“In the face of all this, Lichtman, incredibly, is saying Trump is not charismatic because he believes half the country doesn’t like him. So I guess nobody can measure up to Lichtman’s standard of charisma.”
But this guy accurately predicted Obama’s election in 2008 and 2012? I can GUARANTEE half the country didn’t like him! I guess the difference is Obama didn’t believe it?
Yeah, good point. It would be interesting to see how he scored Obama in past elections. That would be fun to see because then we could easily see inconsistencies.
I’ll do a quick Google search to see. If I find something I’ll report back.
OK, I found Lichtman’s 2012 analysis here
https://www.informs.org/ORMS-Today/Public-Articles/June-Volume-38-Number-3/Election-2012-The-13-keys-to-the-White-House
And he did not consider Obama charismatic — nor Romney. So at least he was consistent.