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To: RummyChick
I just dont get why people on this site ignored that a dem mayor might lie..and that you might get 50 inches..and not 20.

I live here, and I don't think he lied, Democrat or Republican.

Early on, the models were uncertain. They were a spaghetti bowl of paths; some of them went north, others went back into the gulf, and a few stalled at various locations. This was the definition of the "worst case scenario;" the storm stalled west of Houston and the "dirty side" kept throwing bands of rain at us. It really is a "black swan" event, a 500 year flood, if you will.

Nobody acts on the <1% probability event. They note it, they may have a contingency in place just in case, but you plan for the >10% probability scenarios.

I think it's a very real possibility that they remember the evacuation of Rita (photos of stalled cars on the freeway are posted elsewhere), and were more afraid of a scene like the Roman chariots in the Red Sea from The Ten Commandments.

You have to remember that Houston is flat, and the ground is mostly clay-based soil that doesn't absorb water too well. The Houston freeway system is designed to be a water catch-basin to prevent the neighborhoods from flooding during "normal" storms. I shudder at the thought of evacuating people stuck on the freeways as the water from Harvey begins to fill the roadways.

This was a no-win situation for decision-makers. For every possible decision, the downside greatly outweighed upside.

-PJ

67 posted on 08/28/2017 1:37:49 PM PDT by Political Junkie Too (The 1st Amendment gives the People the right to a free press, not CNN the right to the 1st question.)
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To: Political Junkie Too

Nasa had up a prediction days ago of up to 50 Inches in Houston


71 posted on 08/28/2017 1:58:37 PM PDT by RummyChick (can we switch Don,Jr for Prince Kush and his flak jacket. From Yacht Party to Warzone ready to wear.)
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To: Political Junkie Too

Sorry, but most credible forecasts showed SE Houston with 50 inches of rain. This is incompetence.


76 posted on 08/28/2017 6:29:15 PM PDT by Erik Latranyi (The largest and most dangerous hate-group in the US is now the Democratic Party)
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