Replies

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Globalism / Great Reset -

This guy is scary. Yuval Hariri, an Israeli professor of history who has profoundly influenced Klaus Schwab, explained at a recent globalist conference, exactly what the COVID pandemic was being used by the globalist elites to do: “COVID is critical because this is what convinces people to accept, to legitimize, total biometric surveillance. If we want to stop this epidemic — we need to not just monitor people, we need to monitor what is happening underneath their skin.” “Maybe in a couple of decades, when people look back, the thing they will remember from the COVID crisis, is: this is the moment when everything went digital. This was the moment when everything became monitored — that we agreed to be surveilled all the time. Not just in authoritarian regimes but even in democracies. This was the moment when surveillance went under the skin.”

OBSERVATION - Individual “monitoring” sniffs of global crackdown of individual liberties of a biblical scale.
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Wuhan virus -

Rhode Island lawmakers have proposed a bill that would require residents 16 and older to be COVID vaccinated. Those who don’t comply would be fined.

A relatively long and technical article on A biodistribution study of the Pfizer Covid-19 jabs. Readable at the following link -

https://dailyexpose.uk/2022/04/29/pfizer-study-mrna-vaccines-suspended/

BLUF - Pfizer buried data showing that the stuff in the jabs was not staying in place, like they claimed. This is more evidence of fraud and misrepresentation of the ’science’ involved.

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Economy -

Food issues grow. First suffering from drought condition, now the Dakotas are suffering from too much snow and rain, causing foods and conditions that are preventing U.S. spring-wheat farmers from planting in the high-producing crop region.
Meanwhile in India, an unusually early, record-shattering heat wave has reduced wheat yields, raising questions about how the country will balance its domestic needs with ambitions to increase exports and make up for shortfalls due to Russia’s war in Ukraine.

OBSERVATION - Thought both could also be listed under “Black Swan” events, these reports demonstrate that this year’s already stressed global harvests are becoming even more so, with the end result being shortages and increasing prices.

Disposable income fell in March after adjusting for inflation, the Commerce Department said Friday. Real disposable personal income, which is income after taxes and inflation, fell 0.4 percent in March compared with February. This was the seventh time in the last eight months that disposable personal income in the U.S. fell from the previous month. It rose in February by 0.15 percent.

An inflation gauge closely tracked by the Federal Reserve jumped 6.6% in March compared with a year ago, the highest 12-month reading of the personal consumption index (PCE) in four decades, further evidence that surging prices are pressuring household budgets and the health of the economy.

Markets have taken a beating in April. The benchmark S&P 500 fell 3.6% Friday and finished April with an 8.8% loss, its worst monthly slide since March 2020. The Dow lost 939 points, lowering its value by 2.8%.
The Nasdaq composite, heavily weighted with technology stocks, bore the brunt of the damage this month, ending April with a 13.3% loss, its biggest monthly decline since the 2008 financial crisis. On Friday, it lost 537 points, or 4.17%.
Much of the anxiety on Wall Street in April has centered around how quickly the Fed will raise its benchmark interest rate and whether an aggressive series of hikes will crimp economic growth.

OBSERVATION- Markets are forward looking to a lot of economic chaos towards the end of the FY, coincidentally around the midterm election time frame.
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CW2/Domestic violence -

Yesterday, Antifa attacked participants of the People’s Convoy driving on the freeway through Portland by throwing projectiles & paint on the vehicles below.

The FBI may have conducted millions of warrantless searches of Americans’ electronic data last year, U.S. intelligence officials acknowledged in a report released Friday. The report from the Office of the Director of National Intelligence revealed that the bureau conducted up to 3.4 million searches of U.S. data drawn from the National Security Agency.

OBSERVATION - It is even clear to the village idiot - our government is becoming increasingly lawless and targeting citizens for future ideological crackdowns.

The Disinformation Governance Board is being tasked with addressing election related issues, cracking down on dissenting opinions under the guise of fighting “disinformation.”
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North/South Korea -

NUKE WATCH on going.

North Korean leader Kim Jong Un warned yet again that the North could preemptively use its nuclear weapons if threatened, as he praised his top military officials over the staging of a massive military parade in the capital, Pyongyang, this week.
Kim expressed “firm will” to continue developing his nuclear-armed military so that it could “preemptively and thoroughly contain and frustrate all dangerous attempts and threatening moves, including ever-escalating nuclear threats from hostile forces, if necessary,” the North’s official Korean Central News Agency said Saturday.

OBSERVATION - SK’s new govt has already stated it will be upping its defense forces to include a first strike capability against NK . Kim’s problem is that the NK army has deteriorated significantly with outdated and poorly maintained equipment, and half starved soldiers because he has diverted so much money into nuclear strike capability.
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Russia -

WAR WATCH - The Battle for Donbas is on - Ukraine still stands now entering the third month of the war (day 65)

CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Russia has hard pivoted to a readjustment of combat forces to sieze the Dombas region of eastern Ukraine.

Withdrawing Russian forces have left abundant evidence of mass murder of civilians, rape of women and children and widespread looting.

ALSO - there is a lot of propaganda out there. I’m doing my best to filter that out or put into context. When In doubt I’ve been trying to identify questionable information.

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Eyes are increasing upon Russia and Putin as the May 9th “V” day celebrations approach. The British Ministry of Defense has reportedly seen indications that Russian President Putin is preparing a Statement for May 9th during the Victory Parade in Moscow, which its expected a General Mobilization and a Declaration of War against Ukraine will be declared.

OBSERVATION - This general mobilization concern has been floating around for over a month. It would not have much immediate bearing on the current situation in Ukraine as it would take months to mobilize and train soldiers and get them into combat in addition to trying to equip them with armor and other vehicles necessary (and in abundantly short supply). This could be used to more aggressively use strategic arms, potentially targeting Nato support to Ukraine. Recent rhetoric from the Kremlin has been warning Poland, and other countries of Russia’s wrath.

Russian state TV has brazenly simulated how Vladimir Putin would launch a nuclear strike on three capital cities in Europe, declaring there would be ‘no survivors’, in response to comments made by the UK’s Armed Forces Minister supporting Ukrainian strikes on Russian infrastructure.
Hosts on Channel One’s 60 Minutes program announced the cities of London, Paris and Berlin could be hit within 200 seconds of nuclear missiles being launched, as tensions ramp up amid the ongoing war in Ukraine.

OBSERVATION - Remember, they broadcast what putin directs/allows.

Logistics -
- According to Ukraine’s Armed Forces, Russia lost over 1,000 tanks since the start of the full-scale invasion. No European country, except Ukraine and Russia, even has that many tanks.
- Numerous pundits point to Russian tank reserves as being over 10,000 that is on paper. Reality shows that the Russian stockpile consists of largely canibalized (or pilfered) Cold War era tanks that only about 10% could be considered combat ready. It includes T-54 and T-62 vintage models.
- Wuhan induced supply shortages, combined with sanctions, has shut down Russian factories producing tanks and armored vehicles, as well as other materials for war.

Russian Personnel Issues -
- Russia has been forced to merge and redeploy depleted and disparate units in eastern Ukraine, the UK’s Ministry of Defence says and “many of these units are likely suffering from weakened morale”.
- Russia’s personnel losses in Ukraine have now passed 23,000 in 65 days of war: Ukraine military estimate. When compared to the confirmed Russian equipment losses, the number of deaths is not extreme. Multiply by 3 to 4 to gain an estimate of total wounded. These are huge numbers, close to 100,000 total casualties.

Economic Impacts -
- Russia made what appeared to be a late u-turn to avoid a default on Friday, as it made a number of already-overdue international debt payments in dollars despite previously vowing they would only be paid in rubles. Whether the money would make it to the United States and other Western countries that sanctioned Russia was still not clear, but it represented another major twist in the game of financial chicken that has developed about a possible default
- The EU is reportedly going to start implementing a phased oil embargo on Russia from next week

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Ukraine -

WEATHER FORECAST - Rain/showers returning to forecast towards the end of the 10 day forecast after several days of drying..

24 HOUR ROUND UP -

Russian forces continue their push between Izyum and Popasna in an effort to capture Russian troops continued to shell the entire frontline in Donetsk and Luhansk and secured several tactical advances, reportedly captured Yampil (directly west of Severodonetsk). Continued advances on multiple axises have reached the point where there are growing concerns that some Ukrainian forces (probably elements of 57th Motorized Brigade) east of Izyum are at risk of at least a partial encirclement/getting trapped north of Siverskyi Donets river. However these Russian advances are facing stiff opposition and Russians continue to have high men and equipment losses.

The southern side of the Donbas offensive has a lot of Russian artillery hitting the Ukraine side of the LOC, but little movement. Increased activity coming from the Crimea front, however, Ukraine forces are making headway to interfere with support to the Dombas offensive. Ukraine still has forces holding out in the steel plant, though it seems Russian is content to limit operations against it.

Kyiv front -
Another mass grave with 900 people found in Kyiv Oblast.

Northern (Chernihv region ) and North Eastern (Konotop - Sumy salient) Fronts -
Nothing significant to report.

Eastern (Khariv) front -
Situation in this area highly fluid and dynamic.

Ukrainian forces continued limited counterattacks directly northeast of Kharkiv city and recaptured Ruska Lozova (10km north of the city)

Russian shelling in Rubizhne, Popasna, Hirske and Orikhove as Russian forces continue to make slow headway west.

South Eastern (Dombas Separatist Region) Front -
Russian airstrikes continued to bombard the Azovstal plant and Russian forces did not conduct any major ground attacks as forces continued to redeploy from Mariupol. Russian forces likely intend to both consolidate their control of Mariupol and advance false Kremlin rhetoric of “liberation,” rather than a military occupation.

Crimea Front -
All across the eastern portion of the Crimean front heavy Russian artillery fire. Huliaipilske, Preobrazhenka, Vremivka, Olhivske, Zelene Pole, Poltavka, Chervone, Malynivka, Novodanylivka, Belogorye, Mala Tokmachka, Orikhiv, Novopil, Pershotravneve, Temerivka, Novoandriivka, Kamyanske were shelled. This is most likely precursor fires to get the southern component of the Donbas pincer attack started.

Russian forces did not make any confirmed attacks in Kherson Oblast and appear to be prioritizing improving their tactical positions. Russian forces shelled several towns in Kherson, Zaporizhia, Mykolaiv, and Dnipropetrovsk oblasts

Ukraine has been targeting rail bridges in the Crimea area. It has reportedly hit several bridges that severely impacts the front’s logistics plus requires more combat vehicle escorts for truck convoys needed to replace railway shipments. This further dilutes Russian Army combat power at the South where Ukraine is pushing

Western Ukraine -
Nothing significant reported.

Russian Territory -

2 projectiles hit at oil depot in Zchena of Bryansk region. Explosions reported south to Belgorod in the sky.

OUTLOOK -
BLUF - No significant changes foreseen in the near term. Expect continued Russian attacks southeast from Izyum, west from Kreminna and Popasna, and north from Donetsk City. More steady, tactical gains expected against Ukrainian defenders are expected, but at a high cost in Russian personnel and equipment. The Russian pace will not be fast to prevent it from outstripping its logistical tail.
Ukrainan forces likely to continue its mobile defense tactics to counter the russian pressure, keeping it from being tied down and destroyed. Continued influx of weapons and munitions will provide it with the means to not only strike the lead elements but rear areas/ follow on logistics.

Watching closely developments from the Crimea front, with the heavy artillery fire in the Zaporizhia area probably a precursor to a more aggressive ground assault designed to link up with the operation in the Izyum region.
Also monitoring any Russian movements/activities that would suggest an attempt to get Russian forces into Transnistra via area east of Odessa.

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Moldova/Transnistria -

Events here are developing rapidly.

Unconfirmed reports that Russian forces are disseminating pro-Kremlin disinformation in Transnistria and may be preparing to use Transnistria as a “springboard for aggression” against Ukraine and Moldova.
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Europe / NATO General -

“NATO fighter jets stationed around the Baltic and Black Seas have scrambled multiple times over the past four days to track and intercept Russian aircraft near Alliance airspace”
OBSERVATION - Dangerous game of chicken developing.

DOD announces training of Ukrainian troops on artillery, radar, armored vehicles is happening at U.S. bases in Germany
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Israel -

Hezbollah Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah warned Israel against continuing its “aggression against the Iranian presence in the region,” saying Iran may “attack Israel directly, during a video address delivered at a ceremony in Beirut on Friday as Iran and its proxies marked Quds Day.

Arab violence targeting Jews praying at the Western Wall forced the Israeli police to reenter the Temple Mount on Friday morning. The police were attacked by the Arabs throwing rocks and incendiary devices. The police responded by firing rubber bullets and tear gas.
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May Day - Socialists around the world try to strut their stuff.

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Globalism / Great Reset -

Northern Ireland will need to lose more than 1 million sheep and cattle to meet its new legally binding climate emissions targets, according to an industry-commissioned analysis seen by the Guardian.
The large-scale reduction in farm animals comes after the passing of the jurisdiction’s first ever climate act, requiring the farming sector to reach net-zero carbon emissions by 2050 and reduce methane emissions by almost 50% over the same period. About a third of human-caused methane emissions come from livestock, mostly from the burps and manure of beef and dairy cattle. Analysis by KPMG, commissioned by industry representatives including the Ulster Farmers’ Union (UFU), estimates more than 500,000 cattle and about 700,000 sheep would need to be lost in order for Northern Ireland to meet the new climate targets. Separate analysis by the UK government’s climate advisers suggests chicken numbers would also need to be cut by 5 million by 2035. Agriculture accounts for about 27% of Northern Ireland’s greenhouse gas emissions, with the vast majority coming from livestock. Its heavily export-driven meat industry principally supplies Great Britain, but it also exports to China and North America.

In related news, Bill Gates is spouting off about his view of meat. “I do think all rich countries should move to 100 percent synthetic beef. You can get used to the taste difference, and the claim is they’re going to make it taste even better over time,” he said.
Gates even went as far to say that governmental compulsion is an option.
“Eventually, that green premium is modest enough that you can sort of change the [behavior of] people or use regulation to totally shift the demand,” he said Gates noted there is a resistance to the new order of things as he sees it. “Now I’ve said I can actually see a path. But you’re right that saying to people, ‘You can’t have cows anymore’ — talk about a politically unpopular approach to things,” Gates said.

OBSERVATION - Using the global warming argument, the GGR seeks to control populations by controlling the food supply - I’ve mentioned this numerous times. Replacing the meat and dairy sector with, for instance, potatoes would decimate the economy as well. At this stage, how this will be enforced is not certain, however, farmers certainly are not going to give up willingly.

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Wuhan virus -

The CDC just released new VAERS data for all adverse events related to the COVID Vaxx injections, from Dec 2020 to April of this year.
1) They report, among other outcomes, a total of 12,672 U.S deaths alleged to be causally related to the vaccine.
2) Reports are not necessarily correct, as allegation does not equal causation, but the trend generally supports that conclusion, which is why we have a VAERS in the first place.
3) For historical reference, VAERS generally only gets reports filed on about 1% of actual incidents.

If the extrapolation of data is correct, then conservatively there could be as many as 1.2 million jab induced deaths. And this doesn’t even begin to factor in the permanent disabilities reported, which are four times as frequently reported as are actual deaths. For historical comparison, when they rush-released a vaccine for Swine Flu in 1976, it was pulled from further use after a mere 32 deaths, and 500 cases of Giullain-Barre Syndrome.

OBSERVATION - All about power folks, the GGR openly says so.

Moderna on Thursday sought emergency use authorization for the Covid-19 vaccine for children ages 6 months to 5 years. The FDA is expected to make a decision on this request in June, according to NBC News.

OBSERVATION - Expect a big push to jab for the next school year. Children are at virtually zero risk of dying from the wuhan virus.
- There are approximately 500 children who die every year from the seasonal flu.
- Each year over 1200 children are killed in roadside fatalities.
- And approximately 700 children drown.

DOJ is dropping investigations into the disproportionate deaths in nursing homes from wuhan. A 2020 study revealed that only 0.6% of the US population lives in nursing homes over 45% of the coronavirus deaths were in these centers.

A new study found a correlation between an increase in emergency cardiovascular events among people under 40 years of age during the launch of Israel’s COVID-19 vaccine program.
Published in the Nature journal, researchers utilized data from the Israel National Emergency Medical Services between 2019 and 2021 that evaluated emergency, or EMS, calls among 16- to 39-year-olds across Israel “with potential factors including COVID-19 infection and vaccination rates.”
They found that there was a 25 percent increase in EMS calls between January 2021 to May 2021, as compared with the years 2019 and 2020. Israel, which primarily uses Pfizer’s mRNA vaccine, launched its COVID-19 vaccine program in late December 2020.

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-022-10928-z

OBSERVATION - As more time elapses, more and more information becomes available for evaluation by the medical community that cannot be ignored. The only reason it isn’t front page is in part Ukraine war and suppression by the MSM, though Nature has a wide audience.
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Invasion of Illegals -

This could also be listed under Domestic Terror. A report from Judicial Watch that cites an unnamed senior Homeland Security official said Mexican drug cartels have launched more than 9,000 drone flights into America over the past year. The drones are sent to spy on law enforcement and related security operations in the Texas area, the official said.

As we’ve seen elsewhere, drones are capable of collection a significant amount of intelligence and in this case, border is falling under increasing control by Mexican drug cartels. if unchecked, the only way we will be able to regain control is through a military operation as law enforcement is ill prepared and staffed to regain control against such well armed and equipped cartel forces.

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CW2/Domestic violence -

Follow up on the Antifa attack of participants of the People’s Convoy in Portland . The attack was openly organized on Twitter. There are also unconfirmed reports that the attacks drew defensive weapons fire by some of the members of the convoy.

Speaking of Antifa, numerous May Day events across the country are being planned for today. Antifa in Portland, Ore. are holding an event at 1 p.m. at Laurelhurst Park. They use the event to recruit new members & to further radicalize existing ones.
Seattle Antifa are promoting the communist May Day march happening at Judkins Park at 1 pm. The Seattle May Day events are infamous for violence. Starbucks is closing its 5th & Pike Street location in order to protect staff. Antifa are also calling for violence against amazon.

This is being hammered elsewhere on FR and the inter webs, but I’d like to expand some key points here. The DHS Disinformation Governance Board’s mission is to curb disinformation and radicalization. Those are codewords that refer to ‘facts the administration does not like’ and ‘ideas contrary to its own’. Of particular note in this regard, according to DHS Secretary Mayorkas disinformation is any “election misinformation.” The nut job put uncharge of this ‘board’ is Nina Jankowicz, a Democratic party operative. She has spent her time since 2016 pushing the obscene Trump-Russia collusion narrative and assuring you Hunter Biden’s laptop is not real. More recently, she expounded on the science of biology stating “there are many non-binary people who give birth” — despite the basic fact that pregnancy is biologically unique to women.

Let’s add a new layer, all of this is occurring under the direction of Joshua Geltzer. Geltzer is the Special Assistant to the President and Special Advisor to the Homeland Security Advisor on Countering Domestic Violent Extremism. In this role, Geltzer oversaw the creation of the new national strategy for countering domestic violent extremism. This is the absurd document produced by the Biden administration, which claimed that white supremacists (read Trump supporters) posed the number one threat to American national security.

OBSERVATION - Timing is everything and I don’t think it is coincidence that this is being trotted out when the democrats are facing a bloodbath in the midterms of gigantic proportions if the polling data is valid. What is still missing - and am looking for help to find - is just what kind of a hammer does this Jankowicz have to enforce her future edicts on what she calls ‘disinformation’? Will she have powers to arrest of fine people? Inquiring minds want to know. But this is one component of the convergence of a ‘perfect storm’ for domestic craziness as the midterms get closer.
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CANCEL CULTURE FRONT -

Musk still has liberals in turmoil.
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North/South Korea -

NUKE WATCH on going.

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Russia -

WAR WATCH - The Battle for Donbas is on - Ukraine still stands now entering the third month of the war (day 65)

CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Russia has hard pivoted to a readjustment of combat forces to sieze the Dombas region of eastern Ukraine. However, it is appearing that the offensive is losing traction and falling into many of the same errors that plagued the attempt to seize Kyiv.

Withdrawing Russian forces have left abundant evidence of mass murder of civilians, rape of women and children and widespread looting.

ALSO - there is a lot of propaganda out there. I’m doing my best to filter that out or put into context. When In doubt I’ve been trying to identify questionable information.

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A Russian AN-30 violated Swedish airspace near a major naval base. This is an unarmed reconnaissance aircraft and likely flew to tweak Sweden regarding application to NATO.

Observers monitoring the upcoming Russian May 9th parade preps note that there will be no Su-30SM & Su-34 on the air part of the parade in Moscow. They will be replaced by MiG-29s that have already been taken off the shelves & in addition to older Su-24s. Apparently, all available equipment is used against Ukraine.

RUMINT -
Putin may be forced to give up control of the war in Ukraine for days as he is set for cancer surgery, a ‘Kremlin insider’ has claimed. He will reportedly nominate hardline Security Council head and ex-FSB chief Nikolai Patrushev to take control of the invasion while he is under the knife. Patrushev, 70, is seen as a key architect of the war strategy so far - and the man who convinced Putin that Kyiv is awash with neo-Nazis. Rumors persist that Putin has abdominal cancer and Parkinson’s.

Russian Personnel Issues -
- Reportedly (pending further confirmation) Major General Andrey Dmitriyevich Simonov was killed in an attack on a Russian Ground Forces HQ in north of Izyum. Commanding the 2nd Guards Combined Arms Army (2nd CAA) known to be operating in the area around Izyum.

Economic Impacts -
- The Finnish government and companies are preparing for the cessation of natural gas supplies from Russia in May.

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Ukraine -

WEATHER FORECAST - Rain/showers returning to forecast towards the end of the 10 day forecast after several days of drying..

24 HOUR ROUND UP -
Pelosi and a congressional delegation made a surprise visit to Kyiv and met Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky.

I’ve noted that the fight for Donbas will be fluid and today is no exception. Following some Russian successes over the past few days, analysis by Western officials and analysts is that Russia’s offensive in eastern Ukraine appears to be faltering, as its troops suffer battlefield losses and logistical and morale problems similar to those they faced in the war’s first phase. In part this may be due to the recent loss of the CG for the 2nd Guards Combined Arms Army in Izyum as well as the Russian Chief of the General Staff Valery Gerasimov reportedly taking charge of the Dombas operation . Russian advances are once again very road bound and Ukraine is increasingly hitting logistics hard. Russian forces are relying upon heavy artillery to support frontal attacks on prepared defenses, as i’ve pointed out many times resulting in heavy losses.

Kyiv front -
Pelosi et al visited Kyiv.

Northern (Chernihv region ) and North Eastern (Konotop - Sumy salient) Fronts -
Nothing significant to report.

Eastern (Khariv) front -
Situation in this area highly fluid and dynamic.

Ukraine announced that it had liberated four more villages (Ruska Lozova, Slobidske, Prelesne and Verkhnia Rohanka) from the outskirts of Kharkiv. This follows the recapture of Momotove yesterday. Ukrainian forces continue to push Russia back from Kharkiv city. The Institute for War Studies says this has been part a series of successful counter-attacks out of the city in recent days. These actions push Russian artillery further away and out of range of much of Khariv and closer to the Russian border. This also poses a threat to Russian supply lines leading to Izyum and further south.

The reported loss of the CG of the 2nd Guards Combined Arms Army has to have had a very negative impact on Russia planning and execution of operations Russian forces around Izyum. They continue to try to press the attack southeast and southwest out of the town but are continually thwarted by Ukrainian forces. Reports of additional units being forwarded to the are but analysts see that there is very little chance they will affect the conflict in the short term. These additional units thought to be reconstituted/reorganized units pulled from the north, already suffering equipment and personnel shortages and with poor morale.

Heavy Russian shelling in Luhansk region in last 24 hours. 12 houses destroyed. Russian forces continued unsuccessful attacks alongside artillery fire and airstrikes on the entire Donetsk-Luhansk frontline and did not make any confirmed advances.

Hopes being raise that Russia will permit civilians to be evacuated from Mariupol today.

Occupying Russian forces are intensifying occupation measures through Mariupol. Advisor to the Mayor of Mariupol Petro Andryushchenko stated that abandoned homes in the Staryi Krym region of Mariupol are being resettled under DNR-issued permits and that the Kremlin plans to return Mariupol residents who were previously forcibly deported to Russia once Russian forces consolidate control of the city.

Ukraine Red Cross’ office in Dobropillia, a city located in Donetsk region in war-torn eastern Ukraine, was bombed and destroyed Saturday, the organization posted on Twitter, making the eighth Ukraine Red Cross office to be damaged or destroyed since Russia invaded.

No significant ground advances northward.

Crimea Front -
Relatively static on the Kherson area as it appears that Russian forces are engaging in limited combat operations to improve their tactical positions and replenish supplies for future operations believed to be an attempt to capture the administrative borders of Kherson Oblast.

Russian missile hit fertilizer warehouse in Mykolaiv, another damaged the runway at the Odesa airport.

Unconfirmed reports that Ukrainian military hit Russian positions at Zmiiny (Snake) island again, destroyed equipment. NOTE - The report says ‘again’. I saw a report claiming that Ukraine destroyed Russian ADA assets on the island but saw no other sources of verification.

Russian troops controlling the city of Kherson say the rouble will be used there starting Sunday.

Western Ukraine -
Nothing significant reported.

Russian Territory -
Reports from a Russian source says Ukrainian warplane entered Russian airspace in Bryansk province this morning and dropped at least two bombs on the local oil terminal.

OUTLOOK -
BLUF - No significant changes foreseen in the near term. With time it is becoming increasingly apparent that the Russian offensive for the Donbas is losing traction and stalling out. There is only very minor success in the southern Khariv front, but at a high price. There is little evidence that Russia has the assets necessary to effect a breakout. The southern portion of the offensive coming out of the separatist held areas is suffering an even worse failure, as attacks northward continue to be repulsed.

Crimean front appears to be attempting a north-northeastward assault, but facing the same stalemate against Ukraine defenses. Forces are also unable to press the attack towards Odesa and are struggling to keep the Ukrainian offensive towards Kherson at bay.
Russian forces are in process of putting together fake ‘referendums’ by the conquered Ukrainan areas to declare independence and join Russia. This may be a face saving attempt to show ‘victory’ for the May 9th shindig.

As more and more western weaponry gets deployed by Ukraine the situation will become more difficult for Russia to achieve the capture of Donbas. This may cause putin to become more desperate.

Watching the situation in Transnistria for developments as well as Ukrainian deep attacks in Crimea targeting supply lines from Russia. Same for Ukrainan attacks in Russian territory opened up by the withdrawal of Russian forces from the north.

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Moldova/Transnistria -

Nothing significant to report today.

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Europe / NATO General -

Inflation rose to its highest level in over four decades in Germany, as the economic fallout from years of lockdown restrictions and the Russian invasion of Ukraine continue to bite the leading economic power of the European Union.
Germany’s statistics agency Destatis announced on Thursday that consumer prices rose by 7.4 per cent in the month of April compared to the same time last year. The inflation rate is the highest level since 1981 in West Germany, when the country was divided by the Berlin Wall.

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Israel -

RUMINT Israeli media reports the Mossad – operating in Iran – yes, you read that correctly, apprehended and interrogated an Iranian national who was leading a plot to kill an Israeli diplomat and a US general, sources have confirmed.????
Rasouli was arrested and questioned in Iran, a rarity as the Mossad regularly operates in conjunction with foreign intelligence services to thwart attacks but almost always from outside the Islamic Republic.”

OBSERVATION - not sure what to make of this so marking a s RUMINT until more information becomes available

The Israeli army imposes a comprehensive closure on the West Bank and the Gaza Strip crossings, starting from Tuesday.

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Iraq -

Three rockets were reportedly fired towards Ain al-Assad base in Iraq in the past hour or so. No injuries reported as of yet. Rockets likely shot by an Iranian backed militia as in the past.

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Armenia/Azerbaijan -

Azerbaijan’s president Aliyev says Ukraine should never ever agree on occupation, rely on its resources and fight back to protect what it has He says Azerbaijan has good relations with Russia but Baku has always supported Ukraine’s territorial integrity, “we aren’t hiding”

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