“If Donald Trump doesn’t win Florida, he will not win the election, it’s that simple...”
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He loses any of the swing states he got in 2016 and it’s gonna be a problem.
Wisconsin and Minnesota each have 10 electoral college votes, he would lose Wisconsin and win Minnesota and nothing changes, but 29 is to much to overcome...he would have to win Colorado, Minnesota, New Hampshire and all of Maine to overcome that....which is really tough
If he takes Florida, he only needs one of the swing states - if he loses Florida (which he won’t) - then he would need all of the swing states he won in 2016.
Biden has a worse problem. If (when) Biden loses Florida, he’s toast.