Let's take 1988. The Democrats ran mainstream liberal Michael Dukakis, as well a moderate/conservative Democrat (hard to believe it, but that's what Al Gore was in 1988: he had an A rating from the NRA and was anti-abortion back then, for instance), and the fringe leftist Jesse Jackson. Gore and Jackson won some states, Dukakis was the nominee.
Today, conservative/moderate Democrats don't even exist or are completely invisible, so you have a choice between an establishment liberal and the hard left. This means that the establishment liberal is no longer the political center of the Democrats, rather, the center lies somewhere closer to the hard leftist. Elizabeth Warren has a much better chance of being the Democrats' 2020 nominee than Jesse Jackson had in 1988, in other words, while a Democrat who runs on positions that Gore had in 1988 is either non-existent or invisible (e.g. Jim Webb in 2016).
Good, ek. Glad to read your analysis.
Three years is a long time from now. Trump’s first year has been stellar: fantastic deregulation, military victories, and foreign affairs successes.
Once 2018 midterms come around and MAGA elects some Senators, it’s a whole new ballgame. That’s when Trump can really go to town with legislative victories.
The 10% of the political fence-sitters will gravitate to Trump because the country is doing well. Most of the hardcore Never Trumpers will be sent to pasture. George Will and David Gergen will be wheeling around their IV bags at an old folks home.
Fauxcahontas is an absolute joke. I listen to Jeff Kuhner who has been tearing Elizabeth Warren apart on the radio every week at least. Trump will have a lot of fun running against her.