Replies

Buckle up, another turbulent week enroute. I’m preparing a separate Russian options report for later, either today or tomorrow.
________________________________

Globalism / Great Reset -

The Food and Drug Administration (FDA) closed Florida’s monoclonal antibody treatment sites on Monday after the federal government abruptly removed the treatments from Emergency Use Authorizations.
The Florida Department of Health released a statement on Monday evening condemning the “abrupt” decision to take away treatments that can prevent severe illness, hospitalization, and death in high-risk patients who have contracted or been exposed to COVID-19.
As a result of the US_FDA’s abrupt decision to remove the EUAs for two monoclonal antibodies, monoclonal antibody treatment sites will be closed until further notice.
“This evening, without any advanced notice, the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) revised the Emergency Use Authorization (EUA)...The revised EUAs do not allow providers to administer these treatments within the United States,” the statement reads.
“Unfortunately, as a result of this abrupt decision made by the federal government, all monoclonal antibody state sites will be closed until further notice...Florida disagrees with the decision that blocks access to any available treatments in the absence of clinical evidence.”
OBSERVATION - The excuse given by the FDA is that this treatment is not effective against Omicron. However, it is just evidence of biden weaponizing treatments against Florida and likely as a warning against other Red states to toe the line. Its about power, not the disease. GGR will utilize similar punitive measures when finally unleashed.
_____________________________

Wuhan virus -

Victoria Premier Dan Andrews of Australia has decided that in order to remain “fully vaccinated” for the Wuhan coronavirus (Covid-19), Aussies will now need to get a third “booster” dose.
Speaking outside at a park in his usual smug tone, Andrews explained that getting “boosted” is no longer an option. In order to continue living, Victorians will need to roll up their sleeves when their turn comes, or else be ostracized from society.
“This is not an option,” Andrews told his constituents condescendingly. “It’s not an add-on. It’s not (just) a good thing to have.”
“I think we’re very close to a change in policy that will simply reflect the fact that in order to be ‘fully vaccinated,’ you need to have three doses – not two plus an optional extra, but in fact to be fully protected, to be fully vaccinated, to have fully played your card, you need not two plus an optional third, but three doses.”

Preliminary, unpublished study by Israeli researchers show that a fourth injection does not prevent Omicron variant infections.
In related, Pfizer announced they will soon have a retooled injection to combat Omicron.
OBSERVATION - The ‘vaccine’ narrative continues to crumble as more and more proof these mRNA concoctions not only fail to prevent infection, but may even increase the probability of infections.
_____________________________

Economy -

War fears and impending Fed rate adjustments caused the Dow Monday to drop more than a thousand points( and this morning the DOW is dropping like a rock again). Yet, with virtually no solid news basis the market rallied strongly. The rally brought out talk about the Fed activation of the ‘crash prevention’ team. Real economic pressures indicate further sell off and growing instability.

Lack of and increased in prices for fertilizer in the US have farmers looking at reducing corn planting. Fertilizer and liquid nitrogen have tripled and quadrupled in price over the past year. Corn typically takes about 600 pounds of fertilizer per acre, plus 50 gallons of liquid nitrogen. Farmers instead are looking to plant soybeans instead.
OBSERVATION - Fertilizer shortages are affecting the rest fo the world as well, cutting crop production by some estimates by as much as 30%. This will further stress global food markets, driving prices even higher.

Economic growth in the United States slowed sharply in the first weeks of the year due to supply chain disruptions, high prices, and labor shortages linked to the surge in Covid-19 infections, according to data from a purchasing managers survey released Monday.
The U.S. IHS Markit flash composite purchasing managers index, one of the first comprehensive looks at economic growth this year, fell to 50.8 in January from 57.0 in December, severely undershooting expectations and signaling almost no growth in the economy. Economists had forecast a reading of 56.7.
“Soaring virus cases have brought the U.S. economy to a near standstill at the start of the year, with businesses disrupted by worsening supply-chain delays and staff shortages, with new restrictions to control the spread of Omicron adding to firms’ headwinds,” said Chris Williamson, chief business economist at IHS Markit. The flash composite measures economic activity in both the services and manufacturing sides of the economy. Readings above 50 indicate growth.
______________________________

Invasion of Illegals -

The Transportation Security Administration (TSA) on Friday acknowledged it was allowing illegal immigrants to present arrest warrants as identification to get on airplanes but said it was ending the practice.
“For non-citizens and non-U.S. nationals who do not otherwise have acceptable forms of ID for presentation at security checkpoints, TSA may also accept certain DHS-issued forms, including ICE Form I-200 (Warrant for Arrest of an Alien),” a spokesman for the agency told The Epoch Times in an email.
OBSERVATION - It is unspeakable that TSA would grant CRIMINALS access to our airlines in this manner.
______________________________

Biden watch -

Biden caught on hot mic calling Fox News’ Peter Doocy a ‘stupid son of a ...’ after he asked him about current high inflation.
Doocy called out, “Do you think inflation is a political liabiity ahead of the midterms?”
Biden replied “It’s a great asset - more inflation.” Then he shook his head and added, “What a stupid son of a bitch.”
White House has been on damage control since. Reports that biden called Doocy to say it was nothing personal but strictly business.

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows that 40% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Biden’s job performance. Fifty-nine (59%) disapprove. The latest figures include 18% who Strongly Approve of the job Biden is doing and 50% who Strongly Disapprove. This gives him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -32.
___________________________

POLITICAL FRONT -

More fallout among democrats following Schumer’s disastrous (in democrat views) handling of HR1 and BBB. Some democrats in DC are upset that Schumer’s actions have exposed fractures in the party and have made matters worse.

_____________________________________

Strategic Activity / Deployments -

******** WARNING - SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENTS *********

Warning orders for about 8,500 troops to make ready for deployment to Europe to counter Russian build ups. Exact units not specifically identified yet. There are also reports of discussions of readying up to 50,000 troops for deployment. Current discussions are that these forces will not be deployed directly to Ukraine, but other Eastern European nations like the Baltics, Poland, Romania, etc.
OBSERVATION - The US has long deactivate the old REFORGER concept but the last I heard has retained some stored equipment for smaller scale deployments that these troops can fall in on. Armor units are necessary to counter the armor heavy units Russia has. Airborne (82d, 101st) are ‘crunchies’, not sufficient to counter armor attacks.

Apart from today’s Kearsarge announcement, still no statement regarding the deployment of other naval vessels from the US. USNI News still shows nothing in US. Only units depicted are those in the vicinity of the Japan Sea. Those include four carrier CSG, all other carriers have dropped off the map as well.
See link below to USNI map as of Jan 24, 2022

https://news.usni.org/2022/01/24/usni-news-fleet-and-marine-tracker-jan-24-2022

The Kearsarge Amphibious Ready Group (ARG) is underway in the Virginia Capes Operating Areas. The ARG and the 22nd Marine Expeditionary Unit are in the middle of a Composite Training Unit Exercise (COMPTUEX).
OBSERVATION - The Kearsarge ARG was observed departing Norfolk on the 14th of Jan. No word on the other groups that departed a few days later. No word on the reason for their deployment yet.

An F-35C Joint Strike Fighter crashed while landing aboard the aircraft carrier USS Carl Vinson, which is currently operating in the South China Sea. The pilot ejected from the aircraft and is in a stable condition, while seven other sailors aboard the ship were injured as a result of the accident. The fate of the aircraft is uncertain. A spokesman for the 7th Naval Fleet in Japan called the impact on the flight deck “superficial”. The warship and its air squadron have resumed normal operations.
_________________________________

Cyber Warfare -

A DHS memo released Sunday warned that Russia could launch a cyberattack against U.S. targets on American soil if it believes Washington’s response to its potential invasion of Ukraine threatens its long-term national security. Putin doesn’t play. It takes no stretch of the imagination to picture him ordering a full cyberattack crippling American infrastructure, commerce, and national security. The situation’s seriousness cannot be overstated. Russia, despite its denials, is plainly preparing for war.
OBSERVATION - This well could be recognized as an act of war by the US and escalate the situation greatly. Putin would see any significant military response to a Ukrainian invasion as an act of war, justifying his cyber attacks.
_________________________________

China -

Epoch times reminds us that China has built extensive cities - cities that are completely empty. They report that they have the capacity to house New York City 27 times over. These cities were reported years ago, and with China’s current economic woes are looming like monster.
Corporations like Everclear are stuck paying back loans for these buildings, with no tenants. This is a snapshot as to the depth of the real estate bubble that is ready to burst. Some estimate that the real cost of these constructions are multiple times China’s GDP.
OBSERVATION - When the dam breaks, it will affect global investors as well as China.
____________________________________

North Korea -

North Korea fired two cruise missiles on the morning of Jan. 25, a South Korean military official confirmed to NK News, adding that ROK-US intelligence is still analyzing the test.
___________________________________

Russia -

INCREASED WARNING ONGOING - OSINT and other analysts are noting the continued build up of military assets that go far beyond those necessary for a military ‘exercise’. Putin has seriously deployed for combat and can execute several options at any moment. Current indicators are that Russia is more inclined to launch a full scale attack against the Ukraine with the purpose of overthrowing the government.

Russia has deployed elements of 10 army groups and an army corps near Ukraine (probably 70+ BTGs). Of those, only 3 CAAs are permanently stationed to cover Russia’s south-western borders. The increase is therefore substantial in terms of size and capabilities, but also broad in terms of the territory covered.

Russian deployments indicate the capability to launch an offensive against Ukraine along 7 fronts: from the Union State of Russia and Belarus, from the Russian Federation, from Russian-occupied Donbas, from the Sea of Azov, from Russian-occupied Crimea, from the Black Sea, from Russian-occupied Moldova.

********

Russian troops of Southern Military District and Western Military District launched combat readiness check, to last until 29th January. Southern Military district, which borders Ukraine, has more than 6,000 troops.

Increasing numbers of Russian river crossing units moving into the theater. Many designed for major river crossings, which means the Dnepier River may not be a stopping point for Russia - as in a partial invasion.

3 Russian assault ships of the Baltic Fleet (Minsk, Kaliningrad and Korolev) expected to transit Strait of Gibraltar today - most likely heading for Black Sea. The group is being shadowed by destroyer from USS Roosevelt group

US still expects to send its written response to Russia re NATO/Ukraine this week, will include response to Russia’s proposals and also other issues the US is hoping can be grounds for agreement w/ Russia.
____________________________________

Ukraine -

WEATHER FORECAST - Temperatures forecast to be around freezing and snow for most of the next two weeks. This will thaw out some of soils and inhibit some armored movement. But at this stage, thawing will be limited and not a show stopper.

Security Service of Ukraine neutralized a criminal group that was preparing a series of attacks. A large-scale operation took place in Zhytomyr and Kharkiv. The criminals were coordinated by representatives of the Russian special services.

The UK is “becoming aware of a significant number of individuals that are assessed to be associated with Russian military advance-force operations and currently located in Ukraine” - update from deputy defence minister Heappey

Briefing after meeting of National Security Council of Ukraine. Members of NSDC speaking on their topics, in short: no imminent threat of attack, in case of attack everything is ready. No issues with energy sector: enough coal, gas.
OBSERVATION - This is at odds with NATO assessments of an imminent invasion . This is likely to try to calm the fears of the country while NATO’s assessment is meant to rally the troops.

Canada follows US, Britain, Germany and Australia and orders families of diplomatic staff to leave Ukraine
Marine Corps official says that the service has deployed additional forces from its Marine Security Guard Security Augmentation Unit to the U.S. Embassy in Ukraine.

The 3rd weapons shipment from United States to Ukraine is on the way to Boryspil International Airport in Kyiv from Dover AFB, Delaware

Pentagon Pres Sec Kirby announcing steps to ready multi-national NATO response force (NRF) of 40,000 troops “if it is activated...to defeat aggression, if necessary” against Russia.
___________________________________

Belarus -

Belarusian Railway infrastructure has been hit by ransomware. It’s been reported servers, databases, and workstations have been impacted to delay deployment of Russian troops. The individual(s) is demanding the release of 50 political prisoners
_______________________________________

Syria -

British Special Forces are involved in the operation to retake Gweiran prison in NE Syria according to unconfirmed reports. US forces are reported to be involved as well. ISIS is still in control of pockets of the prison and using local civilians as hostages / human shields. The death toll from the Al-Sina’a prison incidents in Hasaka has risen to 166, including 114 from ISIS
__________________________________

Sorry for the delay, life happens (and naps).
________________________________

Globalism / Great Reset -

Republicans are weighing whether to force a government shutdown if the next federal spending plan includes funding for COVID-19 vaccine mandates. The continuing resolution expires Feb. 18, and Republicans are circulating a letter vowing to pull support for funding the government, forcing a shutdown, Fox News reported Tuesday.
OBSERVATION - The CR is already in danger from general democrat disarray and Republican refusing further support of spending without budget controls. This will be fought by the globalist swamp.
_____________________________

Wuhan virus -

Following the USSC decision, Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA) on Tuesday withdrew its vaccine mandate on business larger than 100 employees. Expect OSHA to try to weasel another mandate via the standard regulatory methods and not “emergency” regulations.

Just 40% of fully vaccinated Americans have received a booster dose, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. And the average number of booster shots dispensed per day in the U.S. has plummeted from a peak of 1 million in early December to about 490,000 as of last week. “It’s clear that the booster effort is falling short,” said Jason Schwartz, a vaccine policy expert at Yale University.

The former vice president of the World Health Organization’s European Advisory Group of experts in immunization; Professor Christian Perronne, yesterday said that all vaccinated people must quarantine over the winter months or risk serious illness. Perronne specializes in tropical pathologies and emerging infectious diseases. He was Chairman of the Specialized Committee on Communicable Diseases of the High Council of Public Health.
“Unvaccinated people are not dangerous; vaccinated people are dangerous for others. It’s proven in Israel now – I’m in contact with many physicians in Israel – they’re having big problems, severe cases in the hospitals are among vaccinated people, and in UK also, you have the larger vaccination program and also there are problems.”
Israeli doctor Kobi Haviv told Channel 13 News:
“95 percent of seriously ill patients are vaccinated. Fully vaccinated people account for 85-90 percent of hospitalizations. We are opening more and more COVID branches. The effectiveness of vaccines is declining or disappearing.”
OBSERVATION - Israel is the canary in the mine. With the highest level of injections in the world, wuhan continues unabated and worsening.
_____________________________

Economy -

Fed announced no immediate rate changes, but looks to March for the first increase. Rate remains 0.25%

Brazil, Argentina and Paraguay, the three major agricultural producers in South America, are currently experiencing a prolonged period of drought and low water levels in their main rivers. This is severely impacting harvests, as well as river transport of important summer crops, with maize (corn) and soybeans the main casualties.
OBSERVATION - This will rebound back to the US in the form of higher produce prices.
______________________________

Invasion of Illegals -

Numerous accounts of illegals being dumped all over he country with no accountability or ability to corral them to send back.
______________________________

Biden watch -

Biden said on Tuesday he would consider personal sanctions on President Vladimir Putin if Russia invades Ukraine. Direct U.S. sanctions on foreign leaders are rare but not unprecedented.
___________________________

CW2/Domestic violence -

The U.S. Postal Service (USPS) has announced plans to provide its law enforcement branch with expanded access to its vast trove of customer data, raising concerns among privacy activists about the organization’s expanding surveillance powers.
The USPS came under scrutiny in 2021 when it was revealed that its law enforcement arm, the U.S. Postal Inspection Service (USPIS), was monitoring both left- and right-wing protest groups on social media. Multiple nonprofit organizations sued the USPS, seeking internal records about its surveillance program and questioning the legality of such activities.
Those lawsuits haven’t stopped the Postal Service from seeking additional surveillance powers. On Dec. 17, 2021, the USPS announced that it intended to provide customer data to USPIS investigators.
OBSERVATION - As noted when this first came out that this was a biden end around of constitutional surveillance laws. Now these obscure govt agencies are weaponizing against citizens.

Pelosi’s Capitol Police is secretly gathering “intelligence” on Hill staffers and American citizens who meet with lawmakers according to Politico. Pelosi’s police are scrutinizing social media accounts of innocent people. “Whatever they think that sounds like for security, it sounds dangerously close — if not already over the line — to spying on members of Congress, their staff, their constituents and their supporters,” Rep. Kelly Armstrong, a former criminal defense attorney told Politico.
“Anybody involved with implementing this without making it known to the actual members of Congress should resign or be fired immediately,” he added. “And I’m not big on calling for resignations.”
OBSERVATIONS - USPS and now the Cap Police are just the tip of the iceberg of govt monitoring of citizens at a level unthinkable just a few years ago (when it was considered conspiracy theory).

San Jose voted Tuesday night to require gun owners to carry liability insurance in what’s believed to be the first measure of its kind in the United States. The council also voted to require thousands of gun owners in the city to pay a small fee, which would be used for firearm safety education and services such as domestic violence prevention and mental health services.
OBSERVATION - Can you believe criminals will follow this . . . . .
_________________________________

POLITICAL FRONT -

The 29th House democrat has announced retirement. This outflow indicates that the democrats are expecting a drubbing in the midterms and to preserve their pensions, endangered reps are retiring rather than being voted out, like rats escaping a sinking ship.
_____________________________________

Domestic Terror -

Domestic violent extremists and racially motivated extremists have been developing plans to attack the U.S. electric sector, according to an intelligence bulletin from the Department of Homeland Security that was issued this week and obtained by The Daily Beast.
“DVEs have developed credible, specific plans to attack electricity infrastructure since at least 2020, identifying the electric grid as a particularly attractive target given its interdependency with other infrastructure sectors,” the alert said.
DHS’ Office of Intelligence and Analysis issued the alert to the electric sector Monday, following requests from power companies to take stock of increased threats from domestic violent extremists in 2020 and 2021.
OBSERVATION - Focus on the right, ignoring the left who have attacked infrastructure in the pasts - particularl ecoterrorists. Could also serve as a false flag to aggressively go after the right.
_____________________________________

Strategic Activity / Deployments -

******** WARNING - SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENTS *********

Warning orders for about 8,500 troops to make ready for deployment to Europe to counter Russian build ups. Exact units not specifically identified yet however are not believed to be elements of 82d and 101st according to U.S. defense officials.
OBSERVATION - These are light units with no heavy armor. In some ways symbolic, but capable of some defensive operators when backed by air support.

https://news.usni.org/2022/01/24/usni-news-fleet-and-marine-tracker-jan-24-2022

US F-15s have landed at Amari Air Base, Estonia and Danish F-16s will arrive at Siauliai Air Base, Lithuania tomorrow to bolster the forces already deployed under the long established NATO Air Policing mission.
_________________________________

China -

The U.S. is weighing whether to authorize departures for American diplomats and their families in #China who wish to leave due to the U.S. government’s inability to prevent Chinese authorities from subjecting them to intrusive COVID19 control measures (ie anal swabs are back).
____________________________________

Russia -

********

Russian Black Sea fleet launched exercise with more than 20 vessels.

S-300V-series air defense/ballistic missile defense systems are reportedly in Bryansk near the border with Ukraine. These would be used to defend against Ukrainian Tochka-U tactical ballistic missiles.
OBSERVATION - This is an example of the extent of russian’s military build up, indicating that they are setting up the capabability for a large scale invasion of Ukraine.

The Western and Southern Military Districts announced combat readiness inspections, which will include raising units to an alert status and moving them to training ranges, and will end this week. This includes the Black Sea Fleet and Caspian Flotilla. The Southern Military District is deploying 20 field command posts as part of the check, and Su-27SM, Su-30SM2, and Su-34 squadrons will rehearsed flying to different airfields.
Observers noting that this activity activity from all of Russia’s major regional commands are a significant precursor to war and Russia’s preparations are entering a new stage. “Russia also appears to be activating some troops and may be beginning to move aircraft and ground-support crews to operational air bases.”
OBSERVATION - I’ve noted that extended periods of deployment tend to reduce operational readiness \. Exercises like this work to sharpen the sword again and suggest that military action is soon to follow.

The Biden admin delivered to Russia a written response to concerns Moscow has publicly released & US proposals on a path forward , but the response is unlikely to characterize the likelihood of Ukraine joining NATO in the short term.
____________________________________

Ukraine -

India now recommends that its citizens In Ukraine register on the resource of the diplomatic mission in order to receive timely information about a possible evacuation.
New security alert from US Embassy in Ukraine, effectively urging Americans to leave while there’s still time. “The U.S. Embassy urges U.S. citizens in Ukraine to consider departing now using commercial or other privately available transportation options”

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy, in a televised address, urged his compatriots to stay calm, as Western leaders stepped up preparations for any Russian military action in Ukraine. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said earlier today that depending on the content of this response, which he said is “expected this week,” Russian officials will prepare “proposals for the president [Putin] regarding our next steps.

US Dep Sec of State Sherman “we certainly see every indication that he [Putin] is going to use military force sometime [in Ukraine], perhaps between between now and middle of February”

The official website of Ukraine “Ukraine.ua” was targeted in cyberattack last night - Ministry of Foreign Affairs.
___________________________________

Belarus -

Russia deploys Su-35 fighter jets to Belarus.

US warns Belarus of ‘decisive’ response if assists Russian invasion of Ukraine
_______________________________________

Europe / NATO General -

Finland has enhanced its military readiness as international tensions rise over Russia’s military build-up near Ukraine.

Italy’s defence minister said the country stands by the NATO side in its support of Ukraine. Several Italian MPs and the committee of intelligence criticized the meeting of Italian enterprises with Putin, said foreign ministry was not notified about it
____________________________________

Iran -

With talks to restore the 2015 nuclear agreement with Iran reaching a critical phase, differences have emerged in the U.S. negotiating team over how tough to be with Tehran and when to walk away, according to people familiar with the negotiations. U.S. officials confirmed over the weekend that Richard Nephew, the deputy special envoy for Iran, has left the team. Mr. Nephew, an architect of previous economic sanctions on Iran, had advocated a tougher posture in the current negotiations. Two other members of the team, which is led by State Department veteran Robert Malley, have stepped back from the talks, the people familiar said, because they also wanted a harder negotiating stance.

OBSERVATION - biden administration trending to give Iran what ever it wants with no sanctions or punishment for violations. Iran knew biden was weak, this is reinforcing it, making it even more dangerous in the region.

The Shia rebel ground offensive in central Yemen (Marib Province) is over with the rebels retreating when attacked, and the government forces are doing a lot of attacking supported, by airstrikes and artillery fire. These airborne surveillance and attack operations were much heavier in central Yemen, where the Shia offensive continued for so long. The heavy Shia casualties became an issue, but Iran insisted the offensive continue to make the most of continued use of missiles and armed UAVs on targets in Saudi Arabia and now the UAE (United Arab Emirates). The missile and AUV attacks on Saudi Arabia were supposed to help but didn’t. Iran smuggled in more ballistic missile and UAV components, at great expense, carried on some attacks against the UAE itself, and demanded that the UAE stop fighting the Shia rebels in Yemen. That did not work. Although the UAE will take losses from a decline in tourism activity because of the Iranian attacks, they know that once you obey one Iranian demand, there will be more. Iran wants to control all of the Arabia Peninsula and especially the pilgrim city of Mecca in Saudi Arabia. (Strategy Page)
__________________________________

Syria -

Kurdish forces have recaptured the prison following the mass surrender of ISIS militants and prisoners of Ghweran prison in Hasaka, northern Syria
__________________________________