That's a 20 point spread, which is 50% of 40.
So 50% more likely is technically accurate, but it's still a 60-40 proposition in his mind.
Some of Scott Adams' analysis is flawed in that it doesn't follow law. A judge, even the Supreme Court, cannot order a revote, as just one example of Scott's speculated 'remedies.'
It's interesting that four of the nine justices in the Bush v. Gore case proposed that exact course of action.
From Philly in 1994