If you're right in your speculated number, only 2/3 of 1% of the county's population has been exposed so far, and there's still another 76,000 of the roughly 76,500 population of his county that haven't been exposed yet. It's going to be an awfully long, sustained slowdown to the economy if we're going to let the virus works it's way though the population at less than 1% per month. Of course, it could also be that you're low on your guess, and there may have already been many thousands in that county that have been exposed with minimal effect.
Exactly, if a rural county just n a few weeks could see thousands with herd immunity, that could be exponential in urban population.
My sense is that millions have been exposed, hundreds of thousands sickened, and somewhere well south of 1%have died. Kinda like a bad flu year.
Screening of sample population around the country could make for a model with real numbers on both ends, putting this whole crisis in real perspective
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