Replies

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Globalism / Great Reset -

Apple Inc. is working on a subscription service for the iPhone and other hardware products, a move that could make device ownership similar to paying a monthly app fee, according to people with knowledge of the matter. The service would be Apple’s biggest push yet into automatically recurring sales, allowing users to subscribe to hardware for the first time — rather than just digital services. But the project is still in development, said the people, who asked not to be identified because the initiative hasn’t been announced.
OBSERVATION - This is the model that Klaus Schwab and his WEF minions have been promoting for literally everything. “Why own a refrigerator when you could just lease it?”
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Wuhan virus -

Biden administration may suggest a second COVID-19 vaccine booster shot for Americans over the age of 50 in the next week, the New York Times reported Friday.
According to the report, the administration will simply “suggest” that older Americans get the second booster shot of the Moderna or Pfizer vaccine instead of “recommending” it like it did in the past for the first booster.
OBSERVATION - Moderating the ‘warning’ probably reflects that the administration has lost its fear mongering traction on the issue, with the citizenry being fed up and ready to move on with their lives. Ukraine also has taken the edge away from this issue.

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Biden / Harris watch -

biden managed to make Harris’ visit to Poland look good. After the screw up implying that US forces will be entering Ukraine, biden let an even bigger dumpster fire.
Following what many could consider a good speech, biden went brain dead and off script. Biden ended his speech in Poland with a seeming call for regime change as he declared that “for God’s sake, this man cannot remain in power.
Shortly after Biden’s address however, the White House denied that Biden was calling for regime change.
The President’s point was that Putin cannot be allowed to exercise power over his neighbors or the region. He was not discussing Putin’s power in Russia, or regime change,” a White House official told Fox News Digital shortly after the speech concluded.
White House Press Secretary Jen Psaki previously insisted the White House is “not advocating for killing the leader of a foreign country or regime change.”
US Secretary of State Antony Blinken has denied that the United States has any plans to bring about regime change in Russia or anywhere else.
Richard Haass, the Council on Foreign Relations president, tweeted his concerns that Biden had ‘just expanded US war aims, calling for regime change.’ ‘However desirable it may be, it is not within our power to accomplish-plus runs risk it will increase Putin’s inclination to see this as a fight to the finish, raising odds he will reject compromise, escalate, or both,’ wrote Haass.
‘Our interests are to end the war on terms Ukraine can accept & to discourage Russian escalation. Today’s call for regime change is inconsistent with these ends,’ he added.

biden further stirred the pot yesterday by calling Putin a “butcher” causing several European leaders, including France’s Macron to back away from it.

OBSERVATION - biden’s gaff-a-rama displayed to the world the decaying mental facilities of this president. It makes me wonder if the powers that be will accelerate efforts to remove him before he hurts the democrat party further - leaving them with another mental midget to deal with - Harris.

OH AND THERES MORE -
White House officials have repeatedly stated over recent months that the purpose of threatening sanctions against the Russian government as it appeared to be preparing to invade Ukraine was one of “deterrence.”
However, under questioning by reporters in Poland, biden said - “Let’s get something straight,” “You remember, if you’ve covered me from the beginning, I did not say that, in fact, the sanctions would deter him. Sanctions never deter. You keep talking about that.”
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CW2/Domestic violence -

No significant violence by Antifa at yesterdays’s March for Freedom in Seattle. Antifa had been preparing for weeks to violently stop the march. They are prepared to be arrested & have been sharing the hotline number for the National Lawyer’s Guild, a far-left legal group that helps their violent comrades who are arrested & prosecuted.
OBSERVATION - Antifa threats did succeed to cause one group in the march to drop out participating out of concern for safety of women and children. Antifa turnout OTOH was minimal, not really enough to carry out the violent threats made in the lead up.
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Domestic Terror -

An 18-year-old Maine man and two other teens, one in Chicago and another in Kentucky, conspired to attack a Chicago mosque with homemade explosives this month, new court documents reveal - until the FBI unraveled the plot.
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North Korea -

North Korea working on “shortcut” to tunnel at Punggye-ri nuclear test site, apparently aimed at making speedy preparations for a seventh underground nuclear test, according to government sources in South Korea on Sunday- Yonhap
OBSERVATION - This would be their first test in 5 years. With a viable ICBM, NK needs a viable warhead, which is what I suspect they are planning to test, soon.

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Japan -

GENERAL NOTE - Watching for the response to a NK nuclear test. Previous tests were believed to have pushed Japan into contemplating their own nuclear program, which could be the start a regional nuclear arms race.
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Russia -

WAR WATCH - The Battle for Kyiv continues - Ukraine still stands now entering the second month of the war.

CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Russia is switching to a defensive posture over most of the territory seized from Ukraine. This is largely due to units no longer being combat effective as well as diverting resources to the effort to seize the greater Dombas region - the “reason” for the invasion in the first place.
Russia is becoming more aggressive in strategic strikes into western Ukraine to disrupt food, fuel, maintenance/repair and resupply lines from Poland.

ALSO - there is a lot of propaganda out there. I’m doing my best to filter that out or put into context. When In doubt I’ve been trying to identify questionable information.

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RUMINT -
Ukraine military is citing Russian propaganda that Russia seeks to end hostilities before May 9th - in recognition of WW2 VE celebrations .

Logistics - ‘
- Reports bordering on RUMINT are that the Russian Army command is failing to reinforce troops in Ukraine with workable tanks and APCs from the storages because optics, electronics, engine parts on the majority of them were stolen.

Russian Personnel Issues -
- Russian units that took heavy casualties near Kyiv may have returned to Belarus to “restore combat capability”. This restoration likely consists of creating new BTGs out of the remnants.
- Wagner Group mercenaries have been identified fighting in the Dombas region, specifically around Izyum
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Ukraine -

WEATHER FORECAST - Temperatures forecast thru April 5th cooling into the 40’s with rain. Conditions maintained for muddy off road conditions over much of Ukraine .

24 HOUR ROUND UP -
Russia has expanded its ‘deep’ attacks via cruse missiles into Western Ukraine - details below. Ukraine offensive actions around Kyiv and towards Kherson continue to make gains. Fiercer fighting in southeastern Ukraine’s Dombas (Luhansk) Region as Russia switches its ground operation goals to the seizure and control of his area.

Kyiv front -
Situation has become VERY fluid.
Attacks continue to make gains in the effort to retake Hostomel, Bucha and Irpin. Russian forces have dug in but are facing a more tactically mobile Ukraine force. Kyiv was relatively quiet overnight, getting a break from the bombing and artillery of recent.

Northern Front (Chernihv region ) -
Fight over the encirclement of Chernihiv by Russia continues. However, Ukrainan forces have pushed Russian back in several sectors around the city. Russian forces are observed to be increasingly digging themselves in defensively.
No advance towards Kyiv, as logistics. manpower shortages prohibit any offensive actions.

North Eastern Front (Konotop - Sumy - Khariv salient) -
Focus on action has switched to Russian efforts to attack southward out of the Khariv area. Attacks southward of Izyum gained some ground but facing stiff Ukrainian resistance. Russia utilizing most of its ground attack air power in this region.
Wagner Group mercenaries have been identified in the Izyumm area. These forces are considerably better trained and lead than the regular Russian forces and their presence here confirms the switch in Russian priorities.

In the Kharkiv region, Russian forces reportedly used the rocket mining system “Земледелие”. Utilizes rockets to deploy a mine payload at distance.

Eastern (Dombass Separatist Region) Front -
Things continue desperate in Mariupol with intense street fighting ongoing. Some are likening it to Stalingrad.
The Mayor’s office estimated civilian death toll in Mariupol at 20,000. Videos on twitter and elsewhere show large numbers of bodies lying in the street, with combat conditions too dangerous for them to be clear out. Most are unarmed - implying that they are civilians. Hundreds and more believed to be buried under the rubble of residential areas bombed by Russian forces.

Russia is slowly decreasing the area under Ukraine control, but facing difficult street by street, house to house fighting. Russia continued indiscriminate bombing/shelling of civilian areas. Russia has increased the number of naval vessels joining in the bombardment of the city.

Efforts to fight northward out of separatist held areas to join advances out of Khariv and Izium areas is largely stalled. Fighting is intense along the LOC between Separatists and Ukraine without any significant advances. There are unconfirmed reports that offensive actions by Russian Forces in the Luhansk Region has failed with the capture of numerous Russian soldiers and equipment.

Crimea Front -
Russian offensives towards Kryvyi Rih and Zaporizhzhia are stalled. It appears that Russia may be pulling back from Kryvyi Rih in response to the Ukrainian offensive towards Kherson.

Ukrainian forces have reportedly retaken towns to the east of Kherson which would start to cut the Russian forces off from their Crimean base. However, it doesn’t appear that Ukraine attained its claim to retake Kherson yesterday.

Reports that Ukraine repulsed an attempt by a small group of Russians marines to land in Odesa region. This was likely an attempt to place special forces to start sabotaging Ukraine coastal defenses and find weakness. Russia currently doesn’t have the capability to launch an amphibious assault anytime soon.

Reports that Russian naval assets have pulled back closer to Crimea, presumably under land based ADA assets following the loss of a ‘gator class landing craft in a captured Ukrainian port. ADA missiles were active over Sebastinapol shooting at what is believed to have been a Ukrainian drone. The loss of the ship as put some fear of losing others to the TB-2 strikes as Russia increasingly is relying on misslies launched from its surface combatants to supplement air launched missiles.

Western Ukraine -
NOTE - I added this section in yesterday’s report as it appears that this region - more than half of the country - is coming under Russian crosshairs.

Yesterday, Russian cruse missiles strikes were aimed at oil refineries and storage locations in western Ukraine today, notably in Dubno and Lviv. Also targeted were food storage and maintenance/repair facilities. A handful of civilians were reported to have been killed.

Current map of depicting Russian advance into Ukraine produced by wikipedia found here -
https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/4f/2022_Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine.svg

OUTLOOK -
Russia lacks the capability to resume offensive operations to encircle, let alone seize Kyiv or Odessa. It appears that Russia has dropped that effort in order to focus its efforts in Eastern Ukraine, where Russia hopes to encircle and defeat Ukrainian forces in the Dombas region. Russian forces elsewhere have switched to defensive operations so that resources can be focused there.

Russian long range missile attack into western Ukraine, and particularly in the vicinity of Lviv will continue and possibly increase as Russia seeks to disrupt resupply efforts to eastern Ukraine.

Ukrainian forces to continue offensive operations to expand its defensive zone around Kyiv and push towards Kherson in the south. Those operations may be reduced depending on the need to send resources into the Domabas region to counter the renewed Russian offensive efforts there.

Conditions will continue to degrade in Mariupol and civilian losses are almost incalculable at this stage. Barring something significant, Russia will eventually take the ruins of the city. Loss of Mariupol would cement the Russian ‘land bridge’ between Crimea and Domabas and be a significant bargaining chip in peace talks.

Russia doesn’t have the capability to conduct amphibious operations against Odessa in the foreseeable future. I expect to see increased missile/bombing efforts on Odessa and surrounding cities.

As as for the past several weeks, Russia will continue to bomb and shell residential areas of cities - large and small - in an effort to demoralize the will of Ukraine and exact a degree of vengeance for its military losses.
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Belarus -

Per the Ukrainian MOD, units of the Armed Forces of the Republic of Belarus are conducting combat training activities at five training grounds in the Brest, Minsk, and Grodno regions (within Belarus).
OBSERVATION - These exercises could be similar to those Russia conducted prior to the invasion. They would serve to bring the tactical training status to a higher level, prior to entering the conflict.
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Europe / NATO General -

French President Emmanuel Macron said he “would not use those words” after US President Joe Biden called the Russian leader a “butcher” over the war in Ukraine.
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Israel -

Israel warns that the ongoing nuclear talks with Iran are not going to achieve the goal of a nuclear free Iran and will destabilize the region even more.
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Iran -

Top EU diplomat Josep Borrell said on Saturday Iran and world powers were “very close” to agreement on reviving their 2015 nuclear deal, which would curb Tehran’s nuclear program in exchange for lifting tough sanctions.
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Saudi Arabia -

A day after a wave of Huthi drone and missile attacks on Saudi targets, including an oil plant that turned into an inferno near the Formula One race in Jeddah, political leader Mahdi al-Mashat put rebel operations on hold.
“And we are ready to turn this declaration into a final and permanent commitment in the event that Saudi Arabia commits to ending the siege and stopping its raids on Yemen once and for all,” he said.
There was no immediate response from Saudi Arabia, which retaliated to Friday’s attacks by launching air strikes against Sanaa and Hodeida and destroying four explosives-laden boats.
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Syria -

The Pro-Assad forces targeted an armored vehicle belonging to the Turkish forces in the Atarib region, west of Aleppo. Dozens of Turkish soldiers were reportedly killed in strike. There were injuries in the attack. Turks struck the government positions with artillery fire as a retaliation. Syrian regime’s attack on Turkish troops, despite the de-escalation agreement, is the biggest in 2 years.
OBSERVATION - Another location where Russia has pulled troops out for Ukraine and things are getting froggy.
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Turkey -

Turkey’s presidential spokesman says the international community must still talk to Russia in order to end the war in Ukraine.
“If everybody burns bridges with Russia then who is going to talk to them at the end of the day,” Ibrahim Kalin told the Doha international forum.
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Armenia/Azerbaijan -

Head of the Armenian NKR forces in the Karabakh region, Arayik Harutyunyan signed a decree on the introduction of martial law. Escalation ongoing in the Caucasus region. This apparently was in response to killed and wounded among Karabakh Armenians as Azerbaijan launched an “offensive.”

“In violation of the provisions of the trilateral statement, the Azerbaijani military entered the Russian peacekeeper zone of responsibility on March 24 and 25. They also carried out 4 strikes against armed formations in Nagorno-Karabakh by Bayraktar TB-2.” - Russian Ministry of Defense

OBSERVATION - I was going to drop this region off my watch list, until all this started happening last week. The sucking sound of Russian forces being pulled out for Ukraine appears to be replaced by the rushing sound of Azeri forces looking to take more land.
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Globalism / Great Reset -

Bill Gates expounded upon how people should eat in an interview with MIT Technology Review.
“I do think all rich countries should move to 100 percent synthetic beef. You can get used to the taste difference, and the claim is they’re going to make it taste even better over time,” he said.

“I do think all rich countries should move to 100 percent synthetic beef. You can get used to the taste difference, and the claim is they’re going to make it taste even better over time,” he said.

Gates said governmental compulsion is an option.
“Eventually, that green premium is modest enough that you can sort of change the [behavior of] people or use regulation to totally shift the demand,” he said
While richer nations eat fake beef, genetically altered animals will provide meat for other places, such as Africa, he said.

OBSERVATION - “Let them eat cake”
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Wuhan virus -

China’s financial hub of Shanghai launched a planned two-stage lockdown of the city of 26 million people on Monday, closing bridges and tunnels, and restricting highway traffic in a scramble to contain surging local COVID-19 cases.
The snap lockdown, announced by Shanghai’s city government on Sunday, will split the city in two roughly along the Huangpu River for nine days to allow for “staggered” testing. It is the biggest COVID-related disruption to hit the city so far.

The U.S. Food and Drug Administration is no longer authorizing the monoclonal antibody treatment sotrovimab in 10 states and territories due to questions about its effectiveness against the BA.2 Omicron subvariant. The new subvariant accounts for more than 50% of all COVID-19 variants in the eight states and two territories listed by the agency. Healthcare providers will no longer be able to treat patients with sotrovimab in those areas, and in other regions, they are instructed to monitor the BA.2 subvariant before deciding which antibody treatment to proscribe.
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Economy -

Global oil prices have fallen as China starts to implement a city-wide lockdown in Shanghai, an important financial and manufacturing hub.
Brent crude lost more than $4.50 a barrel at $115.80 a barrel on concerns that the move would mean that demand for oil will fall. Despite the fall, oil remains almost 80% higher than it was a year ago after the war in Ukraine helped to drive up prices.

Biden’s “Billionaire Minimum Income Tax” proposal would set a 20 percent tax rate floor on Americans worth more than $100 million — hitting not only their stated income, but also their unrealized gains on stock holdings and other forms of wealth.
The plan will be included in the budget proposal that the White House will roll out Monday.
Biden’s new tax could raise up to $360 billion over 10 years, say the aides who developed it, and would fall on the richest 700 Americans.
Another detail of the proposed tax hike should also run into opposition and a likely court challenge. The description of the amount of “income” to be taxed includes the phrase “unrealized investment income.” In other words, if the shares comprising your retirement plan or your stock portfolio go up by a given percentage, that increase will be treated as income and you’ll be taxed on it even though you haven’t cashed it in yet.

OBSERVATION - This is a sop to the rabid progressive wing the democrat party. It is unlikely that this will pass congress. One of the most incredible parts of this plan is the intention to tax unrealized gains.
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Biden / Harris watch -

WH still scrambling to walk back the numerous biden gaffs in Ukraine.

President Biden’s job-approval rating has plummeted to the lowest of his White House tenure. The number of Americans who approve of Biden’s actions since he took the helm of the country in January 2021 has fallen to 40% – the lowest of his presidency and a dramatic 13 percentage-point drop from April 2021, the NBC News poll shows.
OBSERVATION - This is from biden friendly NBC, makes you wonder what the real numbers are.
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China -

See Shanghai lockdown under Wuhan above.
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Japan -

The Japanese Yen (world’s third most-traded & third-largest reserve currency) is on track for one of its worst months ever.
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Russia -

WAR WATCH - The Battle for Kyiv continues - Ukraine still stands now entering the second month of the war.

ALSO - there is a lot of propaganda out there. I’m doing my best to filter that out or put into context. When In doubt I’ve been trying to identify questionable information.

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RUMINT -
I’m not going into details of a Russian released video claiming Ukraine forces shot Russian POWs in the legs. There has been quite the discussion of the video on the inter webs that have generally resulted in the video being defined as faked / Russian propaganda. General consensus that Ukraine needs to throughly investigate it as well. I am one of those who think the video is fake due to many discrepancies.

Logistics -
- Logistical issues still plague Russian forces and is one of the major contributors to Russian failures to pursue / maintain offensive operations.
- Conservative estimates that Russia has lost close to 2200 vehicles and other pieces of (heavy) military equipment since it began its invasion of #Ukraine a month ago.

Russian Personnel Issues -
- From the northern Ukraine’s area near capital Kyiv, Russia reportedly withdrew two battalions of the 106th air-paratrooper division (VDV) from the northern area near Kylv to Belarus. It is believed this is due to having suffered significant losses during recent Ukrainian counterattacks.
OBSERVATION - VDV forces have been the tip of the Russian spear in this war and has suffered heavy personnel and equipment losses, not only in the Kyiv fight but also now that Crimean operations have stalled.

Economic Impacts -
- Pavel Zavalny, who serves as Chairman of the Russian Energy Committee, has stated that his country will consider taking Bitcoin as payment for energy exports.
- G7 rejects paying for Russian natural gas in rubles.

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Ukraine -

WEATHER FORECAST - Temperatures forecast thru April 5th cooling into the 40’s with rain. Conditions maintained for muddy off road conditions over much of Ukraine .

24 HOUR ROUND UP -
UK MOD update- “Ongoing logistical shortages have been compounded by a continued lack of momentum and morale amongst the Russian military, and aggressive fighting by the Ukrainians.”

More heavy artillery and bombing/missile attacks on residential areas of numerous Ukrainian cities.

Reuters quoted an adviser to the Ukrainian Interior Ministry: We do not expect substantial progress in negotiations with the Russian side.

Ukraine says it won’t open humanitarian corridors from its cities on Monday due to warnings of Russian “provocations” on routes. In the past these ‘provocations “ have been Russian artillery shelling the evacuation routes.

Kyiv front -
Situation has become VERY fluid.
Overnight Kyiv and surrounding communities went through another night of intense bombing and artillery fire.
Russia has reportedly launched an attempt to break through defenses near Kyiv according to Ukraine’s Armed Forces. Russian troops are attempting to advance on Kyiv from the northwest and east, capturing nearby roads and villages. However, Russian gains are reportedly to be limited.

OBSERVATION - Most view this action as an attempt to break contact and withdraw Russian forces. Russia does not have the capability to make any significant advances in this area.

Ukrainan forces continue the pressure to cut off Russian forces on the southern tip of the salient.

Northern Front (Chernihv region ) -
Fight over the encirclement of Chernihiv by Russia continues. Forces made little territorial gains. Chernihv and surrounding communities continued to receive intense bombing and artillery fire into residential areas.

Attempts by Russian forces to advance on Kyiv - see above.

North Eastern Front (Konotop - Sumy - Khariv salient) -
UK intel update: “Russian forces appear to be concentrating their effort to attempt the encirclement of Ukrainian forces directly facing the separatist regions in the east of the country, advancing from the direction of Kharkiv in the north and Mariupol in the south.”
Heavy fighting near Izyum continues with the goal to cut off Ukraine forces in the Dombas region.

Ukrainian defenders have liberated Trostyanets and Husarivka from Russian forces. Reports that the Ukrainian army is in Slavhorod and Krasnopolia, drove Russian forces back to the international border in Sumy region. In the process, Ukrainian forces reportedly mauled the 4th Guards Tank Division. Losses of T80 tanks alone in this division was estimated to be 25% of T-80s in its 12th + 13th tank regiments. Ukraine forces also captured a considerable amount of ammunition and other supplies.
Russia’s elite 4th Guards forged a fearsome reputation in Second World War battles but have been reduced to smoking wreckage in Trostyanets.

Trostyanets action separates Russian forces around Kharkiv from the rest of the front to the south. .

Eastern (Dombass Separatist Region) Front -
Things continue desperate in Mariupol with intense street fighting ongoing. Some are likening it to Stalingrad.
Ukrainian control of the city has been reduced to about 60%. Reports indicate that virtually 100% of the residential buildings in the city and surrounding suburbs have been rendered unlivable and rubbled. Reports - confirmed and unconfirmed - of Russians taking captured civilians from the area and importing them into holding camps in Russia.

Efforts to fight northward to join advances out of Khariv and Izium areas are largely stalled. Fighting is intense along the LOC between Separatists and Ukraine with some Russian advances into Ukrainian cites along the LOC . Russian redoubled attacks in the Luhansk Region with a lot of air strikes. Russian forces made very little progress though.

Crimea Front -
Russian offensives towards Kryvyi Rih and Zaporizhzhia are stalled.

Ukrainian forces continue to press on to Kherson .

Russia is maintaining a distant blockade of Ukraine’s Black Sea coast, effectively isolating Ukraine from international maritime trade. Russian naval forces are also continuing to conduct sporadic missile strikes against targets throughout Ukraine.” - UK MOD intel assessment.
Surface combatants appear to have withdrawn to off the coast of Sevastopol, Crimea since the Ukraine strike that sunk the amphibious assault ship Saratov last week. This is believed of due to the air defense cover at Sevastopol.

Western Ukraine -
Multiple Explosions being reported in the Northwestern Ukrainian city of Lutsk from Russian Air/Missile Strikes, most likely these strikes are from missiles that were claimed to have been seen fired from inside the Brest Region of Belarus earlier.

Current map of depicting Russian advance into Ukraine produced by wikipedia found here -
https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/4f/2022_Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine.svg

OUTLOOK -
Situation largely unchanged.
Russia lacks the capability to resume offensive operations to encircle, let alone seize Kyiv or Odessa. Current Russian attempts to press towards Kyiv lack the strength necessary to push very far and may be an attempt to free up the withdrawal of Russian forces. Russian forces will continue to focus its efforts in Eastern Ukraine, where Russia hopes to encircle and defeat Ukrainian forces in the Dombas region. Russian forces elsewhere have switched to defensive operations so that resources can be focused there.

Ukrainian forces to continue offensive operations to expand its defensive zone around Kyiv and push towards Kherson in the south. Those operations my be reduces depending on the need to send resources into the Domabas region to counter the renewed Russian offensive efforts there.

Russia doesn’t have the capability to conduct amphibious operations against Odessa in the foreseeable future. I expect to see increased missile/bombing efforts on Odessa and surrounding cities.
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Europe / NATO General -

Estonia’s Interior Minister has warned that Russia’s influence operations have accelerated in recent weeks
Russia is reportedly recruiting spies to assess Estonian border security and how easy it is to penetrate the border

A reminder that NATO is paying close attention to actions in Ukraine with a lot of airborne assets.
-Swedish Air Force GIV Korpen SVF645
-USAF RC-135W Rivet Joint HOMER11
-USAF E-8C Joint STARS REDEYE6
-USAF RQ4 Global Hawk FORTE11
-USAF RC-135W Rivet Joint JAKE11
-NATO E3 AWACS NATO01
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Israel -

ISIS officially claimed responsibility for attack in northern central Israeli city of Hadera that killed 2 and wounded 4. This is the first time it has taken credit for an attack in Israel since June 2017.

Israeli and Arab partners convened for a rare summit in Israel on Sunday attended by U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken, who sought to reassure the U.S. allies over Washington’s diplomacy with Iran. Israel has reportedly raised its defense readiness in the south of the country amid concerns of aerial threats during this unprecedented diplomatic summit.
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Iraq -

Pro Iranian militias attacked the KDP office in Baghdad and set it on fire. The attack was linked to the formation of the new Iraqi Cabinet. This is the second time that KDP office in Baghdad set on fire within a year.
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Syria -

Russian warplanes target the southern outskirts of the town of Maarat al-Naasan, east of Idlib city, with several air raids
OBSERVATION - This is the largest Russian attack in Syria since the Ukraine war began.
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Armenia/Azerbaijan -

Azerbaijani Defense Ministry: “Russian MoD’s statement shows disrespect to the signed declaration” There have been no changes in the positions of the Azerbaijani Army in Farrukh village and surrounding heights. The Ministry of Defense of the Republic of Azerbaijan regrets that the points reflected in the statement of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation dated March 27, 2022 are not true.

OBSERVATION - Situation is still tense and without the additional Russian muscle to deter the Azeri’s the potential for more violence to break out remains high.
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