My general position on meteorology is that if one has the same success rate as great baseball hitters they are considered successful. 0.300 is good enough for both fields. ;-)
My state-side VP boss tried to buck up my hesitance in making executive decisions. He said to think like a quarterback, where anything over fifty percent pass completion was good. I thought of it as making irrevocable decisions based on insufficient information. I later learned that this is the art of business.