Posted on 03/06/2020 10:21:57 AM PST by USA Conservative
America is at a crossroads.
I realize we say this nearly every election cycle, but I truly believe this time it is very real. The rise of Bernie Sanders and the ensuing chaos in the Democrat party is indicative of this opinion. Watching second amendment rights getting squashed under the boot of state government in Virginia is indicative of this opinion. Watching California descend into the hell that comes from a one-party super majority is indicative of this opinion. We are now faced with deciding how we want this nation to proceed – as a nanny state in which a few powerful elites hold our fates in their hands, or as a nation in which We the People know what is best for our own lives based on our experience, geography and intelligence.
With all the hype over the Joe Biden versus Bernie Sanders face-off during Tuesday night’s Democratic primaries, a dirty little secret for the Democrats was revealed in California.
Beneath the cover of a contentious presidential primary race that gave Establishment Democrats hope, the arguably biggest takeaway of the night is going to be buried. But Democrats took note and the implications are terrifying for them.
Primary results in California indicate that Republicans can flip up to 9 congressional seats.
Meanwhile, Democrats do not have an easy path to flip any current Republican-held districts.
Keep two things in mind. First, these aren’t nine seats that are deemed “in play” through some election miracle. These are nine seats currently held by Democrats where Republicans have the upper hand based on analysis of Tuesday’s primary votes. Second—and this is very important to understand—with only one statewide ballot measure, the main draw was the Democratic presidential primary in which Republicans may not vote. That means that even without the draw of a presidential primary choice, nine seats showed Republicans either within striking distance or outright beating Democrats.
From NOQ Report: The “jungle primary” system for congressional seats means everyone gets the same ballot choices. The top two finishers in the primary will go head-to-head in the general election. Based on these criteria, a shocking number of Democratic seats are now in jeopardy in November. Let’s break them down one-by-one.
District 7: Although incumbent Ami Berra garnered 44.5% of the total votes cast, and his Democratic challenger Jeff Burdick gained 6.6%, their total was not significantly ahead of the total of GOP candidates Buzz Patterson (38.9%) and Jon Ivy (7.8%), and that was with a heavy turnout for the Democratic presidential primary. Rucker noted of Patterson, a former carrier of the “nuclear football” for President Clinton and former Air Force Lt. Colonel, “If he can get some wind on his back, he has a strong chance of flipping the seat and beating the incumbent.”
District 10: With 58% of precincts reporting, Dem Josh Harder had 38.9% of the vote; GOP candidate Ted Howze had 38.2%. GOP candidates had a total of 56.3% of the vote.
District 16:Jim Costa (Dem) 37.5%; the GOP’s Kevin Cookingham 38.5%. Rucker noted, “Costa is clearly in trouble with his own base; this is the first time he’s faced other Democrats for his 16th district seat. It’s also the only time he’s come in second in the primary.”
District 21: David Valadao (GOP) 54.1%; Dems total; 43.1%.
District 24: Salud Carbajal (Dem) 51.8%; Andy Caldwell (GOP) 44.5%. Rucker pointed out, “The last two elections, Democrat Salud Carbajal has easily won CA-24, defeating his opponent by over 17-points in 2018.”
District 25: This is ex-Congresswoman Democrat Katie Hill’s district; the Democrat, Christy Smith, won 30.25% while the two GOP candidates, Mike Garcia and Steve Knight, won 27.4% and 20.4% respectively. (55% of precincts reporting)
District 39: In a rematch of the 2018 election, GOP candidate Young Kim won 52.4% of the cote, incumbent Gil Cisneros won 42.6%
District 45: Democratic incumbent Katie Porter got 48.1% of the vote; GOP candidates got the rest, 51.9%
District 48: Rucker noted that the incumbent, Harley Rouda, got roughly 10% less than the GOP candidates’ total.
District 50: The Democratic candidate, Ammar Campa-Najjar, got 34.4%; the three GOP candidates totaled almost 60%.
This means that Nancy Pelosi is in huge trouble and might need to reconsider her strategy in California!
Do they want to vote for the California GOP? No. Do they want to vote for Trump? No. That being said, more than anything they want to be heard and since the California Democrats are willfully ignoring their voices, many feel a GOP vote will be the only way to make an impact. They’ll go back to voting for the party they love and are loyal to, but they’re for sure not going back to it if they don’t have jobs or are forced to move out of state because of AB5.
Please share this article wherever you can. It is the only way we can work around their censorship and ensure people receive news about issues that Democrats and the mainstream media suppress.
I live in CA39.
Cisneros ran as an ex-military moderate democrat but he votes like Nancy Pelosi. So he is not popular in this district.
In 2016 Young beat him by 4,000 votes but then he found another ~10,000 via ballot harvesting.
So this district is very winnable but the Republican party better git off its butt.
Repubs ought to at least make a hard play for every district that does not touch the ocean.
Ill-Annoy has some solid red counties, and there has been a reduction in population, but I’m not yet convinced a flip is in Ill-Annoy’s future.
Yup the democrats control the ballot box in dozens of ways. The real vote is just a formality.
There were rumored reports that there were some FBI texts messages or other records that "As the World Turns" was on the table as a component of an "insurance policy" to STOP Trump....as a candidate, President-Elect, or sitting President. These people are sick! I believe the coup was real and potentially deadly.
CA district 50 was a Republican seat, held by Duncan Hunter, who resigned in January, and pled guilty to misuse of campaign funds. The seat is currently open. We will not have a representative until January 2021. Governor Newsom will not call a special election for the district.
I would call CA 50 a Republican seat, not a seat with a potential to be flipped from Democrat to Republican.
Trump being on the ballot, along with adjustments to the ballot harvesting law change, I would expect GOP to gain back some districts lost in 16, not only in Cali.. but across the country.
I see no math where the GOP doesn’t have the house Next January.
Au contraire Pierre! They forget about ballot harvesting, thousands of soon to be discovered absentee ballots (all voting for Democrats of course), dead folks voting and outright voter fraud.
If I remember correctly, I think John Hinckley was released from prison during the tenure of Obozo.
They will find ‘lost’ ballots in someone’s car. Those found ballots are always democrat votes.
Pray!
If it were possible for an actual investigative journalist to get a list of all the residents of nursing homes in California, I suspect that this journalist would find that 100% of the residents were registered to vote, that 100% of them vote in every election, by mail, and that 98% of them vote for democrats. I’m sure a statistical model would show that there is nothing suspicious about this.
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