Posted on 02/14/2020 1:50:41 PM PST by davikkm
If the coronavirus is spreading this rapidly among hospital workers, what chance do the rest of us have? What we are witnessing in China right now is absolutely unprecedented. Despite the lockdown of major city after major city, this mysterious new coronavirus continues to spread like wildfire, and Chinese government officials are becoming visibly frustrated. The number of confirmed cases has nearly doubled over the past seven days, and that is extremely concerning. But even more alarming is the unofficial information which has been leaking out of China. According to the South China Morning Post, “at least 500 hospital staff in Wuhan” have now been infected…
At least 500 hospital staff in Wuhan had been infected with the deadly new strain of coronavirus by mid January, multiple medical sources have confirmed, leaving hospitals short-staffed and causing deep concern among health care workers.
While the government has reported individual cases of health care workers becoming infected, it has not provided the full picture, and the sources said doctors and nurses had been told not to make the total public.
There have been numerous reports that indicate there isn’t enough equipment to sufficiently protect medical personnel in Wuhan, and that is probably the biggest reason why this number is so high.
(Excerpt) Read more at investmentwatchblog.com ...
Unless something dramatic changes, there will be a million corona virus infection cases by March 15—probably sooner because the doubling rate now appears to be closer to 5 days rather than 7.
The exponential growth rate was reported back on 1/29 in this New England Journal of Medicine report: https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2001316
I have no idea what to make of this contagion at this point. Based on government reactions is appears rather serious. But Snyder makes money and lots of it selling fear. He is pretty much a joke. There are other more reliable people raising the red flag.
How many who have it have died outside of China?
If true that the virus is specific in whom becomes infected .... huuuummmmm
Huummmm ....
That worries me. My husband is high percent Asian and will that also pertain to our kids?
Back in my school days, we’d learn about S curves. Eventually, the virus will run short of new victims, and it will be exponential no more.
“Unless the mortality rate comes up a lot I just cant all that scared of this virus. The regular flu has much higher kill rate.”
Where are you getting your data?
The “regular flu” has a mortality rate of 0.1%. The Wuhanic Plague has a mortality rate of more than 16% for all resolved cases. 2% for everywhere but Wuhan, and over 25% for Wuhan (where the medical system has been overwhelmed). And that’s based on the CCP’s obviously fudged numbers intended to understate the problem. There is empirical evidence that there are many, many more deaths.
This is NOT the flu.
“Fake news is a bit harsh.”
I agree...I was more saying it in a sarcastic way!
You’re assuming that everyone who currently has the virus will recover. But if you consider the number of cases where the virus has run its course (i.e., the patient has either recovered or died), the “kill” rate is far higher, currently 16.2%. At least in China, where the healthcare system is apparently overwhelmed.
And you’re ignoring any possible long term effect of damage to the lungs it may cause. Of course, there hasn’t been enough time to evaluate that, but it’s a possibility. I know my grandfather had weak lungs for the rest of his life after contracting the Spanish Flu.
A Harvard professor of Public Health believes up to 70% of the world’s population could be infected before it’s all over. Other projections range from a “mere” 500,000 to 4.4 million. Which all means “we really just don’t know.”
But three things are for sure... 1) The Chinese are taking draconian measures to stop it, 2) the Chinese government lies like a cheap rug, and 3) knowing what they know (and haven’t told to the rest of the world), they’re panicking.
I don’t think it’s time for us to panic here in the USA, but it is foolish to be complacent about it because you think “the regular flu has a much higher kill rate.”
It’s long past the time to panic honestly, I’m just refusing to do so. I’ve already accepted it’s coming and there’s not a damned thing I can do about it.
I know people two people have been sent home already that werent Asian.
they said it really sucked and I’m sure it did but they survived and they’re good.
I guess we shall see what happens
Eyeballing the curve, the 2nd derivative of the number of cases appears to be positive now that the data from CCP has been corrected after the WHO went there and chastised them for their “inconsistent reporting”.
In other words, the rate of change of the number of cases is increasing. It’s still spreading faster over time.
I hear you, but I said don't panic. I didn't say don't prepare. You should prepare.
Wow.
Isn’t it always too late to panic on a sphere of dust ?
“How many who have it have died outside of China?”
3 so far, counting the one in Hong Kong as “outside of China”.
One in the Philippines (a while ago) and one in Japan (just in the last day or so). That’s all that have been reported. But who really knows? The rest of the world is three weeks or more behind Wuhan, and for the reported cases outside Wuhan, the Medical systems have not been saturated, so far. Japan is likely struggling which is probably why they haven’t taken everybody off that ship.
“So basically the Month of March.”
Yea, I guess the term “March Madness” might just take on a whole new meaning, in the US.
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