjB9Xa0hsad-Ai9JoW-2PxxoyQ7spTdVrNgRp5xtYtvw5PYx4dujYyMpmkaf50VYAM5z83dSLNRBmvkuJM95sDOpIM-=s680
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Wuhan virus -
LA mayor and dozens of elite ‘celebrities’ watched the Superbowl involution of the mask mandate.
Masking and other wuhan mandates are being pulled across the country. The same is increasing across the globe.
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Economy -
Rumors that the Fed will raise the rates 7 times this year (just last month the estimate was 3 times). More rumors that the first increase will be much more than the quarter point that has been discussed.
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Biden watch -
Call with Putin turns out to be another nothing burger.
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Strategic Activity / Deployments -
The Navy sortied four East Coast guided-missile destroyers as the U.S. and NATO have massed naval forces in the region, USNI News has learned. Arleigh Burke-class destroyers USS Donald Cook (DDG-75) USS Mitscher (DDG-57) USS The Sullivans (DDG-68) and USS Gonzalez (DDG-66) left the U.S. last month as independent deployers for U.S. 6th Fleet. All four ships are also configured for ballistic missile defense. The ships join the four Navy BMD destroyers based in Rota, Spain – USS Ross (DDG-71), USS Roosevelt (DDG-80), USS Porter (DDG-78) and USS Arleigh Burke (DDG-51) and the Harry S. Truman Carrier Strike Group operating in the Mediterranean Sea.
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China -
China has begun deploying robotic vehicles armed with machine guns along its border with India after Chinese troops struggled to handle the altitude and terrain, reports said last week. The PLA has two different types of UGV’s: the Sharp Claw and the Mule-200. The former can be controlled by an operator wirelessly in addition to moving on its own, and the latter can act as both an unmanned delivery truck or operate weapons, including mounted firearms.
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Russia -
WAR WATCH - Putin has seriously deployed for combat and can execute several options at any moment. Russian deployments indicate the capability to launch an offensive against Ukraine along 7 fronts: from the Union State of Russia and Belarus, from the Russian Federation, from Russian-occupied Donbas, from the Sea of Azov, from Russian-occupied Crimea, from the Black Sea, from Russian-occupied Moldova.
****Update ****
We’ve entered a phase of intense propaganda and misinformation on both sides. With Normandy Format talks impending, will Russia use them to obfuscate a desire for a peaceful solution to attack? Indicators are all pointing towards a soon attack, very likely this week. If delayed further, weather/soil conditions will hamper a rapid attack that Russia appears to be set up for.
Current indicators -
- Russia began to pull diplomats out of Ukraine this weekend
- Russia has deployed its full Black Sea fleet (30 ships) for a declared “exercise”. Includes amphibious assault ships.
- North Sea Fleet deployed
- 30,000 Russian troops participating with Belarus troops
- Russian Foreign Ministry urged their citizens in Ukraine to increase vigilance, follow the messages, warns about possible provocations
NOTICE - these are OSINT indicators. The real short term indicators are hard to nail down, but some key ones are twitter reports of artillery units deploying near the Ukraine border. This is standard military doctrine, to provide as much aritillery support before having to redeploy to keep up with the moving forces. I’m seeing more forces moving out of assembly areas towards the border.
Der Spiegel and Daily Mail report US intelligence saying that the attack will begin this Wednesday.
POTENTIAL DIRECT THREATS TO THE US -
- Cyber attacks on energy and economic targets
- I do not see a nuclear attack unless NATO engages into direct conflict with Russian forces, the potentially initially limited to tactical systems. Very very low probability.
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The Russian Ministry of Defense says that there is a US plot to carry out bombings targeting the intelligence of the government and the Russian and Iranian military
Russian Duma members refer to Putin the draft resolution recognizing the “independence” of occupied parts of Donetsk and Luhansk regions of Ukraine.
Donetsk and Luhansk separatists warning of an Ukrainian attack.
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Ukraine -
WEATHER FORECAST - Temperatures forecast thru Feb 22 show temperatures in the mid to upper 40’s with rain.
This forecast shows that soil conditions are shifting from frozen much softer
UK PM Boris Johnson says situation in Ukraine is “very, very dangerous,” urges Putin to step back from “the edge of a precipice”
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz arrived in Kyiv to meet with Ukrainian President Zelensky
Greece gov’t urges Greek citizens to leave Ukraine “immediately”, “strongly discourages” against travel to the country
Some airlines canceled flights to the Ukrainian capital and troops there unloaded fresh shipments of weapons from NATO members Sunday.
US has warned americans to leave country before Feb 14th. US Embassy staff was ordered to depart over the weekend.
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Belarus -
Exercise with 30,000 Russian troops continue.
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Iran -
The Pentagon: The development that Iran has achieved in its nuclear program has shortened the time period for making a nuclear weapon
The Russian Ministry of Defense says that there is a US plot to carry out bombings targeting the intelligence of the government and the Russian and Iranian military
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Now at T- one day to potential Russian invasion.
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Globalism / Great Reset -
TOPIC NOTE- These protests and national responses to the wuhan disease are evidence that it is not about the disease but control. The WEF has openly stated that they want to us this to usher in the ‘great reset’ ( a desire echoed by biden as well). However, as long as the population refuses to succumb to these lockdowns and restrictions, the WEF will find its goals delayed. Hence I’m tracking them here rather than wuhan. If action in the US starts to turn violent, I’ll track under CW2//Domestic Violence.
Canadian Truck protest bullets. Recommend FR threads for up to date info -
- Trudeau has invoked the Emergency (War Powers) act to quell the Protests. He stopped just short of deploying the military to break up protest. Act grants cabinet ability to take ‘special temporary measures that may not be appropriate in normal times’
- Canada’s Deputy Prime Minister says that, as part of the Emergencies Act, they are broadening Canada’s “Terrorist Financing” rules so that they cover crowdfunding platforms and cryptocurrencies to the Canadian Freedom Convoy
- RUMINT - As part of their “Emergency Act” powers, the Canadian government has BLOCKED all social media posts originating from inside of Canada. Twitter, Facebook, etc., have been affected by the block. Users can post, but what they post WILL NOT APPEAR on any feeds, anywhere if their originating IP address is located in CANADA.
New Zealand’s prime minister on Monday said protesters who oppose coronavirus mandates were using “intimidation and harassment,” as authorities appeared to take a harsher stance toward the convoy of demonstrators that has disrupted the capital of Wellington for nearly a week. Police initially let the protesters set up tents and camp on the grounds of New Zealand’s Parliament before arresting 122 people on Thursday and then backing off again. The size of the protest dropped to a few hundred last week but increased again to around 3,000 over the weekend. Speaking with reporters, Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern signaled the thinning patience of authorities.
US Convoy of freedom is now expected to start on Feb 23d.
PROTEST OBSERVATIONS - Canada, New Zealand, Australia and Austria are the tip of the spear for the GGR tyrants. Any popular support for these wuhan tyrants is slipping fast, hence the harsher govt responses to protestors.
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Wuhan virus -
Thousands of workers in health care and other areas are facing employment termination in the next couple days for refusing to get the jab. Particularly hard hit will be health care where they are already short handed.
DC Mayor lifting most mask and vaccine passport requirements, for most except schools. More mandates centered in Blue regions are being allow to expire. These mandates have been revoked in Red areas for many months now.
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Economy -
CPI has surged to 9.7% annually in January, double the estimate from economic gurus. This is an increase of an additional one percent from December. Excluding volatile food and energy prices, wholesale inflation rose 0.8% from December and 8.3% from January 2021.
“US poultry producers are tightening safety measures for their flocks as disease experts warn that wild birds are likely spreading a highly lethal form of avian flu across the country. Indiana on Wednesday reported highly pathogenic bird flu on a commercial turkey farm, leading China, South Korea and Mexico to ban poultry imports from the state. The outbreak put the US industry on edge at a time that labor shortages are fueling food inflation.”
SEE ALSO Black Flags for drought inflicted food instability .
In the last week, the price of regular-grade gasoline has soared nearly 1.4 percent, from $3.441 to $3.488.
Four months after Biden promised that the crucial American cargo facility at the port of Long Beach would shift to an around-the-clock schedule to help with the backlog of cargo ships that is wreaking havoc on supply chains, nothing has changed.
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Invasion of Illegals -
Department of Homeland Security (DHS) officials are set to issue a new memo that is likely to further cripple Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agents’ ability to arrest illegal aliens. This is in part allegedly due to a lawsuit against the DHS over illegal aliens who were arrested by ICE agents as part of “collateral arrests” in traffic stops and often without a judicial warrant. The policy is certain to further cripple interior immigration enforcement.
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POLITICAL FRONT -
Durham revelations sending political shockwaves that democrats and MSM are attempting to bury and ride out.
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Strategic Activity / Deployments -
Word that an additional 3000 troops are being deployed from Ft Bragg for Europe.
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Cyber Warfare -
The Cybersecurity Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA) issued a warning stating that “every organization in the US is at risk from cyber threats that can disrupt essential services.” The “Shields Up” alert to protect critical assets is strengthened by reports that Russia will invade Ukraine as early as this Wednesday.
OBSERVATION - Double check your family’s plan to navigate through five days of disrupted power supplies, limited financial access, and supply shortages due to panic purchasing.
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China -
An article criticizing Chinese leader Xi Jinping was allowed to go viral in mainland China, which analysts say reflects the intense struggle among different factions within the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and its effect on Xi’s authority.
OBSERVATION - I’ve noted previously all is not well with Xi in China. Political instability could cause him to execute dangerous actions like a taiwan invasion to secure his position.
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Russia - T-1 days?
WAR WATCH - Putin has seriously deployed for combat and can execute several options at any moment. Russian deployments indicate the capability to launch an offensive against Ukraine along 7 fronts: from the Union State of Russia and Belarus, from the Russian Federation, from Russian-occupied Donbas, from the Sea of Azov, from Russian-occupied Crimea, from the Black Sea, from Russian-occupied Moldova.
****Update ****
biden administration warning of a start to the invasion being tomorrow has been ridiculed but independent observers concur that an attack CAN occur within days. Now, more observers and analysts see precursors of an attack. Here are the current indicators -
- Russian propaganda for internal/domestic consumption claim ‘thousands of civilians have been tortured and savagely killed’ by Ukraine amid invasion fears. This is similar to the story used in 2014 for its last incursion into Ukraine.
- Satellite observed a reduction in Russian military assets in Soloti, Klintsy, Rechysta, Yelnya, and Pogonovo. The equipment is not being loaded onto railcars and sent back to its home district; instead, it is likely being moved to forward staging and assembly areas. The sudden emptying of camps is consistent with Western intelligence on a possible invasion timeline.
- OSINT notes significant activity in Crimea where it is suspected that the airborne forces there are preparing for a very large helicopter / airborne operations.
- Observers note long range artillery and rocket launchers being moved towards the Ukraine
POTENTIAL DIRECT THREATS TO THE US -
- Cyber attacks on energy and economic targets See Cyberwarfare above.
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Putin hsa announced the willing to discuss ‘confidence building’ measures with the US and NATO within the context of Russia saying they are withdrawing troops following the end of ‘exercises’ along the Ukraine border.
Russia said Tuesday it was pulling back some of its forces near the Ukrainian border to their bases, in what would be the first major step towards de-escalation after weeks of tension with the West. Some exercises are continuing, such as a large joint Russia-Belarus drill, due to end on 20 February.
OBSERVATION - This claim is being countered by observers failing to see the equipment being moved to rail heads, but instead toward the Ukraine border.
The Russian Northern Fleet has begun exercises in the Barents Sea with the participation of about 20 ships, including the cruiser Pyotr Veliky and the frigate Admiral Gorshkov
The State Duma voted for a draft resolution on the need to recognize the “LNR” and the “DNR” on the occupied parts of Donetsk and Luhansk regions of Ukraine. Resolution will be sent to the president immediately, - speaker Volodin said
OBSERVATION - This recognition will make any negotiated settlement nearly impossible.
The military and armored vehicles that took part in the exercises in the Crimea are returning to their places of permanent deployment, - the press service of the Southern Military District reported. See Indiator discussion above. Observers are very skeptical that these forces a departing Crimea for Russia.
A senior Russian military official said on Monday that Russia was ready to open fire on foreign ships and submarines that illegally enter its territorial waters, the Interfax news agency reported.
Any such decision would, however, be taken only at the “highest level,” Stanislav Gadzhimagomedov, deputy head of the main operational department of the General Staff, was quoted as saying.
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Ukraine -
WEATHER FORECAST - Temperatures forecast thru Feb 22 show temperatures in the mid to upper 40’s with rain.
This forecast shows that soil conditions are shifting from frozen much softer
US State Department - “We are in the process of temporarily relocating our Embassy operations in Ukraine from our Embassy in Kyiv to Lviv due to the dramatic acceleration in the buildup of Russian forces,”
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Belarus -
“Uragan” MLRS and other Russian military equipment was spotted today (15.02) in Mozyr district, moving in the direction of Lelchytsy (Gomel region, Belarus), which is located 10 km from the border with Ukraine
U.S. tells Americans in Belarus to ‘leave immediately’ due to Russia’s military buildup along the Belarus-Ukraine border
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Europe / NATO General -
NATO defense ministers are expected this week to set in motion a plan that could establish four multinational battlegroups in southeastern Europe in response to Russia’s military build-up in Ukraine
Talks between Russian President Vladimir Putin and German Chancellor Olaf Scholz began in Moscow Tuesday, the latest meeting in weeks of diplomatic efforts to defuse tensions over Ukraine.
A German military aircraft carrying troop reinforcements landed at Lithuania’s Kaunas airport on Monday, a Reuters eyewitness said, the first of several planned deployments amid fears in the region over a possible Russian invasion of Ukraine.
The airplane carried around 70 troops of what is expected to grow to a 360-strong German deployment, which comes on top of existing NATO forces in the region, a spokesperson for the alliance’s enhanced forward presence battlegroup said.
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Iraq -
A UAV that was heading towards Erbil from “eastern border” [AKA Iran] has been reportedly intercepted by the coalition.
OBSERVATION - Iraqi authorities also say the UAV is similar to those used by Houthi in Yemen as a low cost ‘cruze missile. Likely from Iranian backed militias developing capability to strike US forces in Iraq.
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Black Swans -
Climatologists saying the current ‘mega’ drought is the worst in 1,200 years. Drought from last year hammered farmers and ranchers and a continuation will place increasing pressure on food supply for the country. This is on top of shortages in fertilizer and skyrocketing fuel prices. Farms and ranches may stumble through this year, but if conditions don’t change food shortages may become significantly worse.